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R R Kabel 20 09 2023 Prabhu
R R Kabel 20 09 2023 Prabhu
Contents
Page No.
Praveen Sahay FMEG - Strategic diversification for growth: RR Kabel has actively
praveensahay@plindia.com | 91-22-66322369 expanded and diversified its product offerings in the FMEG sector, both
through organic and inorganic means. RRKABL has amalgamated Ram Ratna
Electricals, acquired LED lights business of Arraystorm and home electrical
business of Luminous Power to build its portfolio in FMEG. Company’s focus
is to minimise losses in FMEG business in coming years.
RR Kabel is one of the fastest growing consumer electrical company in India, that
has reported revenue CAGR of 43.4% over FY21-23. Incorporated in Feb-95, the
company has wide spectrum of products such as Wires & Cables, Switches, Fans,
Lighting, Switchgears & Appliances.
RR Kabel is 5th largest player in India’s wires and cables market with ~5%
value market share in FY23. The company has 7% value market share in
branded W&C market as on FY23 compared to 5% in FY15.
Within W&C, RR Kabel is well placed given a) its strong product portfolio, b) robust
distribution network, c) brand image and d) product quality. Likewise In FMEG
segment, the company has enhanced its brand presence, positioning and
manufacturing capabilities through a) amalgamation of group company Ram Ratna
Electricals (FY20), b) acquisition of Arraystorm (FY20), and c) acquisition of
Luminous fans and lights business (FY23). Over FY20-23, overall
Revenue/EDITDA/PAT CAGR stood at 31.2%/16.3%/15.8% wherein W&C
segment’s Revenue/EBIT CAGR stood at 30.2%/20.9% and FMEG’s Revenue
CAGR stood at 49.5%.
W&C contributes 88.6% of revenue Export contribution highest in sector at 23% rev.
Source: Company, PL
Source: Company, PL
Source: Company, PL
Story in Charts
Expected revenue CAGR of 20.7% over FY23-26E W&C rev. expected CAGR of 22.3% over FY23-26E
Revenue (Rs bn) YoY gr % (RHS) W&C rev. (Rs bn) YoY gr % (RHS)
44
68
85
56
99 10%
25
41
50
61
77
91
- 0% 0 0%
FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24E FY25E FY26E FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24E FY25E FY26E
Margins to expand by ~300bps over FY23-26E Expected PAT CAGR of 44.3% over FY23-26E
EBITDA (Rs bn) Margin % Adj. PAT (Rs bn) YoY gr % (RHS)
2.1
1.9
3.1
4.5
5.7
1.0
2.3
3.0
3.2
4.9
7.0
8.6
1%
- 0% - 0%
FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24E FY25E FY26E FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24E FY25E FY26E
W&C margin to expand by 180bps over FY23-26E W&C revenue contribution continues to be higher
Wires and cables EBIT margin (%) Wires and Cables FMEG
FMEG EBIT margin (%)
15.0%
6%
7%
10.0%
5.0%
0.0% -3.9% -4.7% -3.1%
-6.4%
94%
-9.2%
93%
-5.0%
92%
91%
-10.9%-10.7%
90%
89%
-10.0% -14.7%
-15.0%
-20.0%
FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24E FY25E FY26E FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24E FY25E FY26E
RR Kabel is a India’s fastest growing player in the Wires and Cables industry with
reported revenue CAGR of ~40% vs peers of ~30% over FY21-23. The robust
growth can be attributed to it’s a) strong brand recognition, b) diverse product
portfolio, c) high-quality manufacturing facilities, and d) a wide distribution network.
RR Kabel excels in domestic markets with a significant 74% revenue contribution
from B2C segment in Q1FY24. The company is also a prominent player in
international market with 47.1% CAGR in exports revenue over FY21-23. Overall
revenue grew at CAGR of 43.4%, reaching Rs 56bn, mainly with robust growth in
W&C segment and acquisition led growth in FMEG.
Market share focus: The company added six winning states in last 3
years, reached 12 states having >9% market share in FY23 from 6 states
in FY20. It also invested in market expansion in seeding states (around 12
states) to drive future growth.
