2023 MLB

betting guide
VSiN SeasonPrep Featuring:
• Season predictions from VSiN experts
• Steve Makinen’s Power Ratings
• Situational Betting Trends
Contents
3
Steve Makinen’s 2023 MLB Strength Ratings

4
New York Yankees 2023 Season Preview

7
How New MLB Rules Will Impact Betting

9
The Best Situational Records for Every Team in Baseball

Steve Makinen’s
Strength Ratings Explained
Within this publication you will find references to four sets of Strength Ratings: Team PR, Effective Runs,
Starting Pitching and Bullpen. Here is an explanation of each:
• The Team Power Ratings (PR) are my own manually adjusted ratings updated after every game based
upon analysis of live action and box scores.
• The Effective Runs are purely statistical ratings, using the teams’ key stats against schedule strength and
their previous opponents’ averages. These are also adjusted for any key injuries the team had endured or
faced against.
• The starting pitcher rankings are a combination of each of the current pitchers in that team’s rotation.
Players are replaced when designated with lengthy injuries.
• The bullpen ratings are a collective analysis of the entire relief staff, again with an emphasis on both talent
and performance.

VSIN STAFF/CONTRIBUTORS
DATABASE MANAGER: Jason Latus
LAYOUT AND DESIGN: Matt Devine
VP OF DIGITAL CONTENT: Ben Fawkes
EDITOR: Mike Dolan
WRITERS: Adam Burke and Steve Makinen
photos by USA Today Sports Images

ODDS WITHIN GUIDE ARE FROM DRAFTKINGS AS OF

MARCH 6, 2023 AND ARE SUBJECT TO CHANGE.

2
Steve Makinen’s
2023 MLB Strength Ratings EFFECTIVE STARTING
TEAM DIVISION TEAM PR RANK RUNS RANK PITCHING RANK BULLPEN RANK

HOUSTON A.L. WEST -48 1 4.82 2 22 9 21 2

NY YANKEES A.L. EAST -42 2 4.7 3 22.5 6 12 10

ATLANTA N.L. EAST -40 3 4.64 5 24.8 5 20 3

SAN DIEGO N.L. WEST -40 4 4.62 6 13.9 16 10 12

LA DODGERS N.L. WEST -38 5 4.85 1 36.8 1 22 1

TORONTO A.L. EAST -37 6 4.65 4 19.8 13 4 17

NY METS N.L. EAST -37 7 4.54 9 36.1 2 15 6

ST LOUIS N.L. CENTRAL -33 8 4.56 7 11.7 19 9 13

PHILADELPHIA N.L. EAST -33 9 4.55 8 22.2 8 7 15

SEATTLE A.L. WEST -30 10 4.45 11 20.3 11 16 5

MINNESOTA A.L. CENTRAL -27 11 4.42 12 18.6 14 14 8
CLEVELAND A.L. CENTRAL -27 12 4.28 19 16.7 15 20 4
TAMPA BAY A.L. EAST -26 13 4.28 20 20 12 15 7
BALTIMORE A.L. EAST -24 14 4.38 14 3 23 2 19
LA ANGELS A.L. WEST -23 15 4.42 13 22.5 7 -6 26
CHI WHITE SOX A.L. CENTRAL -23 16 4.37 15 21.6 10 3 18
BOSTON A.L. EAST -22 17 4.48 10 3.7 22 14 9
MILWAUKEE N.L. CENTRAL -20 18 4.36 16 33 3 8 14
CHICAGO CUBS N.L. CENTRAL -18 19 4.32 17 8.9 21 -7 27
ARIZONA N.L. WEST -18 20 4.3 18 13 17 1 20
SAN FRANCISCO N.L. WEST -16 21 4.28 21 9.3 20 5 16
TEXAS A.L. WEST -15 22 4.25 22 31.8 4 -3 24
KANSAS CITY A.L. CENTRAL -13 23 4.25 23 0.6 24 -1 21
COLORADO N.L. WEST -13 24 4.21 24 -6.6 27 -2 22
MIAMI N.L. EAST -10 25 4.08 27 12.7 18 12 11
DETROIT A.L. CENTRAL -8 26 4.08 28 -0.5 25 -2 23
WASHINGTON N.L. EAST -6 27 4.15 25 -7.3 29 -11 30
PITTSBURGH N.L. CENTRAL -6 28 4.05 29 -6.9 28 -7 28
CINCINNATI N.L. CENTRAL 0 29 4.15 26 -5.1 26 -9 29
OAKLAND A.L. WEST 4 30 4.02 30 -8.8 30 -4 25

3
New York Yankees
2023 Season
Preview
By Adam Burke
We’ve
known for a long
time that there have been,
ahem, inconsistencies with the
baseballs used in the Major Leagues.
There was the jumpy, super-juiced ball of
2019, in which the Seattle Mariners’ 1997
record of 264 homers was topped by FOUR
teams, including the Yankees, who finished second with 306.

Then there was the dead ball season of 2022, in which we saw the lowest batting average
(.243) since 1968 and the lowest slugging percentage (.395) since 2014. Mysteriously, the dead
ball didn’t stop Aaron Judge from setting a new American League record for home runs, busting
Roger Maris’s record of 61 in ‘61 with 62 round-trippers. The Yankees also hit 254 homers as a
team, 11 more than the Braves and 35 more than the third-place Brewers.

An Insider investigation authored by Bradford William Davis prominently featured astrophysicist

Dr. Meredith Wills, who has been studying baseballs for the last several seasons, and the two
uncovered some interesting findings. Armed with existing data that suggested that there was a
change to the baseball around mid-May that led to more offense and more home runs, it was
clear that at least two different baseballs were used during the season.

However, the research of Wills and the Insider crew found a third baseball, nicknamed
“Goldilocks”. A disproportionate amount of these balls were used in the playoffs and also in
Yankees games.

The Yankees didn’t need help - and MLB vehemently denies the results of the study. They were
a good team regardless and would have likely been a division champion and a World Series
contender without the boosted balls. They were on an historic pace at 70-34 through 104
games, but went just 29-29 over the final 58 games, when most of the balls were said to be in
use.

New York has had 10 straight postseason appearances without an AL Pennant,

let alone a World Series ring. In hopes of ending that streak, the Yankees

2023 Odds won the Judge sweepstakes to keep him in pinstripes and signed
Carlos Rodon to bolster the rotation. Will that be enough to
reach this season’s high expectations?

Explanations of the stats used in this preview

can be found in my “MLB Stats to
World Series: +750 Know” article.
AL Pennant: +360
AL East: +110
Win Total: 94.5 (100/-120)
Make Playoffs: Yes -425 / No +340

4
NEW YORK YANKEES OFFENSE (Author’s note: Carlos Rodon was shut down for 7-10 days with a forearm
strain on Mar. 9 and will miss some time)

This offense was about more than just power. The Yankees led the big
leagues in BB% and were one of eight teams with over 100 stolen bases,
which could have a huge carryover effect into 2023 with the pitch clock
and bigger bases. Their 115 wRC+ was fourth, though Judge had a lot to
do with all of the production. He had an obscene 207 wRC+, which means
he was over two times more productive than the average MLB hitter with a
.311/.425/.686 slash line and a .458 wOBA.
Rodon has had far and away the two best seasons of his career in the last
two years. Over his last 55 starts, Rodon owns a 2.67 ERA with a 2.42 FIP
and a ridiculous K% of 33.9% while accumulating 11.3 fWAR over 310.2
innings of work. However, Rodon pitched just 232.1 MLB innings from 2017-
20. Concerns about his injury history limited his market going into the 2022
season when he signed with the Giants for two years, $44 million with an
opt-out after the first year.

Matt Carpenter’s insane 47-game run led to a 217 wRC+ when he hit 15
homers in 154 plate appearances. Other than that, though, supplemental
production was hit or miss. Giancarlo Stanton and Anthony Rizzo combined
for 63 homers and the Yankees will have both guys back in the fold once
again. DJ LeMahieu ultimately wound up with a solid season overall, but he
went from a 132 wRC+ in the first half to an 86 wRC+ in the second half.
Gleyber Torres did a similar, albeit less drastic, thing with a 129 wRC+ in the
first half and a 99 wRC+ in the second half.
The baseline for the Yankees offense is typically really solid, which happens
as a powerful and potent lineup in a ballpark conducive to hitting for power,
but the ceiling is different this season because of an infusion of young talent.
Oswald Peraza and Oswaldo Cabrera should factor heavily in the plans
and will be tremendous safety nets for a Yankees roster with a bunch of
players on the wrong side of 30.
Peraza could start from Day 1 at shortstop and he had a nice
.306/.404/.429 slash in his 57 plate appearances late in the regular
season. He’s hit pretty consistently in the minors and also had 35 stolen
bases between Triple-A and MLB last season. Cabrera hit 15 homers across
three levels last season, but hit 29 across Double-A and Triple-A in 2021.
He, too, debuted last season and had a .247/.312/.429 slash in 171 plate
appearances.
Rodon exercised that opt-out after throwing a career-best 178 innings. In
a vacuum, Rodon’s troubling medical file is a concern, but the context of
this rotation puts it front and center. Domingo German was suspended for
a domestic violence incident and his 2022 got off to a late start, but he’s
only exceeded 100 innings one time in five seasons at the MLB level. Luis
Severino threw 18 innings from 2019-21 before throwing 102 innings last
season. He missed more than two months from July 13 to September 21.
Along with those concerns, Frankie Montas is already out with labrum
surgery in his pitching shoulder. He’s likely to miss the entire season, so
that trade hasn’t quite worked out as hoped. The Yankees are stretching
out Clarke Schmidt to be rotation insurance, which I don’t hate, to be
honest. I think he has some upside after posting a 3.12 ERA and a 3.60
FIP in 57.2 innings last season. I also haven’t given up on Deivi Garcia yet.
The Yankees also have the prospect currency to be buyers at the Trade
Deadline again.
Cole remains one of the game’s top hurlers, despite the Yankees fan
base will tell you about last season’s performance, and Nestor Cortes
emerged as one of the game’s top left-handed starters. But, those two
guys might end up having a lot of burden to carry. Of course, Rodon may
continue to stay healthy and Severino may put his litany of issues behind
him as well.

The Yankees continue to spend their fair share of money, but GM

Brian Cashman has really emphasized trying to develop from within.
Sometimes it is easier to graduate players from your own system
instead of trying to mold and shape trade acquisitions and free
agents to fit into the philosophy you are trying to live by. That’s one
of the many reasons why the Yankees have held onto 21-year-old
Anthony Volpe, who will debut this season after finishing last
year at Triple-A. He’s +1100 to win AL Rookie of the Year and Aaron Judge
is having a fine spring. He may even beat Peraza out for the
starting shortstop role.

In bringing back Rizzo and Judge, the Yankees have two

cornerstones and still have Stanton, who probably makes the
most violent contact of any hitter all-time when he puts the
barrel to the ball. Mix in proven veterans like Torres, Josh
Donaldson and playoff hero Harrison Bader (great glove,
mauls LHP) with the youngsters like Volpe, Peraza and
Cabrera and there is a ton to like about this lineup. Sour
grapes aside about the baseballs and the playoffs as a
Guardians fan, it’s hard to see the Yankees performing
much below last season’s numbers, even accounting for
regression from Judge off of a career year.

Health will always be the question, though. In a highly

competitive division with a right-handed-heavy lineup
that is susceptible to striking out against above average
or better righties, the Yankees will need all hands on
deck as often as possible to reach lofty expectations.

