Questão 8

p barra 0.
01 k
n 100 alpha 0.018988 2 3 3.5 3.7
k 3 n 50
100
LSC 3.984962 150
LM 1 lambda 200
LIC 0 250
300
alpha 0.0190 aproximação dist Poisson
NMAF 52.66441
alpha 0.0184 usando dist Binomial

NMAF 54.42462 k
NMAF 52.66441 2 3 3.5 3.7
n 50 11.09 #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE!
100 #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE!
4 4.5 4.7 5
4 4.5 4.7 5
#VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE!
p barra 0.01
p_1 0.02 p_1
n 100 Pd 0.1429 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04
k 3 n 100
150
LSC 3.984962 200
LM 1 250
LIC 0 300
350
beta 0.8571 aproximação dist Poisson
Pd 0.1429
NMA 6.99905
beta 0.8590 usando dist Binomial p_1

Pd 0.1410 NMA 6.99905 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04
NMA 7.090266 n 100 52.66 #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE!
0.05 0.06 0.07 0.08 p_1 beta Análise - Erro Tipo II
1.2000 0.00 1.0000
0.01 0.9816
1.0000
0.02 0.8590
0.8000 0.03 0.6472
0.04 0.4295
Risco Beta
0.6000
0.05 0.2578
0.4000 0.06 0.1430
0.07 0.0744
0.2000
0.08 0.0367
0.0000 0.09 0.0173
.000.10
.02 .04 .06 0.0078
08 .10 .12 .14 .16 .18 .20 .22 .24 .26 .28 .3
0 0 0 0 0. 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0.05 0.06 0.07 0.08 0.11 0.0034 p_1
#VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! 0.12 0.0015
0.18 0.0000
0.19 0.0000
0.20 0.0000
0.21 0.0000
0.22 0.0000
0.23 0.0000
0.24 0.0000
0.25 0.0000
0.26 0.0000
0.27 0.0000
0.28 0.0000
0.29 0.0000
0.30 0.0000
0.31 0.0000
0.32 0.0000
0.33 0.0000
0.34 0.0000
0.35 0.0000
0.36 0.0000
0.37 0.0000
0.38 0.0000
0.39 0.0000
0.40 0.0000
0.41 0.0000
0.42 0.0000
0.43 0.0000
0.44 0.0000
0.45 0.0000
0.46 0.0000
0.47 0.0000
0.48 0.0000
0.49 0.0000
0.50 0.0000
0.51 0.0000
0.52 0.0000
0.53 0.0000
0.54 0.0000
0.55 0.0000
0.56 0.0000
0.57 0.0000
0.58 0.0000
0.59 0.0000
0.60 0.0000
0.61 0.0000
0.62 0.0000
0.63 0.0000
0.64 0.0000
0.65 0.0000
0.66 0.0000
0.67 0.0000
0.68 0.0000
0.69 0.0000
0.70 0.0000
0.71 0.0000
0.72 0.0000
0.73 0.0000
0.74 0.0000
0.75 0.0000
0.76 0.0000
0.77 0.0000
0.78 0.0000
0.79 0.0000
0.80 0.0000
0.81 0.0000
0.82 0.0000
0.83 0.0000
0.84 0.0000
0.85 0.0000
0.86 0.0000
0.87 0.0000
0.88 0.0000
0.89 0.0000
0.90 0.0000
0.91 0.0000
0.92 0.0000
0.93 0.0000
0.94 0.0000
0.95 0.0000
0.96 0.0000
0.97 0.0000
0.98 0.0000
0.99 0.0000
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9.63 Err:502
9.64 Err:502
9.65 Err:502
9.66 Err:502
9.67 Err:502
9.68 Err:502
9.69 Err:502
9.70 Err:502
9.71 Err:502
9.72 Err:502
9.73 Err:502
9.74 Err:502
9.75 Err:502
9.76 Err:502
9.77 Err:502
9.78 Err:502
9.79 Err:502
9.80 Err:502
9.81 Err:502
9.82 Err:502
9.83 Err:502
9.84 Err:502
9.85 Err:502
9.86 Err:502
9.87 Err:502
9.88 Err:502
9.89 Err:502
9.90 Err:502
9.91 Err:502
9.92 Err:502
9.93 Err:502
9.94 Err:502
9.95 Err:502
9.96 Err:502
9.97 Err:502
9.98 Err:502
9.99 Err:502
10.00 Err:502
22 .24 .26 .28 .30
0. 0 0 0 0
u barra 0.5 k
n 5 alpha 0.004247 2 3 3.5 3.7
k 3 n 3
c barra 2.5 5
10
LSC 7.24 15
LM 2.5 lambda 20
LIC 0 25
alpha 0.0042
NMAF 235.4772
k
NMAF 235.4772 2 3 3.5 3.7
4 4.5 4.7 5
4 4.5 4.7 5
u barra 0.5
u_1 1.5 u_1
n 5 Pd 0.4754 0.5 1 1.5 2
k 3 n 3
c barra 2.5 5
c_1 7.5 10
15
LSC 7.24 20
LM 2.5 lambda 25
LIC 0
beta 0.5246
Pd 0.4754
NMA 2.103662 u_1
NMA 2.103662 0.5 1 1.5 2
2.5 3 3.5 4 u_1 c_1 Análise
beta - Erro Tipo II
0.00
1.2000 0.00 1.0000
0.50 2.50 0.9958
1.0000
1.00 5.00 0.8666
0.8000
1.50 7.50 0.5246
2.00 10.00 0.2202
Risco Beta
0.6000
2.50 12.50 0.0698
0.4000
3.00 15.00 0.0180
3.50
0.2000 17.50 0.0040
4.00 20.00 0.0008
0.0000
4.5000 50 22.50 0.0001
00 50 00 50 00 50 00 50 00 50 00 50 00 50 00 50 00 50
0. 2. 5. 7. 10. 12. 15. 17. 20. 22. 25. 27. 30. 32. 35. 37. 40. 42. 45. 47. 50
