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Kibriaetal.2017 Climatechange-Fisheries Areview 31dec16
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Citation: Kibria Golam, Haroon Yousuf A K and Nugegoda Dayanthi 2017 Climate change impacts on tropical
and temperate fisheries, aquaculture, and seafood security and implications - A review. Livestock Research for
Rural Development. Volume 29, Article #022. http://www.lrrd.org/lrrd29/1/kibr29022.htm
Abstract
Fish is an important source of animal protein for billions of people and in some tropical countries like
Bangladesh, the Pacific islands, and the Maldives, fish provides more than 60% of animal protein
supply. Climate change [the rise in temperatures (T°C), ocean acidification (OA), sea-level rise (SLR)
and extreme events (EE)] is an additional threat and risk to world fisheries, aquaculture, and seafood
security, in addition, to existing threats posed by other stressors.
The T°C will have both the negative and positive effects on fisheries and aquaculture, of which, the
temperate areas/countries will benefit, while the tropical regions/countries will be losers due to
shifting in fish species from the tropical areas to the temperate areas to escape the warmer water. The
T°C would cause coral bleaching and mortalities and may enhance seafood contamination (by algal
toxins and metals). The OA would adversely affect many organisms that use calcium carbonate for
their skeletons and would cause a decrease in abundance of commercially exploited seafood
organisms (shellfish and finfish). SLR would cause salinisation of freshwater fisheries and
aquaculture facilities and would damage or destroy many coastal ecosystems including mangroves
and salt marshes, which are essential habitat for wild fish stocks. Climate change is projected to
increase the frequency and intensity of EE. Besides, EE would destroy seagrass and seaweed beds and
mangroves (which are important nursery areas for fishes). The economic loss and impacts on
fisheries, aquaculture and seafood security due to T°C, OA, SLR, EE could be substantial in both
tropical and temperate areas/countries.
To achieve sustainability in fisheries and aquaculture in line with the new global sustainable
development goals (2016-2030), it will be essential to identify appropriate adaptation and mitigation
measures. Such measures may include promotion of climate-smart fisheries and climate-smart
aquaculture, and conservation of seagrass and seaweed beds, salt marshes, and mangroves.
Community awareness and education on climate change, an introduction of climate change courses in
schools, colleges, and universities and incorporation of climate change risks in all the current and
future development projects/plans would be vital to minimise threats and risks of climate change on
fisheries, aquaculture, and seafood security.
This review reveals that fisheries in the least developed tropical countries/regions such as Bangladesh,
the Maldives, the Pacific islands, and parts of Africa would be most vulnerable due to lack or limited
resources, capacity and capabilities to adapt to climate change and high dependency on fish, fisheries,
fishing and aquaculture as a source of food, animal protein, revenues, and livelihoods.
Fish is an important source of animal protein for billions of people (about 2.6 billion people)
(Allison et al 2009). It is also an important source of essential vitamins and fatty acids (e.g.
omega-3 poly-unsaturated fatty acids). Fish provides about 20% of animal protein intake
(Thorpe et al 2006) in 127 developing countries and this can reach to more than 60% to a
poor country like Bangladesh, or 90% in Small Island Developing States (SIDS) or in coastal
areas (FAO 2005). Although aquaculture (fish farming) provides a significant contribution as
seafood, however, approximately two-thirds of fish are still from capture fisheries (Daw et al
2009). About 200 million people and their dependants worldwide, mostly in developing
countries, live by fishing and aquaculture (FAO 2005), this includes 43.5 million directly
employed in fisheries and aquaculture (of which 90% are small-scale fishers) and the rest are
associated with activities generated by the supply of fish (trade, processing, transport, retail,
etc.) and ‘backward linkages’ to supporting activities such as, boat building, net making,
engine manufacture and repair, supply of services to fishermen and fuel to fishing boats, etc.
(Daw et al 2009). Asia dominates both in capture fisheries and aquaculture, where 85.5% of
the world’s fishers and fish farmers depend on fishing and aquaculture for their livelihoods
(Hijioka et al 2014). Fisheries also contribute indirectly to food security by providing revenue
for food-deficient countries to purchase food. Fish exports from low-income, food deficient
countries are equivalent to 50% of the cost of their food imports (FAO 2005). Fish provides
an important source of cash income for many rural poor. It provides support for local
economies as well as a source of foreign exchange (Kibria et al 2016a).
