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Question 1

Sumair Limited has been paying dividend to its ordinary shareholders in the following manner:

2022 2021 2020 2019 2018


Earning per share 24.7765 23.3730 22.3606 21.0000 20.0000
Dividend per share 17.3435 16.8286 15.8760 15.1200 14.0000

Following is the capital structure of the company at 31 December 2022:

Share Capital (Rs 10 per share) 160,000


Retained earnings 1,536,000
Total Equity 1,696,000

The company's share is trading at a price earnings multiple of 7.03.

Changes in business arrangement


The company is changing the business sector due to which the following changes will be observed:

1. Dividend for the next year shall increase to Rs 20 / share.


2. Growth rate in dividends will be reduce to 7%
3. Cost of equity will be increased by 2% (Old+2%)

Required
1. Calculate growth rate in dividends using:
a) Dividend history
b) Gordon's model
2. Calculate cost of equity (current situation)
2. Calculate the impact of the above measures on the market value of the company.

Solution

Growth rate through dividend history Growth rate using Gordon's function

Dividend in 2018 14.0000 Retention ratio


Dividend in 2022 17.3435 Earnings per share 24.7765
Time in between 4 years Dividend per share 17.3435
Growth rate 5.500% Retention per share 7.4329
% of profit 30.0000%
Since growth rate calculated
using dividend history is more Return on Equity
reliable we will take it for Profit total 396,424 (24.7765x16,000)
further calculations Opening Equity 1,577,073 (Closing+Div-Profit)
ROE 25.137%

Growth rate (bxr) 7.541%


Cost of Equity

Market Value per share


PE multiple 7.0300
EPS 24.7765
MV per share 174.1787

Cost of equity 16.00% 17.3435(1+5.5%)/174.1787 + 5.5%

Impact of changes in business arrangements

Next year dividend 20.00 Rs per share


Growth rate new 7.00%
New Ke 18.00%

Market value per share 181.82


Total market value 2,909,091 16,000x181.82

Comparison
Previous market value 2,786,860 16,000 x 174.1787
New Market Value 2,909,091
Increase 122,231

Conclusion
New business arrangement is profitable for the company

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