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Brics 20230929 033953 0000
Brics 20230929 033953 0000
Agendas:
A new BRICS+ currency: creation of a new currency
empowering the developing countries and reducing dollar
dependency
INDEX
1. Introduction
I
pg 3-5
2. History pg 6-8
5. Agendas
a) New Currency Creation pg 14-15
b) Reduced Dependency of the Dollar pg 16-18
Diplomatic Engagements:
Chinese President Xi Jinping arrived in Johannesburg for the summit,
focusing on enhancing China’s involvement in global affairs.
Xi’s change of plans, skipping a business forum and sending the Chinese
Commerce Minister, raised questions about the reasons behind this
decision.
African countries urged China to shift its focus from infrastructure
development to local industrialization to align with the Africa Continental
Free Trade Agreement (AfCFTA).
BRICS Summit 2023: Key Addresses and Vision
Leaders like Modi, South African President Cyril Ramaphosa, and Brazilian
President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva emphasised the significance of BRICS in
fostering cooperation among developing nations.
Ramaphosa highlighted the need for global financial institutions to undergo
reform to better address the challenges faced by developing economies.
Brazilian President Lula da Silva clarified that BRICS aimed to organise the
Global South and was not meant to rival established powers like the United
States and G7 economies.
BRICS Summit 2023: Expansion Ambitions
The possibility of expanding BRICS to include more countries generated
discussions during the summit.
China and Russia’s aspirations to bolster BRICS aimed to counterbalance the
influence of Western powers amid global tensions.
South African President Ramaphosa expressed support for expanding BRICS
and revealed that over 20 nations, including Saudi Arabia, Indonesia, and
Egypt, had formally applied to join.
BRICS Summit 2023: Collective Influence and Global Partnerships
President Xi Jinping called for increased collaboration between China and
South Africa to bolster their influence in international affairs, particularly in
the Global South.
Xi emphasised support for South Africa’s greater role in the G20,
highlighting the nations’ partnership and pursuit of justice in global affairs.
BRICS Summit 2023: Economic and Growth Aspects
Prime Minister Modi highlighted India’s rapid economic growth and
projected it to become a $5 trillion economy in the near future.
BRICS nations sought to strengthen cooperation to address economic
challenges and enhance their combined influence on the global stage.
Agenda
1)New Currency Creation:
In the evolving landscape of international trade and geopolitics, the BRICS
nations — Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa — have garnered
significant attention with their discussions about a potential common
currency. The underlying goal is to diminish their reliance on the US dollar
and fortify intra-BRICS trade. As of now, a definitive date for the BRICS
currency’s release remains uncertain.
Conclusion:
The proposition of a BRICS currency undeniably presents a potential shift in
global economic dynamics. As developments unfold, the world watches with
bated breath to witness the impact and evolution of this initiative.
2)Reduced Dependency on Dollar:
For 80 years, the United States dollar has dominated all other currencies.
As it stands, the dollar is used in over 74 percent of all international trade,
90 percent of currency exchanges, nearly 100 percent of oil trades and just
under 60 percent of all foreign currency reserves held by central banks.
And due to its status as the most widely used currency for conversion and
its use as a benchmark in the forex market, almost all central banks
worldwide hold dollars. A grouping of developing countries tired of the
West’s looming presence over global governance and finance is determined
to take it down a peg. The process of de-dollarisation is “irreversible” and
“gaining pace”, Russian President Vladimir Putin said on Tuesday in a
virtual address to the BRICS summit in Johannesburg, where the leaders
of Brazil, India, China and South Africa are gathered for three days.
Calls for a global shift away from dollar dominance are not new, nor are
they unique to BRICS, but experts say recent geopolitical shifts and
growing tensions between the West and Russia and China have brought
them to the fore.In early 2022, Western sanctions over Russia's invasion of
Ukraine froze nearly half of Russia’s foreign currency reserves and
removed major Russian banks from SWIFT, a messaging network banks
use to facilitate international payments.
Later in the year, the US imposed restrictions on exports of semiconductor
technology to China.
The impetus for Global South countries trying to find an alternative is
more a “practical consideration” than a moral one, said Gustavo de
Carvalho, a policy analyst on Russia-Africa ties at the South African
Institute of International Affairs, as they view the recent sanctions and
ask:
“What are the risks that we are facing by engaging with one currency
globally that may be utilised for political purposes?”.
The proponents of de-dollarisation say that this process would reduce
other countries’ dependence on the US dollar and the US economy, which
could help mitigate the impact of economic and political changes in the
US on their own economies. Moreover, countries can reduce their
exposure to currency fluctuations and interest rate changes, which can
help to improve economic stability and reduce the risk of financial crises.
This move has been gaining speed in the last few years, especially in the
previous year. In 2022, the International Monetary Fund noted that
central banks today are not holding the greenback as reserves in the same
quantities as yesteryear.
If the BRICS nations do go ahead with their plan and come up with a new
currency, it could help stabilise their economies. For an investor in BRICS
countries, it would mean increased consumer confidence. This would lead
to an uptick in spending and economic growth.
If BRICS nations opt to hold significant portions of their foreign reserves
in their new currency, demand for the US dollar could recede. This shift
could lead to a depreciation of the dollar’s value, altering global trade
dynamics. The collective decision of BRICS nations on managing their
vast foreign exchange reserves could have implications for the US dollar’s
value.
It remains to be seen how these dynamics play out, with potential scenarios
ranging from negligible impact to significant dollar depreciation.
As the reliance on US dollars diminishes, central banks will begin
dumping their dollar reserves. This will result in hyperinflation, a spike in
interest rates to compensate for the loss of purchasing power, and falling
asset prices, further accelerating US decline.
The trend of de-dollarisation is occurring – but it is not something
unique. The rise and fall of empires and reserve currencies are apparent
throughout history – from the Dutch Empire and the guilder to the
British Empire and the pound sterling, and now the US Empire and the
dollar. There will inevitably be a shift in the world order, and it may well
be the BRICS’ time.
The BRICS countries have a combined gold reserves of 5,352 tons,
which makes them the second largest owner of gold reserves after the
US, which has 8,133 tons. China has quadrupled its gold reserves over
the past twenty years, as shown below.
Ditching the dollar: Will a new BRICS currency replace the US dollar for trade?
(2023)Firstpost. Available at: https://www.firstpost.com/explainers/dumping-
the-dollar-brics-currency-us-dollar-trade-india-china-russia-12403612.html
(Accessed: 28 September 2023).
Ismail, S. (2023) Can brics dethrone the US dollar?, Business and Economy | Al
Jazeera. Available at: https://www.aljazeera.com/features/2023/8/24/can-
brics-dethrone-the-us-dollar-itll-be-an-uphill-climb-experts-say (Accessed: 28
September 2023).
Purohit, S. (2023) When will the BRICS currency be released? plans and
potential impact, CooPWB. Available at: https://coopwb.in/info/when-will-
brics-currency-be-released/ (Accessed: 28 September 2023).