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Postcommunist Aid Negotiation A Review of Recent Research
Postcommunist Aid Negotiation A Review of Recent Research
Postcommunist Aid Negotiation A Review of Recent Research
To cite this article: David Lehrer & Anna Korhonen (2004) Postcommunist aid negotiation:
a review of recent research, Cambridge Review of International Affairs, 17:3, 593-616, DOI:
10.1080/0955757042000298192
Article views: 78
Abstract The essay synthesises ‘stylised prescriptions’ from review of recent research
on interactions of postcommunist countries and the West since 1989. The essay
considers aid negotiation by postcommunist recipients and multilateral and bilateral
donors in economic reform, democratisation, civil society development, environmental
policy, the social sector and science and education, and the effects of East–West
interactions on those of postcommunist countries with each other. Drawing on concepts
from the study of international negotiations, and on research on postcommunist
countries by scholars from social science and policy disciplines in the US, EU and
Russia, the essay builds on a dialogue that began during the second Aleksanteri Seminar
organised in 2002 by the Aleksanteri Institute in Helsinki. This scholarly dialogue
proposes greater attention in transitological debates to the interactive process of aid
negotiation, to ‘donor congestion’ in the postcommunist space, and to its (intended and
unintended) effects.
1
The authors acknowledge the substantial aid the essay has received from the scholars
and practitioners cited in the text, as well as the institutional and financial support of the
Aleksanteri Institute and the German Marshall Fund of the United States. The authors
wish to thank all those who commented on and assisted with this essay, including Risto
Alapuro and attendees of the sociology seminar of Risto Eräsaari and Arto Noro in the
University of Helsinki; participants in the Russian and East European studies seminar led
by Markku Kivinen in the Aleksanteri Institute; Gerd Grözinger, Peter Kraus and
participants in the political sociology colloquium of Claus Offe in the Humboldt-Univer-
sität in Berlin; Kristian Gerner and participants in the Nordic Academy for Advanced
Study (NorFA) workshop on Identities in Transition led by Ilkka Liikanen in Tallinn;
Ana-Maria Vasiliu; Eugénia da Conceição-Heldt; Roxane Farmanfarmaian and the editors
of CRIA; two anonymous reviewers; and Tron Harald Torneby, Lars Ove Gidske and
Mari Bræck of the Faculty of Social Sciences of the University of Oslo. All errors,
omissions, and opinions expressed remain the authors’ own.
6
It departs from dependency theory (Evans 1979) in attending not only to economic
policies and aggregate effects of foreign actors on recipient countries (Stallings 1992), but
also to specific aid encounters.
7
The essay does not critique the technocratic discourse of multilateral and bilateral
donors or international advisors, but employs the terms of this discourse in its analysis
of donor-recipient interaction. The essay refers to the empirical generalisations below as
‘lessons’ or ‘lessons learnt’—terms bespeaking efficiency, rationality, progress, and
growth—eliding the fact that these ‘lessons’ largely have not been, and may not be,
learned.
8
The Aleksanteri Institute (Finnish Centre for Russian and East European Studies)
was founded at the University of Helsinki in 1996 as a national centre for the study of
Russia and other countries of the former Soviet bloc. The Aleksanteri Seminar (now the
Aleksanteri Conference) annually invites scholars, government officials, policy analysts,
and civil society activists to discuss an issue of scientific and social relevance.
9
Abbreviated below as WAP.
596 David Lehrer and Anna Korhonen
An Empirical Turn
While debate on postcommunist transformation began with conflicts among
archetypal reform ‘models’ such as ‘markets’ vs. ‘central planning’, ‘Europe’ vs.
‘non-Europe’ and ‘West’ vs. ‘East’, a decade-and-a-half of postcommunist aid
experience has generated sufficient data on the aid process (and its effects) to
render aid negotiation fertile ground for investigation and analysis, and also of
importance to debates on democratisation, European integration, transatlantic
cooperation, economic development and nation building.
