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Groundwater Flow in Shallow Aquifer at T
Groundwater Flow in Shallow Aquifer at T
BY
©May, 2012
CERTIFICATION
I hereby declare that this submission is my own work towards the BSc and that, to the best of my
knowledge, it contains no material previously published by another person nor material which
has been accepted for the award of any other degree of the University, except where due
acknowledgement has been made in the text.
Certified by:
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DEDICATION
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TABLE OF CONTENT
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ABSTRACT
cities throughout the world have placed much stress on the groundwater system in these areas.
Madina; one of the major business centers in the Accra metropolis is no exception.
There is a rapid increase in population in this area such that the conventional water treatment
Individuals have resorted therefore to managing their own water supplies and one of such resorts
A conceptual model of a high level of accuracy has been developed to monitor the flow
dynamics of the area and to estimate the essential aquifer parameters of the catchment area. The
objective of the model constructed were to examine and analyze the general groundwater flow
pattern in the shallow aquifer systems in the area, estimate groundwater recharge in the local area
of study and to determine the spatial distribution of the hydraulic conductivity parameter through
model calibration.
The flow pattern was determined to be generally from Northeast to South-southwest. The
groundwater recharge from precipitation to the area was determined to vary from 0.0001m/d to
The hydraulic conductivity was determined to range from 1.13m/d for the least permeable
segments to 16.88m/d for the most permeable segments with an average of 7.5m/d.
With the current rate of extraction, speculations can be made of the sustainability of the shallow
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The model suggests an upper limit of extraction of 0.01m3/d beyond which the model would
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LIST OF TABLES
Table 1: Showing the necessary data collected and processed………………………………..27
Table 2: Location data and abstraction rates of the pumping wells imposed…………………35
LIST OF FIGURES
Figure 1.1: District map of Accra…………………………………………………………….12
Figure 1.2: Map showing the distribution of wells sampled at the study area……………….13
Figure 1.3: Geologic map of Accra…………………………………………………………..15
Figure 4.1: Calibrated model………………………………………………………………....27
Figure 4.2: A match between the model calibrated and the observed heads…………………28
Figure 4.3: Hydraulic conductivity range of the calibrated model…………………………...29
Figure 4.4: Estimated groundwater recharge in the study area………………………………30
Figure 4.5: Effect of 5, 10, 15 and 20% increase and decrease in hydraulic conductivity…...32
Figure 4.6: A match between the computed head and the observed head after the percentage
decrease in hydraulic conductivity…………………………………………………………....32
Figure 4.7: Model remained fairly stable with variations in recharge………………………..33
Figure 4.8: Match between the computed head and the observed head after changes in the
recharge by 15, 20, 30 and 45%................................................................................................34
Figure 4.9: Model calibrated for fourteen (14) abstraction wells………………………….....35
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ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
I am sincerely grateful to my supervisor, Dr. Mark Sandow Yidana for his patience and fatherly
Am also grateful to my Teaching Assistants, Felix Oteng-Mensah and Millicent Obeng for
To my group mates, I say thank you for your teamwork, tolerance and understanding.
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CHAPTER ONE
INTRODUCTION
1.1 Background
Water is among the most precious of natural resources. In many regions of the world, the
pressures of economic development are producing a surface-water scarcity. Yet in most places,
groundwater can be found within a relatively short distance below the ground surface.
perspective, where hydrology, ecology, geomorphology, and climatology play an important role.
In most climates of the world, precipitation, either rain or snow, and consequently peak runoff
corresponding to a significant part of the total discharge of the rivers, occur during a particular
season of the year which usually coincides with the smallest water demand. The water
development problem therefore consists of transferring water from the high supply season to the
On a global scale, groundwater represents the world’s largest and most important source of fresh
potable water (Harvey, 2004). However, in most of these countries both the quantity and quality
of this resource have been compromised by human activities. Of these, urban and industrial
development rank as the most serious. Urban and industrial development imposes a major stress
on the resource through increasing demand. Development can also release contaminants to the
subsurface where they have the potential to degrade groundwater quality and further limit its
utility. Taken together, these stresses can significantly increase water-supply costs and, without
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The sustainability of groundwater utilization must be assessed from an interdisciplinary
perspective, where hydrology, ecology, geomorphology, and climatology play an important role.
