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The Economic Times Wealth - August 1 2022
The Economic Times Wealth - August 1 2022
THE HIGH
RETURN
RATIO STOCKS
TO BET ON?
P8
www.etwealth.co | Ahmedabad, Bengaluru, Chennai, Hyderabad, Kolkata, Mumbai, New Delhi, Pune | August 1-7, 2022 | 24 pages | `8
WILL FIIs
COME BACK?
(And when?)
FIIs have withdrawn almost `4.4 lakh
crore from Indian equities in the past
16 months. Find out why they are
quitting and what can turn the tide.
WILL FIIs
COME BACK?
(And when?)
FIIs have withdrawn
almost `4.4 lakh crore
from Indian equities
in the past 16 months.
Find out why they are
quitting and what can
reverse the trend.
PHOTOS: GETTY IMAGES
By Babar Zaidi other developed markets. A spike in bond FIIs are in withdrawal mode
T
yields drives away money from emerg-
he hot money that foreign ing markets like India into US bonds,” FIIs have withdrawn `4.38 lakh cr from Indian stocks in past 16 months
investors poured into Indian says Amit Gupta, Fund Manager, Adroit
markets has been flowing Financial Services. Bond yields in the FIIs net sales (` cr) Nifty -1,53,058
out at a rate never seen in US have risen from around 1.27% in July 17,616 -1,30,348
recent history. FIIs have sold 2021 to 3.3% in April 2022. The war in
a record `4.38 lakh crore worth of Indian Ukraine and the resultant surge in oil
17,280
stocks in the past 16 months (see graphic), prices only added fuel to the fire. 16,588 16,503
-1,00,968
averaging net sales of more than `1,300 Though FIIs have sold across the
crore on every trading day since 1 April board, financial sector stocks have
16,220
2021. The selling abated considerably in witnessed heavy selling. Five of the top 15,138
July but there are no conclusive signs of 10 stocks that saw the heaviest selling
a trend reversal yet. “The sustained sell- in the past five quarters are from the
ing has resulted in the FII stake in Nifty financial sector (see table). The IT sector
500 companies touching a multi-quarter also saw sustained sales by FIIs. Two IT -24,848
low of roughly 17%,” points out Hemang stocks figure in the list of biggest sell- -18,081
Jani, Head of Equity Strategy, Motilal offs by FIIs. “FIIs are selling bluechips
-7,614
Oswal Financial Services. to book the big gains they have made in
FIIs started withdrawing from Indian these stocks. It is rational to book profit Apr-Jun Jul-Sep Oct-Dec Jan-Mar Apr-Jun Jul
markets last year after central banks during times of high uncertainty,” says 2021 2021 2021 2022 2022 2022
embarked on a policy of monetary tight- V.K. Vijayakumar, Chief Investment *Till 28 July
ening to rein in inflation. The aggres- Strategist at Geojit Financial Services.
sive rate hikes by central banks raised Enormous as they may appear, the FIIs have sold Selling has `58,122 crore Withdrawals
fears of a global recession, triggering an `4.38 lakh crore withdrawals by FIIs is `1,325 crore been across withdrawal slowed down
exodus of FIIs from emerging markets, just 5% of their total holdings in Indian worth of stocks the board, in June 2022 in July, with
including India. “The rise in inflation stocks. It is also noteworthy that the every trading but mostly was the high- just `7,614
globally led to a spike in interest rates bulk of the FII withdrawals (almost 63%) day from April in large-cap est in recent crore sales
and a jump in bond yields in the US and are accounted for by non-India dedi- 2021. bluechips. years. till now.
cover story
The Economic Times Wealth August 1-7, 2022 03
T
he longest serving fund manager Flagship funds earlier run by veteran fund manager
in the country’s mutual fund Prashant Jain will now be helmed by others.
industry finally bowed out last
week. HDFC AMC announced HDFC FLEXI CAP HDFC TOP 100
that Prashant Jain was stepping CURRENT AUM CURRENT AUM
M
down from his duties as CIO and fund man-
ager of its flagship schemes. This ushered in
`26,511 `19,910
a new dawn and a period of transition for the
fabled fund house. What does this mean for
its funds and existing investors?
Change of guard & approach NEW FUND MANAGER NEW FUND MANAGER
Jain’s unwavering conviction in his ideas
was his most storied trait. He wore it like a ROSHI JAIN RAHUL BAIJAL
badge of honour but at times it also became a
millstone around his neck. While he finally
left on a reasonably strong footing, some of Past experience Past experience
his big contrarian bets did not yield expected Franklin Templeton India Sundaram MF
payoffs for years on end. The approach asked Other schemes managed Other schemes managed
for zen-like patience from investors and ad- HDFC Focused 30, HDFC NA
visers alike. Yet, many continued to put faith Taxsaver.
in his abilities. It was his reputation and ex-
perience that allowed him that freedom and HDFC BALANCED ADVANTAGE
ability to dig in his heels. Experts feel this ex-
(earlier HDFC Prudence)
tent of goodwill will not pass onto the incom-
ing fund managers. Roopali Prabhu, CIO and CURRENT AUM
Co-Head of Products & Solutions, Sanctum `43,079
Wealth, says, “Jain showed a lot of mettle in
the face of pressure but the system always
backed him and made it possible for him to tinct strengths. Agrawal is known insists Bala. Meanwhile, in-
do that. Anybody else who is not that senior for his ability to read macros, Roshi vestors should watch out for
may not withstand similar pressures.” The Jain for her value-centric approach some drift in style. “Cultural
HDFC brand played its part in ring-fencing NEW FUND MANAGER and Baijal for his capabilities in the integration is a gradual pro-
the funds from mass exodus. If anybody else large-cap space. The entire equity cess. There is bound to be some
underperformed for so long, investors would
GOPAL AGRAWAL (with
team will now be overseen by long- style drift which can impact re-
have packed up and left. “The incoming fund SRINIVAS RAMAMURTHY serving fund manager Chirag Setalvad, turn,” argues Prabhu. It also remains
managers will have to be more mindful of and ANIL BAMBOLI) who himself brings strong capabilities in to be seen how Setalvad adapts to his
market realities,” says Amol Joshi, Founder, the mid- and small- cap segments and adopts bigger leadership role without losing
PlanRupee Investment Services. a refined blend of growth and value styles. focus on funds he manages.
Anish Teli, Founder, QED Capital Past experience It is the clearest indication that the fund
Advisors, asserts, “It is good to have con- Tata MF, DSP MF, Mirae Asset MF house has been laying the ground for more What should investors do?
viction. But even the biggest names in the Other schemes managed HDFC Capital style diversification in its suite of products. There is no reason for investors to
investing world have shown willingness to Builder Value, HDFC Large & Mid Cap, Bala asserts, “HDFC AMC has realised the panic. “This is not the first time that
adapt their styles depending on where the HDFC Multi Cap, HDFC Dividend Yield need of the hour and it is evident in how a star fund manager is handing over
winds are blowing. The clearest signal glob- it has gone about hiring people.” Joseph the baton. AMCs have pulled off such
al markets have sent so far is that the process observes, “It has been a gradual, well calcu- transitions in the past,” says Joshi.
is the star.” If investing strategies are not coming fund managers imbibe some values lated plan to remove overdependence on one Fund houses like DSP and Nippon
realigned to reflect market realities, playing Jain practised, experts maintain. person and countered by adding specialists India also went through a period
catchup becomes difficult later. When exter- across the investing spectrum.” of turmoil but new fund managers
nal dynamics are changing fast, it is critical Ushering style diversity have come in and done a good job.
to continuously revisit and rework investing In many ways, HDFC AMC has already Uncharted waters “Investors can take comfort in know-
thesis, says Vidya Bala, Head – Research, set this transition in motion over the past Yet, this eclectic new look is not likely to be ing that the brand has thought this
Primeinvestor.in. Going forward, it is expect- few years. The change has not happened smooth sailing. Unlike earlier, the AMC’s through and the basic ingredients of
ed that the fund house will shift to a deeper overnight. Under the stewardship of new funds are likely to take distinct paths. New investing hygiene and competence
process-driven approach. “Now the size of CEO Navneet Munot, the fund house has CIO Setalvad will let fund managers play are in place,” insists Joseph. It is per-
the funds has also grown a lot bigger and been roping in several new fund manag- to their individual strengths, industry haps time investors give more weight
cannot be run on individual whims. This ers to bolster its investment team. Some insiders say. Many of the AMC’s funds have to fully understand the underlying in-
freedom will give way to stronger processes of these are established names like Gopal already started on that path, recalibrating vesting values rather than subscribe
and frameworks at the fund house,” reckons Agrawal, Roshi Jain and Rahul Baijal. portfolios slowly based on the new man- to the cult of a star fund manager.
Santosh Joseph, Founder and Managing Responsibilities for Jain’s managed funds ager’s style. But this will take time and out-
Partner, Germinate Investor Services. But will be farmed out to this set of fund manag- comes will vary. “Distinct strategies will
even as the fund house is expected to shed ers. Apart from boasting proven creden- help as long as it is clearly spelt out to the Please send your feedback to
etwealth@timesgroup.com
some of its old ways, it is necessary that in- tials, these fund managers also bring dis- investors. Otherwise it will get confusing,”
financial planning
06 The Economic Times Wealth August 1-7, 2022
WEALTH
WHINES
My boss keeps asking
Money &
Relationships
me for money...
