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Newbold Stat7 Ism 08
Newbold Stat7 Ism 08
8.1 a. Find the 95% confidence interval for the difference in means
s 2.8
d ± tn -1,a 2 d = 25.4 ± 2.145 = 23.8493 up to 26.9507
nd 15
b. Find the margin of error for a 95% confidence interval
s 2.8
ME = tn-1,a 2 d = ME = 2.145 = 1.5507
nd 15
sd .83666
ME = tn-1,a 2 = ME = 2.132 = .79772
nd 5
8.3 After removing observations with missing values, we have the following data:
å(d - d ) =
2
i
sd = 2806.1/ 9 = 17.6575
nd - 1
37.3 ± 1.833(17.6575) / 10
27.0649 < µ x - µ y < 47.5351
å ( d - d ) = 1761.5 / 5 = 18.770
2
i
sd =
nd - 1
7.5 ± 1.476(18.770) / 6 = 7.5 ± 11.3103
-3.8103 < µ x - µ y < 18.8103
8.9 Compute the pooled sample variance, for parts (a) through (c) of Exercise 8.8
(n - 1) s12 - (n2 - 1) s2 2
sp2 = 1
n1 + n2 - 2
(12 - 1)30 + (14 - 1)36
a. s p 2 = = 33.25
12 + 14 - 2
(6 - 1)30 + (7 - 1)36
b. s p 2 = = 33.2727
6+7-2
(9 - 1)16 + (12 - 1)25
c. s p 2 = = 21.2105
9 + 12 - 2
êç ÷ ç + ÷ú êç 6 ÷ + ç 10 ÷ ú
ë è n1 ø è n2 ø û ëè ø è ø û
b. v = 2 2
- v= 2 2
æ s 21 ö æ s 22 ö æ 30 ö æ 36 ö
ç ÷ /(n1 - 1) + ç ÷ /(n2 - 1) ç ÷ /(6 - 1) + ç ÷ /(10 - 1)
è n1 ø è n2 ø è 6 ø è 10 ø
» 11
2
éæ s12 ö æ s2 2 ö ù éæ 16 ö æ 25 ö ù
2
êç ÷ + ç ÷ú êç 9 ÷ + ç 12 ÷ ú
c. v = ëè n1 ø è n2 ø û - v= ëè ø è ø û
2 2 2 2
æs 1ö
2
æs 2ö
2
æ 16 ö æ 25 ö
ç ÷ /(n1 - 1) + ç ÷ /(n2 - 1) ç ÷ /(9 - 1) + ç ÷ /(12 - 1)
è n1 ø è n2 ø è9ø è 12 ø
» 19
202 th
Statistics for Business & Economics, 7 edition
2
éæ s12 ö æ s2 2 ö ù éæ 30 ö æ 36 ö ù
2
êç ÷ + ç ÷ú êç 6 ÷ + ç 7 ÷ ú
d. v = ëè n1 ø è n2 ø û - v= ëè ø è ø û
2 2 2 2
æ s 21 ö æ s 22 ö æ 30 ö æ 36 ö
ç ÷ /(n1 - 1) + ç ÷ /(n2 - 1) ç ÷ /(6 - 1) + ç ÷ /(7 - 1)
n
è 1ø n
è 2 ø è 6 ø è 7 ø
» 11
8.11 Find the margin of error for a 95% confidence interval, assume equal
population variances
1 1 (n1 - 1) s 21 + (n2 - 1) s 2 2
a. ME = tn1 + n2 - 2,a 2 s p + where s p =
n1 n2 n1 + n2 - 2
(12 - 1)6 + (14 - 1)10 1 1
sp = = 2.85774 ME = 2.064(2.85774) + =
12 + 14 - 2 12 14
2.3204
(6 - 1)6 + (7 - 1)10 1 1
b. sp = = 2.8604 ME = 2.201(2.8604) + =
6+7-2 6 7
3.5026
c. Doubling the size of both samples will reduce the margin of
error; however, it does not reduce it in half.
