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Spotless Water Investment Proposal
Spotless Water Investment Proposal
Spotless Water Investment Proposal
Investment Proposal
Spotless Water
£3.85m senior debt growth capital with equity into a high
growth B2B provider of ultra-pure water via an established
UK site network.
Private & Confidential • Senior secured debt for site roll out with equity warrant upside into
Spotless Water Ltd, a technology enabled B2B provider of ultra-pure ‘water
as-a-service’ into various industries, via a growing network of UK sites
The Company (currently 67 with c7,000 active customers and a further 14,000 registered).
• Company experiencing strong growth in receptive market, with revenue
growth of 62% to £2.3m in 2021 and a further 56% forecast to £3.6m in 2022.
• Mature run-rate EBITDA for 67 sites, as at the end of 2021, of c£1.1m.
Targeting over 400 sites and £6.2m trailing 12 month EBITDA for 2025.
• Proven attractive business model with established KPI metrics, site capex
payback within 12 months, recurring revenues from repeat customers and
positive working capital.
• First mover advantage in the UK with above plan opportunities in Europe
and the USA.
• Water purification and consumer interface IP technology is fully
developed and registered.
Want to participate? • Strong management team with experienced chairman and professional
VC investors.
Call Steve Wilson on • £3.85m being raised from Connection Capital clients:
07990 556544
• Senior secured five-year loan note carrying 10% p.a. simple rolled
or email steve.wilson@ interest.
connectioncapital.co.uk • 5% equity warrant to participate in potential growth in business value.
www.connectioncapital.co.uk • Multiple exit options of financial purchaser, trade sale listing and/or
refinancing of debt.
• Day one value appraised at c1.2x from the embedded value of the warrant.
Connection Capital LLP is authorised
and regulated by the Financial Conduct • Target net returns of 2.4x on a lower growth Connection Capital
Authority No. 705640 Investment Case, rising to 3.1x on a Management Case.
Strictly private and confidential and not to be shared.
Document prepared for Le Goff, Yves on 29 Jun 2022
Contents
i. Executive Summary 4
ii. Investment Classification 10
FURTHER MATERIALS
1. The Company 11
2. Management 19
3. Financials 21
4. Exit and Returns 26
APPENDICES
A. Connection Capital Terms 30
B. Due Diligence 30
Important note
This document is issued by Connection Capital LLP (iv) investments in private companies are not readily
(incorporated in England and Wales, Registered number realisable or transferable and you may not be able to
OC349617), which is authorised and regulated by the realise your investment at short notice or until the exit
Financial Conduct Authority (‘FCA’). point; (v) this is an unregulated investment. Connection
Capital LLP will try to accommodate transfer requests
Connection Capital LLP has approved the contents of this wherever possible, but we reserve the right to charge an
document for the purposes of section 21 of the Financial administration fee at our absolute discretion.
Services and Markets Act 2000. This information is not
intended for retail clients and is provided to professional In certain limited circumstances, Connection Capital LLP
investor clients on a confidential basis. It is provided for or the vehicle into which your investment is made (‘the
information purposes only and should not be construed Investment Vehicle’) may apply a different or lower fee
as advice or recommendation. You are not authorised structure or pay a fee (whether in cash or otherwise)
to disclose it, or its contents, to any third party without (‘the Fee’) to an investor client. The Fee payable by any
Connection Capital LLP’s prior written approval unless Investment Vehicle will not be material in the context of the
required to do so by law. This document may not be investment and will be included in the calculation of the
copied or reproduced without Connection Capital LLP’s potential returns set out in this Investment Proposal or any
written permission. It is an invitation for self-select subsequent update. You should be aware that Connection
investment only by investor clients of Connection Capital Capital LLP will receive fees from equity placed in this
LLP who have been classified as ‘professional clients’. As round, which are contingent upon a successful introduction
a professional client, you are considered to have sufficient of funds.
