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Journal of Law, Economics, & Organization
Catherine E. Tucker
MIT Sloan School of Management and NBER
1. Introduction
When firms adopt new information and communication technologies
(ICTs), they hope to increase profits by reducing communication and
archiving costs. However, they may incur hidden costs among which is
an increased likelihood of detrimental evidence being uncovered from an
electronic "paper trail." To take a classic example, in United States v.
Microsoft , 87 F. Supp. 2d 30 (D.D.C 2000), prosecutors used e-mails
sent between Microsoft executives as evidence of anticompetitive intent
toward Netscape. In this article, we explore how policies that change in the
risks and expected costs of litigation stemming from the existence of an
electronic document trail influence firms in their decisions to adopt new
technologies.
We ask how the prospect of electronic data being used in the court
affects the decisions of US hospitals to adopt electronic medical record
(EMRs) systems. EMRs allow health providers to store and exchange
information about their patients' medical and treatment histories electron-
ically rather than using paper. EMRs can improve patient's care and
reduce administrative costs (Miller and Tucker 2011a), but their effect
on expected malpractice costs is ambiguous.
On the one hand, by automating documentation of a patient's care,
EMR systems can help to protect health providers in a malpractice case,
by documenting comprehensively and reliably that hospital protocols
were followed. By helping to prevent medical mistakes, such as dosage
errors, EMRs may actually reduce the risk of a malpractice lawsuit being
launched by reducing the risk of malpractice and adverse health outcomes.
On the other hand, EMRs include more detailed information about
patient care than traditional paper records. Therefore, plaintiff attorneys
may make extensive discovery requests for "relevant" electronic informa-
tion in medical malpractice litigation. Plaintiff access to this electronic
information can increase the probability of malpractice litigation after
an adverse medical event, and also increase the cost of trial and the
chance of a negative outcome for the defense. In a case described in
Vigoda and Lubarsky (2006) and Dimick (2007), surgery left a patient
quadriplegic. The patient's lawsuit initially focused on the surgeon's com-
petence, but it switched to focusing on the anesthesiologist's competence
after pretrial discovery, which released EMRs to the patient's attorneys.
These records contained an electronic timestamp that cast doubt on
whether the anesthesiologist was present for the entire procedure. This
anecdote illustrates the risk to health providers of EMRs being released
during discovery. An increase in information can improve patient care and
aid rebuttal in court, but it can also increase the chance that the plaintiffs'
lawyers will find evidence of wrongdoing.
To analyze whether the threat of increased medical malpractice costs
deter adoption of EMRs, we use panel data on EMR adoption by hos-
pitals from 1994 to 2007. To measure the likelihood that electronic data
will be used in medical malpractice trial proceedings, we exploit differ-
ences over time in state court procedural rules governing the scope and
depth of general electronic document discovery, or "e-discovery," in pre-
trial proceedings. E-discovery refers to the use of electronic materials in
the discovery stage of court proceedings. These rules increase the likeli-
hood of extensive electronic metadata being preserved, such as damaging
evidence of timestamps when records were accessed and modified. We find
that the enactment of such state rules decreases the propensity of hospitals
to adopt EMRs by one-third. We check the robustness of this result by
adding control variables to the main model and by employing a set of
falsification tests.
We then examine which hospitals were most deterred by these proced-
ural rules. We find that e-discovery rules hinder adoption more in states
2. Background
2.1 State E-Discovery Rules
The discovery phase of a medical malpractice case starts after the plaintiff
files the lawsuit. During discovery, both the defense and the plaintiff have
the opportunity to obtain relevant information and documents from the
other parties in the lawsuit. The standard for discovery of paper records is
generally very broad. Documents are "discoverable" if they are likely to
lead to the uncovering of admissible evidence. They do not have to be
necessarily admissible at trial. Requests for discovery are generally statu-
torily predetermined requests that must be produced without objection.
