Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Schofield 2015
Schofield 2015
The oriental romance Lalla Rookh written in the 19th century by Irish poet
and songwriter Thomas Moore demonstrates an interest and love of a
region which he had never visited. So why should this distant region –
Kashmir – so important to Moore in the 19th century be of interest to
us today? Or more precisely, why should we still be concerned about
the state of Jammu and Kashmir, located where the three great mountain
ranges of the Hindu Kush Karakorams and Himalayas meet? Why am I
addressing this issue 17 years after I last spoke to the Society on
Kashmir in May 1997?
Firstly, because – since then – the ground realities have barely changed.
Yet the world has become more dangerous. Since the independence and
partition of the sub-continent in 1947 the former princely state of Jammu
and Kashmir has been regarded as a disputed territory between India and
Pakistan, the dispute arising from the fact that at independence its future
allegiance was not agreed.
In the case of Jammu and Kashmir, while the history of the weeks leading
up to independence indicate that Maharaja Hari Singh wanted to retain his
state’s independence, both India and Pakistan claimed the state in its
entirety: India because its future rulers, notably Jawaharlal Nehru and
Sardar Patel, presumed that as a Dogra Hindu, the Maharajah would
choose union with majority Hindu India; Pakistan because the majority
of the inhabitants, especially those living in the Valley of Kashmir,
were Muslim. Inevitably, since both newly independent countries envi-
saged the state as coming within their respective borders, there was
bound to be conflict.
Although the state has remained de facto divided along the line of control,
the fact that its de jure position has not been resolved has meant that the
dispute has continued to fester, poisoning relations between India and
WHY KASHMIR IS STILL IMPORTANT 21
Pakistan, their enmity erupting again into war in 1965 and 1999, with
another war fought in 1971 over the secession of Pakistan’s eastern
wing, now Bangladesh.
This was the situation when I addressed members of the society in 1997;
this is the situation today. So the first reason why Kashmir deserves
our attention is because it is an unresolved dispute between two nations
– affecting the lives of millions. And, as the history of other trouble-
spots throughout the world has demonstrated, any dispute which is
unresolved has the potential to flare up at any time, destabilising the
region and causing immense suffering.
Nuclear powers
Secondly – and almost one might say because the relationship between
India and Pakistan has been continually hostile, both countries have
felt an essential component of their military defence has been the devel-
opment of a nuclear weapons programme. No precise data is available but
India’s arsenal is believed to consist of between 80 and 100 nuclear
weapons while Pakistan has an estimated 90 to 110.3
Although both countries have agreed not to attack each other’s nuclear
facilities, regular exchanges of their lists take place on 1 January each
year and a ‘hotline’ has been established providing early warning in
the event that an accident might be interpreted as a nuclear attack, a
state of controlled belligerency prevails. The government of India may
22 WHY KASHMIR IS STILL IMPORTANT
Mindset
My third reason – why Kashmir is important – and this is an enhanced
development since my lecture in 1997 – is because of the dangerous dom-
estic narratives which can run in both India and Pakistan. Since 1947 the
general domestic narrative in both countries has been hostile to the other –
generations have been brought up to mistrust, dislike, hate their neigh-
bour, mainly because of the repercussions over the unresolved dispute
over Jammu and Kashmir. I remember once travelling by plane to
Gilgit and I was sitting next door to an army officer – I asked him
what he was doing posted up on the border – his immediate response
was: “we are preparing to fight India.” In today’s media-driven age,
where sound bites leading to misapprehensions often influence actions,
passions can be whipped up through any number of the media outlets,
including the omni-present social media, Facebook, Twitter and the
like. Turn on the television set in either country and invariably there
will be some confrontational rhetoric highlighting the dangers of
complacency.
In 2013 there were allegations that Pakistani soldiers had crossed the line
of control in Jammu and Kashmir and killed five Indian soldiers. I was
interviewed on the subject by Al Jazeera television and the first question
I was asked was: “do you think this incident could lead to a break down in
relations between the two countries, potentially escalating into a military
confrontation?” My immediate response was that it depended on how the
two governments handled domestic public opinion and whether they
allowed anger to get out on the streets and become part of a media
frenzy demanding retaliation or whether they were able to put the
WHY KASHMIR IS STILL IMPORTANT 23
Of course this is not the mind-set of every Indian, nor indeed every Pakis-
tani, and there are numerous think tanks and academic groups all working
towards creating better relations. But as we know, anywhere in the world
it only takes a very small minority – for their own misguided objectives –
using the unresolved Kashmir issue as a beacon to attract support – to
sabotage diplomatic relations and consequently the peace and stability
of the region. And every time this happens, there is even less prospect
for the inhabitants of the state to get the peace and justice they deserve.
The Kashmir issue, as usual, gets relegated to the ‘back burner’ – too
hot too handle.
