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Comparison of Analytical and Numerical Water Influx Models in Bottom Water Reservoir
Comparison of Analytical and Numerical Water Influx Models in Bottom Water Reservoir
Brantson, E.T., Osei, H., Madubuike, I. C., Fuseini, I. N., Domeh, M. E. and Amoah, A. A. (2020), “Comparison
of Analytical and Numerical Water Influx Models in Bottom Water Reservoir”, Proceedings of 6th UMaT
Biennial International Mining and Mineral Conference, Tarkwa, Ghana, pp. 180-190.
Abstract
Almost all hydrocarbon reservoirs are bounded by water-bearing rocks called aquifers. In reservoir modelling and simulation,
there are more uncertainties attached to aquifer modelling than any other subject. Water influx models are mathematical models
that help to simulate and predict aquifer performance. In the quest to analyse the cumulative water influx in a bottom-water
drive reservoir for an analytical and a numerical model, the following water influx models were used in both cases: Van
Everdingen-Hurst model, Carter Tracy model and Fetkovich model. The analytical approach was programmed in MATLAB
while the numerical approach was achieved by using specific keywords in the ECLIPSE 100 software. The Van Everdingen
model is not found in the ECLIPSE 100 software, therefore, the Carter Tracy model which is an approximation of Van
Everdingen model, was used for the comparison since it can be modelled using the ECLIPSE 100 software. After the
cumulative water influx of all the models for both cases (analytical and numerical) were calculated, the numerical approach
yielded more realistic field results because of the degree of heterogeneity of the parameters – porosity and permeability
incorporated into the modelling process. For Carter Tracy model, the results obtained from the numerical and analytical
approach after a production period of 720 days appeared to be identical with minimal approximation error. With the Fetkovich
model, there was a considerable difference in approximation error between the results from the two approaches after the same
period of production of 720 days, but after 1460 days of production, the results of the two methods (analytical and numerical)
became identical with minimal approximation error.
Keywords: Water Influx, Analytical Aquifer Modelling, Numerical Modelling, Bottom Water Reservoir
180
essential to match historical reservoir performance 1.1.1 Gridded (Numerical) Aquifer Models
data in order to evaluate constants that represent
aquifer properties when modelling the aquifer, since At the beginning of a simulation project, unlike the
these are rarely known from exploration- geological and petro-physical properties of the
development drilling with sufficient accuracy for productive zones, that of the aquifer is usually
direct application. However, an alternative approach unknown. This is then determined by matching the
in determining historical water influx is the use of reservoir pressure in order to estimate the size, the
material balance equation (McEwen, 1962). This porosity, the permeability and their distributions
approach is feasible if the original oil in place is around the productive area. In the absence of other
known from pore volume estimates. Future water possibility, the aquifer is regarded isotropic in areal
influx can then be predicted from the constants extension, i.e. the permeability is independent of its
evaluated from the material balance equation. Both direction. The history matching process (Abraham,
past and recent studies indicate little comprehensive 2009) involves resizing and parameterisation of the
work done in comparing analytical and numerical aquifer without changing its productive areas in
water influx models. This component is key in order to have the detailed model of the aquifer.
evaluating the effectiveness and accuracy of the
1.1.2 Analytical Aquifer Modelling
existing water influx models. In this regard, this
work seeks to compare the analytical water influx To establish aquifer models, two different
models to numerical simulation (Eclipse) for approaches can be used, the first approach entails
forecasting future water influx in bottom water establishing a model based on idealized
reservoirs taking into consideration water influx mathematical models, and these models are
models. idealized as long as they assume homogeneous
reservoir properties like uniform porosity,
A survey of literature shows that a tremendous
permeability, etc. But these models are also
amount of research has been conducted on water
idealized in another way, regarding the reservoir and
influx in oil reservoirs. As a result, several models
flow geometry. This idealization is expressed either
have been proposed to estimate water influx based
by radial or linear models. The second approach is
on assumptions on the aquifer properties. However,
to develop aquifer behaviour models that are based
these water influx models have barely been
on a direct integration of field data. This approach
compared to pinpoint the variations amongst them,
leads to models without idealized assumptions
hence, this research sought to evaluate these
regarding homogeneities and geometries. In 1936
disparities.
Schilthuis published a model according to the first
1.1 Modelling the Water Inflow into a approach described above. Schilthuis developed a
model for steady-state water influx behaviour, this
Reservoir
means that this model is applicable if the aquifer is
Reservoirs normally have aquifers which provide of such an extent that water influx to the reservoir
pressure support to the reservoir (Maganga, 2017). does not alter the aquifer pressure observably. This
The reservoir and the aquifer form a hydraulic would correspond to an aquifer of infinite
system and a pressure decline accompanying dimensions since the size of an aquifer is usually
production results in water encroachment into these limited, the method is only applicable in a few cases.
reservoirs. The importance of this water movement
is derived from the significant dependence of 2 Resources and Methods
production rate on reservoir pressure, which in turn
depends on the rate of encroaching water. For this 2.1 Introduction
reason, a successful simulation study is only
The current reservoir characterisation, modelling,
possible if the complete system, reservoir and
advanced well logging and interpretation methods,
aquifer, is taken into consideration and not only the
including production surveying and monitoring
hydrocarbon bearing part. Fundamentally there are
systems deliver more detailed information about the
two possibilities to model the water inflow into a
reservoir in context. The improvement in quality and
reservoir. These are, representing the aquifer by a
quantity of data generally reduces the attempt of the
grid (numerical) model, and using analytical
same process, but all of these methods usually are
models.