The mainstreams of these debates have themselves begun to acknowledge
the limited usefulness of the reified, ideal-typical concepts of ‘market’ or
‘democracy’ that have anchored much of the social science and policy discourses
on postcommunist countries (Przeworski 1991), and that have largely consti-
tuted those discourses more generally during the postcommunist period
(Smelser 2001). In the early 1990s, donor agencies, recipient governments and
international advisors turned to the social sciences for ‘models’ of what success-
ful postcommunist countries might eventually become, privileging macroeco-
nomic ‘models’, interventions and outcomes (Lehrer 2003). Many supposed that
if the right ‘model’ (of a postcommunist country, and of Western intervention)
could be synthesised from the ‘stylised facts’ of economics, then a successful
‘transition’ to an expanded West could be effected in a few years (Murrell 1995;
Blinder 1992). Early transition debates centred on whether these ‘models’ should
be transferred via ‘gradualism’ or ‘shock therapy’ (Sachs 1993; Åslund 1990,
1995).
When economics failed to predict (actual) or to eventuate (desired) transition
outcomes—or to explain what went wrong—economists blamed postcommunist
countries’ failures to instantiate abstract ‘models’ of market economy on ‘straw
men’ from neighbouring disciplines. Policymakers’ failure to liberalise, privatise
and marketise economies was thus attributed to ‘politics’ (Williamson and
Haggard 1994; Przeworski 1991); the failure of even those Western-prescribed
policies that were implemented to have their intended effects was attributed to
lacunæ in the ‘rule of law’ (Kennedy 2003; Sachs and Pistor 1997). Political
scientists, in turn, took economists to task for failing to account either for new
interests and cleavages consolidating around (wholly or partially) reformed
economic structures (where reforms were attempted) (Hellman 1998b), or for
interests that emerged during the advisory process itself (Ioniţă and Muntean
2004). In countries in which reforms were stillborn or ineffectual, political
scientists blamed ‘history’, or ‘path dependency’ (Ekiert 1999; Beyer and Wiel-
gohs 2001). Sociologists and anthropologists have blamed transition’s unexpec-
ted and divergent outcomes on Marriott Brigade advisors (lawyers and
economists) (Wedel 2001); these ‘technopols’ (Williamson 1992), in turn, have
blamed ‘geography’ (Sachs 1999; Kopstein and Reilly 2001). Fifteen years may be
early yet for historians or philosophers to point fingers.
Postcommunist Aid Negotiation 597
The transitologic literature has turned away from reform prescriptions and
post hoc explanations based largely on neoclassical economic theory (Seliger
2002), via expanded donor focus on ‘social capital’, ‘sustainability’, ‘governance’
and ‘institutions’; attention by economists themselves to relationships between
legacy institutional configurations and economic growth (Rodrik et al. 2002;
North 1990) and to constraints on growth due to the diffuse agency chains of
reformed institutions (Stiglitz 1999, 2001); and an acknowledgement of the roles
of civil society and the private sector in reform that has supplanted inordinate
attention to Western advisors and recipient central governments as authors and
implementers of economic policy (and thereby of transition). The turn from
economic-market and democratic-political ‘models’ toward comparative empiri-
cal research into ongoing reform processes (Anderson et al. 2001), and into the
complex, multi-party interactions that shape those processes, is reflected in the
call by Davis and Dombrowski (2000) to unravel ‘the empirical mystery of how,
and how much, external donors have influenced postcommunist transitions’ and
by Cooley (2003) to compare the relative efficacy of major ‘external actors’ in
postcommunist transformations.
While it is a truism that parties enter negotiations with distinct sets of
interests (Raiffa 1985; Sebenius 1983), which may change over time (Cross 1996),
but which each party seeks to promote through agreement, the research re-
viewed below suggests that attention to the complexity and interconnection
(Conconi and Perroni 2001) of postcommunist donor-recipient interactions
(rather than only to discrete projects, countries and donors) may expose patholo-
gies and perverse effects of intent, interaction and outcome due to failure by all
parties to acknowledge the contexts and interrelations of distinct negotiations
and due to privileging of particular interests and interested groups at others’
expense.
