Vantage

Data House

Results

Lafayette

Mayor-President +1 318 655 6024


Contact@VantageDataHouse.com
Index

Methodology
4

Demographics
5-8

Voter Enthusiasm
9-10

Candidate Favorables
11-13

Test ballots
14-23

Findings

24

The Kitchens Group

Methodology

MOE ± 5.2%

This survey was conducted by the Kitchens group in 95% confidence level
conjunction with Vantage Data House.

Three hundred and fifty likely voters were interviewed

between September 10th and the 12th. Interviews were
conducted using cell phones, landlines, text messaging, and
the Kitchens Group voter panel.

The margin of error for this survey is +/- 5.2% with a 95%
confidence level.
Demographics
Lafayette Mayor-President Tracking Poll | September ‘23

5
Lafayette Parish: Likely Voters

Age and Sex

8% Gen Z 1997-2006

22% Millennial 1981-1996

25% Gen X 1965-`980

38% Boomers 1946-1964

6% Silent Generation - Before 1946

45% Male 55% Female

6
Lafayette Parish: Likely Voters

Race / Ethnicity 2%

7%

26%
African American

White

Hispanic or Latino 65%

Something Else

7
Lafayette Parish: Likely Voters

Registered As Education
18 % | High School Graduate or Less

31% | Some College, Technical or Community College

22%

26% | Undergraduate Degree

42%
25% | Advanced or Professional degree
36%

00% | Refused

8
Voter Enthusiasm
Lafayette Mayor-President Tracking Poll | September ‘23

9
Voter Enthusiasm:

For Governor and

85%

other state office

elections

15%

Will Probably Vote Will Definitely Vote

10
Favorability

of Candidates
Lafayette Mayor-President Tracking Poll | September ‘23

11
Favorability:

Mayor-President Candidates

12

37
43 40 48 40
% % %

51
17 12

Mayor-President Josh Guillory Mayor-President Candidate

Mayor-President Candidate

Monique Blanco Boulet Jan Swift

12
Satisfaction:
6%
How would you rate
the job performance of
Josh Guillory as the
33%
Lafayette Mayor-
President?
61%

13
Test Ballot
Lafayette Mayor-President Tracking Poll | September ‘23

14
Test Ballot:

Mayor-

President
31%
25% 25%
19%

If the election for Lafayette

Mayor-President were held today,
for whom would you vote if the Republican
Republican
Republican
...

candidate were. . . Josh Guillory Monique Blanco Boulet Jan Swift Undecided

15
Test Ballot:

Second Choice
Lafayette Mayor-President Tracking Poll | September ‘23

16
Test Ballot: Second Choice

Mayor-

President

35%
33%

15% 16%

Who would be your second choice Republican

Republican
Republican
...

. . . Josh Guillory Monique Blanco Boulet Jan Swift Undecided

17
Test Ballot: Second Choice

Guillory

Distribution
55%

35%

10%

It should be noted that these

percentage do not include voters

who were undecided on the first

test ballot. Looking at how the

second choice votes are Republican

Republican
...

distributed it shows . . . Jan Swift Monique Blanco Boulet Undecided

18
Test Ballot: Second Choice

Boulet

Distribution 55%

33%

12%

It should be noted that these

percentage do not include voters

who were undecided on the first

test ballot. Looking at how the

second choice votes are

Republican
Republican
...

distributed it shows . . .
Josh Guillory Jan Swift Undecided

19
Test Ballot: Second Choice

Swift

65%

Distribution

30%

It should be noted that these 5%

percentage do not include voters

who were undecided on the first

test ballot. Looking at how the

second choice votes are Republican

Republican
...

distributed it shows . . . Josh Guillory Monique Blanco Boulet Undecided

20
Test Ballot:

Run-off Scenarios
Lafayette Mayor-President Tracking Poll | September ‘23

21
Test Ballot: Run-Off Scenario #1

Mayor-

President
47%

29%
23%

If there is a run-off election for

whom would you vote for if the Republican

Republican
...

candidates were . . . Josh Guillory Monique Blanco Boulet Undecided

22
Test Ballot: Run-Off Scenario #2

Mayor-

President

44%

29%
25%

And for whom would you vote for in

a run-off election if the candidates Republican

Republican
...

were . . . Josh Guillory Jan Swift Undecided

23
Findings

The data from this survey indicate Josh Guillory is quite vulnerable in his re-election bid. A majority of
voters give him higher negative than positive favorability ratings and 61% give him negative job
performance ratings.

Monique Blanco Boulet and Jan Swift receive at least a 2:1 positive to negative ratio on their image
dimensions. Monique Blanco Boulet holds a slight advantage over Jan Swift at this point in the election
cycle but either of the women are in an excellent position to defeat Josh Guillory in the run-off.

It is clear from both the data related to “second choice” and the run-off scenarios that either Boulet or Swift
will win this race. It is even more certain if one of these candidate is in a run-off with Guillory

24
 Produced In
partnership with

The Kitchen Group