experience, expertise and knowledge to make your own
investment decisions and to understand the risks involved, The responsibility of Connection Capital LLP in relation
and you should be aware that you will not be afforded the to the investment ends when the investment exits. In
same level of protection as a retail client would receive. particular, Connection Capital LLP is not responsible for
generating any liquidity in securities after exit. Where
This document has been prepared with the assistance of an exit from any investment is made via listing on any
Spotless Water Ltd. Where information has been confirmed regulated exchange, Connection Capital Investments LP
by or sourced from third parties this has been identified will generally sell any shares it holds in the investment
by way of note. No representation or warranty is made by immediately on exit. It should be noted that the partners
Connection Capital LLP (or any of its respective members, and staff of Connection Capital LLP (or their named
officers, employees or agents) as to the information and investment vehicles) are entitled to participate in deals
opinions contained in this document, which are given for your alongside clients, subject to a lower minimum individual
assistance but are not to be relied upon as authoritative, or pledge amount and, at Connection Capital LLP’s discretion,
as the basis of any contract or commitment. may be exempt from the deduction of carried interest and
fees charged by Connection Capital LLP or any feeder
In general, tranches in investment opportunities offered vehicles established to make the investment. In the event
by Connection Capital LLP are made available on a that an investment is being made as a short-term bridge/
first come, first served basis, but we reserve the right underwrite to allow the deal to proceed, Connection
to allocate tranches at our absolute discretion. Your Capital LLP may, at its discretion, apply different terms and
attention is drawn to the following: (i) the price, value or fees commensurate with the risk being taken.
income of or from securities is not guaranteed and may
fall against your interests and you may get back less Connection Capital LLP is not qualified to provide tax
than you invested; (ii) no personal recommendation is advice and clients should seek independent advice on
being made to you by Connection Capital LLP – you are their own tax position in the proposed investment vehicle
investing on an execution only (i.e. non-advised) basis; from a qualified tax specialist. Clients should disclose
(iii) the securities referred to may not be suitable for your all of their tax affairs to Her Majesty’s Revenue and
circumstances and if you have any doubts, you should Customs (‘HMRC’)/their applicable tax authorities.
seek FCA-regulated advice from your investment adviser;
i. Executive Summary
Business Overview For cleaning applications, pure water’s key attribute is that
it does not smear, streak or leave residue, which require a
Spotless Water Ltd (‘Spotless’ or ‘Spotless Water’ or
second chamois, squeegee or rag clean.
‘the Company’) is a UK based, technology enabled,
B2B provider of ultra-pure ‘water as-a-service’. The This is gaining significant traction as the performance
Company offers the UK’s first self-service, ultra-pure advantage coincides with health and safety legislation,
water distribution network, servicing business customers which is moving the window cleaning industry from use
including window cleaners, car valeters, aquariums, of ladders to poles. These poles must use pure water,
dentists, as well as new opportunities in solar farms and a as a second ‘wipe’ of the smears/residue is not possible.
number of other niche industries. The advantages for aquariums, valeters etc are more
performance driven. The pure water product is here
Pure water is treated tap water, with solids and impurities
to stay. We believe that Spotless will be a key delivery
removed via various filtration technologies. It forms an
mechanism in the UK, with opportunities to expand in the
essential input to cleaning industries as end users seek to
US and Europe where there are presently no comparable,
sell their services on “green” credentials and meet health
autonomous, site-based business models.
and safety requirements.
Transaction
To date, Spotless has raised £2.7m of equity over a number of investment rounds from both high new worth (‘HNW’)
investors and, more recently, from Blackfinch Investments (www.blackfinch.com), a technology focused UK investment
fund with £600m AUM, which has invested £1.15m. Its last tranche was at a pre-money valuation of £11.2m (a 6x multiple
of annualised revenue for the period 1 August 2020 to 30 September 2020). Management and the NXC hold c72% of the
equity, Blackfinch 12.75% and HNWs, the balance.
The funds invested by Blackfinch have helped Spotless to expand its site network, which is now self-sustaining, generating
c£530k of operating cash flow in 2021, which should rise to in excess of £1m adjusting this to full site maturity. Given the cash
generative nature of Spotless, the Company has been exploring medium term debt finance options to fund further growth.
These are available – but come with a current pay coupon and potential amortisation which constrain cash for site roll out.
Sources £ Uses £
Terms Summary
Interest: 10% simple rolled up to repayment.
Repayment: Bullet repayment on 5th anniversary, or earlier at the company’s option with interest on the sum repaid
or on an insolvency event, or for certain material breaches.
Equity: Warrant to acquire 5% equity at negligible cost, with anti-dilution provisions (i.e. a right to acquire further
equity in any subsequent fund raise at the prevailing price).
Covenants: The loan note will carry a suite of covenants including minimum cash on balance sheet and trailing twelve-
month EBITDA, allowing CC to monitor performance and ensure the Company maintains sufficient funding
to support its ongoing growth ambitions as well as securing repayment of the CC client facility.
Security: Secured obligations by first ranking fixed and floating charge on all assets of the Company, with a carve
out for a small incumbent hire purchase facility.
Connection Capital (‘CC’) has proposed a hybrid structure which has the security of senior debt but with interest rolling
up for the term at 10% p.a. and a bullet repayment. This provides additional cash and in return, attracts an equity warrant
of 5%. This warrant is exercisable for nominal value and gives the option of participation in future equity rounds if they
arise, which seems most likely if international expansion is pursued.
