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Advocacy Coalition Framework and Policy Changes in A Third World Country
Advocacy Coalition Framework and Policy Changes in A Third World Country
This work concerns health sector reform in Nigeria between 2003 and
2014. Using qualitative content analysis, I investigate the factors that
led to the reform, the reform process, and its outcome. The objective
is to assess the conformity of the policy reform to Sabatier and
Weible’s Advocacy Coalition Framework (ACF) in order to ascertain
the applicability, or otherwise, of the ACF in policy analysis in stable
democratic African states. In the article, external shock, policy
subsystem, stable parameter, technical experts, advocacy coalitions, the
“devil shift,” and policy core beliefs—which are basic components of
ACF—were all identified in the policy reform process. I conclude that
the ACF can be applied in policy reform in democratic African states, so
long as there is the rule of law, a separation of powers, freedom of speech
and association, a fairly stable political environment, and the presence
of policy participants with expert knowledge of the policy issues.
Keywords: Advocacy Coalition Framework (ACF), Nigeria, Sub-Saharan
Africa, Nigeria Health Sector, Policy, Health Policy Reform, Third-World
Countries, Policy Change in Developing Countries.
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Acknowledgements: The author would like to thank Professor Eme Ekekwe, Professor Nna
Johnson, and Associate Professor Allen of University of Port Harcourt for their encouragement
and valuable suggestions. The author would also like to thank the anonymous referees at Politics
& Policy whose comments helped to improve the final quality of the text.
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Related Media:
CNBC Africa. 2017. “How Can Nigeria Improve Its Healthcare System?”
https://www.cnbca f rica.com/video s /2017/09/14/how-can-niger i a-impro
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Opeyemi, Agbaje. 2012. “Health Sector Reforms in Nigeria 1.” https://
www.youtube.com/watch?v=0YvV_xj0meU
Marco de la Coalición de Defensa (ACF) y cambio de políticas en un país del
Tercer Mundo
Research Objective
The modest objective of this article is to ascertain the extent to which the
policy changes in the Nigerian health sector between 2003 and 2014 fit the
conditions required by the Advocacy Coalition Framework (ACF) model.
This, to a great extent, will show the applicability—or otherwise—of the ACF
to policy reforms in a fairly stable democratic underdeveloped country. The
ACF has been acknowledged as one of the foremost theoretical frameworks
for analyzing policy processes (Nohrstedt 2009; Sabatier and Weible 2007;
Sotirov and Memmler 2012). However, its applicability to subsystems outside
the United States has been questioned by critics (see Carter 2001; John 1988;
Parsons 1995). It has been argued that—due to differences in political systems,
institutions, and cultures—the ACF cannot claim universal applicability. Thus
far, the published literature on the applicability of the ACF has come from
Europe and the United States. For instance, a publication from the Policy
Studies Journal contained eight collections of ACF application, yet none of
the articles came from developing countries (Weible, Sabatier, and McQueen
2009). The major hindrance to its applicability—outside of the United States
and Europe—has initially been the lack of expansive sets of actors that needed
to be involved in policy making, the weakness of the civil society, and lack of
technical expertise.
The authoritarian regimes in most African and Asian countries count as a
prime cause of this institutional anomaly. The authoritarian states leave little
room for external policy advocacy, growth, and participation of the civil society
Nwalie / ACF AND THIRD-WORLD POLICY CHANGE | 549
in policy making. However, with the worldwide liberal revolution and the
ascendency of social democracy as a dominant world political system (Fukuyama
2006), most African, Asian, and Latin American countries have democratized.
Civil societies, labor unions, and professional bodies have sprouted out and
are making their impact felt in policy formulation. Consequently, researchers
are currently making attempts at applying the ACF in analyzing policy change
in these former authoritarian territories and there has been an increase of
interest in such studies as noted by Sabatier and Weible (2007). For instance,
Albright (2011) focused on policy change in postauthoritarian Hungary, while
Bukowski (2007) dealt with Spanish postauthoritarian water policy change.