Water influx models are mathematical models that 2.2.1 Van Everdingen-Hurst Unsteady-State
simulate and predict cumulative water influx into the
Van Everdingen and Hurst (1949) developed
reservoir. However, all these models are developed
solutions to the dimensionless diffusivity equation
based on assumptions of the aquifer properties. For
for two reservoir-aquifer boundary conditions.
the scope of this project, the water influx models
These are the constant terminal rate, and the constant
considered under study include the Van Everdingen-
terminal pressure. The constant-terminal-rate
Hurst unsteady-state model, the Carter-Tracy
boundary condition is such that, the rate of water
unsteady-state model and Fetkovich model. Table 1
influx is assumed constant for a given period and the
presents the input parameters used in the
pressure drop at the reservoir-aquifer boundary is
computations of both the analytical and numerical
calculated. For the constant-terminal-pressure
models in MATLAB and ECLIPSE 100,
boundary condition, the boundary pressure is
respectively. The same reservoir data is used for
assumed to be constant over a specified period while
both numerical and analytical models because the
the water influx rate is calculated.
project seeks to compare the behaviour of water
influx under the same set of reservoir conditions. This model considers the edge-water-drive system
(radial), bottom-water-drive system and linear-flow
Table 1. Input Parameters for the Analytical
systems. The radial model describes a reservoir as a
and Numerical Computations
cylindrical object which is surrounded by an aquifer.
Parameter Values Units
Radius, ra (aquifer) ∞ ft
Height, h (reservoir) 20 ft
Height, h (aquifer) 25 ft
Permeability, k 50 mD
(reservoir)
Permeability, k 100 mD
(aquifer)
Porosity, φ (aquifer) 20 % The Van Everdingen and Hurst model is the most
sophisticated amongst these models. However, it is
Viscosity, μw 0.5 cP realistic but cumbersome in nature. Charts or labels
(reservoir) had to be consulted repeatedly to execute a single
calculation. Carter-Tracy and Fetkovich later
Viscosity, μw 0.8 cP proposed models which were devoid of charts and
(aquifer) tables. These models, however, are only
approximations to and simplifications of the Van
pi-p 10 psi Everdingen and Hurst model.
With the water influx constant, B (bbl/psi) is Carter and Tracy (1960) proposed a much simpler
represented in equation (2) as: calculation technique that does not require
superposition. The author’s method allows for direct
B 1.119ct re h
2 alculation of water influx. The main difference
(2)
between the Van Everdingen-Hurst technique and
Where, We = cumulative water influx, bbl the Carter Tracy’s technique is that the latter
assumes constant water influx rates over each finite
B = water influx constant, bbl/psi time interval. For the Carter-Tracy technique, the
cumulative water influx at any time tn can be
p = pressure drop at the boundary, psi calculated directly from the previous value obtained
at tn - 1, as shown in equation (6):
WeD
= dimensionless water influx B p'
W W
e n e n 1
t t p W
D n D n 1
n
e n 1
D n (6)
Bottom-Water Drive p D nt p '
D n 1 D n
Van Everdingen-Hurst also proposed a solution to Where, B = the van Everdingen-Hurst water influx
the radial diffusivity equation. This solution constant as defined by equation (2)
however, is the most rigorous amongst them all. The
flow vectors for this model is predominantly vertical t D = dimensionless time
with its water encroachment occurring across a
horizontal circular plane representing the oil/water n = current time step
contact. The diffusivity equation is then modified to
n - 1= previous time step
account for the vertical flow by adding another term
in the equation to give equation (3).
ΔPn = total pressure drop, pi p n psi
p 1 p
2
p c p
2
Fk 2 (3) p D = dimensionless pressure
r 2
r r z k t
p D = dimensionless pressure derivative
Where Fk is the vertical to horizontal permeability,
or;
Wei jp t
We pi p r exp i (13)
The dimensionless pressure derivative can then be
pi Wei
approximated as equation (8):
Where, We = cumulative water influx, bbl
E
p D (8) p r = reservoir pressure
F
t = time, days
Where,
E 716.441 46.7984 (t D ) 0.5 270.038 t D Since Equation (13) was derived for a constant inner
(9)
71.0098 (t D ) 1.5 boundary pressure, it tends to have no practical
applications. Nonetheless, a superposition technique
can be applied in order to use it for a continuously
F 1296.86 (t D )0.5 1204.73 t D 618.618
varying boundary pressure. In place of the
(t D )1.5 538.072 (t D ) 2 142.41 (t D ) 2.5 (10) superposition method, Fetkovich’s method can be
used. This method suggests that, the pressure history
Therefore, when tD > 100, PD is approximated by at the reservoir boundary can be divided into a finite
equation (11): number of time intervals. And each incremental
water influx during the nth interval is given as
equation (14):
pD ln t D 0.80907
0.5 (11)
jpi tn (14)
We n
Wei
Pa n1 Pr n 1 exp
Pi Wei
And the derivative as given by:
(W )
It should be noted that the Carter-Tracy method is
( p a ) n 1 p i 1 e n 1 (15)
not an exact solution to the diffusivity equation and
Wei
should be considered as an approximation.