Applying the same methodology used by Blackfinch for its last funding round, to the most recent two months of trading,
being January and February 2022, the Company would be worth c£14m. This would value the 5% warrant at c£700k
(pre-Carried Interest), to provide an opening embedded value of c1.2x the investment. Furthermore, the debt would be
c3.6x covered by the business value. It should be noted that this is a prudent estimate given that January and February
trading reflect a seasonal low period.
Of the £3.85m loan being raised, £2.85m will be utilised by Spotless in pursuing expansion, with c£750k applied to the
repayment of existing temporary debt facilities, which have been funding growth pending a medium-term solution (the
exact figure will be confirmed to CC clients prior to completion). The remaining funds will cover transaction costs and
provide cash headroom. The CC client debt will have a senior charge over the assets of the Company, with the only
exception being a small hire purchase (‘HP’) facility of c£130k having senior security over specific leased assets, which
are non-essential to ongoing operations.
The CC client facility carries consent rights over any new debt raises and the loan will also carry a suite of covenants
including minimum cash on balance sheet and trailing 12 month EBITDA. This will allow CC to monitor performance,
ensure the Company maintains sufficient funding and, for higher growth cases or in any other circumstances that require
further capital, provide discretion over structuring with an option for CC clients to participate.
Financials
Management Forecast Forecast
Twelve Months Ending 31 December 1 Historical Historical 2022 Forecast Forecast Forecast Forecast Forecast
£000s 2020 20212 Outturn3 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Number of Sites at 31 December (units actual) 48 67 114 232 313 430 576 600
Revenue 1,447 2,337 3,547 6,699 11,501 15,659 21,672 26,880
Gross Profit 952 1,530 2,229 4,161 7,248 9,905 13,717 17,153
GP % 66% 65% 63% 62% 63% 63% 63% 64%
EBITDA (286) 337 377 1,401 3,921 6,227 9,600 12,794
EBITDA % -20% 14% 11% 21% 34% 40% 44% 48%
Year End Adjustment 55
Adjusted EBITDA (286) 392 377 1,401 3,921 6,227 9,600 12,794
Mature Run-Rate EBITDA 4
1,086 1,976 5,126 7,353 10,943 15,468 16,041
Operating Cash Flow 526 292 1,688 4,206 6,680 10,298 13,724
Operating Cash Flow Conversion % 134% 77% 120% 107% 107% 107% 107%
1
Accounting year end is April but figures have been prepared on a calendar year for the purposes of analysis.
2
FY21 EBITDA adjusted to reflect year end adjustments.
3
Includes two months of actual trading.
4
Assumes mature trading profile for all sites deployed and layers on operating costs for each relevant period from the management forecast.
Source: Management information.
Spotless has seen strong growth to date, with revenue up 62% to £2.3m in 2021, resulting in the Company’s first year of
profitability and driving very strong cash flow conversion of 134%.
The historical adjusted EBITDA figure represents a trailing 12 month period. Importantly, this does not reflect the full
trading potential for the 67 sites in place at the end the year, as many of the sites will not have reached operational
maturity (which typically takes eight months). To reflect this, we have included the mature run-rate EBITDA for the
calendar year 2021 of c£1.1m.
This represents profitability assuming all deployed sites are operating at full maturity and is based on the historical
average contribution of a fully operational site, scaled up for the total sites at the end of the year, net of operating costs
for the 12 month period. The same logic has been applied for each year in the forecast, resulting in £16m run-rate EBITDA
in 2027, based on 600 sites.
The management forecast assumes that, in addition to organic cash flows, £3.85m (c3.5x mature run-rate EBITDA for
2021) of new CC client funds are raised in May 2022, to expand the site network and support personnel, through to the
middle of 2023 (c151 sites). At that stage, it is assumed a further £2.5m in debt funding to continue with the pace of site
roll-out. This could come from CC clients or other sources, with the terms of CC clients’ initial debt having a say over this.
The Company does have control over the scale and timing of further investment by speeding up or slowing down its rate
of roll out. Whilst the management team is confident in achieving the plan set out, given the high rate of growth, CC has
sensitised the management forecast in assessing returns and headroom, as commented on below and set out in more
detail in Section 4.