The lessons below derive largely from missed opportunities of coordination,
information-sharing, and identification of complementary interests and appro-
priate beneficiaries. Aid negotiations present a dual cooperation problem: recipi-
ent groups compete to receive aid, and donors compete to dispense it. Donors
and recipients have been asymmetrical in power and scope, and coordination
within and between the two parties has been limited. Donors may attempt to
organise under joint ‘frameworks’ or through market-like competition, but
neither solves the problem of donor congestion: too many actors and interests
trafficking the aid negotiation space.
Certain themes and motifs emerge repeatedly across the sample of postcom-
munist interactions on which the lessons are based, as do commonalities and
differences with aid negotiations elsewhere. Had the lessons of prior aid experi-
ence in Latin America, South Asia, and Sub-Saharan Africa been more systemat-
ically transferred, perhaps some of the lost output, corruption, instability,
violence and trauma of the postcommunist experience might have been avoided.
Among the reasons for failure identified by earlier studies of aid effectiveness
are overriding donor focus on commercial and political motives; lack of sensi-
tivity to local circumstances; poor project design; the unfavourable political
situations of recipient countries; recipient governments’ tendency to favour
prestigious projects with little impact on development; weak recipient adminis-
tration and lack of interest in implementation; difficulties in finding matching
funding; and missed opportunities to learn from experience (Cassen et al.
598 David Lehrer and Anna Korhonen
1994)—all of which the lessons below reflect. Some of the lessons may be
applicable to other multilateral and bilateral aid negotiations. Others are more
specific to the players and sites of postcommunist transformation.
service reform in the countries preparing for EU accession, and to manage donor
interaction (from the recipient, rather than the donor, side). Yet while centralis-
ing recipient decision-making in lead agencies may facilitate coordination of aid
administration across donors and even across sectors over time, its value can be
limited when the agency’s position with respect to government structures is
ambiguous.
Temmes (WAP) notes that even the form that aid takes may lack coordination
across donors: Some donors define aid as loans to be carefully repaid, while
others define aid along a continuum ranging through considerably softer loans
to grants. Multiple concurrent financing instruments may generate mixed mes-
sages and conflicting pressures on recipient countries long after aid has been
disbursed, creating incentives to play one donor against another.
12
USAID (United States Agency for International Development) is a US federal agency
conducting bilateral assistance programmes.
602 David Lehrer and Anna Korhonen
Aid to promote democratisation and civil society has also been channelled
through local NGOs in Southeastern Europe. Donors have used the number of
NGOs to gauge levels of democratisation attained, yet NGO proliferation is
often an artefact of aid disbursement, Steven Sampson argues in ‘What Really
Happens When We Export Democracy: Experiences from the Balkans’ (WAP).
NGO channels of aid administration and disbursement have led a Western-
oriented, grant-focused NGO elite to draw talented members of recipient soci-
eties away from less lucrative positions in government and enterprise.
Seminar lecture, ‘The Peacock and the Sparrow: The Symbolic and the Mundane
in Aid to Eastern Europe’, donors paid large sums, under the rubric of democ-
racy promotion, to the 1996 political campaign of Boris Yeltsin to render his
defeat in free elections impossible.
Knowing with whom one is dealing means thoroughly understanding recipi-
ent country administrative cultures, internal constituencies and their needs, asserts
Irina Dezhina in ‘Policy, Activity and Impact of International Organisations
Providing Assistance to Russian Science (1992–2002)’ (WAP). In the early 1990s,
donors’ lack of detailed knowledge of countries emerging from behind the Iron
Curtain might have been understandable. Demand for technical assistance in the
CIS countries during the early 1990s, Piirainen (WAP) notes, soon overwhelmed
Western consultancies’ culturally competent labour supply. Yet a decade-and-a-
half after the fall of communism, such understanding remains insufficient.