5.00 25.00 0.0000
2.5 3 3.5 4 5.50 27.50 0.0000 c_1
#VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! 6.00 30.00 0.0000
9.00 45.00 0.0000
9.50 47.50 0.0000
10.00 50.00 0.0000
10.50 52.50 0.0000
11.00 55.00 0.0000
11.50 57.50 0.0000
12.00 60.00 0.0000
12.50 62.50 0.0000
13.00 65.00 0.0000
13.50 67.50 0.0000
14.00 70.00 0.0000
14.50 72.50 0.0000
15.00 75.00 0.0000
15.50 77.50 0.0000
16.00 80.00 0.0000
16.50 82.50 0.0000
17.00 85.00 0.0000
17.50 87.50 0.0000
18.00 90.00 0.0000
18.50 92.50 0.0000
19.00 95.00 0.0000
19.50 97.50 0.0000
20.00 100.00 0.0000
20.50 102.50 0.0000
21.00 105.00 0.0000
21.50 107.50 0.0000
22.00 110.00 0.0000
22.50 112.50 0.0000
23.00 115.00 0.0000
23.50 117.50 0.0000
24.00 120.00 0.0000
24.50 122.50 0.0000
25.00 125.00 0.0000
25.50 127.50 0.0000
26.00 130.00 0.0000
26.50 132.50 0.0000
27.00 135.00 0.0000
27.50 137.50 0.0000
28.00 140.00 0.0000
28.50 142.50 0.0000
29.00 145.00 0.0000
29.50 147.50 0.0000
30.00 150.00 0.0000
30.50 152.50 0.0000
31.00 155.00 0.0000
31.50 157.50 0.0000
32.00 160.00 0.0000
32.50 162.50 0.0000
33.00 165.00 0.0000
33.50 167.50 0.0000
34.00 170.00 0.0000
34.50 172.50 0.0000
35.00 175.00 0.0000
35.50 177.50 0.0000
36.00 180.00 0.0000
36.50 182.50 0.0000
37.00 185.00 0.0000
37.50 187.50 0.0000
38.00 190.00 0.0000
38.50 192.50 0.0000
39.00 195.00 0.0000
39.50 197.50 0.0000
40.00 200.00 0.0000
40.50 202.50 0.0000
41.00 205.00 0.0000
41.50 207.50 0.0000
42.00 210.00 0.0000
42.50 212.50 0.0000
43.00 215.00 0.0000
43.50 217.50 0.0000
44.00 220.00 0.0000
44.50 222.50 0.0000
45.00 225.00 0.0000
45.50 227.50 0.0000
46.00 230.00 0.0000
46.50 232.50 0.0000
47.00 235.00 0.0000
47.50 237.50 0.0000
48.00 240.00 0.0000
48.50 242.50 0.0000
49.00 245.00 0.0000
49.50 247.50 0.0000
50.00 250.00 0.0000
50.50 252.50 0.0000
51.00 255.00 0.0000
51.50 257.50 0.0000
52.00 260.00 0.0000
52.50 262.50 0.0000
53.00 265.00 0.0000
53.50 267.50 0.0000
54.00 270.00 0.0000
54.50 272.50 0.0000
55.00 275.00 0.0000
55.50 277.50 0.0000
56.00 280.00 0.0000
56.50 282.50 0.0000
57.00 285.00 0.0000
57.50 287.50 0.0000
58.00 290.00 0.0000
58.50 292.50 0.0000
59.00 295.00 0.0000
59.50 297.50 0.0000
60.00 300.00 0.0000
60.50 302.50 0.0000
61.00 305.00 0.0000
61.50 307.50 0.0000
62.00 310.00 0.0000
62.50 312.50 0.0000
63.00 315.00 0.0000
63.50 317.50 0.0000
64.00 320.00 0.0000
64.50 322.50 0.0000
65.00 325.00 0.0000
65.50 327.50 0.0000
66.00 330.00 0.0000
66.50 332.50 0.0000
67.00 335.00 0.0000
67.50 337.50 0.0000
68.00 340.00 0.0000
68.50 342.50 0.0000
69.00 345.00 0.0000
69.50 347.50 0.0000
70.00 350.00 0.0000
70.50 352.50 0.0000
71.00 355.00 0.0000
71.50 357.50 0.0000
72.00 360.00 0.0000
72.50 362.50 0.0000
73.00 365.00 0.0000
73.50 367.50 0.0000
74.00 370.00 0.0000
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75.50 377.50 0.0000
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78.00 390.00 0.0000
78.50 392.50 0.0000
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82.50 412.50 0.0000
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89.50 447.50 0.0000
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90.50 452.50 0.0000
91.00 455.00 0.0000
91.50 457.50 0.0000
92.00 460.00 0.0000
92.50 462.50 0.0000
93.00 465.00 0.0000
93.50 467.50 0.0000
94.00 470.00 0.0000
94.50 472.50 0.0000
95.00 475.00 0.0000
95.50 477.50 0.0000
96.00 480.00 0.0000
96.50 482.50 0.0000
97.00 485.00 0.0000
97.50 487.50 0.0000
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98.50 492.50 0.0000
99.00 495.00 0.0000
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100.00 500.00 0.0000
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101.00 505.00 0.0000