1 . Since these rules are generally changes to the court code of civil procedure, there is not a
large gap between the enactment date and the effective date as sometimes it occurs with
changes in state law. Furthermore, while these state rules often formalize and codify the
procedures that have been followed in a prior case, they do represent a discontinuity in
terms of legal practice. This is for two reasons. First, before such rules are enacted, it is
not clear whether in that state practices that have been followed in complex corporate civil
cases apply to all civil procedure. Second, while lawyers who specialize in such areas of
corporate law may be well aware of the issues of e-discovery, the enactment of such rules is
ordinarily attended by both publicity, and offers of workshops and training in matters of
e-discovery by the state bar association, which improve the ability of the broad spectrum of
the legal profession to take advantage of electronic data mining techniques.
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2
easily "provable" paper trail for the defense. EMRs may prevent mistakes
by standardizing care and patient histories. However, there are numerous
reasons to think that the admission of EMRs into discovery may increase
the expected malpractice costs of the hospital.
The presence of electronic data makes it more likely that a mistake, if it
were made, would be recorded. For example, metadata captures when and
whether physicians refer to a patient's history. This is a change from the
current paper-based systems, where failure to obtain past clinical history
has had to be judged based on a comprehensive review of the individual
case files. Blumenthal et al. (2006) discuss the concern that widespread use
of electronically stored information (ESI) in medical malpractice cases
introduces ambiguity in the definition of a legal "medical record" and
extends the scope of discovery.2 1
ESI also opens the possibility that even if the initially alleged error or
negligence did not occur, the plaintiff could data mine the electronic in-
formation until it found another piece of data that might indicate a mis-
take (Terry 2001). Hospitals may also fear that in the course of discovery
for a single malpractice case, the electronic information will reveal a
system-wide error in the EMR system's clinical guidelines and alerts
that would affect a large class of patients, thereby amplifying the risk
relative to paper documents.
Requests for ESI may cause problems for defendants because the meta-
data contained in the electronic record can give the impression that med-
ical records have been tampered with. This is a particular point of
vulnerability for defendants in court. One example, given to us by an
industry insider, was the case of a radiologist in Arizona who prior to a
deposition accessed the patient's record to review its contents. By doing
so, they inadvertently created a timestamp which suggested that the record
had been "modified" just prior to the deposition. In Arizona, the absence
of clear rules meant that this inadvertent electronic data were not admitted
as evidence, but legal experts say that under new state rules, this electronic
evidence of possible "tampering" could be used effectively by the plaintiff
to have medical evidence dismissed. Electronic timestamps may also reveal
inappropriate corrections to a medical record, inaccurate data entry, and
unauthorized access.
Further, if there are informal practices in a hospital, which go against
official protocol, they will also be recorded. For example, in some hos-
pitals when nurses are called away in an emergency from making regular
checks on patients recovering from surgery, they can "correct" paper re-
cords after the fact to indicate that they had made the checks. That is not
possible with EMRs. Similarly, Williams (2009) reports a case where the
2. This extension goes beyond the medical record information that hospitals are required
to provide to patients upon request under the Privacy Rule of the 1996 Health Insurance
Portability and Accountability Act (AHIMA e-HIM Work Group on Defining the Legal
Health Record 2005; AHIMA e-HIM Work Group on e-Discovery 2006).
focus of a medical malpractice suit was the fact that a nurse made entries
to an electronic record after the patient had died. If the patient records had
been in paper, there would have been no way of knowing for sure when
these entries were made.
More generally, there is anecdotal evidence that e-discovery is viewed as
a burden for medical providers. For example, at the IQPC's 3rd Obstetric
Malpractice Conference, held on November 10-11, 2009 at the Swissotel
Chicago, one session described e-discovery as "an aggressive enemy lurk-
ing at the door of every hospital in the United States" and "a friend of the
plaintiff's bar," explaining that "a wealth of digital information can ac-
cumulate about a patient that is housed outside an organization's legal
medical record. Attorneys in search of additional information pertinent to
a lawsuit may view this data as containing digital Easter eggs waiting to be
discovered."3
The existing academic literature has come to mixed conclusions.