Generally, groundwater does not recharge as fast as surface water, with rates of groundwater
turnover varying from years to millennia depending on aquifer location, depth, properties and
Excessive pumping can lead to groundwater depletion, where groundwater is extracted at a rate
faster that it can be replenished. The effects of excessive groundwater development tend to
become apparent gradually, with time often measured in decades. To be assured of sustainability,
studies must show that the hydrological, ecological, and other impacts of groundwater utilization
are minimal. In addition to water quantity, sustainability must imply the preservation of water
quality.
In order to use the underground reservoir to store a significant volume of water - possibly of the
same order of magnitude as the annual runoff - with the intent to use it at a later stage, it is
necessary to ascertain the potential storage capacity of the groundwater reservoir as well as its
suitability for being recharged by the surface water and for easily returning the stored water
when needed.
geophysics and reconnaissance drilling, in order to determine the configuration and the storage
The increasing acuteness of water scarcity problems, worldwide, requires the adoption of a
Governments tend to consider river basins as water resources management units and as a spatial
basis for the formulation of water management strategies integrating all cross-sectorial issues
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such as water resources conservation, environment, water resources allocation, water demand
management, etc.
The conjunctive use of surface and groundwater is one of the strategies of water supply
management and conservation within a basin, and artificial recharge of aquifers is certainly one
The adoption of an integrated river basin management approach for elaborating policies and
strategies of water resources development, management and conservation would help consider
the water resources as one system and would avoid a water resources development approach
focused only on surface water. This approach also facilitates the management of the resource
itself, allowing a better understanding, by water users, of the hydrological issues involved.
Research is still needed, however, to understand better, and to quantify the role of watershed
management and particularly of soil and water conservation practices in the water cycle. The
development of GIS techniques could certainly help assess the overall water resources within a
river basin and the effect of various human interventions such as water conservation practices
over large areas, large dams or small dams. To meet the present and future challenges of
population expansion vis-à-vis the observed declining rainfall in most parts of Africa including
Ghana, it is necessary to assess, efficiently manage, and utilize the groundwater resources.
In Ghana, groundwater resources constitute the most viable solution to increasing rural water
supply problems and strenuous efforts are being made to assess national fortunes in terms of
these resources. There are indications that the future of the rural economy in these communities
depends on the ability of the government and communities to fully develop groundwater
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resources for irrigation. The increasing popularity of groundwater resources as the solution to the
water delivery system stems from the fact that the resources has certain features that make it
Aquifers underlie geographically large areas in the country and these can commonly be tapped at
shallow depths near water demand centers, even though rural settlements are widely dispersed.
Some of these aquifers have been fairly assessed and their characteristics are fairly known.
Water stored in aquifers is for the most part, protected naturally from evaporation and well yields
in many cases are adequate, offering water security to regions that are prone to protracted
droughts such as the Volta Basin region in Ghana. With adequate aquifer protection,
groundwater has an excellent microbiological and chemical quality and it therefore requires
minimal or no treatment. Also the capital cost of groundwater development as opposed to the
conventional methods of treating surface water is modest and the resource lends itself to flexible
development capable of being phased to meet rising demands. In view of the very important role
of groundwater resources in the socioeconomic development of the rural populations, there is the
need to investigate the hydrogeological properties of the main terrains that underlie the rural
requires a good understanding of the hydrogeological properties of the rocks that form the major
In the Madina area, groundwater is being abstracted from shallow wells penetrating largely the
Togo rocks for various uses. Borehole drilling has been so rampant that drastic measures are
required to provide a decision support system for the effective management of this important
resource to ensure sustainability. A steady state groundwater flow model is being developed in
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this study as a first step towards devising an effective decision support system for the
1.2 Objectives
! Examine and analyze the general groundwater flow pattern in the shallow aquifer systems
in the area;
! Determine the spatial distribution of the hydraulic conductivity parameter through model
calibration.
Madina is one of the densely populated urban cities in the Ga East Municipality and is an
economically vibrant area with high demand for domestic water supply.
boreholes drilled for water production were used for observations. The selected site contains a
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Scale (1:10)
Study Area
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Figure 1.2 Map showing the distribution of wells sampled at the study area.
1.3.1 Climate
The district falls in the coastal-savannah agro-ecological zone and experiences two wet seasons.