NEW YORK YANKEES PITCHING

Money doesn’t always buy talent, but one thing
it absolutely does is give a team the ability to
embrace risk. The risk was low when the Yankees
signed Gerrit Cole prior to the 2020 season.
The risk is decidedly higher with the signing of
Carlos Rodon prior to the 2023 season. Rodon
signed a six-year, $162 million deal in mid-
December and I genuinely don’t know how
this is going to play out.
Cortes got better as the season went along and only allowed three home
runs over his final 62.2 innings of work while not sacrificing anything
across his other metrics. Cole did struggle in the home run department in
the second half with 16 dingers allowed and a 17.4% HR/FB%, but his
K% improved and his BB% got better, so I would chalk that up to some
unwanted variance more than anything.
New York also had a top-five bullpen by fWAR with a 2.97 ERA and a 3.35
FIP. All of the same faces are back, but Tommy Kahnle is back for his second
go-round as a Yank (and he’s already hurt). Scott Effross was one of the
big Trade Deadline acquisitions for New York, but he missed a month from
mid-August to mid-September and ultimately needed Tommy John surgery.
Michael King was a shutdown reliever and primary setup man until he
fractured his elbow in July. He’s expected to be ready for Opening Day.
Everybody else is intact, though.
That means that this should be a very solid group once again. The Yankees
also loaded up on non-roster invites looking for some depth.
MISCELLANEOUS NOTES
You wouldn’t think about it, but the Yankees were actually an outstanding
defensive team last year. They led the Majors in defensive runs saved (DRS)
by 43 over the Dodgers and also led MLB in UZR/150 (Ultimate Zone
Rating per 150 chances), catcher framing runs and the FanGraphs’ all-
encompassing Def metric. They were fifth in Statcast’s Outs Above Average
metric.
Catcher Jose Trevino far and away led the league in framing runs, Def and
DRS. Despite Trevino’s greatness in the crouch (and solid defensive numbers
from Kyle Higashioka), the Yankees were only 12th in K% and 24th in
BB%. Rodon led MLB in K% among qualified starters last season and Cole
was third, so we could definitely see the K% go up, but I thought that was
interesting.
6
PLAYER TO WATCH
SP Gerrit Cole: I tried to figure out why there was an uptick in home runs
for Cole, specifically in the second half of the season. For the full season,
there were no noticeable changes in things like Pull%, Hard Hit%, Barrel%,
FB%. In fact, his Pull% actually decreased in the second half, but his HR rate
skyrocketed in September. I guess generically saying “fastball command”
is fair, since 6/10 HR were hit on fastballs, but that was his highest month
by Whiff% of the final three months of the season. It was tied for his lowest
month by spin rate (which did decrease each month over the course of
the season), so maybe that was it. I think part of it may have been the
aforementioned Goldilocks balls. It could’ve also been an underlying injury
or some wear and tear. I think he’ll be just fine given his rate stats and the
Statcast metrics, but bettors are sure to think twice about laying big numbers
with him.
NEW YORK YANKEES WIN TOTAL PICK
As a general rule, I don’t mess with the extreme win total numbers. I
typically won’t bet overs for teams in the mid-to-upper 90s or unders for
teams in the 60s. There simply isn’t a whole lot of margin for error with
those types of win total odds because health is often the determining factor.
If the Yankees stay healthy, they should win over 100 games again. If they
don’t, they could certainly end up in the upper 80s in a tough division. It all
depends where the injuries are.
That being said, this is a team that has a lot of offensive depth and more
guys are coming. If Volpe doesn’t make the Opening Day roster, he’ll
be up soon and OF Jasson Dominguez won’t be far behind. Peraza and
Cabrera are already at the MLB level and ready to make an impact. Pitching
injuries are what concern me. The depth in the upper minors isn’t as strong
there and there are already some injuries and other risks. As currently
constructed, this is the best team on paper in the AL, so I’d lean over as
opposed to under, but I don’t see a lot of value on the win total of 94.5.
LEAN: OVER 94.5
get all 29 other
team previews at
vsin.com/mlb
 How New
MLB Rules
Will
Impact
Betting By Adam Burke

Major League Baseball is going to look

a lot different in 2023. A handful of rule
changes are likely to have a significant
impact on betting the game. At least
with these – unlike the baseball, which
changes from season to season – we
know what they are and they are well-
defined. Players got a crash course in
how they would be implemented and
enforced in Spring Training and the data
was rather eye-opening.

