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UAB - INTERNATIONAL SECURITY


(Course 2023-24). Lecturer: JP Soriano

Topic 3.
The evolution of war
and different forms of
inter-sate violence

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This presentation is based on the following sources

• Baylis, John, James Wirtz, “Introduction: Strategy in the Contemporary World:


Strategy after 9/11”, In: Baylis, John, James Wirtz, and Colin Gray, eds. Strategy in
the Contemporary World. 5th Edition. Oxford University Press, 2016.

• Fazal, Tanisha and Poast Paul. “War is not over”, Foreign Affairs, Vol. 98, No. 6
(Nov/Dec), 2019, pp. 73-83.

• German, Tracey. "Introduction: re-visioning war and the state in the twenty-first
century.“ International Affairs 95.4 (2019): 759-763.

• Kaldor, Mary. “The New Logic of Warfare”, Green European Journal, March 28,
2019. Available at: https://www.greeneuropeanjournal.eu/the-new-logic-of-
warfare/

• Pilbeam, Bruce. "Reflecting of War and Peace." In: International Security Studies.
Theory and Practice, ed. Peter Hough et al. Routledge, 2015.

J.P. Soriano. International Security. 2023-2024. UAB

Additional sources on
available at UAB Libraries

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Additional sources on Strategic Studies available at UAB libraries

2008 2009 2012

2014 2016 2002, 2013, 2016

Textbook: “Strategy in the Contemporary World” (5th Edition)


Part I: Enduring Issues of Strategy
• The History of the Practice of Strategy from Antiquity to
Napoleon, Beatrice Heuser
• The Evolution of Modern Warfare, Michael Sheehan
• Strategic Theory, Thomas G. Mahnken
• The Causes of War and the Conditions of Peace, Garnett and Baylis
• Strategic Culture, Jeffrey S. Lantis and Darryl Howlett
• Law, Politics, and the Use of Force, Justin Morris
• Technology and Warfare, Eliot A. Cohen
• Intelligence and Strategy, Roger Z. George
• Strategy and Defence Planning, Colin S. Gray
Part III: The Future of Strategy
Part II: Contemporary Problems
• Strategic Studies and its
• Irregular Warfare: Terrorism and Insurgency, James D. Kiras
Critics, Columba Peoples
• Second Nuclear Age: Nuclear Weapons in the 21st Century, Walton
• A New Agenda for Security and
• The Control of Weapons of Mass Destruction, John Baylis
Strategy?, James J. Wirtz
• Conventional Power and Contemporary Warfare, John Ferris
• The Practice of Strategy, Colin S.
• Theory and Practice of Continental Warfare, Stephen Biddle
Gray and Jeannie L. Johnson
• Humanitarian Intervention and Peace Operations, Sheena Chestnut
• Does Strategic Studies Have a
Greitens
Future?, Lawrence Freedman
• The Rise of Cyberpower, John B. Sheldon
• Geopolitics and Grand Strategy, Stefanie Ortmann and Nick Whittaker

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Reserach Institute based in London


https://www.iiss.org/

The Military Balance is the


Survival: Global Politics and Institute’s annual assessment
Strategy is the Institute’s bi- of the military capabilities and
monthly journal defence economics worldwide.

https://www.iiss.org/blogs/podcast

J.P. Soriano. International Security. 2023-2024. UAB

https://www.kcl.ac.uk/warstudies

J.P. Soriano. International Security. 2023-2024. UAB

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https://www.ieee.es/index.html?__locale=es

Famous quotes about war (1)

“War is not merely an act of policy but a true


political instrument, a continuation of political
intercourse carried on with other means.”
• Carl Von Clausewitz (1780-1831). Prussian
general and one of the most influential
military strategist in history

‘War is hell’
• Declared American Civil War general William
T. Sherman (1820–1891).

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Famous quotes about war (2)

“War is too important to be left to the generals”.


• Quote by Georges Clemenceau (1841–1929), a
French politician who led France during the First
World War as Prime Minister .

“You may not be interested in war, but war is


interested in you”
• Quote attributed to Leon Trotsky (1879 –1940),
a Soviet revolutionary, Marxist theorist and
politician.
• He was the founder and commander of the Red
Army, with the title of People's Commissar of
Military and Naval Affairs.

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Defining wars is becoming more difficult today,


since the word “war”, “has been co-opted by politicians to describe a whole array of
policy agendas unrelated to traditional ideas of warfare.”
For example: the global War of terror (after 2001), the War on Drugs, the War on crime,
War on Poverty, the War on Cancer; and more recently, the War against climate change or
Covid-19

Global War of terror

May 2021

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Preliminary questions on war and peace (1)

• Is war an inevitable part of human


existence?

• Is war sometimes, maybe, even


necessary?
• Self-defense in the face of attack is
widely accepted as a legitimate reason to
take up arms (Art. 51 UN Charter), even
if one regrets having to do so.

