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Hujan Rencana
Hujan Rencana
Hujan Rencana
1 2013 114.00
2 2014 102.00
3 2015 259.00
4 2016 247.00
5 2017 90.00
6 2018 86.00
7 2019 135.00
8 2020 123.00
9 2021 101.00
10 2022 157.00
Sumber : Unit Hidrologi, BBWS Bengawan Solo, 2021
WIYUNG
No Tahun Jan Peb Mar Apr Mei
1 2013 74.00 57.00 56.00 24.00 52.00
2 2014 68.00 67.00 51.00 37.00 26.00
3 2015 68.00 67.00 52.00 45.00 38.00
4 2016 24.00 161.00 71.00 32.00 111.00
5 2017 57.00 69.00 59.00 31.00 13.00
6 2018 54.00 54.00 84.00 84.00 13.00
7 2019 63.00 24.00 45.00 42.00 21.00
8 2020 67.00 79.00 28.00 64.00 54.00
9 2021 56.00 28.00 94.00 28.00 31.00
10 2022 77.00 93.00 86.00 36.00 21.00
TAPEN
No Tahun Jan Peb Mar Apr Mei
1 2013 80 40.00 80.00 61.00 80.00
2 2014 51 70.00 63.00 61.00 40.00
3 2015 61 60.00 60.00 55.00 53.00
4 2016 51 81.00 61.00 52.00 31.00
5 2017 63 63.00 56.00 61.00 45.00
6 2018 35 42.00 44.00 40.00 0.00
7 2019 38 45.00 46.00 56.00 36.00
8 2020 36 41.00 29.00 51.00 11.00
9 2021 35 46.00 37.00 31.00 15.00
10 2022 33 35.00 61.00 45.00 31.00
NGARES
No Tahun Jan Peb Mar Apr Mei
1 2013 114.00 56.00 55.00 53.00 55.00
2 2014 68.00 60.00 83.00 51.00 37.00
3 2015 60.00 90.00 50.00 74.00 4.00
4 2016 114.00 85.00 41.00 35.00 99.00
5 2017 30.00 72.00 42.00 59.00 49.00
6 2018 61.00 77.00 35.00 39.00 9.00
7 2019 52.00 20.00 81.00 82.00 0.00
8 2020 57.00 81.00 76.00 50.00 83.00
9 2021 68.00 31.00 43.00 13.00 0.00
10 2022 79.00 58.00 79.00 97.00 65.00
PORONG
No Tahun Jan Peb Mar Apr Mei
1 2013 54 33.00 47.00 32.00 35.00
2 2014 70 37.00 48.00 22.00 5.00
3 2015 70 259.00 39.00 37.00 52.00
4 2016 160 247.00 198.00 82.00 90.00
5 2017 89 76.00 58.00 54.00 20.00
6 2018 38 86.00 72.00 32.00 0.00
7 2019 135 54.00 135.00 135.00 8.00
8 2020 123 71.00 54.00 55.00 121.00
9 2021 101 65.00 95.00 63.00 17.00
10 2022 64 157.00 46.00 87.00 58.00
Sumber : Data Dinas PU, Puslit Air Bandung
Jun Jul Agt Sep Okt Nop Des Tahun
74.00 27.00 0.00 0.00 3.00 34.00 40.00 2013
62.00 21.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 33.00 74.00 2014
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 46.00 2015
13.00 28.00 16.00 48.00 60.00 52.00 45.00 2016
30.00 6.00 0.00 19.00 27.00 111.00 81.00 2017
15.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 47.00 90.00 2018
0.00 17.00 0.00 0.00 33.00 61.00 37.00 2019
26.00 6.00 70.00 0.00 40.00 46.00 109.00 2020
39.00 6.00 6.00 64.00 5.00 87.00 73.00 2021
19.00 52.00 8.00 4.00 59.00 50.00 47.00 2022
R Maks
80.00
70.00
61.00
81.00
63.00
44.00
56.00
56.00
46.00
61.00
R Maks
114.00
102.00
90.00
134.00
90.00
77.00
82.00
83.00
68.00
97.00
