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Panda Ipo
Panda Ipo
Panda Ipo
At the IPO price of RM0.16/share, PESB is priced at a trailing PE of 15.5x NTA per share (post IPO) (RM) 0.05
CY22 core EPS. As we assign a target PE multiple of 15.0x against its CY24F Price to NTA (x) 3.3
EPS, we derive a fair value of RM0.185/share. This takes into account PESB’s Proforma Net Gearing (x) Net cash
earnings growth prospects (FY23F/FY24F/FY25F: +3.8%/+16.2%/+15.8%) as it
is poised to benefit from: i) the growth of Malaysia’s retail industry both via Utilisation of Proceeds RM (mn) %
brick-and-mortar and online channels, and ii) government initiatives to spur R&D of new solutions 2.7 15.5
digitalisation, especially to SMEs and micro enterprises. Additionally, we have Regional expansion in ASEAN 1.9 10.8
also taken into consideration PESB’s track record, experienced and technically Hubs & Workforce Expansion 2.6 15.1
strong management team, and rich margin and ROE. Not Rated. Expansion of CTS department 1.7 9.6
HQ expansion 3.0 17.2
Earnings Summary Working capital 2.8 16.2
FYE Dec (RM mn) FY21 FY22 FY23F FY24F FY25F Estimated listing expenses 2.7 15.6
Revenue 20.0 21.0 23.1 26.0 29.9 TOTAL 17.5 100.0
EBITDA 8.8 8.4 9.4 10.9 12.8
EBITDA margin (%) 44.0 40.3 40.9 41.9 42.9
Dep. & amortisation (0.2) (0.2) (0.2) (0.3) (0.5)
EBIT 8.6 8.3 9.3 10.6 12.3
Net finance costs 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4
EI 1.8 0.1 (2.7)* 0.0 0.0
PBT 10.4 8.5 6.7 11.0 12.7
Taxation (2.5) (1.4) (1.6) (2.6) (3.0)
PAT 7.9 7.0 5.1 8.3 9.6
Core PAT 6.1 6.9 7.2 8.3 9.6
Core EPS (sen) 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.4
Core EPS Growth (%) (11.2) 13.2 3.8 16.2 15.8
PE (x) 17.6 15.5 15.0 12.9 11.1
DPS (sen) 2.4 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4
Dividend yield (%) 15.0 0.0 1.4 2.3 2.7
* IPO expenses.
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Business Overview
Founded in 2003, Panda Eco System Bhd (PESB) is principally involved in the
development, customisation, implementation, and integration of retail
management solutions. Its customer segments include grocery retail stores,
general merchandise retailers, specialty stores, and convenient stores. Retail
management solutions are used to support retail operational processes such
as point-of-sales management, customer relationship management, electronic
commerce platform management, supply chain management, management of
information on store operations, inventory and warehouse management, as
well as financial and accounting management.
The group’s key solution is its Retail Management Eco-system which
comprises:
i. HQ Centralised Management, Store Operations and
Financial Management solution: for management and monitoring of
business operations and daily activities of a network of retail stores,
management of point-of-sale, and management of financial information;
ii. Omni-channel engagement solution: enables customer relationship
management, management of e-commerce platforms, mobile applications
and digital content, as well as management of delivery assignments for
orders made through e-commercia platforms; and
iii. xBridge B2B solution: enables electronic document exchange between
retailers and their suppliers.
Additionally, PESB is also involved in the trading of third-party software,
trading of information technology (IT) hardware, as well as software
customisation, implementation and integration of process control, and
automation solutions.
From FY19 to 1HFY23, PESB had implemented its Retail Management Eco-
system for 1,377 retail stores operated by ~137 retailers throughout Malaysia.
Overseas, the group had also implemented its Retail Management Eco-system
for 2 retail stores in Batam, Indonesia in 2016, and 1 retail store in Brunei in
2021. And recently since July 2023, the group had commenced implementation
of its Retail Management Eco-system for 1 grocery retail chain in Indonesia.