Here are the things to keep in mind while dealing with the situation
without impacting your job or career prospects, says Riju Mehta
M
aintaining a good relation- has contacted for the same. If it’s a genuine his money management skills are poor,
ship with one’s boss can be financial crisis or emergency, it may be ok leaving him short of cash every month.
a tightrope walk at the best to give the money, but make sure he knows Suggest the help of a financial planner
of times. Add a personal fi- it’s a loan and the money needs to be re- or advise behavioural counselling, if
nancial issue to the equation turned. If, on the other hand, it’s a frequent possible. It is important to convey that
and it can be difficult to keep your work practice, you should make an excuse and his habit is making everyone in the of-
life on an even keel. For instance, what refuse because you are unlikely to get the fice uncomfortable and he needs to take
should you do if your boss is in the habit of money back. control of the situation.
borrowing money from colleagues, even
Check your own finances Prepare to write off loan
juniors or team members? Refusing to lend
might mean jeopardising your career in 2 It is natural to feel intimidated when 4 If you are lending money to the
the organisation and doing so could result your boss asks for money, but it is important boss or even a colleague, give it with the
in financial loss if he or she does not return to keep tabs on your own financial situation understanding that you are unlikely
the money. How should you handle the situ- before giving in to pressure. If the amount to get the money back. So lend only the
ation without impacting your job or work asked for is small, but the frequency of bor- amount that you are prepared to write
relationship? Here are some things to keep rowing is high, it may impact your own cash off and one that does not impact your
in mind the next time your boss asks you flow and household budget, besides creating own finances. It will also help you avoid
for money. problems with your spouse. So try to explain any conflicts and heartburn over the
your situation or make an excuse and refuse unpaid amount and you will be able to
Check his track record
1 The first time that your boss asks
to lend money. maintain a more professional attitude
at work.
Have an open discussion
for money, you may feel pressured to give
3 Report to superviser
it without a thought. However, it may be a If your boss is a good person and you
5
ANIRBAN BORA
good idea to check with other colleagues if have an amiable relationship with him or If the boss is a frequent borrower
this is a habit and he regularly asks others her, try to have a frank and open discussion and you cannot afford to lend, but also
for money, or you are the only person he about the issue. More so, if it’s a habit or do not want to upset your relationship,
learn the art of saying no without of-
fending him. If it is a menace for the
entire team or several colleagues and is
IF YOU HAVE A WEALTH WHINE, WRITE TO US... Disclaimer: The advice in this column is not from
a licensed healthcare professional and should affecting your work, report to his super-
All of us have been in a financial dilemma when it comes to relationships. How do you say no to a friend not be construed as psychological counselling, viser as a team in order to resolve the
who wants you to invest in his new business venture? Should you take a loan from your married brother? therapy or medical advice. ET Wealth and the
Are you concerned about your wife’s impulse buying? If you have any such concerns that are hard to writer will not be responsible for the outcome of
problem. Do not be the only one to report
resolve, write in to us at etwealth@timesgroup.com with ‘Wealth Whines’ as the subject. the suggestions made in the column. it as you may have to face his ire if he
finds out about it.
READERS’ QUERIES
Q My parents died last year without a will. Will my father’s self-acquired house be
shared by both my brother and I, or will it be inherited only by my brother? — S. Sharma
According to the Hindu Succession (Amendment) Act 2005, a daughter has the same right to her father’s self-acquired property as the son, if the father passes
away without a will. Since both you and your brother are Class I legal heirs, the property will be shared equally between you and your sibling.
I am separated from my hus- where your husband or in-laws cannot virtue of their birth. You can write a rate from me and throw me out of the
Q band and am in the process of
getting a divorce. Does the
access these till the divorce proceed-
ings are complete.
will specifying your daughter as the
sole beneficiary of your house, but re-
house. Can he do so?
— S. Agnihotri
jewellery gifted to me during our mar- member to mention the reason why you According to a Supreme Court ruling
riage belong to me or will it be shared I am 69 years old and have a want to leave out your son in order to in 2020, a woman cannot be evicted
by my husband?
— TK
Q son and a daughter. My wife
passed away last year. I have
reduce the chances of a dispute and con-
testing of the will by him. In case of the
from her marital home that she shares
with her husband and in-laws. Even
All the gifts received by you during the one property that I bought with my ancestral property, you cannot give it to if the house belongs to the in-laws and
wedding will be considered streedhan own money and some ancestral prop- anyone you want through a will and it not to the husband, or even if it is rent-
and belong to you. In fact, any asset, erty as well. Is it possible to leave both will be distributed equally among your ed, you cannot legally be thrown out.
including movable and immovable these properties only to my daughter legal heirs. Hence, your husband cannot remove
property, received by you at any point in and not to my son? If yes, how can I en- you from this house if you do not want
time, during the wedding or childbirth, sure this? I have been married for two to leave the place.
will be deemed streedhan and you will
have the right to keep it. Your husband
— V.K. Singh
While you can pass on the self-acquired
Q years and my husband has
been physically abusive to me Disclaimer: The responses are based on limited
or in-laws cannot stake a claim to these. property to whomsoever you want during this time. I and my husband facts provided by the queries. It is advisable to
consult a legal practitioner after presenting full
It is advisable that you identify all through a valid will, the ancestral stay with my in-laws in their house, facts and documents. Responses should not be con-
such gifts and keep them in a safe place property will go to your legal heirs by but now my husband wants to sepa- sidered as legal advice in any manner whatsoever.
review preview
The Economic Times Wealth August 1-7, 2022 07
product
launches Companies go big on Ola to fire around
1,000 employees
:: Insurance
ICICI Lombard has launched a slew of
motor insurance plans, including Motor
hiring temporary staff Ola is in the process of firing close to
1,000 employees even as it ramps up
hiring for electric mobility business.
Floater insurance, Pay-As-You-Use and Manpower ramp up to cope with festive rush. ET reported earlier that the company
Pay-How-You-Use, so that people with had started handing out pink slips
multiple vehicles can be insured under by Rica Bhattacharyya ity has improved and the fear of pandemic and had yet to formalise appraisals
one policy with a single renewal date and has tapered down,” said Alok Kumar, sen- for many of its employees.
comprehensive cover, along with single A record high number of temp jobs is likely to ior director for sales, account management
premium. Those opting for the Motor be created this festive season as companies and global accounts at ManpowerGroup
Floater will be provided a lower premium across industries are ramping up manpower India. This is an increase of around 20- 25%
for multiple vehicles The full benefits of to cater to a post-pandemic rise in pent-up jobs compared to last year’s festive months.
no-claim at each vehicle level will be pre- demand and an anticipated increase in sea- About 70% of the demand or 350,000 of
served under the Motor Floater offering sonal purchase even as high inflation and the new jobs are estimated to be in the
when one shifts from independent poli- rising household expenses continue to weigh delivery, logistics and warehousing seg-
cies to the Motor Floater policy. In case of on consumer sentiment. ment. The likes of Amazon, Shadowfax
no claims during policy period, a no-claim According to data exclusively shared by Technologies, Ecom Express, and Flipkart
bonus is offered on renewals as per the
ManpowerGroup India, an all-time high are all strengthening their last mile teams.
applicable slab and up to 50%. Telematics
number of 500,000-550,000 new temp jobs will Shadowfax Technologies, which works
add-ons are offered to convert the base
be created between August and November. with online marketplaces, plans to hire
product into an ‘asset-cum-usage’ prod-
The data is based on staffing demand from 105,000 delivery agents in the next three
uct. Under this, one can opt for plans
companies across sectors like retail, e-com- months, double its intake a year ago. Ecom
like Pay-As-You-Use (PAYU) and Pay-
How-You-Use (PHYU). In PAYU, one has merce, logistics, warehousing, banking and Express is planning to hire about 55,000
the flexibility to choose from different financial services, among others. people for delivery roles and across its sort
‘Kilometers’ depending on usage and “Companies are in a rush to strengthen centres before this festive season.
premium would be limited to the extent manpower as they expect a big boost in their “Our hiring will be focused across
the vehicle is used or estimated to be sales both online and offline as this festive regions, and we see a huge uptake from
used. In PHYU, those with good driving season will be the first in the last three years tier III/IV cities and remote parts of the
behaviour can avail of attractive dis- where most of the population is vaccinated, country,” said Ashish Sikka, chief strategy
counts over the base premium. Covid-induced restrictions are lifted, mobil- officer, Ecom Express.
stocks
08 The Economic Times Wealth August 1-7, 2022
High return
ratio stocks
to bet on
Companies that utilise their capital efficiently
can prove valuable investment bets due to
their ability to deliver above average returns.
C
and debt), RoC proves useful as it meas-
apital plays a significant ures the profit earned by a company rel-
role in business growth ative to its total capital (equity and debt).
and expansion. It helps in It is calculated by dividing the EBIT (a
procuring assets like plant, measure of operating profit) by the capi-
machinery, tools and other tal employed. Companies that generate
GETTYIMAGES
heavy equipment. Like other factors higher RoC have the ability to manage
of production (land, labour, entrepre- and service debt in a very efficient way.
neur), the owners of the capital (or Also, RoC must be higher than the rate
investors) also expect a reasonable at which the company borrows money
return on their investments. Such own- otherwise it indicates that the company
ers are both equity and debt investors. is not employing the capital efficiently.
