RATES with different reference Values/ Population density measures Name______________

Do NOW:

1. The poverty rate in a certain city was given as follows:

2010: 1.5 % of the population

2015: 84 for every ten thousand citizens

2019: 154 for every 100,000 citizens.

What is the percent change in the poverty between 2010 and 2019?

2. What is the percent change in the murder rate in Chicago from 2015 to 2018, given that the
murder rate in each of those two years was:
2016: 808 homicides in the entire city.

2018: 25.9 homicides per 100,000 citizens.

What is the percent change in the homicide rate between 2016 and 2018 in Chicago? (Population
2,700,000)

Key highlights from 2018's NYC crime statistics include:

• Lowest number of index crimes in the modern era. There were 1,207 fewer incidents
compared to 97,090 in 2017, or -1.2%;
• 295 homicides, below 300 for the second year in a row;
• Robberies, burglaries, and grand larceny autos down when comparing 2018 versus
2017;
• Felony assaults and grand larcenies were up less than half of a percentage point
when comparing 2017 to 2018;
• Shooting incidents were down 35 incidents, or 4.4%, when comparing 2017 to 2018
 Use the given data to answer questions #1-7 below. NAME_____________

Complete the missing measures of percent change. Values are for the entire city.

Dec. Monthly Year-to- Year-to-Date YTD

Dec. +/-% +/-%
2017 Change Date 2018 2017 Change
2018
Murder 17 28 295 292
Rape 132 135 1,794 1,467
Robbery 1,065 1,244 -179 -14.4% 12,913 13,993 -1,080 -7.7%
Felony
1,626 1,527 20,208 20,163 +45 +0.2%
Assault
Burglary 969 1,032 -63 -6.1% 11,687 12,148 -461 -3.8%
Grand
3,815 3,753 +62 +1.7% 43,558 43,362 +196 0.5%
Larceny
G.L.A. 396 459 -63 -13.7% 5,428 5,665
TOTAL 8,020 8,178 -158 -1.9% 95,883 97,090 -1,207 -1.2%

https://www1.nyc.gov/site/nypd/news/p0103a/new-york-city-achieves-record-breaking-low-crime-
2018#/0

NYPD.gov (3 Jan. , 2019). The above values for the entire city of NYC, population of 8,400,000.

1. Which crimes have increased the most from the previous year totals (from 2017 to 2018)?

2. Which crimes have decreased the most from the previous year totals?

3. Create a relative measure (density) that describes the year to date murder rate for the city.
What reference value are you using (percent, per 10,000, per 100,000)?

4. Compute the year to date total crime rate, using a reference of per 100,000 citizens in NYC.
 5. For YEAR 2017:
a) A common misconception is that the cities with larger populations have the highest murder
rates. New York City, for example, has a population of 8.4 million people but with 300
murders. What is the murder rate? Where does it rank compared to the top 50 cities
listed below?
The twenty cities in the United States with the highest murder rates (murders per 100,000 people) are:

1. St. Louis, MO (69.4)

2. Baltimore, MD (51.1)
3. New Orleans, LA (40.6)
4. Detroit, MI (39.7)
5. Cleveland, OH (33.7)
6. Las Vegas, NV (31.4)
7. Kansas City, MO (31.2)
8. Memphis, TN (27.1)
9. Newark, NJ (25.6)
10. Chicago, IL (24)
11. Cincinnati, OH (23.8)
12. Philadelphia, PA (20.2)
13. Milwaukee, WI (20.0)
14. Tulsa, OK (18.6)
15. Pittsburgh, PA (18.4)
16. Indianapolis, IN (17.7)
17. Louisville, KY (17.5)
18. Oakland, CA (17.1)
19. Washington D.C. (17.0)
20. Atlanta, GA (16.7)

http://worldpopulationreview.com/us-cities/cities-with-most-murders/

b) EXPLAIN why New York City is NOT on the list of this top 20 ciies even though it has in total
MORE murders than ten cities on this list.
 6. For YEAR 2018: HERE are murder rates, update for 2018, for the following cities. Note that the
rate is given per 10,000 people:

Convert the rates to a RATE per 100,000 citizens (so that you can compare with values above in 2017):

Chicago
Murders per 10K people: 2.81 RATE per 100,000: ____________
Total murders: 765
Population: 2,725,153

Newark
Murders per 10K people: 3.55 RATE per 100,000:______________
Total murders: 100
Population: 281,450

New Orleans
Murders per 10K people: 4.38 RATE per 100,000:______________
Total murders: 174
Population: 397,208

Baltimore

Murders per 10K people: 5.14 RATE per 100,000:_______________

Total murders: 318

Population: 618,385

East St. Louis, IL

Murders per 10K people: 10.09 RATE per 100,000:______________
Total murders: 27
Population: 26,769

https://journalstar.com/news/national/the-cities-with-the-highest-murder-rates-in-the-
us/collection_153b5890-f3bb-5b58-93cc-dfbda5aa1d8d.html#9

7. Compute the percent change in the murder rate from 2017 to 2018 (using the above data in
problems # 5 and #6) for any THREE of the following cities: Chicago, Baltimore, New Orleans, or
Newark. .

Which of the cities you selected had the most dramatic change in the murder rate from 2017 to
2018?
_________________________________________________________________________________

P.S. For comparison purposes, here are other city rankings worldwide of major crime:

Compare: Where does NYC rank compared to other major cities in the world?

Rank City Homicides per 100,000 per year

1 Tijuana 138

2 Acapulco 111

3 Caracas 100

4 Ciudad Victoria 86

ANSWERS to Percent change Table at the beginning:

Dec. Year-to- Year-to-Date

Dec. Change +/-% Change +/-%
2017 Date 2018 2017
2018
Murder 17 28 -11 -39.3% 295 292 +3 +1.0%
Rape 132 135 -3 -2.2% 1,794 1,467 +327 +22.3%
Robbery 1,065 1,244 -179 -14.4% 12,913 13,993 -1,080 -7.7%
Felony
1,626 1,527 +99 +6.5% 20,208 20,163 +45 +0.2%
Assault
Burglary 969 1,032 -63 -6.1% 11,687 12,148 -461 -3.8%
Grand
3,815 3,753 +62 +1.7% 43,558 43,362 +196 0.5%
Larceny
G.L.A. 396 459 -63 -13.7% 5,428 5,665 -237 -4.2%
TOTAL 8,020 8,178 -158 -1.9% 95,883 97,090 -1,207 -1.2%