The three main rule changes are the pitch

clock, bigger bases and a ban on infield
shifts. I’ll break these down one by one
to look at the data from Spring Training
and the potential impact for bettors.
7
PITCH CLOCK
• Pitchers are required to start their pitching
motions within 15 seconds with nobody on
base and 20 seconds with men on base
• The batter must be ready and looking at the
pitcher with 8 seconds on the clock
• Pitchers are allowed two “disengagements”
and batters are allowed one timeout (the
number of disengagements resets if a
runner advances to another base; a third
•
disengagement is considered a balk)
The penalty is an automatic strike or an
automatic ball depending on the offending
party
Rob Manfred’s biggest goal as MLB
Commissioner has been to speed up the game,
and these rule changes have absolutely done
that. I couldn’t find a more recent tweet update,
but as of March 8, Spring Training games
were about 24 minutes shorter (2:37) than last
season’s exhibition affairs (3:01). Regular season
games averaged 3:11 last season.
From a betting standpoint, there is a lot to unpack
here. Obviously, a ball or a strike in any given
plate appearance is a huge deal, so those could
be tremendously impactful. After a 1-0 count,
MLB hitters slashed .255/.371/.428 last season.
After a 0-1 count, they slashed .213/.258/.334,
so even a violation to begin a plate appearance
could be significant. Some of those will cancel
out, as both pitchers and hitters will be guilty of
infractions, especially early in the season.
The bigger one to me is actually the
“disengagements” rule. Pitchers can only step off
or throw over twice in a given plate appearance,
which makes it really hard to hold runners.
Furthermore, a baserunner can peek at the clock
and time up a pitcher perfectly because the
penalty is a ball and a stoppage in play anyway.
In Spring Training, we did see a major increase
in stolen base attempts and about a 6% increase
in successful stolen bases year over year. Last
year, there were 811 caught stealings out of
3,297 attempts, so base stealers were successful
75% of the time; in Spring Training, we’ve seen
an 81% success rate.
There are some caveats to this – some of the
better catchers have been playing in the World
Baseball Classic (WBC) or haven’t played a
lot of innings, and a lot of minor leaguers with
great speed who lack other tools are trying to
make an impact and make a team – but, it does
appear that the stolen base success rate will go
up league-wide with pitchers unable to control
the running game.
In theory, all teams should be more aggressive,
but the teams with the most stolen bases last
season were the Rangers, Marlins, Guardians,
Cubs, Phillies, Diamondbacks, Royals and
Yankees, who all had 102 or more. The Twins,
Rockies, Tigers, Padres, Red Sox, Reds and
White Sox all had 58 or fewer steals.
Catchers had 191 throwing errors last season
(not all on stolen base attempts). I’d assume this
number goes up with more hurried throws, so
there could be some extra bases taken in that
regard. Catchers will also try to throw behind
runners more in hopes of keeping them close.
I’m also speculating here – and it’s hard to use
the Spring Training data to confirm or debunk my
theory – but I think pitch velocity will be down
overall this season. Pitchers have less recovery
time between pitches and may be less likely to
throw with max effort. I also think the pitch clock
will be a much bigger issue for relievers, who are
generally slower than starters. They also throw
harder on the whole.
BIGGER BASES
• Bases went from 15 square inches to 18
square inches
There could be a very modest correlation
between the successful stolen base rate and the
bigger bases, but this was primarily a decision
based on the safety of the players. The distance
between first, second and third base is about
4.5 inches shorter. It is three inches shorter from
home plate to first base or third base to home
plate.
Home plate remains the same size.
SHIFT BAN
• Two infielders must be on each side of
second base
• All four infielders must be on the dirt when
the pitcher is on the pitching rubber
• Infielders cannot switch sides (i.e, make the
third baseman play second base and the
second baseman play third against a left-
handed batter)
• If the infielders are not aligned at the time
of the pitch, the batting team can choose an
automatic ball or the result of the play
So, this is the big one and the one that has been
analyzed the most by baseball scribes. It is not
nearly as cut and dry as looking at last season’s
batted balls to see how many hits a batter had
taken away. This is going to completely change
the mindset of a batter, particularly a left-handed
batter who pulls the ball a lot.
On Mar. 19, @CodifyBaseball had a tweet that
batting average was down one point, on-base
percentage was up eight points and slugging
percentage was down 18 points from the
previous Spring Training. Singles were up 3% on
a per-game basis, while home runs were down
14% on a per-game basis. Keep in mind, though,
that a lot of elite hitters have been playing in the
World Baseball Classic. (Stolen bases, by the
way, were up 60% on a per-game basis)
Tom Tango, one of the most respected analysts
in baseball, had a Mar. 17 tweet that the Spring
Training batting average on balls in play (BABIP)
was .320; from 2006-2022, the ST BABIP
averaged .312, with a high of .318 and a low of
.305. Spring Training comes with a grain of salt
with pitchers working on things, lesser fielders,
etc., but that seems to line up with the increase
in singles from the other tweet. Also, home runs
don’t count towards BABIP because they are
not balls in play (nobody can field them), so we
are seeing a big increase in balls in play and an
increase in BABIP.
8
The tweet that really got a lot of run was from
ESPN’s Jeff Passan on Mar. 9 when he noted that
BABIP on ground balls was up 23 points year
over year in Spring Training. It was .235 in 2022
and .258 at the time of Passan’s tweet in 2023.
Another CodifyBaseball tweet on Mar. 20 noted
that the BABIP for left-handed batters this spring
was .329—a direct impact of the shift ban. That
was up 15 points from last year. Righties saw a
two-point increase in BABIP from .311 to .313.
Last regular season, the league batting average
was .243 with a BABIP of .290. Left-handed
batters hit .245 with a BABIP of .294. However,
using Baseball Savant (Statcast) search results,
lefties had a batting average of just .226 on
grounders. That number will undoubtedly go up
this season.
From a betting standpoint, I’m curious to see how
this all plays out. Without a shift, lefties won’t
shy away from pulling the ball, but they may be
less likely to hit the ball in the air over the shift.
The increase in singles with a decrease in home
runs makes some sense based on the mindset and
psychological approach for a hitter in a post-shift
world. We may have more baserunners, but
could ultimately end up without a big increase in
offense.
MLB had a batting average problem. In the era
of rising strikeout rates (though K% actually
decreased for the second straight year), the
last three years (.243, .244, .245 dating back
to 2020) represent the lowest batting averages
since the 1960s. Hitters only struck out about
16% of the time back then. Now they strike out
22-23% of the time.
In a lot of ways, we have to take something of a
wait-and-see approach. Some of the best hitters
have been playing in the WBC. The offensive
environments in Florida and Arizona are typically
conducive to offense, though it has been a little
cooler than normal in AZ.
One thing we do know for sure is that teams that
don’t strike out should greatly benefit from all
of the new rules, so teams like the Guardians,
Astros, Mets, Cardinals and Blue Jays should
be helped, while teams like the Angels, Pirates,
Tigers, and Marlins could be negatively
impacted. In some respects, I think the rule
changes absolutely make the rich richer, so to
speak. They disproportionately benefit the good
teams with the best hitters and the best fielders,
so we could see an even more defined chasm
between the haves and have-nots.
I’ll be looking for some concrete regular season
data, but that will take some time. For now, I’ll
handicap based on these three suspicions:
1. More stolen bases will be attempted and more
attempts will be successful
2. Singles and the number of baserunners will
increase
3. Fly ball pitchers won’t be as affected as
ground ball pitchers and I will try to bet on more
of those
It will be a learning curve for both bettors and
bookmakers, but I’ll be tracking as much of the
data as I can with my baseball work throughout
the season – and hopefully, we can pick up on
some things before the betting markets and the
sportsbooks do.
The Best Situational
Records for Every
Team in Baseball
By Steve Makinen
We are nearing Opening Day of the 2023 Major League Baseball season,
so savvy baseball bettors rejoice. Those who bet this sport religiously know
it’s a long season, full of peaks and valleys, but they also have a firm
grasp on the tendencies of all 30 teams, where they perform at their best
and where they struggle the worst. After all, baseball is a heavy data and
routine drive game.
With that in mind, I thought I’d dig through my MLB database from recent
years and put together a library of sorts for baseball enthusiasts to start the
2023 campaign, pointing out some of the best and worst situational spots
that each team has compiled.
Knowing the general tendencies of teams can take a lot of the day-to-day