R Maks
54.00
71.00
259.00
247.00
89.00
86.00
135.00
123.00
101.00
157.00
CURAH HUJAN MAKSIMUM PERHITUNGAN ANALISIS FREKUEN
HARIAN TAHUNAN (2014-2023)
Curah Hujan
Tahun No. Tahun
(mm)
62.58
1.33 CC :
Di ceck bro
0.47
SYARAT PEMILIHAN AGIHAN DATA UNTUK MENGGUNAKAN ANALISIS FREKUENSI
Rerata = 1.729
Standar Deviasi (Stdev) = 0.922
Skewness (Cs) = -1.670
n = 10
Kn = 2.036 (tabel)
Sehingga keseluruhan data hujan sebanyak 10 tahun data dapat dipakai untuk analisa
Tabel Uji Outlier
Atas Diterima
Bawah Diterima
untuk analisa
Jumlah
Kn
Data (n)
60 2.837
65 2.866
70 2.893
75 2.917
80 2.940
85 2.961
90 2.981
95 3.000
100 3.017
110 3.049
120 3.078
130 3.104
140 3.129
HUJAN RENCANA METODE E.J. GUMBEL
Probability
No. Tahun Xt
(%)
1 2015 259.00 9.09
2 2016 247.00 18.18
3 2022 157.00 27.27
4 2019 135.00 36.36
5 2020 123.00 45.45
6 2013 114.00 54.55
7 2014 102.00 63.64
8 2021 101.00 72.73
9 2017 90.00 81.82
10 2018 86.00 90.91
Xt rerata 141.400
Sd 62.584
Sumber : Hasil Perhitungan
Tr Pr Yt Sd Yn Sn K Xt
1.01 99 -1.529 62.584 0.4952 0.9496 -2.132 7.972
2 50 0.367 62.584 0.4952 0.9496 -0.136 132.919
5 20 1.500 62.584 0.4952 0.9496 1.058 207.618
10 10 2.250 62.584 0.4952 0.9496 1.848 257.075
20 5 2.970 62.584 0.4952 0.9496 2.606 304.515
25 4 3.199 62.584 0.4952 0.9496 2.847 319.564
50 2 3.902 62.584 0.4952 0.9496 3.588 365.922
100 1 4.600 62.584 0.4952 0.9496 4.323 411.938
1000 0.10 6.907 62.584 0.4952 0.9496 6.752 563.988
Sumber : Hasil Perhitungan
Tabel
Hubungan Reduced Mean Yn Dengan Besarnya sample n
n Yn n Yn N Yn n Yn
10 0.4952 29 0.5353 48 0.5477 67 0.5538
11 0.4996 30 0.5362 49 0.5481 68 0.554
12 0.5035 31 0.5371 50 0.5485 69 0.5543
13 0.5070 32 0.538 51 0.5489 70 0.5545
14 0.5100 33 0.5388 52 0.5493 71 0.5545
15 0.5128 34 0.5396 53 0.5497 72 0.5548
16 0.5157 35 0.5402 54 0.5501 73 0.555
17 0.5181 36 0.541 55 0.5504 74 0.5552
18 0.5202 37 0.5418 56 0.5508 75 0.5559
19 0.5220 38 0.5424 57 0.5511 76 0.5561
20 0.5236 39 0.543 58 0.5515 77 0.5563
21 0.5252 40 0.5436 59 0.5518 78 0.5565
22 0.5268 41 0.5442 60 0.5521 79 0.5567
23 0.5283 42 0.5448 61 0.5524 80 0.5569
24 0.5296 43 0.5453 62 0.5527 81 0.557
25 0.5309 44 0.5458 63 0.5527 82 0.5572
26 0.5320 45 0.5463 64 0.553 83 0.5574
27 0.5332 46 0.5468 65 0.5533 84 0.5576
28 0.5343 47 0.5473 66 0.5535 85 0.5578
Sumber : Hidrologi Teknik CD, Soemarto
Tabel
Hubungan Reduced Standart Deviasion Sn Dengan Besarnya Sample n
n Sn n Sn n Sn n Sn
10 0.9496 29 1.1086 48 1.1574 67 1.1824
11 0.9676 30 1.1124 49 1.159 68 1.1834
12 0.9833 31 1.1159 50 1.1607 69 1.1844
13 0.9971 32 1.1193 51 1.1623 70 1.1854
14 1.0095 33 1.1226 52 1.1638 71 1.1863