Climate change [the rise in temperatures (T°C), ocean acidification (OA), sea-level rise
(SLR) and extreme events (EE)] is an additional threat and risk to world fisheries,
aquaculture, and seafood security, in addition to existing threats posed by pollution
(hazardous inorganic and organic chemicals), habitat degradation, invasive species, dams and
river regulations, and overfishing. This paper is a critical review of climate change impacts
on tropical and temperate fisheries, aquaculture, and seafood security (Figure 1) and its
implications and adaptation and mitigation measures to achieve sustainability in fisheries and
aquaculture in line with the new global sustainable development goals [i.e. SDGs related to
poverty (SDG 1), hunger and food security (SDG 2), action on climate change (SDG 13) and
sustainable use of marine resources (SDG 14)].
Over the 20th century, the earth’s surface temperature has increased by 0.76°C, of which most
of the warming occurred between 1976 and 2000. Scientists believe it is likely for a further
rise in earth’s temperature by another 1.8°C (range 1.1°C-2.9°C) to 4.0°C (range 2.4-6.4) by
the end of 21st century (IPCC 2007; Schmidhuber and Tubiello 2007). The
temperature increase in rivers and sea-surface (due to climate change) are projected to cause
substantial impacts on fisheries, aquaculture, and seafood security across the globe (negative,
positive and mixed).
Temperature (T°C) Ocean acidification (OA) Sea-level rise (SLR) Extreme events (EE)
(rise in T°C) (decrease in pH) (rise in sea-level) (increase in the frequency and
intensity of EE)
T°C OA SLR EE
The rise in river and sea surface Decrease in pH of the ocean. Average increase in the The increase in the frequency
temperatures. Effects: negative effects on level of world’s oceans. and intensity of extreme events.
Effects: enhance fish growth, fish food (krill, pteropods) Effects: salinisation of Effects: The destruction of
fish diseases, coral bleaching, and seafood organisms (e.g. freshwater aquaculture seagrass and seaweed beds and
seafood contamination, algal molluscs, corals, facilities; drowning of coral mangroves (see Table 4 for
blooms; poleward echinoderms, fish) and reefs; damage of mangroves details).
movement/expansion of warm positive effects on seaweeds and salt marshes (see Table
water species (see Table 1 for and seagrasses (see Table 2 3 for details).
details). for details).
Figure 1. Synopsis of climate change effects on river, estuary, ocean and aquatic biodiversity (fish, coral, shrimp,
seagrass).
Fish growing seasons and fish growth: Fish living in temperate and Polar Regions could be
more beneficial since larger temperature changes are expected in the higher latitudes (as
compared to tropical areas where a small temperature increase is predicted). An increase in
water temperature would extend the fish growing season in the temperate areas. Moreover,
the rising temperature could reduce over-wintering stress normally experienced by temperate
fishes (Table 1). Thus, longer growing season and lower winter stress may enhance the
productivity of temperate fisheries. Aquaculture can be expanded into new areas as a result of
the decrease in ice cover (Handisyde et al 2006; Ficke et al 2007; Muir and Allinson 2007).
Coral bleaching: Increasing temperature is causing mass coral bleaching and resulting
mortalities (Hoegh-Guldberg et al 2007). Such bleaching will have rapid impacts on the
diversity and species composition of coral reef fish communities and other associated
organisms (see also the section on ocean acidification).
Fish movement, fish catch, food security and fishing opportunities: Global warming would
result in the poleward movement/expansion of warm water species (fish to move to colder
waters to escape warmer water), resulting in increased marine fish yield in high latitudes
Perry et al 2005; Last et al 2011; Cheung et al 2013; Barange et al 2014). Such movement
would cause a decrease in fisheries in the tropics. As a consequence, south and southeast
Asia, southwest Africa, Peru, and various small island developing states would have a
significant decline in fish catch. Whereas, Norway and Iceland would have a significant
increase in fish catch (Cheung et al 2013; Barange et al 2014). There could be a significant
decrease in catch potentials by up to 40% in the low latitude/tropics, of which, the Indo-Pacific
regions will be most highly impacted (Cheung et al 2010; Perry 2011). On the contrary, fish catch
potentials in higher latitude regions will increase on an average by 30% to 70%, of which, the
largest increases have been projected to occur off Norway, Greenland, Alaska (USA), eastern
Russia and Iceland (Cheung et al 2010; Perry 2011). This will have a negative impact on food
security in many tropical countries and small island nations who are dependent on fisheries resources
for food, animal protein, revenues, and livelihoods. The poleward shifts of fish will result in
associated poleward job shifts, catch and value due to shifting of fish species.