Feldman (2004) quotes survey evidence that shows that in 41 malpractice
cases, there were no reported cases where an "automated record" hindered
the defense process. He also discusses quotes from survey participants that
suggest positive legal outcomes, such as "I know of three cases where the
anesthesia record directly contributed to the anesthesiologist being dis-
missed (from the suit)." Lane (2005) points out that it would be unwise to
conclude from anecdotal evidence that electronic systems do not increase
malpractice exposure, because Feldman (2004) ignores the additional
risk created by additional data stored in the electronic record. To try to
understand how "malpractice risk" and adoption of EMRs may correlate,
Virapongse et al. (2008) sent surveys to 1 140 physicians in Massachusetts
but, after controlling for demographics, did not find a significant
relationship.
3. Data
We use technology data from the 2008 release of the Healthcare
Information and Management Systems Society Analytics TM Database
(HADB). To control for time- varying hospital characteristics, we matched
the HADB data with the American Hospital Association (AHA) survey
from 1994 to 2007. We study the initial EMR adoption decisions using the
HADB-AHA-matched samples of 3599 hospitals that had not adopted
EMRs before 1994. The hospitals in our data were generally larger than
the hospitals we could not match in the AHA data. On average, they had
7530 when compared to the 2717 average annual admissions of the
hospitals for which the HADB data did not contain information on IT
4. Also, we do not have information on hospitals that were in operation during the sample
period but that were closed before 2007, but this represents <1% of the AHA sample. Two
hundred and four hospitals in the matched sample first appear in the AHA data after 1994.
5. Nonadopting hospitals are included in the sample for all years with available AHA data
and contribute 29,729 of the hospital-year observations. Hospitals that adopt during the
sample period are observed for an average of 8.8 years and contribute the remaining
12,377 observations.
4. Results
We first examine the aggregate impact of rules that clarify the use of
e-discovery in the pretrial stages of medical malpractice suits on adoption
of EMRs. As described in Section 2.1, these rules increase how much
electronic information a plaintiffs lawyer may receive automatically as
part of pretrial disclosure. As such, the rules are expected to magnify the
impact of electronic information on the litigation process.
6. Double clustering at the state and hospital level produces comparable estimates that are
significant at the p < 0.01 level.
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impact of e-discovery. Column (6) shows that the main effect also remains
negative and significant after allowing for separate linear time trends in
EMR adoption for states that pass e-discovery rules during the sample
period.
7. In other estimation, when we measure separate impacts of each of the false rules in
isolation, we obtain negative point estimates that are both smaller than the main estimate
(ranging from -0.0395 to -0.0562) and statistically insignificant.
8. The immediate negative impact of the e-discovery rule on adoption is consistent with
anecdotal evidence from changes in medical malpractice insurance premiums for physicians
in Illinois around the time its rule was enacted, as reported in the Medical Liability Monitor.
Premiums increased for one insurer by 28-40% (depending on specialty and region) over the 2
years that ended after enactment, but by only 8-12% over the following 2 years.
All estimates in this table are from models that include the full set of sta
set of hospital control variables (years opened, staffed beds, admissions
Medicaid inpatient days, births, total inpatient operations, total operation
tient visits, total payroll expenses, employee benefits, total expenses, leng
nurses, number of trainees, nonmedical staff, PPO, HMO, hospital sys
profit), state control variables (gross state product and gross state pr
EMRs, and tort law control variables (punitive cap, noneconomic dam
contingency fee limits). SEs clustered at the state level. *p<0.10, "p
All estimates in this table are from models that include the full set of stat
set of hospital, state, and tort law control variables (listed in Table 4), a
the state level. "p< 0.05.
easier, but a failure to use the history would also be documented and could
be used in the court. The second category of claims are those that are not
likely to be affected by EMRs. An example is "Surgical or Other Foreign
Body Retained." It is unlikely that the presence of an EMRs would affect
the likelihood of a surgeon leaving behind a piece of operating equipment
within a patient, and if the surgeon is unaware he or she has done so, it
would not be in the EMR.
