Du Pont Case

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DuPont Corporation - DPC Division

Stand-Alone Model with EBITDA Growth

Projected
Metric
2011A Closing 2012E 2013E 2014E
Sales Growth (%) 12.50% 5.00% 5.00% 5.00%
Depreciation and Amortization 104 115.0 118.0 122.0
EBIT Margin (Pretax) 6.30% 12.00% 12.00% 12.00%
Tax Rate1 25% 25% 25% 25%
Capital Expenditures 80 115.0 122.0 132.0
Net Working Capital (%) 15.00% 15.00% 15.00%
Terminal EBITDA Multiple (×) 2
Debt/EBITDA 2012 (×) N/A
Debt 6%
Blended Interest Rate on Debt 6.75%
Unlevered Cost of Equity 3 11.20%

EBIT
Depreciation and Amortization
EBITDA
Net working capital
Increase in NWC
Capital Expenditures

APV Analysis
2011A Closing 2012E 2013E 2014E
Net Sales 4,281.0
EBITDA 372.0
Depreciation and Amortization 104.0
Pretax Operating Income (EBIT) 268.0
Interest Expense
Earnings before Taxes
Taxes 25%
Net Income
Increase in Net Working Capital
Capital Expenditures
Residual (Levered) Cash Flow
Unlevered Free Cash Flow
Terminal Value
Unlevered FCF, including TV
Enterprise Value (EV) 0
Interest Tax Shield -
PV Tax Shield -
EV with Tax Shield 0
Projected
2015E 2016E
5.00% 5.00%
125.0 130.0
12.00% 12.00%
25% 25%
144.0 150.0
15.00% 15.00%
7.00

2015E 2016E
DuPont Corporation - DPC Division
Stand-Alone Model with EBITDA Growth with multiple arbitrage

Projected
Metric
2011A Closing 2012E 2013E 2014E
Sales Growth (%) 12.50% 5.00% 5.00% 5.00%
Depreciation and Amortization 104 115.0 118.0 122.0
EBIT Margin (Pretax) 6.30% 12.00% 12.00% 12.00%
Tax Rate1 25% 25% 25% 25%
Capital Expenditures 80 115.0 122.0 132.0
Net Working Capital (%) 15.00% 15.00% 15.00%
Terminal EBITDA Multiple (×) 2
Debt/EBITDA 2012 (×) N/A
Debt 6%
Blended Interest Rate on Debt 6.75%
Unlevered Cost of Equity 3 11.20%

EBIT
Depreciation and Amortization
EBITDA
Net working capital
Increase in NWC
Capital Expenditures

APV Analysis
2011A Closing 2012E 2013E 2014E
Net Sales 4,281.0
EBITDA 372.0
Depreciation and Amortization 104.0
Pretax Operating Income (EBIT) 268.0
Interest Expense
Earnings before Taxes
Taxes 25%
Net Income
Increase in Net Working Capital
Capital Expenditures
Residual (Levered) Cash Flow
Unlevered Free Cash Flow
Terminal Value
Unlevered FCF, including TV
Enterprise Value (EV) 0
Interest Tax Shield -
PV Tax Shield -
EV with Tax Shield 0
Projected
2015E 2016E
5.00% 5.00%
125.0 130.0
12.00% 12.00%
25% 25%
144.0 150.0
15.00% 15.00%
7.9

2015E 2016E
DPC - DuPont

Stand-Alone Model with EBITDA Growth, Multiple Arbitrage, and Leverage

Sales Growth (%) 12.50% 5.00%


Depreciation and Amortization 104 115
EBIT Margin (Pretax) 6.30% 12.00%
Tax Rate1 25% 25%
Capital Expenditures 80 115
Net Working Capital (%) 15.00%
Terminal EBITDA Multiple (×) 2
Debt/EBITDA 2012 (×) N/A
Debt 6 3926 3753
Blended Interest Rate on Debt 6.75%
Unlevered Cost of Equity 3 11.20%

EBIT
Depreciation and Amortization
EBITDA
Net working capital
Increase in NWC
Capital Expenditures

APV Analysis
2011A Closing 2012E
Net Sales 4,281
EBITDA 372
Depreciation and Amortization 104
Pretax Operating Income (EBIT) 268
Interest Expense
Earnings before Taxes
Taxes 25%
Net Income
Increase in Net Working Capital
Capital Expenditures
Residual (Levered) Cash Flow
Unlevered Free Cash Flow
Terminal Value
Unlevered FCF, including TV
Enterprise Value (EV)
Interest Tax Shield
PV Tax Shield at kd (6.75%)
EV with Tax Shield
5.00% 5.00% 5.00% 5.00%
118 122 125 130
12.00% 12.00% 12.00% 12.00%
25% 25% 25% 25%
122 132 144 150
15.00% 15.00% 15.00% 15.00%
7.9

3556 3335 3092 2816

2013E 2014E 2015E 2016E


Risk of Leverage: Who loses? Equity investors or lenders?

Downsides of leverage if DPC exit occurs at 5.25× EBITDA (versus 7.9× EBITDA)

EBITDA growth and multiple reduction

EBITDA multiple 5.25

Closing 2012E 2013E 2014E 2015E


EBITDA - - - -
FCF (Equal to RCF - Unleverd) - - - -
Equity TV (Enterprise value) - - - -
Total - - - -

LBO equity contribution 0


Total cash flow to equity 0 - - - -
Realised IRR Err:523

EBITDA growth and leverage with multiple reduction

EBITDA multiple 5.25

Debt repayment 2012E 2013E 2014E 2015E


Opening bal
Repayment
Closing balance

Terminal value (Enterprise value after growth phase)


Debt balance
Equity terminal value - - - -

LBO equity contribution


Total cash flow to equity - - - -
Realised IRR
2016E
-
-
-
-

2016E

0
0
0

-
PE Firm’s Valuation of DPC

EBITDA Growth and Multiple Arbitrage

Target rate 20%

2012E 2013E 2014E 2015E 2016E


Residual cash flow to equity - - - - -
Terminal value 0 0 0 0 -
FCCE - - - - -

Maximum LBO equity -


Add: Net debt -
Implied Enterprise Value -
PE Firm’s Valuation of DPC

EBITDA Growth, Multiple Arbitrage and Leverage

Target rate 20%

Debt repayment 2012E 2013E 2014E 2015E 2016E


Opening bal
Repayment
Closing balance

Terminal value (Enterprise value after growth phase) 0


Debt balance 0
Equity terminal value - - - - 0

Maximum LBO equity contribution (PV of equity terminal value) 0


Add: Net debt (No excess cash) 0
Implied Enterprise Value 0

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