Implications of rise in temperatures: The rise in temperatures will have both negative and
positive effect on fisheries and aquaculture, of which, temperate areas/countries will be
winners and tropical regions/countries will be losers (due to shifting in fish species from the
tropical areas to the temperate areas to escape the heat stress) (Table 1).
Table 1. Examples of the impact of the rise in temperatures on fisheries, aquaculture, and seafood (+ve =
positive; -ve = negative).
Criteria Impacts +ve or -ve
Fish growing Would enhance fish growing seasons (temperate areas) (Handisyde et al +ve (temperate)
season 2006).
Lower wild fish mortality in winter in temperate areas (Handisyde et al +ve (temperate)
2006).
Fish growth, Warmer temperature would enhance fish growth rates and feed conversion ratio +ve (temperate)
reproduction and (metabolic rate) (Handisyde et al 2006; Perry 2011).
survival Warmer temperature would cause a decrease in dissolved oxygen that -ve
may affect fish’s growth, reproductive success, and survival (Muir and
Allinson 2007; Kibria et al 2016a).
Higher water temperatures may cause changes in sex-ratio, altered time -ve
of spawning and migration (Allinson et al 2005; Handisyde et al 2006;
Daw et al 2009).
Fish diversity Reduced dissolved oxygen concentrations will generally reduce aquatic -ve
species (fish) diversity if water quality is impaired by eutrophication
The ocean absorbs approximately ~30% of atmospheric CO2 resulting from human activities
including fossil fuel burning, industries, cement manufacturing, deforestation and land use
changes. CO2 dissolves in water, forms carbonic acid (H2CO3) and cause a decrease in ocean
pH (due to increase in hydrogen ion concentration or H+). This is called ‘Ocean acidification’
(Roessig et al 2005; Meehl et al 2007; Turley et al 2010). The higher absorption of CO2 has
already acidified the surface layers of the ocean causing an overall decrease of 0.1 pH units
since the pre-industrial period, which is equivalent to a 30% increase in hydrogen ion
Fish food organisms (krill, pteropods): Many animals like whales, seals, penguins and fishes
are dependent on krill (Euphausia superba) fishery. But krill population could be vulnerable
to OA. For example, at elevated seawater CO2 levels, egg hatching rates of krills were found
significantly lower, it also showed delayed embryonic development (Kawaguchi et al 2013).
Pteropods are also an important food source for fish such as juvenile salmon, tiny krill, and
giant whales) and birds. The shells of pteropods, Limacina helicina antarctica – living in the
seas around Antarctica are being severely dissoluted by ocean acidification according to a
new study (Bednaršek et al 2012). The consequence of loss of shell of pteropods due to OA
will be increasing the vulnerability of pteropods to predation and infection, which, will in
turn impact other components of the food web.
Molluscs (abalone, oyster, clam, and mussel): OA would cause growth reductions and
abnormal larvae in abalone; decreased calcification and larval shell growth and abnormal
larvae in oysters; reduced survival and calcification rates and decreased fertilisation and
embryo development in scallops and dissolutions of shells in scallops and mussels (Table 2).
Corals: Increasing OA can significantly reduce the ability of reef-building corals to produce
their skeletons via reduced calcification (Bednaršek et al 2012). For example, Albright et al
(2010) demonstrated that OA could comprise successful fertilisation, larval settlement,
growth and survival of Elkhorn coral, Acropora palmate (an endangered and critical reef-
building species which once dominated in the tropical coral reef ecosystems). Research
results (Albright et al 2010) suggest that OA could severely impact the ability of coral reefs
to recover from disturbances since fertilisation, settlement and growth were all negatively
impacted by increasing pCO2. Many marine species use coral reefs as habitat and refuge, for
example, one-fourth of worlds’ marine fish species use the coral habitat at least during a part
of their lifetime.