The results in Table 6 show how the presence of an e-discovery rule is
mediated by the average payment in that state for a medical case for each
of these claims classes. To ensure comparability, we use a state-specific
mean standardized and centered measure of the average payment data.11
The average size of claims that are associated with practices that might be
related to EMRs has a statistically significant negative interaction with the
presence of a law. The sizes of the estimates imply that increasing the value
of EMR-related claims from its mean to a value 1 SD above the mean
increases the e-discovery coefficient by ^50% (from -0.214 to -0.325). In
contrast, unrelated claims have statistically insignificant effects on the
estimated impact of an e-discovery law. This suggests that when a hospital
is in a state where there are large medical malpractice payouts for lawsuits
that would be documented by EMRs, a rule facilitating e-discovery would
be incrementally negatively correlated with adoption. These separate ef-
fects are confirmed in Column (3) where a single model is estimated with
both types of payouts and interactions. As pointed out by Ai and Norton
(2003), care is needed when evaluating the significance of interaction terms
in nonlinear models. Results from a linear probability model, however, are
reassuringly similar.
Column (1) of Table 6 reports both a positive correlation between mal-
practice payments and adoption of EMRs in that Column and a negative
estimate of the effect of the interaction between e-discovery rules and
malpractice payments. Though this is just a correlation that may be sub-
ject to the usual confounds, one interpretation is that having an EMR
system in place can be an advantage for hospitals in documenting their
compliance with standard practices. However, this benefit is eliminated
when e-discovery rules put all electronic information by default in the
hands of the plaintiffs.
In Columns (2) and (3) of Table 6, the interaction terms between
e-discovery rules and other types of malpractice payments are statistically
insignificant. However, consistent with the relationship in Column (1),
there is a positive relationship between EMR adoption and malpractice
cases stemming from allegations that might have been prevented by EMRs
in Column (3). For unrelated allegations, there is no such association.
1 1 . We created the re-scaled variables by subtracting out the average payment amount in
the state over the entire sample period and then dividing by the state-specific standard devi-
ation across all payments in the sample period.
All estimates in this table are from models that include the full set of s
set of hospital, state, and tort law control variables (listed in Table 4
the state level. *p<0.10, **p< 0.05, ***p< 0.01.
All estimates in this table are from models that include the full set of
set of hospital, state, and tort law control variables (listed in Table
the state level. "p< 0.05, ***p< 0.01.
6. Conclusion
This article documents how the presence of state e-discovery laws affects
the adoption of EMRs. On the one hand, it seemed possible that the use of
electronic records might facilitate a hospital's defense, by providing a
broader and more robust standard of documentation. On the other
hand, it seemed possible that the increase in the breadth of evidence and
the possibility of "data-mining" by the plaintiff's lawyers might increase
hospitals' perception of the potential for negative consequences of elec-
tronic medical data being used in the court.
Our empirical analysis suggests that state rules that clarify the use of
electronic evidence in discovery are associated with a one-third decrease in
adoption of EMRs by hospitals. The implication of this finding is that
there may be previously ignored welfare effects from the risk and expected
cost of litigation on the spread of certain new technologies that store
electronic data. Although we have focused on the adoption of health
IT, this deterrence effect may be present in other sectors of the economy
where companies make choices about converting records from paper to
electronic methods of storage.
There has been a substantial federal push to ensure widespread adop-
tion of EMRs, providing financial incentives of approximately $44,000 per
physician under the 2009 HITECH Act. However, such policies have as of
yet not addressed this issue of the potential use of electronic data in mal-
practice cases when designing incentives. Our research suggests that hos-
pitals' concerns about the use of electronic data in malpractice cases may
limit the effectiveness of such financial subsidies. If the efforts to promote
adoption of EMRs are to be effective, they should be coupled with efforts
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Appendix A
No rule Rule
Mean (SD) Mean (SD)
All estimates in this table are from models that include the full s
set of hospital, state, and tort law control variables (listed in
eses. *p<0.10, **p< 0.05, ***p<0.01.