15 1.0206 34 1.1255 53 1.1658 72 1.1873
16 1.0316 35 1.1285 54 1.1667 73 1.1881
17 1.0411 36 1.1313 55 1.1681 74 1.189
18 1.0493 37 1.1339 56 1.1696 75 1.1898
19 1.0565 38 1.1363 57 1.1708 76 1.1906
20 1.0628 39 1.1388 58 1.1721 77 1.1915
21 1.0696 40 1.1413 59 1.1734 78 1.1923
22 1.0754 41 1.1436 60 1.1747 79 1.193
23 1.0811 42 1.1458 61 1.1759 80 1.1938
24 1.0864 43 1.148 62 1.17 81 1.1945
25 1.0915 44 1.1499 63 1.1782 82 1.1953
26 1.0961 45 1.1519 64 1.1793 83 1.1959
27 1.1004 46 1.1538 65 1.1803 84 1.1967
28 1.1047 47 1.1557 66 1.1814 85 1.1973
Sumber : Hidrologi Teknik CD, Soemarto
n Yn
86 0.558
87 0.5581
88 0.5583
89 0.5585
90 0.5586
91 0.5587
92 0.5589
93 0.5591
94 0.5592
95 0.5593
96 0.5595
97 0.5596
98 0.5598
99 0.5599
100 0.56
n Sn
86 1.198
87 1.1987
88 1.1994
89 1.2001
90 1.2007
91 1.2013
92 1.202
93 1.2026
94 1.2032
95 1.2038
96 1.2044
97 1.2049
98 1.2055
99 1.206
100 1.2065
Tabel III - 5
HUJAN RENCANA METODE LOG PEARSON TYPE III
Jumlah data = 10
Cs = -1.670
Log X = Log Xrt + G.S
Log X rt = 1.729
StDev = 0.922
Periode
G Xt
No. Ulang Log X Probability (%)
( tahun ) (tabel) (mm)
1 1.01 -3.427 -1.432 0.04 99.01
2 2 0.264 1.973 93.87 50
3 5 0.811 2.477 299.95 20
4 10 0.977 2.631 427.22 10
5 20 1.063 2.710 513.04 5
6 25 1.087 2.732 539.80 4
7 50 1.131 2.773 592.31 2
8 100 1.157 2.797 626.09 1
9 1000 1.228 2.862 727.10 0.1
Sumber : Hasil Perhitungan
PLOT DATA HUJAN
(Log Xi - Log Xrt)3 Probability
-9.438
100
10
1
GRAFIKLOG PEARSON TIPE III
10 100
Probability (%) --->
Koefisien Asimetri, Cs Nega
CC :
From Skewness (Cs)
Koefisien Asimetri, Cs Negatip
Chi Square
0.355 -0.176
HUJAN RENCANA METODE NORMAL
Probability
No. Tahun Xt Xt-Xrerata (Xt-Xrerata)2
(%)
1 2015 259.00 117.60 13829.76 9.09
2 2016 247.00 105.60 11151.36 18.18
3 2022 157.00 15.60 243.36 27.27
4 2019 135.00 -6.40 40.96 36.36
5 2020 123.00 -18.40 338.56 45.45
6 2013 114.00 -27.40 750.76 54.55
7 2014 102.00 -39.40 1552.36 63.64
8 2021 101.00 -40.40 1632.16 72.73
9 2017 90.00 -51.40 2641.96 81.82
10 2018 86.00 -55.40 3069.16 90.91
Xt rerata 141.400 0.000 35250.400
Sd 62.584
Sumber : Hasil Perhitungan
Tr Pr Xtrerata Kt Sd Xt
1.01 99 141.40 -2.330 62.584 -4.420
2 50 141.40 0.000 62.584 141.400
5 20 141.40 0.840 62.584 193.970
10 10 141.40 1.280 62.584 221.507
20 5 141.40 1.640 62.584 244.037
25 4 141.40 1.708 62.584 248.314
50 2 141.40 2.050 62.584 269.696
100 1 141.40 2.330 62.584 287.220
1000 0.1 141.40 3.090 62.584 334.783
Sumber : Hasil Perhitungan
HUJAN RENCANA METODE LOG NORMAL
Probability
No. Tahun Xt Log Xt Log Xt - Log Xrerata (Log Xt- Log Xrerata)2
(%)
1 2015 259.00 2.4133 0.6841 0.4680 9.09