Echinoderms (sea urchin and sea cucumber): OA caused a decrease in survival, reduced
calcification and fecundity in sea urchin and sea cucumber (Table 2).
Fish: Elevated CO2 results in tissue damage in internal organs (liver, pancreas, kidney, eye,
and gut) of Atlantic cod (Gadus morhua) larvae; reduced survival in estuarine fish (Menidia
beryllina) and reduced learning abilities and lateralisation (swim towards predator smells
instead of away) in reef-fishes Pomacentrus amboinensis and Neopomacentrus
azysron (Table 2).
Table 2. Examples of the impact of ocean acidification (OA) on fisheries, aquaculture and seafood.
Species group Impacts -
ve or
+ve
Phytoplankton OA would increase the frequency and severity of harmful algal blooms that -ve
produces toxins (Hallegraeff 2010). For example, the production of potent
neurotoxins —domoic acid by common and sometimes prolific diatom species of
Pseudo-nitzschia and saxitoxin by dinoflagellate species of Alexandrium has been
shown to increase markedly under OA conditions (Hwang and Lu 2000; Fu et al
2010; Tatters et al 2013).
The fish-killing alga, Heterosigma akashiwo (red tide forming raphidophyte) -ve
responded strongly to an increase in dissolved CO 2 (increased rates of growth and
primary productivity) (Clark and Flynn 2000; Fu et al 2008) regardless of
temperature (Fu et al 2008). The fact that H. akashiwo may gain a competitive
advantage due to OA would seriously threaten salmon aquaculture in Canada
(Haigh et al 2015).
Macroalgae Elevated pCO2 can affect calcifying macroalgae, such as the ability to build and -ve
maintain the calcified component of their tissues (Hurd et al 2009). Hofmann et al
(2012) observed reduced calcification and growth for a cosmopolitan species of
red algae when exposed to elevated pCO2 over a 4-week period.
The direct effect of OA is hypothesised to be positive on non-calcifying species +ve
due to enhanced availability of CO2 for carbon assimilation but negative for
calcifying species due to reduced growth and dissolution of protective shells
(Haigh et al 2015).
Seagrasses will likely benefit from increased pCO2 because higher DIC +ve
(dissolved inorganic carbon) helps them compensate for light limitation (Haigh et
al 2015), for example, seagrasses showed higher growth rates, as much as five-
fold or higher with acidification (Hendriks et al 2010).
The growth rates of red seaweeds, Porphyra yezoensis and Gracilaria (red +ve
seaweed) were enhanced with increasing CO2 concentrations (Roleda and Hurd
2012).
Mesozooplankt Mesozooplankton (such as Acartia spp. and Calanus spp.) are critical for several
on commercially-valuable fish species that prey on them directly, such as Pacific
(copepods) Herring, Pacific Hake, Pacific Sardine, various salmon species, and Spiny
Dogfish (Squalus acanthias) (Mackas et al 2001), In Puget Sound, Washington
egg hatching in Calanus pacificus was reduced under elevated pCO2 whereas
survival rates were unaffected by OA (Haigh et al 2015).
Pteropods Live pteropods harvested from waters under, or near, saturation with respect to -ve
Sea level rise (SLR) is the average increase in the level of world’s oceans. Global warming or
increases in temperatures cause the oceans to warm and expand in volume inducing a rise in
the sea levels. Furthermore, warmer climate facilitates melting of glaciers, ice caps and ice
sheets causing the further addition of water to the oceans (Kibria and Haroon 2016). The
latest IPCC report predicts a sea-level rise of 0.18-0.38 m (low greenhouse gas emissions- B1
scenario) and 0.2 to 0.59 m (high greenhouse gas emission-A1F1 scenario) at the end of this
century (Solomon et al 2007). Rising sea level is one of the most catastrophic consequences
of global warming/climate change and a major threat to coastal habitats, coastal aquaculture
and fisheries worldwide (Kibria 2016) (Table 3).
