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FICCI ANAROCK Industrial Logistics Report2022
FICCI ANAROCK Industrial Logistics Report2022
FICCI ANAROCK Industrial Logistics Report2022
& LOGISTICS
Rapidly Gaining Momentum,
Providing Enormous Opportunities
Contents
02 Foreword
16 Retail
24 Outlook
2
Foreword
WAREHOUSE IS A
FUNDAMENTAL PART OF
BUSINESS INFRASTRUCTURE
AND IS ONE OF THE KEY
ENABLERS IN THE GLOBAL
SUPPLY CHAIN.
GETAMBER ANAND
Co-Chairman, FICCI Real Estate
Committee and Chairman &
MD, ATS Infrastructure Ltd.
ANUJ PURI
ANAROCK Group Chairman
20.3%
The recent measures by the Reserve Bank
of India (RBI) to increase the policy rates are
-6.60%
-23.8%
5.4%
8.5%
7.5%
4.1%
7.1%
4.6%
5.4%
0.7%
3.3%
1.6%
aimed at striking a balance between achieving
3%
FY24 (F)
Q2 FY20
FY23 (F)
Q3 FY22
Q2 FY22
Q1 FY20
Q4 FY21
Q3 FY21
Q2 FY21
Q1 FY22
Q1 FY21
135.1
129.5
126.1
124.1
122.8
107.9
54
Apr-20
Jun-20
Sep-20
Dec-20
Apr-21
Jun-21
Sept-21
Dec-21
Mar-22
Apr-22
Indian cities contribute nearly 60% compared to the previous year, the PFCE
to the national economy but occupy increased by 17% in 2021-22.
only 3% of the geographical space.
Thus, urbanization is the key to future Private Final Consumption Expenditure
developments.
1,40,95,405
1,20,32,762
1,22,37,111
1,12,73,989
India Urbanisation Rate
1,00,97,424
91,76,090
81,72,982
72,81,668
39.15%
65,15,958
37.34%
35.80%
56,51,158
34.53%
33.89%
33.24%
49,35,996
33.57%
34.21%
32.59%
32.26%
32.91%
31.59%
31.93%
31.26%
2011-12
2012-13
2013-14
2014-15
2015-16
2016-17
2017-18
2018-19
2019-20
2020-21
2021-22
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2025 (P)
2030 (P)
2036 (P)
ANAROCK Grroup
8
Infrastructure has always been a key enabler to movement of people, goods, and services from
transform the economic situation of countries one mode of transport to another. It will facilitate
across the globe. In the previous century, South the last mile connectivity of infrastructure and
Korea and China witnessed unprecedented reduce travel time for people, lower the logistics
growth post the development of several cost and improve export competitiveness.
multimodal corridors in their countries. Recently, the National Highways Authority
of India (NHAI) set Guinness World Record
India is on the path of a similar economic for laying a 75 km highway in just 5 days.
transformation through the upgrade of all Nearly 10,457 km of national highways were
types of physical infrastructure. The Gati Shakti constructed in FY22 1. While it is 22% lesser than
programme has been implemented by the the previous year due to the Omicron wave, it
government to enhance multimodal connectivity shows the government’s focus on infrastructure
across railways, roads, ports, and waterways. development. All these are expected to benefit
These multimodal corridors are aimed to provide the economic growth of the nation.
integrated and seamless connectivity for the
1
Industry estimates
9
• India plans to spend USD 1.4 trillion under the • Previously only USD 1.1 trillion was spent
Gati Shakti programme to upgrade the nation’s on infrastructure in the decade between
physical infrastructure 2 2008-17 3
28% 24%
OTHERS ENERGY
19%
ROADS
13%
RAILWAYS
ANAROCK Grroup
3
Industry estimates
Industry estimates
16%
URBAN Source: Compiled by ANAROCK Research
10
4
pib.gov.in
5
Economic Survey FY’22
Industrial & Logistics
11
ANAROCK Grroup
Rapidly Gaining Momentum, Providing Enormous Opportunities
12
The logistics sector has been an important (as per industry estimates), thereby making
part of the Indian economy that supports Indian exports more competitive.