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113.00 565.00 0.0000
113.50 567.50 0.0000
114.00 570.00 0.0000
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115.00 575.00 0.0000
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116.00 580.00 0.0000
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122.00 610.00 0.0000
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123.00 615.00 0.0000
123.50 617.50 0.0000
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124.50 622.50 0.0000
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126.50 632.50 0.0000
127.00 635.00 0.0000
127.50 637.50 0.0000
128.00 640.00 0.0000
128.50 642.50 0.0000
129.00 645.00 0.0000
129.50 647.50 0.0000
130.00 650.00 0.0000
130.50 652.50 0.0000
131.00 655.00 0.0000
131.50 657.50 0.0000
132.00 660.00 0.0000
132.50 662.50 0.0000
133.00 665.00 0.0000
133.50 667.50 0.0000
134.00 670.00 0.0000
134.50 672.50 0.0000
135.00 675.00 0.0000
135.50 677.50 0.0000
136.00 680.00 0.0000
136.50 682.50 0.0000
137.00 685.00 0.0000
137.50 687.50 0.0000
138.00 690.00 0.0000
138.50 692.50 0.0000
139.00 695.00 0.0000
139.50 697.50 0.0000
140.00 700.00 0.0000
140.50 702.50 0.0000
141.00 705.00 0.0000
141.50 707.50 0.0000
142.00 710.00 0.0000
142.50 712.50 0.0000
143.00 715.00 0.0000
143.50 717.50 0.0000
144.00 720.00 0.0000
144.50 722.50 0.0000
145.00 725.00 0.0000
145.50 727.50 0.0000
146.00 730.00 0.0000
146.50 732.50 0.0000
147.00 735.00 0.0000
147.50 737.50 0.0000
148.00 740.00 0.0000
148.50 742.50 0.0000
149.00 745.00 0.0000
149.50 747.50 0.0000
150.00 750.00 0.0000
150.50 752.50 0.0000
151.00 755.00 0.0000
151.50 757.50 0.0000
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152.50 762.50 0.0000
153.00 765.00 0.0000
153.50 767.50 0.0000
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154.50 772.50 0.0000
155.00 775.00 0.0000
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156.00 780.00 0.0000
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158.00 790.00 0.0000
158.50 792.50 0.0000
159.00 795.00 0.0000
159.50 797.50 0.0000
160.00 800.00 0.0000
160.50 802.50 0.0000
161.00 805.00 0.0000
161.50 807.50 0.0000
162.00 810.00 0.0000
162.50 812.50 0.0000
163.00 815.00 0.0000
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164.00 820.00 0.0000
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165.00 825.00 0.0000
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167.00 835.00 0.0000
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168.00 840.00 0.0000
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182.00 910.00 0.0000
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184.00 920.00 0.0000
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195.00 975.00 0.0000
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196.00 980.00 0.0000
196.50 982.50 0.0000
197.00 985.00 0.0000
197.50 987.50 0.0000
198.00 990.00 0.0000
198.50 992.50 0.0000
199.00 995.00 0.0000
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200.00 1000.00 0.0000
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325.50 1627.50 0.0000
326.00 1630.00 0.0000
326.50 1632.50 0.0000
327.00 1635.00 0.0000
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328.00 1640.00 0.0000
328.50 1642.50 0.0000
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330.50 1652.50 0.0000
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357.50 1787.50 0.0000
358.00 1790.00 0.0000
358.50 1792.50 0.0000
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359.50 1797.50 0.0000
360.00 1800.00 0.0000
360.50 1802.50 0.0000
361.00 1805.00 0.0000
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362.00 1810.00 0.0000
362.50 1812.50 0.0000
363.00 1815.00 0.0000
363.50 1817.50 0.0000
364.00 1820.00 0.0000