• Does the relevance of military power


will decline in the next two or three
decades?

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Preliminary questions on
war and peace (2)

• It is possible to talk about ‘just’


wars? Wars that have a moral
justification, such as wars fought to
remove an oppressive, cruel and Liberty Leading the People (La Liberté
guidant le peuple) , by Eugène
murderous regime Delacroix 1830

• Or, war is never justified, and the


only truly ethical stance is a pacifist
opposition to all armed conflict.

Michael Walzer, first edition 1977,


fifth edition 2015
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Consequences of warfare and armed conflicts


• Armed conflicts have been (and are) responsible for:
• loss of life on a massive scale
• the obstruction of economic development
• the spreading of disease and famine
• the downfall of governments
• the destruction of whole cultures (Pilbeam, p. 87)

• But wars and warfare have also:


• helped with the creation of new states
• liberation of societies from oppressive or imperialist
regimes
• accelerated the economic growth of some societies
• generated advancements in technology,
communications, medicine, etc.

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Typologies of war (taken from Pilbeam, pp. 88-89).

Types of actors involved

Internationalized intra-state war

Formalities of warfare

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Resource mobilization

Types of combatants and their tactics

Objectives of warfare

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Carl Von Clausewitz. On War (1)

• Carl Von Clausewitz (1780-1831). Was a Prussian


general and one of the most influential military
strategist in history.

• Clausewitz definition of war:

• “We see, therefore, that war is not merely an


act of policy but a true political instrument, a
continuation of political intercourse carried
on with other means. What remains peculiar
to war is simply the peculiar nature of its
means.” (On War, 1832) (On War, 1832)

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Carl Von Clausewitz. On War (2)


• Criticisms of Clausewitzian approaches to
war:

• “One of the most famous – indeed,


infamous – statements about the
nature of war.” (Pilbeam, p. 87)

• “Clausewitz’s belief suggests a morally


repugnant view of war,…
• treating it as if it were no different to
any of the other tools at a statesman’s
disposal, like diplomacy or sanctions,…
• and thereby failing to appreciate its
exceptional and horrifying nature.”

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Carl Von Clausewitz. On War (3)


• “A different interpretation is that Clausewitz was
simply emphasizing that war is a political instrument”:
• “War is the continuation of politics by other
means.”

• War “is not a separate, autonomous activity, but is


intimately linked to the wider interests, strategies and
decision-making processes of those who wage it,
usually with some definite end or goal in mind.”
(Pilbeam, p. 87).

• “It is important not to think of war in isolation, but as


connected to all the other major issues of international
security.” (Pilbeam, p. 87).

• We could understand military power also as a key


dimension of both domestic and international politics
and policies.
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Levels of analysis and the causes of war


• Book by Kenneth Waltz: Man, the State and War (1959)

• First image: imperfections of human nature. “the flawed -


or even evil- nature of the human individual would
inevitably manifest itself in the aggressive behavior” of
self-interested states. (Smith, p. 15).

• Second image: the structure of the state (different state-


level variables).

• Third image: the anarchical nature of the international


system.
• “States are seeking to survive in an anarchic
1959 international system in which the primary source of
insecurity stems from inter-state conflict.” .” (Miller,
p. 15).
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“Who cares about the Cuban missile crisis?”


• Video prepared for the 50th Anniversary of Cuban missile
crisis in October 1962. The Armageddon Letters (2012)
http://www.armageddonletters.com/ , by The Balsillie
School of International Affairs, University of Waterloo,
Canada.

• Video (2012) 4 minutes:


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zObCklM5LPw

• Individuals (Kennedy, Khrushchev, Castro): beliefs,


personal goals, available information, abillities to manage
very high pressures/stress .

• States (USA, USSR, Cuba): political system, bureaucractic


politics, public opinion, etc.

• International system: anarchy, polarity, military


capabilities, economic systems, ideologies, etc.
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Evolution of Strategic Studies


• Strategic Studies have been heavily influenced by the
realist tradition in International Relations.

• Emerged in the context of the Cold War. Political leaders,


government officials, and academics interested in a key
aspect of the security agenda:
• How to survive and prosper in a nuclear age?

• Development theories of: nuclear deterrence, limited war,


and arms control.

• These matters dominated most of the academic literature


of Strategic Studies between 1950s-1980s.

• The work by scholars such as Bernard Brodie, Henry


Kissinger, Thomas Schelling and Herman Kahn became
“classics”.

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Herman Kahn (1922 –1983) 1960. On Thermonuclear War. 1962. Thinking about the
unthinkable.
• Herman Kahn (1922 –1983). American physicist and strategist.
His theories contributed heavily to the development of
the nuclear strategy of the United States.