Medium
Return volatility High Low
(equity high and loan low)
Investment life 10 years+ 7-10 years 4-7 years 1-4 years <1 year
Expected income/
10 years+ 7-10 years 4-7 years 1-4 years <1 year
distributions
Tax treatment
Capital for warrant and income for yield Income
(UK individual)
Further Materials
1. The Company
1.1 Formation and concept
Spotless was formed by Tim Morris (CEO), Courtney
Constant (Chief Engineer), Matt Boxold (COO) and Peter
Sheene (CTO) in 2017.
1.2 Operations
Sites
Filling stations are generally situated in the car parks of
industrial sites, commercial properties, such as Homebase,
or petrol station forecourts. The Company holds contracts
with various landlords and has seen some significant new
wins in recent months. Currently, the largest contract is
10 sites with Access Self Storage, representing c14% site
concentration. Management monitors concentration
levels, ensuring that a 35% ceiling is never exceeded. A
typical contract is for three years, contains a six-month
notice period from either side at any point, requires 24/7
access to the site and generally contains non-compete
provisions. A review of contracts will be undertaken as
part of our legal due diligence work.
Once a site has been identified for deployment, Spotless’s deployment team will prepare the site, ensuring that all utilities
are available to be connected to a unit. The cost of water and electricity are generally a variable cost of sale but in some
instances is captured by the site rental, making these sites particularly profitable.
There is an identified pipeline of 148 sites with 11 being surveyed and a further six ready for deployment, which makes the
151 locations by mid-2023 an achievable target.
Return on Capital
An attractive feature of this investment is the return on capital. A site costs c£25k to get operational. At the average site
metric of 5,000 litres per month, priced at three pence per litre and standard rent of c£250 p.a., site payback is typically
achieved within 10-12 months of deployment.
Organisational Structure
BOARD
Chairman Director Founding Director Founding Director Founding Director Founding Director Investor Director BF Director BF Observer
Steve Morley-Ham Tim Morris Matt Boxold Peter Sheene Courntey Constant Krish Soni Bulent Osman Reuben Wilcock
CEO
Tim Morris
Ch-Eng
COO CTO
Courtney
Matt Boxold Peter Sheene Constant
Marketing Marketing Acquisitions Site HRSS HRSS Install Test Service Customer Senior
Manager Coordinator Manager Manager Coordinator Coordinator Manager Engineer Manager Services Dev
Abbie Robyn Richard Ashley Role Claire Dan Leo Jack Michelle Robin
Luxton Smith Campion Davis Vacancy Brown Lipscombe Sheene Coles Dispensari Tudball
All other staff are based in the Company’s head office in Basingstoke. The Company is broadly divided into two divisions,
being Technical and Commercial. Commercial is headed up by Matt Boxold, with senior managers reporting into him on
HR, Marketing and Analytics. Peter Sheene oversees Technical, with maintenance, install and software teams reporting
into him.
Manufacturing
A unit starts its life as a shipping container sourced in Southampton. Here, the container is painted and branded. Once
complete, the container is delivered to a third-party plastics specialist, which fabricates the water storage tanks and
assembles all the parts (the key control units and IP-related technology are produced by Spotless) within the unit, before
delivering to the final location from which the unit operates.
The Company intends to move to a new site in Basingstoke in 2022, where its head office will be based, and will allow
a move to full in-house assembly – using parts from the current water tank fabricator. Management believes this will
create cost savings and increase production capacity. The resultant cost savings are not reflected in the forecasts, for
reasons of prudence.
1.3 Customers
There is a growing, demonstrable demand for quick access pure water throughout the UK, with 21,000 customers signed
up on the Spotless platform to date and a transaction on the Spotless network every 70 seconds. Spotless believes, based
on house market research and sizing work, that the UK site saturation point is c600 sites and that there is significant
growth potential internationally as there are currently no other direct competitors in operation.
20,000
15,000
10,000
5,000
0
Jan 17 May 17 Sep 17 Jan 18 May 18 Sep 18 Jan 19 May 19 Sep 19 Jan 20 May 20 Sep 20 Jan 21 May 21 Sep 21
The chart above shows the growth in customer numbers achieved between January 2017 and October 2021, with new
customers signed up at an average rate of 400 per month in the year to October 2021. Growth has improved since this
time, as discussed in the current trading section below.
The marketing team maintains a list of all new targets and cold calls made to each company to discuss the Spotless
product. In addition, the marketing team use a full suite of marketing tools from cold calling, through radio advertising,
mailshots, cleaning industry conferences etc, in order to source sites and clients.
When a new client is signed up to the platform, they are issued with a welcome pack and key fob for each individual in
the organisation requiring access to a unit. Each customer is provided with an online account, which can be accessed via
the Spotless website or app, both of which are being upgraded imminently. Account holders generally set up auto top-up
functionality which prepays a set amount into their Spotless account, which is then drawn down when water is dispensed.
