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BCQS Caribbean Latin America Market Trend Report 2022 2023 1
BCQS Caribbean Latin America Market Trend Report 2022 2023 1
BCQS Caribbean Latin America Market Trend Report 2022 2023 1
Table of Contents
Caribbean
Foreword 3
Market Overview 4
General & Government Statistics 6
Cost of Living Indicators 7
Tourism 8
Country Escalation 10
Indicative Construction Costs 11
Average Rental and Sales Values 14
Bid Environment 17
Overall Market Trend 18
Latin America
Market Overview 19
General & Government Statistics 20
Brazil – Typical Building Costs 21
Colombia – Typical Building Costs 22
Brazil – Regional Construction Cost Differences 23
Colombia – Regional Construction Cost Differences 24
Brazil & Colombia Map: Location Cost Fluctuations 25
General
Weights and Measures 26
Notes, Terms and Sources 27
Foreword
BCQS International is pleased to present the 2022 This report's indices provide escalation/de-escalation costs for building
materials, plant and labour to reflect market trends, which are then used to
Edition of our Market Trend Report. In our Eighth drive the general square foot or per square meter budget costs on various
issue, we continue to observe trends throughout the building types. Similarly, our report also provides guidance in local and
regional sales and rental values.
Caribbean region and review a selection of LatAm
markets. The BCQS Market Trend Report leverages data from our expanding and
diverse client base, unique and challenging commissions, and an
abundance of regional in-house expertise. This report highlights the BCQS
Since 2010, BCQS has published a Market Trend Report to help our
team's comprehensive expertise, local knowledge, and dedication to our
clients and potential clients better understand construction costs
clients.
throughout the region.
To our clients, thank you for your continued partnerships and the
This year, our report continues to provide a highly sought-after informative,
opportunity to work with you and support the successful delivery of your
accurate and concise presentation of construction cost data and market
projects. We hope this report will be a valued resource to all readers.
trends, which will allow clients and potential clients the convenience of
making educated decisions at the feasibility stage of their projects.
It is important to note that this report is generic in nature and for general
guide purposes only.
To give the reader a fuller understanding of the Caribbean marketplace
and add depth to the construction and property data, we have collated
Given current global market volatility, possible unique site conditions
helpful information relating to government statistics, cost of living factors,
and/or specifications of individual projects, we encourage you to reach out
and tourism. This data should greatly assist developers/ lenders/ builders
to your local BCQS contact for more up-to-date and customised cost data
in assessing the initial viability of any chosen project.
relating to each project location.
Continuing from our previous report, we remain focused on sixteen key
jurisdictions. These include Anguilla, Aruba, The Bahamas, Barbados,
British Virgin Islands, Cayman Islands, Curacao, Guyana, Jamaica, Saint
Lucia, Saint Barthélemy, St. Maarten, Trinidad & Tobago, Turks & Caicos
Islands, and once again, with respect to LatAm, we have covered Brazil
and Colombia.
3 BCQS Market Trend Report – Caribbean & Latin America 2022 Photo: Breathless Montego Bay Resort & Spa, Jamaica
Caribbean
Market Overview
The global economy is experiencing several About a third of the world economy faces two consecutive The World Bank’s 2022 report entitled “Global Economic
quarters of negative growth. Global inflation was forecast to rise Prospects” reported that growth in LatAm and the Caribbean
turbulent challenges. Inflation higher than seen in to 8.8 percent in 2022 and then decline to 6.5 percent in 2023. (LAC) rebounded to an estimated 6.7 percent in 2021, boosted
decades, tightening financial conditions in most Upside inflation surprises have been more widespread among by supportive external conditions, and, in the second half of the
advanced economies, with greater variability in emerging year, a rapid progress on COVID-19 vaccination and a sharp
regions, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, and the markets and developing economies. decline in new cases. Regional growth was projected to slow to
lingering COVID-19 pandemic all weigh heavily on 2.6 percent in 2022 and 2.7 percent in 2023, reflecting sluggish
the outlook. Risks to the outlook remain unusually large and to the downside. labour market improvement, tighter macroeconomic policy, softer
Monetary policy could miscalculate the correct stance to reduce external demand, and a fading boost from the recent increases in
inflation. Policy paths in the largest economies could continue to commodity prices. Growth in the forecast horizon will not be
Normalization of monetary and fiscal policies that delivered diverge, leading to further US dollar appreciation and cross- sufficiently robust to reverse the region’s longstanding decline in
unprecedented support during the pandemic is cooling demand border tensions. More energy and food price shocks may cause per capita income relative to advanced economies. Downside
as policymakers aim to lower inflation back to a target. But a inflation to persist for longer and global tightening in financial risks to the forecast include renewed surges in COVID-19 cases;
growing number of economies are in growth slowdown or outright conditions could trigger widespread emerging market debt financial stress; disruption due to natural disasters, including
contraction. The global economy’s future health rests critically on distress. Halting gas supplies by Russia could depress output in weather events linked to climate change; and, in the longer term,
the successful calibration of monetary policy, the course of the Europe. A resurgence of COVID-19 or a new global health scare failure to implement productivity-enhancing and other needed
war in Ukraine and the possibility of further pandemic-related might further stunt growth. A worsening of China’s property crisis reforms.