• “Became known for analyzing the likely consequences


of nuclear war and recommending ways to improve
survivability”

• Kahn was “one of the historical inspirations for the title


character of Stanley Kubrick's classic film Dr. Strangelove. Or
How I lerned to Stop Worrying and Love the Bomb.” (1962)
(“Teléfono rojo, ¿volamos hacia Moscú?”)

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Some criticisms to Strategic Studies and


responses by strategic theorists

1. Critics: Strategic Studies is obsessed with conflict and force


• Strategist claim: they deal with one aspect of international relations
only: conflict and violence. They do not claim this is the only aspect.

2. Critics: the topic of armed conflict should not be studied in universities


• Strategist argue that: war will not disappear simply by ignoring it. “The
study of war and peace are issues of profound importance that can, and
should, be studied in a scholarly way”. (Baylis et al., p. 10).

3. Critics: state-centric focus and specifically on inter-state wars


• Strategists recognize their continuous interest on issues of state’s
security. But they also recognize the importance of: intra-state
conflicts and wars, ethnic and identity conflict, violent non-state
actors (terrorist groups and criminal organizations). (Baylis et al., p.
11).

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Some criticisms to Strategic Studies and


responses by strategic theorists

4. Critics: strategists usually adopt a traditional realist approach that is


theoretically too narrow
• Some strategist scholars accept the need of a wider approach for analyzing
a more complex international security agenda (even from the point of view
of the role of military power and inter-state conflict)
• Other scholars argue that realism “remains the dominant approach to the
subject, which is one factor that distinguishes the study of strategy from the
broader field of Security Studies (Baylis et al., p. 12).

5. Critics: strategy is increasingly less relevant because major wars are


declining, and non-traditional threats are increasing
• Strategists argue that too much emphasis has been given to non-military
security. The liberal euphoria at the beginning of the 1990s that “a
fundamental transformation of international relations was under way has
proved to be ill-founded.” (Baylis et al., p. 13). Military force remains a very
important element of international politics

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Security dilemma in a self-help system


• Security dilemma.
• A very important concept in security studies, created by
scholar John Herz in 1950.
• See: John H. Herz, ‘Idealist Internationalism and the
Security Dilemma’, World Politics 212 (January 1950);
also see Robert Jervis, Perception and Misperception in
International Politics (1976).

• “An accumulation of military power may jeopardize national


security rather than enhance it because the opponent may
regard it as a threat.” (Miller, p. 17).

• Perception and misperception: The quest of survival in and


anarchical system can generate arms races, military alliances,
balancing coalitions, and unintended or undesired wars.

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Changing role of armed forces


around the world

- Anexample of how the changing and


increasingly complex strategic context
has a concrete impact on defense and
security policies can be seen in the
evolution of the role of the armed
forces in recent decades

- The armed forces are increasingly


multi-purpose institutions.

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During the XXth Century, some of the tasks assigned to armed forces
in many countries of the world included:

1. External defense against possible attacks from other states (defense of


territorial integrity and national sovereignty);

2. Internal/domestic control of political and armed actors considered


'enemies' or 'threats' to the state (which, depending on the type of
political regime, could include terrorist organizations, insurgent-guerrilla
groups, or even political opposition and social activists);
3. Fight against drug trafficking, especially since the 1980s (in the so called
“war on drugs”);

4. One-off assistance / ad hoc assistance to the population in case of


natural disasters such as floods, hurricanes, earthquakes, volcanic
eruptions, wildfires, etc. ;
5. Providing support in the implementation of other public policies (health
issues, building infrastructure, reforestation, among others).

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21st Century (all previous roles plus)


6. Public security: the “war on crime” trough the
militarization of the fight against violence and crime.
7. Defense in cyberspace: cybersecurity over strategic
infrastructure, and cyberwarfare capabilities.

8. Outer Space as an increasingly important domain for


warfighting capabilities.
9. Increasing role of the armed forces in the vigilance of
key natural resources: deterrence of state and non-state
actors which want to exploit or control these key assets

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10. More relevant and


systematic roles in disaster
relief:

• more frequent emergencies,


many of them related to
adverse effects of climate
change.

• Humanitarian and disaster


relief demands increasing joint
training and interoperability
at regional and international
levels.

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Conclusions: Why the study of war is still very


relevant
1. Armed conflict (War) has been a feature of human societies since their very
beginnings.
2. A constant feature of world politics has been the study and analysis of “the
harsh realities of a world in which military power is an instrument of state
policy”. (Baylis et al., p. 2)
3. “Over the centuries, writers have debated endlessly the meanings of war and
peace, and there remains no consensus over either term.” (Pilbeam, p. 88)
4. Different interpretations of the nature and causes of war.
5. “In reality there in no such thing as ‘war in general’, but a wide range of
different types of armed conflict” (Pilbeam, p. 89).
6. Examine the domestic and international impacts of the changing roles of
armed forces .
7. Transparency and accountability: civilian control of the armed forces.

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