Final Draft - Surya Bagaskara - Identifying Risk Factors of Prediabetes in Prehypertension Population

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Anthropometric Indexes, Dietary Patterns, and Physical Activity for

Assessing Risk of Metabolic Syndrome


Herfandi Dimas Anugrah1, Iche Andriyani Liberty2, Indri Seta Septadina3,
1
Medical Profession Program Study, Faculty of Medicine, Sriwijaya University, Palembang, Indonesia
2
Departement of Public Health and Community Medicine, Medical Faculty, Sriwijaya University,
Palembang, Indonesia
3
Departement of Anatomy, Medical Faculty, Sriwijaya University, Palembang, Indonesia

Corresponding Author : Iche Andriyani Liberty Email : icheandriyaniliberty@fk.unsri.ac.id

ABSTRACT
Depending on the environmental factors and daily lifestyle choices, one in four or five p
ersons has acquired metabolic syndrome. This study to determine metabolic syndrome ri
sk factors in workers and to provide theoretical bases for assessing risk in metabolic syn
drome. A total of 448 subjects from Palembang population were included in this case-co
ntrol observational study. Bivariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis was use
d to explore possible determinants of prediabetes events in the prehypertension populati
on and make a final model, which was tested by backward elimination. The bivariate lo
gistic regression analysis showed that age, employment, VAI, LAP, TyG index, HDI, an
d MET were independently correlated with metabolic syndrome. After being adjusted, it
was identified the most dominant factors were informal sector workers, VAI, LAP, and
TyG Index. VAI was the strongest risk factor for the incidence of metabolic syndrome.
Anthropometric Indexes are very useful for determining the risk factor of metabolic syn
drome.
Key words: Metabolic Syndrome, Anthropometric Indexes, VAI, LAP, Tyg Index, HDI,
MET

INTRODUCTION ive criteria: waist circumference above


40 inches for men and 35 inches for wo
The metabolic syndrome is a collection men, blood pressure greater than 130/85
of metabolic dysregulations that include mmHg, fasting TG level greater than 15
s insulin resistance, atherogenic dyslipid 0 mg/dl, fasting HDL level less than 40
emia, central obesity, and hypertension.1 mg/dl for males and 50 mg/dl for wome
Depending on the environmental factors n, and fasting blood sugar greater than 1
and daily lifestyle choices, one in four o 00 mg/dl.4
r five persons has acquired metabolic sy Diabetes and cardiovascular disease risk
ndrome. Studies from throughout the w are both greatly raised in the presence o
orld show that the frequency of people a f metabolic syndrome (CVD). Across th
ged 20 to 25 is 24% in India, 28% in the e entire world, CVD is by far the main f
USA, 30.1% in Iran, 33.4% in Turkey, a actor in morbidity and mortality.1 Sever
nd 39.3% in the Saudi Arabia. 2 Based o al studies have clearly shown a link bet
n cohort study research in 2019, the pre ween metabolic syndrome and the emer
valence of metabolic syndrome in Indon gence of type 2 diabetes and cardiovasc
esia is 23.34%.3 The NCEP ATP III defi ular disease. Nevertheless, because it ha
nition states that the presence of metabo s also been linked to other chronic condi
lic syndrome is determined by the fulfill tions, such brain health and some forms
ment of three or more of the following f of cancer, metabolic syndrome and visc