RR Kabel outperforms peers in W&C revenue growth (21.7% CAGR over FY19-23)
209
179
105
155
93
91
91
81
78
125
77
69
65
61
107
55
53
50
46
43
41
41
37
36
35
32
32
30
30
76
28
75
26
25
23
22
69
Source: Company, PL
41
50
61
77
91
0 0%
FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24E FY25E FY26E
Source: Company, PL
Market share in domestic branded W&C market RR Kabel gaining MS in dom. branded market
KEI KEI
10% FY15 12% FY23
Havells
Others 12% Havells
36% Others 11%
39%
Finolex
Finolex
9%
13%
RR Kabel
5% RR Kabel Polycab
Polycab
7% 22%
24%
Source: Company, PL Source: Company, PL
40 80% 80%
35 80%
79%
30
79%
25 78%
77%
20 77% 78%
77% 77%
15
77%
10
76%
5 76%
17 20 32 38
- 75%
FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23
Source: Company, PL
RR Kabel building capacity for future growth – enhancing cable capacity by 2.4x
Source: Company, PL
Source: Company, PL
1,831
1,012
846
463
Source: Company, PL
Source: Company, PL
RR Kabel’s Wires & cables sales RR Kabel reported superior growth over peers
have grown at a CAGR of 21.7% over CAGR
FY19-23. RR Kabel has scope for Particulars (Rs mn) FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 %
margin expansion given superior FY19-23
scale over peers Wires & Cables Revenues
RR Kabel 22,577 22,488 25,202 41,113 49,585 21.7
Finolex Cables 29,833 27,701 26,315 35,730 42,626 9.3
Havells 32,346 29,942 31,802 46,451 55,326 14.4
KEI 33,636 39,859 35,743 51,231 62,539 16.8
Polycab 69,295 75,192 75,806 1,06,953 1,26,805 16.3
The domestic W&C market is expected to report CAGR of 12.5% over FY23-27E
to reach Rs 1200bn with broad based growth across sub-sectors. However, housing
wires segment expected CAGR of 14% over same period is relatively better than
others segments. W&C industry continues to benefit from resilient tailwinds such as
a) rural electrification, b) healthy growth in commercial real estate sector, c)
increase in per capita consumption of electricity, d) continued expansion of
residential real estate sector, e) transition towards clean green energy, f) China+1
strategy, g) government initiatives to boost production and exports, and h)
emergence of new-age sectors like data centres. Additionally, shift towards branded
players, technological intervention, and marketing initiatives are aiding branded
players’ growth. RR Kabel being one of the leading player in segment, is well
positioned to benefit from this.
Expected industry Cagr of 13% over FY27E Housing wires growing at relatively faster rate
Control & Communication
W&C Market Size (Rs bn) Instrumental W&C Market
Cable Segm entation (FY23)
Cable 3%
1400 15%
1200
1200 FY23-27 Category
Housing w ise CAGR
Wires
1000 13%
33%
748
800 Flexible & 14%
Specialty
600
Cables
400 25% 13%
200 13%
0 Power Cable
(LT/HV/EHV) 13%
FY23 FY27P
25%
FY23 FY27P
Unbranded
Unbranded 20%
28%
Branded
72% Branded
80%
Source: Company, PL
125
110
291
135
FY23 FY27P
Source: Company, PL
Others
45%
RR Kabel - Wire
revenue (FY23)
10%
Source: Company, PL
Growing distribution network As of Jun’23, RR Kabel had 21 warehouses across India’s 17 states along
with UTs; it aims to consolidate them over time. Warehouses are
strategically located to optimize distribution by transport to achieve an
optimal balance between lead time to service and distribute costs.
Retailer & Electrician grew 11.4x/4.7x from FY20 Growing dealer/distribution network
2,98,084
2,71,264
1,47,810
1,14,851
1,06,626
61,224
58,872
30,570
26,053
24,347
2,519
2,810
1,844
3,092
3,296
3,444
3,405
3,656
1,423
1,083
FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 Q1FY24 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 Q1FY24
1,724 1,701
1,622
Source: Company, PL
Winner States (market share >9%) Growing States (Market share 5%-9%)
Opportunity States (Market share <5%)
16
15 15 15
12 12 12
11
9
6
5
4
3 3
1
Source: Company, PL
Source: Company, PL
Further, to enhance brand positioning of B2C players over next few years,
companies have consistently invested in brand building and advertisements
including ATL and BTL marketing. RR Kabel spend ~60% of marketing expenditure
on BTL activities in rural & urban areas, then remaining on ATL activities. The
company has partnered with a leading Bollywood actor and sponsored Bengaluru
Pro Kabaddi Team in 2019 and KKR, IPL team franchise, in 2021.
