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2.1 Risk Profile - Barangay Tiongson
2.1 Risk Profile - Barangay Tiongson
CLIMATE AND
DISASTER RISK
ASSESSMENT
FOR BARANGAY
TIONGSON
• HISTORICAL BACKGROUND
• GEOGRAPHIC LOCATION
Barangay Tiongson is geographically located at 13.1721
North and 123.4946 East of Ligao City, with the total land
area of 209.44 square meters.
Barangay Tiongson is more or less 30 KM from the town
proper and bounded by the following barangays:
• North: Oma Oma
• South: Batbat Guinobatan
• East: Balolo Guinobatan
• West: Tupaz
Purok Households Families Population
1 48 48 187
2 44 44 195
3 26 27 101
DEMOGRAPHIC
PROFILE AS OF 4 28 29 132
DECEMBER 2020
5 25 30 124
6 28 28 86
7 27 28 112
Above average to
High Emission way above
(RCP8.5) Median 1.7 28.9 average increase
in seasonal
temperature
Above average to
High Emission Lower Bound 1.4 29.2 way above
(RCP8.5) average increase
in seasonal
Median 1.6 29.4 temperature
Upper Bound 2.2 30
Lower Bound 1 28.1
Observed
baseline = 27.1
℃
Above average to
Lower Bound 1.4 28.5
High Emission way above
(RCP8.5) average increase
in seasonal
temperature
Median 1.5 28.6
Upper Bound 2.2 29.3
Potential Impacts Adaptation Option
1. Days that are hotter, and heat waves that are 1. Provide applicable technology, insurance coverage,
more frequent and last longer and information to improve adaptive capacities.
2. Increase heat-related deaths (i.e., heat stroke, 2. Upgrade health system to respond to changes in
dehydration as well as cardiovascular and environment and health
respiratory diseases)
3. Reduce the availability of safe food and 3. In agriculture, plan and execute climate change risk
drinking water transfer and social protection mechanisms.
4. Decrease crop productivity 4. Drought/flood monitoring and forecasting
capabilities are being improved.
5. Pests and diseases infestations 5. Watershed management on a large scale
6. Drought which may eventually leads to 6. Crops that require less water and are more efficient
forest/grass fires may occur more often and more are being introduced.
destructive to forest production
7. Strong and destructive typhoons which may 7. Traditional water gathering is being revived (i.e. rain
cause damage to properties, environment and water collector, windmill water pump)
loss of life
Projected
Changes in
Seasonal
Rainfall for
Albay in the
Mid-21 st
Century
Projected Change
Projected Information
Rainfall Seasonal about
Season Scenario Range*
amount Rainfall patterns of
Percent (%) Amount (mm) Change
(mm)
decrease of
December- Lower Bound -3.5 -25.9 713.9 3.5 percent
January- Moderate rainfall
February Emission
(DJF) (RCP4.5)
minimal
Median 13.5 99.6 839.4 increase in
rainfall
One of the
highest
possible
changes in
Upper Bound 38.7 286.5 1026.3
rainfall
pattern during
North East
Monsoon
Observed minimal to no
baseline = Lower Bound -4.8 -35.2 704.6 changes in
739.8 mm High Emission patterns
(RCP8.5)
minimal
Median 14.2 104.7 844.5 increase in
rainfall
significant
increase in
Upper Bound 40.3 297.9 1037.7 rainfall patter
of 40.3
percent
minimal
Lower Bound -2.4 -9.3 377.6 decrease in
rainfall
Moderate
Emission
minimal to no
March-April- (RCP4.5)
Median 2.8 11 397.9 changes in
May (MAM) patterns
Observed
baseline = minimal
386.9 mm Upper Bound 20.1 77.7 464.6 increase in
rainfall
minimal to no
Lower Bound -0.2 -0.8 386.1 changes in
pattern
High Emission
minimal to no
(RCP8.5) Median 5.5 21.4 408.3
changes
minimal
Upper Bound 18.1 69.9 456.8 increase in
rainfall
decrease in
rate of
Lower Bound -25.5 -180.2 525.6
June-July- Moderate precipitation
August (JJA) Emission at 25.5%
(RCP4.5) decrease in
Median -12.8 -90.1 615.7 the amount of
rainfall
minimal
Upper Bound -2.5 -17.7 688.1 decrease in
rainfall
significant
Observed
decrease in
baseline = Lower Bound -25.2 -177.9 527.9
the amount of
705.8 mm High Emission
rain at 25.2 %
(RCP8.5)
minimal
Median -4.7 -33 672.8 decrease in
rainfall
minimal
Upper Bound 11.9 84 789.8 increase in
rainfall
minimal
Lower Bound -12.1 -114.1 827.2 decrease in
rainfall
Moderate
Emission minimal to no
(RCP4.5) Median -2.6 -24.7 916.6
changes
September-
October-
minimal to no
November Upper Bound 8.7 82 1023.3
changes
(SON)
minimal
Observed Lower Bound -11 -103.4 837.9 decrease in
baseline = rainfall
941.3 mm
minimal to no
Median 1.4 13.6 954.9
High Emission changes
(RCP8.5)
One of the
highest
possible
Upper Bound 8.1 76.1 1017.4
changes in
rainfall
pattern