To determine such returns, it is best The third return ratio, RoA, indicates
to analyse the return ratios, which help how efficiently a company coverts the
investors determine the money a com- money used to purchase assets into net
pany is generating on the invested capi- profits. In other words, the ratio meas-
tal. The ratios indicate how efficiently ures how profitable are the company’s APL APOLLO TUBES Return ratio 2021-22
the management utilises the investors’ assets. The ratio is useful for both inves- POTENTIAL
money in business operations. tors and the management. 12-month Current 1-year target UPSIDE RoE RoC RoA
The most commonly used return ra-
tios are return on equity (RoE), return
ET Wealth analysed BSE500 compa-
nies to determine which ones have a
forward PE
29.2
price (`)
905.9
price (`)
1,073.3
18.5% 28.2% 24.5% 14.2%
on capital (RoC) and return on assets strong return ratio profile. Data for the ANALYSTS’ RECOMMENDATIONS
(RoA). These ratios are generally ex- last 10 financial years for RoE, RoC and THE COMPANY’S OPERATING perfor- BUY HOLD SELL
pressed in percentage terms. Higher RoA were extracted from Bloomberg mance in the future will be supported
the return ratios better the valuations with 2021-22 as the latest year. we have
16 1 1
by the increasing share of value-added
of those companies and vice versa. filtered out companies whose RoE, RoC, products and strong demand from the down of premium (relative to secondary
RoE measures how much a com- and RoA in the year 2021-22 was the infrastructure, construction, automobile pipes) will make the company’s products
pany earns on its equity capital. It is highest in the last 10 years. Only compa- and energy sectors. The demand for steel competitive.
calculated by dividing the annual net nies with positive ratios in the defined pipes is expected to remain robust and the According to a report by Antique Stock
income (or PAT) by the average equity period were included. recent reduction in steel prices post the Broking, there will be a 32% volume
capital. For example, if RoE is 18%, it There are only 23 such companies in imposition of export duties bodes well for CAGR over 2022-23 and 2024-25 sup-
implies that the company earned `18 on the BSE500 index. In the last 3, 5 and the company going forward. The company ported by value-added products from the
every `100 worth of equity capital. An 10 years, these companies (as a group) was losing market share to competitively ramp-up of the Raipur facility and lever-
increasing RoE over time means that have delivered an average point-to-point priced secondary pipes. The fall in steel aging of Shankara’s distribution network.
the company is generating shareholder return of 252%, 251% and 1,799% respec- prices will lead to a reduction in primary
value by reinvesting its earnings in tively. Comparatively, the BSE500 index pipe prices and the resultant narrowing
quality projects that are contributing delivered 55.1%, 63.2%, and 251% point- APL Apollo Tubes
to profits. On the other hand, a declin- to-point returns during the same period. 111.93
ing RoE over a period of time could All returns are absolute (not annual- 100 BSE500
indicate reinvestment of capital in un- ized) and calculated as on 26 July 2022.
productive assets. The wide outperformance shows that 103.44
However, RoE does not take into the companies with high return ratios
account the other sources of financ- are adequately rewarded by the markets
ing like debt. A company with high in the medium to long run.
leverage or debt may show a high RoE Following are six companies out of
but the risks associated with high- 23 that have good analyst recommen-
interest costs or debt servicing are not dations and a decent one-year price
reflected. potential as per Bloomberg consensus
For levered companies (with a capi- estimates. 26 July 2021 26 July 2022
stocks
The Economic Times Wealth August 1-7, 2022 09
22.2
price (`)
3,319.3
price (`)
4,677.3
40.9% 34.4% 35.7% 23.1%
BUY
5
HOLD
0
SELL
1
BSE500
103.44
100
THE COMPANY’S WIDESCALE operations According to a recent report from Way- Balaji Amines
across geographies will help it to capitalise 2Wealth, the company will report revenue 100.92
on rising domestic and international demand and PAT growth of 19% and EBITDA growth
for methylamine from the pharmaceutical of 17% in CAGR terms over the next two
and agrochemical industries. The company years. The growth will be driven by the com-
also enjoys the benefit of operating leverage missioning of the DMC plant, incremental
and an improved product mix. An increase volume from the de-bottlenecked DMF plant,
in contribution from better-margin products, ethyl amine capacity ramp-up, higher BSC
a strong capex pipeline and import substitu- plant utilization and new capex
tion opportunities are other strengths. completions. 26 July 2021 26 July 2022
20.9
price (`)
566.9
price (`)
775.7
36.8% forward PE
25.5
price (`)
3,743
price (`)
4,234.9
13.1% 25.5% 26.6% 15.6%
BUY
19
HOLD
4
SELL
4
13
price (`)
152
price (`)
191
26.1% 48.8% 46.4% 20.5%
100
18 5 1 Exide Industries
84.23
THE COMPANY WILL gain from auto OEM ing will be key growth catalysts. According
recovery and improvement in industrial to a JP Morgan report, the stronger balance
segment demand. The lead acid batteries sheet after the divestment of the life insur-
segment will continue to perform due to the ance business should help the company to
lack of charging infrastructure and power fund its capex commitment for a lithium cell
grid capabilities to handle electric vehicles. gigafactory through internal accruals. It is
Foray into EV battery space, cell and module well positioned to see steady core business 26 July 2021 26 July 2022
manufacturing, and Li-ion cell manufactur- growth for the next decade. Current price as on 26 July 2022. BSE Sensex 12M Forward PE: 19.47. Source: Bloomberg.
family finance
10 The Economic Times Wealth August 1-7, 2022
Need to reduce
goal values G. SANTOSH & VEENA SANTOSH, 52 & 46 YEARS, SALARIED, CHENNAI
by Riju Mehta
Portfolio Emergency fund 2.18 lakh Cash -
G
. Santosh is a government em- CURRENT
ASSET Mutual funds,
ployee and lives with his wife, VALUE (`) 1st child’s education 24.2 lakh / 2 yrs -
real estate
a tutor, and two children, aged, Real Estate 60 lakh
19 and 14 years, in Chennai. Cash, mutual fund,
2nd child’s education 29.2 lakh / 4 yrs 39,819
They get a combined salary Cash 3.03 lakh real estate, stocks
of `72,000 a month, besides a pension of Debt
`22,500 as Santosh is a defence services re- 1st child’s wedding 37.5 lakh / 7 yrs Sukanya plan -
tiree. He also gets a rental income of `8,667 EPF 12.5 lakh
a month from a `42 lakh house, for which 2nd child’s wedding 60.7 lakh / 11 yrs - -
Insurance 9 lakh
he has taken a loan of `16.15 lakh and pays
an EMI of `30,000. He has another house Sukanya scheme 2.6 lakh Retirement 1.59 crore / 8 years EPF, PPF, NPS 12,000
worth `15 lakh and a `3 lakh plot of land.
His goals include building an emergency PPF 55,000
Investible surplus
corpus, saving for his children’s higher 52,819*
NPS 50,000 needed
education and weddings, and retirement.
According to Fincart, lack of investible Equity * Investment shown in table will start from next year after repayment of loan. For now, he can start investing
surplus, insufficient assets and a very `11,000 for child’s goal and `12,000 for retirement.
short time horizon means Santosh will Mutual fund 9.3 lakh Annual return assumed to be 12% for equity, 7% for debt funds. Inflation assumed to be 7%.
not be able to reach his goals if he does
not reduce the goal values. He should also Stocks 44,519
repay the home loan with his insurance
plan, which matures next year, and one of
Total 97.9 lakh Insurance portfolio
the mutual funds. This will free up `30,000.
For now, he can start by building an LIABILITIES CURRENT VALUE (`)
EXISTING SUGGESTED
EXISTING
emergency corpus of `2.18 lakh, which is MONTHLY MONTHLY
INSURANCE COVER SUGGESTIONS
equal to his three months’ expenses, by PREMIUM PREMIUM
Home loan 16.15 lakh (`)
(`) (`)
allocating a part of his cash. This amount
should be invested in a low duration fund. Total liabilities 16.15 lakh Life insurance
For his kids’ higher education, Santosh
will need `24.2 lakh and `29.2 lakh, in Net worth ` 81.8 lakh Term plan 1.04 crore 1,430 Continue 1,430
two and four years, respectively. For the
Traditional
former, he can allocate a part of his equity 5 lakh 3,451 Continue 3,451
plan
fund corpus and house worth `15 lakh. For
the latter, he can assign the plot of land, Cash flow Ulip - - - -
stocks, one mutual fund, and remaining
EXISTING SUGGESTED
cash. He will also have to start an SIP of (`) (`)
TOTAL 1.09 crore 4,881 - 4,881
`39,819 in debt funds from next year. For
children’s weddings in seven and 11 years, Income 1,03,167 1,03,167 Health insurance
he will need `37.5 lakh and `60.7 lakh,
but due to lack of surplus, he is advised to Outflow Employer’s - - - -
bring down these goal values. For retire-
Household 27,300 27,300
ment, he will need `1.59 crore in eight expenses Own 4 lakh 1,704 Continue 1,704
years. He can assign his EPF, PPF and NPS
corpus, and also start an SIP of `68,855 in Kids’ 14,000 14,000
education TOTAL 4 lakh 1,704 1,704
equity funds. He can start with `12,000 for
now and increase it with a rise in income. Contribution 1,500 1,500 Critical illness &
He will also continue to get pension for life. to parents accidental 24 lakh 169 Continue 169
For life insurance, Santosh has two Loan EMI 30,000 - disability
term plans of `1.04 crore, and a traditional
plan of `5 lakh. Though he needs a higher Insurance TOTAL 24 lakh 169 - 169
premium 6,754 6,754
cover, cash constraints mean he will not be
able to pay the premium. Since he only has
Insurance cost - 6,754 - 6,754
Investment 23,000 52,819
eight years to retire, Fincart suggests he Premiums are indicative and could vary for different insurers.
continue with the existing covers and not Total outflow 1,02,554 1,02,373
buy any more. For health, he has a `4 lakh
cover and `24 lakh accidental disability Surplus 613 794
plans for him and his wife. As his medical Write to us Looking for a professional to analyse your investment
portfolio? Write to us at etwealth@timesgroup.com with
expenses will be covered by government for expert ‘Family Finances’ as the subject. Our experts will study
your portfolio and offer objective advice on where and
even after retirement, he does not need
any more health cover.
