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    The tropical Pacific is currently experiencing El Niño conditions due to rapid changes in ocean temperatures observed in recent months. Models predict a very high probability (90%) of El Niño conditions continuing between July and September and likely through December 2023, with a 10% chance of returning to neutral conditions and almost no chance of La Niña developing.

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    The tropical Pacific is currently experiencing El Niño conditions due to rapid changes in ocean temperatures observed in recent months. Models predict a very high probability (90%) of El Niño conditions continuing between July and September and likely through December 2023, with a 10% chance of returning to neutral conditions and almost no chance of La Niña developing.

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    9 views1 page

    Factsheet-ENSO en

    Uploaded by

    417095906
    The tropical Pacific is currently experiencing El Niño conditions due to rapid changes in ocean temperatures observed in recent months. Models predict a very high probability (90%) of El Niño conditions continuing between July and September and likely through December 2023, with a 10% chance of returning to neutral conditions and almost no chance of La Niña developing.

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    El Niño/La Niña Update

    JUNE 2023

    ESTIMATED ENSO PROBABILITIES  Tropical Pacific is currently experiencing


    FOR JULY - SEPTEMBER 2023 El Niño conditions as a result of rapid
    and substantial changes in oceanic
    conditions observed in recent months.
     Model predictions and expert
    assessment indicate very high
    probability (90%) of El Niño from July to
     ~ 90% El Niño September that will likely prevail until at
    least December 2023.
     ~ 10% ENSO-Neutral  Probability of return to ENSO-neutral
    conditions is 10%.
     ~ 0% La Niña  The chance of La Niña re-development
    is near zero.

    Information on ENSO should be combined with other


    regionally and locally relevant factors in order to
    anticipate its effects on regional climates.

    For the latest update, visit: https://public.wmo.int/en/our-mandate/climate/el-niñola-niña-update

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