2 2016 247.00 2.3927 0.6635 0.4402 18.18
3 2022 157.00 2.1959 0.4667 0.2178 27.27
4 2019 135.00 2.1303 0.4011 0.1609 36.36
5 2020 123.00 2.0899 0.3607 0.1301 45.45
6 2013 114.00 2.0569 0.3277 0.1074 54.55
7 2014 102.00 2.0086 0.2794 0.0781 63.64
8 2021 101.00 2.0043 0.2751 0.0757 72.73
9 2017 90.00 0.0000 -1.7292 2.9901 81.82
10 2018 86.00 0.0000 -1.7292 2.9901 90.91
Xt rerata 1.7292 0.0000 7.6585
Sd 0.9225
Sumber : Hasil Perhitungan
0.50%
2.576
2.482
2.388
2.294
2.201
2.108
2.016
1.926
1.837
1.749
1.664
1.581
1.501
1.424
1.351
1.282
1.216
1.155
1.097
1.044
0.995
0.949
0.907
0.869
0.833
0.800
0.769
0.741
0.714
0.690
0.667
Tabel III - 9
Harga Chi - Square (X2)
x2
1 1.642 2.706
2 3.219 4.605
3 4.642 6.251
4 5.989 7.779
5 7.289 9.236
6 8.558 10.645
7 9.803 12.017
8 11.030 13.362
9 12.242 14.987
10 13.442 15.987
11 14.631 17.275
12 15.812 18.549
13 16.985 19.812
14 18.151 21.064
15 19.311 22.307
16 20.465 23.542
17 21.615 24.769
18 22.760 25.989
19 23.900 27.204
20 25.038 28.412
Tabel III - 10
Harga D kritis untuk Uji Smirnov-Kolmogorof test
a
0.200 0.100
n
5 0.450 0.510
10 0.320 0.370
15 0.270 0.300
20 0.230 0.260
25 0.210 0.240
30 0.190 0.220
35 0.180 0.200
40 0.170 0.190
45 0.160 0.180
50 0.150 0.170
1.07 1.22
n > 50
n0,5 n0,5
0.050 0.010
0.560 0.670
0.410 0.490
0.340 0.400
0.290 0.360
0.270 0.320
0.240 0.290
0.230 0.270
0.210 0.250
0.200 0.240
0.190 0.230
1.36 1.63
n0,5 n0,5
#1 UJI DISTRIBUSI CHI-SQUARE LOG PEARSON TIPE III
No. Pr
1 25.00
2 50.00
3 75.00
4 100.00
5 125.00
No. Pr
1 25.00
2 50.00
3 75.00
Batas Antar Kelas
Pr (%) Tr Yt Yn Sn K Xt
25.000 4.00 1.246 0.4952 0.9496 0.791 190.875
50.000 2.00 0.367 0.4952 0.9496 -0.136 132.919
75.000 1.33 -0.327 0.4952 0.9496 -0.865 87.237
No. Pr
1 25.00
2 50.00
3 75.00
Pr (%) Tr KT Xt
25.000 4.00 0.670 183.331
50.000 2.00 0 141.400
75.000 1.33 -0.665 99.805
No. Pr
1 25.00
2 50.00
3 75.00
a=5%
X2 kritis 5.99
X2 hitung 11.60
Kesimpulan Hipotesa Log Pearson Tipe III Tidak Diterima
a=5%
X2 kritis 5.99
X2 hitung 3.60
Kesimpulan Hipotesa Gumbel Diterima
a=5%
X2 kritis 5.99
X2 hitung 3.60
Kesimpulan Hipotesa Normal Diterima
`
Ef - Of ( Ef - Of )2 / Ef
2.500 2.500
0.500 0.100
-4.500 8.100
1.500 0.900
11.60
Ef - Of ( Ef - Of )2 / Ef
1.500 0.900
-2.500 2.500
0.500 0.100
0.500 0.100
3.60
Ef - Of ( Ef - Of )2 / Ef
0.500 0.100
-2.500 2.500
1.500 0.900
0.500 0.100
3.60
Ef - Of ( Ef - Of )2 / Ef
2.500 2.500
2.500 2.500
-5.500 12.100
0.500 0.100
17.20
#1 UJI DISTRIBUSI SMIRNOV-KOLMOGOROF LOG PEARSON TYPE III
Jumlah = 17.292
Rerata = 1.729
Standar Deviasi (Stdev) = 0.922
Skewness (Cs) = -1.670
Xt rerata = 141.40 yn
Sd = 62.58 sn