1
eral obesity are receiving increasing foc service and fasted for 8 hours before. Bl
us.5 VAI, LAP, and Tyg Index are anthr ood pressure is measured by using a me
opometric indexes that can predict the i rcury sphygmomanometer and stethosco
ncidence of metabolic syndrome.6 pe. Venous blood samples were collecte
There are many diseases that could occu d and were immediately centrifuged. Se
r if metabolic syndrome is left untreated. rum glucose, HDL, LDL, and triglyceri
Some studies analyze the risk factors of de were assayed with an autoanalyzer. F
metabolic syndrome. Several studies ha asting triglycerides in mg/dL were multi
ve examined anthropometric indexes, b plied by fasting plasma glucose in mg/d
ut research on anthropometric indexes, L and divided by two to obtain the TyG
dietary patterns, and physical activity si Index (ln (FT*FPG/2)).7. Physical activi
multaneously to determine the risk of m ty data was based on MET(Metabolic E
etabolic syndrome has never been carrie quivalent of Task)-min/week obtained fr
d out. Also, research on an anthropomet om Indonesian adaptation of IPAQ-SF(I
ric index with metabolic syndrome in In nternational Physical Activity Question
donesia has never existed. This study ai naire Short Form) 8. VAI and LAP was
ms to determine risk factors in metaboli calculated by using its formula based on
c syndrome and to provide theoretical b gender, described as in its first model 9,10.
ases for assessing risk in metabolic synd The tool used and the examiner were th
rome. e same for all samples.

Diagnostic Criteria
METHODS NCEP ATP III definition, metabolic syn
drome is present if three or more of the
Study method and participants
following five criteria are met: waist cir
This observational research was conduct
cumference over 40 inches (men) or 35
ed using a case-control study approach f
inches (women), blood pressure over 13
rom July to November 2022. The popul
0/85 mmHg, fasting triglyceride (TG) le
ation of this research was the population
vel over 150 mg/dl, fasting high-density
in Palembang. The research subjects we
lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol level less
re a group of individuals in Palembang
than 40 mg/dl (men) or 50 mg/dl (wome
who met the inclusion and exclusion crit
n) and fasting blood sugar over 100 mg/
eria. The inclusion criteria are aged ≥18
dl.4
years. The exclusion criteria are sample
s that were prescribed medication that w
Statistical analysis
ould affect insulin, glucose, or cholester
Data analysis used STATA 15.0's Statist
ol serum levels. This study consists of t
ical Package. Every categorical data had
wo types of variables. The dependent va
rates and proportions calculated. Binom
riable was metabolic syndrome, and ther
ial logistic regression investigated para
e were some independent variables: sex,
meter correlations. The parameters with
age, employment, TyG Index, VAI, LA
p-value <0,25 in binomial logistic regre
P, HDI, and MET. After explaining the
ssion were entered in multivariate logist
research procedures and informed conse
ic regression analysis. The final model
nt, 224 people with metabolic syndrome
was tested by backward elimination afte
and 224 people without metabolic syndr
r multiple logistic regression models ex
ome were assessed to be participants in
plored metabolic syndrome determinant
this study.
s.. In the model, the following independ
Measurement method
ent variables were included: sex (men =
Participants visited primary health care