Spotless has a small in-house customer service team but outsources a proportion of the site maintenance service work
to a third party. Third party staff are trained by the Spotless team and are regularly monitored for performance. All
customer service representatives are available 24 hours a day and are provided with access to the Spotless live access
platform which allows the agent to provide real time support to any customer using a unit. Site maintenance is minimal,
as the sites autofill with water, have non-cash payments and have proven technology, so that in normal operation a visit
is required approximately every 28 days.
Of the 21,000 customers signed up, 7,000 are active, paying c3p per litre of Spotless water. The remaining 14,000 are
early sign ups to the Spotless network, awaiting delivery of a unit to their area. This provides strong support for the
assumed growth in litreage delivery in 2022, as the customers required to drive this already have accounts. The chart
below sets out historical growth in litreage, as well as forecast growth based on current customer growth rates and the
planned site deployment profile.
Litres vs Stations
700 90,000,000
590
601601601601601 80,000,000
600 572
554
536
518 70,000,000
500
500 482
463
443 60,000,000
424
404
400 385
50,000,000
365
346
326
307
200
215 30,000,000
189
200 172
180
163
155
146
129
135 138 142 20,000,000
122
111 116
100105
92 95
100 74 77
83 88
63 63 69
50 52 54
57 61 10,000,000
43 48 48 48 48 48 48 48
35 35 38 38 38 38 38 38 38 38 38 38 40 41
24 25 26 28 30 33
20 22
14 14
7 7 10 10 10 11 12
0 0
Jan 18
Mar 18
May 18
Jul 18
Sep 18
Nov 18
Jan 19
Mar 19
May 19
Jul 19
Sep 19
Nov 19
Jan 20
Mar 20
May 20
Jul 20
Sep 20
Nov 20
Jan 21
Mar 21
May 21
Jul 21
Sep 21
Nov 21
Jan 22
Mar 22
May 22
Jul 22
Sep 22
Nov 22
Jan 23
Mar 23
May 23
Jul 23
Sep 23
Nov 23
Jan 24
Mar 24
May 24
Jul 24
Sep 24
Nov 24
Jan 25
Mar 25
May 25
Jul 25
Sep 25
Nov 25
Source: Management information.
Of the active customers in 2021, 89% dispensed more than once. 80% of Spotless’s customers have an online account with
the remaining 20% of customers operating on a pay as you go basis.
A subscription model is being introduced in FY2023, onto which the Company intends to transition customers, to provide
greater visibility of revenues and improve cash flow conversion.
1.4 Technology
The Spotless concept was born out of a desire to deliver purified water using an autonomous delivery network.
Management’s background in developing networks of this kind is a key differentiator for the Company. The autonomous
nature of the product delivery and the strategy of driving customers to open accounts, provides the Company with
deep data access. This data is used to analyse the performance of each site in real time, and on a monthly basis, and
to determine where the next site deployments should be. Marketing initiatives can also be pushed to clients via the
interactive screen at each site whenever a client logs in.
All in-house water purification and software developments are registered and owned by the Company. All branding and
websites are also owned. A full IP review will be undertaken as part of our legal due diligence work.
2. Management
The Company has a young, dynamic, technically-minded, thorough and ambitious management team headed up by
Tim Morris as CEO and supported by Steve Morley-Ham, an experienced chairman. The core management team has
demonstrated an ability to rapidly grow the Company’s site network from a standing start in 2017. The broad skillset
including software development, water purification mechanics, sales and marketing, helps set the Company apart from
competition (equity percentages below are prior to dilution of the CC client warrants).
Other
The core management team is supported by two investor directors: Krish Soni, a private investor with 7.8% equity, and
Bulent Osman, who was appointed as part of the Blackfinch investment. Both have experience of investing in early-stage
businesses. Bulent also has experience of US expansion and is providing guidance to the Spotless management team in
this regard.
The Company does not currently have a FD but intends to bring someone on board in the coming year (a condition
subsequent of CC client investment) to migrate over the function which is currently outsourced to an accountancy
firm. Notwithstanding this, the financials and forecast provided have been of a very high quality and have always
been provided on a timely basis. The KPI data the Company monitors is of a high standard and is indicative of the
thoroughness with which this team plans and manages the Company.
Reuben Wilcock, who heads up the VCT team at Blackfinch, holds an observer role on the board of Spotless. Blackfinch
also introduced Bulent Osman as a Director. CC will also take a board observer seat post-completion.