The first rainy season begins in May and peaks in July while the second rainy season is from
September to October. The annual rainfall ranges between 740-890 mm and the mean annual
temperature is about 27"C. (Ghana District Assemblies, 2006). The highest rainfall of 166mm
for Accra in 2007 was in June whilst the lowest for the season was 66.1mm in October (Ghana
Metrological Agency, GMA, 2007). The highest temperature of 33"C was attained April 2007
whilst the lowest temperature of 28.5"C was recorded in July (GMA, 2007). The average relative
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humidity for Accra is 77%. The highest relative humidity of 83% for Accra was obtained in July
2007 with a value of 83% whilst the lowest was in January with a value of 57% (GMA, 2007).
1.3.2 Vegetation
The predominant vegetation type found in the district is of the short grass savannah interspersed
with shrubs and short trees, a characteristic of the Sub- Sahel in type. A large portion of
vegetation remains dry for most parts of the year particularly towards the south except for the
Along some stream courses, however, higher vegetation type ranging from thickets to light forest
is common. Some light forest with tall trees is also found along the foothills of the Akwapim
Range especially around Dodowa, Ayikuma and Agomeda areas. There is a Forest and Game
Large strands of Borassus Palm are found around the eastern portions of Dodowa and Ayikuma.
Isolated stands of baobab trees are common all over the plain. The study area in particular is a
residential area with the natural vegetation destroyed due to human settlement (Ministry of
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1.3.3 Geology and Hydrogeology
The Madina area form part of the basement complex and lies on the southern extension of the
Togo-Akwapim range that also extends far into northwestern Togo. The extension occupies an
irregular 5-50 km wide strip bordered on the west by thrust contacts against the Buem
Formation, on the east by thrust contacts with the Dahomeyan basement. The underlying rocks
are the Togo units. This unit of the Dahomeyides structural formation comprises Quartzitic
sandstones and quartzites that contain conglomeratic layers, and some quartzites are ferruginous.
(Kesse, 1985).
The Togo Series originally consisted of alternating arenaceous and argillaceous sediments, which
have been converted into phyllites, schists and quartzites except in few places, where unaltered
shales and sandstones occur. Quartzite, quartz-schist, sericite quartz schist, sericite schist and
phyllite are the predominant rocks, but hornstones, jaspers and hematite quartz-schists some of
which were formed after the deposition of the sediments also occur in the Togo Series (Junner
N
Amartekope
(< 2 µg/l)
6°00'
Lawerkope
(5 µg/l)
Osuwem Gbese
(< 2 µg/l)
Tugakope
(< 2 µg/l)
Fantivikope
ICODEH Sch.
Mpewuhuasem
Nsuobri
Opa Alafia (< 2 µg/l)
5°45' Akunakope Dome Faase
(3 µg/l)
Sesemi (< 2 µg/l)
(3 µg/l)
Odontia Mayera Agbodzikope
Okortorbu (3 µg/l) (< 2 µg/l)
(< 2 µg/l) Gonten
Kwame Anum (< 2 µg/l)
(< 2 µg/l)
Gbolokope
(< 2 µg/l)
Olebu (< 2 µg/l) GEOLOGY
LEGEND
Recent
Domeabra Old Town
(< 2 µg/l) < 2 µg/l Tertiary
2 - 5 µg/l Accraian
Togo Series
5 - 10 µg/l
5°30' Acidic Dahomeyan
Trunk Road Basic Dahomeyan
0 20 40 Km.
Basic Intrusives
Regional Boundary
Granite
Fig. 2. Geological map of Greater Accra Region showing arsenic levels in selected communities
Figure 1.3 Geologic map of Accra
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CHAPTER TWO
LITERATURE REVIEW
2.1 Overview
Groundwater is increasingly becoming the source of drinking water for inhabitants of both rural
and urban settlements due to intermittent water shortage, which has been hitting most parts of
cities. The United Nations declared 1981-1990 a water-and-sanitation decade (WHO, 1987). It
has been estimated that lack of clean drinking water and sanitation services leads to water-related
diseases globally and between five to ten million deaths occur annually, primarily of small
In Accra, the Ghana Water Company Limited (GWCL), which is mandated to provide potable
water for the inhabitants of city and urban areas, is unable to supply adequate quantities due to
the ever-increasing population accentuated by inability to expand the infrastructure to cater for
Most places do not have pipelines and those who have do not have water flowing through their
taps for years. This has led to the people resorting to alternative means of getting water, such as
drilling boreholes.
composition is derived mainly from the dissolution of minerals in the soil and rocks with which
it is or has been in contact. The type and extent of chemical contamination of the groundwater is
largely dependent on the geochemistry of the soil through which the water flows prior to
reaching the Aquifers (Zuane, 1990). The chemical alteration of the groundwater depends on
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several factors, such as interaction with solid phases, residence time of groundwater, seepage of
polluted runoff water, mixing of groundwater with pockets of saline water and anthropogenic
impacts (Stallord and Edmond, 1983; Dethier, 1988; Faure, 1998; Umar and Absar 2003; Umar
et al., 2006).