Recipient social relations and agendas, and relationships between donor and
recipient representatives, largely determine outcomes of aid interactions (Wedel
2001); donors’ knowledge of social relations under communism is thus crucial to
understanding with whom they are dealing in postcommunist countries. The
‘inadequate capacity of local counterparts to participate’ has limited the effective-
ness of social sector technical assistance projects in the CIS countries (Piirainen,
WAP). Temmes (WAP) and Piirainen (WAP) note that designation of counterpart
ministries for civil service or social sector reform in donor and recipient countries
has led donors to expect recipient ministries to operate according to the same
organisational logic as their own, and to be capable of supporting technical
cooperation, when in fact they might not be. Former Sovietologists and area
studies specialists within and outside the postcommunist countries blame late-
comers to the region for advocating programmes without understanding the
specific cultures involved. Cooley (2003) echoes Temmes’ assertion regarding
capacity-building projects ‘twinning’ donor and recipient bureaucratic agencies:
donors often assume that recipient agencies play roles similar to those in their
own countries. Temmes notes that projects building recipient agency administrat-
ive capacity ‘without truly redefining their Soviet-era organisational roles and
responsibilities’ may do more harm than good.
Donors’ failure to understand the marked differences between postcommunist
social structures and those in donor countries have resulted in attempts to build
a broad-based, community-centred civil society that instead created a Western-ori-
ented NGO elite skilled at winning Western grants, stratifying recipient societies
by making a few better off, rather than improving the condition of the ordinary
or worst-off (Sampson, WAP).
Aid’s timing, Mau and Yanovskiy argue, has been crucial to its effects in
particular postcommunist countries. In Slovenia, the major share of multilateral
aid was disbursed during the rise to power of a reformist government, facilitat-
ing a process already taking place within the country. In Romania, the bulk of
international aid was disbursed during the ascendancy of a socialist govern-
ment, with little liberalising effect. When Romania’s reformist Constantinescu
government presented a new ‘window of opportunity’ (a reformist government
backed by a parliamentary majority) in 1996, large sums had already been
disbursed by donors, little further aid was forthcoming, and the government and
its promised reforms faltered. Spence (WAP) cautions, however, against identify-
ing particular leaders or governments as ‘reformers’ or ‘non-reformers’, citing
the Akayev government in the Kyrgyz Republic. Governments might substan-
tially reform the economy and join the WTO, while consolidating in domestic
politics what an official in Kazakhstan has dubbed ‘authoritarian democracy’.
If governments lack the history, institutions, and capacity to engage with
donors and domestic groups in ways conducive to reform, help from outside
may be unhelpful at best. Hopkins (2000) notes that in the ‘anarchical states’
most in need of aid, ‘state failure’ may lead donor initiatives to fail as well. The
US General Accounting Office (2000) review of US and European aid to Russia
underscores the donor consensus (Andersen 2000) that recipient ownership,
partnership, and participation are necessary prerequisites for aid’s success,
advising donors to focus aid on areas in which Russians indicate readiness to
reform. This may, however, favour programmes with near-term results, rather
than those with longer time horizons but greater importance (Davis and Dom-
browski 2000). Carothers (1999) argues that democracy assistance has been
helpful only in countries ‘willing to democratise’. Cooley (2003) argues that
apparent willingness is insufficient, as in CIS countries in which the effect of aid
has been ‘constrained by Soviet-era practices, extensive, corrupt bureaucracies,
and top-down patronage networks’, a finding echoed by Spence (WAP).
There is emerging consensus in the aid community, contrary to the World
Bank’s earlier privileging of ‘economic’ and ‘social’ over ‘political’ consider-
ations in aid allocation, that aid ought to be channelled to the poorest countries
that also practice good governance (Piirainen, WAP). Yet among Tacis pro-
gramme recipients, ‘only Mongolia could without hesitation be said to qualify
for assistance on both counts: it is a poor country with a GDP per capita of
approximately $400, it has a relatively efficient and honest public administration
at all levels, and poverty reduction and social issues are given a priority status
in government policy’ (Piirainen, WAP).
Donors might bridge the gap between recipient words and deeds through
conditionality (Cooley 2003), yet this depends on donors’ ability to enforce
compliance with conditions, and says little about the side-effects, highlighted by
critics of World Bank Group structural adjustment programmes, of those condi-
tions. The World Bank’s (1998) own assessment of ‘what works…and why’ in
aid negotiation notes that ‘donor financing with strong conditionality but
without strong domestic leadership and political support has generally failed to
produce lasting change’.