3. Financials
3.1 Historical and Forecast P&L
Management Forecast Forecast
Twelve Months Ending 31 December 1 Historical Historical 2022 Forecast Forecast Forecast Forecast Forecast
£000s 2020 20212 Outturn3 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Number of Sites at 31 December (units actual) 48 67 114 232 313 430 576 600
Revenue 1,447 2,337 3,547 6,699 11,501 15,659 21,672 26,880
Rent and Rates (293) (479) (824) (1,586) (2,629)
Other Direct Costs (201) (328) (494) (952) (1,624)
Gross Profit 952 1,530 2,229 4,161 7,248 9,905 13,717 17,153
GP % 66% 65% 63% 62% 63% 63% 63% 64%
Staff Costs (823) (739) (1,283) (1,899) (2,253)
Travel Costs (59) (121) (89) (118) (160)
Premises Costs (66) (104) (130) (229) (255)
Shipping Costs (18) 0 (5) (10) (16)
IT (70) (94) (99) (116) (138)
Finance (20) (26) (43) (47) (48)
Sales and Marketing (55) (70) (151) (237) (295)
Repairs and Maintenance (19) (14) (23) (51) (82)
Other (108) (25) (29) (53) (80)
EBITDA (286) 337 377 1,401 3,921 6,227 9,600 12,794
EBITDA % -20% 14% 11% 21% 34% 40% 44% 48%
Year End Adjustment 55
Adjusted EBITDA (286) 392 377 1,401 3,921 6,227 9,600 12,794
Mature Run-Rate EBITDA 4
1,086 1,976 5,126 7,353 10,943 15,468 16,041
Operating Cash Flow 526 292 1,688 4,206 6,680 10,298 13,724
Operating Cash Flow Conversion % 134% 77% 120% 107% 107% 107% 107%
1
Accounting year end is April but figures have been prepared on a calendar year for the purposes of analysis.
2
FY21 EBITDA adjusted to reflect year end adjustments.
3
Includes two months of actual trading.
4
Assumes mature trading profile for all sites deployed and layers on operating costs for each relevant period from the management forecast.
Source: Management information.
Historical
Spotless’s year end is 30 April. However, the figures above are prepared on a calendar year basis for the purpose
of analysis.
Full year trading figures do not reflect the full trading potential of the sites in place at the end of each year as sites are
rolled out throughout the year and take an average of eight months to reach maturity (being c5,000 litres per day on
average). We have, therefore, included the mature run-rate EBITDA in the summary above to reflect the trading potential
for all sites deployed by the end of each year. This represents profitability, assuming all deployed sites are operating at
full maturity, and is based on the historical average contribution of a fully operational site, scaled up for the total sites at
the end of each year, net of operating costs for the 12 month period.
The Company saw good growth between 2020 and 2021 with revenues up 62% year on year. Site numbers grew from
37 at the beginning of 2020 to 67 by the end of 2021, supported by the funds raised from Blackfinch. Despite initial
concerns that Covid would disrupt trading in end customer industries, Spotless performed well as most customers
continued to trade.
The table below shows monthly revenue figures for the period January 2020 to February 2022, as compared to site
deployment, demonstrating the consistent growth experienced as new sites are rolled out. Trading is seasonal, with the
summer months representing a high point, reflecting the trading profile of the underlying cleaning services market.
70
200,000
60
50
150,000
Sites
40
£s
100,000
30
20
50,000
10
0 0
0
1
20
20
21
22
20
21
20
20
21
21
l2
21
l2
ar
Ju
n
v
p
ar
n
v
ay
ay
Ju
Ja
No
Ja
Ja
Se
No
Se
M
M
Sales Stations
Costs of sale include site rental, utilities, card processing and internet connection costs. The majority of this cost base is
variable with only site rental and internet costs being fixed. All sites are run profitably and are constantly monitored by
the Spotless team to ensure each site is operating in line with expectations. Where a site is seen to be underperforming,
Spotless will move the unit to an alternative site within the deployment pipeline. Gross margins have been maintained at
c65% in 2020 and 2021.
Staff, premises and travel cost form the majority of overheads. Given the autonomous nature of the site network,
operational gearing will diminish as the site network grows, resulting in increased EBITDA margin, as evidenced in 2021.
The adjusting item in 2021 relates to costs taken through the P&L which should have been capitalised and results in
adjusted trailing 12 month EBITDA of £392k or 14% margin. On a mature run-rate basis, EBITDA for the period is c£1.1m,
implying a 3.5x entry leverage multiple for the proposed CC client investment.
The Company currently outsources much of the assembly of each site but has the in-house knowledge and skills to
undertake the majority of the assembly work (not water tank building). As previously noted in the paper, the intention is
to move to an identified new site in 2022, allowing all divisions to be housed under one roof. The move is also expected to
create cost savings across the Company and increase unit deployment capacity.