Groundwater in its natural state is generally of good quality. This is because rocks and their
derivatives such as soils act as filters. However, not all soils are equally effective in this respect
and therefore pathogens contained in human excreta such as bacteria and viruses are likely to be
small enough to be transmitted through the soil and aquifer matrix to groundwater bodies (Lewis
et al., 1982).
Rainfall is a dilute chemical solution and contributes significant proportions to some constituents
in groundwater, especially in regions with little soil cover where hard compact rocks occur at or
near the surface. As water flows through the ground the dissolution of minerals continues and the
concentration of dissolved constituents tends to increase with the length of the flow path. At
great depths, where the rate of flow is extremely slow, groundwater is saline, with concentrations
Groundwater may not be potable if it becomes polluted and is no longer safe to drink. In areas
where the material above the aquifer is permeable, pollutants can seep into groundwater. This is
Quantity and quality demands of different users will not always be compatible, and the activities
of one user may restrict the activities of another, either by demanding water of a quality outside
the range required by the other user or by lowering quality during use of the water. Efforts to
improve or maintain a certain water quality often compromise between the quality and quantity
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A wide range of natural and human influences affects water quality. The most important of the
natural influences are geological, hydrological and climatic, since these affect the quantity and
the quality of water available. Their influence is generally greatest when available water
quantities are low and maximum use must be made of the limited resource; for example, high
Groundwater occurs in many different geological formations. Nearly all rocks in the earth’s crust
possess openings called pores or voids. In unconsolidated, granular materials the voids are the
spaces between the grains, which may become reduced by compaction, and cementation. In
consolidated rocks, the only voids may be the fractures or fissures, which are generally restricted
but may be enlarged by solution. The volume of water contained in the rock depends on the
percentage of these openings or pores in a given volume of the rock. This is termed the porosity
of the rock. More pore spaces result in higher porosity and more stored water
(UNESCO/WHO/UNEP, 1996).
A unit of rock or an unconsolidated deposit is called an aquifer when it can yield a significant
quantity of water. In Ghana, a rock unit or unconsolidated medium, which can yield up to 13
liters per minute, constitutes an aquifer (Harvey, 2004). The limit to which soil pore spaces or
fractures and voids in rock become fully saturated with water is called the water table.
The phenomenon by which water seeps down from the land surface adding to the ground water is
called recharge. Ground water is recharged from rainwater and snowmelt or from water that
leaks through the bottom of lakes and rivers. Groundwater may be obtained by drilling or
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digging wells and may also appear on the surface as spring. A well is usually an opening created
to be able to gain access to groundwater. This may be in the form of a tube or bore lined with
protective material or a shaft created by digging into the earth until the water table is reached.
Groundwater can run out if more water is discharged than recharged. For example, during
periods of dry weather, recharge to the aquifers decreases. If too much groundwater is abstracted
during these times, the water table can fall and wells may go dry.
An analysis of about 200 boreholes drilled in the Accra Plains and elsewhere in this
hydrogeological province indicates that the success rate for developing wells is about 36%, based
on the use of geophysical surveys as an aid to site selection. Borehole yields average 9.2 m3/h.
With improved site-selection methods, including the detailed study of aerial photographs and the
use of geophysical surveys, the average borehole yield probably could be increased to as much as
Due to the highly consolidated nature of the rocks of the Togo Series that comprises rocks of the
study area, groundwater occurrence is limited to areas where fractures and/or deep-seated
weathering have occurred to provide increases for sufficient recharge and groundwater storage.
secondary sources of permeability. The success rate of drilling prolific boreholes through Togo
aquifers is generally high. This is especially so in areas where the weathered zone is sufficiently
thick to hold substantial quantities of groundwater. Borehole yields are generally high. In the
Togo rocks, the average borehole yield in the quartzitic sandstone and quartzite are respectively
5.5 m3/d and 3.75m3/d. Average aquifer transmissivity in the quartzitic sandstone and the
quartzitic aquifers are respectively 15.8 m3/d and 16.5 m3/d. (Yidana e tal, 2010).
