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Panel Data On Sectors
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Makarand Upadhyaya
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Seshanwita Das, Assistant Professor, Galgotia‟s Institute of Management & Technology, Greater Noida, Uttarpradesh,
India
Tapas Das, Assistant Professor, Department of Management Studies, JSS Academy of Technical Education, Noida,
Uttarpradesh, India
Dr. Rajiv Upadhyaya, Professor, Department of Economic Administration & Financial Management, University of
Rajasthan, Jaipur, Rajasthan, India
time is money. Public input is non-excludable and non- demand for inputs leads to a positive externality to other
congestible and it will lower the costs of doing business producers owing to an increase in variety. Greater
for multinational and indigenous firms alike. varieties of inputs, however, seem to be more relevant to
the manufacturing than to the agricultural sector.
Multinationals are in fact profit-seeking entities that seek Likewise, Markusen and Venables (1999) analyze the
to minimize the costs of doing business. If locating in a effect of foreign firms on the development of domestic
developing economy to take advantage of lower labor firms in the industrial sector. In their model, foreign
costs means, on the other hand, losing patent protection to companies compete with domestic producers while
imitators, higher transport costs due to inadequate creating additional demand for domestically produced
transportation or missed supply shipments due to intermediate goods through linkages with local suppliers.
communication and transport problems, then they will This can lead to domestic firms entering into the
refrain from doing business there. Infrastructure and intermediate goods sector, which can result in lower costs
public inputs, or the lack thereof, contribute to firms cost that, reflected in lower final prices that increase demand,
structures and should be included in a model that explains can benefit domestic firms producing final goods.
the multinational‟s as well as the host government‟s
decisions for investment. Infrastructure should thus Most of the micro studies on FDI spillovers, as Lipsey
improve the investment climate for FDI by subsidizing the (2002) points out, tend to use manufacturing data and
cost of total investment by foreign investors and thus have regressed local firm productivity on within sector
raising the rate of return. Availability of crucial FDI. Although such studies find no horizontal technology
infrastructure, such as roads, highways, ports, transfer, the empirical work at the intra-industry level
communication networks and electricity should increase might not be suitable for capturing wider spillover effects
productivity and thereby attract higher levels of FDI. As on the host economy, such as those created by backward
Wei and al. (2000) said that a location with good and forward linkages with domestic firms. One of the
infrastructure is more attractive than the others. main reasons to examine productivity spillovers from
foreign-owned to domestically owned firms, as Lipsey
2. LITERATURE REVIEW: (2002) mentions, is to understand the contribution of
inward FDI to host country economic growth. If foreign
Theoretical work of Findlay (1978) and Wang & firms at the expense of lower productivity in domestic
Bloomstrom (1992) that models the importance of FDI as firms achieve higher productivity, there might be no
a conduit for transferring technology relates to the foreign implications for aggregate output or growth. However,
investment inflows to manufacturing or service sectors there might be growth effects without spillovers just from
rather than to the primary sector. In addition, FDI‟s the operation of foreign firms, which can be analyzed in
potential to create linkages to domestic firms might also terms of the impact of FDI on a country‟s output or
vary across sectors, as Albert Hirschman (1958) described growth. Moreover, because multinationals seek to
in his seminal book on economic development. Hirschman minimize technology leakages to competitors while
(1958) emphasized that not all sectors have the same improving the productivity of suppliers by transferring
potential to absorb foreign technology or to create knowledge, were FDI to generate spillovers they would
linkages with the rest of the economy. He noted, for more likely be vertical than horizontal.
example, that linkages are weak in agriculture and mining.
He warned that in the absence of linkages, foreign Park Jongsoo (2004) conducted a study on “Korean
investments could have limited effect in spurring growth Perspective on FDI in India: Hyundai Motors‟ Industrial
in an economy. The grudge against what has become Cluster” indicates that industrial clusters are playing an
known as the „enclave‟ type of development, he wrote, “is important role in economic activity. The key to promoting
due to this ability of primary products from mines, wells, FDI inflows into India may lie in industries and products
and plantations to slip out of a country without leaving that are technology–intensive and have economies of scale
much of a trace in the rest of the economy.” About the and significant domestic content. Sharma EAS (2005) in
consequences in potential linkages effects differences in his paper “Need for Caution in Retail FDI” examines the
manufacturing and agriculture, Hirschman (1958) wrote, constraints faced by traditional retailers in the supply
“the absence of direct linkage effects of primary chain and give an emphasis on establishment of a package
production lends these views (enclaves) a plausibility that of safety-nets as Thailand has done. India should also
they do not have in the case of foreign investment in draw lessons from restrictions placed on the expansion of
manufacturing.” organized retailing, in terms of sourcing, capital
requirement, zoning etc, in other Asian countries. The
More recently, the theoretical work on linkages, by article comments on the retail FDI report that as
Rodiguez-Clare (1996), shows that multinationals‟ commissioned by the Department of Consumer Affairs
intensive use of intermediate goods enhances production and suggests the need for a more comprehensive study.
efficiency in host economies. In this framework, increased
Gonzalez J.G (1988) in his study “Effect of Foreign Direct by sectors. But, relatively few scholars like Wheeler and
Investment in the presence of sector specific Mody (1992), Loree & Guisinger (1995), Richaud et al.