supply-side disruptions, for example, in China. could spill over to the domestic banking sector and weigh heavily
on the country’s growth, with negative cross-border effects and Economic conditions in LAC have continued to improve since mid
Recent reports by the International Monetary Fund and the World geopolitical fragmentation may impede trade and capital flows, 2021 as the pandemic eased and external conditions remained
Bank project that the slowdown experienced in global economies further hindering climate policy cooperation. The balance of risks supportive. COVID-19 vaccination has progressed rapidly, whilst
in 2022 will continue through 2023. is tilted firmly to the downside, with about a 25 percent chance of new cases and deaths have also declined rapidly. Strong growth
one-year-ahead global growth falling below 2.0 percent. in key export destinations (The United States and China), high
According to the IMF’s October 2022 World Economic Outlook commodity prices and continued strong remittance inflows to
Update, global growth is projected to slow from 6.0 percent in Warding off these risks starts with monetary policy staying the LatAm countries supported growth in 2022. In most cases,
2021 to 3.2 percent in 2022 and 2.7 percent in 2023. This is the course to restore price stability. Front-loaded and aggressive inflation has risen across the region, above central banks’
weakest growth profile since 2001 except for the global financial monetary tightening is critical to avoid inflation de-anchoring as a targets. The increase reflects firming demand associated with the
crisis and the acute phase of the COVID-19 pandemic and result of households and businesses basing their wage and price economic reopening, coupled with rising global food and energy
reflects significant slowdowns for the largest economies: expectations on their recent inflation experience. Fiscal policy prices.
priority is the protection of vulnerable groups through targeted
• A US GDP contraction in the first half of 2022 near-term support to alleviate the burden of the cost of living
• A euro contraction in the second half of 2022 crisis felt across the globe. But its overall stance should be to
• Prolonged COVID-19 outbreaks and lockdowns in China with remain sufficiently tight to keep monetary policy on target.
a growing property sector crisis
4 BCQS Market Trend Report – Caribbean & Latin America 2022 bcqs.com I © BCQS International
Caribbean
Market Overview
Photo: Wymara Villas, Turks and Caicos Islands
Looking specifically at the Caribbean, growth of 7.3 percent was margins of 15%, 15% and 17.5%, respectively. The remaining ten
projected for 2022 and 5.9 percent for 2023. This growth reflects jurisdictions reported margins of between 10 and 12%. The
a significant contribution from Guyana, where offshore oil overall average profit margin for the fourteen jurisdictions
production has been a major contributor and the return of tourism surveyed is 11.36%.
to those jurisdictions reopening their borders early, such as the
Dominican Republic, where stay-over arrivals have already In conclusion, whilst the Caribbean region continues to deal with
surpassed pre-pandemic levels. Growth should continue in the the aftermath of the COVID-19 global pandemic, increasing
years ahead as the entire region reopens for stay-over tourism interest rates and high inflation, the outlook is not all doom and
and the cruise industry returns to full capacity, taking advantage gloom. Travel and tourism, the largest single contributor to GDP
of the pent up demand from the historically strong North in the region, has rebounded strongly from the lows of 2020, with
American feeder markets. the three KPI’s, Occupancy, Average Daily Rate and Revenue
per Available Room all posting unprecedented year-on-year
Our research shows an average increase in construction costs of growth in 2021 and 2022 and are close to surpassing the highs of
19.22% for the fourteen jurisdictions surveyed, for the two years 2019.
that have elapsed since our last market study in 2020, with a
range of +13.10% to +29.99%. The most significant increase Liam Day, Managing Director, BCQS International
occurred in Anguilla, reflecting the 13% Goods and Services Tax
(GST) introduced in July 2022 and the amount of ongoing Sources: BCQS Cost Database, The World Bank, International Monetary Fund (IMF)
construction activity in that jurisdiction. The average increase of
19.22% clearly shows the unprecedented cost increases
experienced since the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic in both
material and shipping costs. Shipping costs have always been a
significant contributor to construction costs in the Caribbean due
to the number of imported materials. Whilst labour has increased
slightly in a number of jurisdictions, most of the escalation has
resulted from increases in imported material costs and shipping.
Whilst we acknowledge that some material costs have reduced in
the second half of 2022, we do not foresee costs reducing to pre-
pandemic levels.
355,608 196,900 $12.1 billion $30,800 Tourism, banking, oil bunkering, maritime industries, transshipment and
Bahamas BSD 1.00 10,010 Nassau logistics, salt, aragonite, pharmaceuticals
(2022 est.) (2013 est.) (2020 est.) (2020 est.)
152,379 73,010 *$3.86 billion *$24,500 Tourism, petroleum refining, petroleum transshipment, light manufacturing,
Curacao ANG 1.80 444 Willemstad financial and business services
(2022 est.) (2013 est.) (2019 est.) (2019 est.)
2,818,596 1.113 million $25.89 billion $8,700 Agriculture, mining, manufacturing, construction, financial and insurance
Jamaica JMD 152.42 10,831 Kingston services, tourism, telecommunications
(2022 est.) (2020 est.) (2020 est.) (2020 est.)
7,103
St. Barthélemy EUR 0.93 25 Gustavia N/A N/A N/A Tourism, duty free retail
(2022 est.)
1,405,646 629,400 $33.21 billion $23,700 Petroleum, liquefied natural gas, methanol, ammonia, urea, steel products,
Trinidad & Tobago TTD 6.79 5,128 Port of Spain beverages, food processing, cement, cotton textiles
(2022 est.) (2017 est.) (2020 est.) (2020 est.)