guesswork and chasing strategies that can devour less avid handicappers
over the long haul. All of the records shown are based on the last three
regular seasons and do not include playoffs. Keep in mind that the 2020
season only had 60 games as well.
However, before getting into the situational records for all the teams, here
are some of the bullet point highlights.
HEAD-TO-HEAD ANGLES
• The most dramatic head-to-head mismatch running in MLB right now
is Cincinnati vs. San Diego. The Padres have won 12 of the last 13
meetings since the start of the 2020 season. The two teams will renew
acquaintances in San Diego to open May and will close the month of
June in Cincinnati.
• Two other series’ that have proven to be one-sided are those
between division rivals Seattle and Texas as well as Philadelphia
and Washington. The Mariners are 35-13 (+19.76 units) over the last
three seasons versus the Rangers while the Phillies are 36-12 (+19.35)
against the Nationals during that same time frame. There will be plenty
of opportunities throughout the season to take advantage of these two
matchup angles starting May 8th in the Seattle-Texas set.
NEGATIVE ANGLES
• The worst R.O.I. situation over the last three seasons in all of baseball
has come with the Dodgers playing as a Road underdog. Los Angeles
is just 1-11 for -9.96 units in that span, for an R.O.I. of -83%.
• Another brutal line scenario for bettors over the last three seasons has
involved both Washington and Minnesota playing on Thursdays. The
Nationals have produced a record of just 9-31 on that day, winning
just 22.5% of those games and losing 18.02 units for backers while the
Twins have gone 13-26 (33.3%) producing 17.92 units of loss.
• The situation does not happen often as you’ll see from the record, but
the Padres have struggled in the Home underdog role, going just 10-25
(28.6%) for -13.18 units since the start of the 2020 season.
• Teams that have really struggled as Road chalk in MLB over the last
three seasons are Minnesota (-22.76 units), San Diego (-26.22 units), &
Philadelphia (-25.68 units).
9
• The worst division/league/interleague return on investment wager has
come with Pittsburgh when facing American League foes. The Pirates
are 17-43 in the matchup since ’20, producing -21.16 units for an R.O.I.
of -35.3%.
• Backing a struggling Yankees team has proven to be one of the worst
investments bettors can make. New York is 77-81 (48.7%) in the game
following a loss over the last three seasons. That has produced -38.16
units and an R.O.I. of -24.2%.
• The angle that has produced the biggest loss of any on this report has
been backing the Angels in night games over the last three seasons.
They are 117-147 (44.3%) in such contests for -40.84 units of loss and
an R.O.I. of -15.5%.
• Another peculiarly negative team tendency involves the Nationals
opening up a series, as they are just 41-80 in such games since ’20,
losing 29.55 units for bettors, an R.O.I. of -25.3%.
POSITIVE ANGLES
• The best R.O.I. situation over the last three seasons in all of baseball
has come with Baltimore playing on Mondays. The Orioles are 21-16
for +15.6 units in that span, for an R.O.I. of 42.2%. St. Louis boasts
an R.O.I. of 40.8% on Saturdays in that same time frame, a close
second.
• Another awesome line scenario for bettors over the last three seasons
has involved Detroit playing in interleague games. The Tigers have
produced a record of 33-25 in that scenario, winning 56.9% of those
games and producing 22.47 units of profit for backers.
• The Blue Jays have excelled in the Home underdog role, going 18-12
(60%) for +11.22 units since the start of the 2020 season, making for
an R.O.I. of 37.4%.
• Take note any time the Cardinals are in the middle game(s) of a series
against an opponent, as they’ve won these games at a 62.7% clip
since the start of the 2020 season, going 89-53 for +31.58 units of
profit.
• The best divisional return on investment wager has come with Tampa
Bay. When facing AL East opposition, the Rays have gone 120-72 since
’20, producing +40.86 units for an R.O.I. of 21.3%. In terms of sheer
volume, that team tendency has produced the single most units of profit
over the last three seasons.
• Two teams that have been extremely good when coming off of wins
have been the Rays and Giants. Tampa Bay is 143-82 (63.6%) for
+40.42 units of profit in that betting situation while the Giants are 130-
83 (61%) for +33.48 units, and an R.O.I. of 15.7%.
• There are two rare but highly successful line scenarios in which AL East
teams have produced in excess of 37% R.O.I. The first is the Yankees in
the Home underdog role, as they are 7-4 for 4.1 units (37.3%), while
the other is the Orioles in the Road chalk role, 7-3 over L3 seasons for
3.7 units (37% R.O.I.).
I’ll have plenty more of this type of analysis throughout the season but the
following Team-by-Team breakdown should help bettors get off to a strong
start. Mark your calendars accordingly. Teams are listed in alphabetical
order.
ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS
Better Home or Road?
1. Home: 91-104 (46.7%), -7.86 units, R.O.I. = -4%
2. Road: 63-126 (33.3%), -35.75 units, R.O.I. = -18.9%
Better day or night?
1. Day: 53-73 (42.1%), -9.81 units, R.O.I. = -7.8%
2. Night: 101-157 (39.1%), -33.8 units, R.O.I. = -13.1%
Best/worst day of the week?
1. Thursday: 20-17 (54.1%), +10.12 units, R.O.I. = +27.4%
2. Sunday: 22-42 (34.4%), -19.04 units, R.O.I. = -29.8%
Better after a win or loss?
1. After Win: 66-85 (43.7%), -7.67 units, R.O.I. = -5.1%
2. After Loss: 86-144 (37.4%), -37.15 units, R.O.I. = -16.2%
Top opponent matchup type?
1. Interleague: 28-32 (46.7%), -0.15 units, R.O.I. = -0.3%
2. League: 58-74 (43.9%), -4.7 units, R.O.I. = -3.6%
3. Division: 68-124 (35.4%), -38.76 units, R.O.I. = -20.2%
Best/worst game of series?
1. Opening Game: 53-70 (43.1%), -6.78 units, R.O.I. = -5.5%
2. Middle Game(s): 55-83 (39.9%), -13.32 units, R.O.I. = -9.7%
3. Series Finale: 46-77 (37.4%), -23.51 units, R.O.I. = -19.1%
Best/worst betting line scenario?
1. Road Favorite: 9-7 (56.3%), +0.2 units, R.O.I. = +1.3%
4. Road Dog: 54-116 (31.8%), -32.8 units, R.O.I. = -19.3%
Best/worst divisional opponent?
1. vs. SAN DIEGO: 20-28 (54.2%), +0.31 units, R.O.I. = +0.6%
4. vs. LA DODGERS: 10-38 (29.2%), -18.48 units, R.O.I. = -38.5%
Best/worst league opponent?
1. vs. PHILADELPHIA: 7-6 (76.9%), +4.55 units, R.O.I. = +35%
10. vs. ST LOUIS: 3-11 (21.4%), -7.1 units, R.O.I. = -50.7%
ATLANTA BRAVES
Better Home or Road?
1. Road: 108-82 (56.8%), +14.87 units, R.O.I. = +7.8%
2. Home: 118-75 (61.1%), +5.98 units, R.O.I. = +3.1%
Better day or night?
1. Night: 165-107 (60.7%), +25.67 units, R.O.I. = +9.4%
2. Day: 61-50 (55%), -4.82 units, R.O.I. = -4.3%
Best/worst day of the week?
1. Friday: 40-21 (65.6%), +15.76 units, R.O.I. = +25.8%
7. Monday: 18-20 (47.4%), -8.6 units, R.O.I. = -22.6%
Better after a win or loss?
1. After Loss: 97-58 (62.6%), +25.48 units, R.O.I. = +16.4%
2. After Win: 128-97 (56.9%), -2.93 units, R.O.I. = -1.3%
Top opponent matchup type?
1. Division: 119-73 (62%), +22.52 units, R.O.I. = +11.7%
2. League: 77-54 (58.8%), +5.77 units, R.O.I. = +4.4%
3. Interleague: 30-30 (50%), -7.44 units, R.O.I. = -12.4%
Best/worst game of series?
1. Middle Game(s): 89-50 (64%), +20.96 units, R.O.I. = +15.1%
2. Opening Game: 72-50 (59%), +7.58 units, R.O.I. = +6.2%
3. Series Finale: 65-56 (53.7%), -6.24 units, R.O.I. = -5.2%
Best/worst betting line scenario?
1. Road Favorite: 79-34 (69.9%), +28.86 units, R.O.I. = +25.5%
4. Road Dog: 25-44 (36.2%), -13.79 units, R.O.I. = -20%
Best/worst divisional opponent?
1. vs. PHILADELPHIA: 28-20 (68.8%), +7.6 units, R.O.I. = +15.8%
4. vs. NY METS: 27-21 (54.2%), +3.79 units, R.O.I. = +7.9%
Best/worst league opponent?
1. vs. PITTSBURGH: 11-3 (76.9%), +5.2 units, R.O.I. = +37.1%
10. vs. LA DODGERS: 4-8 (41.7%), -3.16 units, R.O.I. = -26.3%
10
BALTIMORE ORIOLES
Better Home or Road?
1. Road: 74-115 (39.2%), +4.59 units, R.O.I. = +2.4%
2. Home: 86-108 (44.3%), -5.62 units, R.O.I. = -2.9%
Better day or night?
1. Night: 114-136 (45.6%), +25.15 units, R.O.I. = +10.1%
2. Day: 47-87 (35.1%), -25.18 units, R.O.I. = -18.8%
Best/worst day of the week?
1. Monday: 21-16 (56.8%), +15.6 units, R.O.I. = +42.2%
7. Wednesday: 19-39 (32.8%), -16.51 units, R.O.I. = -28.5%
Better after a win or loss?
1. After Win: 72-88 (45%), +8.89 units, R.O.I. = +5.6%
2. After Loss: 89-132 (40.3%), -5.27 units, R.O.I. = -2.4%
Top opponent matchup type?
1. Interleague: 30-30 (50%), +8.79 units, R.O.I. = +14.7%
2. League: 62-70 (47%), +7.71 units, R.O.I. = +5.8%
3. Division: 69-123 (35.9%), -16.53 units, R.O.I. = -8.6%
Best/worst game of series?
1. Opening Game: 56-68 (45.2%), +9.89 units, R.O.I. = +8%
2. Series Finale: 53-68 (43.8%), +2.22 units, R.O.I. = +1.8%
3. Middle Game(s): 52-86 (37.7%), -11.14 units, R.O.I. = -8.1%
Best/worst betting line scenario?
1. Road Favorite: 7-3 (70%), +3.7 units, R.O.I. = +37%
4. Home Favorite: 22-24 (47.8%), -12.45 units, R.O.I. = -27.1%
Best/worst divisional opponent?
1. vs. NY YANKEES: 19-29 (37.5%), +4.22 units, R.O.I. = +8.8%
4. vs. TAMPA BAY: 14-34 (25%), -13.43 units, R.O.I. = -28%
Best/worst league opponent?
1. vs. TEXAS: 10-3 (41.7%), +8.45 units, R.O.I. = +65%
10. vs. DETROIT: 3-10 (16.7%), -9 units, R.O.I. = -69.2%
BOSTON RED SOX
Better Home or Road?
1. Road: 92-102 (47.4%), -2.91 units, R.O.I. = -1.5%
2. Home: 99-90 (52.4%), -8.82 units, R.O.I. = -4.7%
Better day or night?
1. Night: 132-131 (50.2%), -2.39 units, R.O.I. = -0.9%