2
0; women; 1), age (≤30 years = 0; 31-40 olic syndrome. Furthermore, other facto
years = 1; 41-50 years = 2; 51-60 years rs, such as sex, were not statistically sig
= 3; ≥61 years = 4), employment (stude nificant (p-value>0,05) and had no relati
nt = 0; informal = 1; formal = 2; unempl onship to the incidence of metabolic syn
oyed = 3), VAI (non-risk = 0; risk = 1), drome.
LAP (non-risk = 0; risk = 1), HDI (low Furthermore, Table 2 also shows that th
= 0; moderate = 1; high = 2), and MET e six factors with p-value <0,25, which
(low = 0; moderate = 1; high = 2) as cat were employment, VAI, LAP, HDI, and
egorical variables. A p-value of <0,05 w MET, were used in the multivariate logi
as considered to indicate statistical signi stic regression analysis. Multivariate log
ficance. istic regression analysis found that the
most dominant factors or most significa
Ethical considerations nt with p-value <0,05 were employment
All procedures in this study involved pa in the informal sector, VAI, LAP, and T
rticipants per the ethical standards of ins yG Index It shows that VAI was more
titutional research committees. All sour meaningful than other factors as a risk f
ce documents, including questionnaires, actor for developing metabolic syndrom
were anonymized to ensure participants' e (p-value 0,000 95% CI 11.36 – 37.00).
anonymity. Sriwijaya University Ethics
Committee approved this study on 15th DISCUSSION
July 2022 with Protocol Number 073-20
22. This certificate confirms the ethical Bivariate analysis
clearance application made by: Iche An The present study studied four hundred
driyani Liberty. As a result, the protocol and forty-eight adults with and without
has been granted Exempt status. metabolic syndrome. From bivariate ana
lysis, the results in this study found that
RESULTS sex has not statistically significant and h
ad no relationship to the incidence of m
Table 1 shows the respondent's descripti etabolic syndrome with a p-value of 0.7
on and frequency and percentage consis 73. The results of this study differ from
ting of sex, age, employment, VAI, LA research conducted by Tsaban et al., wh
P, HDI, TyG Index, and MET. ich study that metabolic syndrome is mo
The bivariate analysis results in Table 2 re common among women than men, bu
show that among all independent variab t still, data regarding the sex-specific as
les examined, sex (p=0,773, 95% CI 0.6 sociation are sparse.11 Supported by rese
3 – 1,40) was not independently correlat arch in the USA using NHANES survey
ed with metabolic syndrome. Age (p=0, data, stating that metabolic syndrome is
0000, 95% CI 2.37 – 12.55), employme more common in women.12 A significan
nt (p=0,0000, 95%CI 1.91 – 23.12), VA t sex disparity is apparent, with women
I (p=0,0000, 95%CI 9.98 – 26.64), LAP having a seemingly higher risk of havin
(p=0,0009, 95%CI 1.26 – 2.78), HDI (p g metabolic syndrome but men having a
=0,0172, 95%CI 0.17 – 0.89), TyG Inde higher risk of cardiovascular disease.13
x (p=0,0000, 95%CI 4.30 – 10.69) and Women have higher estrogen levels, inc
MET (p=0,1893, 95%CI 0.87 – 1.94) w reasing insulin sensitivity, and decrease
ere independently correlated with metab d blood pressure.

Table 1. Descriptive Table of Potential Risk Factors of Metabolic Syndrome

3
Frequency/n Percent (%)

4
Sex
- Male 181 40,40
- Female 267 59,60
Age
- ≤30 years 126 28,12
- 31-40 years 76 16,96
- 41-50 years 100 22,32
- 51-60 years 84 18,75
- ≥61 years 62 13,84
Employment
- Student 70 15,62
- Informal 104 23,21
- Formal 124 27,68
- Unemployed 150 33,48
LAP
- Non-risk 225 50,22
- Risk 223 49,78
VAI
- Non-risk 221 50,67
- Risk 227 49,23
TyG Index
- 8–9 272 60,71
- 9–10 176 30,29
HDI
- High 104 23,21
- Moderate 308 68,75
- Low 36 8,04
MET
- High 0 0,00
- Moderate 145 32,17
- Low 303 67,63