364.50 1822.50 0.0000
365.00 1825.00 0.0000
365.50 1827.50 0.0000
366.00 1830.00 0.0000
366.50 1832.50 0.0000
367.00 1835.00 0.0000
367.50 1837.50 0.0000
368.00 1840.00 0.0000
368.50 1842.50 0.0000
369.00 1845.00 0.0000
369.50 1847.50 0.0000
370.00 1850.00 0.0000
370.50 1852.50 0.0000
371.00 1855.00 0.0000
371.50 1857.50 0.0000
372.00 1860.00 0.0000
372.50 1862.50 0.0000
373.00 1865.00 0.0000
373.50 1867.50 0.0000
374.00 1870.00 0.0000
374.50 1872.50 0.0000
375.00 1875.00 0.0000
375.50 1877.50 0.0000
376.00 1880.00 0.0000
376.50 1882.50 0.0000
377.00 1885.00 0.0000
377.50 1887.50 0.0000
378.00 1890.00 0.0000
378.50 1892.50 0.0000
379.00 1895.00 0.0000
379.50 1897.50 0.0000
380.00 1900.00 0.0000
380.50 1902.50 0.0000
381.00 1905.00 0.0000
381.50 1907.50 0.0000
382.00 1910.00 0.0000
382.50 1912.50 0.0000
383.00 1915.00 0.0000
383.50 1917.50 0.0000
384.00 1920.00 0.0000
384.50 1922.50 0.0000
385.00 1925.00 0.0000
385.50 1927.50 0.0000
386.00 1930.00 0.0000
386.50 1932.50 0.0000
387.00 1935.00 0.0000
387.50 1937.50 0.0000
388.00 1940.00 0.0000
388.50 1942.50 0.0000
389.00 1945.00 0.0000
389.50 1947.50 0.0000
390.00 1950.00 0.0000
390.50 1952.50 0.0000
391.00 1955.00 0.0000
391.50 1957.50 0.0000
392.00 1960.00 0.0000
392.50 1962.50 0.0000
393.00 1965.00 0.0000
393.50 1967.50 0.0000
394.00 1970.00 0.0000
394.50 1972.50 0.0000
395.00 1975.00 0.0000
395.50 1977.50 0.0000
396.00 1980.00 0.0000
396.50 1982.50 0.0000
397.00 1985.00 0.0000
397.50 1987.50 0.0000
398.00 1990.00 0.0000
398.50 1992.50 0.0000
399.00 1995.00 0.0000
399.50 1997.50 0.0000
400.00 2000.00 0.0000
400.50 2002.50 0.0000
401.00 2005.00 0.0000
401.50 2007.50 0.0000
402.00 2010.00 0.0000
402.50 2012.50 0.0000
403.00 2015.00 0.0000
403.50 2017.50 0.0000
404.00 2020.00 0.0000
404.50 2022.50 0.0000
405.00 2025.00 0.0000
405.50 2027.50 0.0000
406.00 2030.00 0.0000
406.50 2032.50 0.0000
407.00 2035.00 0.0000
407.50 2037.50 0.0000
408.00 2040.00 0.0000
408.50 2042.50 0.0000
409.00 2045.00 0.0000
409.50 2047.50 0.0000
410.00 2050.00 0.0000
410.50 2052.50 0.0000
411.00 2055.00 0.0000
411.50 2057.50 0.0000
412.00 2060.00 0.0000
412.50 2062.50 0.0000
413.00 2065.00 0.0000
413.50 2067.50 0.0000
414.00 2070.00 0.0000
414.50 2072.50 0.0000
415.00 2075.00 0.0000
415.50 2077.50 0.0000
416.00 2080.00 0.0000
416.50 2082.50 0.0000
417.00 2085.00 0.0000
417.50 2087.50 0.0000
418.00 2090.00 0.0000
418.50 2092.50 0.0000
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419.50 2097.50 0.0000
420.00 2100.00 0.0000
420.50 2102.50 0.0000
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422.00 2110.00 0.0000
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474.50 2372.50 0.0000
475.00 2375.00 0.0000
475.50 2377.50 0.0000
476.00 2380.00 0.0000
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482.00 2410.00 0.0000
482.50 2412.50 0.0000
483.00 2415.00 0.0000
483.50 2417.50 0.0000
484.00 2420.00 0.0000
484.50 2422.50 0.0000
485.00 2425.00 0.0000
485.50 2427.50 0.0000
486.00 2430.00 0.0000
486.50 2432.50 0.0000
487.00 2435.00 0.0000
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488.00 2440.00 0.0000
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490.50 2452.50 0.0000
491.00 2455.00 0.0000
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492.00 2460.00 0.0000
492.50 2462.50 0.0000
493.00 2465.00 0.0000
493.50 2467.50 0.0000
494.00 2470.00 0.0000
494.50 2472.50 0.0000
495.00 2475.00 0.0000
495.50 2477.50 0.0000
496.00 2480.00 0.0000
496.50 2482.50 0.0000
497.00 2485.00 0.0000
497.50 2487.50 0.0000
498.00 2490.00 0.0000
498.50 2492.50 0.0000
499.00 2495.00 0.0000
499.50 2497.50 0.0000
500.00 2500.00 0.0000
po II
50 .00 .50 .00 .50 .00 .50 .00 .50 .00