2. Day: 59-62 (48.8%), -10.39 units, R.O.I. = -8.6%
Best/worst day of the week?
1. Friday: 38-24 (61.3%), +13.66 units, R.O.I. = +22%
7. Saturday: 30-35 (46.2%), -11.35 units, R.O.I. = -17.5%
Better after a win or loss?
1. After Win: 103-85 (54.8%), +8.05 units, R.O.I. = +4.3%
2. After Loss: 86-107 (44.6%), -22.38 units, R.O.I. = -11.6%
Top opponent matchup type?
1. Interleague: 35-25 (58.3%), +12.7 units, R.O.I. = +21.2%
2. League: 78-54 (59.1%), +12.65 units, R.O.I. = +9.6%
3. Division: 78-114 (40.6%), -38.13 units, R.O.I. = -19.9%
Best/worst game of series?
1. Opening Game: 66-57 (53.7%), +8.24 units, R.O.I. = +6.7%
2. Series Finale: 62-61 (50.4%), -0.07 units, R.O.I. = -0.1%
3. Middle Game(s): 62-75 (45.3%), -21.95 units, R.O.I. = -16%
Best/worst betting line scenario?
1. Home Favorite: 77-44 (63.6%), +11.74 units, R.O.I. = +9.7%
4. Home Dog: 18-43 (29.5%), -21.41 units, R.O.I. = -35.1%
Best/worst divisional opponent?
1. vs. BALTIMORE: 28-20 (62.5%), +0.02 units, R.O.I. = +0%
4. vs. TAMPA BAY: 15-33 (31.3%), -16.58 units, R.O.I. = -34.5%
Best/worst league opponent?
1. vs. SEATTLE: 10-4 (61.5%), +4.5 units, R.O.I. = +32.1%
10. vs. CHI WHITE SOX: 5-8 (30.8%), -3.36 units, R.O.I. = -25.8%
CHICAGO WHITE SOX
Better Home or Road?
1. Road: 100-85 (54.1%), +10.94 units, R.O.I. = +5.9%
2. Home: 109-90 (54.8%), -24.21 units, R.O.I. = -12.2%
Better day or night?
1. Day: 83-63 (56.8%), +2.07 units, R.O.I. = +1.4%
2. Night: 127-112 (53.1%), -14.34 units, R.O.I. = -6%
Best/worst day of the week?
1. Sunday: 41-23 (64.1%), +12.71 units, R.O.I. = +19.9%
7. Wednesday: 26-28 (48.1%), -11.24 units, R.O.I. = -20.8%
Better after a win or loss?
1. After Loss: 100-72 (58.1%), +13.44 units, R.O.I. = +7.8%
2. After Win: 108-102 (51.4%), -27.41 units, R.O.I. = -13.1%
Top opponent matchup type?
1. Interleague: 36-27 (57.1%), +3.6 units, R.O.I. = +5.7%
2. League: 67-63 (51.5%), -5.27 units, R.O.I. = -4.1%
3. Division: 107-85 (55.7%), -10.6 units, R.O.I. = -5.5%
Best/worst game of series?
1. Series Finale: 69-53 (56.6%), +3.2 units, R.O.I. = +2.6%
2. Middle Game(s): 73-64 (53.3%), -8.99 units, R.O.I. = -6.6%
3. Opening Game: 66-58 (53.2%), -8.48 units, R.O.I. = -6.8%
Best/worst betting line scenario?
1. Road Favorite: 62-35 (63.9%), +12.41 units, R.O.I. = +12.8%
4. Home Favorite: 88-68 (56.4%), -27.01 units, R.O.I. = -17.3%
Best/worst divisional opponent?
1. vs. MINNESOTA: 27-18 (70.2%), +5.65 units, R.O.I. = +12.6%
4. vs. CLEVELAND: 18-27 (56.3%), -13.72 units, R.O.I. = -30.5%
Best/worst league opponent?
1. vs. BOSTON: 8-5 (76.9%), +2.76 units, R.O.I. = +21.2%
10. vs. NY YANKEES: 4-9 (33.3%), -5.28 units, R.O.I. = -40.6%
CHICAGO CUBS
Better Home or Road?
1. Road: 86-110 (43.9%), -0.34 units, R.O.I. = -0.2%
2. Home: 93-93 (50%), -5.13 units, R.O.I. = -2.8%
Better day or night?
1. Day: 74-80 (48.1%), +0.96 units, R.O.I. = +0.6%
2. Night: 106-123 (46.3%), -5.38 units, R.O.I. = -2.3%
Best/worst day of the week?
1. Wednesday: 33-25 (56.9%), +14.92 units, R.O.I. = +25.7%
7. Saturday: 26-41 (38.8%), -13.53 units, R.O.I. = -20.2%
Better after a win or loss?
1. After Win: 97-80 (54.8%), +24.7 units, R.O.I. = +14%
2. After Loss: 81-122 (39.9%), -30.72 units, R.O.I. = -15.1%
Top opponent matchup type?
1. League: 63-71 (47%), +5.47 units, R.O.I. = +4.1%
2. Division: 94-98 (49%), +0.86 units, R.O.I. = +0.4%
3. Interleague: 23-34 (40.4%), -10.75 units, R.O.I. = -18.9%
Best/worst game of series?
1. Opening Game: 64-59 (52%), +11.19 units, R.O.I. = +9.1%
2. Series Finale: 55-65 (45.8%), -4.33 units, R.O.I. = -3.6%
3. Middle Game(s): 61-78 (43.9%), -10.13 units, R.O.I. = -7.3%
Best/worst betting line scenario?
1. Road Dog: 57-86 (39.9%), +2.81 units, R.O.I. = +2%
4. Home Dog: 29-48 (37.7%), -8.85 units, R.O.I. = -11.5%
Best/worst divisional opponent?
1. vs. PITTSBURGH: 28-14 (64.6%), +11.91 units, R.O.I. = +28.4%
4. vs. ST LOUIS: 20-28 (41.7%), -5.8 units, R.O.I. = -12.1%
Best/worst league opponent?
1. vs. NY METS: 8-6 (69.2%), +7.45 units, R.O.I. = +53.2%
10. vs. SAN FRANCISCO: 3-11 (28.6%), -7.75 units, R.O.I. = -55.4%
11
CINCINNATI REDS
Better Home or Road?
1. Road: 82-112 (42.3%), -12.6 units, R.O.I. = -6.5%
2. Home: 90-99 (47.6%), -26.7 units, R.O.I. = -14.1%
Better day or night?
1. Night: 111-139 (44.4%), -25.95 units, R.O.I. = -10.4%
2. Day: 61-73 (45.5%), -14.5 units, R.O.I. = -10.8%
Best/worst day of the week?
1. Sunday: 35-27 (56.5%), +10.55 units, R.O.I. = +17%
7. Tuesday: 19-39 (32.8%), -20.06 units, R.O.I. = -34.6%
Better after a win or loss?
1. After Loss: 93-118 (44.1%), -22.59 units, R.O.I. = -10.7%
2. After Win: 76-94 (44.7%), -21.56 units, R.O.I. = -12.7%
Top opponent matchup type?
1. Interleague: 31-29 (51.7%), +1.53 units, R.O.I. = +2.6%
2. Division: 88-104 (45.8%), -19.95 units, R.O.I. = -10.4%
3. League: 53-79 (40.2%), -22.03 units, R.O.I. = -16.7%
Best/worst game of series?
1. Series Finale: 60-61 (49.6%), -1.11 units, R.O.I. = -0.9%
2. Opening Game: 56-65 (46.3%), -6.68 units, R.O.I. = -5.5%
3. Middle Game(s): 54-85 (38.8%), -32.96 units, R.O.I. = -23.7%
Best/worst betting line scenario?
1. Road Dog: 58-84 (40.8%), +0.8 units, R.O.I. = +0.6%
4. Road Favorite: 22-23 (48.9%), -10.15 units, R.O.I. = -22.6%
Best/worst divisional opponent?
1. vs. MILWAUKEE: 21-27 (54.2%), -1.4 units, R.O.I. = -2.9%
4. vs. PITTSBURGH: 24-24 (41.7%), -6.97 units, R.O.I. = -14.5%
Best/worst league opponent?
1. vs. MIAMI: 9-5 (78.6%), +3.15 units, R.O.I. = +22.5%
10. vs. SAN DIEGO: 1-12 (28.6%), -11.07 units, R.O.I. = -85.2%
CLEVELAND INDIANS
Better Home or Road?
1. Road: 103-90 (53.4%), +26.21 units, R.O.I. = +13.6%
2. Home: 102-88 (53.7%), -4.04 units, R.O.I. = -2.1%
Better day or night?
1. Day: 77-59 (56.6%), +23.23 units, R.O.I. = +17.1%
2. Night: 129-119 (52%), -0.06 units, R.O.I. = +0%
Best/worst day of the week?
1. Thursday: 27-17 (61.4%), +9.76 units, R.O.I. = +22.2%
7. Saturday: 29-35 (45.3%), -8.59 units, R.O.I. = -13.4%
Better after a win or loss?
1. After Loss: 96-82 (53.9%), +18.73 units, R.O.I. = +10.5%
2. After Win: 108-95 (53.2%), +3.34 units, R.O.I. = +1.6%
Top opponent matchup type?
1. Interleague: 33-27 (55%), +7.39 units, R.O.I. = +12.3%
2. Division: 112-80 (58.3%), +18.04 units, R.O.I. = +9.4%
3. League: 61-71 (46.2%), -2.26 units, R.O.I. = -1.7%
Best/worst game of series?
1. Series Finale: 72-49 (59.5%), +24.43 units, R.O.I. = +20.2%
2. Opening Game: 67-55 (54.9%), +14.48 units, R.O.I. = +11.9%
3. Middle Game(s): 66-73 (47.5%), -16.29 units, R.O.I. = -11.7%
Best/worst betting line scenario?
1. Road Dog: 56-60 (48.3%), +18.06 units, R.O.I. = +15.6%
4. Home Dog: 23-44 (34.3%), -14 units, R.O.I. = -20.9%
Best/worst divisional opponent?
1. vs. CHI WHITE SOX: 27-18 (72.9%), +12.17 units, R.O.I. = +27%
4. vs. DETROIT: 27-21 (43.8%), -3.76 units, R.O.I. = -7.8%
Best/worst league opponent?
1. vs. TEXAS: 9-3 (91.7%), +4.8 units, R.O.I. = +40%
10. vs. SEATTLE: 4-10 (14.3%), -7.85 units, R.O.I. = -56.1%
COLORADO ROCKIES
Better Home or Road?
1. Home: 101-87 (53.7%), +23.07 units, R.O.I. = +12.3%
2. Road: 71-124 (36.4%), -16.87 units, R.O.I. = -8.7%
Better day or night?
1. Night: 109-131 (45.4%), +9 units, R.O.I. = +3.8%
2. Day: 63-80 (44.1%), -2.8 units, R.O.I. = -2%
Best/worst day of the week?
1. Saturday: 36-32 (52.9%), +11.29 units, R.O.I. = +16.6%
7. Thursday: 15-25 (37.5%), -5.69 units, R.O.I. = -14.2%
Better after a win or loss?
1. After Win: 82-90 (47.7%), +9.69 units, R.O.I. = +5.6%
2. After Loss: 90-118 (43.3%), +0.61 units, R.O.I. = +0.3%
Top opponent matchup type?
1. Division: 85-107 (44.3%), +12.43 units, R.O.I. = +6.5%
2. League: 59-72 (45%), -2.71 units, R.O.I. = -2.1%
3. Interleague: 28-32 (46.7%), -3.52 units, R.O.I. = -5.9%
Best/worst game of series?
1. Series Finale: 59-63 (48.4%), +13.8 units, R.O.I. = +11.3%
2. Middle Game(s): 66-73 (47.5%), +11.07 units, R.O.I. = +8%
3. Opening Game: 47-75 (38.5%), -18.67 units, R.O.I. = -15.3%
Best/worst betting line scenario?
1. Home Favorite: 46-25 (64.8%), +12.01 units, R.O.I. = +16.9%
4. Road Favorite: 8-7 (53.3%), -1.9 units, R.O.I. = -12.7%
Best/worst divisional opponent?
1. vs. SAN DIEGO: 24-24 (52.1%), +11.3 units, R.O.I. = +23.5%
4. vs. SAN FRANCISCO: 18-30 (41.7%), -6.04 units, R.O.I. = -12.6%
Best/worst league opponent?
1. vs. PHILADELPHIA: 7-7 (58.3%), +3.12 units, R.O.I. = +22.3%
10. vs. NY METS: 4-10 (30.8%), -3.65 units, R.O.I. = -26.1%
DETROIT TIGERS
Better Home or Road?
1. Road: 79-115 (40.7%), +10.42 units, R.O.I. = +5.4%
2. Home: 89-99 (47.3%), +7.29 units, R.O.I. = +3.9%
Better day or night?
1. Day: 73-90 (44.8%), +9.38 units, R.O.I. = +5.8%
2. Night: 95-124 (43.4%), +8.33 units, R.O.I. = +3.8%
Best/worst day of the week?
1. Saturday: 32-33 (49.2%), +12.53 units, R.O.I. = +19.3%
7. Thursday: 15-29 (34.1%), -10.61 units, R.O.I. = -24.1%
Better after a win or loss?
1. After Win: 77-90 (46.1%), +9.49 units, R.O.I. = +5.7%
2. After Loss: 90-122 (42.5%), +9.37 units, R.O.I. = +4.4%
Top opponent matchup type?
1. Interleague: 33-25 (56.9%), +22.47 units, R.O.I. = +38.7%
2. League: 56-76 (42.4%), +2.25 units, R.O.I. = +1.7%
3. Division: 79-113 (41.1%), -7.01 units, R.O.I. = -3.7%
Best/worst game of series?
1. Series Finale: 55-67 (45.1%), +11.94 units, R.O.I. = +9.8%
2. Middle Game(s): 60-76 (44.1%), +5.69 units, R.O.I. = +4.2%
3. Opening Game: 53-69 (43.4%), +2.08 units, R.O.I. = +1.7%
Best/worst betting line scenario?
1. Road Favorite: 8-4 (66.7%), +2.65 units, R.O.I. = +22.1%
4. Home Favorite: 29-22 (56.9%), -0.88 units, R.O.I. = -1.7%
Best/worst divisional opponent?
1. vs. CLEVELAND: 21-27 (45.8%), +1.58 units, R.O.I. = +3.3%
4. vs. CHI WHITE SOX: 14-31 (27.1%), -6.6 units, R.O.I. = -14.7%