Sources: Statistics Department Anguilla, The World Factbook, Statistics Department Turks and Caicos Islands, Forbes Advisor Currency Converter. Notes: *Data are in 2017 dollars. **Nominal GDP. Additional descriptions/notes: See page 27
6 BCQS Market Trend Report – Caribbean & Latin America 2022 bcqs.com I © BCQS International
Caribbean
Barbados 0.04 0.35 9.68 12.5-28.5% 2-5.5% Upwards of 10% 55% 1% 3-5% 2.5% 1.5%
4% Locals
British Virgin Islands 0.02 0.45 5.00 14% 0% 12.5% 20.0% 6.0% 0.0% 2%
12% Expats
Curacao 0.04 0.44 5.69 25.0% 34.5% 15.5% 32% 4% 2.5% 0% 1.5%
Trinidad & Tobago 0.01 0.05 3.76 25% 30% 20% 30% 5% 4% 0% 1.5%
Turks & Caicos 0.04 0.45 6.40 N/A N/A 15% 35% 6.5-10% 6% 0% 1%
7 BCQS Market Trend Report – Caribbean & Latin America 2022 bcqs.com I © BCQS International
Caribbean
Tourism
The Caribbean is the most tourism-dependent region in in the Caribbean region were expected from the US and Canada, 10% from
LATAM and the Caribbean and 17% from other areas. Arrivals from the US and
the world, with tourism representing the largest Canada were expected to increase by 19% from 2019 levels, and arrivals from
contributor to many nations’ economies. A significant LATAM and the Caribbean were expected to increase by 21%. Arrivals from
outside the region were expected to fall 10% from 2019 levels.
amount of construction across the Caribbean is tourism
related, so it is important to consider the performance of The countries with the highest growth in the region in Q3 2022 were the USVI,
the hospitality sector within our report. Guadeloupe, Turks and Caicos, Martinique and Curacao, with growth of 44%,
39%, 37%, 31% and 25%, respectively. The most resilient origin markets to
Caribbean destinations were Columbia, USA, France and the Netherlands,
Prior to Covid-19, the contribution of travel and tourism to the Caribbean GDP
which increased 54%, 18%, 5% and 1%, respectively, compared to 2019 levels.
was 13.9% of the total economy, accounting for US$61.5B. In 2020, it dropped
53.2% to US$28.8B or 7.1% of the total economy. However, 2021 saw a strong
The way people travel has changed since Covid. Of the Q3 2022 arrivals to the
recovery of 36.6% to US$39.3B or 9.1% of the total economy. Regarding
Caribbean, there was a 27% increase in passengers travelling in premium
employment across the region, the industry accounts for 2.35 million jobs,
cabins compared to pre-pandemic levels. Economy, on the other hand, only
equating to 13.4% of all jobs. Compared to 2020 levels, employment has
increased by 1%. Curacao saw a 120% increase in overseas arrivals in premium
increased by 15.2%.
cabins, and Bonaire saw an increase of 110%, with a 92% increase for
Guadeloupe, an 84% increase for Martinique and an 83% increase for the
The World Travel and Tourism Council (WTTC) explains that the potential for
Dominican Republic. Compared to pre-pandemic levels, flight prices are
GDP and employment growth is linked to various regional challenges. The lack
significantly higher, which may impact growth going forward.
of air connectivity and the high cost of air travel remains one of the main limiting
factors, along with a lack of investments in infrastructure, digital solutions and
Cruise tourism has also seen a significant improvement throughout 2022.
human capital. Better crisis preparedness improved environmental protection
According to data published by Tourism Analytics, total cruise visitors by first
and more region-wide collaboration and coordination by governments and
point of entry increased from 1,375,000 in 2021 to 13,193,000 in 2022. However,
industry are all cited as factors which would help improve growth.
2022 figures are still down 40.8% from pre-Covid 2019 levels of 22,282,000.
Most Caribbean destinations, except for Bermuda, Guyana and Turks and
Hotels across the region experienced a rebound following Covid-19 with ADR
Caicos, have completely removed Covid protocols and travel restrictions. While
(Average Daily Rates), RevPAR (Revenue per Available Room) and Occupancy
this makes it easier for tourists, the majority of destinations have seen significant
rates all performing positively during 2022. Data from the Caribbean Hotel &
improvements in passenger numbers and hotels’ key performance indicators
Tourism Association published in their ‘CHTA Insights Tourism Performance &
(KPIs) throughout 2022.
Outlook’ report showed that following Covid, the Caribbean is outperforming the
US, Mexico and Canada in both occupancy and ADR. Q1 2022 occupancy was
As of Q3 2022, total international inbound arrivals worldwide were still down
reported as 43.2% for Canada, 56.2% for the US, 53.1% in Mexico and 58.9% in
39% from 2019. Asia Pacific, for example, was down 72%, Europe was down
the Caribbean. ADR for Canada was US$114, $137 for the US, $150 for Mexico
31%, and The Americas was down 24%. The Caribbean was the only region
and $319 for the Caribbean.
with improvement, with international arrivals up 3%. In Q4 2022, 73% of arrivals
8 BCQS Market Trend Report – Caribbean & Latin America 2022 Photo:
bcqs.com
Richard James
I © BCQS
Taylor
International
/ Belmond, Anguilla
Caribbean
Tourism
STR data for the Caribbean region throughout 2021 and the first seven months of 2022 indicates how the Caribbean Average Daily Rates, Occupancy and RevPar - 2021 - 2022
region’s hotels have responded to the pandemic. As expected, occupancy continued to increase from an
average of 34.7% for the first six months of 2021 to 62.7% for the first six months of 2022. ADR increased
on average from US$241 in 2021 to US$304 in 2022. RevPAR from the first half of 2021 was US$83, OCCUPANCY ADR REVPAR
rising to US$192 in 2022. The graph to the right shows KPIs for Caribbean hotels up to July 2022. 400 70
The most recent STR data from October 2022 showed Year-To-Date occupancy at 59.7%, an 18.5%
increase from 2021 and ADR at US$277.39, a 22.7% increase from 2021. Countries with the highest 350
60
occupancy were Aruba, Curacao, Turks & Caicos and Puerto Rico at 73.7%, 69.9%, 69.7% and 69.3%,
respectively. ADR was highest in Turks & Caicos at US$1,154, followed by USVI at US$554, Bermuda at
US$547 and St Lucia at US$517. We note, however, that ADR for some countries is skewed due to a lack 300
of reporting properties; this is the case for Turks & Caicos. 50
Outlook 250
In 2023, the contribution of travel and tourism to the GDP growth of the Caribbean is expected to slow to
OCCUPANCY (%)
11.1%. This is lower than the 15.1% growth expected globally due to other regions such as Asia-Pacific
continuing to fully open their borders to international travelers. 200
Travel & Tourism’s contribution to GDP is expected to return to its pre-pandemic level by the end of 2024 30
or early 2025, later than the global average. This is due to the heavy reliance that the Caribbean has on 150
international tourism, which, since Covid, has been slower to return to 2019 levels than domestic travel.
