Professional Documents
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Jech 2009 093302
Jech 2009 093302
093302
Title: Is there a need to include HIV, HBV and HCV viruses in the Saudi premarital
screening programme on the basis of their prevalence and transmission risk
factors?
Correspondence to:
Fahad M Alswaidi, PhD student
The University of Manchester,
School of Translational Medicine,
Stopford Building,
Oxford Road,
M13 9PT,
United Kingdom
f_alswaidi@hotmail.com
Tables: 3
Figures: 1
1
Copyright Article author (or their employer) 2009. Produced by BMJ Publishing Group Ltd under licence.
ABSTRACT
2
INTRODUCTION
3
causes.[14] Infection through blood transfusion was eradicated in 2001 due to pre-
transfusion screening [13]. A study of blood donors found that the prevalence of
HBsAg was 1.4% and anti-HCV was 0.2% among Saudis.[15]
HBV, HCV and HIV infections have no cure and scant permanent remission
possibilities, high mortality rates, lengthy infectious periods, high risks to the spouse
or offspring and costly treatments. Early diagnosis optimises treatment and
transmission prevention. This makes them ideal candidates for inclusion in a
screening programme.
Our study aims to provide prevalence data and information on the risk factors for
transmission in the specific target group of both male and female Saudis who are at
the age of marriage (between 15 and 60 years old) and are sexually active. These data
are not currently available in Saudi Arabia, so providing evidence for informed
decision-making concerning the continuing inclusion of these diseases in the national
screening programme.
Sampling technique
No significant seasonal variation in the prevalence of these diseases was
expected. There were about 284,000 people included in the screening programme
annually. This was approximated to 300,000 individuals (the study population) in
order to simplify the sample size calculation of the prevalence study; the sample sizes
required to achieve valid prevalence results were estimated as follows: HBV, 4,600;
HCV, 9,500; HIV, 27,500. StatCalc (Epi Info software) calculated sample sizes.
However, since testing for HBV, HCV and HIV infection is mandatory, everyone
tested between January-May, 2008 was included in the prevalence estimation to get
larger and more representative sample. This resulted in 74,662 individuals being
included in the prevalence study over these four months.
After May 2008, data were gathered from MOH headquarters and peripheral centres
to generate a list of names and phone numbers. Telephone numbers were identified
for 694 positive cases and 1844 negative controls, which formed the sampling frame
that we chose the cases and controls. There were no duplicates on this list, as they
were identified by their National Identification numbers. We interviewed 540
individual cases and controls, with 270 individuals in each group. This was the
maximum number of individuals that we could interview given the limited time and
resources of the study. If the exposure (%) of control is 20% and the least odds ratio
(OR) to be detected is 2.0, the least power will be approximately 87%. Generally, all
three viruses can be transmitted during sexual intercourse, by exposure to
contaminated blood and through intravenous drug abuse, but the proportion of
transmission is different for each virus. Therefore, we assumed that all three viruses
4
are similar enough in their manner of transmission to pool them together in
calculating the sample sizes as well as in the analysis. EpiCalc (Epi Info Software)
was used to calculate the sample size. The sampling process is outlined in Figure 1.
Data collection
Data were gathered from the General Directorate for Communicable Diseases,
MOH, in Riyadh to estimate disease prevalence. A team of four researchers conducted
telephone questionnaires. Assistants underwent a training course on the questionnaire,
informed consent and how to interview participants. The interviews used a closed-
ended questionnaire about risk factors for infection transmission. The study gained
ethical and administrative approvals from the Saudi Ministry of Health prior to its
commencement.
5
RESULTS
Prevalence
In the assigned period, 74,662 individuals were tested for HIV, HBV and
HCV were carried out across Saudi Arabia. There were 1,251 (1.67%) positive
results; the highest rate of positive tests was in Riyadh (15.8%), while the lowest rate
was in Qunfudah (0.75%). Ages of cases ranged from 15 to 63 years. Males
accounted for 73.2% HBV cases, 76% HCV and 79.2% HIV (Table 1). The average
prevalence was 0.03% for HIV, 1.31% for HBV and 0.33% for HCV.