Best/worst league opponent?
1. vs. BALTIMORE: 10-3 (50%), +8.42 units, R.O.I. = +64.8%
10. vs. OAKLAND: 3-11 (14.3%), -8.41 units, R.O.I. = -60.1%
12
HOUSTON ASTROS
Better Home or Road?
1. Home: 126-68 (64.9%), +4.67 units, R.O.I. = +2.4%
2. Road: 102-88 (53.7%), -3.69 units, R.O.I. = -1.9%
Better day or night?
1. Day: 74-51 (59.2%), +1.83 units, R.O.I. = +1.5%
2. Night: 154-105 (59.5%), -0.85 units, R.O.I. = -0.3%
Best/worst day of the week?
1. Thursday: 30-12 (71.4%), +15.07 units, R.O.I. = +35.9%
7. Saturday: 30-36 (45.5%), -21.6 units, R.O.I. = -32.7%
Better after a win or loss?
1. After Loss: 91-64 (58.7%), +5.71 units, R.O.I. = +3.7%
2. After Win: 135-91 (59.7%), -5.75 units, R.O.I. = -2.5%
Top opponent matchup type?
1. League: 81-51 (61.4%), +3.26 units, R.O.I. = +2.5%
2. Division: 116-76 (60.4%), +1.89 units, R.O.I. = +1%
3. Interleague: 31-29 (51.7%), -4.17 units, R.O.I. = -7%
Best/worst game of series?
1. Opening Game: 80-45 (64%), +17.08 units, R.O.I. = +13.7%
2. Series Finale: 77-47 (62.1%), +12.7 units, R.O.I. = +10.2%
3. Middle Game(s): 71-62 (53.4%), -25.9 units, R.O.I. = -19.5%
Best/worst betting line scenario?
1. Home Favorite: 121-58 (67.6%), +9.17 units, R.O.I. = +5.1%
4. Home Dog: 4-8 (33.3%), -3.4 units, R.O.I. = -28.3%
Best/worst divisional opponent?
1. vs. TEXAS: 33-15 (75%), +5.52 units, R.O.I. = +11.5%
4. vs. OAKLAND: 23-25 (45.8%), -10.6 units, R.O.I. = -22.1%
Best/worst league opponent?
1. vs. TAMPA BAY: 9-3 (69.2%), +5.05 units, R.O.I. = +42.1%
10. vs. BALTIMORE: 6-7 (58.3%), -9.85 units, R.O.I. = -75.8%
KANSAS CITY ROYALS
Better Home or Road?
1. Home: 93-99 (48.4%), +1.32 units, R.O.I. = +0.7%
2. Road: 72-120 (37.5%), -15.2 units, R.O.I. = -7.9%
Better day or night?
1. Night: 103-137 (42.9%), -5.25 units, R.O.I. = -2.2%
2. Day: 62-82 (43.1%), -8.63 units, R.O.I. = -6%
Best/worst day of the week?
1. Thursday: 20-22 (47.6%), +5.78 units, R.O.I. = +13.8%
7. Tuesday: 21-38 (35.6%), -10.96 units, R.O.I. = -18.6%
Better after a win or loss?
1. After Loss: 93-124 (42.9%), -4.71 units, R.O.I. = -2.2%
2. After Win: 71-93 (43.3%), -8.27 units, R.O.I. = -5%
Top opponent matchup type?
1. Interleague: 28-32 (46.7%), +4.1 units, R.O.I. = +6.8%
2. Division: 86-106 (44.8%), -3.63 units, R.O.I. = -1.9%
3. League: 51-81 (38.6%), -14.35 units, R.O.I. = -10.9%
Best/worst game of series?
1. Opening Game: 58-65 (47.2%), +7.66 units, R.O.I. = +6.2%
2. Series Finale: 53-68 (43.8%), -4.13 units, R.O.I. = -3.4%
3. Middle Game(s): 54-86 (38.6%), -17.41 units, R.O.I. = -12.4%
Best/worst betting line scenario?
1. Road Favorite: 9-5 (64.3%), +2.5 units, R.O.I. = +17.9%
4. Road Dog: 60-114 (34.5%), -19.65 units, R.O.I. = -11.3%
Best/worst divisional opponent?
1. vs. CHI WHITE SOX: 21-27 (43.8%), +2.86 units, R.O.I. = +6%
4. vs. CLEVELAND: 17-31 (35.4%), -7.78 units, R.O.I. = -16.2%
Best/worst league opponent?
1. vs. HOUSTON: 6-8 (38.5%), +3.2 units, R.O.I. = +22.9%
10. vs. TEXAS: 3-9 (23.1%), -5.42 units, R.O.I. = -45.2%
LOS ANGELES ANGELS
Better Home or Road?
1. Road: 81-112 (42%), -21.98 units, R.O.I. = -11.4%
2. Home: 91-99 (47.9%), -28.57 units, R.O.I. = -15%
Better day or night?
1. Day: 55-65 (45.8%), -10.71 units, R.O.I. = -8.9%
2. Night: 117-147 (44.3%), -40.84 units, R.O.I. = -15.5%
Best/worst day of the week?
1. Saturday: 37-29 (56.1%), +9.55 units, R.O.I. = +14.5%
7. Wednesday: 22-31 (41.5%), -16.89 units, R.O.I. = -31.9%
Better after a win or loss?
1. After Loss: 95-115 (45.2%), -16.21 units, R.O.I. = -7.7%
2. After Win: 77-94 (45%), -31.97 units, R.O.I. = -18.7%
Top opponent matchup type?
1. League: 62-70 (47%), -10.27 units, R.O.I. = -7.8%
2. Interleague: 25-35 (41.7%), -7.7 units, R.O.I. = -12.8%
3. Division: 85-107 (44.3%), -33.58 units, R.O.I. = -17.5%
Best/worst game of series?
1. Series Finale: 60-62 (49.2%), -3.71 units, R.O.I. = -3%
2. Middle Game(s): 62-76 (44.9%), -21.01 units, R.O.I. = -15.2%
3. Opening Game: 49-73 (40.2%), -26.83 units, R.O.I. = -22%
Best/worst betting line scenario?
1. Road Dog: 47-77 (37.9%), -8.81 units, R.O.I. = -7.1%
4. Road Favorite: 31-31 (50%), -11.97 units, R.O.I. = -19.3%
Best/worst divisional opponent?
1. vs. SEATTLE: 23-25 (35.4%), -6.53 units, R.O.I. = -13.6%
4. vs. OAKLAND: 20-28 (29.2%), -10.64 units, R.O.I. = -22.2%
Best/worst league opponent?
1. vs. MINNESOTA: 9-4 (64.3%), +5.45 units, R.O.I. = +41.9%
10. vs. TAMPA BAY: 3-11 (8.3%), -8.41 units, R.O.I. = -60.1%
LOS ANGELES DODGERS
Better Home or Road?
1. Road: 119-69 (63.3%), +12.94 units, R.O.I. = +6.9%
2. Home: 135-61 (68.9%), +5.49 units, R.O.I. = +2.8%
Better day or night?
1. Day: 67-34 (66.3%), +12.13 units, R.O.I. = +12%
2. Night: 187-96 (66.1%), +6.3 units, R.O.I. = +2.2%
Best/worst day of the week?
1. Thursday: 33-11 (75%), +16.03 units, R.O.I. = +36.4%
7. Monday: 19-16 (54.3%), -12.65 units, R.O.I. = -36.1%
Better after a win or loss?
1. After Win: 170-81 (67.7%), +21.67 units, R.O.I. = +8.6%
2. After Loss: 81-49 (62.3%), -7.14 units, R.O.I. = -5.5%
Top opponent matchup type?
1. Interleague: 42-18 (70%), +8.25 units, R.O.I. = +13.8%
2. Division: 129-63 (67.2%), +11.3 units, R.O.I. = +5.9%
3. League: 83-49 (62.9%), -1.12 units, R.O.I. = -0.8%
Best/worst game of series?
1. Series Finale: 84-37 (69.4%), +24.08 units, R.O.I. = +19.9%
2. Opening Game: 79-43 (64.8%), +1.38 units, R.O.I. = +1.1%
3. Middle Game(s): 91-50 (64.5%), -7.03 units, R.O.I. = -5%
Best/worst betting line scenario?
1. Road Favorite: 118-58 (67%), +22.9 units, R.O.I. = +13%
4. Road Dog: 1-11 (8.3%), -9.96 units, R.O.I. = -83%
Best/worst divisional opponent?
1. vs. ARIZONA: 38-10 (72.9%), +16.03 units, R.O.I. = +33.4%
4. vs. COLORADO: 29-19 (56.3%), -9.98 units, R.O.I. = -20.8%
Best/worst league opponent?
1. vs. CINCINNATI: 10-3 (100%), +4.05 units, R.O.I. = +31.2%
10. vs. PITTSBURGH: 7-5 (50%), -6.71 units, R.O.I. = -55.9%
13
MIAMI MARLINS
Better Home or Road?
1. Road: 79-115 (40.7%), -10.87 units, R.O.I. = -5.6%
2. Home: 91-98 (48.1%), -14.47 units, R.O.I. = -7.7%
Better day or night?
1. Night: 114-144 (44.2%), -16.74 units, R.O.I. = -6.5%
2. Day: 56-69 (44.8%), -8.6 units, R.O.I. = -6.9%
Best/worst day of the week?
1. Thursday: 24-14 (63.2%), +12.08 units, R.O.I. = +31.8%
7. Tuesday: 22-37 (37.3%), -15.12 units, R.O.I. = -25.6%
Better after a win or loss?
1. After Loss: 95-118 (44.6%), -7.64 units, R.O.I. = -3.6%
2. After Win: 73-94 (43.7%), -19.55 units, R.O.I. = -11.7%
Top opponent matchup type?
1. Division: 89-102 (46.6%), -0.41 units, R.O.I. = -0.2%
2. League: 59-73 (44.7%), -11.99 units, R.O.I. = -9.1%
3. Interleague: 22-38 (36.7%), -12.94 units, R.O.I. = -21.6%
Best/worst game of series?
1. Series Finale: 58-63 (47.9%), -0.02 units, R.O.I. = +0%
2. Middle Game(s): 62-74 (45.6%), -3.24 units, R.O.I. = -2.4%
3. Opening Game: 48-75 (39%), -23.98 units, R.O.I. = -19.5%
Best/worst betting line scenario?
1. Road Favorite: 18-11 (62.1%), +4.59 units, R.O.I. = +15.8%
4. Home Dog: 35-55 (38.9%), -9.06 units, R.O.I. = -10.1%
Best/worst divisional opponent?
1. vs. WASHINGTON: 29-19 (56.3%), +7.67 units, R.O.I. = +16%
4. vs. ATLANTA: 17-31 (31.3%), -8.28 units, R.O.I. = -17.3%
Best/worst league opponent?
1. vs. MILWAUKEE: 7-6 (64.3%), +3.33 units, R.O.I. = +25.6%
10. vs. PITTSBURGH: 6-8 (21.4%), -4.55 units, R.O.I. = -32.5%
MILWAUKEE BREWERS
Better Home or Road?
1. Road: 102-88 (53.7%), -2.72 units, R.O.I. = -1.4%
2. Home: 106-88 (54.6%), -22.17 units, R.O.I. = -11.4%
Better day or night?
1. Night: 132-111 (54.3%), -9.4 units, R.O.I. = -3.9%
2. Day: 76-65 (53.9%), -15.49 units, R.O.I. = -11%
Best/worst day of the week?
1. Saturday: 39-25 (60.9%), +5.23 units, R.O.I. = +8.2%
7. Tuesday: 29-30 (49.2%), -11.65 units, R.O.I. = -19.7%
Better after a win or loss?
1. After Win: 116-92 (55.8%), -6.8 units, R.O.I. = -3.3%
2. After Loss: 92-81 (53.2%), -14.29 units, R.O.I. = -8.3%
Top opponent matchup type?
1. Interleague: 34-26 (56.7%), +0.8 units, R.O.I. = +1.3%
2. League: 69-63 (52.3%), -5.31 units, R.O.I. = -4%
3. Division: 105-87 (54.7%), -20.38 units, R.O.I. = -10.6%
Best/worst game of series?
1. Middle Game(s): 78-60 (56.5%), -1.97 units, R.O.I. = -1.4%
2. Opening Game: 65-58 (52.8%), -8.47 units, R.O.I. = -6.9%
3. Series Finale: 65-57 (53.3%), -13.45 units, R.O.I. = -11%
Best/worst betting line scenario?
1. Road Dog: 33-33 (50%), +10.14 units, R.O.I. = +15.4%
4. Home Dog: 9-18 (33.3%), -6.6 units, R.O.I. = -24.4%
Best/worst divisional opponent?
1. vs. CHICAGO CUBS: 26-19 (70.8%), +0.5 units, R.O.I. = +1.1%
4. vs. ST LOUIS: 21-27 (43.8%), -12.7 units, R.O.I. = -26.5%
Best/worst league opponent?
1. vs. ARIZONA: 9-5 (78.6%), +2.8 units, R.O.I. = +20%
10. vs. PHILADELPHIA: 4-9 (50%), -6.21 units, R.O.I. = -47.8%
MINNESOTA TWINS
Better Home or Road?
1. Home: 108-87 (55.4%), -2.79 units, R.O.I. = -1.4%
2. Road: 78-111 (41.3%), -31.71 units, R.O.I. = -16.8%
Better day or night?
1. Night: 114-115 (49.8%), -14.51 units, R.O.I. = -6.3%
2. Day: 72-83 (46.5%), -19.99 units, R.O.I. = -12.9%
Best/worst day of the week?
1. Monday: 26-14 (65%), +11.2 units, R.O.I. = +28%
7. Thursday: 13-26 (33.3%), -17.92 units, R.O.I. = -45.9%
Better after a win or loss?
1. After Loss: 96-101 (48.7%), -8.99 units, R.O.I. = -4.6%
2. After Win: 88-96 (47.8%), -26.33 units, R.O.I. = -14.3%
Top opponent matchup type?
1. Division: 98-94 (51%), -13.95 units, R.O.I. = -7.3%
2. League: 58-74 (43.9%), -13.75 units, R.O.I. = -10.4%
3. Interleague: 30-30 (50%), -6.8 units, R.O.I. = -11.3%
Best/worst game of series?
1. Series Finale: 61-61 (50%), -5.83 units, R.O.I. = -4.8%
2. Opening Game: 58-64 (47.5%), -12.49 units, R.O.I. = -10.2%