20
According to the WTTC, over the next decade, travel and tourism GDP in the Caribbean is forecast to 100
increase at an average annual rate of 5.5%, more than double the overall economic growth of 2.4%.
Travel and tourism jobs are forecasted to grow by an average of 3.3% annually, creating more than
10
916,000 jobs by 2032. There is potential, however, for the sector to grow significantly more than expected, 50
with up to 1.34 million jobs created in the next ten years. This can only be achieved if improvements are
made to infrastructure, flight costs, intra-regional collaboration and government initiatives.
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The Caribbean remains particularly vulnerable to natural disasters, with hurricanes causing huge losses
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and disruption to tourism in recent years. However, over the years, the time taken to recover from such
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disasters has reduced as countries learn from impacts and improve their crisis preparedness going
forward.
Tourism Sources: WTTC (World Travel and Tourism Council) - Travel and Tourism in the Caribbean 2022 Tourism Analytics,
Ailie MacGeoch, Senior Valuation Surveyor, BCQS International STR Data and Publications by CHATA (Curacao Hospitality and Tourism Association)
9 BCQS Market Trend Report – Caribbean & Latin America 2022 bcqs.com I © BCQS International
Caribbean
Country Escalation
Construction Cost Escalation is guided by the culmination of 2020-2022 construction cost escalation for countries covered in our report:
reputable local data sources to determine the basic construction
cost elements, materials, plant and labour. Anguilla 29.99%
Cost research on an ongoing basis includes, but is not restricted to the following cost
elements, which represent common costs of construction within the region. A weighting Aruba 16.73%
has then been applied to proportion the percentage of the value of each element against
a notional whole project cost: Bahamas 21.55%
10 BCQS Market Trend Report – Caribbean & Latin America 2022 bcqs.com I © BCQS International
Caribbean
270 440
The following table provides an upper and lower range of indicative construction costs for each jurisdiction on a Aruba 160 260
120 190
selection of residential property types. The costs are driven from our year-on-year escalation calculations. This
range is designed to give our readers data with 95% certainty based on our analysis. 500 800
Bahamas 300 500
200 320
300 500
Descriptions/Notes: Barbados
See page 27
High Quality Medium Quality Modest Quality 160 250
125 140
350 570
Aruba 270 440 160 260 120 190 Cayman 200 330
150 250
130 220
British Virgin Islands 360 590 240 400 160 240 Guyana 90 140
70 110
790 1,240
Guyana 130 220 90 140 70 110 St. Barthélemy 480 790
300 480
350 580
St. Lucia 210 340 120 200 90 150 St. Maarten 210 350
170 270
St. Maarten 350 580 210 350 170 270
200 350
Trinidad & Tobago 120 180
Trinidad & Tobago 200 350 120 180 90 120 90 120
400 670
Turks & Caicos 400 670 220 370 170 280
Turks & Caicos 220 370
170 280
Source: BCQS Cost Database All values in US$
0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400
11 BCQS Market Trend Report – Caribbean & Latin America 2022 bcqs.com I © BCQS International
Caribbean
320 520
The following table provides an upper and lower range of indicative construction costs for each jurisdiction on a Aruba 170 280
selection of hotel and resort property types. The costs are driven from our year-on-year escalation calculations. This
range is designed to give our readers data with 95% certainty based on our analysis. 480 800
Bahamas 280 500
300 500
Descriptions/Notes:
See page 27
Five Star Low Rise Three Star Economy Barbados 220 320
315 475
Low High Low High
British Virgin Islands 190 265
Anguilla 440 740 300 490
420 690
Aruba 320 520 170 280 Cayman 220 360
12 BCQS Market Trend Report – Caribbean & Latin America 2022 bcqs.com I © BCQS International
Caribbean
Bahamas 220 370 420 700 300 500 450 750 500 800 110 190 190 320 Curacao 120 200
230 380
180 300
280 460
290 470
Barbados 200 300 300 480 220 370 340 560 350 590 90 150 150 250 60
110
100
170
Guyana 120 200
170 270
140 230
British Virgin Islands 170 285 340 525 220 335 395 475 420 525 95 145 140 230 190 310
200 320
60 100
110 170
Cayman Islands 180 300 340 560 280 460 420 690 430 710 90 150 160 260 Jamaica 140 230
270 440
210 350
320 540
330 550
Curacao 120 200 230 380 180 300 280 460 290 470 60 100 110 170 70
120
120
200
St. Barthélemy 200 330
360 600
Guyana 120 200 170 270 140 230 190 310 200 320 60 100 110 170
430 710
Jamaica 140 230 270 440 210 350 320 540 330 550 70 120 120 200 St. Lucia 110 180
200 340
170 270
250 410
260 420
St. Barthélemy 200 330 360 600 N/A N/A N/A N/A 430 710 N/A N/A N/A N/A 60
100
90
160