Riyadh 11771 213 1.81 8 0.07 6 25.0 2 8.3 164 1.39 99 10.1 65 6.7 41 0.35 34 13.6 7 2.8
Makkah 1577 59 3.74 0 0.00 0 0.0 0 0.0 44 2.79 32 3.3 12 1.2 15 0.95 12 4.8 3 1.2
Jeddah 3434 69 2.01 4 0.12 2 8.3 2 8.3 42 1.22 29 3.0 13 1.3 23 0.67 15 6.0 8 3.2
Madinah 8200 147 1.79 0 0.00 0 0.0 0 0.0 131 1.60 91 9.3 40 4.1 16 0.20 11 4.4 5 2.0
Qasseem 2687 23 0.85 0 0.00 0 0.0 0 0.0 20 0.74 16 1.6 4 0.4 3 0.11 3 1.2 0 0.0
Taif 4217 96 2.28 1 0.02 1 4.2 0 0.0 84 1.99 60 6.1 24 2.5 11 0.26 10 4.0 1 0.4
Hail 2893 24 0.83 2 0.07 2 8.3 0 0.0 15 0.52 13 1.3 2 0.2 7 0.24 6 2.4 1 0.4
Baha 2131 45 2.11 2 0.09 2 8.3 0 0.0 27 1.27 21 2.1 6 0.6 16 0.75 13 5.2 3 1.2
Assir 6779 143 2.11 4 0.06 3 12.5 1 4.2 109 1.61 83 8.5 26 2.7 30 0.44 19 7.6 11 4.4
Sharqyah 10585 163 1.54 1 0.01 1 4.2 0 0.0 123 1.16 88 9.0 35 3.6 39 0.37 29 11.6 10 4.0
Ahsa 4079 48 1.18 0 0.00 0 0.0 0 0.0 31 0.76 26 2.7 5 0.5 17 0.42 11 4.4 6 2.4
Qunfudah 560 24 4.29 0 0.00 0 0.0 0 0.0 20 3.57 14 1.4 6 0.6 4 0.71 3 1.2 1 0.4
Hafr Batin 1617 22 1.36 0 0.00 0 0.0 0 0.0 19 1.18 16 1.6 3 0.3 3 0.19 3 1.2 0 0.0
Jazan 4090 8 0.20 0 0.00 0 0.0 0 0.0 8 0.20 8 0.8 0 0.0 0 0.00 0 0.0 0 0.0
Najran 2331 51 2.19 0 0.00 0 0.0 0 0.0 47 2.02 40 4.1 7 0.7 4 0.17 4 1.6 0 0.0
Bisha 1592 20 1.26 1 0.06 1 4.2 0 0.0 14 0.88 10 1.0 4 0.4 5 0.31 4 1.6 1 0.4
Tabuk 2506 58 2.31 0 0.00 0 0.0 0 0.0 47 1.88 43 4.4 4 0.4 11 0.44 8 3.2 3 1.2
6
Jouf 976 5 0.51 0 0.00 0 0.0 0 0.0 2 0.20 2 0.2 0 0.0 3 0.31 3 1.2 0 0.0
Arar 1739 28 1.61 1 0.06 1 4.2 0 0.0 26 1.50 21 2.1 5 0.5 1 0.06 1 0.4 0 0.0
Qurayat 898 5 0.56 0 0.00 0 0.0 0 0.0 4 0.45 3 0.3 1 0.1 1 0.11 1 0.4 0 0.0
Total 74662 1251 1.67 24 0.03 19 79.2 5 20.8 977 1.31 715 73.2 262 26.8 250 0.33 190 76.0 60 24.0
Demographic information
Age of respondents: The frequencies of cases vs. controls for each age group are
presented in Table 2-A. The minimum age for both cases and controls was 15 years,
with mean ages being 31 ± 9.5 years for cases and 27 ± 6.3 years for controls.
Respondents older than 30 years had a higher risk of infection than younger
respondents (OR=3.83) (Table 2-A).
Gender: Of the cases, 80.7% were male compared to 78.9% controls. Men were at an
insignificantly higher risk of disease than females (OR =1.12) (Table 2-B).
Educational status: Fewer cases had bachelor (30.4%) and secondary level education
(35.2%) than controls (33.3% and 45.6%, respectively). However, relatively higher
proportions existed for intermediate (18.5%), primary education (13.3%) and
illiteracy (2.6%) among cases compared to controls (Table 2-C).