3. Middle Game(s): 66-71 (48.2%), -15.18 units, R.O.I. = -11.1%
Best/worst betting line scenario?
1. Home Favorite: 83-55 (60.1%), +0.05 units, R.O.I. = +0%
4. Road Favorite: 35-43 (44.9%), -22.76 units, R.O.I. = -29.2%
Best/worst divisional opponent?
1. vs. KANSAS CITY: 26-22 (56.3%), -2.73 units, R.O.I. = -5.7%
4. vs. CHI WHITE SOX: 18-27 (50%), -7.95 units, R.O.I. = -17.7%
Best/worst league opponent?
1. vs. TAMPA BAY: 7-5 (83.3%), +4.67 units, R.O.I. = +38.9%
10. vs. TEXAS: 6-8 (23.1%), -6.85 units, R.O.I. = -48.9%
NEW YORK METS
Better Home or Road?
1. Home: 114-78 (59.4%), -2.83 units, R.O.I. = -1.5%
2. Road: 90-101 (47.1%), -22.28 units, R.O.I. = -11.7%
Better day or night?
1. Day: 75-51 (59.5%), +11.7 units, R.O.I. = +9.3%
2. Night: 129-128 (50.2%), -36.81 units, R.O.I. = -14.3%
Best/worst day of the week?
1. Thursday: 23-13 (63.9%), +7.98 units, R.O.I. = +22.2%
7. Tuesday: 30-34 (46.9%), -18.06 units, R.O.I. = -28.2%
Better after a win or loss?
1. After Loss: 97-80 (54.8%), +1.37 units, R.O.I. = +0.8%
2. After Win: 104-99 (51.2%), -30.23 units, R.O.I. = -14.9%
Top opponent matchup type?
1. Division: 106-85 (55.5%), -0.15 units, R.O.I. = -0.1%
2. League: 71-61 (53.8%), -8.31 units, R.O.I. = -6.3%
3. Interleague: 27-33 (45%), -16.65 units, R.O.I. = -27.8%
Best/worst game of series?
1. Series Finale: 66-53 (55.5%), +2.85 units, R.O.I. = +2.4%
2. Opening Game: 64-55 (53.8%), -5.65 units, R.O.I. = -4.7%
3. Middle Game(s): 72-69 (51.1%), -20.91 units, R.O.I. = -14.8%
Best/worst betting line scenario?
1. Home Dog: 15-21 (41.7%), -3.25 units, R.O.I. = -9%
4. Road Favorite: 55-45 (55%), -13.03 units, R.O.I. = -13%
Best/worst divisional opponent?
1. vs. PHILADELPHIA: 28-20 (56.3%), +6 units, R.O.I. = +12.5%
4. vs. ATLANTA: 21-27 (43.8%), -5.82 units, R.O.I. = -12.1%
Best/worst league opponent?
1. vs. ARIZONA: 9-3 (76.9%), +4.8 units, R.O.I. = +40%
10. vs. CHICAGO CUBS: 6-8 (28.6%), -9.2 units, R.O.I. = -65.7%
14
NEW YORK YANKEES
Better Home or Road?
1. Home: 123-67 (64.7%), +11.35 units, R.O.I. = +6%
2. Road: 101-92 (52.3%), -19.26 units, R.O.I. = -10%
Better day or night?
1. Night: 158-102 (60.8%), +10.98 units, R.O.I. = +4.2%
2. Day: 66-58 (53.2%), -19.89 units, R.O.I. = -16%
Best/worst day of the week?
1. Wednesday: 39-19 (67.2%), +13.92 units, R.O.I. = +24%
7. Monday: 17-17 (50%), -11.14 units, R.O.I. = -32.8%
Better after a win or loss?
1. After Win: 144-79 (64.6%), +25.4 units, R.O.I. = +11.4%
2. After Loss: 77-81 (48.7%), -38.16 units, R.O.I. = -24.2%
Top opponent matchup type?
1. League: 86-46 (65.2%), +12.43 units, R.O.I. = +9.4%
2. Division: 106-86 (55.2%), -15.89 units, R.O.I. = -8.3%
3. Interleague: 32-28 (53.3%), -5.45 units, R.O.I. = -9.1%
Best/worst game of series?
1. Middle Game(s): 87-46 (65.4%), +20.27 units, R.O.I. = +15.2%
2. Opening Game: 72-53 (57.6%), -6.54 units, R.O.I. = -5.2%
3. Series Finale: 63-61 (50.8%), -24.64 units, R.O.I. = -19.9%
Best/worst betting line scenario?
1. Home Dog: 7-4 (63.6%), +4.1 units, R.O.I. = +37.3%
4. Road Favorite: 72-61 (54.1%), -24.74 units, R.O.I. = -18.6%
Best/worst divisional opponent?
1. vs. BOSTON: 31-17 (66.7%), +10.02 units, R.O.I. = +20.9%
4. vs. TAMPA BAY: 22-26 (50%), -12.15 units, R.O.I. = -25.3%
Best/worst league opponent?
1. vs. MINNESOTA: 11-3 (78.6%), +6.5 units, R.O.I. = +46.4%
10. vs. HOUSTON: 6-7 (50%), -3.1 units, R.O.I. = -23.8%
OAKLAND ATHLETICS
Better Home or Road?
1. Road: 92-103 (47.2%), +1.79 units, R.O.I. = +0.9%
2. Home: 93-96 (49.2%), -9.21 units, R.O.I. = -4.9%
Better day or night?
1. Day: 82-86 (48.8%), -1.45 units, R.O.I. = -0.9%
2. Night: 103-113 (47.7%), -5.97 units, R.O.I. = -2.8%
Best/worst day of the week?
1. Wednesday: 30-25 (54.5%), +9.72 units, R.O.I. = +17.7%
7. Monday: 15-21 (41.7%), -6.38 units, R.O.I. = -17.7%
Better after a win or loss?
1. After Win: 97-86 (53%), +4.35 units, R.O.I. = +2.4%
2. After Loss: 86-112 (43.4%), -12.77 units, R.O.I. = -6.4%
Top opponent matchup type?
1. League: 63-69 (47.7%), +0.48 units, R.O.I. = +0.4%
2. Division: 96-96 (50%), -0.55 units, R.O.I. = -0.3%
3. Interleague: 26-34 (43.3%), -7.35 units, R.O.I. = -12.3%
Best/worst game of series?
1. Series Finale: 65-59 (52.4%), +10.94 units, R.O.I. = +8.8%
2. Middle Game(s): 67-68 (49.6%), +4.66 units, R.O.I. = +3.5%
3. Opening Game: 53-71 (42.7%), -21.72 units, R.O.I. = -17.5%
Best/worst betting line scenario?
1. Road Favorite: 41-28 (59.4%), +2 units, R.O.I. = +2.9%
4. Home Dog: 30-50 (37.5%), -4.49 units, R.O.I. = -5.6%
Best/worst divisional opponent?
1. vs. LA ANGELS: 28-20 (70.8%), +8.69 units, R.O.I. = +18.1%
4. vs. SEATTLE: 18-30 (41.7%), -13 units, R.O.I. = -27.1%
Best/worst league opponent?
1. vs. DETROIT: 11-3 (85.7%), +7.81 units, R.O.I. = +55.8%
10. vs. CLEVELAND: 5-8 (15.4%), -4.6 units, R.O.I. = -35.4%
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES
Better Home or Road?
1. Home: 108-81 (57.1%), -0.57 units, R.O.I. = -0.3%
2. Road: 86-109 (44.1%), -29.07 units, R.O.I. = -14.9%
Better day or night?
1. Night: 132-126 (51.2%), -15.21 units, R.O.I. = -5.9%
2. Day: 62-64 (49.2%), -14.43 units, R.O.I. = -11.5%
Best/worst day of the week?
1. Friday: 38-24 (61.3%), +14.95 units, R.O.I. = +24.1%
7. Sunday: 25-40 (38.5%), -24.4 units, R.O.I. = -37.5%
Better after a win or loss?
1. After Win: 106-88 (54.6%), -0.17 units, R.O.I. = -0.1%
2. After Loss: 87-100 (46.5%), -27.47 units, R.O.I. = -14.7%
Top opponent matchup type?
1. Division: 100-92 (52.1%), -3.78 units, R.O.I. = -2%
2. League: 70-62 (53%), -5.41 units, R.O.I. = -4.1%
3. Interleague: 24-36 (40%), -20.45 units, R.O.I. = -34.1%
Best/worst game of series?
1. Opening Game: 63-58 (52.1%), -0.71 units, R.O.I. = -0.6%
2. Middle Game(s): 71-68 (51.1%), -9.02 units, R.O.I. = -6.5%
3. Series Finale: 59-63 (48.4%), -19.91 units, R.O.I. = -16.3%
Best/worst betting line scenario?
1. Home Dog: 21-22 (48.8%), +3.51 units, R.O.I. = +8.2%
4. Road Favorite: 42-49 (46.2%), -25.68 units, R.O.I. = -28.2%
Best/worst divisional opponent?
1. vs. WASHINGTON: 36-12 (56.3%), +19.35 units, R.O.I. = +40.3%
4. vs. ATLANTA: 20-28 (43.8%), -8.95 units, R.O.I. = -18.6%
Best/worst league opponent?
1. vs. SAN DIEGO: 8-5 (71.4%), +5.48 units, R.O.I. = +42.2%
10. vs. SAN FRANCISCO: 3-9 (38.5%), -7 units, R.O.I. = -58.3%
PITTSBURGH PIRATES
Better Home or Road?
1. Home: 86-108 (44.3%), +1.58 units, R.O.I. = +0.8%
2. Road: 60-130 (31.6%), -30.91 units, R.O.I. = -16.3%
Better day or night?
1. Day: 57-88 (39.3%), -8.42 units, R.O.I. = -5.8%
2. Night: 89-150 (37.2%), -20.91 units, R.O.I. = -8.7%
Best/worst day of the week?
1. Tuesday: 26-32 (44.8%), +7.45 units, R.O.I. = +12.8%
7. Friday: 17-42 (28.8%), -17.74 units, R.O.I. = -30.1%
Better after a win or loss?
1. After Loss: 89-147 (37.7%), -14 units, R.O.I. = -5.9%
2. After Win: 57-88 (39.3%), -11.18 units, R.O.I. = -7.7%
Top opponent matchup type?
1. League: 52-80 (39.4%), -0.47 units, R.O.I. = -0.4%
2. Division: 77-115 (40.1%), -7.7 units, R.O.I. = -4%
3. Interleague: 17-43 (28.3%), -21.16 units, R.O.I. = -35.3%
Best/worst game of series?
1. Middle Game(s): 56-81 (40.9%), +1.62 units, R.O.I. = +1.2%
2. Opening Game: 48-74 (39.3%), -9.82 units, R.O.I. = -8%
3. Series Finale: 41-81 (33.6%), -21.03 units, R.O.I. = -17.2%
Best/worst betting line scenario?
1. Home Dog: 56-91 (38.1%), -6.24 units, R.O.I. = -4.2%
4. Road Favorite: 3-3 (50%), -1.17 units, R.O.I. = -19.5%
Best/worst divisional opponent?
1. vs. CINCINNATI: 24-24 (50%), +4.89 units, R.O.I. = +10.2%
4. vs. CHICAGO CUBS: 14-28 (29.2%), -13.51 units, R.O.I. = -32.2%
Best/worst league opponent?
1. vs. LA DODGERS: 5-7 (71.4%), +4.61 units, R.O.I. = +38.4%
10. vs. ATLANTA: 3-11 (0%), -5.58 units, R.O.I. = -39.9%
15
SAN DIEGO PADRES
Better Home or Road?
1. Road: 95-100 (48.7%), -22.79 units, R.O.I. = -11.7%
2. Home: 105-84 (55.6%), -23.52 units, R.O.I. = -12.4%
Better day or night?
1. Night: 138-119 (53.7%), -22.9 units, R.O.I. = -8.9%
2. Day: 62-65 (48.8%), -23.41 units, R.O.I. = -18.4%
Best/worst day of the week?
1. Friday: 38-25 (60.3%), +6.85 units, R.O.I. = +10.9%
7. Saturday: 25-38 (39.7%), -25.75 units, R.O.I. = -40.9%
Better after a win or loss?
1. After Win: 109-90 (54.8%), -16 units, R.O.I. = -8%
2. After Loss: 90-92 (49.5%), -29 units, R.O.I. = -15.9%
Top opponent matchup type?
1. Division: 98-94 (51%), -18.06 units, R.O.I. = -9.4%
2. Interleague: 32-28 (53.3%), -8.2 units, R.O.I. = -13.7%
3. League: 70-62 (53%), -20.05 units, R.O.I. = -15.2%
Best/worst game of series?
1. Opening Game: 69-54 (56.1%), -4.33 units, R.O.I. = -3.5%
2. Series Finale: 64-59 (52%), -13.16 units, R.O.I. = -10.7%
3. Middle Game(s): 66-71 (48.2%), -29.82 units, R.O.I. = -21.8%
Best/worst betting line scenario?
1. Road Favorite: 55-52 (51.4%), -26.22 units, R.O.I. = -24.5%
4. Home Dog: 10-25 (28.6%), -13.18 units, R.O.I. = -37.7%
Best/worst divisional opponent?
1. vs. SAN FRANCISCO: 30-18 (54.2%), +10.15 units, R.O.I. = +21.1%
4. vs. COLORADO: 24-24 (45.8%), -14.5 units, R.O.I. = -30.2%
Best/worst league opponent?
1. vs. CINCINNATI: 12-1 (58.3%), +11 units, R.O.I. = +84.6%
10. vs. WASHINGTON: 8-6 (28.6%), -8.35 units, R.O.I. = -59.6%
SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS
Better Home or Road?
1. Road: 100-90 (52.6%), +18.38 units, R.O.I. = +9.7%
2. Home: 115-79 (59.3%), +13.65 units, R.O.I. = +7%
Better day or night?
1. Night: 136-103 (56.9%), +26.67 units, R.O.I. = +11.2%
2. Day: 79-66 (54.5%), +5.36 units, R.O.I. = +3.7%
Best/worst day of the week?
1. Sunday: 39-24 (61.9%), +16.2 units, R.O.I. = +25.7%
7. Thursday: 18-23 (43.9%), -7.98 units, R.O.I. = -19.5%
Better after a win or loss?