Financial plan by FINCART
advice how much you need to invest to reach your goals.
financial planning
The Economic Times Wealth August 1-7, 2022 11
GETTY IMAGES
risks and to higher interest rates. Do not as-
sume you would be an exception.
Ninth, upgrade and update and prepare
for an expanded role for yourself. Recession
R
is the time to push all your assets to protect
ecession is in the air. Whether we real estate because someone told you that prop- your income and wealth from erosion. If
admit to it or not, signs of an eco- erty will never lose value. Be aware that many you invested in debt products and held back
nomic slowdown are around us. assets are inflated in value when demand is from investing in equity, you must pay at-
We could argue that India will be high and interest rates are low and will fall tention to the human asset and invest in it
immune, or not. We could debate steeply when those conditions reverse. so any deterioration in value is checked.
whether the West will be more impacted than Third, business failure is a common occur- Nothing is lost in a recession if you remain
the East. We might indulge in speculation rence in a recession. Weak businesses are at alive and well and employable. The oppor-
about the dollar and oil. But our circle of con- higher risk, and new weaknesses will show up tunity to start over always beckons.
trol is what needs action, not the larger circle as the situation gets worse. Do not speculate on Tenth, do not assume it is the end of the
of concern that involves all these macro ques- stocks and on unknown names. Keep off IPOs world and make absolutely pessimistic de-
UMA SHASHIK ANT
IS CHAIRPER SON, tions. and small-cap stocks and set aside the tempta- cisions. A recession is part of an economic
CENTRE FOR INVES TMENT First, prepare for risks to your regular in- tion to think of a new name as the next multi cycle and one has to ride through it until
EDUC ATION AND LE ARNING come. The degree of impact may vary depend- bagger. Stick with the known and established it turns around. Resilience is built when
ing on the sector you work in, the strength of names that will likely remain standing during you face downturns and overconfidence
the firm you work for, the elasticity of demand tough times. Large-cap stocks and funds are is tempered when assumptions go wrong.
for your goods and services and many other better avenues during tough times. There is a time to be conservative with the
factors you don’t control or cannot realistically Fourth, do not start a new business yourself. job, income and investments and to go on
estimate. But a drop in demand for products This is not the time to try entrepreneurship. with life without too much speculation and
and services can mean low or no increment, When interest rates are higher, and demand optimism. Focus on survival, the time to
cut in pay, cut in job role or loss of job in the for goods and services are lower, you will rise and thrive will arrive soon after.
extreme. struggle to establish and grow. Profit making The ideas of circles of control and con-
Do not be reckless about changing your businesses come under stress during reces- cern are precious to think about. One can
job, or seeking new roles. Stay with the tested sionary times and resort to tactics to manage spend a lot of time debating the macro level
Our job, our income,
waters when the going is tough. New jobs may unsold stocks and underutilised capacity. Go events, focusing on the news headlines and
our debt, our assets,
be difficult to find. If you can supplement your back to the first point and secure your income. behaving as if the world’s well being is at
our expenses and
income with other moonlighting opportuni- Fifth, do not sell your stocks and property stake. The concerns about these high level
the well being of in panic. Falling prices are not the right times happenings seem important and valid to
ties, or part time work opportunities, pick
our household them up before job markets get into a deeper to sell. Timing the markets almost never pays many. But our circle of control is where our
are matters of our slump. Postpone decisions to quit or to take a the common investor. Do not assume that you actual task lies. Our job, our income, our
concern that need us break. Retain multiple earner status for the have acquired good trading skills to time and debt, our assets, our expenses and the well
to take action. household. play economic cycles. Unless you are in finan- being of our household are matters of our
Second, do not fish in muddled waters and cial distress do not liquidate your assets when concern that need us to take action. Focus
try to make investment decisions you risk prices have fallen. Ride through after making on those and you won’t miss much ignoring
considering as ‘smart’. This is not the time to sure what you have is of good quality. Staying the alarmist macro debates.
speculate on the dollar, oil or gold. You will invested with quality stocks and assets is your
risk buying at the top and holding on through insurance against permanent damage to your
a slump and make yourself no money. During wealth when economic cycles turn.
Please send your feedback to
a recession, businesses do not make capital in- Sixth, do not acquire new debt. Put a brake
etwealth@timesgroup.com
vestment decisions. Nor should you. Do not buy on borrowings. In an environment of low job
financial planning
12 The Economic Times Wealth August 1-7, 2022
PAPER WORK
:: Registering complaints
under the NPS
The National Pension System
(NPS) is a pension-cum-investment
scheme of the government. NPS has
GETTY IMAGES
developed a multi-layered griev-
ance redressal system which helps
a subscriber register grievances
using any of the following ways:
A
login id and password. Another
Ashish’s children will soon be shish faces exchange rate risk rency of an international market where way is to visit the “Log Your
arising from the fact that his you have invested, you can get more ru- Grievance/Enquiry” section under
going abroad for undergradu- earnings are in rupees and his pees per unit of the currency invested and “Subscriber’s Corner” of the web-
ate studies. His son leaves next expenses towards his children’s the net asset value (NAV) rises. Similarly, site. On successful registration of
year and his daughter is due to education will be in dollars. Any apprecia- when the rupee ascends, the NAV decreas- the complaint, a token number is
tion in the rupee will work in his favour, es. For instance, an investment of $2,000 in generated for future reference.
join college in three years. He while depreciation will increase the cost a stock when 1 $= `80 would mean his cost
is firm that both of them should of education. Ashish may not be able to of investment in the native currency is
get a foreign education. He is forecast the direction of the exchange rate `1,60,000. In a scenario when the exchange Call centre or IVR system
correctly, thanks to the global uncertain- rate increases to `90, Ashish’s investment The subscriber can
a senior management profes- ty. He should, therefore, not try to specu- will be valued at `1,80,000. Thus, he would call the NSDL CRA call
sional and earns well. He has late the value of the rupee. Currency de- have made a profit of `20,000 from merely centre at 1800 222
saved enough for his children rivatives may turn out to be a risky choice currency fluctuations. 080 and register their
not suitable for his longer term horizon of Ashish may also like to look at interna- complaint. Here the
over the past 15 years. However, four to five years. Trying to time the mar- tional funds that invest in global markets. subscriber needs to authenticate
the falling rupee has left him kets might create problems if the rupee He should be careful not to choose risky using the T-pin. Once the complaint
is registered, a token number is
worried. Banks are unable to appreciates. He has a clear need, therefore international investments. Some invest in
generated for future references.
hedging is a better alternative. He needs to a few countries or themes and may carry
help him hedge the increasing consider ways to earn dollar income from equity and country risks. Some of these in-
cost of fees and expenses he will rupee investments. ternational funds are global only in name
incur, if the rupee continues International investing might be a good and may invest up to 65% in India to pro- Complaint using forms
choice. He may like to look at investing in vide tax benefits to their investors. Some The NPS subscriber can
to depreciate. How can Ashish dollar denominated bonds, ETFs and prod- funds have high costs and a very small also submit the griev-
manage this risk and control ucts. Foreign investments can provide a size too. Ashish should choose with a focus ance in writing to the
POP–SP. Subscriber has
the adverse impact of the depre- potent buffer against rupee depreciation. on his need to earn dollar income that will
to mention the PRAN as the means
When the rupee slides against the cur- help manage his currency risk.
ciation on his corpus? of authentication. An acknowledge-
Content on this page is courtesy Centre for Investment Education and Learning (CIEL). ment receipt is given after submis-
Contributions by Girija Gadre, Arti Bhargava and Labdhi Mehta. sion of form. Later, a token number
is emailed to the subscriber.
Subscriber can also get the token
smart things to know Balanced vs balanced advantage fund number from the POP-SP against
1
2
the acknowledgement receipt.
Balanced funds
and balanced Balanced funds have almost
Over the long
term, bal-
4Balanced funds are
The
expense
ratio of
:: Points to note
z Lodge complaint using the online
3 5
system so that the tracking of the
advantage equal allocation (minimum anced funds taxed as debt funds balanced
same can be done seamlessly.
funds are 40% and maximum 60%) to give more whereas balanced ad- funds is
z If the complaint is not resolved to
two types of both asset classes whereas stable returns vantage funds can be typically
the satisfaction of the subscriber,
hybrid funds balanced advantage has no compared taxed as equity or debt lower than
the complaint can be escalated.
that invest fixed guideline and have the to balanced depending upon the balanced
in equity and flexibility to switch between advantage asset allocation at the advantage
debt securities. both the asset classes. funds. time of redemption. funds.
