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FI06 Corporate Bonds 6523d7e802edb
FI06 Corporate Bonds 6523d7e802edb
Corporate Bonds
W W W. W A L L S T R E E T P R E P. C O M
v
Government Bonds
Credit Risk
Mortgage Repo (Financing) MBS Credit Default Swap
Autos ABS
Asset Backed CP
CLO, Loans
Corporate Commercial Paper
Loans Corporate FXD Corporate FRN Credit Default Swap
Bonds
Shares CD / Bank Deposit
Shares/Equities Equity Swaps /D1
2
Licensed to Kevin Romanteau. Email address: kromanteau.mifft2021@london.edu
Corporate Bonds
Chapter Goals
◽ Convention difference between ◽ High Yield Bonds
Government Bonds and
Corporate Bonds ▸ Yield to Call
Yield Curves
• The US Treasury Market forms a US Treasury Yield Curve
basis for the US Fixed Income
Market
Linear Interpolation
• If the 3 year US Treasury yields 1.800% and the 5 year US Treasury yields and
1.833%
• Then we can “interpolate” the 4 year yield as 1.8165% (mid-point between the
3 year and the 5 year)
• For a more precise Interpolation, you can enter in Bloomberg: ICUR # <GO>
where # is the number of years (decimals work) from today
Apple’s Bond
Curve
Government
Curve
Swaps
Curve
Bloomberg Tip: To Recreate this chart, Hit GC <GO> for graph curves and enter the following curves: BI550, S23 ,BI114. The tenors shown are 2 years to 30 years
• The G-Spread, the Corporate Yield less the same maturity Government Yield
Spread to
Governments “G-
Spread”
Swap Spread
Used to determine Libor
Equivalents of Floating
Rate Notes
Trader Runs
• A trader run is a sheet is a menu of
Salespeople forward runs to their clients
bonds that the trader is willing to trade
using the keystroke 3-GO 1-GO
and their bids and offers (where they
would buy and sell the bonds)
• The runs are quoted off a Treasury
spread, with the underlying treasury
moving and spreads staying relatively
stable
• Traders can create runs using the RUNZ
function. Traders typically save the
bonds in a workbook and update the
spreads based on market movements
• Trader runs are sent via Bloomberg
messenger and can be accessed via the
MSG function or MSG button
• For any asset, you want to sell it from higher than you
bought it for. Price and Yield are inversely related, so
if I wanted a higher price, I need to sell it for a lower
yield
DV01
• DV01 stands for the Dollar Value of 1 Basis Point. It can be called “01”
• One basis point is 1/100 of a basis point. 1% = 100 basis points,
abbreviated bps. 0.01% = 1 bps
• DV01 Changes as the Notional Changes. A 1 bp markup on a $1mm is
not the same as $10mm
• To convert between dollars and basis points, divide by 10,000. 1 basis
point on 10,000 is $1. This only applies for bps upfront versus bps
running
• 1 basis point on $10 million is 1,000. Salespeople like to think in
increments of $10mm for easy math
• Salespeople and Traders care about the DV01 as this is how much they
make by marking up the bond by one basis point
Final
“Go/No- Book
Pre-Call Announce Pricing
Go” Call Update
Guidance
• Around • Around • Around 8AM • Mid Morning • Around
7:30AM 7:45AM Lunchtime
Books
Launch Free-to-
Close & Allocate Settle
and Priced Trade
Reconcile
• Around 1pm • Around 2pm • Around 3pm • End of Day • Bonds are
settled
Bloomberg Tip: To load up this bond in Bloomberg, type in KEY 3.3 02/01/22 Corp <GO> DES
3 Year On-The-Run
Treasury Yield: T-Spread:
55 bps
1.797% 0.55% 2.347%
0.0055
55/10,000
Bond Yield to
Reference: Spread:
Maturity:
T
Spread
Yield Calculation
G, I and Z
Spreads
• You can utilize the RUNZ function on Bloomberg to calculate the G and Z spread of
multiple bonds quickly
F 5.596 01/22
G+150.06
F 3.813 10/21
G+149.487
2y 3y 4y 5y 6y 7y 8y 9y 10y
Maturity 06/21 06/22 06/23 06/24 06/25 06/26 06/27 06/28 06/29
F 4.14 02/23
F 5.596 01/22 G+182.755
G+150.06
F 3.813 10/21 F 5.584 03/24
G+149.487 G+220.489
2y 3y 4y 5y 6y 7y 8y 9y 10y
Maturity 06/21 06/22 06/23 06/24 06/25 06/26 06/27 06/28 06/29
T+145 T+155
F 4.14 02/23
F 5.596 01/22 G+182.755
G+150.06
F 3.813 10/21 F 5.584 03/24 F 4.687 06/25
G+149.487 G+220.489 G+233.379
2y 3y 4y 5y 6y 7y 8y 9y 10y
Maturity 06/21 06/22 06/23 06/24 06/25 06/26 06/27 06/28 06/29
F 4.14 02/23
F 5.596 01/22 G+182.755
G+150.06
F 3.813 10/21 F 5.584 03/24 F 4.687 06/25
F 5.113 05/29
G+149.487 G+220.489 G+233.379
G+282.896
2y 3y 4y 5y 6y 7y 8y 9y 10y
Maturity 06/21 06/22 06/23 06/24 06/25 06/26 06/27 06/28 06/29
F 4.14 02/23
F 5.596 01/22 G+182.755
G+150.06
F 3.813 10/21 F 5.584 03/24 F 4.687 06/25
F 5.113 05/29
G+149.487 G+220.489 G+233.379
G+282.896
2y 3y 4y 5y 6y 7y 8y 9y 10y
Maturity 06/21 06/22 06/23 06/24 06/25 06/26 06/27 06/28 06/29
Relative Value
• GM is the logical comp for Ford with similar ratings and industry. GM trades tighter than
Ford in the secondary market, which helps the relative value on a spread basis