Aquaculture facilities: Higher sea levels can lead to intrusion of saline water into lowland
and deltaic regions causing a destruction of freshwater aquaculture facilities (e.g. salinisation
of freshwater ponds, dams, lakes, streams, creeks, rivers). In the case of Bangladesh, the SLR
may cause loss/shift of natural breeding grounds of native freshwater fish species in
Bangladesh (Table 3). On the other hand, sea level rise would expand areas suitable for
brackish water aquaculture.
Corals: A rise in sea levels would increase the depth of water above coral reefs, resulting
lower light penetration to support photosynthetic algae living within coral
(e.g. Zooxanthellae). If the water depth increases faster than the corals can grow, they could
effectively destroy habitats for fish upon which many artisanal fisheries are dependent. Two-
thirds of all marine fish species are associated with coral reef environments (Guidry and
Mackenzie 2012; http://eatlas.org.au/content/relationship-between-corals-and-fishes-great-
barrier-reef).
Table 2. Examples of the impact of ocean acidification (OA) on fisheries, aquaculture and seafood.
Species group Impacts -
ve or
+ve
Phytoplankton OA would increase the frequency and severity of harmful algal blooms that -ve
produces toxins (Hallegraeff 2010). For example, the production of potent
neurotoxins —domoic acid by common and sometimes prolific diatom species of
Pseudo-nitzschia and saxitoxin by dinoflagellate species of Alexandrium has been
shown to increase markedly under OA conditions (Hwang and Lu 2000; Fu et al
2010; Tatters et al 2013).
The fish-killing alga, Heterosigma akashiwo (red tide forming raphidophyte) -ve
responded strongly to an increase in dissolved CO 2 (increased rates of growth and
primary productivity) (Clark and Flynn 2000; Fu et al 2008) regardless of
temperature (Fu et al 2008). The fact that H. akashiwo may gain a competitive
advantage due to OA would seriously threaten salmon aquaculture in Canada
(Haigh et al 2015).
Macroalgae Elevated pCO2 can affect calcifying macroalgae, such as the ability to build and -ve
maintain the calcified component of their tissues (Hurd et al 2009). Hofmann et al
(2012) observed reduced calcification and growth for a cosmopolitan species of
red algae when exposed to elevated pCO2 over a 4-week period.
The direct effect of OA is hypothesised to be positive on non-calcifying species +ve
due to enhanced availability of CO2 for carbon assimilation but negative for
calcifying species due to reduced growth and dissolution of protective shells
(Haigh et al 2015).
Seagrasses will likely benefit from increased pCO2 because higher DIC +ve
(dissolved inorganic carbon) helps them compensate for light limitation (Haigh et
al 2015), for example, seagrasses showed higher growth rates, as much as five-
fold or higher with acidification (Hendriks et al 2010).
The growth rates of red seaweeds, Porphyra yezoensis and Gracilaria (red +ve
seaweed) were enhanced with increasing CO2 concentrations (Roleda and Hurd
2012).
Mesozooplankt Mesozooplankton (such as Acartia spp. and Calanus spp.) are critical for several
on commercially-valuable fish species that prey on them directly, such as Pacific
(copepods) Herring, Pacific Hake, Pacific Sardine, various salmon species, and Spiny
Dogfish (Squalus acanthias) (Mackas et al 2001), In Puget Sound, Washington
egg hatching in Calanus pacificus was reduced under elevated pCO2 whereas
survival rates were unaffected by OA (Haigh et al 2015).
Pteropods Live pteropods harvested from waters under, or near, saturation with respect to -ve
aragonite showed evidence of dissolution (Bednarsek et al 2012; Roger et al
2012; Bednarsek et al 2014).
Live pteropods incubated for short periods at the high end of present-day pCO2 -ve
and elevated pCO2 showed reduced calcification (Comeau et al 2010; Lischka and
Riebesell 2012).
Larvae of the Mediterranean pteropod, Cavolinia inflexa were exposed to pH 8.1, -ve
7.82 and 7.51 (equivalent to pCO2 levels of 380, 857 and 1,713 μatm
respectively); larvae exhibited malformations and lower shell growth at pH 7.82
The percentage of normal larvae and size of larvae reduced and arm asymmetry -ve
increased when Echinometra mathaei (sea urchin) were exposed to elevated CO2,
Aquaculture facilities: Higher sea levels can lead to intrusion of saline water into lowland
and deltaic regions causing a destruction of freshwater aquaculture facilities (e.g. salinisation
of freshwater ponds, dams, lakes, streams, creeks, rivers). In the case of Bangladesh, the SLR
may cause loss/shift of natural breeding grounds of native freshwater fish species in
Bangladesh (Table 3). On the other hand, sea level rise would expand areas suitable for
brackish water aquaculture.