13
In Eastern Germany, in contrast, the federal government has spent over one trillion
euro on refurbishing infrastructure, subsidising local governments and providing welfare
benefits (Benoit 2004), while largely replacing GDR with West German institutions, and
without allocating comparable funds to develop ‘local’ institutions or to facilitate adap-
tation (Offe 1996b).
14
Phare (Poland Hungary Reconstruction Programme) is the European Union’s assist-
ance programme for candidate and acceding countries.
15
While Williamson has downplayed connections between a ‘Washington consensus’
and neoliberalism—or neoconservatism—other commentators use these terms inter-
changeably (Williamson 2000).
606 David Lehrer and Anna Korhonen
utility in Russia. Funding began in 1993, with the Finnish Ministry of the
Environment as sole donor, and has continued over more than a decade,
primarily under EBRD16 auspices, with participation of other donors including
the Nordic and European Investment Banks, DFID,17 the Danish Environmen-
tal Protection Agency and Tacis.
While both donors and recipient shared compelling interests in ensuring
adequate wastewater treatment so close to the Baltic Sea, the scope of the
attention to St. Petersburg’s water sector may also have contributed to its
success. One phase of this initiative, the development of a wastewater treat-
ment plant for over €160 million with more than a dozen donor counterparts,
scheduled for completion in 2005, has emerged as one of the largest environ-
mental projects in Europe. Häyrynen (WAP) asserts that this cooperative donor
initiative in St. Petersburg has had measurable positive effects on the water
sector and on the Baltic Sea, although from a broader organisational and
societal perspective Vodokanal’s modernisation involved Russians’ adapta-
tions to Western organisational practices rather than shared learning by donors
and recipient. Such a large, cooperative, multi-donor project may have suc-
ceeded by minimising donor competition and congestion—endogenising a
coordination problem that might otherwise have manifested itself within the
sector, making this instead a coordination problem within the project. Donors
could reliably share information not only in the contexts of high policy, high
office and high concept but also in routine on-the-ground operations within a
common overall programme. Thus the project ensured that the water sector
was neither neglected nor oversubscribed by conflicting donor approaches or
by multiple projects competing for recipient administrative resources—as has
been the case in many other countries and sectors.
16
EBRD (European Bank for Reconstruction and Development) is a multilateral facility
for financing private enterprise and assistance programmes in postcommunist countries.
17
DFID (Department for International Development) is the official bilateral assistance
agency of the UK government.
608 David Lehrer and Anna Korhonen
Yet the history of aid negotiation between ‘West’ and ‘East’ suggests that it
is difficult to transmit expertise without transferring models, to teach just
literacy while reading only the Bible. Donors may not be able to support
institutional development without imposing institutional models. Perhaps, how-
ever, models might be constructed interactively, in an evolutionary way, within
the transforming societies themselves. Under the prevailing ground rules of aid
provision, dominated by donor models, interests, conditions and projects, who
would fund such an endeavour?
20
Donor distribution across postcommunist countries has not been uniform; some
countries have seen intensive donor activity, while others have suffered relative neglect.
610 David Lehrer and Anna Korhonen
across sectors and levels of society on the lower left, multiple donors transact
‘vertically’ with multiple recipients in a particular postcommunist country, with
little ‘horizontal’ (peer) coordination or interaction among donors or among
recipients. ‘Congestion’ may occur when donor traffic is heavy, overlapping, and
little directed or controlled. In the model on the lower right, perfect coordination
by donors, without coordination by recipients, might function like the single-
donor model on the upper right, or as an iterated set of such non-overlapping
interactions.
Perhaps, as in the hypothetical model in the centre of the figure, donor
congestion might be alleviated not by fewer but rather by more complex
communicative links between and among donors and recipients, were such links
to privilege recipient coaching, monitoring and information-sharing of, by and
with each other.
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