@ DATA ORBITAL
To: Blake Masters
From: George Khalaf, Pollster
Regarding: Arizona CD8 Republican Primary Survey
Date: October 24th 2023
Overview
‘A mixed-mode survey of Republican Primary voters in Arizona's Eighth Congressional District found
that President Donald J. Trump commands a dominant favorabilty position (+54.7%) with voters in
the district, and that Blake Masters would enter the race with a commanding lead. Despite enduring
more than $50 million in negative ads in 2022, Masters nearly doubles his nearest opponent, has
strong favorability rating, and is seen as the most conservative candidate in the race. Blake Masters is
positioned fo be the next Congressman from Arizona's Eighth should he decide to run.
Name ID and Favorabili
Blake Masters starts out with near ubiquitous name ID (92.7%) and considerably higher net
favorabilty (+26%) than any other candidate polled. Blake's advantage becomes even clearer when
factoring in the low number of voters who ore undecided (2.2%) or unfamiliar with Blake (7.3%). He
is known and he is popular. His closest opponent, Abe Hamedeh—despite having run statewide and
remained in the news over the last year—has a real name ID problem. A full third of GOP primary
voters have never heard of him; more than half have no opinion of him. Given that the district sits
entirely in the Phoenix media market, Hamadeh would have a steep and expensive hill o climb
simply to match where Masters is today
Ballot Test
Masters stars out wth a double-digit
lead in a mulicandidate race with
33.2% of the vote. Hamadeh comes
in a distant second at 18.4%. The final
two candidates combine for 12.3%.
Blake maintains a double-digit lead
even in a head-to-head matchup with
Hamadeh, where Blake holds a
39.4% to 27.2% lead.
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Ideological Perception
The survey sheds additional light on how voters perceive Masters and Hamadeh ideologically
Whereas 58.9% of respondents see Masters as Conservative, ust 41.6% consider Hamadeh o
Conservative, Masters's perceived ideological alignment, along with his superior name recognition,
further cements his status as the frontrunner should he enter the Arizona CD8 Republican primary.
Data Orbital is « leading data and survey research firm specializing in local, state, and national
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