the development of manufacturing and the
e-commerce sector. The sector’s importance • The Gati Shakti programme is driven by
was felt particularly during the COVID-19 seven engines: roads, airports, railways, mass
pandemic in 2020 when the supply chain of transport, logistics, infrastructure,
drugs, essentials, vaccines, and oxygen was and waterways.
challenged but carried out efficiently. • A collaborative and institutional mechanism
The sector currently is a frontrunner with a between all stakeholders including central and
market size of USD 250 billion, as per the state governments, local bodies, and
industry estimates. It is projected to grow to service providers.
USD 380 billion by 2025. However, the logistics • The project valued at USD 1.4 trillion is
and supply chain cost in India is estimated to aimed to ensure faster implementation of
account for 13% to 14% of the GDP compared development projects through technology,
to 8% to 10% in the developed nations, as per leading to more efficient delivery
industry estimates. The government is working
on a plan to reduce it to 10%. This aim to reduce • Budgetary allocation of around USD 2.7 billion
the cost gains significance as the country aspires was done in 2022-23 to initiate and mobilize
to increase its merchandise exports from USD the programme
422 billion in FY22 to USD 1.0 trillion in FY28
13
• Nearly 50% of the exports over the last five Cash Digital
years have been through the MSMEs. 8 28% Payments
72%
• They have a strong influence in the rural
markets with nearly 325 lakh units. 9
Retail :
A dominant economic driver that drives
production and distribution
India’s high population base of 130 million and The market size of the Indian retail sector is
the rising millennial population, together with expected to grow at a CAGR of 9% between
a rising rate of urbanization further propel the 2019 to 2030 and is estimated to be over USD
nation’s consumption-driven economy. The 1.8 trillion.13
growth in private consumption opens a huge
market for the retail sector.
Market Size of Retail (USD Bn)
The sector’s resilience was observed in 2021
when the sector recovered to achieve nearly
1,884
2020
2026 (F)
2030 (F)
10
BCG-RAI April 2022 report | 11 CMIE Data | 12 IBEF | 13 IBEF
17
As the sector grows and the influx of foreign The share of organized retail is seen to be
investors and brands continues, organized retail growing at a CAGR of 20% to 25% every
is likely to grow faster in the times to come. year. As per the Festive Shopping Index
A country with large and diverse geography, 2021 by the Retailers Association of India
culture, and living habits has been responsible (RAI), people looking forward to shopping
for the domination of the unorganized retail during the festive season has increased to
market, which continues to dominate the sector. 94% from 80% during the previous year.
However, the exposure to brands and their ~63% of the people are looking to buy
availability with selected customizations for apparel and fashion brands.14
the locals has resulted in a rising share of the
organized retail segment.
Organised Retail
9%
E-commerce
3% 10%
to GDP and employs 8% of
the working class
Traditional retail
88%
Source: Industry Estimates, Compiled by Anarock Research
ANAROCK Grroup
14
Festive Shopping Index 2021, RAI
18
It is interesting to observe that the business • Digital transactions of retail payments in 2021
activities among micro-retailers are reaching were estimated to be 98% compared to 97% a
pre-COVID levels, as they are adopting digital year ago.
business tools to drive efficiency and growth.
The micro-retail players are increasingly taking • Relaxed FDI norms allowing 100% participation
up digital book-keeping solutions, and adopting in Cash & Carry and Single Brand Retail
omnichannel strategies, as it makes this task segments through automatic route together
simpler and there is a demand coming from with 51% in Multi-Brand Retail is expected to
small towns and hinterlands. This has created witness further growth of the organized and
an opportunity to scale up the e-commerce e-commerce segments.
business in India. • Implementation of GST as a unified tax regime
has enabled procurement and distribution
E-commerce Market in India (USD Bn) across the geographies.