30 32 35 37 40 42 45 47 50
p barra 0.01
p_1 0.05
n 200
k 3
h 0.5
LSC 6.221374
LM 2
LIC 0
beta 0.1301 aproximação dist Poisson

Pd 0.8699
NMA 1.149612
TES 0.324806 horas
0 horas
19.49 minutos
beta 0.1237 usando dist Binomial

Pd 0.8763
NMA 1.141218
TES (h) 0.320609
0 horas
19.24 minutos
h 0.5
n 100
p1 0.02 p0
lambda 2
LSC 3.984962
Beta 0.8571
0.5246 Pd 0.1429
0.4754 NMA 6.99905
2.103662 TES 3.25
180
14.97
195 minutos de TES
Questão 8 da AP3
p0 0.01
p1 0.05
n1 200 n2 400
0.01 h1 0.5 h2 1
LSC1 6.221374 LSC2 9.969925

lambda1 10 lambda2 20
Beta 0.130141 Beta 0.004995

Pd 0.869859 Pd 0.995005
NMA 1.149612 NMA 1.00502
TES 0.325 h TES 0.505 h
alpha 0.0045 alpha 0.0081
inutos de TES Por tanto o tempo até o sinal é mais rápido 0,32h amostrando 200 unidades
a cada meia hora - 30min.
Então o ideal é coletar amostras menores em intervalos de tempo curto
pois a detecção é mais rápida.
É melhor do que coletar amostras maiores em grandes espaçamentos de tempo.
unidades
tos de tempo.

Questão 8

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Questão 8

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p barra 0.

alpha 0.0184 usando dist Binomial

beta 0.8590 usando dist Binomial p_1

50 .00 .50 .00 .50 .00 .50 .00 .50 .00

beta 0.1301 aproximação dist Poisson

beta 0.1237 usando dist Binomial

LSC1 6.221374 LSC2 9.969925

Beta 0.130141 Beta 0.004995

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