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Sipef Analyst Presentation
Sipef Analyst Presentation
Sipef Analyst Presentation
Analyst presentation
7. Peer review
2
The Connection to the world of Sustainable Tropical Agriculture
SIPEF group – Company profile
6
SIPEF group – Company profile
Papua New Guinea
Total Group
2019 Palm Rubber Tea Bananas Other % of total
planted share
7. Peer review
9
The Connection to the world of Sustainable Tropical Agriculture
SIPEF group – Palm oil in the world
Palm oil in the world - Population growth
• In the coming 40 years, mankind will have to produce more food than in the
previous 10 000 years put together
Oil and fat consumption per capita (in Kg) Source: Oilworld
80
72,58
70 67,32
59,43
60
55,77 54,95
+55% 49,47
50
39,05
40
35,54
29,93
30 27,55
25,52 26,07 25,86
21,46
20 18,29
15,57 15,15 14,04
10
0
EU-28 USA China India Indonesia Pakistan Nigeria Brazil World
2018 2012
11
SIPEF group – Palm oil in the world
Palm oil in the world - Land input
Source: Oilworld
2019 : 234,7 million Ton 1994/95: 93,1 million tonnes
Palm oil
Others 32% Palm oil
19% 16%
Soya oil
21%
Sunflower oil
9%
Palm oil Soybean oil Palm oil Soya oil Rape oil
Rapeseed oil Sunflower oil Sunflower oil Palm kernel and coconut oil Other oils/animal fats
14
SIPEF group – Palm oil in the world
Palm oil in the world - Palm oil production
Africa
2%
Thailand
4%
Indonesia
Malaysia 57%
26%
Indonesia Malaysia Thailand Africa Middle & South America Other countries
15
SIPEF group – Palm oil in the world
Palm oil in the world - Sustainability
• Health issues
• No fat <-> moderate use of saturated fat
• Saturated fats – only 50% saturated and no transfats
• Environmental issues
• Deforestation – most efficient vegetable oil/hectare of land
• Sustainable Development Goals – Palm Oil covers the majority of it!
Certificates 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
RSPO 2 4 6 6 6 7 10 10 11 11 11
ISCC 2 2 2 4 4 5 5 5 5 4
ISPO 5 5 5 5 6
RA 2 3 5 5
GLOBALG.A.P. 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
ISO 9001:2015 1 1
FSSC 22000 1
Fairtrade 1
FSC 0
TOTAL 1 1 1 3 7 9 9 11 12 21 23 25 28 30
45,00
40,00 10,16
9,46
35,00
8,26 6,52
30,00 7,62
5,93 6,69
6,35
25,00 5,50 6,94
6,84
4,57 7,21
20,00 3,67 17,62
6,30 6,96
14,61
2,71 6,20
6,23 11,47
15,00 2,55 10,76
6,38 10,16
1,82 8,62
9,06
10,00 5,89 6,97
5,30
1,43 5,02
4,08
4,12 3,47 11,39
5,00 2,16 9,78 10,74
8,06 9,19
1,22 7,37 6,85 7,07 7,64
4,32 4,34 5,34
2,80
0,00
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Source: Oilworld
Biodiesel worldwide 2017
Biodiesel worldwide 2019
Total of 35,8 Mn tonnes
Total of 45,7 Mn tonnes
11%
10%
4%
4%
0%
31%
39%
6%
7%
1%
1%
14%
19%
27%
25%
Palm Oil Soya Oil Rapeseed Oil Sunflower Oil Palm oil Soya Rapeseed oil Sunflower oil
Tallow Coconut oil Other oils & fats Used cooking oil Tallow Coconut oil Other oils and fats Used cooking oil
22
SIPEF group – Palm oil in the world
Palm oil use for biodiesel EU
Source: Oilworld
2018 Palm oil use for biodiesel 2017 Palm oil use for biodiesel
Total of 14,2 Mn tonnes Total of 11,0 Mn tonnes
EU
27%
EU
35%
7,2 Mn tonnes
10,4 Mn tonnes
Non EU
65%
NON EU
73%
EU NON EU EU Non EU
23
Summary
1. SIPEF Group – Company profile
7. Peer review
24
The Connection to the world of Sustainable Tropical Agriculture
SIPEF group – Volcanic eruption PNG
Volcano eruption 2019 – Hargy Oil Palms
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Ha 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
50% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Yield prognoses
Severe tall 0% 20% 40% 40% 80% 2,000 1,000 400 800 800 1,600
Severe young 20% 30% 50% 60% 100% 932 559 280 466 559 932
Significant 60% 50% 70% 90% 100% 1,334 1,067 667 934 1,201 1,334
Moderate 75% 60% 80% 95% 100% 722 632 433 578 686 722
Light 90% 100% 100% 100% 100% 1,306 1,241 1,306 1,306 1,306 1,306
No damage 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 7,412 7,412 7,412 7,412 7,412 7,412
13,706 11,911 10,498 11,495 11,964 13,306
% of normal production 86.9% 76.6% 83.9% 87.3% 97.1%
Loss against normal production 13.1% 23.4% 16.1% 12.7% 2.9%
7. Peer review
29
The Connection to the world of Sustainable Tropical Agriculture