Furthermore, Kim (2012) discusses the effects of regime change in South Korea
on environmental policies in the late 1980s, while in Latin America, Piffre (2015)
uses ACF to analyze the health policy change in postauthoritarian Chile. This
work, therefore, is to be seen in the same light as it applies to Nigeria’s situation.
The research question of this article therefore is: can an ACF be employed
successfully in explaining the policy changes that occurred in the Nigerian health
sector between 2003 and 2014? The article is basically a contribution toward
advancing ACF research in Africa. It offers insight into the suitability—or
otherwise—of applying ACF in explaining some policy changes in democratic
African states. It has the possibility of generating or reigniting debate among
specialists on the flexibility and wide applicability of the framework. As stated
in Ainuson (2009), the ACF can be employed in explaining policy change in
African countries so long as there is real public commitment to rule of law that
allows coalitions to operate without hindrance. This article offers a case study
for the verification of such claims. Furthermore, the article contributes to the
understanding of the Nigerian health sector subsystem. In explaining the why
and how of the factors and processes that led to policy change in that sector,
it discloses the issues, coalitions, and beliefs involved. This will be of immense
importance to health policy advocates in Africa in identifying areas of interest.
of beliefs, while the policy process becomes a battle ground for contending
beliefs. This postulation, however, that coalition beliefs are the drivers of
policy change has been severally criticized (Hoberg 1996; Nohrstedt 2005;
Schlager 1995). It has been described as being one-sided while ignoring the
primacy of members’ interest in coalition advocacy. It runs counter to König
and Bräuninger (1998), who claim that coalition actors are mostly driven by the
maximization of their political and economic interest. As a result, there has
been a revision of the actors’ belief system. The belief system has been graded
into three levels of beliefs: deep core beliefs, policy core beliefs, and secondary
beliefs. Deep core beliefs are the most essential in policy change—and are
mostly normative, altruistic, broad-based beliefs that hardly change over time.
On the other hand, policy core and secondary beliefs are the domain of narrow
and empirical political and economic interests that change according to the
political and economic environment (Weible, Sabatier, and McQueen 2009).
In the ACF hypothesis, policy changes do not occur without a stimulator—
an external shock is needed to ignite it (Birkland 2006; Sabatier and Weible
2007). Weible, Sabatier, and McQueen (2009) show how external shock is defined
as broad changes in socioeconomic conditions, public opinion, governing
coalitions, and changes in other subsystems. It has, however, been observed by
Mintrom and Vergari (1996) and Ameringer (2002) that not all external shocks
lead to policy change and not all policy changes result from external shocks.
But Sabatier and Weible (2007) stress the point that the most important effects
of external shocks are that they can shift agendas, focus public attention, and
attract the attention of key decision-making sovereigns. Moreover, they also
cause the redistribution of resources or opening/closing of venues within a policy
subsystem. Another way of accommodating the criticism is by the addition of
two more paths to policy change—internal shock and negotiated agreement—
in current ACF revisions (Sabatier and Weible 2007). Internal shock is said to
occur when it becomes apparent that the current subsystem practice has failed,
making the policy core belief of the dominant coalition questionable (Birkland
2004; Busenberg 2000).
In the ACF, therefore, policy change is seen as a function of competition
within the subsystem as well as of events outside the subsystem. The competi
tions within the subsystem usually involve a substantial conflict in goals and
important technical disputes. Actors from different coalitions are likely to
perceive the same information in very different ways leading to mistrust and
antagonism among different coalitions (Weible et al. 2011). This mistrust and
antagonism has been termed “the devil shift” (Sabatier, Hunter, and McLaughlin
1987). This represents the tendency for actors to view their opponents as less
trustworthy and more evil or powerful than they probably are—exacerbating
the conflict across the competing coalitions. In any policy subsystem there are
always two or more advocacy coalitions and the devil shift will make it less likely
that the policy participants will interact with opponents because of the value
conflict, distrust, and suspicion. Each coalition therefore mobilizes its resources
Nwalie / ACF AND THIRD-WORLD POLICY CHANGE | 551
for the grand battle of belief supremacy. Such resources include: formal legal
authority, public opinion, information dissemination, financial resources, and
skillful leadership. This hostility in most cases has the tendency of scuttling,
halting, or prolonging the policy change (Leong 2015). In the end, the resultant
policy output will either be the policy core belief of the dominant coalition
or in a situation where a negotiated path to policy change was taken, leading
to collaborative policy making (Weible et al. 2011), it will be an aggregate of
the contending beliefs. In this article, the model/hypothesis was tested on the
Nigerian Health Sector Reform of 2003-14.