Study Groups
Cases* Controls Odds
Study parameters 95% CI
(n=270) (n=270) Ratio
Freq. % Freq. %
A: Age of respondents
7
Bachelors degree 82 30.4% 90 33.3% Ref -
D: Respondents occupational status
Occupational status: The majority of cases and controls had no occupational contact
with human blood (93% cases; 94.8% controls). More cases (6.3%) worked with
potential exposure to human blood (police, fire brigade) compared to controls (2.6%).
Fewer cases (0.7%) were health professionals compared to controls (2.6%).
Respondents with potential exposure to blood were at a significantly higher disease
risk (OR =2.48), but health professionals had an insignificantly lower risk (OR =0.29)
(Table 2-D).
Marital status: Compared to respondents who had never married, divorcees/widow(er)s
had a significantly higher disease risk (OR=3.76); married respondents were at an
even greater risk (OR=4.69) (Table 2-E).
Infected contacts: A higher proportion of cases (40.4%) had close contacts suffering
from HBC, HCV and HIV compared to 6.7% of controls (Table 2-F). These included
close family members and friends, due to their likelihood of close physical contact.
Chronic illness: More cases (9.3%) suffered from chronic illnesses like SCD,
diabetes mellitus and renal failure compared to controls (2.6%). The respondents with
chronic illnesses had significantly higher risks for HBV, HCV and HIV (OR=3.83)
(Table 3-A).
Blood transfusion: Over 10% of cases had received a blood transfusion compared to
0.7% of controls. The respondents who had received blood transfusion were at a
higher risk of contracting disease (OR=15.5) (Table 3-B).
Injections: Only 48.9% of cases had received a prescribed injection compared to
controls (53%); 5.6% of cases received non-prescribed injections (0.7% controls).
Respondents who had prescribed injections were at an insignificantly lower disease
8
risk (OR=0.85) (Table 3-C, D). Non-prescribed injections were associated with a
higher risk of infection (OR=7.88) (Table 3-D).
health facility
Yes 166 61.5% 135 50.0% 1.60 1.13 - 2.25 1.6 1.00 - 2.54
No* 104 38.5% 135 50.0% ref - - -
G: Underwent any other surgery (other than oral)
9
Never* 126 46.7% 225 83.3% ref - - -
I: Punching/puncturing of acne in a barbershop /beauty parlour (n=540)
*Note: “Don’t know/Don’t remember” responses are merged into “no” category.
10
Accidental needle injury: A higher proportion of cases (7.2%) received a blood-
contaminated sharps injury compared to controls (0.8%). The respondents with sharps
injuries had a much higher disease risk compared to respondents without such injuries
(OR=10.25) (Table 3-E).
Dental work: Of cases, 61.5% underwent dental work or oral surgery compared to
50% of controls. Analysis showed that such cases were at a statistically significant
higher risk of viral disease (OR=1.60) (Table 3-F).
Other surgical procedures: In comparison to controls (14.1%), a higher proportion
of the cases (23.3%) had undergone surgical procedures, leaving the latter with a
significantly higher disease risk (OR=1.86) (Table 3-G).
Cutting injuries: A relatively higher proportion of the cases had received single or
multiple cuts (7.8% and 45.6%, respectively) at barber shops or beauty parlours
compared to controls (3.3% and 13.3%, respectively). Respondents with single
injuries had a significantly higher risk of disease (OR=4.17) and those who received
multiple injuries had a much greater disease risk (OR=6.10) (Table 3-H).
Acne puncturing: Over 3% of both cases and controls had undergone acne
puncturing in barbershops; a higher percentage of cases (20.0%) had multiple
treatments (4.4% of controls). Compared to respondents that had not had acne
punctured, the respondents who had one episode had an insignificantly higher disease
risk (OR =1.20), whereas respondents that had multiple puncturings had a
significantly higher risk (OR=5.42) (Table 3-I).
Hijamah (cupping-bloodletting therapy): Of cases, 8.5% had Hijamah once compared
to 5.2% controls; 5.6% of cases had multiple treatments (3.7% of controls). Both
single and multiple Hijamah experiences were at an insignificantly higher risk of
disease (OR=1.74; OR=1.59, respectively) (Table 3-J).
Incarceration: In comparison with controls (6.8%), 16% of cases were incarcerated
in prison for longer than 24 hours. These respondents were at a significantly higher
disease risk (OR=2.62) (Table 3-K).
Extramarital intercourse: Out of cases, 9.4% had extramarital intercourse compared
to 3.1% controls. A higher disease risk was observed in the respondents with
extramarital relationships (OR=3.29) (Table 3-L).