SIPEF group – Expansion
Strategy & expansion
Focus on core-business
Balanced leverage
100.000
91 568 Ha 92 407 Ha
90.000
82 968 Ha
80 540 Ha
80.000 78 213 Ha
69 439 Ha
70.000
56 811 Ha
60.000
48 093 Ha
50.000
40.000
30.000
20.000
10.000
0
2005 2008 2016 2017 2018 2019 2023 2029
North Sum North Sum expansion Bengkulu Bengkulu expansion PNG PNG expansion Musi Rawas Dendy Marker Ivory Coast Ivory Coast expansion 31
SIPEF group – Expansion
Supply base (in hectares): own ha and outgrowers ha – 100%
140.000
120.000
23.029
23.029
23.029
23.029
23.029
23.029
23.029
23.029
22.755
100.000
22.208
21.370
80.000
60.000
92.385
92.407
92.407
92.407
92.220
91.747
91.568
90.244
87.542
84.985
82.968
40.000
20.000
0
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Own ha Outside ha
170%
+ 65%
160%
150%
140%
130%
120%
+ 19%
110%
100%
90%
80%
700.000
2029
400.000
300.000
200.000
100.000
0
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Own Outgrowers 34
SIPEF group – Expansion
Musi Rawas expansion
7. Peer review
37
The Connection to the world of Sustainable Tropical Agriculture
SIPEF group – Productions & prices
Group production PALM OIL – December 2019
Own
Outgrowers
Tea Neutral - Low price environment - Kenyan prod above expectation and rain season was extended which is
good for production.
- Pakistan market is still suffering from new regulations regarding
imports…. Creating uncertainty.
The Connection to the world of Sustainable Tropical Agriculture 41
- Unilever considering a sale of tea activities
SIPEF group – Productions & prices
CPO prices CIF Rotterdam 2018-2019 -2020
800
750
700
650
600
550
500
450
J F M A M J J A S O N D
2005M04
2005M07
2005M10
2006M01
2006M04
2006M07
2006M10
2007M01
2007M04
2007M07
2007M10
2008M01
2008M04
2008M07
2008M10
SIPEF group – Productions & prices
2009M01
2009M04
2009M07
2009M10
2010M01
2010M04
2010M07
2010M10
Palm oil
2011M01
2011M04
2011M07
2011M10
2012M01
2012M04
2012M07
Soybean oil
2012M10
2013M01
2013M04
2013M07
The Connection to the world of Sustainable Tropical Agriculture
2013M10
2014M01
2014M04
2014M07
2014M10
2015M01
2015M04
2015M07
2015M10
2016M01
2016M04
2016M07
2016M10
2017M01
2017M04
2017M07
2017M10
2018M01
2018M04
2018M07
2018M10
2019M01
2019M04
2019M07
43
2019M10
SIPEF group – Productions & prices
RSS3 Rubber prices 2018-2019
RSS3 in $/mt
FOB Singapore
2 000
1 800
1 600
1 400
1 200
1 000
J F M A M J J A S O N D
Tea in $/mt
average auction Mombasa
3 150
2 950
2 750
2 550
2 350
2 150
1 950
1 750
J F M A M J J A S O N D
7. Peer review
46
The Connection to the world of Sustainable Tropical Agriculture
SIPEF group – Financial performance
Sales – consolidated gross margin
300 000
210 251
200 000
150 000
100 000
28,7%
50 000
16,4%
22 024
17 119
11 699 10 330 16,3% 21,3%
-9,1% -21,7% 5 454 5 072
11,5% -7,3%
0
Palm Rubber Tea Bananas
-50 000
2018 Sales 2018 Gross Margin 2019 Sales 2019 Gross Margin
47
SIPEF group – Financial performance
Gross margin – Results before tax
Biological assets (depreciated costs) - bearer plants 306 342 283 712
Goodwill 104 782 104 782
Other fixed assets 365 412 364 480
Receivables > 1 year 13 442 11 112
Net current assets, net of cash 94 013 91 932
Net cash position -164 623 -121 443
Total net assets 719 368 734 576
• Level of financial covenant according to new LT loan dd August 2019: 3,5 X REBITDA as per
31/12/2019
• Waiver for testing was obtained from our bankers for end December 2019 because of too much
uncertainty as also highlighted in previous board meetings
• Simulations show that for June 2020 and December 2020 no issues are expected
52
SIPEF group – Financial performance
Cash flow (management presentation)
Free cash flow (a+b) -27 751 -12 912 -14 839
Increase/decrease cash (a+b+c) – excluding loans -40 142 -37 746 -2 396
Sensitivity 31/12/2019
Stock price @ USD per hectare
30,00 5 816
40,00 7 318
50,00 8 819
60,00 10 321
70,00 11 823
80,00 13 325
7. Peer review
55
The Connection to the world of Sustainable Tropical Agriculture
Peer review
Disclaimer
The information contained in this section is provided for your general information only and is not
designed nor intended to offer anything more than information only.