It should, however, be noted that the formation of coalitions, the mobilization
of its members and resources, information dissemination, and their overall
advocacy will—to a great extent—depend on the existing political system. A
pluralistic, democratic, and stable political system is vital for these processes to
be accomplished. This has been the major bone of contention concerning the
applicability of the ACF in countries outside the United States that may have
different, or not so stable, political systems.1
Research Method
This is a qualitative research article based solely on secondary data.
The data were obtained from relevant documents including memorandum,
communiques, press briefings, resolutions of unions and groups, transcripts
of Senate and House public hearings, mass media reports on health summits,
and presentations, as well as submissions of unions/bodies. Qualitative content
analysis was adopted for document analysis. As stated in Sabatier and Jenkins-
Smith (1993), qualitative content analysis is a suitable method for analyzing
relevant documents and publications of actors in a policy subsystem in order
to empirically identify the actors’ policy core beliefs (Markard, Suter, and
Ingold 2014). The event under study occurred between 2004 and 2014—thereby
eliminating direct observation. The available research option, therefore, was
collection of information in a methodical manner from relevant documents to
identify the policy actors and core beliefs.
1 Sabatier and Weible (2007) made a distinction between matured and nascent subsystems, while
the former is associated with the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development
(OECD) countries with decades of political stability, the latter represents countries with unstable
political systems. ACF was designed to explain policy changes in the matured subsystems that
seem to suggest it is applicable only to OECD countries. However, since matured subsystems have
been defined as a product of relative political stability of a decade or more, it has become
acceptable for a policy change to qualify for ACF applicability—though it must have lasted for at
least a decade. Since the late 1990s when the third wave of democracy swept across Africa, most
African countries have democratized and remained fairly stable. Therefore—as acknowledged by
Ainuson (2009), Nohrstedt (2009), along with Sabatier and Weible (2007)—there has been an
increase in applications of the ACF for policy changes in Africa, Asia, and South America. In
advocating for wide applicability of the ACF, Weible and Sabatier (2007, 132) state, “The ACF is
very applicable to different governing structures, cultural-societies, and policy areas. The ACF has
been applied to a wide variety of public policy areas and in many different countries. We expect
that researchers will continue to apply and test the ACF in different socio-political contexts.”
552 | Politics & Policy / June 2019
The next step involved the creation of identification codes for the documents.
Codes were created in the format below (Table 1).
External/Internal Shock
Academic papers (C1) and mass media reports (B2) formed the basis
for identifying what ignited the policy change. In identifying the stimulator
of health sector reform in Nigeria, analysis was conducted on relevant
publications in two national dailies—The Guardian and Punch)—two online
Nwalie / ACF AND THIRD-WORLD POLICY CHANGE | 553
Policy Subsystem
According to Sabatier and Weible (2007), identifying the appropriate
scope of a subsystem is one of the most important aspects of an ACF research.
554 | Politics & Policy / June 2019
The policy subsystem consists of those actors from both public and private
organizations who are actively concerned about a policy problem. Usually,
they are those who are acquainted with, or even have a specialty in, the issues
involved and have been, over time, actively participating or have sought to
participate in policy formulations in the domain.
