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    Tambahan Diskusi 7 Metode Kuantitatif - VIO

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    Andreas Alifuddin
    This document discusses a quantitative method to calculate the probability matrix at steady state. It provides the initial probability distribution for three categories (J, I, S) and calculates the transition probability matrix (P). It then calculates P to the powers of 2, 4, 8, 12, and 13 to show the probabilities converging to a steady state of 0.26, 0.32, 0.41 for each category. The conclusion states that this steady state probability matrix is the transition probability matrix at steady state.

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    Tambahan Diskusi 7 Metode Kuantitatif - VIO

    Uploaded by

    Andreas Alifuddin
    3 views2 pages
    This document discusses a quantitative method to calculate the probability matrix at steady state. It provides the initial probability distribution for three categories (J, I, S) and calculates the transition probability matrix (P). It then calculates P to the powers of 2, 4, 8, 12, and 13 to show the probabilities converging to a steady state of 0.26, 0.32, 0.41 for each category. The conclusion states that this steady state probability matrix is the transition probability matrix at steady state.

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    tambahan Diskusi 7 Metode Kuantitatif - VIO

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    This document discusses a quantitative method to calculate the probability matrix at steady state. It provides the initial probability distribution for three categories (J, I, S) and calculates the transition probability matrix (P). It then calculates P to the powers of 2, 4, 8, 12, and 13 to show the probabilities converging to a steady state of 0.26, 0.32, 0.41 for each category. The conclusion states that this steady state probability matrix is the transition probability matrix at steady state.

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    © All Rights Reserved
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    3 views2 pages

    Tambahan Diskusi 7 Metode Kuantitatif - VIO

    Uploaded by

    Andreas Alifuddin
    This document discusses a quantitative method to calculate the probability matrix at steady state. It provides the initial probability distribution for three categories (J, I, S) and calculates the transition probability matrix (P). It then calculates P to the powers of 2, 4, 8, 12, and 13 to show the probabilities converging to a steady state of 0.26, 0.32, 0.41 for each category. The conclusion states that this steady state probability matrix is the transition probability matrix at steady state.

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    TAMBAHAN DISKUSI 7 METODE KUANTITATIF

    VIONITA ANGELIN SIMANJUNTAK (501273196)

    Data

    J I S TOTAL
    J 60 30 10 100
    I 20 50 30 100
    S 10 20 70 100

    Hitung Probabilitas
    60 20 10
    Pjj = 100 = 0,6 Pij = 100 = 0,2 Psj = 100 = 0,1
    30 50 20
    Pji = 100 = 0,3 Pii = 100 = 0,5 Psi = 100 = 0,2
    10 30 70
    Pjs = 100 = 0,1 Pis = 100 = 0,3 Pss = 100 = 0,7

    Probabilitas
    0,6 0,3 0,1
    P = 0,2 0,5 0,3
    0,1 0,2 0,7

    Hitung matriks probabilitas transisi saat steady state!


    0,6 0,3 0,1
    P1 = 0,2 0,5 0,3
    0,1 0,2 0,7

    0,6 0,3 0,1 0,6 0,3 0,1 0,43 0,35 0,22


    P2 = 0,2 0,5 0,3 X 0,2 0,5 0,3 = 0,25 0,37 0,38
    0,1 0,2 0,7 0,1 0,2 0,7 0,17 0,27 0,56

    0,43 0,35 0,22 0,43 0,35 0,22 0,31 0,35 0,35


    P4 = 0,25 0,37 0,38 X 0,25 0,37 0,38 = 0,26 0,33 0,41
    0,17 0,27 0,56 0,17 0,27 0,56 0,24 0,31 0,45

    0,31 0,35 0,35 0,31 0,35 0,35 0,27 0,33 0,41


    P8 = 0,26 0,33 0,41 X 0,26 0,33 0,41 = 0,26 0,32 0,41
    0,24 0,31 0,45 0,24 0,31 0,45 0,26 0,32 0,42
    0,27 0,33 0,41 0,27 0,33 0,41 0,27 0,32 0,41
    P12 = 0,26 0,32 0,41 X 0,26 0,32 0,41 = 0,26 0,32 0,32
    0,26 0,32 0,42 0,26 0,32 0,42 0,26 0,32 0,32

    0,27 0,32 0,41 0,6 0,3 0,1 0,26 0,32 0,41


    P13 = 0,26 0,32 0,32 X 0,2 0,5 0,3 = 0,26 0,32 0,41
    0,26 0,32 0,32 0,1 0,2 0,7 0,26 0,32 0,41

    Kesimpulan
    0,26 0,32 0,41
    Matriks probabilitas transisi saat steady state pada soal ini adalah 0,26 0,32 0,41
    0,26 0,32 0,41

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