Intravenous drug users (IVDU): Only 1.9% of cases were IVDUs; no controls were
IVDUs. No significant association was found between IVDU and disease risk (p-
value =0.06) (Table 3-M).
Sharing razors: A relatively larger proportion of cases (5.9%) shared razors
compared to controls (0.4%), with a significantly higher disease risk (OR=16.95)
(Table 3-N).
Sharing toothbrushes: Only 3.0% of cases shared toothbrushes compared to 0.4% of
controls, but they had a higher risk of infection (OR=8.21) (Table 3-O).
Sharing nail-cutters: A higher proportion of cases (67.7%) shared nail-cutters
compared to controls (47%), with a significantly higher risk of disease (OR=2.36)
(Table 3-P)
Foreign travel: Although the respondents (33% cases; 28.9% controls) who travelled
abroad were at higher disease risk, this remained statistically insignificant (OR=1.21)
(Table 3-Q).
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(45.9%) received education regarding hepatitis viruses and HIV from programme
staff (Table 4). There were 57 couples in total that decided not to marry after
undergoing the premarital testing programme, including 50 positively testing cases
and seven controls. The reasons for this included 18 cases (31.6%) of HBV, nine
(15.8%) cases of HCV, 23 (40.4%) cases of HIV, and 7 (12.3%) marriages were
cancelled due to other reasons.
Table 4: What happened after premarital screening testing for cases and
controls?
Study Groups
Total
Risk factors Cases Controls
Freq. % Freq. % Freq. %
A: Fiancé(e) of respondent suffering from HBV, HCV or HIV according to
premarital screening
12
Risk factor associations after logistic regression
The study factors which had the highest associations with disease transmission
were “sharing razors” (OR=11.13) and “infected contacts” (OR=10.9). Other risk
factors in descending order of association were “blood transfusion” (OR=8.30),
“accidental needle injury” (OR=7.45), “multiple acne puncturings” (OR=5.04),
“chronic illness” (OR=4.92), “cut from barbershops” (OR=4.74), “multiple cuts”
(OR=3.88), “married” (OR=4.31), “divorce/widow(er)” (OR=4.74), “extramarital
intercourse” (OR=2.92) and “dental work/oral surgery” (OR=1.60) (Table 3).
DISCUSSION
Risk factors
Limitations
This study was limited, as although the modes of transmission of HIV, HBV
and HCV are similar, each virus has its own infectivity rate. An independent study for
each virus would yield more reliable results regarding risk factors for transmission of
infection.
13
Demographic effects
The principle aim of the programme is to prevent infections being transmitted
to healthy people. At present, there is no official data about marriages with an infected
partner. In our study, of these individuals, 77% either have married or intended to
marry. This high rate of risky marriages could be due to the social and familial
commitments among Saudis which were not investigated in this study.
The fact that older participants had more infection prevalence could be explained by
more years of exposure to the force of infection. Prevalence of these diseases almost
always grows with age. An additional hypothesis worth exploring is that older
participants may have been exposed to transfusion before widespread screening.
Males have a higher infection risk, which resembles patterns in developed countries;
males are usually more sexually active and more likely to be IVDUs.[24]
Educational levels seem to have a disproportionate association with risk of infection.
In Saudi Arabia, the protective effect of education seems to be minimal but still has an
influence.
Respondents who work in direct contact with human blood showed a significantly
higher risk of acquiring infections. This finding is logical and agrees with similar
studies worldwide.[25]
Estimates for IVDU rates are often inaccurate but generally addiction rates are
increasing in Saudi.[26] IVDUs had no statistical association with the risk of
acquiring the viruses in our study. Incarceration for more than 24 hours was twice as
common in cases compared to controls (16%: 6.8%), potentially due to the higher
number of IVDUs in this group as regionally [27] and globally documented.[28-30]
Medical history
Chronic illnesses that necessitate blood transfusions and frequent blood tests,
such as SCD, thalassaemia and renal failure, caused a significantly higher risk of
infection. A blood transfusion increases the risk of contracting HIV, HBV or HCV by
eight times.
Having non-prescribed medical injections at private pharmacists is commonplace; for
example, patients may receive analgesic or anti-malarial injections, but such
respondents in our study had a seven times higher risk of infection.
