Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Biy Daalt 449
Biy Daalt 449
30,367.00 43,578.00
4,248.00 5,203.00
1,905.00 2,297.00
914.00 826.00
1,191.00 1,081.00
38,625.00 52,985.00
3,963.00 7,153.00
343.00 396.00
130.00 (32.00)
3,750.00 6,725.00
968.00 1,720.00
2,782.00 5,005.00
(24.00) (24.00)
2,758.00 4,981.00
58.00 53.00
2,700.00 4,928.00
1 CATERPILLAR BALANCE SHEETS, 2007-2011
2 Assets 2007
3 Current assets
4 Cash and short-term investment 1,122.00
5 Receivables--trade and other 8,249.00
6 Receivables--finance 7,503.00
7 Deferred and refundable income taxes 816.00
8 Prepaid expenses and other current assets 583.00
9 Inventories 7,204.00
10 Total current assets 25,477.00
11
12 Property, plant and equipment--net 9,997.00
13 Long-term receivables-trade and other 685.00
14 Long-term receivables-finance 13,462.00
15 Investments in unconsolidated affiliated companies 598.00
16 Noncurrent deffered and refundable income taxes 1,553.00
17 Intangible assets 475.00
18 Goodwill 1,963.00
19 Other assets 1,922.00
20 Total assets 56,132.00
21
22 Liabilities 2007
23 Current liabilities
24 Short-tern borrowings
25 Machine and power systems 187.00
26 Financial products 5,281.00
27 Account payable 4,723.00
28 Accured expenses 3,178.00
29 Accured wages, salaries and employee benefits 1,126.00
30 Customer advances 1,442.00
31 Dividends payable 225.00
32 Other current liabilities 951.00
33 Long-term debt due within one year
34 Machinery and power systems 180.00
35 Financial products 4,952.00
36 Total current liabilities 22,245.00
37
38 Long-term debt due after one year
39 Machinery and power system 3,639.00
40 Financial products 14,190.00
41 Liability for postemployment benefits 5,059.00
42 Other liabilities 2,003.00
43 Total liabilities 47,136.00
44
45 Redeemable noncontrolling interest -
46 Stockholder's equity
47 Common stock of $1.00 par
48 Common stock(814,894,624 shares) 2,744.00
49 Treasury stock at cost (9,451.00)
50 Profit employed in the business 17,398.00
51 Accumulated and other comprehensive income (1,808.00)
52 Noncontrolling interests 113.00
53 Total shareholders equity 8,996.00
54 Total liabilities and equity 56,132.00
55
56
57 Treasury stock, shares 190,908,480.00
58 Net shares outstanding 623,986,134.00
2008 2009 2010 2011
Growth measures
CAGR 10.44%
Slope 3,168.75
Slope/2011 sales 5.27%
Intercept (6,320,495.45)
R-squared 0.76
2001-2010 8.49%
2002-2010 9.80%
2003-2010 9.33%
2005-2010 3.22%
Caterpillar Sales Regressed on Year
70,000.00
60,000.00
50,000.00
40,000.00
30,000.00
20,000.00
10,000.00
-
1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012
NWC Analysis
80.00%
70.00%
60.00%
50.00%
40.00%
30.00%
20.00%
10.00%
0.00%
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
1 CATERPILLAR OPERATING COSTS
2 2007 2008 2009 2010
3 Operating costs from P&L 40,037.00 46,876.00 31,819.00 38,625.00
4 Depreciation 1,797.00 1,980.00 2,336.00 2,296.00
5 Operating costs net of depreciation 38,240.00 44,896.00 29,483.00 36,329.00
6 Sales 44,958.00 51,324.00 32,396.00 42,588.00
7 Net operating costs/Sales 85.06% 87.48% 91.01% 85.30%
90.00%
88.00%
86.00%
84.00%
42,588.00
82.00%
80.00%
1 2 3 4 5
2011
52,985.00
2,527.00
50,458.00
60,138.00
83.90%
Regressing net operating costs on sales
Intercept 3,833.34
Slope 77.89%
R-squared 99.14%
1 Millions of dollars Useful Lives 2011 2010
2 Land - 753 682
3 Buildings and land improvements 20-45 5857 5174
4 Machinery equipment and other 3-10. 14435 13414
5 Equipment leased to others 1-10. 4285 4444
6 Construction in process 1996 1192
7
8 Total property, plant and equipment, at cost 27,326.00 24,906.00
9 Less: Accumulated depreciation (12,931.00) (12,367.00)
10 Property, plant and equipment-net 14,395.00 12,539.00
2009
639
4914
12917
4717
1034
24,221.00
(11,835.00)
12,386.00
1 CATERPILLAR-ANALYSIS OF FIXED ASSETS
2 2007 2008 2009
3 Land 189.00 575.00 639.00
4 Buildings and land improvements 3,625.00 4,647.00 4,914.00
5 Machinery, equipment and other 9,756.00 12,173.00 12,917.00
6 Equipment leased to others 4,556.00 4,561.00 4,717.00