SMART STATS
The Economic Times Wealth
August 1-7, 2022
In This Section
MUTUAL FUNDS - P14
LOANS AND DEPOSITS - P16
Every week we put about 3,000 stocks through four key filters and rate them on a mix of factors. The end result
of this is the listing of the top 50 stocks based on the composite rating to help ease your fortune hunt.
LAGGARDS LEADERS
ET Wealth collaborates with Value Research to identify the top-performing Equity: Large-cap 5-year returns
funds across categories. Equity funds and equity-oriented hybrid funds are 6.17 16.21
ranked on 3-year returns while debt-oriented hybrid and income funds are JM Focused Fund Nippon India ETF Nifty 50 Value 20
UTI Mastershare Fund - Regular Plan 9,237.78 -2.32 -4.81 3.83 15.57 10.99 2.09 THE 3-YEAR
RETURN OF
ICICI Prudential Bluechip Fund
UTI Nifty 50 Index Fund - Regular Plan
29,981.07
7,068.10
-1.32
-1.69
-2.64
-2.01
8.31
6.71
15.27
14.74
11.02
11.68
1.71
0.31
CANARA
ROBECO
Equity: Flexi-cap 5-year returns
IDFC Nifty 50 Index Fund - Regular Plan 424.17 -1.62 -1.88 6.66 14.73 11.63 0.46 BLUECHIP IS
ICICI Prudential S&P BSE Sensex Index Fund 561.72 -1.11 -1.91 6.97 14.63 — 0.29 THE HIGHEST 4.53 16.57
Baroda BNP Paribas Large Cap Fund 1,204.99 -0.76 -2.76 4.46 14.59 10.42 2.27 IN ITS Motilal Oswal Flexi Cap Parag Parikh Flexi Cap Fund
CATEGORY.
HDFC Index Fund Nifty 50 Plan 5,940.60 -1.73 -2.08 6.54 14.46 11.47 0.4 5.16 16.38
HDFC Index Fund - S&P BSE Sensex Plan 3,390.39 -1.14 -1.87 6.97 14.38 12.19 0.4 Taurus Flexi Cap Fund Quant Flexi Cap Fund
Nippon India Index Fund - S&P BSE Sensex Plan 282.71 -1.16 -1.96 6.91 14.3 11.88 0.46
5.54 14.05
Invesco India Largecap Fund 616.25 -2.05 -6.72 2.42 14.15 10.03 2.46
Nippon India Retirement IIFL Focused Equity Fund
Mirae Asset Large Cap Fund - Regular Plan 30,299.43 -1.82 -2.91 3.76 14.14 10.97 1.59
Tata S&P BSE Sensex Index Fund - Regular Plan 137.06 -1.17 -1.94 6.68 13.78 11.77 0.58 7 13.25
Axis Bluechip Fund 32,322.11 -3.01 -6.03 -1.91 12.86 12.24 1.69 IDFC Focused Equity SBI Focused Equity Fund
1 Top 5 SIPs
Value Research Net Assets Expense
Fund Rating (` Cr) 3-Month 6-Month 1-Year 3-Year 5-Year Ratio
3
Nippon India Short Term Fund 7,283.85 0.07 0.76 2.61 6.2 6.15 1.15
`2.12
Next 22.5% Tax planning: Offer tax rebate under Section 80C.
(Not covered
Middle 35% in ETW Funds International: More than 65% of assets invested abroad.
Next 22.5% 100 listing) Income: Average maturity varies according to objective.
Bottom 10% Gilt: Medium- and long-term; invest in gilt securities. LAKH CRORE
Fixed-income funds less than 18 months old and equity funds Equity-oriented: Average equity exposure more
less than three years old have been excluded. This ensures than 60%. was the net AUM of large- IIFL Axis All Axis Aditya Nippon
that all the funds have existed long enough to be tracked for Debt-oriented aggressive: Average equity exposure
cap funds in June 2022, Dynamic Seasons Dynamic Birla Sun India
consistency of performance. Given the focus on long-term the highest among equity Bond Debt FoF Bond Life Ac- Dynamic
between 25-60%.
investing, liquid funds, short-term funds and FMPs are not Fund Fund tive Bond
part of the list. For the same reason, we have considered only Debt-oriented conservative: Average equity exposure schemes. It constitutes 16.5% % AS ON 30 JUNE 2022
the growth option of funds that reinvest returns instead of less than 25%. of the net AUM of equity
offering dividends that increase the NAV of funds. Arbitrage: Seek arbitrage opportunities between equity schemes, according to AMFI. % EXPENSE RATIO IS CHARGED ANNUALLY.
Despite these rigorous filters, the list includes 2/3 funds of and derivatives.
METHODOLOGY OF TOP 100 FUNDS ON
each category to maximise choice from the best funds. Asset allocation: Invest fully in equity or debt as per WWW.WEALTH.ECONOMICTIMES.COM
The fund categories are: market conditions.
loans and deposits
16 The Economic Times Wealth August 1-7, 2022
TENURE: 5 YEARS Indian Bank 7.70 7.40 8.15 7.55 8.30 9 June 2022
DCB Bank 6.60 13,872 UCO Bank 7.80 7.40 7.60 7.40 7.60 9 June 2022
RBL Bank 6.55 13,838 Bank of Baroda 7.45 7.45 8.80 7.45 8.80 15 June 2022
IDFC First Bank 6.50 13,804
Kotak Mahindra Bank 7.50 7.50 8.00 7.55 8.10 8 June 2022
IndusInd Bank 6.50 13,804
SBI Term Loan 7.55 7.55 8.05 7.75 8.25 15 June 2022
Karur Vysya Bank 5.90 13,402
ICICI Bank 7.60 7.60 8.30 7.70 8.45 8 June 2022
Karnataka Bank 7.50 7.74 9.09 7.74 9.09 1 June 2022
Top five senior citizen bank FDs Central Bank of India 7.75 7.75 8.20 7.75 8.20 9 June 2022
Interest rate (%) What `10,000
TENURE: 1 YEAR compounded qtrly will grow to J & K Bank 7.85 7.85 8.25 7.85 8.25 10 June 2022
Bandhan Bank 7.00 10,719
Dhanlaxmi Bank 7.00 7.85 8.50 8.35 9.00 1 June 2022
RBL Bank 7.00 10,719
SBI Max Gain 7.55 7.95 8.45 8.05 8.55 15 June 2022
DCB Bank 6.60 10,677
IndusInd Bank 6.50 10,666 South Indian Bank 7.25 8.25 10.50 8.60 11.00 1 June 2022
IDFC First Bank 6.25 10,640
TENURE: 2 YEARS
Bandhan Bank 7.25 11,545
Your EMI for a loan of `1 lakh
RBL Bank 7.25 11,545 TENURE 5 YEARS 10 YEARS 15 YEARS 20 YEARS 25 YEARS
DCB Bank 7.10 11,511
@ 7% 1,980 1,161 899 775 707
IDFC First Bank 7.00 11,489
IndusInd Bank 7.00 11,489 @ 8% 2,028 1,213 956 836 772
TENURE: 3 YEARS
Bandhan Bank 7.25 12,405
@ 9% 2,076 1,267 1,014 900 839
DCB Bank 7.10 12,351
@ 10% 2,125 1,322 1,075 965 909
RBL Bank 7.05 12,333
FIGURES ARE IN `. USE THIS CALCULATOR TO CHECK YOUR LOAN AFFORDABILITY.
IDFC First Bank 7.00 12,314
FOR EXAMPLE, A `5 LAKH LOAN AT 12% FOR 10 YEARS WILL TRANSLATE INTO AN EMI OF `1,435 X 5 = `7,175
IndusInd Bank 7.00 12,314
TENURE: 5 YEARS
Post office deposits Interest (%)
Minimum
investment (`)
Maximum
investment (`)
Features
Tax
benefits
DCB Bank 7.10 14,217
RBL Bank 7.05 14,183 Sukanya Samriddhi Yojana 7.60 250 1.5 lakh p.a. One account per girl child 80C
IDFC First Bank 7.00 14,148
IndusInd Bank 7.00 14,148 Senior Citizens' Savings Scheme 7.40 1,000 15 lakh 5-year tenure, minimum age 60 yrs 80C
Axis Bank 6.50 13,804
Public Provident Fund 7.10 500 1.5 lakh p.a. 15-year tenure, tax-free returns 80C
Kisan Vikas Patra 6.90 1,000 No limit Can be encashed after 2.5 years Nil
Top five tax-saving bank FDs 5-year NSC VIII Issue 6.80 1,000 No limit No TDS 80C
Interest What `10,000
TENURE: 5 YEARS AND ABOVE rate (%) will grow to
Time deposit 5.5-6.7 1,000 No limit Available in 1, 2, 3, 5 year tenures 80C#
DCB Bank 6.60 13,872
RBL Bank 6.55 13,838 Single 4.5 lakh 5-year tenure, monthly returns Nil
Post Office Monthly Income
IDFC First Bank 6.50 13,804 6.60 1,000
Scheme
Joint 9 lakh 5-year tenure, monthly returns Nil
IndusInd Bank 6.50 13,804
Karur Vysya Bank 5.90 13,402 Recurring deposits 5.80 100 No limit 5-year tenure Nil
ALTERNATIVE INVESTMENT
RETURNS MONITOR
The scope and attractiveness of alternative investments is increasing. Here’s a weekly tracker of returns from such investments. But don’t
compare these with returns from traditional investments since the proportion and purpose of alternative investments is vastly different.