Corals: A rise in sea levels would increase the depth of water above coral reefs, resulting
lower light penetration to support photosynthetic algae living within coral (e.g.
Zooxanthellae). If the water depth increases faster than the corals can grow, they could
effectively destroy habitats for fish upon which many artisanal fisheries are dependent. Two-
thirds of all marine fish species are associated with coral reef environments (Guidry and
Mackenzie 2012; http://eatlas.org.au/content/relationship-between-corals-and-fishes-great-
barrier-reef).
Implications: SLR would cause salinisation of freshwater ponds, dams, lakes, streams,
creeks, rivers, it would affect nursery and breeding grounds of many estuarine fish and
migratory species. The possible drowning of corals reefs and coral mortality due to SLR
would impact fisheries depending on coral habitat. One of the positive aspects of SLR is that
it will create new areas for brackish water fish/shrimp. In short, the economic loss and
impacts on food security due to SLR would be in both tropical and temperate areas/countries.
The risks of sea-level rise should be incorporated in all the current and future development
Table 3. Examples of the impact of sea-level rise (SLR) on fisheries, aquaculture, and seafood.
Category Impacts -ve/+ve
Surface and Contamination of both surface and groundwater resources with chloride -ve
groundwater (salt), in particular in the low-lying coastal areas due to saltwater
intrusion (Kibria 2016).
Coastal habitats Coastal habitats and wetlands (salt marshes, mangroves, and intertidal -ve
and wetlands areas) would be inundated due to SLR, resulting in loss or damage of
wetlands including Ramsar/ World Heritage sites (Kibria 2016).
Nursery and Mangroves and coastal habitats used by commercial fish, shrimps, crabs, -ve
spawning grounds as a nursery or spawning grounds, could be destroyed (Kibria 2016).
of fish/shrimp
Coastal Salinisation of freshwater aquaculture facilities, therefore, would reduce -ve
aquaculture the area available for freshwater aquaculture (Kibria 2016).
Rice-Fish Likely salinisation of rice fields in coastal areas of Bangladesh, which -ve
aquaculture would hinder integrated rice-fish culture in coastal districts (Kibria and
Haroon 2016).
Breeding grounds SLR may cause loss/shift of natural breeding grounds of native -ve
of native fish freshwater fish species in Bangladesh - the Gangetic major carps (rui -
Labeo rohita, katal -Catla catla, and mrigal - Cirrhinus cirrhosus) in the
Halda River, Chittagong (Kibria and Haroon 2016).
Estuarine fish and Nursery and breeding grounds of many estuarine and migratory fish -ve
migratory species species residing in the Sundarbans mangroves in Bangladesh may be
affected due to SLR (World Bank 2000) and this would impact
aquaculture (shrimps/prawns/fish/crab) seed supply and fisheries in
general (Kibria and Haroon 2016).
Coral-associated Drowning of coral reefs, the amount of light reaching corals is reduced -ve
fisheries due to SLR, in particular, the slow growing coral species that are living
at their physiological depth limit are especially susceptible to the
consequences of SLR. The synergetic effects of the rise in surface
temperatures (Table 1) and ocean acidification (Table 2) and SLR (Table
3) on corals would reduce growth rates of corals impacting fisheries
depending on coral habitats (Guidry and Mackenzie 2012).
Fishing harbours, SLR may cause loss of fishing harbours and fishers’ homes. -ve
fishers’ homes
Brackish water SLR also will create new areas for brackish water fish/shrimp +ve
aquaculture aquaculture (Kibria and Haroon 2016).