2.5%
1.9%
1.5%
2.0%
23% 20% 23% 23% 26%
1.1%
1.5%
1.0%
0.9%
0.7%
0.5%
1.0%
77% 80% 77% 77%
0.3%
74%
0.5%
0.0%
FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 Q1FY24 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23
Source: Company, PL
Source: Company, PL
Source: Company, PL
Majority of RR Kabel's products are exported under the RR Kabel brand, while
they also engage in private label manufacturing for select clients. The company
has cultivated enduring partnerships with 10 well-established distributors
operating in these international markets, effectively covering a significant portion
of their export operations. About 99% export revenues are derived from
distributors & rest 1% from OEMs.
16.0 36%
48%
14.0
13.83
12.0 12.7
10.0
5%
8.0
6.0 6.93
-10%
4.0 18%
2.0 2.94 0.43
-
RR Kabel Polycab India KEI Industries Havells India Finolex Cables
Export rev. delivered ~36% CAGR over FY20-23 UAE and UK – major contributors to export rev.
New Zealand Belgium Australia
Exports Revenue (Rs bn) 1% Q1FY24
Slov enia 2% 1%
Revenue Contribution (RHS) 10%
Mauritius
14.0 26.9% 30.0% 4% UAE
12.0 21.5% 23.0% 22.7% 37%
20.4% 25.0%
10.0 20.0% USA
13%
8.0
15.0%
6.0
10.0% My anmar
4.0 2%
2.0 5.0%
- 0.0%
FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 Q1FY24 UK
30%
RR Kabel has actively expanded and diversified its product offerings in the FMEG
Domestic FMEG market valued at sector, both through organic and inorganic means. The domestic FMEG market is
~Rs 1064bn and expected CAGR of valued at ~Rs 1064bn with expected CAGR of ~8% over FY23-27E. RR Kabel's
~8% over FY23-27E product portfolio covers ~77% of this market, making it well-poised to capture a
substantial share of expected growth in FMEG segment. The company boasts an
extensive presence across various distribution channels, wide-reaching distribution
network, and diverse product portfolio that caters to various price points within the
segment. Additionally, RR Kabel possesses a keen ability to identify product gaps
in FMEG market, further enhancing its growth prospects. We anticipate single-digit
growth for RR Kabel in this segment while simultaneously minimizing losses in
coming years on account of scaling up of FMEG business and integration of
acquired assets.
Accelerate growth of FMEG
business: a) Leverage Well- Acquisition to growth business: RRKABL has amalgamated the business
recognized Brand, b) Focus on from one of its group companies, Ram Ratna Electricals Ltd, and acquired LED
Premiumisation, c) Grow Omni-
lights business of Arraystorm Lighting Pvt Ltd, along with its trademarks and
channel presence, d) Focus on
Achieving Operational Excellence design certificates, to expand FMEG portfolio in FY20. Further in May-2022,
acquired the corresponding home electrical business (HEB) of Luminous Power
Technologies Pvt Ltd and also obtained a limited and exclusive license to use
the ‘Luminous Fans and Lights’ brand for fan and light products for an initial
period of two years, subject to extension of six months at a time for a maximum
of four times and, that includes a right to use 61 registered trademarks, and a
portfolio of lights and premium fans, to strengthen its FMEG portfolio.
RR Kabel has created a dedicated space for switch and switchgear at its
Waghodia facility and intends to integrate the Roorkee and Gagret facilities of
FMEG over time with capacity addition. It also aims to enhance capacity for the
Bengaluru facility. Currently, FMEG is 37% in-house manufacturing and rest
sourced through OEMs.