• The relative value check is for both the spreads as well as the curve (spread pickup to go
from 3y to 5y, and from 5y to 10y for example)
GM 5 year to 10 year
GM 3 year to 5 year
curve roughly ~57 bps
curve roughly ~60 bps
GM 4.2 11/21
G+116
GM 3.55 7/22
G+125 GM 5.1 01/24 GM 5.65 06/29
G+172 G+242
Today = “June 2019”
Ford 2y 3y 4y 5y 6y 7y 8y 9y 10y
Maturity 06/21 06/22 06/23 06/24 06/25 06/26 06/27 06/28 06/29
Secondary T+145 T+155 Don’t T+225 G+234 T+240 Don’t Don’t T+283
Curve Show Show Show
Ford 3 year to 5 year Ford 5yr to 10 year
curve roughly ~70 bps curve roughly ~58 bps
• The actual calculation has some “fudge factor” as there maybe some debate
Ford 2y 3y 4y 5y 6y 7y 8y 9y 10y
Maturity 06/21 06/22 06/23 06/24 06/25 06/26 06/27 06/28 06/29
Secondary T+145 T+155 Don’t T+225 G+234 T+240 Don’t Don’t T+283
Curve Show Show Show
New Issue
Premium 5 bps
New Bond
Spread
(“Reoffer T+150
Spread”)
• There isn’t one answer – you can have different New Issue Premiums based on different tenors
Similar Ratings
Ticker Name Rating Size Tenor Final Delta NIP Covered
CBT Cabot (Chemicals) Baa2/BBB- 300m 10 year +195 5 5 1.5x
MAERSK APMM (Shipping) Baa3/BBB 500m 10 year +250 10 35 1.7x
Re-Offer Spreads
• Re-Offer spreads are used on a Syndicate Pricing Sheet to show fair value of where a new
bond issuance would come
• The Re-Offer Spreads takes the secondary curve plus a New Issue Premium
2y 3y 4y 5y 6y 7y 8y 9y 10y
Maturity 06/21 06/22 06/23 06/24 06/25 06/26 06/27 06/28 06/29
Secondary T+145 T+155 Don’t T+225 G+234 T+240 Don’t Don’t T+283
Curve Show Show Show
New Issue +5 +7 +15 +20 +20 +27
Premium
G-Spread G+254 +310
• Salespeople and investors would complete a similar process to determine the value of a
new bond issuance
2y 3y 5y 6y 7y 10y
Treasury Yield 1.732% 1.682% 1.746% 1.746% 1.871% 2.014%
Re-offer Spread T+150A T+160-165 T+240 T5+260A T+260A T+310A
Re-offer Yield 3.232% 3.282-3.322% 4.146% 4.346% 4.471% 5.114%
Ratings Drift
• What’s more likely – Ratings Upgrade or Downgrades?
• Ratings drift is the average issuer rating upgrade versus downgrade (Ba2 to Ba1 is plus
one notch)
• More Leveraged
• More Debt per Cashflow
• Debt to EBITDA Ratio Used
• EBITDA as a Cash Flow Proxy
Higher notional of
• E.g. 4.0x Debt to EBITDA
bonds per Issuer
• If Business Declines – Debt level remains constant,
EBITDA declines, increasing the ratio and reducing
the ability to repay debt
• High Yield Issuers default at a higher rate than Investment Grade Issuers
• Compare by notional or by issuer count. Lehman was originally Investment Grade rated
and had more debt outstanding than an average High Yield issuer
Bonds Loans
Secured
1st Lien 1st Lien
Unsecured
Senior Senior
Unsecured Unsecured
Bond Loan
Subordinated
Mezzanine Mezzanine
Subordinated Subordinated
Junior Junior
Subordinated Subordinated
Senior Creditors
• The term pari-passu is commonly used. This is a latin word for saying equal footing
• All senior creditors receive an equal share of funds available to senior unsecured
investors to support any remaining claims
• Collateral is a common differentiator amongst senior creditors
• Cash raised from selling collateral (collecting accounts receivables or inventory for
example) will first be used to pay off holders of senior creditors who have claims
supported by that collateral
• Proceeds from collateral not tied to (or with a Lien on) any creditor will go into the
general pool of unsecured cash available to all senior creditors
• Collateralized creditors can also have preference amongst themselves:
◽ First Lien holders are paid first from cash flows generated from their pool of
collateral
◽ Second Lien holders are paid if there are any remaining funds from the collateral
pool after first lien holders are paid off. Note that second lien holders can still be
senior creditors
Taxes
Employee
Wages
DIP
Company Financing
Assets Senior
Creditors
Subordinated
Creditors
Equity
Holders
Note: Simplified Example for Illustrative Purposes
Creditor waterfall
Employee • Unpaid taxes are employee wages are generally at the top of
Taxes the waterfall
Wages
• Bankrupt companies typically borrow money to pay lawyers
DIP Financing and to keep operating during bankruptcy (if court allows)
• Court approved post-bankruptcy claims have priority
Subordinated • Mezzanine and other debt agreed to be paid after all senior
Creditors creditors
Footer
Licensed to Kevin Romanteau. Email address: kromanteau.mifft2021@london.edu
Corporate Bonds
• Calculate the Recovery Amounts and Recovery Percentage for each class
• Once completed, turn and talk with your neighbor on the different scenarios and
summarize key takeaways
Unsecured Loan 5
Unsecured Claim 20
Merger Rationale
• Criticism at merger
Part 1: At Issue,
par price
Part 2: On
6/24/2019 at
103.50 price