Gold (995) (`) Silver (`) Platinum ($/troy ounce) WTI Crude ($/barrel)
47,570 51,017 66,386 55,972 1,068.68 893.65 72.39 97.26
28 JULY 2021 28 JULY 2022 28 JULY 2021 28 JULY 2022 28 JULY 2021 28 JULY 2022 28 JULY 2021 27 JULY 2022
CHANGE
X 1 WEEK 2.5% 1 WEEK 3.83% 1 WEEK 1.89% 1 WEEK -2.25%
X 1 YEAR 7.25% 1 YEAR -15.69% 1 YEAR -16.38% 1 YEAR 34.36%
DSJ Keep Learning Ltd 5.12 27.36 182.87 0.16 168.69 42.6 Usha Martin Education 5.50 2.04 -3.68 0.29 2,846.73 14.52
Regency Ceramics Ltd 9.59 27.19 161.31 0.05 82.02 25.36 Prime Urban Develop. 6.20 4.91 -30.18 0.02 2,352.89 16.52
Integra Essentia Ltd 5.95 22.43 138 25.80 278.95 229.49 PVP Ventures Ltd 8.06 27.13 56.50 4.09 1,539.93 197.51
Sturdy Industries Ltd 1.16 24.73 132 3.30 211.4 17.55 Excel Realty N Infra Ltd 8.09 -9.10 18.10 4.09 984.95 76.09
PVP Ventures Ltd 8.06 27.13 56.50 4.09 1,539.93 197.51 Shree Global Tradefin 7.89 8.23 5.34 22.74 980.84 1,003.69
Venlon Enterprises Ltd 9.65 4.44 55.14 0.20 87.7 50.41 Alps Industries Ltd 3.05 -14.08 -11.08 0.47 792.41 11.93
JMD Ventures Ltd 7.52 9.94 45.17 0.05 -75.91 10.85 Ontic Finserve Ltd 1.63 -13.76 12.41 1.39 512.70 14.67
Croissance Ltd 8.70 3.08 41 0.26 -68.51 59.59 Vikas Proppant & Gran 0.98 13.95 -34.23 26.79 445.60 50.44
KCL Infra Projects Ltd 3.84 26.32 33.80 0.76 -23.69 10.12 Viaan Industries Ltd 0.96 24.68 5.49 2.76 409.45 10.58
Bartronics India Ltd 5.33 22.53 29.37 0.13 9.5 18.15 Housing Development 4.58 -5.95 -12.43 1.82 358.21 217.09
STOCKS HAVE BEEN SELECTED USING THE FOLLOWING FILTERS: PRICE LESS THAN `10, ONE-MONTH AVERAGE VOLUME GREATER THAN OR EQUAL TO 1 LAKH, AND MARKET
CAPITALISATION GREATER THAN OR EQUAL TO `10 CRORE. DATA AS ON 28 JULY 2022. SOURCE: ETIG DATABASE AND BLOOMBERG.
mutual funds
18 The Economic Times Wealth August 1-7, 2022
Healthcare
7.97
24.98 DATE OF LAUNCH
23.03 22.62
10 AUGUST 1995 Capital goods 6.84
CATEGORY
13.02 12.88 EQUITY Automobile 6.84
11.36
6.09 TYPE
3.17 3.72 The fund portfolio takes a
MID CAP substantial tilt towards financials.
AUM*
1-YEAR 3-YEAR 5-YEAR
`11,268 Crore
BENCHMARK
The fund has beaten its index and AS ON 26 JULY 2022 Top 5 stocks in portfolio (%)
peers over the past year. NIFTY MIDCAP 150
TOTAL RETURN INDEX Varun Beverages 4.51
Cholamandalam
3.67
Equity 95.41%
CAPITALISATION
Mid-cap 63.01%
Small-cap 16.64% Sharpe Ratio 0.66 0.64 0.69
Small
FUND
Debt & Cash 4.59% Mean Return 19.86 18.69 20.94
MANAGER
BASED ON 3-YEAR PERFORMANCE.
INVESTMENT STYLE
The fund’s risk-return profile is not
The fund retains sizeable presence in both large- MANISH GUNWANI among the best in its category.
and small-cap stocks apart from its mid-cap tilt. TENURE: 4 YEARS, 8 MONTHS
Source: Value Research
Should
Earlier run as a market cap ag- proach, with the fund manager 30% of the entire portfolio. fund’s return profile followed
nostic fund, this fund shifted to ushering more diversification The fund maintains sizeable by a brief lull, but is finding its
N Fundamentals
uvoco Vistas is a cement player with a strong market gistics and dealers will aid in increasing market penetration.
share in eastern India and a presence in the North. It Third, it enjoys strong R&D and technological capabilities
has a capacity of 23.82 million tonnes and offers a di- which help create innovative products. Also, the company CONSENSUS
ACTUAL
ESTIMATE
versified product range, such as ready-mix concrete, is constructing alternate fuel material handling systems at
2021 2022 2023 2024
modern building materials and different cement varieties. Nimbol and Risda cement plants, which are expected to re-
Revenue (` cr) 7,333.19 9,318.03 10,658.17 11,773.81
In 2021-22, the company reported 24% y-o-y growth in rev- duce cost headwinds in a volatile inflationary environment. It
enue from operations, despite significant rise in the cost of has planned a capex of around `2,500 crore over the next three EBITDA(` cr) 1,460.50 1,498.74 1,610.34 2,048.62
coal and pet coke. The performance was supported by an in- years, which will be used for capacity expansion. Net Income (` cr) -34.66 30.26 164.59 502.04
crease in demand from construction Fourth, the company has a Basic EPS (`) -1.09 0.87 4.78 14.04
and infrastructure sectors, cost effi- strong liquidity profile. According
ciency measures led by utilisation of
Analysts’ views to CRISIL, Nuvoco could generate Valuations PBV PE
DIVIDEND
YIELD (%)
alternate fuel sources, and synergy annual accruals of `1,300-1,500 Nuvoco Vistas Corporation 1.33 -- 0.00
benefits from the Nu-Vista acquisi- 2 crore in the next two years, which
11 will support timely repayment of Ultra Tech Cement 3.70 25.44 0.59
tion. The latter has led to cost reduc- Sell Buy Ambuja Cements 2.91 31.12 1.70
tions in the areas of procurement, debt obligations. The management
Shree Cement 4.21 31.54 0.44
manufacturing and logistics. aims to be debt free by 2025-26.
ACC 2.86 30.25 2.66
According to a CRISIL report, 2 Also, the stock trades at a dis-
the performance is expected to im-
prove in 2022-23. The majority of the
Hold count to the market benchmark
in terms of PBV of 1.33 times Brokerage calls TARGET
RECO DATE RESEARCH HOUSE ADVICE PRICE (`)
Bloomberg analysts who are track- compared to the BSE Sensex’s 4.1
ing the stock remain confident about times. According to Bloomberg 22 Jul Citi Buy 345
the company’s prospects. There are estimates, Nuvoco’s revenue and 12 Jul HDFC Research Buy 591
many reasons for such bullishness. Nuvoco Vistas has strong R&D and technological EBITDA will report 14.4% and 11 Jul Haitong Outperform 400
First, the cement demand is ex- capabilities, which help it to create innovative 7.4% y-o-y growth in 2022-23. 7 Jul Nirmal Bang Buy 356
pected to grow due to the revival products. The company has planned a capex of Selection methodology: We
around `2,500 crore over the next three years for 7 Jul DAM Capital Buy 375
in real estate demand and the gov- pick the stock that has shown the
capacity expansion and aims to be debt-free by then.
ernment’s push for infrastructure
spending. Affordable home loans, expansion of credit-linked
maximum increase in ‘consensus
analyst rating’ during the past month. The consensus rating Relative performance SENSEX
102.3
subsidy scheme, and work from home are some of the factors is arrived at by averaging all analyst recommendations after 100 MARKET PRICE: `329.05 86.5
that are driving the housing demand in Tier-1 and Tier-2 cit- 61.9
attributing weights to each of them (5 for strong buy, 4 for buy,
ies. On the other hand, government schemes like Pradhan 3 for hold, 2 for sell and 1 for strong sell) and any improvement
Mantri Awas Yojana and National Infrastructure Pipeline in consensus analyst rating indicates that the analysts are
will help drive cement consumption. The cement sector is getting more bullish on the stock. To make sure that we pick
expected to grow at 7-8% in 2022-23, according to Nuvoco’s only companies with decent analyst coverage, this search will
2021-22 annual report. be restricted to stocks with at least 10 analysts covering them.
Second, the company’s strong sales, marketing and distri- You can see similar consensus analyst rating changes during 23 AUG 2021 ET CEMENT NUVOCO VISTAS CORP 28 JUL 2022
bution channel and an extensive network of warehouses, lo- the past week in ETW 50 table. —Sameer Bhardwaj Nuvoco Vistas is compared with ET Cement. Stock price and index values
normalised to a base of 100. Source: ETIG and Bloomberg.