No Tahun Xi k Yt Tr
1 2015 86.00 -0.885 -0.345 1.322
2 2016 90.00 -0.821 -0.285 1.360
3 2022 101.00 -0.646 -0.118 1.481
4 2019 102.00 -0.630 -0.103 1.493
5 2020 114.00 -0.438 0.079 1.659
6 2013 135.00 -0.102 0.398 2.045
7 2014 123.00 -0.294 0.216 1.808
8 2021 157.00 0.249 0.732 2.619
9 2017 247.00 1.687 2.098 8.656
10 2018 259.00 1.879 2.280 10.281
D maks
Sumber: Hasil perhitungan
Xt rerata = 141.40
Sd = 62.58
No Tahun Xi Pe (Xi) z Pt
1 2015 86 0.091 -0.885 81.037
2 2016 90 0.182 -0.821 79.471
3 2022 101 0.273 -0.646 74.330
4 2019 102 0.364 -0.630 73.770
5 2020 114 0.455 -0.438 66.871
6 2013 135 0.545 -0.102 54.042
7 2014 123 0.636 -0.294 61.518
8 2021 157 0.727 0.249 40.029
9 2017 247 0.818 1.687 4.654
10 2018 259 0.909 1.879 3.251
D maks
Sumber: Hasil perhitungan
No Tahun Log Xi Pe z Pt
1 2015 2.4133 0.091 3.245 0.000
2 2016 2.3927 0.182 3.113 0.000
3 2022 2.1959 0.273 1.845 3.502
4 2019 2.1303 0.364 1.422 8.022
5 2020 2.0899 0.455 1.162 12.682
6 2013 2.0569 0.545 0.949 17.514
7 2014 2.0086 0.636 0.638 26.066
8 2021 2.0043 0.727 0.611 26.990
9 2017 0.0000 0.818 -12.301 0.000
10 2018 0.0000 0.909 -12.301 0.000
D maks
Sumber: Hasil perhitungan
rson Diterima
0.4952
0.9496
Pr Pt Pe [P(Xi) - P(Xm)]
0.756 0.244 0.091 0.153
0.735 0.265 0.182 0.083
0.675 0.325 0.273 0.052
0.670 0.330 0.364 0.033
0.603 0.397 0.455 0.057
0.489 0.511 0.545 0.035
0.553 0.447 0.636 0.190
0.382 0.618 0.727 0.109
0.116 0.884 0.818 0.066
0.097 0.903 0.909 0.006
0.190
[P(Xi) - P(Xm)] Link Koefisien Gauss (KT)
80.946 Peluang (%) 99.90 99.50
79.289 KT -3.050 -2.580
74.058
73.407
66.416
53.496
60.882
39.302
3.835
2.342
0.809
Tidak Diterima
[P(Xi) - P(Xm)]
0.091
0.182
3.229
7.658
12.228
16.968
25.430
26.263
0.818
0.909
0.263
mal Diterima
95 90 80 50 20 10 5 4 2
-1.969 -1.326 -0.725 0.264 0.811 0.977 1.063 1.087 1.131
99.01 95.24 90.09 80.00 75.19 69.93 59.88 50.00 40.00
-2.330 -1.640 -1.280 -0.840 -0.670 -0.520 -0.250 0.000 0.250
1 0.5 0.1
1.157 1.173 1.228
30.03 25.00 20.00 10.00 5.00 2.00 1.00 0.50 0.20
0.520 0.670 0.840 1.280 1.640 2.050 2.330 2.580 2.880
0.10
3.090
REKAPITULASI HASIL PENGUJIAN
Distribusi Frekuensi
Uji Distribusi Log Pearson Tipe
E.J. Gumbel Normal
III
Uji Chi Square
X2 hitung 11.600 3.600 3.600
X2 kritis 5.991 5.991 5.991
Hipotesa Tidak Diterima Diterima Diterima
Uji S. Kolmogorof
Δ max 0.246 0.190 0.809
Δ kritis 0.410 0.410 0.410
Hipotesa Diterima Diterima Tidak Diterima
Sumber : Hasil Perhitungan, 2023
Kesimpulan : Dipakai distribusi E.J Gumbel
Karena nilai hujan rencana yang lebih besar sebagai
nilai keamanan yang tinggi
nsi
Log Normal
17.200
5.991
Tidak Diterima
0.263
0.410
Diterima