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Punjabdrought
Punjabdrought
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Some of the authors of this publication are also working on these related projects:
Drought and Agricultural Production Nexuses in Punjab: Historical Patterns, Spatiotemporal Variability and Probabilistic Projection View project
Flood Management Characterization and Vulnerability Analysis using an Integrated RS-GIS and 2D Hydrodynamic Modelling Approach View project
All content following this page was uploaded by Saif Haider on 17 April 2023.
Email: *dr.waseem@uet.edu.pk
Abstract: Drought is a natural hazard that can cause several impacts, such as decreasing air and water
quality, land degradation, forest fires, and decreasing crop production. Drought assessment using drought
indices is a way to monitor droughts. Remote-sensing-based indices are defined as an index that use remote
sensing data for mapping the drought condition in a particular area or region. The purpose of this research is
to compare different remote-sensing-based drought indices (TCI, VCI, and VHI) to gain a better understanding
of how they differ from each other, as well as their viability for drought monitoring in districts of Punjab,
Pakistan during the El Nino year of 2009. To do this, we used land surface temperature (LST) and enhanced
vegetation index (EVI) data to construct the indices. The results of the study showed that each index is a useful,
quick, sufficient, and inexpensive tool for drought monitoring. However, each index has its own strengths and
weaknesses. For example, the TCI index was found to be more sensitive to drought conditions during dry
seasons or months when high temperatures occurred. Meanwhile, the VCI index was found to be more sensitive
to drought conditions occurring in the months of April to July, as well as November to December, than the TCI
index. Finally, the VHI index - which is an enhancement of the TCI and VCI indices - was found to provide a
better understanding of drought occurrence by combining the two indicators.
and affordably gathered than observational resolution of 0.05o, and calculated by the
data. [1]. Many drought indices are based on following equation (equation 1):
remote sensing, for example, NDVI 𝐿𝑆𝑇𝑚𝑎𝑥 − 𝐿𝑆𝑇𝑖
(Normalized Difference Vegetation Index), 𝑇𝐶𝐼𝑖 = × 100
𝐿𝑆𝑇𝑚𝑎𝑥 − 𝐿𝑆𝑇𝑚𝑖𝑛
TCI (Temperature Condition Index), VCI where LSTi, LSTmin, and LSTmax are
(Vegetation Condition Index), and VHI defined as the LST of the current month, and
(Vegetation Health Index). Besides being used maximum and minimum LST value in multi-
as drought indices, TCI, VCI, and VHI are year. TCI value ranges from 0-100, while low
classified as vegetation indices that describe TCI indicates an unfavorable condition, and
the condition of vegetation in a particular area. high TCI indicates an optimum condition. In
They are often used for drought monitoring several studies, TCI is also produced from
because they can help categorize areas into brightness temperature [1][7][8]. In addition,
drought classes [6]. TCI identifies vegetation TCI derived from LST was conducted in
stress caused by high temperature, as well as several studies, e.g. [12][13].
excessive wetness [7][8][9]. VCI is VCI was constructed by using EVI (Enhanced
commonly used to identify the changes in Vegetation Index) which is similar to NDVI
vegetation from bad to the optimum condition but passed through the enhancement. EVI has
[7][8]. VHI describes vegetation health from corrected the aerosol in the atmosphere and
the combination of TCI (temperature) and VCI shadow captured by satellite to reduce the bias
(vegetation condition) [8][1]. TCI, VCI, and that can influence EVI values [14]. In this
VHI are remote sensing-based indices used in study, we used MODIS product MOD11A3
this research for drought monitoring in monthly EVI with a spatial resolution of 1 km.
districts of Punjab, Pakistan as a study area, TCI is then calculated by the following
which is one of the agricultural production equation:
centers in Pakistan [10] as shown in figure 1.
The focus period of this research was the year 𝐸𝑉𝐼𝑖 −𝐸𝑉𝐼𝑚𝑖𝑛
𝑉𝐻𝐼𝑖 = 𝐸𝑉𝐼 × 100 (1)
2009 a strong El Nino event [11]. Thus, it may 𝑚𝑎𝑥 −𝐸𝑉𝐼𝑚𝑖𝑛
Figure 1: Study Area TCI, VCI, and VHI were then classified into
five severity classes (see Table 1).
Methodology
The Moderate Resolution Imaging Table 1: Drought severity classes for TCI,
Spectroradiometer (MODIS) datasets were VCI, and VHI
used to calculate remote-sensing-based Severity Class Values
drought indices in this research. MODIS Extreme Drought < 10
datasets were obtained from U.S. Geological Severe Drought < 20
Survey (USGS). TCI was derived by using Moderate Drought < 30
LST (Land Surface Temperature) from Mild Drought < 40
MOD11C3 monthly LST with a spatial No Drought > 40
100
90
80
Figure 3: Bhakkar
90
80
70
these months. The VHI index shows mild to and VHI. In April, the TCI shows no drought
moderate drought during this period. In while the VCI shows severe drought and the
November and December, the TCI index VHI shows mild drought. In May and June,
shows no drought conditions while the VCI the TCI and VHI show severe drought while
index shows severe drought. The VHI index the VCI show extreme drought. In July,
shows mild drought for November and no August, September, and October, the TCI
drought for December. shows mild to no drought while the VCI
shows moderate to no drought and the VHI
90 shows mild to no drought. In November and
80
70
December, the TCI shows no drought while
Areal Extent (%)