s 2x s 2y 8.42 11.32
( x - y ) ± za 2 + = (130 - 120) ± 1.96 + = 10 ±
nx ny 40 36
4.5169, 5.4831 up to 14.5169
2 2
sx s y
8.13 95% confidence interval: ( X - Y ) ± t( v ,a / 2) + =
nx ny
2
éæ s 2 ö æ s y 2 ö ù
êç x ÷ + çç ÷÷ ú
êëè nx ø è n y ø úû
where v = 2 2
=
æ sx ö
2 æ sy 2
ö
ç ÷ /(nx - 1) + çç ÷÷ /( n y - 1)
è nx ø è ny ø
Chapter 8: Estimation: Additional Topics 203
2
éæ 2.532 ö æ 8.612 ö ù
êç ÷+ç ÷ú
v= ëè 6 ø è 9 ø û = 9.940
2 2
æ 2.532 ö æ 8.612 ö
ç ÷ /(6 - 1) + ç ÷ /(9 - 1)
è 6 ø è 9 ø
2 2
sx sy (2.53)2 (8.61) 2
(76.12 – 74.61) ± t10,.025 + = 1.51 ± 2.228 + =
nx n y 6 9
-5.286 up to 8.306
8.14
Descriptive Statistics: Machine 1, Machine 2
Variable N Mean Median TrMean StDev SE Mean
Machine 100 520.95 518.75 520.52 9.45 0.95
Machine 100 513.75 514.05 513.91 5.49 0.55
8.19 Calculate the 95% confidence interval for the difference in population
proportions
pˆ (1 - pˆ1 ) pˆ 2 (1 - pˆ 2 )
a. ( pˆ1 - pˆ 2 ) ± za 2 1 + =
n1 n2
.65(1 - .65) .68(1 - .68)
(.65 - .68) ± 1.96 + =-.03 ± .080881=-.110881 up to
370 200
.050881
.48(1 - .48) .52(1 - .52)
b. (.48 - .52) ± 1.96 + =-.04 ± .088937=-.12894 to
220 270
.04894
.30(1 - .30) .25(1 - .25)
c. (.30 - .25) ± 1.96 + =.05± .061885=-.011885 to
500 325
.111885
8.20
x 85 y 78
nx = 120, pˆ x = = = .7083, ny = 163, pˆ y = = = .4785, z.01 = 2.33
n 120 n 163
pˆ (1 - pˆ x ) pˆ y (1 - pˆ y )
( pˆ x - pˆ y ) ± za / 2 x + =
nx ny
(.7083)(.2917) (.4785)(.5215)
(.7083 - .4785) ± (2.326) + =
120 163
.2298 ± .132657 = .0971 up to .3625
Chapter 8: Estimation: Additional Topics 205
1 73 71 144
50.69 49.31 100.00
54.07 32.27 40.56
20.56 20.00 40.56
2 26 76 102
25.49 74.51 100.00
19.26 34.55 28.73
7.32 21.41 28.73
3 19 47 66
28.79 71.21 100.00
14.07 21.36 18.59
5.35 13.24 18.59
4 17 26 43
39.53 60.47 100.00
12.59 11.82 12.11
4.79 7.32 12.11
Cell Contents --
Count
% of Row
% of Col
% of Tbl
b. n = 2
= = 384.16. Take a sample of size n = 385.
ME .052
c. In order to reduce the ME in half, the sample size must be increased by
a larger proportion
b. n = 2
= = 270.6. Take a sample of size n = 271.
ME .052
c. In order to increase the confidence level for a given margin of error, the
sample size must be increased
Ns 2
8.31 Use the equation n = to find the sample size needed.
( N - 1)s x2 + s 2
50
a. Since 1.96s x = 50, s x = = 25.51.
1.96
Ns 2 (1650)(500) 2
n= = = 311.8, take n = 312
( N - 1)s x2 + s 2 (1650 - 1)(25.51) 2 + (500) 2
100
b. Since 1.96s x = 100, s x = = 51.02.
1.96
Ns 2 (1650)(500)2
n= = = 90.8, take n = 91
( N - 1)s x2 + s 2 (1650 - 1)(51.02) 2 + (500) 2
200
c. Since 1.96s x = 200, s x = = 102.04.
1.96
Ns 2 (1650)(500)2
n= = = 23.7, take n = 24
( N - 1)s x2 + s 2 (1650 - 1)(102.04)2 + (500)2
d. The required sample size for part (b) is larger than that for part (a), and the required
sample size for part (c) is larger than that for parts (a) and (b). This shows that the
required sample size increases as 1.96s X increases. Thus, the required sample size
increases as the desired standard deviation, s X , of the sample mean increases and as the
desired variance, s X2 , of the sample mean increases.
208 th
Statistics for Business & Economics, 7 edition
Ns 2
8.32 Use the equation n = to find the sample size needed.
( N - 1)s x2 + s 2
50
a. Since 1.96s x = 50, s x = = 25.51.
1.96
Ns 2 (3300)(500) 2
n= = = 344.2 , take n = 345
( N - 1)s x2 + s 2 (3300 - 1)(25.51) 2 + (500) 2
Ns 2 (4950)(500)2
n= = = 356.6, take n = 357
( N - 1)s x2 + s 2 (4950 - 1)(25.51)2 + (500)2
Ns 2 (5000000)(500) 2
n= = = 384.1, take n = 385
( N - 1)s x2 + s 2 (5000000 - 1)(25.51) 2 + (500) 2
d. The required sample size for part (b) is larger than that for part (a), and the required
sample size for part (c) is larger than that for parts (a) and (b). This shows that the
required sample size increases as N increases.
0.25 N
8.33 Use the equation nmax = to find the maximum sample size needed.
( N - 1)s p2ˆ + 0.25
0.05
a. Since 1.96s pˆ = 0.05, s pˆ = = 0.02551.