St. Maarten 190 320
350 570
St. Lucia 110 180 200 340 170 270 250 410 260 420 60 90 100 160 280
420
470
690
430 710
110 180
170 280
St. Maarten 190 320 350 570 280 470 420 690 430 710 110 180 170 280 Trinidad & Tobago 160 260
300 490
220 350
360 600
370 620
Trinidad & Tobago 160 260 300 490 220 350 360 600 370 620 80 130 140 230 80 130
140 230
Turks & Caicos 180 300
340 560
Turks & Caicos 180 300 340 560 270 450 410 690 430 710 90 150 160 260 270
410
450
690
430 710
90 150
160 260
Source: BCQS Cost Database All values in US$
0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800
13 BCQS Market Trend Report – Caribbean & Latin America 2022 bcqs.com I © BCQS International
Caribbean
400 600
The following table provides an upper and lower range of average sales values for each jurisdiction on a selection of Aruba 200 300
residential property types. 100 200
750 1,200
Bahamas 350 500
220 360
Descriptions/Notes:
See page 27
High Quality Medium Quality Modest Quality 420 900
Barbados 170 220
110 170
Low High Low High Low High
400 950
Anguilla 570 940 380 630 190 320 British Virgin Islands 270 380
160 260
270 440
Jamaica 290 470 170 290 120 190
St. Lucia 190 320
90 150
St. Barthélemy 1250 2070 1000 1660 670 1110
480 790
St. Maarten
St. Lucia 270 440 190 320 90 150 430 720
250 420
St. Maarten 480 790 430 720 250 420 230 370
Trinidad & Tobago 140 220
Trinidad & Tobago 230 370 140 220 90 150 90 150
720 1190
Turks & Caicos 720 1190 360 600 230 380 Turks & Caicos 360 600
230 380
Source: Various All values in US$
0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 1,800 2,000 2,200
14 BCQS Market Trend Report – Caribbean & Latin America 2022 bcqs.com I © BCQS International
Caribbean
650 950
The following table provides an upper and lower range of average rack rates for each jurisdiction on a selection of hotels Aruba 200 300
and condos.
380 750
Bahamas 200 350
400 750
Descriptions/Notes:
See page 27
Five Star Low Rise Three Star Economy Barbados 130 200
750 1,500
Low High Low High
British Virgin Islands 160 240
Anguilla 1260 2100 230 380
500 1,300
Aruba 650 950 200 300 Cayman 200 300
680 1,130
Turks & Caicos 680 1130 290 470
Turks & Caicos 290 470
15 BCQS Market Trend Report – Caribbean & Latin America 2022 bcqs.com I © BCQS International
Caribbean
Anguilla 10 20
Commercial 5
10
10
20
10 20
Bahamas 20 40 30 55 30 50 40 60 50 70 15 30 30 45 Curacao 20 25
30 35
20 25
30 35
30 35
Barbados 16 40 35 40 20 40 35 40 35 45 10 18 22 35 10
15
15
30
Guyana 20 30
20 30
British Virgin Islands 20 30 30 45 28 40 35 50 40 60 10 20 20 30
12 20
25 40
16 BCQS Market Trend Report – Caribbean & Latin America 2022 bcqs.com I © BCQS International
Caribbean
Preliminaries Profit
The Bid Environment can be categorised into five scenarios as per the following table:
Anguilla 15.0%
15.0%
Factoring Indicative
Description of Reductions and/ Percentage (%) 10.0%
Aruba
Market Conditions or Increases Profit Sought 7.5%
Very aggressive bid environment with multiple bidders, vendors, Bahamas 15.0%
15.0%
subcontractors and contractors (lump sum hard bids) are willing to bid work
1 at or below cost in order to pay for leased equipment and keep critical work At cost 5
force employed. They have no or critically low backlog. They are operating Barbados 9.0%
10.0%
in the red and need work.
This is a neutral bid environment. Owners are able to get participation in all Guyana 10.0%
10.0%
work, but may have difficulty getting work/ bids from speciality contractors.
Neutral historical
3 The contractor’s labour force and equipment is operating at capacity with 15
aggressive for profit
the flexibility to complete all work on the books. Contractors have, and are Jamaica 15.0%
not concerned about backlog. 10.0%
Contractors are operating above capacity. They cannot complete the work Trinidad & Tobago 12.5%
they have on hand without aggressive hiring, significant equipment 10.0%
Aggressive well
5 procurement and/or expediting materials for projects. Contractors are 25
above average
pricing work with an aggressive mark up/profit. Owners are having difficulty Turks & Caicos 15.0%
getting participation for proposed projects. 10.0%
17 BCQS Market Trend Report – Caribbean & Latin America 2022 bcqs.com I © BCQS International
Caribbean
Bahamas Barbados British Virgin Islands Cayman Islands Curacao Jamaica St. Lucia St. Maarten Trinidad & Tobago Turks & Caicos Average YoY % change
60.00%
50.00%
40.00%
30.00%
20.00%
10.00%
0.00%
18 BCQS Market Trend Report – Caribbean & Latin America 2022 bcqs.com I © BCQS International
Latin America
Market Overview
Generally, the economies of Latin America have over energy shortages in Europe. Thermal coal is an alternative
energy source to natural gas, and Colombian coal exports to Europe
continued their positive post-pandemic rebound. have doubled since the onset of the Russia-Ukraine crisis.