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2.1.3 Groundwater Flow Models
A model is a tool to represent a simplified version of the real hydrologic system, but is based as
Previous researches on groundwater flow using the MODFLOW model (Harbaugh and
McDonald 1996, Zheng 1996, Chiang and Kinzelbach, 1998, Khan et al, 2008) in analyzing
changes in groundwater quality due to changes in flow dynamics caused by changed in recharge
and discharge rates were assessed. According to the field surveys and investigations carried out
in the study area, sodium sulphate, sodium chloride, calcium bicarbonate, magnesium
bicarbonate, calcium sulphate, magnesium sulphate and potassium sulphate salts are present in
the groundwater underlying the major part of the study area. Their result was that chemical
The groundwater numerical flow model using FEFLOW (finite element subsurface flow system)
was developed by Barazzuoli et al, (2008) under both steady state and transient conditions. The
finite element method was adopted for its flexibility and capacity to simulate complex geometric
forms and to refine the nodal grid around points and/or single lines (observation points, coastline,
etc.). Their conclusion was that, saline water intrusion into the groundwater system is not only
dependent on the proximity of wells to the coast or seawater but also dependent on the
In another study by Addo (2008), the MODFLOW model was used to simulate regional effect of
groundwater development in the voltaian basin. His results indicated that, groundwater in the
basin has greater potential for both industrial and domestic purposes.
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Yidana et al (2010) used the MODFLOW to estimate hydraulic conductivity in the
hydrostratigraphic unit of the southern voltaian. The calibrated model suggested a hydraulic
Additionally, Yidana et al (2010) again used the MODFLOW in investigating the levels of
recharge and hydraulic conductivity in crystalline aquifers of southeastern Ghana. Their model
suggested aquifer hydraulic conductivity ranges between 0.99 m/d in much of the granites to
over 14 m/d within some of the weathered granites and some aquifers of the Togo Series rocks.
Strategies for groundwater protection in Africa are needed such that account can be taken of
factors such as the range of scales of groundwater occurrence must be appreciated, the role of
long-term recharge from rainfall, or conversely to aquifer productivity and the Scale and extent
In this study, the field observations as well as well and borehole information have been used to
build a steady state groundwater flow model to simulate groundwater flow conditions in the
shallow aquifers of the Madina area, Accra. MODFLOW-2000 (Harbaugh et al., 2000)
incorporated in the Groundwater Modeling System, GMS, version 7.1, is being used to simulate
these flow phenomena. This model will help conceptualize the groundwater flow system in the
area and help in the sustainable management of the groundwater resource in.
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CHAPTER THREE
METHODOLOGY
3.1 Desk Study
The general hydrogeologic provinces of Ghana was extensively studied using geological map of
Ghana and several other works that was carried out by different authors most of which was a
sponsored project by DANIDA and or Ghana Water Resources Commission. The information
gathered from these included the various lithologies of Ghana and their water yielding capacities.
The change in the trend of groundwater flow (i.e. streams and rivers) in these lithologies were
also studied as these changes may have ripple effect on the efficiency or yielding capacities of
the aquifer system and consequently on any future boreholes and wells to be drilled.
Available information online on the hydrogeology of the southern part of Ghana and the Accra
3.2 Fieldwork
A day trip was taken to the study area where data was collected. Well data was collected on
fifteen different wells all of which are serving as sources of water for domestic usage in people’s
homes.
The data collection process involved the use of GPS to take both location and elevation data.
Water level detector was used to determine the depth to water level and well heads were
The physical data collected was then processed into the Groundwater Modeling System, GMS
7.1usable format. The location data was converted to decimal coordinates and the elevation and
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3.3. Conceptualization and Simulation
3.3.1 Conceptualization
The study area was generally divided into zones for hydraulic conductivities and recharge with
no special attention being paid to the groundwater flow pattern and general geology of the area.
General Head boundaries were imposed on all vertical boundaries of the study area.
This was based on the fact that the geology of the area and for that matter the rocks surrounding
the area are largely quartzitic, fractured and extensively weathered. The groundwater flow
across these boundaries was generally presumed to be significant. Permeability in the rocks has
been assumed to be uniform within the study area due to the fact that the observation wells
sampled were not extremely afar and the GPS location data collected did not indicate much
variation.