The criteria used in selecting the key actors was simple frequency and
recurrence of representation and paper/position presentation through all the
public hearings, workshops, summits, conferences, and interactive sessions
for the ten years (2004-14) that the process lasted. My judgment in selecting
the key actors was based on information from B2. Forty-five documents were
analyzed for this purpose. The documents were transcripts and/or reports from
the following:
1. The Senator Yellowe-led public hearing on the Health Sector Reform Bill
in 2006.
2. The Senator Obasanjo-led workshop on the Health Sector Reform Bill held in
Ghana in 2008.
3. The Health Sector Reform stakeholders’ forum held in Abuja on August 2011
organized by the Health Sector Reform Coalition (HSRC).
4. The Senator Okowa-led public hearing on the National Health Bill on February
19, 2013.
5. The Catholic Health Summit of October 23, 2013.
6. The Health Sector Stakeholders interactive session organized by the HSRC on
June 5, 2014.
At the inception of the reform between 2004 and 2009, more than 50
professional bodies, civil society organizations, and faith-based organizations
were being represented and making presentations in the process. However, not
all actors continued to be represented as the process progressed. While some
lost interest along the way, others coalesced under a bigger union/coalition—in
tune with the postulation of the ACF—with the aim of making a bigger impact.
From the 45 documents analyzed, the result indicated that only six bodies
recorded up to 70 percent frequency on representations and presentations in all
the public hearings, workshops, stakeholders’ forums, and interactive sessions.
They include: the Federal Ministry of Health (FMoH), the Senate/House
Committee on Health, the Nigeria Medical Association (NMA), the Joint Health
Sector Unions (JOHESU), the HSRC, and the Catholic Secretariat of Nigeria.
The policy reform emanated from the FMoH with inputs from the CAP, the
NMA, JOHESU, and the Catholic Secretariat. CAP seemed to fizzle out once
the drafting was completed. The HSRC focused on sensitization of the public,
harmonization of the opposing policy positions, and the political lobbying for
the passage of the bill. In ACF terminology, it acted as the policy broker in
conjunction with the courts and Senate/House Committee on health—which
oversees the necessary legislative processes. The process and pattern of the
advocacy coalitions of the policy actors is illustrated in Figure 1.
Nwalie / ACF AND THIRD-WORLD POLICY CHANGE | 555
Figure 1.
The Policy Subsystem
Coalition A Policy Brokers Coalition B
Nigeria Medical Association Federal Ministry of Health Joint Health Sector Unions
1. The NMA presentation and submission on the 2006 public hearing on the
Health Sector Bill.
2. The NMA presentation and submission on the 2013 public hearing on the
National Health Bill.
3. The Resolution of NMA Officers’ committee meeting held on June 10, 2014.
4. The NMA presentation and submission at the Yayale Ahmed-led Presidential
Committee on Inter-Professional Relationship in the Public Health Sector in
2014.
5. The NMA President’s press briefing at Abuja on January 5, 2014.
6. The communique issued by the NMA at the end of her National Health Summit
on January 27, 2013.
6. The JOHESU letter to the President on the report of the Yayale Ahmed-led
Presidential Committee on Inter-Professional Relationship in the Public Health
Sector.
After categorization and coding, the key themes that resonate in these
six documents are: “multiprofessionalism,” “hegemony,” “professional
autonomy,” and “clinical and administrative.” When fleshed up, JOHESU core
policy beliefs—which seemed to be a one-on-one counteraction to the NMA’s
positions—were with how the health sector is a multiprofessional system and to
avoid the hegemony of one profession over another there should be professional
autonomy for each profession with regard to regulation and standardization.
Clinical and administrative functions should be separated and not subsist
in the same body, individual, or profession. This position ran counter to the
beliefs of the NMA who were pushing for unification and integration of all the
sectors under one authority. While the NMA was calling for a single source
authority, JOHESU was for fragmentation and devolution of authority. This
rift created the devil shift that had nearly torn the Nigerian health sector apart.