Still, the winds are shifting as global financial
In Brazil, President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva won the October 2022
conditions tighten, and commodity prices are election. Attacks against Brazil’s government institutions by thousands
reversing their upward trend while inflationary of the former president’s Bolsonaro supporters in January 2023 drew
pressures persist. shock and condemnation from world leaders, raising concern that
similar violence in the U.S. has provided the playbook for anti-
democratic violence. This will undoubtedly mean delays to inward
Accordingly, most of the major Latin American economies performed
investment in Brazil in the short term.
better-than-expected in 2022, in many cases growing above-trend
because of resilient domestic demand and an uptick in exports.
Overall, the economic overview of the region is generally pessimistic.
However, this presents opportunities for investors willing to take a
In 2023, however, most Latin American economies are expected to
long-term view and take account of regional currencies, which remain
shift into low-trend growth as more challenging external dynamics
very weak against major world currencies.
weaken exports in the region, and waning confidence takes a toll on
domestic demand.
James Slattery, Director, BCQS International
Dimming prospects for growth in the U.S., Europe, and China, means
that global trade is likely to soften, with negative implications for
exports out of Latin America. This is particularly the case for
consumer-facing exports, like manufacturing goods, which are more
sensitive to the weaker global demand.
19 BCQS Market Trend Report – Caribbean & Latin America 2022 bcqs.com
Photo:
I © Schneider
BCQS International
Electric, Colombia
General and Government Statistics
Sources: World Bank eLibrary. The CIA World Factbook. International Monetary Fund (IMF). Exchange Rate as of 9th January 2023, Forbes Advisor Currency Converter.
20 BCQS Market Trend Report – Caribbean & Latin America 2022 Photo: Canpack, Colombia
Latin America
Brazil – Typical Building Costs (BRL$ per m2) High quality home 4,700 12,000
The following table and chart provides an upper and lower range of typical Brazilian building costs Medium quality home 3,000 4,700
shown in local currency.
Modest quality home 2,400 4,000
BRL/m2
High quality apartment 4,000 8,500
Descriptions/Notes: See page 27 Low High
Residential Medium quality apartment 3,000 5,000
21 BCQS Market Trend Report – Caribbean & Latin America 2022 bcqs.com I © BCQS International
Latin America
Colombia – Typical Building Costs (COP$ per m2) High quality home 3,671,250 5,117,500
The following table and chart provides an upper and lower range of typical Colombian building
Medium quality home 2,336,250 3,337,500
costs shown in local currency.
Descriptions/Notes: See page 27 Low High High quality apartment 4,005,000 6,007,500
Residential
Medium quality apartment 2,225,000 3,337,500
High quality residential home 3,671,250 5,117,500
High quality residential apartment 4,005,000 6,007,500 High quality office fit-out/ city centre 2,002,500 3,337,500
Offices / Commercial
High-tech factory/ laboratory 3,448,750 5,117,500
Offices fit-out / City centre - High quality 2,002,500 3,337,500
Offices fit-out / City centre - Medium quality 1,668,750 2,892,500 Large warehouse distribution centre 1,112,500 1,668,750
Warehouses
High-tech factory / laboratory 3,448,750 5,117,500 Warehouse/ factory unit 1,112,500 1,668,750
Retail
Supermarket/hypermarket 1,557,500 2,238,675
Supermarket/hypermarket 1,557,500 2,238,675 Luxury hotel exc. FF&E, refurbishment 3,099,107 4,338,750
Hotels
4 star hotel exc. F F&E, refurbishment 2,066,071 2,892,500
Luxury hotel exc. FF&E - Refurbishment 3,099,107 4,338,750
Based on the size of Brazil, we have provided a table to identify internal regional construction
cost fluctuations across the country. Using São Paulo as our benchmark, the table identifies 2.00%
the adjustment indices for the region. As can be observed, price ranges fluctuate considerably
0.00%
in Brazil; by in excess of 20%. 0.00%
-11.04%
-15.26%
Maranhão - São Luís -10.31% -16.00%
-18.00% -17.42%
Goiás - Goiânia -11.48%
Pará - Belém -12.15%
-20.00%
Amapa - Macapá -12.15%
Piaui - Teresina
Ceará - Fortaleza
Mato Grosso - Cuiabá
Paraná - Curitiba
Goiás - Goiânia
Minas Gerais - Belo Horizonte
Bahia - Salvador
Maranhão - São Luiz
Amazonas - Manaus
Alagoas - Maceió
Sergipe - Aracaju
Amapa - Macapá
Rio grande do Norte - Natal -11.75%
Mato Grosso do sul - Campo grande -13.42%
Bahia - Salvador -14.52%
Sergipe - Aracaju -14.52%
Ceará - Fortaleza -15.26%
Rio grande do sul - Porto alegre -16.66%
Piaui - Teresina -17.42%
Source: BCQS Cost Database
23 BCQS Market Trend Report – Caribbean & Latin America 2022 bcqs.com I © BCQS International
Latin America
0.90%
0.78%
0.70%
0.50%
0.30%
0.10%
0.01% 0.00%
-0.10%
-0.30%
-0.43%
-0.50%
Barranquilla - Atlantico
Bogotá D.C.
Medellin - Antioquia
24 BCQS Market Trend Report – Caribbean & Latin America 2022 Photo: GSG Globles Scotiabank, Colombia
Latin America
Note: Maps and location placement are not show in accurate scale. Source: BCQS Cost Database.
Weights and Measures
There is no regional pattern of quantification within the region in terms of metric or imperial systems. The following is intended as a guide to the conversion rates of the most common units of measurement within the construction
industry in the region.