The conceptual model was constructed within the Groundwater Modeling System; GMS 7.1
using the map GIS tools. The well data were imported and assigned under the observations
coverage. The water levels (above mean sea level) were imported as a text file into previously
created observations coverage. The static water levels (measured from the ground surface) were
used together with the topographic data to compute the hydraulic heads in meters above mean
sea level.
When all the coverages for the aquifer properties were assigned, a grid frame was constructed to
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3.3.2 Numerical Model Simulation
MODFLOW-2000 was initialized and a grid system was developed using a pre-defined grid
dimension in the conceptualization process. Initial values were assigned to the major parameters
like recharge and hydraulic conductivity. The grid dimension used covered a total of 1600
rectangular cell units. The initial heads were automatically generated from the data imported
during the conceptualization. MODFLOW was then simulated for steady state conditions.
Apart from the boundaries that were assigned general heads, all other areas in the model were
assigned starting head value of 50 m, top elevation of 40 m and bottom elevation was set at mean
sea level under the Global options package. The Run option was set at Forward Run and the
model type was Steady state. The steady state model type was used because of unavailability of
In the layer property flow (LPF) package, layer elevations, horizontal hydraulic conductivities
and vertical anisotropies were defined and MODFLOW computed the cell-by-cell conductance
using the hydraulic conductivity values and the layer geometry. The layer type used for this
study was confined. Hence confined boundary conditions were imposed by MODFLOW based
Calibration is the process whereby the model’s input parameters are adjusted until the computed
flow and hydraulic head data match the observed data. The internal graphical interface of GMS
7.1 facilitates this process of comparison. In addition, the mean residual head and root mean
square head were used to determine the most optimal balance between the observed and
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calculated heads. A calibration target of ±1 m of the observed heads was used in the calibration.
Therefore, a root mean square error of at most 1 m was regarded as an acceptable value for a
calibrated model.
The model was calibrated by adjusting values of recharge and hydraulic conductivities until the
measured water levels closely matched the model calculated heads. Fifteen wells were used and
a calibration target of 1m was set for all the wells used. Whilst the calibration target was used as
the upper ceiling for observed–calculated head differences, efforts were made to ensure that the
root mean square error (RMSE) was as low as possible at the end of the calibration.
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CHAPTER FOUR
The Togo Structural Unit underlies the area and the rock type includes quartzites and phyllites.
The rocks have no inherent primary porosity. The mode of groundwater occurrence is therefore
and deep weathering. The flow pattern is generally from northeast to south (Figure 4.1). The
field-measured data is also presented in Table 1. Areas of higher hydraulic heads mark the
topographic highs and the vice versa. Recharge areas are indicated by the topographic highs and
topographic lows indicate discharge areas. The hydraulic heads are highest in the northeastern
side of the area and decrease towards the southwestern segment. This is also an indication of the
aquifer geometry.
A plot of the computed head against the observed head is as indicated in Figure 4.2. A good
match between the computed and the observed hydraulic heads is obvious from the plot. The
calibration has a Root Mean Square Error, RMSE, value of about 0.66 m, which confirms a
reasonable agreement between the observed head and the computed head within a calibration
target of ±1.
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Figure 4.1 Calibrated model
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7 59 1.52 57.48 5.67443 0.18533
Figure 4.2 A match between the model calibrated heads and the observed heads
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4.2 Hydraulic Conductivity
The calibrated hydraulic conductivity ranges between 1.13 m/d to 16.88 m/d with an average of
9.01 m/d (Figure 4.3), which is in conformity with the trend observed by Yidana et al. (2010)
The areas of very close and tighter contours indicate areas of higher hydraulic conductivities and
the areas of spaced and loose contours indicate low hydraulic conductivity regions. The fractured
and highly weathered nature of the rocks in these parts of the study area may be possible causes
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4.4 Recharge
Recharge to the catchment area is mainly by precipitation with an annual precipitation of 800
mm/year. The estimated spatial distribution of groundwater recharge from the calibrated model
is presented in Figure 4.4. The minimum recharge values from the calibrated model is 0.0001
m/d, which represents 4.6% of annual precipitation in the area, and a maximum recharge of
Other factors that affect the amount of water that can be recharged at a site include depth to
groundwater and the ability of the aquifer to transmit water from the recharge site. The existence
of impeding layers in the vadose zone can also affect infiltration rates. However, with
precipitation being the major source of recharge into the system makes it vulnerable to climatic
changes.