Margin is maintained at c63% throughout the forecast Sites continue to be deployed whilst negotiations between
period, just below the historical average. Management CC and Spotless are ongoing. The Company is using a
believes this to be a prudent assumption as advances bridging facility to support further site acquisitions, whilst
have been made in reducing the level of consumables the CC client facility is completed, and we anticipate
used in the purification process. These improvements have that the Company will have c70 sites open by the time
not been reflected in the forecast. of completion. The bridging facility forms part of the
total incumbent lending of £750k, to be refinanced at
Operating costs see a disproportionate increase in the completion of the CC client investment.
first year of the forecast period as the Company deploys
capital into bolstering the team and investing more heavily
As many customers top up their accounts in advance or pay at the point of delivery, the Company sees good levels of
EBITDA to Operating Cash Flow conversion, with 2021 seeing a conversion rate of 134%. The expectation is that a positive
conversion rate will be maintained as the site network grows. Management also plans to introduce a subscription model
in the coming year, which could further improve the cash conversion profile and will have a beneficial effect on revenue
visibility and exit multiple. However, deployment of the subscription model will be done cautiously so to ensure margins
are not disproportionately impacted.
It should be noted that the rate of cash conversion is expected to dip in 2021 as a result of the one-off impact of
investment in headcount following the CC client investment. Thereafter, conversion is assumed to increase back above
100%. The reasonableness of the ongoing cash conversion profile will form a part of the third-party due diligence being
carried out prior to completion.
To achieve the site deployment profile in the forecast, management believes total investment of c£19m will be required,
which is reflected in the Capex line. This is assumed to be financed by cash flows from operations plus c£6.5m of external
funding. This includes the loan advanced by CC clients plus the requirement for a further £2.5m of investment in early
2023 (at around c150 sites) to continue at the rate of growth set out in the Management Case. This results in the positive
cash movement seen in the Cash Flow from Financing line in 2023 (note that the figures in the table also contain other
movements from financing activities).
The source of this further investment could come from several options including (i) CC clients (priority would be given
to those participating in this raise), (ii) securing external debt finance on terms to be agreed, which could include the
refinancing of some or all of the CC client loan ahead of its term or (iii) the raising of some equity and debt which could
cover this purpose and other expansion plans.
The CC client loan will have a negative pledge regime which prohibits taking on other debt senior to its loan and as such,
CC will be in a position to able to assess whether the form and quantum of any further finance raised is likely to be value
enhancing for clients. Any proposal by the Company to raise further capital will be subject to a client note at the time. The
Management Case assumes further debt is raised with a roll up coupon.
The growth plan only reflects further UK deployment and does not take into account the potential for international
expansion or the required funding to support such a strategy. If performance is in line with plan, it is expected that the
option to commence US expansion and its funding will be explored at some point in the facility term, and will be subject
to the CC client loan control regime and the opportunity to participate in any equity raise in respect of the warrant element.
Hire purchase, which holds a fixed charge over a small Current Assets
number of vans, will remain in place and will not impact Total Cash at bank and in hand 162
CC clients’ senior debenture. Directors’ loans will also Accounts Receivable 13
remain in place and are expected to amortise subject to Stock 34
performance. Any repayment of directors’ loans is at CC’s Other 67
full discretion.
Sub-total 277
Current Liabilities
Accounts Payable 168
Accruals 172
PAYE Payable 61
Pensions Payable 3
Directors Loan Account 60
VAT 51
Other (15)
Sub-total 500
Long Term Liabilities
Loans 665
HP 128
Deferred Tax (77)
Sub-total 717
Net Assets 1,539
Equity
Capital - A Ordinary Shares 1
Current Year Earnings 90
Retained Earnings (1,002)
Share Premium 2,450
Total Equity 1,539
We have modelled a Management Case and CC Investment Case and then shown a Sensitised Case which illustrates the
impact of stopping growth at 151 sites. The results are presented below.
All returns are based on a UK only site rollout and exclude the value of potential overseas expansion, with summary
financial data relating to the cases shown in the table below. It should be noted that each returns Case is based on an
annual forecast commencing on an estimated completion date of 31 May 2022, meaning that the annual financials do
not align directly to the information presented in the Financials section above.
We have prepared a debt capacity schedule below, which assesses the level of additional debt capacity at the end of the
first 12 months of trading, following completion of the CC client investment (assumed as the end of May 2022), based on
run-rate EBITDA for 151 sites and a leverage capacity of 2.5x EBITDA.