Its has strong positioning in domestic agri-pipes market and backward integrated operations as well
Finolex Industries IDBI Capital Buy 140 195 39.3 as a healthy balance sheet. Also, the valuations have turned attractive after the recent correction.
It is well placed to capitalise on the surging demand from CV OEMs, railways, oil & gas and mining/
Ramkrishna Forgings Monarch Buy 173 237 37.0 earth-moving segments. Rising utilisation will improve both the margin and the return profile.
Maintain ‘buy’ due to continued investment in manpower, sales, robust collections, and market
Indiamart Yes Securities Buy 4,074 5,439 33.5 leadership in B2B online classified segment, plus strong play on rising adoption of internet in SMEs.
Initiate with ‘buy’ as it will be a beneficiary of the likely surge in power transmission capex,
Antique Stock
Hitachi Energy India Buy 3,160 4,200 32.9 growing investment in transportation sector, and data centers. A sharp uptick in order flows is
Broking expected, which will meaningfully boost the earnings in the future.
Prabhudas Positive growth momentum across regions coupled with price hikes in the recent past. Higher
Sharda Cropchem Buy 564 740 31.2
Lilladher agrochemicals growth and strong traction in non-agrochemicals segment are other positives.
Reiterate ‘buy’ as the company is a key beneficiary of an acceleration in IT spends, given its
Infosys Motilal Oswal Buy 1,503 1,760 17.1 capabilities around Cloud and Digital transformation. Robust order book, positive growth
guidance, and high headcount addition provides strong visibility.
A sharp decline in international steel prices, volatile coking coal prices, concerns of weak export
JSW Steel Sharekhan Reduce 582 525 -9.8 volumes amid likelihood of a global economic slowdown. The net debt is likely to surge.
QA
your queries
&
20 The Economic Times Wealth August 1-7, 2022
I want to invest `50 lakh for the educa- I am 34. I took a `50 lakh term plan with disclo-
tion of my two daughters. I will need the sure of sickle cell tread (not disease) in 2014.
money after four and a half years. Please Now my proposal for a new term plan of `50 lakh
suggest where I should park the money. with a critical illness rider (`10 lakh) has been
Also, please explain the tax implications. pushed back without any reason. I may get one if
I hide the problem as recommended by my advis-
er, which I don’t want to do. What should I do?
If your children are minors, then any interest
income generated will get clubbed with yours
and you would need to pay tax on it as per We understand your condition, but insurance fun-
your bracket. However, if your children are Our panel of experts will damentally works on the principle of utmost good
major, then they are treated as separate enti- faith. Therefore, it is never recommended to hide
ties for all investment and tax purposes. If answer questions related to any information from the proposal. In case the in-
you split the `50 lakh between your two chil-
dren, then even at 10% returns, the interest
any aspect of personal surer finds out this undisclosed information, it can
lead to rejection of your claim and even nullifica-
earned would be below the taxable limit. As finance. If you have a query, tion of the policy on account of misinformation.
this fund is meant for your children’s educa-
tion, and that too in the short term, investing
mail it to us right away. This defeats the entire purpose of buying a term
plan in the first place. Every insurer has a differ-
in equity may not be a good idea. The mar- ent approach to existing conditions and cover
kets are uncertain and this instability will last
for a couple of years, impacting returns. It is
QUESTION OF THE WEEK amount being asked for. You can check for various
riders available with your insurer or ask for cer-
best to look at instruments that provide de- tain customisations in your term plan. Specifical-
cent returns and high capital protection. Your ly, in conditions like this, you may want to
best option right now is to invest in bank or I am 45 and planning to retire by 50. I compare and ask the insurer if they
post office FDs. Since you need the money in have a corpus of around `2 crore which would be willing to provide the plan
four and a half years, tax saving FDs are out includes `1.35 crore in direct equity and without riders or for a lower cover
as their span is for 5 years. If you can plan for `65 lakh in MFs. The returns from pri- amount and go ahead accordingly.
six months, then you can invest in them. You vate equity as well as MFs are in red
can also consider regular FDs for shorter pe-
because of the current market scenario.
riods of 1-2 years and then reinvest in them. Sarbvir Singh
You can also consider repo-linked FDs as in- What should be my strategy if I want to CEO, Policybazaar.com
terest rates for these will continue to rise as earn a steady monthly income of around
the repo rises. Spread the risk. Do not invest `1.25 lakh after my retirement? I have a
more than `5 lakh in one bank with the same life cover of `2 crore and a family floater My brother and I bought a house in 2015 and it was
set of account holders. Second, break up the registered in my name and my mother’s name. My
health cover of `5 lakh. mother passed away in 2021 and we sold the house.
amount and invest in multiple FDs so that in
My brother and I have split the sale amount equally
case you need to make part between us. What are the long-term capital gains tax
payments before matu- You should execute an exit strategy starting 2-3 implications for each of us? If we don’t need this
rity, you can do so years from now wherein you reduce your equity amount in the short term, what are the best options
without affecting the exposure and move into debt funds and bank to avoid paying LTCG tax? Can one of us pay LTCG tax
entire corpus. deposits. If the whole corpus of `2 crore is de- according to one’s share received and the other invest
ployed and a return of 7% is assumed, you can it for the long term and not pay LTCG tax?
generate pre-tax income stream of around `1.16
Adhil Shetty lakh per month. However, the ideal way will be Any gains from the sale of residential property
CEO, BankBazaar to first set aside a sum equivalent to expenses would be subject to capital gains tax in the hands
for a year — `15 lakh—for any emergencies. In of individuals according to their share in proper-
addition, part exposure to equities should con- ty. In your case, the property would be considered
tinue, which will grow over time to combat infla- as a long-term capital asset as it was held for more
I am a state government pensioner and my tion. You can choose a simple product such as in- than 24 months and the applicable tax rate would
gross pension would be `6.95 lakh for dex funds to maintain equity portion of the be 20% after indexation benefit. You can invest in
2022-23. I am investing `1.5 lakh to avail portfolio. Once the allocation towards equities
80C benefits. I have dividend income from a residential property (purchase within 2 years or
and contingency fund is done, the amount avail- constructed within 3 years after the date of trans-
shares of about `62,000. I am getting yearly
interest of around `1.28 lakh from the SCSS.
able to generate monthly cash flows will reduce. fer) or invest the amount of capital gains in bonds
Can I claim `50,000 from post office interest At 50, you won’t be eligible for certain govern- of certain PSUs like NHAI and REC within six
from my pension income? I spend `15,000 ment schemes, thus, the corpus can be parked months of the transfer of property. Investment of
per year on the treatment of health issues. across instruments like the RBI Floating Rate gains in bonds shall be subject to a maximum limit
Can this expenditure be claimed in lieu of Saving Bonds, debt funds and fixed deposits. of `50 lakh for each one of you. Be-
medical health insurance policy? Debt funds allow systematic with- sides, each can invest or pay tax
drawal which will reduce your on gains according to your own
You can claim `50,000 standard deduction tax liability compared to individual decision.
from pension as it is reportable under sal- FDs. Your life cover seems
ary head. Also, you can claim `50,000 de- adequate; however, the
duction from post office SCSS income un- health cover should be Amit Maheshwari
der Section 80 TTB. As for medical expens- `15-20 lakh based on Partner, AKM Global
es, they can also be claimed up to `50,000 the city of residence.
per year for senior citizens, if they are
paid in modes other than cash. There Prableen Bajpai Ask our experts
Founder, FinFix® Research
should be no medical health insurance in & Analytics
Have a question for the experts?
such cases. After assuming these deduc- etwealth@timesgroup.com
tions and taking into account the
information provided by
you, your taxable income Along with two other MFs, I had initiated an Please note that Quant Midcap is a small fund and
post deductions is work- SIP investment in Motilal Oswal Flexible Fund may be subject to risk of AUM volatility. Its strate-
ing out to be `6.2 lakh. in 2018. Looking at its performance last month,
gy is also very momentum driven with high churn.
I stopped my SIP and diverted it to Quant Mid
Cap Fund. Still my investment till date of `1.87
Keep exposure to it limited. Consider investing in a
lakh is in MOS Flexi Cap Fund which I want to combination of Parag Parikh Flexicap and Motilal
Shubham Agrawal Oswal Nifty 500 Index Fund.
Senior Taxation Advisor, TaxFile.in divert in some other MF. Please guide me.