24 WHY KASHMIR IS STILL IMPORTANT
After Mumbai 2008, it took the best part of five years for a thaw to take
place in the relationship between India and Pakistan – even now there is
every likelihood that if there were to be another Mumbai or a Chennai –
once more using the unresolved Kashmir issue as the root cause of the
failed Indo-Pakistan relationship – relations would again be severed.
Obviously, the best way to guard against this dangerous scenario is to
focus on resolving the Kashmir issue – once and for all – to work out a
just and fair resolution which could be termed a ‘win-win’ for all con-
cerned parties and to create a peace dividend rather than one which per-
petually promotes enmity.
Human rights
Fourthly, and this in fact could have been first, not fourth, Kashmir
deserves our attention because of the tremendous suffering which has
taken place in the state of Jammu and Kashmir. The insurgency which
began in 1989 against the Indian government forces has been one of
the most under-reported armed conflicts; while world attention has
been focused on other trouble-spots, most obviously Afghanistan, Iraq,
Syria and also Ukraine, Kashmir rarely attracts international attention.
The region is perceived to be inaccessible, the government of India
more benign, Pakistan more volatile. Yet the fallout from the state of
Jammu and Kashmir’s unresolved status has had tremendous conse-
quences for the people, claiming the lives of thousands of both civilians,
military personnel and militants.
Let me also read from a real-life interview I held with Dr Rashid in the
Bone and Joint hospital in 1994 which typifies the experiences of
many. This incident happened at a time when it was commonly believed
that there was no family in the valley who had not lost a family member.
My brother was 25 years old. He was running a cosmetics shop. The Border Secur-
ity Forces came and took him. In front of my father and family he was killed.
Someone had pointed him out as being a militant. He was not armed and in the
news that evening they gave that there was an encounter, when there was no
encounter at all.7
Nearly 30 years since the insurgency began, the state remains militarised.
People cannot travel freely, they are a long way from enjoying the same
liberty of movement which we – living in Europe and the United States –
take for granted. Curfews are frequently imposed; people cannot be sure
of returning home at night. They cannot be certain of going to a court of
law and getting justice; the Armed Forces Special Powers Act (AFSPA)
means that the authorities have the right to arrest and hold anyone sus-
pected of ‘terrorist’ activities.8 Journalists are under constant duress
and so a true picture of what is happening rarely reaches the rest of the
world.
Resources
Fifthly, the Kashmir issue is important because of the use (or waste) of
valuable resources. It is almost impossible to quantify how much
money has been spent in terms of military defence for both conventional
and nuclear weapons which both countries can ill afford because of their
continuing enmity. India may be booming but I hasten to add that only a
fragment of its society is booming. In 2012, the World Bank estimated
that 21.9 per cent of the total Indian population, now at 1 billion, still
live at the poverty line.9 Poverty in Pakistan has the same gloomy stat-
istics, over a fifth of the population living on $1.25 a day.10 Moreover,
Pakistan’s western border with Afghanistan is extremely unpredictable,
and so the expense of fortifying its eastern frontier against India is a
luxury its government should not need to have to afford. And by compari-
son, think of the hostility which existed between France and Germany
after the Second World War; think now of the ease with which one can
now travel from one country to the other.
In both India and Pakistan millions rather than thousands are illiterate.
The allocation of resources for health and education is way below that
for weapons. With their rising populations, both countries are sitting on
a demographic time bomb. They are also facing the prospect of tremen-
dous water shortages. And as we know, chronic deprivation also brings its
own frustrations and problems.
The inability of India and Pakistan to trade openly without restrictions has
been estimated to take about two per cent off their annual GDP growth
rate. How much wealthier could both countries be in 25 years if trade
could flow more freely? How much more money could therefore be
spent on poverty eradication and development? How much wealthier
could Jammu and Kashmir be in a peaceful environment?
No other issue of contention – be it the pain and trauma still felt over par-
tition, the unresolved territorial dispute over Sir Creek,11 the anger over the
WHY KASHMIR IS STILL IMPORTANT 27
International repercussions
Broadening my presentation – because I am not talking simply about the
importance of the Kashmir issue in relation to India and Pakistan, I am
also talking about its importance internationally, my contention is that
the continuing failed relationship between India and Pakistan – because
of the unresolved status of Jammu and Kashmir – means that their reac-
tion to events in the region and worldwide is seen through the prism of
their respective enmity.
Moreover, if only they could draw a line under their past enmity, as is
so often necessary in conflict resolution, both populations could begin
to benefit not only economically from improved trade but also socially
from cross-border exchanges and cultural and sporting activities. I have
met dozens of Pakistanis who long to see the Taj Mahal; I have also
met many Indians who would love to see the Badshahi Mosque and
the dazzling Sheesh Mahal – the Palace of Mirrors – in the Lahore
Fort. Even the relatively simple process of obtaining a visa in order
to visit relatives, attend weddings and funerals as well as being able
to go to revered places of worship could improve the quality of life
of so many, perhaps even helping to heal the wounds of partition.
