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ANSWERS TO REVISION EXERCISES

Chapter 10/11: Binomial-Poisson

Rev 10/11.1

1.
(a) n=10, p=0.2; P(x≥6) = 0.0055+0.0008+0.0001=0.0064
(b) 300 x 0.2 = 60

2.
(a) 1/6
(b) P(x=0) ≤ 1-0.83 = 0.17; From binomial tables: with p=1/6, P(x=0) = 0.1615 at n=10; The number of
times to toss the die is at least 10.
3.
(a) P(x≥1) = 0.053àP(x=0) =1 -0.053 = 0.947
(b) 0.9473 = 0.8493
(c) 550 x 0.053 = 29.15 à 30 bulbs
Poisson
4.
(a)
i) λ = 6/5= 1.2 per month; from Poisson tables, with λ = 1.2, P(x=0) = 0.3012
ii) λ = 1.2; P(x≥1) = 1 - P(x=0) = 1-0.3012 = 0.6988
(b) λ = 1.2x6 = 7.2;
x -l 1 -7.2
P(x=1) = l e = 7.2 e = 0.0054
x! 1!
5.
(a) P(x≥1) = 10/80 = 0.125
P(x=0) = 1- P(x≥1) = 1-0.125 = 0.875
(b) P(x=0)=0.875 è e-λ = 0.875 à λ = -ln(0.875) = 0.1335

Revision 10/11.2
Binomial + Poisson Distributions

1)
a)The number of trials, n, is fixed; b)The probability of success at each trial, p, is constant.
2)
a) Probability of no fault p = 0.85 à probability of having fault is q = 1-0.85 = 0.15
P(x>7) (no fault) = P(x<1) (having fault);
use Binomial tables with p=0.15 and n = 8; P(x<1) = 0.2725 = 0.2725

b) Mean=np = 8 x 0.85 = 6.8; SD = npq = 8 ´ 0.85 ´ 0.15 = 1.01

c) 500 x 0.85 = 425 computers with no fault.
3)
a) n =10, p = 0.3; from Binomial tables: P(x=2) = 0.2335
b) from table with n=10, p=0.3; P(x<2) = P(x=0)+P(x=1) = 0.1493
4) n = 5; P(x=3) = 0.5P(x=2); 5C3p3(1-p)2=0.5 5C2p2(1-p)3 è p = 1/3

5) Probability of win is 1-4/5 = 1/5 = 0.2; P(win=0) should be < 1-0.8 = 0.2;
from Binomial table n = 8, P(x=0) = 0.1678
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