Health professionals who suffer needlestick injuries, a rare but significant mode of
HIV, HBV and HCV transmission, are seven times more likely to have viral
infections in our study. Surgical procedures, especially dentistry and oral surgeries,
are a common mode of transmitting HBV, HCV and HIV in developing countries.[30,
31] The risk of transmitting viruses through surgical procedures is lower in Saudi
Arabia than other countries in Asia and Africa.[31] Hijamah, the unique traditional
medical practice among Muslim and Chinese cultures that involves cupping and
bloodletting [32], carried no significant risk for disease transmission.
14
risk (11 times) associated with transmission of infections after adjusting for possible
confounders.
Sexual relationships
The commonest mode of HIV transmission (75-85%) is through sexual contact
[25], predominantly through heterosexual intercourse.[33] The modes of HBV
transmission are similar to HIV infection, but HBV is up to 100 times more infectious
as it is infectious for approximately a week outside the host [30]; HCV transmission
through sexual activity is uncommon.[34] In this study, those who have had a sexual
relationship are four times more likely to acquire a viral infection. In Saudi Arabia,
extramarital relationships are prohibited religiously and transgressors may be
penalised by capital punishment. Such affairs happen rarely and secretly.
Surprisingly, 10.4% of the respondent cases stated that they have had extramarital
relationships, compared to 3.1% of controls. This is higher than the estimated
extramarital affair rates in more liberal Muslim communities, including London (5%)
and Berlin (8%).[35] Polygyny is common among Saudis and could contribute to
infections spreading between family members. Finally, being in close contact with
any infected person is the second highest significant risk factor for virus transmission.
CONCLUSION
The prevalences of HIV, HBV and HCV in Saudi Arabia are among the lowest
worldwide. This study shows that all the important risk factors for viral transmission
are present, the most significant being sharing razors, acne puncturing and cuts at
barbershops, blood transfusions and chronic illnesses. People who were married
previously, had extramarital intercourse or were in contact with an infected person
had a higher risk of infection.
Despite the low prevalences, the lack of the effective health education and presence of
significant infection risk factors, and the affordable cost of such a screening
programme, support the inclusion of these viruses in the mandatory premarital
screening programme of Saudi Arabia. Adequately trained manpower and funds may
be provided to allow testing centres to collect confidential data voluntarily regarding
basic demographic and behavioural risk factors such as age, sex, IDUs, hijamah,
extramarital sex, contact with female sex workers, and results of previous testing for
HIV, HCV, and HBV.
15
POLICY RECOMMENDATIONS BOX
1. Saudi Arabia may continue mandatory testing and counseling for HIV, HBV and
HCV for at least four more years to raise the public awareness of these diseases.
2. The programme should be re-evaluated and revised if necessary after five years,
possibly converting the testing to be optional.
3. Further investigations are needed to identify the factors responsible for the high
rate of risky marriages due to these infections.
- The prevalence and distribution of HBV, HCV and HIV are not well
understood.
- The prevalences of HIV, HBV and HCV in Saudi Arabian regions are
described based on a systematic review of a representative population
sample.
16
FIGURES
Legends:
A. Total study population
B. Sampling population (based on results; positive and negative)
C. Sampling frames (based on availability of phone numbers)
D. Study sample (random selection of cases and controls)
*all available 24 HIV cases were included.
Licence Statement: "The Corresponding Author has the right to grant on behalf of all
authors and does grant on behalf of all authors, an exclusive licence (or non exclusive
for government employees) on a worldwide basis to the BMJ Publishing Group Ltd
and its Licensees to permit this article (if accepted) to be published in JECH editions
and any other BMJPGL products to exploit all subsidiary rights, as set out in our
licence (http://jech.bmj.com/ifora/licence.pdf)".
Acknowledgments: We are thankful to Dr. Ali Alwadey, Dr. Ibrahim Alzahrani and
Dr. Nasser Alhamdan from the Saudi Field Epidemiology Training Programme
(FETP) for their remarkable help in conducting the study. Also, we would like to
thank the reviewers of JECH for their valuable comments.
Contributors: All authors contributed to this manuscript. Professor S. O’Brien supervised and revised
all phases of this research.
Funding: This work was fully supported and approved by the Saudi Ministry of
Health (MOH). Field work started in Saudi Arabia after coordination between
Ministry of Higher Education and MOH.
17
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A. 74662
individuals tested in the
study period
D. 211 D. 35 D. 24
HBV HCV HIV*
D. 270 D. 270
Cases Controls