To forestall a total breakdown of interprofessional relationships in the public
health sector, the president sets up a Presidential Committee of Experts on
Inter-Professional Relationship in the Public Health Sector in June 2014 for
reconciliation and position harmonization.
The Catholic Secretariat of Nigeria participated and made submissions in
all the public hearings, had an interactive/advocacy meeting with the Minister
of Health on February 21, 2013, and organized the Catholic Health Summit
to sensitize the public on its position in October 2013. The five documents that
emanated from these activities included: the Catholic Secretariat presentations
at the 2006 and 2013 public hearings on the Health Reform Bill; the summation
of the Catholic Secretariat’s position on the National Health Bill presented
at the Catholic Health Summit of October 13, 2013; the report from a one-
day interactive workshop between the representatives of the FMoH and the
Catholic Secretariat of Nigeria on the National Health Bill; and the report
of the advocacy visit of the Catholic Bishops of Nigeria to the Minister of
Health on February 21, 2013. The Catholic Secretariat’s position remained that
there should be a specific and unambiguous clause in the bill prohibiting the
trafficking of human eggs, manipulation of embryos, and abortions, as well as
stem cell research and cloning. For details of the policy core beliefs of each
coalition see Table 2.
Policy Outcome
1 PPP in the health sector The NMA fully supported the policy Vehemently opposed PPP as No position
of PPP in the health sector and unnecessary, calls it a neoliberal
calls for outsourcing of most of the agenda that will cause untold
hospital services such as drugs and hardship to the poor masses
commodities services, radiology
and laboratory, catering, cleaning,
mortuary and ambulance services
2 Honorary consultants in In support of the allowances granted Opposed the granting of allowances No position
tertiary hospitals to the honorary consultants for to the honorary consultants, calls
clinical services, they perform in it double salary as they are already
the tertiary hospitals in the payroll of the university that
employs them
3 Chief medical directorship Claims that doctors all over the world Opposed the exclusive right of No position
are the undisputed head of any doctors to produce the chief
Politics & Policy / June 2019
8 Appointment of nonmedical Opposed the position as it will In support of the position No position
doctors as consultants exacerbate the acrimonious and
chaotic situation in the health
sector
9 Creation of the office of the Proposed and in support of the Opposed the policy as unnecessary No position
Surgeon General of the creation of the office as a national duplication of offices
federation health czar
10 The supervisory role of Opposed extension of the regulatory In support of overall supervisory role No position
pharmaceutical regulatory role of the body to pharmacies and of the regulatory body
body pharmacists in private hospitals
11 Granting the AMLSN the NMA is in opposition to this policy JOHESU is in support of this policy No position
sole right to approve the
importation of in-vitro
diagnostics
12 Abortion, cloning, genetic No position No position Proposed and
modification strongly pushed for
the prohibition of
those practices
Nwalie / ACF AND THIRD-WORLD POLICY CHANGE
| 559
560 | Politics & Policy / June 2019
Summary
The World Health Report of 2000 drew world attention to the health
situation in Nigeria (WHO 2000). As a result, the U.K. DFID sponsored,
supported, and organized 30 individuals—drawn mostly from Nigerian health
professionals—to form an association called the CAP in 2001. The sole aim
was to advocate for health sector reform in Nigeria. By 2004, the National
Health Bill had been drafted by CAP and tabled in the National Assembly
through the FMoH. However, fierce competition of core policy preferences
from the key actors—professional bodies, civil societies, technical experts,
and the like—delayed the bill for ten years, reflecting a wide gap in technical
and professional beliefs, orientations, and interests within the Nigerian health
sector.
During this period, actors with common policy beliefs formed coalitions
and engaged in intensive advocacy to translate those beliefs into national policy.