Storms: Increased intensity and frequency of storms may cause mortality of corals; destroy
seagrass and seaweed beds and mangroves; erode turtle’s eggs and nest in beaches; introduce
Floods: Floods will have both negative and positive effects on fisheries and aquaculture. For
example, floods will change the salinity in freshwater and brackish water fishponds; fast
flowing rivers (due to floods) would injure larval and juvenile fish; damage fisheries assets
(fish ponds, weirs, pen, cages; rice fields); on the other hand, floods will enhance migration
of fish, enhance spawning of native fishes (which require flood pulse); improve water quality
of rivers and lakes (see also Table 4).
Droughts: Drought would limit water supplies and water availability for aquaculture;
increase the competition for water resources for aquaculture, agriculture, livestock, drinking;
and may cause drying out of lakes, ponds, and loss of fish habitats (see also Table 4).
Bush/forest fires: It is projected that the incidence of bush/forest fire would increase in many
countries including Australia (as a consequence of climate change). During and after the fire,
nutrients from ash and debris would enter into water bodies that may cause water turbid
resulting in fish kills (see also Table 4).
Implications: Extreme events would destroy seagrass beds and mangroves (which are
nursery areas for fishes). Floods will have both negative and positive effects on fisheries and
aquaculture. Drought would increase competition for water resources. In short, the economic
loss and impacts on food security due to EE could be substantial in both tropical and
temperate areas/countries.
Table 4. Examples of the impact of extreme events (EE) on fisheries, aquaculture, and seafood.
Extreme Impacts -ve/+ve
events
Storms Storm and cyclone events can reduce coral growth and increase coral -ve
mortality (http://icran.org/pdf/ClimateChangeIssueBriefs.pdf).
Frequent or more severe storms may destroy seagrass beds and mangroves -ve
(Hobday et al 2006) which are habitats for fish.
Storms may shift the distributions and compositions of seaweed (kelp) -ve
ecosystems (Hobday et al 2006).
Climate – related increases in wave energy and storm events may erode -ve
nesting beaches and reduce egg survival of turtles (Hobday et al 2006).
Storms may facilitate the introduction of diseases or predators into -ve
aquaculture facilities (Kibria et al 2016a).
Coastal ponds, sea cages, and other aquaculture installations would be at -ve
greater risk of damage during storms. Storms may cause loss of aquaculture
stocks and fishing gears deployed.
The increase in the frequency and intensity of storms would increase the -ve
risks of accidents to fishers (both inland and coastal) and coastal community
(Allison et al 2009).
Increase in the frequency and intensity of storms would increase aquaculture -ve
and fishing insurance costs.
Increased in the frequency and intensity of storm events may cause greater -ve
nutrient, sediment, and contaminant loads into lakes, rivers and this, in turn,
would increase the water quality problems (Kibria et al 2016a).
Floods Would cause changes in freshwater and brackish salinity of aquaculture -ve
ponds
Floods may damage productive assets (fish ponds, weirs, rice fields, etc.) -ve
and homes (Allison et al. 2009).
Fisheries in fish loving tropical nations such as Bangladesh, the Pacific Islands, the Maldives,
and parts of Africa would be most vulnerable due to climate change (fish provides >60%
animal protein supply in these countries/nations). These countries/regions are vulnerable due
to lack or limited resources, capacity and capabilities to adapt to climate change (being poor)
and high dependency on fish, fisheries, fishing and aquaculture as a source of food, animal
protein, revenues, and livelihoods (Figure 2). River and estuarine fisheries and freshwater
aquaculture in Bangladesh; lake fisheries in Africa and the coral reef fisheries in Australia,
the Maldives, the tropical Pacific Islands and Colombia are threatened by climate change.
The temperate North America and Europe will have both positive and negative impacts of
climate change (Figure 2).
To achieve sustainability in fisheries and aquaculture in line with the new global sustainable
development goals (http://www.un.org/sustainabledevelopment/sustainable-development-
goals/), it will be essential to identify appropriate adaptation and mitigation measures, some
of which are highlighted below:
To adapt and mitigate climate change, the following climate-smart aquaculture can be
implemented in tropical poor countries, where fish are the main sources of animal protein
supply and provide significant support for livelihoods for the poor: i. selection of aquaculture
fish species which are tolerant to higher temperatures, salinity, diseases and low water
quality; ii. integrated concurrent rice-fish-duck farming; iii. integrated brackish water
aquaculture-mangrove/aqua-silviculture (the integration of aquaculture and mangrove
forestry will lead to increased production due to ecosystem services, sequester carbon/sinks
carbon and are more resilient to shock and extreme events); iv. the culture of seaweeds and
molluscs (oysters, clams which are energy efficient aquaculture and has a relatively low
carbon footprint); v. wastewater-fed aquaculture (in water-stressed countries/ areas); vi. use
of agricultural crop materials or waste products for growing carnivorous aquatic species etc.