METRIC IMPERIAL
Length Length
Area Area
26 BCQS Market Trend Report – Caribbean & Latin America 2022 bcqs.com I © BCQS International
Notes, Terms and Sources
CARIBBEAN High rise, 4-8 storey, shell: As above shell only, with elevators. Supermarket/ hypermarket: Pad foundation system including strip footings, reinforced concrete ground floor slab and reinforced
Page 6/7 concrete including all columns and beams, external CMU wall, internal partitioning and doors, modest quality finishes to floor, walls
High rise, 4 to 8 storey, fitout: As above fitted out, with elevators. and ceiling, plumbing and drainage system to the overall building and sanitary fixtures, electrical system including generator set,
1. Indicators such as water, electricity and especially gasoline are all subject to fluctuations but are indicators of cost
levels at the time of writing. Where figures vary depending on value or type of goods or services, such as import duty communication/ alarms/ data system including CCTV system/ cameras/ access control and telephone/ WIFI system, air handing
on building materials, or stamp duty on property transfer, then a medium average has been calculated. Specialist offices: Including medical centres, laboratories, restaurants, etc. units, air distribution ductwork and extract and supply grilles, exhaust system, sprinkler system.
2. Currency exchange rates are for general information purposes only and are subject to change at any time. Rates are
valid at the time of writing. Storage or warehouse Structures: Walled and metal sheet roofed, electrical and water. Luxury hotel, excl. FF&E: Refurbishment of an existing building, full strip-out of an existing building, structural
modifications to be compliant with the design, new external glazed façade and windows to overall building, internal
Page 8 & 9 Retail single-storey: Open plan, bathrooms, glass storefront. partitioning with acoustic consideration, high quality finishes to new public and guestroom area with some iconic
1. Figures are subject to revision by reporting countries. construction elements, new plumbing and drainage system to the overall building and sanitary fixtures to public,
LATIN AMERICA guestroom and back of house area, new electrical system including generator set, UPS system, BMS system, new
Page 10, 11, 12 & 13 Costs are given in local currency per m² of gross floor area, measured to the external face of the external walls. All costs communication/ alarms/ data system including CCTV system/ cameras/ access control, telephone/ WIFI system and
audio/ video system, air handing units, air distribution ductwork and extract & supply grilles, exhaust system, elevators,
1. The indicative construction costs are given in US currency per square foot of gross floor area, measured to the are indicative averages, and have many caveats. Figures exclude land costs, professional and legal fees, plus all other
external face of the external walls for a spectrum of property types. These costs are shown in a low to high range for soft costs which should be added to the costs in this study. Exchange rates are valid as of January 2023. sprinkler system.
each building type. These costs have been derived both from our indicing of materials, plant and labour and our on
the ground expert opinion, and experience of the market in each jurisdiction. All costs are indicative averages, and High quality residential home: New construction, high quality finishes, complete MEPF network including sanitary 4 star hotel, excl. FF&E: Refurbishment of an existing building. As above but with medium finishes.
have many caveats. Figures exclude land costs, professional and legal fees, plus all other soft costs which should be fixtures, including swimming pool.
3 star hotel, excl. FF&E: New construction, new shell and core in concrete, glazed façade and windows to overall
added to the costs in this study.
2. Where metric measurement or other currencies are used, conversions have been done. Medium quality residential home: New construction, medium quality finishes, complete MEPF network including building, concrete staircase and CMU wall, internal partitioning and doors, medium quality finishes to floor, walls and
sanitary fixtures. ceiling, new plumbing and drainage system to the overall building and sanitary fixtures, new electrical system including
Page 14, 15 & 16 generator set, UPS system, BMS system, new communication/ alarms/ data system including CCTV system/ cameras/
1. The average rental and sales values per square foot for a spectrum of types of properties show a low to high range Modest quality residential home: New construction, modest quality finishes, complete MEPF network including sanitary access control, telephone/ WIFI system and audio/ video system, air handing units, air distribution ductwork and extract
and supply grilles, exhaust system, elevators, sprinkler system, landscape works.
for each building type. These costs have been derived both from our indicing of materials, plant and labour and our fixtures.
on the ground expert opinion, and experience of the market in each jurisdiction.
2. Where metric measurement or other currencies are used, conversions have been done. High quality fit-out works within existing residential apartment: Refurbishment of an existing apartment, high quality 4 star hotel, excl. FF&E: New construction. As above but with medium to high quality finishes..
finishes to floors/ walls/ ceiling, new MEPF network including new sanitary fixtures.
Page 17 5 star hotel, excl. FF&E: New construction. As above but with high end quality finishes.
1. The average overhead and profit margin percentages are typical for projects ranging from $1M to $5M in construction Medium fit-out works within existing residential apartment: Full strip out works of an existing apartment, medium
cost. Average overhead and profit margin percentages for higher cost projects are expected to be less due to quality finishes to floors/ walls/ ceiling, mechanical and electrical services and lighting upgrade. ADDITIONAL NOTES:
economies of scale. This report is intended as a guide only. Should the reader require detailed construction advice, then the services of a
Modest fit-out works within existing residential apartment: Refurbish existing apartment with medium quality finishes. professional RICS accredited and professionally indemnified Quantity Surveyor should be sought. BCQS International
Page 18 accepts no responsibility for results of the actions of individuals acting directly through the findings of this report. Whilst
1. The overall market trend is based on data we have cumulated since we started reporting. High quality office fit-out/ city centre: Acoustical quality suspended ceiling, internal partitioning with acoustic we have made every effort to ensure that all rates and statistics herein are accurate, BCQS International accepts no
consideration, mechanical, electrical, plumbing and fire safety installations including lighting upgrade, installation of responsibility for the accuracy of the sources of such rates and statistics.