7 Construction-in-process 1,082.00 1,531.00 1,034.00
8
9 Total property, plant and equipment,at cost 19,208.00 23,487.00 24,221.00
10 Less: Accumulated depreciation (9,211.00) (10,963.00) (11,835.00)
11 Property, plant and equipment-net 9,997.00 12,524.00 12,386.00
12
13 Sales 44,958.00 51,324.00 32,396.00
14
15 Net PPE/Sales 22.24% 24.40% 38.23%
16 Gross PPE/Sales 42.72% 45.76% 74.77%
17 Model value Net PPE/Sales 27.65%
80.00%
70.00%
60.00%
50.00%
40.00%
30.00%
20.00%
10.00%
0.00%
1 2 3 4 5
2010 2011
682.00 753.00
5,174.00 5,857.00
13,414.00 14,435.00
4,444.00 4,285.00
1,192.00 1,996.00
24,906.00 27,326.00
(12,367.00) (12,931.00)
12,539.00 14,395.00
42,588.00 60,138.00
29.44% 23.94%
58.48% 45.44%
5
1 Depreciation analysis 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
2 Buildings and land improvements 20.21% 21.73% 21.79% 22.46% 23.83%
3 Machinery, equipment and other 54.39% 56.93% 57.29% 58.24% 58.73%
4 Equipment leased to others 25.40% 21.33% 20.92% 19.29% 17.44%
5
6 Depreciation rated
7 Buildings and land improvements 3.08%
8 Machinery, equipment and other 15.38%
9 Equipment leased to others 18.18%
10 Average depreciation rate 13.61% 13.31% 13.29% 13.16% 12.94%
11 Model depreciation rate 13.26%
1 CARTERPILLAR DIVIDENS
2 Other liabilities 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
3 Dividends 845.00 953.00 1,029.00 1,084.00 1,159.00
4 Year-on-year growth 12.78% 7.97% 5.34% 6.92%
5 Dvidend CAGR 8.22%
6
7 Dividnds per share 1.38 1.62 1.68 1.74 1.82
8 Dividend CAGR 7.16%
1 Other liabilities and pensions
2 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
3 Other liabilities 2,003.00 2,190.00 2,496.00 2,654.00 3,583.00
4 Year-on-year growth 9.34% 13.97% 6.33% 35.00%
5 Whole period 15.65%
6 Excluding 2011 9.83%
7
8 Pension liabilities 5,059.00 9,975.00 7,420.00 7,584.00 ###
9 Year-on-year growth 97.17% -25.61% 2.21% 44.46%
10 Whole period 21.31%
11 Excluding 2011 14.45%
12 Model value 17.88%
1 CATERPILLAR ANAYLYSIS OF TAX RATE
2 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
3 Profits before taxes 4,990.00 4,501.00 569.00 3,750.00 6,725.00
4 Taxes 1,485.00 953.00 (270.00) 968.00 1,720.00
5 Tax rate 29.76% 21.17% -47.45% 25.81% 25.58%
6 Model value 25.58%
1 CARTERPILLAR: VARIOUS PLUGS vs SALES AND OTHER
2 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
3 Sales 44,958.00 51,324.00 32,396.00 42,588.00 60,138.00
4
5 Cash 1,122.00 2,736.00 4,867.00 3,592.00 3,057.00
6 Cash/Sales 2.50% 5.33% 15.02% 8.43% 5.08%
7 Debt 28,429.00 35,535.00 31,631.00 28,418.00 34,592.00
8 Debt/Sales 63.23% 69.24% 97.64% 66.73% 57.52%
9 Debt/Total ass 50.65% 52.43% 52.68% 44.39% 42.47%
10
11 Model values
12 Cash/Sales 5.08%
13 Debt/Assets 42.47%
1 WACC 10.84%
2 Long-term FCF growth 9.00%
3
4 Year 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
5 FCF 3,132.40 2,797.08 2,543.26 2,220.15
6 Terminal value
7 Total 3,132.40 2,797.08 2,543.26 2,220.15
8 Enterprise value
9 PV of FCF's and terminal value 77,697.22
10 Add back initial cash 3,057.00
11 Asset value 80,754.22
12 Subtract year 0 debt (50,552.50)
13 Imputed equity value 30,201.72
14 Divide by shares outstanding 647,533,344.00
15 Share value 46.64
16 Current market value per share 90.60
2016
1,815.13
107,526.68
109,341.81
CATERPILLAR PRO FORMULA MODEL
Sales growth 5.27%
Current assets/Sales 58.32%
Current lia/Sales 31.45%
Net fixed assets/Sales 27.65%
COGS/Sales 83.90%
Long-term receivables, growth 5.27%
Depreciation rate 13.26%
Pension lia, growth 17.88%
Other lia, growth 9.83%
Cash/Sales 5.08%
Debt/Assets 42.47%
Interest rate on debt 1.41%
Interest paid on cash & mkt.sec 0%
Tax rate 25.58%
Dividend growth 8.22%
Balance sheet
Cash and marketable securities 3,057.00 3,218.08 3,387.64
Current assets 35,071.00 36,918.94 38,864.24
Fixed assets
Land 753.00 753.00 753.00
Construction in progress 1,996.00 1,996.00 1,996.00
Depreciable assets at cost 26,810.21 31,397.00 36,844.00
Accumulated depreciation (12,931.00) (16,790.16) (21,314.56)
Net PPE 16,628.21 17,504.37 18,426.70
WACC 10.84%
Long-term FCF growth 9.00%
6% 7% 8% 9% 10%