PROGNOSTIC

METHODS
IN PREDICTIVE MAINTENANCE
APPLICATIONS
1 Knowledge-Based
Prognostics
Knowledge-based prognostics relies on
expert knowledge and domain expertise to
predict the future behavior and health of
systems or machinery.

Human operators and maintenance

personnel make predictions by evaluating
machine, process and environmental
conditions and determine actions to be taken
with their expertise.
2 Data-Driven Prognostics
Data-driven prognostics is a methodology
that relies on analyzing historical data
to predict the future behavior and
health of a system or machinery.

Data-driven prognostics can incorporate

diverse data sources beyond sensors,
including maintenance logs, environmental
conditions, and operational parameters.
By integrating multiple data streams
and applying advanced analytics techniques,
the model captures complex relationships
and provides more accurate predictions
about system health and future failures.
3 Hybrid Models
Hybrid models in prognostics combine
the strengths of knowledge-based and
data-driven approaches to achieve
more accurate and robust predictions.

The integration of knowledge-based and

data-driven approaches in a hybrid model
enhances accuracy, robustness, and
adaptability in prognostics. It enables better
decision-making, optimized maintenance
planning, and improved asset performance.
4 Physics-Based Models
Physics-based prognostics, also known as
model-based prognostics, involves using
an in-depth understanding of the fundamental
physics and principles of a system to predict
its future behavior and health.

These models are built on physical equations

and mathematical models that govern the
system's operation, considering factors such as
material properties, structural dynamics, forces,
vibrations, and other physical phenomena.