1. After Win: 130-83 (61%), +33.48 units, R.O.I. = +15.7%
2. After Loss: 83-85 (49.4%), -2.55 units, R.O.I. = -1.5%
Top opponent matchup type?
1. League: 80-52 (60.6%), +17.04 units, R.O.I. = +12.9%
2. Interleague: 35-25 (58.3%), +7.1 units, R.O.I. = +11.8%
3. Division: 100-92 (52.1%), +7.89 units, R.O.I. = +4.1%
Best/worst game of series?
1. Middle Game(s): 75-59 (56%), +12.45 units, R.O.I. = +9.3%
2. Opening Game: 71-54 (56.8%), +11.19 units, R.O.I. = +9%
3. Series Finale: 69-55 (55.6%), +9.39 units, R.O.I. = +7.6%
Best/worst betting line scenario?
1. Road Favorite: 52-24 (68.4%), +16.61 units, R.O.I. = +21.9%
4. Home Dog: 26-28 (48.1%), +5.1 units, R.O.I. = +9.4%
Best/worst divisional opponent?
1. vs. ARIZONA: 34-14 (70.8%), +15.4 units, R.O.I. = +32.1%
4. vs. SAN DIEGO: 18-30 (45.8%), -12.35 units, R.O.I. = -25.7%
Best/worst league opponent?
1. vs. PHILADELPHIA: 9-3 (71.4%), +6.55 units, R.O.I. = +54.6%
10. vs. ST LOUIS: 5-8 (35.7%), -5.43 units, R.O.I. = -41.8%
SEATTLE MARINERS
Better Home or Road?
1. Road: 100-95 (51.3%), +29.26 units, R.O.I. = +15%
2. Home: 106-83 (56.1%), +10.71 units, R.O.I. = +5.7%
Better day or night?
1. Day: 80-62 (56.3%), +21.36 units, R.O.I. = +15%
2. Night: 126-116 (52.1%), +18.61 units, R.O.I. = +7.7%
Best/worst day of the week?
1. Thursday: 25-16 (61%), +13.28 units, R.O.I. = +32.4%
7. Saturday: 30-36 (45.5%), -7.46 units, R.O.I. = -11.3%
Better after a win or loss?
1. After Loss: 92-84 (52.3%), +21.34 units, R.O.I. = +12.1%
2. After Win: 113-92 (55.1%), +19.75 units, R.O.I. = +9.6%
Top opponent matchup type?
1. Division: 108-84 (56.3%), +29.48 units, R.O.I. = +15.4%
2. League: 71-61 (53.8%), +12.63 units, R.O.I. = +9.6%
3. Interleague: 27-33 (45%), -2.14 units, R.O.I. = -3.6%
Best/worst game of series?
1. Opening Game: 66-56 (54.1%), +16.31 units, R.O.I. = +13.4%
2. Series Finale: 66-55 (54.5%), +13.54 units, R.O.I. = +11.2%
3. Middle Game(s): 73-67 (52.1%), +8.92 units, R.O.I. = +6.4%
Best/worst betting line scenario?
1. Home Dog: 49-39 (55.7%), +23.68 units, R.O.I. = +26.9%
4. Road Favorite: 34-16 (68%), +10.58 units, R.O.I. = +21.2%
Best/worst divisional opponent?
1. vs. TEXAS: 35-13 (58.3%), +19.76 units, R.O.I. = +41.2%
4. vs. HOUSTON: 18-30 (25%), -3.98 units, R.O.I. = -8.3%
Best/worst league opponent?
1. vs. TORONTO: 9-4 (66.7%), +8.95 units, R.O.I. = +68.8%
10. vs. BOSTON: 4-10 (21.4%), -5.02 units, R.O.I. = -35.9%
ST LOUIS CARDINALS
Better Home or Road?
1. Road: 99-89 (52.7%), +16.93 units, R.O.I. = +9%
2. Home: 114-80 (58.8%), +8.98 units, R.O.I. = +4.6%
Better day or night?
1. Day: 76-57 (57.1%), +9.42 units, R.O.I. = +7.1%
2. Night: 137-112 (55%), +16.49 units, R.O.I. = +6.6%
Best/worst day of the week?
1. Saturday: 46-18 (71.9%), +26.09 units, R.O.I. = +40.8%
7. Thursday: 21-25 (45.7%), -9.95 units, R.O.I. = -21.6%
Better after a win or loss?
1. After Loss: 97-70 (58.1%), +30.51 units, R.O.I. = +18.3%
2. After Win: 114-98 (53.8%), -5.4 units, R.O.I. = -2.5%
Top opponent matchup type?
1. Division: 114-78 (59.4%), +20.23 units, R.O.I. = +10.5%
2. League: 70-62 (53%), +8.72 units, R.O.I. = +6.6%
3. Interleague: 29-29 (50%), -3.04 units, R.O.I. = -5.2%
Best/worst game of series?
1. Middle Game(s): 89-53 (62.7%), +31.58 units, R.O.I. = +22.2%
2. Series Finale: 61-57 (51.7%), -0.08 units, R.O.I. = -0.1%
3. Opening Game: 60-59 (50.4%), -8.64 units, R.O.I. = -7.3%
Best/worst betting line scenario?
1. Road Favorite: 48-23 (67.6%), +14.73 units, R.O.I. = +20.7%
4. Home Dog: 28-30 (48.3%), +2.53 units, R.O.I. = +4.4%
Best/worst divisional opponent?
1. vs. MILWAUKEE: 27-21 (56.3%), +10.35 units, R.O.I. = +21.6%
4. vs. PITTSBURGH: 31-17 (52.1%), +2.7 units, R.O.I. = +5.6%
Best/worst league opponent?
1. vs. ARIZONA: 11-3 (71.4%), +6.8 units, R.O.I. = +48.6%
10. vs. ATLANTA: 4-10 (23.1%), -4.8 units, R.O.I. = -34.3%
16
TAMPA BAY RAYS
Better Home or Road?
1. Home: 125-69 (64.4%), +25.73 units, R.O.I. = +13.3%
2. Road: 101-89 (53.2%), +7.27 units, R.O.I. = +3.8%
Better day or night?
1. Day: 85-54 (61.2%), +17.35 units, R.O.I. = +12.5%
2. Night: 141-104 (57.6%), +15.65 units, R.O.I. = +6.4%
Best/worst day of the week?
1. Thursday: 25-14 (64.1%), +8.65 units, R.O.I. = +22.2%
7. Monday: 20-18 (52.6%), -2.47 units, R.O.I. = -6.5%
Better after a win or loss?
1. After Win: 143-82 (63.6%), +40.42 units, R.O.I. = +18%
2. After Loss: 82-74 (52.6%), -5.87 units, R.O.I. = -3.8%
Top opponent matchup type?
1. Interleague: 39-21 (65%), +13.63 units, R.O.I. = +22.7%
2. Division: 120-72 (62.5%), +40.86 units, R.O.I. = +21.3%
3. League: 67-65 (50.8%), -21.49 units, R.O.I. = -16.3%
Best/worst game of series?
1. Middle Game(s): 85-52 (62%), +22.89 units, R.O.I. = +16.7%
2. Series Finale: 73-50 (59.3%), +9.43 units, R.O.I. = +7.7%
3. Opening Game: 67-56 (54.5%), -0.32 units, R.O.I. = -0.3%
Best/worst betting line scenario?
1. Home Dog: 14-16 (46.7%), -0.02 units, R.O.I. = -0.1%
4. Road Favorite: 51-36 (58.6%), -2.29 units, R.O.I. = -2.6%
Best/worst divisional opponent?
1. vs. BOSTON: 33-15 (68.8%), +14.7 units, R.O.I. = +30.6%
4. vs. TORONTO: 27-21 (52.1%), +4.98 units, R.O.I. = +10.4%
Best/worst league opponent?
1. vs. LA ANGELS: 11-3 (85.7%), +7.91 units, R.O.I. = +56.5%
10. vs. HOUSTON: 3-9 (38.5%), -5.55 units, R.O.I. = -46.3%
TEXAS RANGERS
Better Home or Road?
1. Home: 87-103 (45.8%), -10.87 units, R.O.I. = -5.7%
2. Road: 67-127 (34.5%), -31.93 units, R.O.I. = -16.5%
Better day or night?
1. Night: 100-151 (39.8%), -24.42 units, R.O.I. = -9.7%
2. Day: 54-79 (40.6%), -18.38 units, R.O.I. = -13.8%
Best/worst day of the week?
1. Saturday: 28-34 (45.2%), +3.45 units, R.O.I. = +5.6%
7. Friday: 20-41 (32.8%), -18.75 units, R.O.I. = -30.7%
Better after a win or loss?
1. After Loss: 90-139 (39.3%), -22.12 units, R.O.I. = -9.7%
2. After Win: 62-90 (40.8%), -21.68 units, R.O.I. = -14.3%
Top opponent matchup type?
1. Interleague: 27-33 (45%), -2.75 units, R.O.I. = -4.6%
2. Division: 75-117 (39.1%), -20.57 units, R.O.I. = -10.7%
3. League: 52-80 (39.4%), -19.48 units, R.O.I. = -14.8%
Best/worst game of series?
1. Middle Game(s): 56-79 (41.5%), -5.27 units, R.O.I. = -3.9%
2. Opening Game: 52-73 (41.6%), -10.64 units, R.O.I. = -8.5%
3. Series Finale: 46-78 (37.1%), -26.89 units, R.O.I. = -21.7%
Best/worst betting line scenario?
1. Home Dog: 52-66 (44.1%), +4.32 units, R.O.I. = +3.7%
4. Road Favorite: 13-16 (44.8%), -7.01 units, R.O.I. = -24.2%
Best/worst divisional opponent?
1. vs. LA ANGELS: 24-24 (50%), +7.09 units, R.O.I. = +14.8%
4. vs. SEATTLE: 13-35 (39.6%), -21.51 units, R.O.I. = -44.8%
Best/worst league opponent?
1. vs. KANSAS CITY: 9-3 (61.5%), +5.12 units, R.O.I. = +42.7%
10. vs. BALTIMORE: 3-10 (33.3%), -9.35 units, R.O.I. = -71.9%
TORONTO BLUE JAYS
Better Home or Road?
1. Road: 104-86 (54.7%), +10.63 units, R.O.I. = +5.6%
2. Home: 113-81 (58.2%), -15.56 units, R.O.I. = -8%
Better day or night?
1. Day: 82-54 (60.3%), +7.44 units, R.O.I. = +5.5%
2. Night: 135-113 (54.4%), -12.37 units, R.O.I. = -5%
Best/worst day of the week?
1. Saturday: 43-22 (66.2%), +16.71 units, R.O.I. = +25.7%
7. Friday: 31-30 (50.8%), -12.79 units, R.O.I. = -21%
Better after a win or loss?
1. After Loss: 96-69 (58.2%), +13.28 units, R.O.I. = +8%
2. After Win: 119-97 (55.1%), -18.66 units, R.O.I. = -8.6%
Top opponent matchup type?
1. Interleague: 37-23 (61.7%), +7.4 units, R.O.I. = +12.3%
2. Division: 107-85 (55.7%), +5.49 units, R.O.I. = +2.9%
3. League: 73-59 (55.3%), -17.82 units, R.O.I. = -13.5%
Best/worst game of series?
1. Middle Game(s): 85-51 (62.5%), +20.17 units, R.O.I. = +14.8%
2. Opening Game: 68-55 (55.3%), -6.11 units, R.O.I. = -5%
3. Series Finale: 64-59 (52%), -16.74 units, R.O.I. = -13.6%
Best/worst betting line scenario?
1. Home Dog: 18-12 (60%), +11.22 units, R.O.I. = +37.4%
4. Road Favorite: 63-40 (61.2%), +4.02 units, R.O.I. = +3.9%
Best/worst divisional opponent?
1. vs. BOSTON: 30-18 (50%), +8.63 units, R.O.I. = +18%
4. vs. TAMPA BAY: 21-27 (37.5%), -7.43 units, R.O.I. = -15.5%
Best/worst league opponent?
1. vs. TEXAS: 9-3 (84.6%), +6.1 units, R.O.I. = +50.8%
10. vs. SEATTLE: 4-9 (33.3%), -9.85 units, R.O.I. = -75.8%
VSIN MLB MATCHUPS
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17
WASHINGTON NATIONALS
Better Home or Road?
1. Road: 73-118 (38.2%), -5.04 units, R.O.I. = -2.6%
2. Home: 76-117 (39.4%), -40.5 units, R.O.I. = -21%
Better day or night?
1. Day: 60-83 (42%), -6.97 units, R.O.I. = -4.9%
2. Night: 89-152 (36.9%), -38.57 units, R.O.I. = -16%
Best/worst day of the week?
1. Wednesday: 27-29 (48.2%), +7.44 units, R.O.I. = +13.3%
7. Thursday: 9-31 (22.5%), -18.02 units, R.O.I. = -45.1%
Better after a win or loss?
1. After Loss: 89-144 (38.2%), -22.06 units, R.O.I. = -9.5%
2. After Win: 60-88 (40.5%), -20.48 units, R.O.I. = -13.8%
Top opponent matchup type?
1. League: 57-75 (43.2%), -2.06 units, R.O.I. = -1.6%
2. Interleague: 27-33 (45%), -2.68 units, R.O.I. = -4.5%
3. Division: 65-127 (33.9%), -40.8 units, R.O.I. = -21.3%
Best/worst game of series?
1. Series Finale: 51-70 (42.1%), -5.57 units, R.O.I. = -4.6%
2. Middle Game(s): 56-84 (40%), -9.17 units, R.O.I. = -6.6%
3. Opening Game: 41-80 (33.9%), -30.6 units, R.O.I. = -25.3%
Best/worst betting line scenario?
1. Road Favorite: 13-13 (50%), -3.26 units, R.O.I. = -12.5%
4. Home Dog: 34-79 (30.1%), -29.55 units, R.O.I. = -26.2%
Best/worst divisional opponent?
1. vs. NY METS: 19-29 (62.5%), -2.67 units, R.O.I. = -5.6%
4. vs. PHILADELPHIA: 12-36 (37.5%), -20.83 units, R.O.I. = -43.4%
Best/worst league opponent?
1. vs. SAN DIEGO: 6-8 (53.8%), +5.85 units, R.O.I. = +41.8%
10. vs. SAN FRANCISCO: 4-9 (25%), -3.62 units, R.O.I. = -27.8%