The information with respect to the companies included in the Peer Review was retrieved from
publicly available information being annual reports and company websites on the one hand and
from analyst reports we received on the other hand. In some cases we had to give our own
interpretation to the available information in order to get comparable indicators.
As a consequence of using different sources combined with giving our own interpretation to the
available information, the information may not always be correct and SIPEF does not accept any
liability for loss and damage that may arise from relying upon this information.
Socfinasia 24,4
IOI Corporation 23,6
R.E.A. Holdings 23,1
Golden Agri-Resources 22,5
SIPEF 22,2
Astra Agro Lestari 21,8
Kuala Lumpur Kepong 21,6
Wilmar International 21,6
Plantation
Sime Darby 20,5
Bumitama 20,4
Integrated
MP Evans 19,3
First Resources 18,9
Anglo Eastern Plantations 18,6 Sipef
MP Evans 23,5%
SIPEF 23,4%
London Sumatra Indon 23,0%
Socfinasia 22,9%
Eagle High Plantations 22,9%
First Resources 22,9%
R.E.A. Holdings 22,5%
Bumitama 22,1%
Plantation
Socfinaf 22,0%
Salim Ivomas Pratama 22,0%
Integrated
Golden Agri-Resources 21,9%
Kuala Lumpur Kepong 21,8%
Sipef
Sampoerna Agro 21,3%
Genting Plantations 21,3%
Sime Darby 21,0%
IOI Corporation 20,9%
Anglo Eastern Plantations 20,7%
2017 2018 Var %
Felda Global Ventures 20,5% Average 21,9% 21,8% -0,4%
Astra Agro Lestari 20,3% Sipef 23,4% 23,4% -0,2%
Wilmar International 20,0%
Socfinasia 5,59
R.E.A. Holdings 5,40
SIPEF 5,19
IOI Corporation 4,93
Golden Agri-Resources 4,93
Kuala Lumpur Kepong 4,72
MP Evans 4,54
Bumitama 4,51
Plantation
Astra Agro Lestari 4,40
First Resources 4,33
Integrated
Wilmar International 4,32
Sime Darby 4,31
Sipef
London Sumatra Indon 4,00
Genting Plantations 3,88
Anglo Eastern Plantations 3,84
Salim Ivomas Pratama 3,51
Felda Global Ventures 3,46
Socfinaf 3,29 2017 2018 Var %
Average 3,91 4,26 8,9%
Sampoerna Agro 3,20
Sipef 5,58 5,19 -7,0%
Eagle High Plantations 2,82
Socfinasia 5,5%
IOI Corporation 4,5%
Bumitama 4,0%
Wilmar International 3,3%
Sime Darby 3,2%
Sampoerna Agro 2,9%
Astra Agro Lestari 2,7%
Golden Agri-Resources 2,6%
First Resources 2,0% Plantation
Kuala Lumpur Kepong 1,8%
MP Evans 1,8% Integrated
Socfinaf 52,4
Genting Plantations 47,2
Kuala Lumpur Kepong 35,1
Anglo Eastern Plantations 31,8
SIPEF 31,0
London Sumatra Indon 25,4
Sime Darby 21,3
Astra Agro Lestari 16,6
First Resources 16,2 Plantation
Wilmar International 13,1
Socfinasia 12,5 Integrated
Bumitama 11,7
IOI Corporation 9,3 Sipef
MP Evans * 0,0
Sampoerna Agro * 0,0
Golden Agri-Resources *
Salim Ivomas Pratama *
Felda Global Ventures * 0,0
R.E.A. Holdings * 0,0
Eagle High Plantations * 0,0
* Not included as irrelevant (profit close to break-even or loss for the year)
The Connection to the world of Sustainable Tropical Agriculture 65
Peer review
Net financial position/Equity Ratio (2018)