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4.5 Sensitivity Analysis
In groundwater flow simulation, sensitivity analysis is conducted to measure the stability of the
model with respect to small changes in the aquifer hydraulic parameters. Sensitivity analysis
measures the sensitivity of the model to unforeseen changes in some of the aquifer parameters. In
this study, sensitivity analysis was conducted for aquifer hydraulic conductivity and recharge.
For each of these parameters, the data were progressively increased and then decreased by 5, 10,
15 and 20% and the model was simulated to measure the deviations in the heads relative to the
calibrated heads. The root mean square residual error was observed after each run of the
sensitivity analysis, to determine how far the model deviates from the calibrated value. When
sensitivity of the model to a particular parameter was being examined, the other parameters were
kept constant at the calibrated levels. This is in line with normal convention used in groundwater
flow modeling.
Figure 4.5 (a) and (b) below indicates the sensitivity of the model to various changes in aquifer
hydraulic conductivity. Changes in the hydraulic conductivities by 5, 10, 15 and 20% in the
positive direction do not appear to have any measurably high effect on the stability of the model
as most of the calculated hydraulic heads are still within 1m as displayed by Figure 4.5(a). After
reducing the hydraulic conductivities by 10, 15 and 20%, there was no obvious effect on the
relationship between calculated and observed heads as shown in Figure 4.5(b). However, after
30% variation in the horizontal hydraulic conductivities by reduction, the calculated heads fell
within the red region, which implies significant deviations from the observed data. The changes
in RMSE were in the range of 0.001 to 0.01 and that associated with 30% changes in hydraulic
conductivities were extremely high. The model is therefore not stable to 30% changes in the
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(a) (b)
Figure 4.5 Effect of (a) 5, 10, 15 and 20% increase in hydraulic conductivity and (b) after 10, 15
Figure 4.6 a match between the computed head and the observed head after the percentage
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The model is stable to changes in hydraulic conductivities up to about 20%. This means that the
stability of the model will be maintained for as long as a structural event does not occur to alter
the permeabilities of the rock units by more than 20%. Such a structural event is less likely as the
The model is less sensitive to changes in recharge from precipitation by up to about 45%; a
deviation from the general expectation that the rates of groundwater recharge would vary widely
even within aquifers of the same geological formation based largely on the permeabilities of the
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Figure 4.8 Match between the computed head and the observed head after changes in the
The model calibrated pumping rates of 14 abstraction wells that were imposed on the system to
determine the effect of drawdown in the area was noted. Figure 4.9 and Table 4.2 below are
representing the model calibrated and the abstraction well data respectively.
In the first scenario, there was 15% decrease in annual recharge and water was drawn from the
pumping wells at the rate of 0.01 m3/d. A general reduction in the hydraulic head resulted in
negative values being recorded in some pumping wells. These negative values indicate the
groundwater table is below the mean sea level and as such is prone to saline water intrusion.
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Figure 4.9 Model calibrated for the 14 abstraction wells
Table 4.2. Location data and the abstraction rates of the pumping wells imposed
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6 0.185105 5.674548 0.06
In the second scenario, annual recharge was kept at the normal rate of precipitation and water
was drawn from the pumping wells at the rate of 0.01 m3/d. A similar result to that of the first
scenario was observed. The current pumping rate is therefore believed to be below 0.01 m3/d.
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CHAPTER FIVE
5.1 Conclusion
A conceptual model of a high level of accuracy has been developed to monitor the flow
dynamics of the area and to estimate the essential aquifer parameters of the catchment area. The
flow pattern was determined to be generally from Northeast to South. The groundwater recharge
from precipitation to the area was determined to vary from 0.0001 m/d to 0.0003 m/d resulting in
The hydraulic conductivity was determined to range from 1.13m/d for the least permeable
segments to 16.88m/d for the most permeable segments with an average of 7.5m/d.
With the current rate of extraction, speculations can be made of the sustainability of the shallow
The model suggests an upper limit of extraction of 0.01 m3/d beyond which the model would
This research forms the basis on which further research can be conducted in other areas like the
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5.2 Recommendations
In view of the findings from this study, it is recommended that the Ghana Water Company in
conjunction with Real Estate Developers should critically consider and practice proper aquifer
assessment to be able to drill high yielding and good quality groundwater boreholes for their
clients and avoid indiscriminate siting of wells in order to prevent over stressing of the aquifer
system.
Government must also invest more in the exploitation of the water resources of the nation so that
urban centers like Madina will also benefit from the conventional supply of domestic water from
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