Run-rate EBITDA of £2.7m is based on the historical average contribution of a fully operational site, scaled up for the 151
sites expected to be in operation after the first 12 months of trading, net of operating costs for the 12 month period per the
management forecast.
Applying a 2.5x leverage multiple (conservative in today’s market) to this figure results in total debt capacity of c£6.8m,
which, when adjusted for incumbent CC client debt plus accrued interest of £4.2m, results in £2.6m of further debt
capacity, demonstrating sufficient headroom to support management’s assumption of a further £2.5m fundraise at that
time (net of fees), either in addition to CC client investment or to permit CC client loan repayment.
For the purposes of our Management Case returns analysis, we have assumed that the additional funding is raised on
typical senior lender terms with the £2.5m carrying a five-year term, amortising at 10% p.a. and paying interest at 4%
p.a., with the CC client facility being retained. Though at this point, a larger facility could be raised with CC clients’ loan
repaid with accrued interest, leaving the equity only in place.
The initial CC client investment is assumed to redeem at the end of the five-year term as part of an exit process. The exit
enterprise value (‘EV’) is based on run-rate EBITDA for the 600 sites in operation of c£16m (using the same approach
to normalised trading as set out in the debt capacity table above) and an exit multiple of 10x. We feel the exit multiple is
likely to be prudent given the above value growth potential of Spotless. However, the £16m EBITDA is not yet a reliable
forecast, though the assumptions it is based on appear reasonable.
On this basis, we model net CC client year five returns of 3.1x and an IRR of 25.7%.
In this instance, only an additional £1.2m is available to the Company at the end of year one. On this basis, our Investment
Case assumes only a further £1m of debt finance is raised. We have also assumed that rather than retain the CC client
facility, which is relatively expensive as compared to typical senior debt terms, the Company chooses to refinance CC
clients as part of the additional fundraise.
This results in c£5.3m of senior debt being raised at the end of year one, refinancing CC clients’ principal and accrued
interest, and providing a further £1m of growth capital. The lower level of capital available for deployment, as compared
to the Management Case, results in a slower site deployment profile and a lower level of sites deployed by the end of
year five, which we have assumed to be c500 sites.
The CC client warrant is assumed to exercise when the CC client facility is refinanced, but the resultant 5% equity stake in
the Company will be retained until exit, in year five. The exit EV is based on run-rate EBITDA for 500 sites of c£13m and
an exit multiple of 10x, which we believe is still supportable, despite the lower growth experienced as compared to the
Management Case.
On this basis, we model net CC client year five returns of 2.4x and an IRR of 42.5%. The higher IRR relative to the
Management Case arises from the earlier repayment of the CC client loan.
4.3 CC Static 151 Sites Scenario On this basis, we model net CC client year five returns of
1.5x and an IRR of 14%.
This case assumes Spotless deploys the CC client facility in
full, reaching 151 sites by the end of year one, with growth In practice, if 151 sites are delivered with EBITDA of this
then ceasing and no further sites deployed. We assume quantum, further expansion will be pursued, whether
the enlarged network operates in line with historical in the UK or overseas, and a higher equity value can be
levels, with underlying operational costs maintained at expected, so this case is purely to illustrative. If it took
the forecast level, and with all sites achieving mature longer to reach 151 sites but the same EBITDA multiple
trading, delivering a sustainable EBITDA for the 151 was achieved, then the IRR would reduce. There is still
network of c£2.7m p.a. as set out in the debt capacity significant headroom to cover the CC client loan facility.
schedules above.
Appendices
A. Connection Capital Terms
Arrangement Fee: £115,500 paid by Spotless Water Ltd on completion.
Monitoring Fee: £48,125 per annum (RPI linked) plus VAT payable quarterly in arrears by Spotless Water Ltd.
Carried Interest: CC or entities, partners, employees of or associated with CC as the context requires, will purchase
shares, or other instruments, in the Company with the right to received 20% of total CC client
profits (gross proceeds, before deduction of taxes if applicable, in excess of the initial investment
cost) provided clients receive all their initial capital plus accrued interest of 10% per annum thereon
for the applicable period outstanding.
B. Due Diligence
Financial: HMT LLP will undertake an investigation into the Company’s financial and tax matters with a
particular focus on reasonableness of forecast construction and historical cash conversion.
Legal: A review of key contracts and legal matters will be carried out by Gateley Plc.
The outcome of the above will be summarised and reported on in our Pre-Completion Memorandum, which will be
issued to clients who have pledged to invest in Spotless.
Connection Capital
020 3696 4010
www.connectioncapital.co.uk
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