Source: Company, PL
Revenues CAGR of 53% over FY21-23 FMEG to contribute 13.3% of FY23 sales
FY24E
FY25E
FY26E
FY24E
FY25E
FY26E
FY19
FY20
FY21
FY22
FY23
FY19
FY20
FY21
FY22
FY23
RR Kabel grew FMEG portfolio inorganically over FY20-23; Losses to minimize with scale of operations
CAGR % CAGR %
Particulars (Rs mn) FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24E FY25E
FY18-23 FY23-25
FMEG Revenues
Bajaj Electricals (CP + Lighting) 22,285 27,408 30,846 33,035 43,712 48,774 54,928 62,921 17.0 13.6
Crompton (ECD + Lighting) 41,051 44,789 45,120 48,035 53,941 58,138 62,574 73,098 7.2 12.1
Havells (ECD+Lighting+Others ) 27,383 34,056 33,582 41,275 52,241 58,630 64,272 72,168 16.4 10.9
Polycab (FMEG) 4,853 6,433 8,356 10,341 12,544 12,607 14,439 16,745 21.0 15.2
RR Kabel (FMEG) 1,481 1,939 2,039 2,750 6,475 6,915 7,388 NA 6.8
FMEG EBIT (Rs mn)
Bajaj Electricals (CP + Lighting) 1,087 1800.709 2,082 3,240 2,468 2,659 3,497 4,832 19.6 34.8
Margin (%) 4.9 6.6 6.8 9.8 5.6 5.5 6.4 7.7
Crompton (ECD + Lighting) 6,820 7,230 7,411 8,554 9,545 10,675 11,643 13,662 9.4 13.1
Margin (%) 16.6 16.1 16.4 17.8 17.7 18.4 18.6 18.7
Havells (ECD+Lighting+Others ) 7,558 9,218 8,993 6,448 7,767 7,015 7,394 9,279 -1.5 15.0
Margin (%) 27.6 27.1 26.8 15.6 14.9 12.0 11.5 12.9
Polycab (FMEG) 88 75 168 566 196 -56 505 921 -191.3 NA
Margin (%) 1.8 1.2 2.0 5.5 1.6 -0.4 3.5 5.5
RR Kabel (FMEG) -58 -178 -301 -298 -695 -445 -345 NA NA
Margin (%) -3.9 -9.2 -14.7 -10.9 -10.7 -6.4 -4.7
Source: Company, PL
Source: Company, PL
Demand continues to improve with end user industry: The demand has
progressively improved MoM led by housing wires, on account of good traction
in real estate sector. Demand momentum witnessed in Q1FY24 has seen
some softness in August due to rain & fluctuation in copper prices, while next
six months are expected to be healthy mainly from real estate where RR Kabel
has major focus. Smaller towns continue to lead growth for the company.
Source: Company, PL
We expect healthy revenue growth from capacity expansion in cable (2.4x existing
capacity in next two years) and extensive distribution network expansion; overall
topline to register ~21% CAGR over FY23-26E to Rs98.6bn. We expect Wires &
Cables sales CAGR of 22.3%, while FMEG at lower rate of 6.8% CAGR over FY23-
26 to stabilize the acquired businesses.
Revenue CAGR of 20.7% over FY23-26E W&C rev. expected 22.3% CAGR over FY23-26E
Revenue (Rs bn) YoY gr % (RHS) W&C rev. (Rs bn) YoY gr % (RHS)
44
68
85
56
99
10%
25
41
50
61
77
91
- 0% 0 0%
FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24E FY25E FY26E FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24E FY25E FY26E
Source: Company, PL
The major raw materials encompass aluminum, copper, galvanized iron, PVC, low
smoke zero halogen compound, master batch, solar cable compound, and cross-
linked polythene compound. The company also produces PVC compound, low
smoke zero halogen compound, cross-linked polythene compound, and solar cable
compound in-house while procuring copper and aluminum at prevailing market
prices.
Typically, the company maintains an inventory of 20-25 days' with raw materials
and WIP at its factories. Despite this, there have been instances when inventory
shortages have occurred. In the past, there were three instances where shipments
of PVC resin, each totaling 500MT, were delayed by ~50 days. As a result, RR
Kabel had to procure these materials at a higher cost from local suppliers.