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Figure 3: Revenue Breakdown (By Business Segment) Figure 4: Revenue Breakdown (One-Off vs Recurring)
RM mn' 100%
25 90% 22% 28% 35%
80% 40%
48% 47%
20 2 2 70%
60%
15 1 50%
1 40% 78% 72% 65%
10 19 1 30% 60%
18 1 52% 53%
15 20%
5 12
10 10%
8
0%
0 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 1HFY22 1HFY23
FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 1HFY22 1HFY23
One-off Recurring
Retail Management Eco-system Others
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Pre-IPO Post-IPO
Name Designation
Direct Indirect Direct Indirect
Goldcoin Capital Sdn Bhd Investment Holding 94.2% 69.6%
Loo Chee Wee Executive Director / Chief Executive Officer 94.2%* 69.6%*
Tay Kheng Seng Executive Director / Chief Technology Officer 96.0%** 71.3%***
Total 100.0% 74.5%
* Deemed interested by virtue o f interest in Go lden Capital
** Deemed interested by virtue o f interest in Go lden Capital & spo uses's shareho ldings
*** Deemed interested by virtue o f interest in Go lden Capital, spo uses's shareho ldings & assuming spo use will fully subscribe to P ink Fo rm A llo catio ns
% of Gross
Purpose Amount Timeframe
Proceeds
R&D of new solutions RM2.7mn 15.5% Within 36 months
Regional expansion in ASEAN countries RM1.9mn 10.8% Within 36 months
Service hubs & workforce expansion in Malaysia RM2.6mn 15.1% Within 24 months
Expansion of CTS department RM1.7mn 9.6% Within 24 months
HQ Expansion RM3.0mn 17.2% Within 36 months
Working capital RM2.8mn 16.2% Within 24 months
Estimated listing expenses RM2.7mn 15.6% Within 1 month
Total RM17.5mn 100.0%
Competitive Advantages
1) Comprehensive Range of Retail Management Solutions
PESB offers a comprehensive range of retail management solutions under its
Retail Management Eco-system which includes HQ Centralised Management,
Store Operations, and Financial Management, Omni-channel Engagement, and
xBridge B2B. These retail management solutions are designed to address
various retail needs and requirements, as well as support various retail
operational processes. Among others, this includes point-of-sale management,
customer relationship management, e-commerce platform management, supply
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Outlook
According to an independent market research report by Providence Strategic
Partners, Malaysia’s retail management solutions industry has displayed strong
growth as it grew at a CAGR of +18.8%, from RM176.1mn in 2018 to
RM351.1mn in 2022. Going forward, the industry is forecasted to sustain its
growth momentum with a CAGR of +18.4%, from RM415.7mn in 2023 to
RM582.8mn in 2025. The key growth drivers include:
i. growth of Malaysia’s retail industry with constant need for retail
management solutions to manage both existing and new physical and
online stores;
ii. introduction of new retail management solutions aligned to
latest retail industry trends (e.g., to support omni-channel retailing,
self-checkout retailing);
iii. proliferation of cloud-based retail management solutions
which offers benefits of lower capital and operation expenditure,
shorter implementation time, among others; and
iv. government initiatives to promote digitalisation (e.g., as per
Budget 2024: via digitalisation grants of RM5k to SMEs and micro
enterprises, RM900mn in loan funds under Bank Negara Malaysia
provided to SMEs to increase business productivity via automation and
digitalisation).
Elsewhere in Indonesia and the Philippines (where PESB has plans expand its
presence), the retail management solutions industry in these markets have also
exhibited decent growth as they respectively grew at a CAGR of +16.2% and
+16.8% from 2018 to 2022. Like Malaysia, these markets are also expected to
sustain their double-digit growth trajectory, respectively at a CAGR of +12.8%
and +12.7% from 2023 to 2025.
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14-Nov-23
RM mn' %
50.0 50.7 55.0
45.0
40.0 41.9 45.0
35.0 35.0
30.0 32.9
30.5
25.0 20.0 21.0 25.0
20.0 16.4
13.3 15.0
15.0
6.8 6.8 8.1 6.9 8.6 8.3 6.9
10.0 6.1 5.0
5.0
0.0 -5.0
FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22
*Excludes gain on disposal of other investments & investment properties, impairment loss on
investment properties & trade receivables, & professional fees.
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14-Nov-23
RM mn' %
60.0 50.7
55.0
0.0 -5.0
FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23F FY24F FY25F
Balance Sheet
As at end-1HFY23, PESB possessed a cash position of RM10.2mn and zero
borrowings. On a pro-forma basis, fresh proceeds of RM17.5mn from the IPO
is expected to boost the group’s cash position to RM35.0mn.
Dividend Policy
Currently, PESB does not have any formal dividend policy. As we assume a
dividend payout of 30% across FY23F to FY25F, we project forward yields at
1.4% to 2.7%.
Valuation
At the IPO price of RM0.16/share, PESB is priced at a trailing PE of 15.5x
CY22 core EPS. As we assign a target PE multiple of 15.0x against its CY24F
EPS, we derive a fair value of RM0.185/share. This takes into account PESB’s
earnings growth prospects (FY23F/FY24F/FY25F: +3.8%/+16.2%/+15.8%) as it
is poised to benefit from: i) the growth of Malaysia’s retail industry both via
brick-and-mortar and online channels, and ii) government initiatives to spur
digitalisation, especially to SMEs and micro enterprises. Additionally, we have
also taken into consideration PESB’s track record, experienced and technically
strong management team, and rich margin and ROE. Not Rated.
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14-Nov-23
★★★★★ (≥80%) : Displayed market leading capabilities in integrating ESG factors in all aspects of operations, management and future directions.
★★★★ (60-79%) : Above adequate integration of ESG factors into most aspects of operations, management and future directions.
★★★ (40-59%) : Adequate integration of ESG factors into operations, management and future directions.
★★ (20-39%) : Have some integration of ESG factors in operations and management but are insufficient.
★ (<20%) : Minimal or no integration of ESG factors in operations and management.
Disclaimer
The information in this report has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Its accuracy and/ or completeness is not guaranteed and opinions are subject to change without
notice. This report is for information only and not to be construed as a solicitation for contracts. We accept no liability for any direct or indirect loss arising from the use of this
document. We, our associates, directors, employees may have an interest in the securities and/or companies mentioned herein.
As of Tuesday, November 14, 2023, the analyst, Wilson Loo, who prepared this report, has interest in the following securities covered in this report:
(a) nil
Menara TA One 22 Jalan P. Ramlee 50250 Kuala Lumpur Malaysia Tel: 603 – 2072 1277 Fax: 603 – 2032 5048
www.ta.com.my
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