unemployment” extends the work done by Srinivasan (1999), Asiedu (2002) and Sekkat (2004) have
(1983) “International factor movements, commodity trade acknowledged the important role of infrastructure in
and commercial policy in a specific factor model”, by stimulating FDI by arguing that availability of crucial
making an analysis of the welfare effects of foreign infrastructure, such as roads, highways, ports,
investment. The study shows that if there are no communication networks and electricity increases
distortions, foreign investment enhances the social uplift productivity and thereby attracts higher levels of FDI.
of the people. The study strongly favours import This sheer fact of positive of impact of roads, bridges &
substitution policies since such a strategy provides greater highways development on economic growth motivated us
job opportunities to the people and consequently improves to evince special interest to look into the sectoral
their standards of living. But the study finds that welfare allocation of FDI in construction (including
effects of foreign Investment do not explain the pattern of infrastructure), which invariably encompasses FDI in
trade in the economy. Thus, both Srinivasan (1983) and roads & bridges development during our study period
Gonzalez (1998) concluded that foreign direct investment 2004-2010.
and distortions of the labour market results in social uplift
of the people. 4. OBJECTIVE:
Sharma Rajesh Kumar (2006) in his article “FDI in To see, in terms of growth rate, the relative growth of
Higher Education: Official Vision Needs Corrections”, construction (including infrastructure activities) in
raises four issues which need critical attention: the sectoral allocation of FDI into select sectors of the
objectives of higher education, its contextual relevance, economy over the period 2004-2010.
the prevailing financial situation and the viability of
alternatives to FDI. The conclusion of the article is that
higher education needs long-term objectives and a broad 5. METHODOLOGY:
vision in tune with the projected future of the country and
the world. Higher education will require an investment of We have collected sectoral FDI data for select nine sectors
Rs. 20,000 to 25,000 crore over the next five or more from the factsheet of foreign direct investment (FDI),
years to expand capacity and improve access. For such a August 1991-Feb 2011, DIPP (Department of Industrial
huge amount, the paper argues, we can look to FDI. Policy & Promotion)
(dipp.nic.in/english/publication/fdi_statistics/fdi_statitistic
s.aspx). We have taken data for seven years (2004-2010),
3. MOTIVATION: as data for construction (including infrastructure) before
Empirical researches suggest that capacity for FDI to that period is not available.
serve as a channel of technological spillover might differ
Here the data is of panel nature, where if log of FDI is pooled regression of log of FDI on year, which is
regressed on year/time period will give growth rate of FDI equivalent to estimation with neither fixed nor random
over the period (2004-2010). In order to see the allocation effects, as given in the following equation. The Eviews 6
of FDI into different sectors over the period, first we run a output is also shown below;
Here we see that both, the intercept and the regressor, are could be an inappropriate assumption. Instead, we can
statistically significant at below 5% (***). Since FDI is in estimate a model with cross-section fixed, which is also
logarithmic form (i.e., the model being a log-lin panel known as Least Square Dummy Variable Model (LSDV),
regression model), so the slope estimate of 0.387100 which will allow us to capture the latent sector-specific
corresponds to an approximately 38.71% growth-rate in heterogeneity, as given in the following equation. The
FDI over the years. But this pooled regression assumes Eviews 6 output with effects specification cross-section
that the intercepts are the same for each sector, which fixed (dummy variables) is also shown below;
Here also we see that allocation or growth rate of FDI into significant. We can also see the sector-specific
different sectors over the years is positive and statistically heterogeneity from the table below;
Form the above tables, we see that heterogeneity in terms Automobile Industry, Power and Chemicals (other than
of allocation of FDI across different sectors over the years fertilizers).
has been captured and this contribution has been obtained
to be the highest in case of Services Sector-Financial & Next we go in for random effects (cross-section) model,
Non-financial, followed by Computer Software & which is sometimes also known as error component
Hardware, Telecommunication, Construction Activities model. Under random effects model, the intercept for each
and Metallurgical Industries whereas the same has been cross-sectional unit are assumed to arise from a common
obtained to be negative in case of Housing & Real Estate, intercept, which is same for all cross-sectional units and
over time, plus a random variable that varies over cross- cross-section random and idiosyncratic random is shown
section but is constant over time, as given in the following below;
equation. The Eviews 6 output with effects specification
Simultaneously, it is also worth determining that whether fixed effects are necessary or not, as shown in Eviews 6 output
below;
Redundant fixed effects test has been employed to see meaning thereby that a pooled sample could not be
whether fixed effects are necessary or not, each in both χ2 employed. Next we see whether fixed effect model is
and F-test versions, restricting cross-section fixed effects preferred over random effect model or not, using
to zero. From the above output, we see that cross-section Hausman test, as shown below in Eviews 6 output;
fixed effects restrictions are not supported by data,
From the above output, we see that Hausman test is not development in the economy encompassing all the sectors,
significant. Therefore, it can be concluded that though bureaucratic delays and widespread corruption, which
random effect model is preferred over fixed effect model could not attract considerable amount of FDI, resulting in
but there is no significant difference between them, which an initial negative growth rate. The other is the random
is shown in the cross-section random effects test variable, which is constant over time but varies over
comparisons of the Correlated Random Effects - Hausman cross-section, which is invariably government policy
Test. This means that heterogeneity in terms of allocation regarding FDI across different sectors. Now, we can
or growth-rate of FDI into different sectors over the years compare three models, such as, Pooled OLS Model, Fixed
could be arising from two legs. One is the common Effect (LSDV) model and Random Effect Model (Error
intercept, which is constant over cross-section and over Component Model) in a tabular form, as given below;
time periods. This invariably emerges out of low level of