5G Capacity Methdology

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STC 5G Subscribers Market Share Forecast Analysis

Year 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018


Based on
LTE subscriber share 0.01% 0.3% 1.8% 6.1% 11.9% 20.7% 36.8% 50.6%
LTE subscribers
Year 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
trend
5G subscriber share 0.3% 1.8% 6.1% 11.9% 20.7% 36.8% 50.6%

Year 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025


KSA 5G
51.2%
market OVUM 0.0% 0.3% 2.1% 8.2% 14.9% 23.8% 34.9%
Linear deduction)
share
Third-party forecast
STC 5G
41%
market Pyramid 0.0% 0.1% 3.8% 8.8% 14.9% 22.0% 30.0%
Linear deduction)
share

Year 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025


Global Forecast
Average share Global average value 0.3% 3.1% 8.0% 15.3% 23.8% 33.3% 43.1%

STC 5G subscribers market share suggestion: 1.8%~3.1%, 0.4~0.7M subscribers(2020), 43%~50%, 10M~11M subscribers (2025)

( total number of STC subscribers by HW CEM analysis of live network data: 23.5M (202002)
Target Network 2025 Capacity Planning Methodology

4G RRC Connected
users /sector 5G Target Speed
5G RRC Connection (DL 100Mbps)
users/sector

Proportion of 5G users  5G Spectrum


(2021~2025) Step1 5G Capacity
5G Active users/sector requirements Requirement /Sector
(2021~2025)
 5G Target
4G Duty Ratio Step3 Step4
Configuration /Sector
5G Target Cell load 5G Spectrum Efficiency
5G Duty Ratio (90%) Step5
Recommendation
factor of 5G Duty Ratio
/ 4G Duty Ratio (2 times) Step2
Target
Input Setting Result

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