One of the adaptation measures that may be taken to counteract the losses of rice lands or
freshwater ponds due to SLR is to grow salt tolerant rice in affected rice areas or to grow
brackish water shrimp/prawn and salt-water fish species and harvesting rainwater (in SLR
prone areas) (Kibria 2015b). Simultaneous forestry, food, fish production or so-called “Three
F models” can be implemented to reduce the vulnerability of coastal communities in cyclone
and storm prone countries like Bangladesh. Here, mangroves (F) should be planted along the
perimeter of the elevated homesteads to protect against cyclones/storms; vegetables (F) at the
backyard, fish/shrimp farming (F) in dug ponds/gher. Such practices would enhance farmer’s
income, diversify livelihoods and are energy and resource efficient (Kibria 2015b).
Mitigation: Mitigation is tackling the cause of climate change such as, reducing the sources
or enhancing the sinks of greenhouse gases (GHG). GHG emissions from fisheries/fishing
activities can be reduced by eliminating inefficient fleet structures and use of more efficient
vessels and gears (FAO 2008); improving fisheries management; reducing post-harvest
losses; increasing waste recycling; shifting towards static fishing technologies. Marine
organisms including farmed- and capture-fished species and many of their food organisms
(that build calcareous skeletal structures), reef-building corals, marine micro-organisms,
invertebrates, and finfishes contribute to calcium carbonate deposits and can act as oceanic
carbon sinks (Pullin and White 2011). Therefore, protection and conservation of calcifying
Conclusions
Fish is an important source of animal protein for billions of people and in some
tropical countries like Bangladesh, the Pacific islands, and the Maldives and parts of
Africa, fish provides more than 60% animal protein supply and supports the
livelihood of the poor. Fisheries in these countries/nations are most vulnerable to the
climate change.
Climate change (the rise in temperatures, ocean acidification, sea-level rise and
extreme events) is an additional threat and risk to world fisheries, aquaculture, and
seafood security, in addition, to existing threats posed by other stressors.
River and estuarine fisheries and freshwater aquaculture in Bangladesh, lake fisheries
in Africa and the coral reef fisheries in Australia, the Maldives, the tropical Pacific
Islands and Colombia are threatened by climate change.
The rise in T°C will have both negative and positive effects on fisheries and
aquaculture, of which, the temperate areas/countries will benefit, while the tropical
regions/countries will be losers due to shift in fish species from the tropical areas to
the temperate areas to escape heat stress. Such movement (shift in fish species) would
cause a decrease in fisheries in the tropics including south and southeast Asia and
various small island developing states, whereas, Norway and Iceland would have a
significant increase in fish catch. The rising temperatures would cause mass coral
bleaching and coral mortalities impacting the diversity and species composition of
reef fisheries and may enhance seafood contamination (algal toxins and metals).
The OA would adversely affect many organisms that use calcium carbonate for their
skeletons It will have negative effects on fish food (krill, pteropods) and seafood
organisms (e.g. molluscs, corals, echinoderms, fish) and positive effects on seaweeds
and seagrasses (non-calcifying). OA would cause a decrease in abundance of
commercially exploited seafood organisms (shellfish and finfish) and reduce the
resilience of other environmental stressors on the marine ecosystem. Many of the
small Pacific Island nations depend on coral reef fisheries for 90% of their animal
protein needs and livelihoods.
SLR would cause salinisation of freshwater ponds, dams, lakes, streams, creeks,
rivers. The rising sea-level would damage or destroy many coastal ecosystems
including mangroves and salt marshes. These ecosystems are essential habitats for
wild fish stocks and a source of natural seed for aquaculture. The possible inundation
of corals reefs and coral mortality due to SLR would impact reef fisheries that depend
on the coral habitat. Two-thirds of all marine fish species are associated with coral
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