Ultimately, two major coalitions emerged: the NMA, consisting mainly of
clinical professionals/technical experts on health matters, and the JOHESU,
made up of mostly allied medical professionals. Reconciling differences in order
to produce a coherent and acceptable health sector reform package was a huge
problem for the policy brokers—Senators, House Representative members,
the courts, and some nongovernmental organizations (NGOs). During these
years, political activism and radical unionism reached a peak among Nigerian
health professionals as each pushed for its agenda through various industrial
actions. As such, during this period the public health sector was virtually shut
Nwalie / ACF AND THIRD-WORLD POLICY CHANGE | 561
Conclusion
The multiplicity of policy actors could not have been possible under military
dictatorship or an unstable political system, both of which bedeviled the country
prior to 1999. Moreover, the policy process could not have lasted for over a decade
as a result of goal disagreements and technical disputes without the availability
of stable and mature subsystems that were made up of technical experts with
stable policy beliefs. Based on a 2006 survey, professionals in the Nigerian
health sector included: 39,210 doctors, 124,629 nurses, 88,796 midwives, 2,773
dentists, 12,072 pharmacists, 3,059 medical lab scientists, 117,568 community
health providers, 769 physiotherapists, and 519 radiographers (Federal Ministry
of Health 2007). There are 14 regulatory bodies in the country charged with the
responsibility of regulating practices and maintaining the standard of training
for these professionals. Overall, Nigeria has 33,303 general hospitals, 20,278
primary health centers, as well as 59 teaching hospitals and federal medical
centers. All the professional and nonprofessional bodies engaged in the health
sector have both central labor unions and local ones at each of the hospitals
and health centers. However, during the reform period, many unions merged as
a result of their affinity of beliefs and interests. This resulted in the emergence
of two mega labor unions in the Nigerian health sector: The NMA and the
JOHESU—which is made up of mostly allied medical professionals. The NMA,
formed in 1951, is the largest medical association in the West African subregion
and is composed of doctors and dentists who are mostly of Nigerian origin who
practice in Nigeria. It has over 40,000 members and 19,000 diaspora members
covering over 38 branches. The above facts, and the time span of the reform
process itself, are enough evidence for the availability of a mature and stable
subsystem in the health sector of the country.
Moreover, Nigeria has had a fairly stable democratic political system
from 1999 to 2014, a period of about 15 years exceeding the decade milestone
prescribed by the ACF founders. Table 3 offers a summary of the application of
the ACF to this policy reform.
There was never a coup, or violent and unconstitutional change of
government from 1999 onward. A Freedom House (2013) report on Nigeria
affirmed the following: (1) freedom of speech and expression is constitutionally
guaranteed, and Nigeria has a lively independent media sector; (2) academic
freedom is generally honored; (3) freedoms of assembly and association are
generally respected in practice; and (4) the higher courts are relatively competent
and independent. However, there were still some shortcomings as a result of
which the organization rated Nigeria as “partly free.” From the above we can
conclude that Nigeria has had a relatively stable democratic political system for
more than a decade during the period of the policy change.
With a stable democratic political system, multiple policy actors, and an
availability of technical experts, the ACF can be successfully applied in analysis
of the Nigerian Health Sector Reform of 2003-14. Most of these factors were
absent in Africa in the 1980s and early 1990s due to military dictatorship that was
prevalent in the continent. However, with the restoration of democratic rule in
Table 3. Summary of Application of the ACF Applied to Health Sector Reform of 2003-14 in Nigeria
Territorial Substantive Policy Policy Advocacy External Shock Policy Brokers Policy
Scope Scope Participants/ Core Coalitions/ Outcome
Subsystem Beliefs Devil shift
Federal Federal See Figure 1 See Table 2 Pro-centralized World Health Report Senate and House National
Republic Health structure of of the year 2000 Committee on Health Health
of Nigeria Policy health system Act 2014
(NMA)
vs. pro-
fragmented
structure of
health system
(JOHESU)
Nwalie / ACF AND THIRD-WORLD POLICY CHANGE
| 563
564 | Politics & Policy / June 2019
most of the African countries the situation has altered. This has opened the way
to see the ACF as a potentially suitable and applicable tool for examining certain
policy changes in African countries—and perhaps others in the developing
world—where the requisite democratic conditions have held for over ten years.
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