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Table 2. Descriptive Table of Potential Risk Factors of Prediabetes
Metabolic Synd Non-Metabolic S
Bivariate analysis Multivariate analysis
rome yndrome
n (%) n (%) p value OR (95%CI) p value OR (95%CI)
Sex
- Male 92 (41.07) 89 (39.73) - - -
0.773
- Female 132 (58.98) 135 (60.27) 0.95 (0.63 – 1,40) - -
Age
- ≤30 years 29 (23.02) 97 (76.98) - - -
- 31-40 years 44 (57.89) 32 (42.11) 4.59 (2.37 – 8.89) 0.091 2.16 (0.88 – 5.28)
- 41-50 years 58 (58.00) 42 (42.00) 0.0000 4.61 (2.49 – 8.55) 0,054 2.41 (0.98 – 5.93)
- 51-60 years 54 (64.29) 30 (35.71) 6.02 (3.07 –11.77) 0.725 1.18 (0.45 – 3.12)
- ≥61 years 39 (62.90) 23 (37.10) 6.10 (2.97–12.55) 0.638 1.29 (0.44 – 3.72)
Employment
- Student 11 (15.71) 59 (84.29) - -
- Informal 67 (64.42) 37 (35.58) 9.71 (4.07 – 23.12) 0.039 3.33 (1.06 – 10.49)
0.0000
- Formal 54 (43.55) 70 (56.45) 4.13 (1.91 – 9.92) 0.440 1.51 (0.52 – 4.31)
- Unemployed 91 (61.07) 58 (38.93) 8.50 (3.82 – 18.94) 0.182 2.20 (0.69 – 7.03)
VAI
- Non-risk 46 (20.54) 181 (80.80) - - - -
- Risk 178 (79.46) 43 (19.20) 0.0000 16.28 (9.98 – 26.64) 0.000 15.34 (8.34 – 28.21)
LAP
- Non-risk 95 (42.41) 130 (58.04) - - - -
- Risk 129 (57.59) 94 (41.96) 0.0009 1.87 (1.26 – 2.78) 0.000 4.60 (2.54 – 8.31)
TyG Index
-8–9 89 (39.73) 183 (81.07) - - -
0.0000
- 9 – 10 135 (60.27) 41 (18.93) 6.77 (4.30 -10.69) 0.001 2.79 (1.51 – 5.13)
HDI
- High 64 (28.57) 40 (17.86) - - -
- Moderate 146 (65.18) 162 (72.32) 0.0172 0.56 (0.35 – 0.89) 0.438 0.77 (0.41 – 1.46)
- Low 14 (6.25) 22 (9.82) 0.39 (0.17 – 0.88) 0.271 0.54 (0.18 – 1.60)
MET
- Moderate 66 (48.53) 70 (51.47) - - -
0,1893
- Light 158 (50.64) 154 (49.36) 1.30 (0.87 – 1.94) 0.110 0.59 (0.31 – 1.12)

Independent variable showing p value <0,25 in univariate analysis were entered in multivariate analysis.
OR (Odds Ratio), 95%CI (95% Confidence Interval), VAI (Visceral Adiposty Index), LAP (Lipid Accumulation Product), TyG Inde
x (Triglyceride Glucose Index), HDI (Healthy Diet Index) and MET (Metabolic Equivalent of Task)

6
After menopause, women experience a –3.95; P< 0.001) and cerebrovascular (1
decline in estrogen levels, which can inc 63; 1.06–2.50; P <0.025) events.19 LAP
rease metabolic syndrome risk. Women shows significant metabolic syndrome i
tend to have more subcutaneous and vis ncreases by 1,87 times compared with t
ceral fat associated with insulin resistan hose with normal range LAP (p-value <
ce, dyslipidemia, and hypertension.14 0,001 OR: 1.87; 95% CI:1.26 – 2.78). R
Age has a significant relationship with esearch conducted in several countries,
metabolic syndrome with a p-value of 0, China, India, and the USA, shows that L
0000. The results of this study were con AP and VAI can be used as markers for
sistent with the results of Bener et al. in young adults, the elderly population, an
Qatar study in their bivariate analysis wi d both sex.19–22 LAP exhibits the best pre
th Chi-square showing an association be dictive efficacy for the marker in detecti
tween age and metabolic syndrome (p v ng metabolic syndrome .20 TyG Index al
alue<0,001), which shows increasing ag so shows significant increases of metab
e after 30 years will increase the risk of olic syndrome by 6,77 times compared
metabolic syndrome.15 Our findings agr with those with normal range TyG (p-v
eed with a cross-sectional study in Ethio alue <0,001 OR: 6.77; 95% CI:4.40 – 1
pia that increasing age significantly incr 0.69).
eases the risk of metabolic syndrome (O Our findings suggest that moderate and
R 18.23; 95% CI (6.66, 49.84)).16 Increa low HDI are statistically protective agai
sing abdominal obesity paralleled the ag nst metabolic syndrome (p-value 0,0172
e-related increase in metabolic syndrom OR: 1.87; 95% CI:0.17 – 0.89). There is
e prevalence in both genders.17 no research on the correlation between
Employment has a significant relationsh HDI and metabolic syndrome. There is
ip with metabolic syndrome with a p-va another study about diet using HEI. Tot
lue of 0,0000. Similarly, a cross-section al HEI-2015 scores were significantly lo
al study from the Netherlands which stu wer in metabolic syndrome subjects tha
dies the incidence of metabolic syndrom n in the control group (65.04 ± 9.71 vs.
e among worker show that compared to 66.75 ± 8.88).23 Our study contradicts so
high skilled white-collar employees, lo me studies that show an unhealthy diet s
w skilled white-collar workers had a co ignificantly becomes a risk factor for m
nsiderably greater risk of metabolic inci etabolic syndrome. Poor diet and sedent
dence (OR: 1.24; 95% CI: 1.12 - 1.37) a ary lifestyle are major contributors to th
nd low skilled blue-collar workers had a e etiopathogenesis of metabolic syndro
significantly higher risk (OR: 1.37; 95% me. The prevalence of the metabolic sy
CI: 1.18 - 1.59). It was more common f ndrome has also been linked to a low co
or blue-collar employees to engage in h nsumption of fruits, vegetables, and wh
armful behavior combinations. In this st ole grain cereal items paired with a high
udy, VAI shows significant metabolic s intake of fast food, white bread, red mea
yndrome increases compared with those t, sweets, and sweetened drinks.24 Dietar
with normal range VAI (p-value <0,001 y and physical activity interventions for
OR: 16.28; 95% CI:9.98 – 26.64). Other metabolic syndrome reduce central obes
research shows a similar result. All com ity without adverse effects.25 Consumin
ponents of metabolic syndrome increase g an overall healthy diet for weight loss
d significantly across VAI quintiles. VA and ongoing weight maintenance is the
I was independently associated with bot major method for managing metabolic s
h cardiovascular (OR 2.45; 95% CI 1.52 yndrome to lower the risk of developing