Consumption of Copper and aluminum (Rs mn) Domestically sourced RM Non-Domestically sourced RM
% of RM consumed (RHS)
1Q17
3Q17
1Q18
3Q18
1Q19
3Q19
3Q20
1Q21
3Q21
1Q22
3Q22
1Q23
3Q23
1Q24
1Q13
3Q13
3Q14
1Q15
3Q15
1Q16
3Q16
3Q17
1Q18
3Q18
1Q19
3Q19
3Q20
1Q21
3Q21
1Q22
3Q22
1Q23
3Q23
1Q24
3Q16
1Q20
1Q14
1Q17
1Q20
Source: Bloomberg, PL Source: Bloomberg, PL
Polypropylene prices down 23.9%YoY in Q1FY24 Avg INR depreciated by 6.4% YoY in Q1FY24
82.5
82.2
1600
1541
70.171.2
1340
1328
1314
80.0
1265
62.065.9
1215
1002
1157
1130
70.0
1077
1033
1500 54.2
60.0 49.8
940
948
44.9
840
50.0
1000
40.0
30.0
500 20.0
10.0
0 0.0
1Q10
1Q11
1Q12
1Q13
1Q14
1Q15
1Q16
1Q18
1Q19
1Q20
1Q21
1Q22
1Q23
1Q23
1Q24
1Q09
1Q17
1Q08
1Q09
1Q10
1Q11
1Q12
1Q13
1Q15
1Q16
1Q17
1Q18
1Q19
1Q20
1Q21
1Q22
1Q23
1Q24
1Q14
Source: Company, PL
While majority of the revenue comes from B2C biz which offers higher margins, RR
Kabel’s margins remained lower compared to other listed players majorly due to
significant impact on the gross margin profile for the company. Going ahead,
company’s key focus remains on improving efficiency & utilization levels and
improving product profile that can drive margin expansion. We estimate EBITDA
CAGR of 38.8% over FY23-26, led by improving revenue mix based on rising
contribution from cable in export market and various cost efficiency measures. We
estimate margin improvement by 300bps and PAT CAGR of 44.3% over FY23-26E,
led by improving margins and lower interest burden.
EBITDA margin to expand 300bps over FY23-26E PAT to grow at a CAGR of 44.3% over FY23-26E
EBITDA (Rs bn) Margin % Adj. PAT (Rs bn) YoY gr % (RHS)
1.4
2.1
1.9
3.1
4.5
5.7
2.3
3.0
3.2
4.9
7.0
8.6
1.0 1%
- 0% - 0%
FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24E FY25E FY26E FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24E FY25E FY26E
Valuation Matrix
Revenue growth (%) PAT growth (%) RoE (%) P/E (x)
Name
FY23 FY24E FY25E FY23 FY24E FY25E FY23 FY24E FY25E FY23 FY24E FY25E
Finolex Cables 18.9 17.2 15.9 -15.8 24.5 18.3 12.2 15.4 16.2 33.9 27.1 22.0
KEI 20.7 19.2 16.8 26.4 30.2 19.3 20.2 21.6 21.2 50.2 38.5 32.3
Polycab 14.9 23.1 15.6 39.2 30.0 14.9 20.9 22.4 21.3 60.9 46.8 40.7
RR Kabel 27.7 21.3 25.0 -11.3 63.3 46.3 11.6 16.2 19.2 52.2 37.7 25.8
Source: Company, PL
Story in Charts
RoCE % RoE %
0.0 0.0
FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24E FY25E FY26E FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24E FY25E FY26E
Free cash flow to increase with scale Gross Debt to Equity improve steadily
Key Risks
Volatility in prices of raw materials
The company’s major RM is copper, aluminum, PVC etc. RR Kabel has witnessed
a surge in key RM prices, and there is no surety on its ability to pass on cost
increase to consumers. There are chances of consumers cancelling/refraining from
orders when RM prices spike.
Fluctuation in rupee-dollar exchange rate also poses a key challenge to the W&C
industry. The average rupee-dollar exchange rate was Rs 74 in CY21, which had
increased to Rs 83 in Oct-22. The company imports raw materials such as
aluminum, insulation materials because of economies of cost and quality, which
when exposed to exchange rate fluctuation, may result in increase in overall cost,
thereby impacting the margins.
RR Kabel faces a concentration risk, due to its heavy reliance on small number of
distributors for its overseas markets. A significant portion of its export revenue,
around 89.8%, is generated by its top 10 overseas distributors.
Annexure:
Board of Directors & KMP
Financials
Income Statement (Rs m) Balance Sheet Abstract (Rs m)
Y/e March FY23 FY24E FY25E FY26E Y/e March FY23 FY24E FY25E FY26E
EBIT 2,627 4,187 6,056 7,546 Capital Work In Progress 436 436 436 436
Margin (%) 4.7 6.2 7.1 7.7 Goodwill - - - -
Non-Current Investments 196 196 196 196
Net Interest 421 434 397 355 Net Deferred tax assets - - - -
Other Income 344 390 400 425 Other Non-Current Assets 1,071 1,150 1,263 1,354
Notes
Notes
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recommendation or views expressed in this research report.
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Aggarwal
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Date: 2023.09.20 09:12:41 +05'30'