1.96
0.25 N 0.25(2500)
nmax = = = 333.1, take n = 312
( N - 1)s pˆ + 0.25 (2500 - 1)(0.02551) 2 + 0.25
2
0.03
b. Since 1.96s x = 0.03, s x = = 0.015306.
1.96
0.25N 0.25(2500)
nmax = = = 748.1, take n = 749
( N - 1)s pˆ + 0.25 (2500 - 1)(0.015306)2 + 0.25
2
Chapter 8: Estimation: Additional Topics 209
c. The sample size for part (b) is larger than that for part (a). This shows that the required
sample size increases as 1.96s p̂ increases. Thus, the sample size increases as the desired
standard deviation, s p̂ , of the sample mean increases and as the desired variance, s p̂2 , of
the sample mean increases.
2000 812(20000)2
8.34 sx = = 1020.4 , n = = 261.0038 = 262
1.96 811(1020.4)2 + (20000)2
observations
observations
.05
8.36 s pˆ = = .0194
2.575
.25 N (.25)320
n= = = 216.18 = 217 observations
( N - 1)s px + .25 319(.0194)2 + .25
2
.04 417(.25)
8.37 s pˆ = = .0243, n = = 210.33 = 211 observations
1.645 416(.0243) 2 + .25
8.42 nx = 21, x = 72.1, sx = 11.3, t37,.10 = 1.303 (df = 37 does not appear in
Appendix Table 7; we used df = 40 to give an approximate answer)
n y = 18, y = 73.8, s y = 10.6
1 1 (nx - 1) s 2 x + (n y - 1) s 2 y
( x - y ) ± tn1 + n2 - 2,a 2 s p + where s p =
nx n y nx + n y - 2
(21 - 1)11.32 + (18 - 1)10.62
sp = = 10.9839
21 + 18 - 2
1 1
(72.1 - 73.8) ± 1.303(10.9839) + = -1.7 ± 4.5971 = -6.2971 to
21 18
2.8971
212 th
Statistics for Business & Economics, 7 edition
b. Assuming that the confidence level remains constant, what sample size
is needed to reduce by half the margin of error of the confidence
interval in part (a)?
The sample size must quadruple from n = 10 to n = 40 to cut the margin
for error in half.
8.45 90% confidence interval for the difference in mean amount spent on
textbooks for accounting majors vs. management majors. Discuss
assumptions.
a. Assuming independent random samples taken from each type of major
from normal populations with a common variance.
nx = 40, x = 340, sx = 20, t88,.10 = 1.671
n y = 50, y = 285, s y = 30
1 1 (nx - 1) s 2 x + (n y - 1) s 2 y
( x - y ) ± tn1 + n2 - 2,a 2 s p + where s p =
nx n y nx + n y - 2
(40 - 1)202 + (50 - 1)302
sp = = 26.0463
40 + 50 - 2
1 1
(340 - 285) ± 1.671(26.0463) + = 55 ± 9.2327 = 45.7673 to
40 50
64.2327
Chapter 8: Estimation: Additional Topics 213
8.46 Assume both populations are distributed normally with equal variances
and a 90% confidence interval.
nx = 15, x = 470, sx = 5, t25,.05 = 1.708
n y = 12, y = 460, s y = 7
2 2
(nx - 1) sx + (ny - 1) s y 1 1
(470 - 460) ± (1.708) +
nx + ny - 2 nx ny
(15 - 1)52 + (12 - 1)7 2 1 1
(470 - 460) ± (1.708) +
15 + 12 - 2 15 12
10 ± (1.708)(5.9632)(.3873) = 10 ± 3.9447 = 6.055 up to 13.945
Since both endpoints of
the confidence interval are
positive, this provides
evidence that the new
machine provides a larger
mean filling weight than
the old
8.49 What size sample was taken to estimate approval ratings for a 95%
confidence level given a 65% approval rating and a margin of error of
.035?
( p)(1 - p)( za / 2 ) 2 (.65)(.35)(1.96)2
n= = = 713.44 , take n = 714
ME 2 (.035)2
observations
214 th
Statistics for Business & Economics, 7 edition
2000 328(12000)2
8.51 sx = = 1215.8 , n = = 75.28 = 76 observations
1.645 327(1215.8)2 + (12000)2
.06 527(.25)
8.52 s pˆ = = .0306 , n = = 177.43 = 178 observations
1.96 526(.0306)2 + .25
za2 / 2s 2
8.53 We know that n0 = , where ME = za / 2s X . This gives
ME 2
za2 / 2s 2 s2 Ns 2
n0 = = or s 2 = n0s X2 . Substituting this into gives
( za / 2s X ) 2 s X2 ( N - 1)s X2 + s 2
N (n0s X2 ) s X2 × Nn0 n0 N
= = .
( N - 1)s + n0s
2
X
2
X
s [( N - 1) + n0 ]
2
X
n0 + ( N - 1)