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Valuation of Geophysical Projects
Valuation of Geophysical Projects
•• If interpolation improved the kinematics of pre-stack 4. AVO. This represents AVO analysis and AVO inversion of compres-
migration, then sional seismic data, together with all of the many elastic properties
that may result from such work.
Continued on Page 30
A general project
In Table 1, we lay out the time, cost, reliability,
and relevance of a 3D compressional seismic
processing project. The example is loosely
based on a recent deep basin project of the
Table 1. A summary illustration of key seismic properties, their reliability, relevance, cost, and time to produce.
author’s. The prices and time-lines have been
The illustration is generalized and simplified. Actual times, cost, value, relevance, and reliability will vary
modified to protect the confidentiality of the significantly. Increases in reliability and relevance are general indications of greater benefits by virtue of the
work that it is based upon. Modification was causal relationship between reliability and NPV in the decision analysis model we use. Relevance is given by a
made through discussion with several other qualitative coding based on the breadth of relevance.
processing company representatives who
shall not be named in this note. The modifi-
cations, simplifications, and generalizations
made here are necessary for several reasons:
the first being that we do not want this illus-
tration to be viable as a negotiating tool, to
negotiate for prices or timelines in current
projects. The second key reason for the
generalization and simplification here is that
a more detailed example would not serve our
purposes any better. Prices vary enormously
based on volume of work, the difficulty of that
work, the shot density of the 3D survey (which
we purposefully do not define) and other
factors. So, be warned prices and times can Table 2. A timeline or Gantt chart of key seismic properties. This illustration is general and simplified: actual
timelines will vary significantly. Color coding is arbitrary.
vary by more than a factor of two from this
example. A more detailed illustration would
not likely yield an improvement due to these Discussion
variances, so we have kept the picture simple.
It would not be of great surprise if Table 1 and Table 2 creates some discussion or even contro-
Despite this apology, the data in Table 1 is
versy. We might argue about whether any of the prices or times is way out or not. Of course
illustrative of a typical, current, deep basin
such things may vary; these prices and times are valid for the purposes being presented and we
reprocessing project.
suggest no one take them personally.
Table 2 is a Gantt chart illustration of the same
You can do it, too.
data as outline in Table 1. An actual seismic
Send in your own chart to illustrate time, cost, reliability and relevance.
reprocessing project would have a much more
detailed Gantt chart. This table is a reduc- The measures of reliability and relevance given qualitatively in Table 1 are more likely to generate
tion to our key properties and is probably as controversy. We have suggested that AVO has somewhat concerning reliability and that the
detailed as a geophysicist would typically azimuthal methods have very poor reliability. We stand by that assessment. Most deep basin 3D
need to take in to a business discussion. Note surveys are poorly sampled in offset and azimuth, making azimuthal studies, even with 5D inter-
how all of the properties except the 3C work polation, highly problematic. AVO analysis on these 3D surveys also have very poor near offsets,
follow the AVO compliant migrated stack. making AVO at least somewhat inaccurate. We do not suggest that AVO or azimuthal methods
should not be attempted because of their poorer reliability relative to (say) the stack, but we do
want to be clear that these properties are less reliable. Even if it seems pessimistic with respect to
these properties, being honest is important to the validity and credibility of our economic