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“Shallow (wo)men believe in luck or in circumstance. is mainly in the low Lp(a) individuals. Moving closer to
Strong (wo)men believe in cause and effect.” (Ralph Waldo causality, an association was also noted between the larger
Emerson, The Conduct of Life, 1860). number of KIV2 repeats and prevalent T2D. A similar study
Assigning causality to complex, multifactorial pheno- suggested likewise, that the association is with a larger
types, such as incident T2D, is difficult. Assigning causality number of KIV2 repeats and not necessarily low Lp(a),
by the relative lack or an absence of a putative causal as recently suggested in the Copenhagen City Heart Study
mediator is nearly impossible without the benefit of rigor- (7). The Lp(a) values of risk are quite similar to the
ous mechanistic studies and randomized trials where con- prospective studies noted above. The importance of this
founding variables can be controlled. Yet this is where we observation is that large numbers of KIV2 repeats, which
find ourselves in 2018, with several reports suggesting an are associated with lower levels of Lp(a), and vice-versa,
association of very low lipoprotein(a) [Lp(a)] levels (<10 are also genetically determined and therefore cannot be
mg/dl or <25 mmol/L) and incident T2D or, interpreting confounded by environment.
alternatively, elevated Lp(a) levels with lower risk of inci- The study by Mu-Han-Ha-Li et al. has strengths and limi-
dent T2D. These associations were derived from large pro- tations. First, it adds to the database that, irrespective of
spective epidemiological cohorts with robust durations of the underlying mechanisms, low Lp(a) levels are associ-
follow-up, including the Women’s Health Study in 2010 ated with higher risk of both prevalent and incident T2D.
(1), Copenhagen cohorts in 2013 (2), EPIC-Norfolk in Second, it expands the observation to nonCaucasians, who
2014 (3), and a Turkish study in 2017 (4) and the Bruneck were primarily under-represented in the other studies, so
Study in 2017 (5) (Table 1). These studies included 134,707 that the robustness of the observation is more certain. Third,
people followed prospectively for 5–20 years and have a it is the second report to suggest that large numbers of
weighted odds ratio for incident T2D of 0.75 for high levels KIV2 repeats are also associated with prevalent T2D (7),
versus low levels of Lp(a). In almost all of the studies, this which makes it a more intriguing observation that should
association was present with mean/median Lp(a) levels in stimulate more fundamental research into causality.
quartile 1 of <5 mg/dl compared with the comparator Fourth, the diagnosis of T2D was made by several accepted
quartile 5 with Lp(a) levels 44.6–69.0 mg/dl. methods and appears not to be a major confounding vari-
In the latest cross-sectional study reported in the cur- able in the study methodology. Finally, the Lp(a) assay
rent issue of the Journal of Lipid Research, Mu-Han-Ha-Li used appears to be adequate, and there did not appear to
et al. (6) investigated the association of Lp(a) concentra- be an imbalance of younger age (less T2D) or statin use
tions, LPA KIV2 repeats, and T2D in a Chinese population (more T2D) among tertiles of Lp(a).
of 1,863 consecutive patients undergoing coronary angi- Limitations of the present study include that this was a
ography. Evaluating the data by tertiles, they showed that confirmatory study, as other studies have shown relation-
the risk of prevalent diabetes (i.e., T2D present on admis- ships of Lp(a) and prevalent T2D (a nonexhaustive list is
sion to the hospital) was approximately 25% less in sub-
jects in the top tertile [median (range) 67.9 (35.3–318.5)
S.T. has research support from the Fondation Leducq and National
mg/dl] of Lp(a) versus those in the bottom tertile [me-
Institutes of Health Grants R01-HL119828, R01-HL078610, R01
dian (range) 7.4 (0.6–12.9) mg/dl]. The study showed HL106579, R01 HL128550, R01 HL136098, P01 HL136275, and R35
that the prevalence of T2D was 41.6%, 37.6%, and 35.1% HL135737. He currently has a dual appointment at the University of
in Lp(a) tertiles 1, 2, and 3, respectively, showing the risk California San Diego and Ionis Pharmaceuticals and is a co-inventor
and receive royalties from patents owned by the University of California
San Diego on oxidation-specific antibodies.
1
See referenced article, J. Lipid Res. 2018, 59: 884–891.
2
To whom correspondence should be addressed.
DOI https://doi.org/10.1194/jlr.C085639 e-mail: stsimikas@ucsd.edu
Copyright © 2018 Tsimikas. Published under exclusive license by The American
Society for Biochemistry and Molecular Biology, Inc.