As I have often said, the continuing debate over the state of Jammu
and Kashmir hides the fact that people of the same land with thousands
of years of shared history have more in common than they have
differences.
This brings me to the aspect which affects and could affect all our lives.
That there is a longstanding unresolved dispute over the state of Jammu
and Kashmir fuels disaffection, attracting recruits to fight against those
they hold responsible for not assisting in its resolution. As is now becom-
ing evident in Britain, one of the causes of modern-day alienation is
because there is a growing belief that not enough has been done to
help Muslims worldwide, which includes not only the still unresolved
issue of Palestine but also that of Kashmir. The continuing lack of pro-
gress in finding a solution to the Kashmir issue has even fostered the
belief that the reason Britain has not done more to help is because the
majority of its inhabitants are Muslims. Of course informed individuals,
academics and experts on the region will refute this as the reason, point-
ing instead to the difficulties inherent in acting as a mediator or facilitator
when one party to the dispute – India – considers that any suggestion at
mediation is interference in the internal affairs of the country. But for the
person on the street, this lack of focus on resolution has the potential to
engender hostility in both word and deed.
WHY KASHMIR IS STILL IMPORTANT 29
What is also evident is that any attempt at resolution will fail if a repre-
sentative voice from amongst the inhabitants of the state is not included.
It is that voice or voices which remain the key to a solution over
and above what the governments of India and Pakistan might decide –
including representatives from all the state’s component parts from the
most populous Valley of Kashmir, to Ladakh and Jammu, Gilgit-Baltistan
and Azad Jammu and Kashmir in all the richness of their diversity. I always
remember Kashmiri political leader Shabir Shah saying to me that the
Simla (Shimla) Agreement in 1972 signed by former Prime Minister
Indira Gandhi and former President Zulfikar Ali Bhutto failed to resolve
the Kashmir issue because there was no provision to include the views
of the ‘sons of the soil’.12
Changing scenarios
In 2014, it has to be recognised that the nature of the dispute – to which
country should the state of Jammu and Kashmir owe political allegiance –
has changed from what it was in 1947. At that time the choice was envi-
saged as being a simple decision whether the entire state would join either
India or Pakistan. Today, despite public posturing and rhetoric, no one,
officially or unofficially, truthfully believes that what was expected at
30 WHY KASHMIR IS STILL IMPORTANT
partition in 1947 will now become a reality. Despite India’s claim that the
whole state is an integral part of India and Pakistan’s belief that the whole
state should have become part of Pakistan in 1947, the prospect of the
whole state becoming either part of Pakistan or part of India is now an
illusion. And unless both governments of India and Pakistan were to
agree to cede the respective parts of the state they control, there is also
no foreseeable prospect of re-instituting the independent state that
Jammu and Kashmir once was, consensus amongst the inhabitants also
being a prerequisite.
NOTES
1. Thomas Moore, Lalla Rookh. London: Darf Publishers Ltd, 1986, p. 256.
2. Resolution adopted by UNCIP on 13 August 1948. Document no. S/1100, para. 75,
dated 9 November 1948.
3. ‘Nuclear weapons, who has what?’ http://edition.cnn.com/interactive/2013/03/
world/nuclear-weapon-states/.
4. Shashi Tharoor, meeting, Asia House, London, 21 January 2009.
5. The term azadi means ‘liberation’ or ‘freedom’ amongst activists in Indian-adminis-
tered Kashmir.
6. Abishek Majumdar, The Djinns of Eidgah. Oberon Modern Plays, 2013.
7. Dr Rashid, interview, Srinagar, April 1994, quoted in Schofield, Kashmir in Con-
flict. IB Tauris, 2010, p. 182.
8. See for example, Amnesty International, Arbitrary and Unlawful Detentions in
Jammu and Kashmir must end, 10 July 2013. http://www.amnesty.org/en/library/
info/ASA20/032/2013/en.
9. http://data.worldbank.org/country/india.
10. http://povertydata.worldbank.org/poverty/country/PAK.
11. A strip of territory disputed between India and Pakistan in the Rann of Kutch Marsh-
land in Sindh.
12. Shabir Shah, interview, Srinagar, 5 April 1995 quoted in Schofield, Kashmir in the
Crossfire. IB Tauris, 1996, p. 290. The Simla Agreement between the two leaders
WHY KASHMIR IS STILL IMPORTANT 31
was negotiated following the secession of Bangladesh in 1971. Zulfikar Ali Bhutto
was President of Pakistan until the negotiated Constitution of 1973.
13. Kashmir: Paths to Peace. www.chathamhouse.org/publications/papers/view/109338
[accessed 26 November 2014.]
14. Ashok Jaitley, telephone interview, New Delhi, 11 April 1995, quoted in Schofield,
Kashmir in the Crossfire. IB Tauris, 1996, p. 279.
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