LESSON PLAN IN STATISTICS AND PROBABILITY

Content Standard: The learner demonstrates understanding of key concepts of

normal probability distribution
Performance Standard: The learners able to accurately formulate and solve real-
life problems in different disciplines INVOLVING NORMAL DISTRIBUTION
Code: M11/12SP-IIIc-d-1

I. OBJECTIVES

1. Compute probabilities and percentiles using the standard normal table

2. Relate problems involving probabilities and percentiles using standard
normal table
II. SUBJECT MATTER:
Main Topic: Normal Distribution
Sub-topic: Computes probabilities and percentiles using the standard
normal table
Reference: (https://Probability and Statistics@yahoo.com
Materials: Power point, Manila paper, pen
III. PROCEDURE
1. Preliminary activities
a. Prayer
b. Checking of Attendance
c. Review (Converting a normal random variable to a standard normal
variable and vice versa)
2. Development of the lesson
Present in the class an example on how to compute the percentile under standard
normal table.

Example1. Suppose that you enter a fishing contest. The contest takes place in a
pond where the fish lengths have a normal distribution with mean 16 inches and
standard deviation 4 inches. Now suppose you want to know what length marks the
bottom 10 percent of all the fish lengths in the pond. What percentile are you
looking for?

Being at the bottom 10 percent means you have a "less-than" probability that's
equal to 10 percent, and you are at the 10th percentile.
 Step 1a and translate the problem. In this case, because you're dealing with a
"less-than" situation, you want to find x such that p(X < x) = 0.10. This represents
the 10th percentile for X. The following figure shows a picture of this situation.

Bottom 10 percent of fish in the pond, according to length.

Now go to Step 2, which says to find the 10th percentile for Z.

Looking in the body of the Z-table, the probability closest to 0.10 is 0.1003, which
falls in the row for z = –1.2 and the column for 0.08. That means the 10th
percentile for Z is –1.28; so a fish whose length is 1.28 standard deviations below
the mean marks the bottom 10 percent of all fish lengths in the pond.

But exactly how long is that fish, in inches? In Step 3, you change the z-value back
to an x-value (fish length in inches) using the z-formula solved for x; you get x =
16 + –1.28[4] = 10.88 inches. So 10.88 inches marks the lowest 10 percent of fish
lengths. Ten percent of the fish are shorter than that.

Group Activity/ Divide the class into 4 group. Each group will do the
activity with presentation of their output.

Vehicle speeds at a highway location have a normal distribution with a mean of 65

mph and a standard deviation of 5 mph.

What is the probability that a randomly selected car is going 73 mph or less?
 1. How did you find the activity?
2. Did you enjoy the activity?
3. How did you come up with your answer?
4. What have you observed the answers of the other group?

C) Abstraction
→ A percentile (or a centile) is a measure used in statistics indicating the value
below which a given percentage of observations in a group of observations fall
→ A probability distribution is a statistical function that describes all the possible
values and likelihoods that a random variable can take within a given range. This
range will be between the minimum and maximum statistically possible values, but
where the possible value is likely to be plotted on the probability distribution
depends on a number of factors, including the distributions,standard
deviation,skewness,kurtosis. Here are the steps for finding any percentile for a
normal distribution X:

1. 1a.If you're given the probability (percent) less than x and you need to find x,
you translate this as: Find a where p(X < a) = p (and p is the given
probability).

That is, find the pth percentile for X. Go to Step 2.

2. 1b.If you're given the probability (percent) greater than x and you need to
find x, you translate this as: Find b where p(X > b) = p (and p is given).

Rewrite this as a percentile (less-than) problem: Find b where p(X < b) = 1 –

p. This means find the (1 – p)th percentile for X.

3. Find the corresponding percentile for Z by looking in the body of the Z-table
(see below) and finding the probability that is closest to p (from Step 1a) or
1 – p (from Step 1b).

Find the row and column this probability is in (using the table backwards).
This is the desired z-value.

4. Change the z-value back into an x-value (original units) by using

You've (finally!) found the desired percentile for X. The formula in this step
is just a rewriting of the z-formula,
 D) Application

 The mean BMI for men aged 60 is 29 with a standard deviation of 6.

 The mean BMI for women aged 60 the mean is 28 with a standard deviation
of 7.

What is the 90th percentile of BMI for men?

IV. ASSESSMENT

The length of similar components produced by a company are

approximated by a normal distribution model with a mean of 5 cm and a standard
deviation of 0.02 cm. If a component is chosen at random

a) what is the probability that the length of this component is between 4.98 and
5.02 cm?

b) what is the probability that the length of this component is between 4.96 and
5.04 cm?

Prepared by:

ERNEL M. BALLESTEROS
TELAFAS NATIONAL HIGH SCHOOL
SULTAN KUDARAT DIVISION

09199936861