Vidya Bala, Co-Founder, PrimeInvestor.in
mutual funds
The Economic Times Wealth August 1-7, 2022 21
ARINDAM
investors
Vijay Srivastava is saving for his child’s goals and retirement. Here’s what the doctor advised him: know
1 2 3 4 5 whether
EMERGENCY FUND: CHILD’S GRADUATION CHILD’S POST- CHILD’S MARRIAGE: RETIREMENT INCOME: they have
2 years (ABROAD): 14 years 25 years 26 years
GOALS
GRADUATION (ABROAD):
PRESENT COST: 18 years PRESENT COST: `20 lakh CURRENT NEED: `1.88 crore invested in
PRESENT COST: `30 lakh
`5 lakh FUTURE COST: PRESENT COST: `30 lakh FUTURE COST: (`75,000 a month) the right
FUTURE COST: `5.6 lakh `1.14 crore FUTURE COST: `1.67 cr `1.08 crore FUTURE COST: `10.9 crore funds and if their
fund portfolio is on
PORTFOLIO FUND NAME AMOUNT
INVESTED (`)
EXISTING
SIP (`) RECOMMENDED ACTION NEW SIP
(`) track. The Portfolio
CHECK-UP Start SIPs of `10,000 in debt fund ICICI Pru Short Doctor assesses the
Investing in equity 1 Post Office Recurring Deposit 1,24,000 4,000 Term. Continue investing in recurring deposit but 14,000
funds for 6-7 years. switch to debt fund after maturity. health of the fund
Built sizeable corpus. SBI Small Cap 2,64,892
Continue SIPs in this outstanding small-cap fund. Hike
4,000 amount by 5% every year. 4,000 portfolio, examines the
Goals are ambitious schemes and their
Increase SIPs to `6,000 in this outperforming large-
but small hikes in SIPs 2 Mirae Asset Large Cap (2 folios) 4,09,247 5,500 cap fund. Hike by 5% every year. 6,000
can achieve them. suitability with regard to
Continue SIPs in this index fund. Increase amount by
ICICI Pru Nifty 50 Index 1,52,576 3,000 5% every year. 3,000 the goals and, if
Direct stock investing
requires research. Axis Bluechip 2,80,069
Continue SIPs in this outstanding large-cap fund.
3,000 Hike by 10% every year. 3,000 required, recommends
Stick to mutual funds.
Continue SIPs in this stable hybrid fund. Hike by corrective measures. The
Marriage goal of `10 SBI Equity Hybrid 2,43,582 2,500 10% every year. 2,500
lakh too modest. In- advice given is based on
3 Tata Digital India 7,209 1,000 These sectoral schemes are likely to be volatile. 0
creased to `20 lakh. the performance of the
Nippon India Pharma 7,586 1,000 Switch corpus to PGIM India Midcap Opportunities.
Note from funds, the risk profile of
Start SIPs of `3,000 in this outstanding mid-cap
the doctor PGIM India Midcap Opportunities 0 0 fund. Hike amount by 10% every year. 3,000 the investor as well as
Very long-term insur- Start SIPs of `4,000 in this outstanding flexi-cap his financial goals.
ance plans of 50-60
4 Canara Robeco Flexicap 0 0 fund. Increase by 5% every year.
4,000
years are meaningless. Prune your portfolio by getting rid of new-age
Direct equity investments 12,25,000 0 stocks that are losing money.
0
Avoid sector schemes.
Consider closing down long-term policies that will
Assumptions used
Diversified funds yield Life insurance policies NA 11,000 end 50-60 years from now. 6,000
in the calculations
better results.
Start SIP of `10,000 in this flexicap fund. Increase
5 PGIM India Flexicap 0 0 amount by 5% every year. 10,000 INFLATION
Review investments
and rebalance at least Continue SIPs in this low-cost scheme. Increase by Education For all
NPS Tier I & II 29,552 2,000 2,000 expenses
once in a year. 5% every year. other goals
Continue investing contributions to these schemes.
Reduce risk when goal Provident Fund and PPF 19,73,805 16,000 Increase contributions by 5% every year. 16,000
is near so that you , The goals can be reached using the mutual
10% 7%
don’t miss the target. TOTAL `47,17,518 `53,000 funds marked in the same colour. `73,500
RETURNS
Equity funds Debt options
Readers’ response, online and in print, to ET Wealth stories has been enlightening.
We pick some that add information and perspective to our articles from previous issues.
This refers to the column, ‘Why that corpus. While there is no panacea for all
coveted crore may not be enough’. these maladies and one size does not fit
The story presumes that the rupee
will be depreciating forever at the Good analysis of all, proper asset allocation and
calibrated amount of investment in
present rate of inflation. The future
is not always linear. We may end up in investment options equity and equity-based instruments
would go some way to help them.
economic depression induced by rich B. P. Sarkar
countries or advanced technologies The cover story, ‘Stop losing money
and the scenario may be completely to inflation’, has come up with With interest rates coming down and
different. some wonderful insights. It has not inflation going up, everyone except
Rakesh Prasad only highlighted the gaps in our those with government pensions
investments but has also presented a will die of penury. Only government
I have been wanting to write my good analysis of investment options servants with their pensions can lead a
feedback on the articles that appear in for readers to fill those gaps, given the life of luxury in their retirement years.
ET Wealth for years. Undoubtedly, ET current market scenario. Vijay Govind
Wealth is my favourite newspaper. I’m Sidhant M.
a CA and love to study and read about I have been reading ET Wealth for about
finance – especially personal finance. a couple of years now and think it’s
I really appreciate the two articles in amongst the best of publications for
this issue that touch upon two really The article, ‘Seeing retirement in new unfortunately sidelined the real issue—the investors. Uma Shashikant and
important topics, investment and light’, was quite relatable for me. The ordeal of an average retiree, particularly of Dhirendra Kumar do not falter any week
retirement. The manner in which both author has touched upon all the aspects a non-pensioner. Problems of these people in keeping readers engaged. Uma is an
authors have expressed their views very well. However, I recovered from the are three-fold, prolonged post-retirement absolute gem and her article for this
is very simple and can be understood mundane routine within a few months of life with poor health and accompanying week has prompted this response.
by even a layman. I hope ET Wealth after my VRS. Thank you for this article! progressive medical and general Kudos! Even ‘Your queries’ segment has
continues to publish such articles in the Anagha Khedkar expenditure, poor return of fixed income a very competent set of experts sharing
future as well. instruments, and the demon of inflation their wisdom.
Neeraja Kulkarni Uma Shashikant in her article has eroding the real value of retirement Imtiaz Shroff
Hospitals: Cura, Astra; Schools: Delhi Public, Alpine Public; Retail: The Arcade at Brigade Meadows and Vega City. Consumer preference
by budget (`)
PRICE RANGE: `4,300-9,800/- psf DISTANCES: Kempegowda Intl. Airport : 48 km KSR Railway Station: 13 km NH-948: 0 km
17% 12%
Doddakallasandra Below 50 lakh
1 BHK
Price (`/sqft): 6,500-9,800 50-75 lakh
650 (sqft) Brigade 12% 29% 75 lakh-1 crore
`40
Software
*Rent (`/month): 19,000-35,000
NH-48
Park
1-1.25 crore
lakh (avg)
Kalyani
30% Above 1.25 crore
Uttarahalli
Magnum
Gubbalala
Subramanyapura Price (`/sqft): 4,300-6,900
Ho
su
Gubbalala
5
Consumer preference
oa
Doddakallasandra
NH
1,200 (sqft)
d
ta
An 1,000-1,250
Ro kapu
1,600 (sqft) ad
Price (`/sqft): 4,800-7,300
Ka
1.02
`crore
1,500-1,750
*Rent (`/month):15,000-32,000 30% Above 1,750
(avg)
Note: Map not to scale *3 BHK Rent (INR/month)
Schools 15+ Hospitals 10+ Restaurants 15+ Banks 15+ Grocery Stores 15+ Petrol Pumps 10+ In dia’s No. 1 P ropert y Sit e
The Economic Times Wealth is available at an invitation price of `8/issue. To book your copy, contact your newspaper vendor or call 011 - 39898090; Email: crm.delhi@timesgroup.com; SMS ETWS to 58888
The Economic Times Wealth, published by Bennett, Coleman & Co. Ltd. exercises due care and caution in collecting the data before publication. In spite of PUBLISHED FOR THE PROPRIETORS, Bennett, Coleman & Co. Ltd. by Rajeev Yadav at Times House, 7, Bahadur Shah Zafar Marg, New Delhi-110 002,
this, if any omission, inaccuracy or printing errors occur with regard to the data contained in this newspaper, The Economic Times Wealth will not be held Phone: 011-23322000, Fax: 011-23323346 and printed by him at The Times of India Press, 13 & 15/1, Site IV, Industrial Area, Sahibabad, UP. Regd.
responsible or liable. The content hereof does not constitute any form of advice, recommendation or arrangement by the newspaper. The Economic Times Office: Dr Dadabhai Naoroji Road, Mumbai 400 001. EDITOR: Babar Zaidi (Responsible for selection of news under PRB Act). © Reproduction in
Wealth will not be liable for any direct or indirect losses caused because of readers’ reliance on the same in making any specific or other decisions. Readers whole or in part without written permission of the publisher is prohibited. All rights reserved.
are recommended to make appropriate enquiries and seek appropriate advice before making any specific or other decisions. RNI NO. DELENG/2011/37994. MADE IN NEW DELHI VOLUME 12 NO. 31
THE ECONOMIC TIMES
WILL FIIS COME
BACK? (AND WHEN?)
www.etwealth.co | Ahmedabad, Bengaluru, Chennai, Hyderabad, Kolkata, Mumbai, New Delhi, Pune | August 1-7, 2022 | 24 pages | `8
P2
guest column
The Economic Times Wealth August 1-7, 2022
T
o put my readers in the right
frame of mind for this article,
I’ll quote a quip from Warren
DHIRENDR A KUMAR
CEO, VALUE RESE ARCH Buffett’s deputy Charlie Munger,
whom someone has described as