7
cardiovascular and cerebrovascular illne metabolic syndrome.27
ss.26 After being adjusted, our multivariate a
In this study, low MET shows an increa nalysis shows that VAI risk (≥6.83) was
sed risk of metabolic syndrome compar the strongest risk factor for the incidenc
ed with those who moderate MET (p-va e of metabolic syndrome (p-value 0,000
lue 0,189 OR: 1.30; 95% CI :0.89 – 1.9 95%CI 8,34 - 28,21). It shows that subje
4). Low physical activity can also increa cts with VAI (≥6.83) were at 15,34 time
se β-cell insufficiency of β-cell pancreat s higher to have metabolic syndrome. O
ic, oxidative damage, mitochondrial dys ther factors significantly associated with
function, and inflammation which trigge metabolic syndrome in the adjusted mo
r insulin resistance.28 Having physical ac del were informal sector workers (p-val
tivity levels above >1,200 MET-minute ue 0,039 95%CI (1.06 – 10.49) that subj
s/week had a reduced risk of metabolic ects working for the informal sector wer
syndrome.27 The results of this study co e 3,33 times higher to have metabolic sy
ntradict cross-sectional research in the ndrome. TyG Index also significantly as
USA using NHANES survey data. A hi sociated with metabolic syndrome in the
gh physical activity level was 63% less l adjusted model were Tyg Index (9-10)
ikely to have metabolic syndrome than i (p-value 0,000 95%CI (4.30 – 10.69)) a
ndividuals with low physical activity le nd subjects with TyG Index (9-10) were
vels (OR = 0.37, 95% CI: 0.20, 0.68). A at 6,77 times higher to have metabolic s
lthough not statistically significant, parti yndrome. The last factors significantly a
cipants with a medium level of physical ssociated with metabolic syndrome in th
activity were 44% less likely to have me e adjusted model were LAP ≥36.99 (p-v
tabolic syndrome than individuals with l alue 0,000 95%CI (2.54 – 8.31)) and su
ow PA (OR = 0.56, 95% CI: 0.23, 1.34). bjects with LAP above 36.99 were at 4,
A physical activity level above >1,200 60 times higher to have metabolic syndr
MET-minutes/week reduced the risk of ome.

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