Page 20 below floor power distribution and data cabling, enhanced finishes to bathrooms, tenant stand-by power generation and
1. Currency exchange rates are for general information purposes only and are subject to change at any time. Rates are UPS, IT and telecommunications installations, adaptation of life safety systems and signage, decoration and branding, Sources have been referred to where appropriate. Although extensive research has been carried out in the compilation of
valid at the time of writing. high quality carpet generally, specialist finishes to reception/lobby. this report, much of it has been generated in-house, and not all references have been named. We hereby extend our
thanks to those sources known to us through professional relationships, suppliers, employment brokers, plant hire
Page 21-25 Medium quality office fit-out/ city centre: As above, but with medium quality finishes. companies etc. throughout our named jurisdictions.
1. All building costs for Latin America are shown in m2 (1 m2 = 10.764 sq. ft.).
2. Costs are given in local currency per m² of gross floor area, measured to the external face of the external walls. High-tech factory/ laboratory: Pad foundation system including strip footings, reinforced concrete ground floor slab and Neither the whole nor any part of this report or any reference to it may be included in any published document, circular or
3. All costs are indicative averages, and have many caveats. vapor barrier, structural steel frame including all columns and beams, curtain glazed facade, metal wall cladding and statement nor published in any way without BCQS International’s written approval of the form and context in which it may
4. Figures exclude land costs, professional and legal fees, plus all other soft costs, which should be added to the costs insulation, concrete staircase and CMU wall, internal partitioning and doors, medium quality finishes to floor, walls and appear.
in this study. ceiling, plumbing and drainage system to the overall building and sanitary fixtures, electrical system including generator
5. Please consult BCQS in relation to the averages used above to seek any clarification. set, communication/ alarms/ data system including CCTV system/ cameras/ access control, telephone/ WIFI system, BCQS International gives no warranty, representation or assurance that the statements, conclusions and opinions
audio/ video system and TV and screen projection, air handing units, air distribution ductwork and extract and supply expressed or implied in this report are accurate or valid. BCQS International has prepared this report without any
The building types referred to in the cost indicator sections are as follows: grilles, exhaust system, elevator and scissor lift, sprinkler system. acceptance or responsibility on their part to agents outside of the employ of BCQS International.
CARIBBEAN Large warehouse distribution centre: Pad foundation system including strip footings and reinforced concrete ground Due to current volatile financial markets, our findings should be regarded as valid for a limited period of three months,
High quality residential home: New construction, high quality finishes, complete MEPF network including sanitary floor slab, roofing structural steel frame, in-situ reinforced concrete to columns and beams, external CMU wall with metal after which they will be subject to re-examination.
fixtures, including swimming pool. wall cladding, Internal partitioning and doors, modest quality finishes to floor, walls and ceiling, plumbing and drainage
system to the overall building and sanitary fixtures, electrical system including generator set, UPS system to store, Given the degree of overall uncertainty due to the COVID-19 pandemic, data contained herein may change dramatically,
Medium quality residential home: New construction, medium quality finishes, complete MEPF network including communication/ alarms/ data system including CCTV system/cameras/access control, telephone/WIFI system, or be different than under stable market conditions. Therefore, we advise the intended user to consider the current lack of
sanitary fixtures. audio/video system, air handing units to stores only, air distribution ductwork and extract and supply grilles, exhaust overall economic stability in evaluating the data and opinions expressed herein.
system, sprinkler system.
Modest quality residential home: New construction, modest quality finishes, complete MEPF network including sanitary
fixtures. Warehouse/factory unit: Pad foundation system including strip footings and reinforced concrete ground floor slab,
reinforced concrete including all columns and beams: using bolted connections for secondary beams / primary beams, It is important to note that this report is generic in nature and for general
Hotels/ condos five star: Five-Star resort with normal facilities. external CMU wall, internal partitioning and doors, modest quality finishes to floor, walls and ceiling, plumbing and
drainage system to the overall building and sanitary fixtures, Electrical system including generator set, communication/ guide purposes only.
Hotels/ condos three star: Three-Star economy hotel with normal facilities. alarms/ data system including CCTV system/ cameras/ access control and telephone/ WIFI system, air handing units, air
distribution ductwork and extract and supply grilles, exhaust system, sprinkler system.
Offices, 1-3 storey, shell: Shell only partitioned, staircase, package units A/C, bathrooms, doors and aluminium
Given current global market volatility, possible unique site conditions
windows. Large shopping centre / mall - shell and core: Shell & core in concrete, glazed curtain wall façade, reinforced concrete and/or specifications of individual projects, we encourage you to reach out
staircase, CMU walls, Internal partitioning and doors, high quality finishes to floor, walls and ceiling, Plumbing and
Offices, 1-3 storey, fitout: Fitted out partitioned, staircase, package units A/C, bathrooms, doors and aluminium drainage system to the overall building and sanitary fixtures, electrical system including generator set, UPS system, BMS to your local BCQS contact for more up-to-date and customised cost data
windows. system, communication/ alarms/ data system including CCTV system/ cameras/ access control, telephone/ WIFI system relating to each project location.
and audio/ video system, air handing units, air distribution ductwork and extract and supply grilles, exhaust system,
elevators and scissor lift, sprinkler system, landscape works.
27 BCQS Market Trend Report – Caribbean & Latin America 2022 bcqs.com I © BCQS International
www.bcqs.com
Regional Contacts
Bermuda Jamaica
T. +1 649 946 4238 T. +1 345 949 8644
E. rnicholls@bcqs.com E. ljd@bcqs.com
Contact: Rosie Nicholls Contact: Liam Day