This article is available online at http://www.jlr.org Journal of Lipid Research Volume 59, 2018 741
Mora (1) 2010 WHS 26,746 Median 13.3 years 44.6 vs. 3.9 0.78 0.155
Mora (1) 2010 CCHS 9,652 Not provided 54.0 vs. 4.4 0.58 0.042
Kamstrup (2) 2013 CCHS/CGPS 77,901 Not provided 69.0 vs 3.0 0.79 0.457
Ye (3) 2013 EPIC-Norfolk 17,908 Mean 9.8 years 53.5 vs. 3.9 0.63 0.084
Kaya (4) 2017 Turkish 1,685 Mean 5 years Mean 9.3–11.9 vs. 7.1–7.6 0.84 0.011
Paige (5) 2017 Bruneck 815 Median 20 years 51.9 vs. 2.3 0.73 0.004
Total 134,707 0.75
Lp(a) values are in mg/dl. The weighted odds ratio is based on the summation of the relative contribution of the study size and the odds ratio
in that study. WHS, Women’s Health Study; CCHS, Copenhagen City Heart Study; CGPS, Copenhagen General Population Study.
shown in Table 2). It was also a cross-sectional study with a transgenic Lp(a) models are needed to provide new in-
highly selected population undergoing coronary angiog- sights into Lp(a) pathophysiology. In this instance, models
raphy, and therefore, local practice patterns and uncon- expressing small and large isoforms, along with the native
scious selection bias may have contributed to a skewed LPA promoter, can assess glucose metabolism, insulin re-
population that may not represent patients as a whole. sistance, and the relationship to changes in Lp(a) levels
A second major limitation of this study, and also of the that would provide more certainty with regard to whether
Copenhagen studies and all studies that use polymerase these epidemiologic associations are causal.
chain reaction technology to quantitate number of KIV2 The issue of reverse causality is a very real possibility in
repeats (8), is that allele-specific numbers of KIV2 repeats these associations. T2D can have a lag phase of 10–20 years
cannot be determined, and the data are reported as a sum- before it is diagnosed, and in the preceding timespan,
mary of both alleles. For example, if it is measured that patients will develop insulin resistance and elevated insulin
there are a total of 60 repeats, it cannot be known if this is levels. Several studies have shown an inverse association
due to a patient having 30 KIV2 repeats on each allele, or between insulin levels and Lp(a) levels (11), even before a
15 and 45 on each allele. This may have implications in frank diagnosis of T2D is made (12, 13). Furthermore, phys-
appropriate interpretation of the data, as it is known for iological doses of insulin have been suggested to suppress
cardiovascular disease that the smaller of the two isoforms apolipoprotein(a) mRNA and protein production in cyno-
is usually responsible for most of the plasma Lp(a) levels. molgous monkey hepatocytes (14). Although Mendelian
Future studies trying to link large isoforms to T2D should randomization studies are thought to protect against reverse
use the gold standard methodology, which is agarose gel causality, it is possible that confounding variables may be
electrophoresis with appropriate standards to confirm present. For example, an unrelated and unknown genetic
these associations (9). The PCR method has only modest influence may be in high correlation with the instrumental
correlation to gel electopheresis and is not precise enough variable (in this case, KIV2 repeats) being assessed. Addi-
to make firm conclusions (8). Because gel electrophoresis tionally, it is possible that prediabetes insulin levels may
is laborious and not time- or expense- conducive to large have a disproportionate suppressive effect in subjects with
scale investigations, more efforts should be made to de- large isoforms, thereby making this association appear to be
velop allele-specific PCR methods to determine isoform causal.
size. Ultimately, the physiological function Lp(a), if any, will
A more critical question that has not yet been addressed need to be determined and understanding this may be useful
is whether it is low levels of Lp(a) or a large number of in the current dilemma. Lp(a) is an unusual lipoprotein that
KIV2 repeats that are associated with T2D, or the opposite; is a combination of an LDL-like particle to which is cova-
that is, whether high levels of Lp(a) and small numbers of lently attached an evolutionarily modified, remodeled, and
KIV2 repeats are protective. This is a crucial question that proteolytically inactive plasminogen-like molecule called
cannot be answered with the current epidemiological apolipoprotein(a) (15, 16). The apolipoprotein(a) compo-
studies, and we must go to the laboratory to address this nent of Lp(a) is not a lipoprotein per se, as it has no lipid
question with mechanistic studies. The recent National binding domains, yet through its evolutionary lifetime has
Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute Working Group on somehow found a way to covalently attach to apolipoprotein
Lp(a) (10) proposed that development of more appropriate B-100, so that Lp(a) circulates as a lipoprotein. Apolipoprotein(a)
Commentary 743
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