2020
2021
2026 (F)
15
BCG-RAI April 2022 report
ANAROCK Grroup Industrial & Logistics
19
350
G
R
A
C
%
.4
22 111
46
2020 2025 (F) 2030 (F)
• Sectoral Changes
• Increased FDI in the defense sector from
49% to 74%
• Faster environment clearances for setting
pharma industries; Reduce the number of
drugs in the ‘restricted for exports’ category
• 13 Indian states have formalized an ‘Electric
Vehicle’ policy to attract the setting up of its
manufacturing units
Schemes
Below mentioned schemes were implemented in
April 2020.
Land Reforms
Draft National Logistics Policy – The policy is at and may reduce the
the near-finalization stage and will be released transportation cost.
soon. It aims to bring down the logistics cost (%
of GDP) to 9%-10% from 13%-14% currently.
24
Outlook
India is a developing country with 130 million led lockdowns across the globe highlighted
people, 2nd highest in the world. It has huge the need for China plus one strategy for
upside growth potential due to its large manufacturing as the supply chain for various
domestic consumer base. However, the share companies was disrupted at the time of forced
of the manufacturing sector in India’s GDP lockdowns in China. These companies are now
shrunk to 13% in 2020 from 17% in 2010 due to looking to shift their base from China or are
the exponential rise in the share of the services keen to open a new manufacturing facility in
sector during the above-stated period. Active other countries and India is a top contender.
participation of private players along with the Robust infrastructure and a liberal policy
Government’s intervention is needed for the environment may entice these companies to set
rapid industrialization in India. up their bases in India which may drive the next
wave of industrialization in India.
The government has introduced a slew of
measures such as the Gati Shakti Programme, The warehousing and logistics sector is as
GST, National Manufacturing Policy, Self-Reliant important as manufacturing. Reasonably priced
Campaign, Land Reforms, and Tax Reforms to storage and transportation is the success
provide necessary infrastructure and policy mantra for many businesses. Considering
support to boost the manufacturing sector the sector’s importance, the government has
across the country. Additionally, COVID-19- timely introduced various reforms such as GST,
25
ANAROCK Grroup
26
About FICCI
Established in 1927, FICCI is the largest and oldest apex business organisation in India. Its history is closely interwoven
with India’s struggle for independence, its industrialization, and its emergence as one of the most rapidly growing global
economies. A non-government, not-for-profit organisation, FICCI is the voice of India’s business and industry. From
influencing policy to encouraging debate, engaging with policy makers and civil society, FICCI articulates the views
and concerns of industry. It serves its members from the Indian private and public corporate sectors and multinational
companies, drawing its strength from diverse regional chambers of commerce and industry across states, reaching out to
over 2,50,000 companies. FICCI provides a platform for networking and consensus building within and across sectors and is
the first port of call for Indian industry, policy makers and the international business community.
Contact Us
Sachin Sharma
Deputy Director – Infrastructure (Real Estate, Urban Infrastructure & Smart Cities)
+91 9643158335
Sachin.sharma@ficci.com
About ANAROCK
ANAROCK is India’s leading independent real estate services company with a presence across India and the
Middle East. The Company has diversified interests across the real estate lifecycle and deploys its proprietary
technology platform to accelerate marketing and sales. The ANAROCK services suite includes Residential
Broking & Technology, Retail (in partnership with Vindico), Commercial, Investment Banking, Hospitality (in
partnership with HVS), Land Services, Industrial and Logistics (in partnership with Binswanger), Investment
Management, Research, Strategic Advisory & Valuations and Project Management Services (in partnership
with Mace), Flexi Spaces (in partnership with myHQ & Upflex) and Society Management Services (acquisition
of ApnaComplex-India/ANACITY-EMEA).
ANAROCK has a team of over 1,800 certified and experienced real estate professionals who operate across all
major Indian and Middle East markets. ANAROCK also manages over 80,000 established channel partners to
ensure global business coverage.
Please visit www.anarock.com.
Authors: Virendra Joshi Sr. VP Research For research services, please contact:
Ashim Bhanja Chowdhury VP Research
Ravindra Kumar Kumawat Sr. Manager Research Prashant Thakur
Gauri Bindal Research Intern Sr. Director & Head of Research