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The actual number of patients at Providence Emergency Medical Clinic for the first six weeks of this

year follows:

Week Actual No. of Patients


1 85
2 88
3 97
4 80
5 86
6 93
Clinic administrator Dana Schniederjans wants you to forecast patient numbers at the clinic for
week 7 by using this data. You decide to use a weighted moving average method to find this
forecast. Your method uses four actual demand levels, with weights of 0.500 on the
present period, 0.250 one period ago, 0.125 two periods ago, and 0.125 three periods ago.
Part 2
a) What is the value of your forecast? The value of the forecast is enter your response here
patients (round your response to two decimal places).

Part 3
b) If instead the weights were 40, 20, 10, and 10, respectively, how would the forecast change?

A.The value of the forecast will increase.


B.The value of the forecast will decrease.
C.The value of the forecast will remain the same.

Part 4
c) What if the weights were 0.60, 0.20, 0.10, and 0.10, respectively? Now what is the forecast for
week 7?
The value of the forecast is enter your response here patients (round your response to two
decimal places).

The Carbondale Hospital is considering the purchase of a new ambulance. The decision will rest
partly on the anticipated mileage to be driven next year. The miles driven during the past 5 years
are as follows:

Year 1 2 3 4 5
Mileage 3,000 4,050 3,450 3,750 3,800
Part 2
a) Using a 2-year moving average, the forecast for year 6 = enter your response here
miles (round your response to the nearest whole number).
Part 3
b) If a 2-year moving average is used to make the forecast, the MAD based on this = enter your
response here miles (round your response to one decimal place). (Hint: You will have only 3
years of matched data.)

Part 4
c) The forecast for year 6 using a weighted 2-year moving average with weights of 0.45 and 0.55
(the weight of 0.55 is for the most recent period) = enter your response here miles (round your
response to the nearest whole number).
Part 5
The MAD for the forecast developed using a weighted 2-year moving average with weights of 0.45
and 0.55 = enter your response here miles (round your response to one decimal place). (Hint:
You will have only 3 years of matched data.)
Part 6
d) Using exponential smoothing with α = 0.50 and the forecast for year 1 being 3,000, the forecast
for year 6 = enter your response here miles (round your response to the nearest whole number).

Dr. Lillian Fok, a New Orleans psychologist, specializes in treating patients who are
agoraphobic (i.e., afraid to leave their homes). The following table indicates how many patients Dr.
Fok has seen each year for the past 10 years. It also indicates what the robbery rate was in New
Orleans during the same year:

Year 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Number of Patients 37 33 39 41 42 56 62 54 59 60
Robbery Rate per 1,000 Population 58.3 60.6 73.4 75.2 78.5 89.5 101.5 95.4 102.2 115.6
Part 2
The simple linear regression equation that shows the best relationship between the number of
patients and the robbery rate is (round your responses to three decimal places):

<="" path="">y
=
enter your response here
+
enter your response here x
where
<="" path="">y
= Number of Patients and x = Robbery Rate.
Part 3
In year 11, if the robbery rate increases to
132.50,
using trend analysis, the number of patients Dr. Fok will see =
enter your response here
patients (round your response to two decimal places).
Part 4
In year 11, if the robbery rate decreases to
88.5,
using trend analysis, the number of patients Dr. Fok will see =
enter your response here
patients (round your response to two decimal places).

A production line at V. J. Sugumaran's machine shop has three stations. The first station can
process a unit in 6 minutes. The second station has two identical machines, each of which can
process a unit in 10 minutes (each unit only needs to be processed on one of the two
machines). The third station can process a unit in 8 minutes.

Part 2

Station 1
Station 2
Station 3

is the bottleneck station, with a bottleneck time of enter your response here minutes per unit (enter
your response as a whole number).

The Pullman Mfg., Inc. three-station work cell illustrated in the figure below has two machines at
station 1 in parallel. (The product needs to go through only one of the two machines before
proceeding to station 2.)
Station 1Machine AStation 1Machine BStation 2Station 320 min/unit20 min/unit2 min/unit12 min/
unit


A three-station work cell has a product that must go through one of the two machines at station 1
(they are parallel) before proceeding to station 2 and then on to station 3. Both Machine A and
Machine B at Station 1 take 20 minutes per unit. Station 2 takes 2 minutes per unit. Station 3 takes
12 minutes per unit.
The manager, Ms. Hartley, has asked you to evaluate the system if she adds a parallel machine at
station
3.
Part 2
a) The throughput time of the new work cell is enter your response here minutes (enter your
response as a whole number).
Part 3
b) The bottleneck time of the new work cell is enter your response here minutes per unit (enter
your response as a whole number).
Part 4
c) If the firm operates 9 hours per day, 6 days per week, the weekly capacity of the work cell with
the second machine at workstation 3 is enter your response here
units (enter your response as a whole number).
Part 5
d) If the firm operates 9 hours per day, 6 days per week, the weekly capacity of the work cell without
the second machine at workstation 3 is enter your response here units (enter your response as a
whole number).

Northeastern Insurance Company is considering opening an office in the U.S. The two cities under
consideration are Philadelphia and New York.
The factor ratings (higher scores are better) for the two cities are given in the following table.

Factor Weight Philadelphia New York


Customer convenience 0.25 70 80
Bank accessibility 0.20 40 85
Computer support 0.20 85 80
Rental costs 0.15 90 55
Labor costs 0.10 75 50
Taxes 0.10 85 50
Part 2
Based on the given information, the best location for Northeastern Insurance Company to open the
office is

Philadelphia
New York
,
with a total weighted score of
enter your response here .
(Enter your response rounded to two decimal places.)

Hyundai Motors is considering three


sites—A,
B, and
C—at
which to locate a factory to build its new-model automobile, the Hyundai Sport C150. The goal is to
locate at a minimum-cost site, where cost is measured by the annual fixed plus variable costs of
production. Hyundai Motors has gathered the following data:
Variable Cost per
Site Annualized Fixed Cost
Auto Produced
A $12,000,000 $2,600
B $22,000,000 $2,000
C $25,000,000 $1,050
The firm knows it will produce between 0 and 60,000 Sport C150s at the new plant each year, but,
thus far, that is the extent of its knowledge about production plans.
Part 2
a) The value of volume, V, of production above which site C is recommended =
enter your response here Sport C150s (round your response up to the next whole number).
Part 3
b) The value of volume, V, of production below which site A is recommended =
enter your response here Sport C150s (round your response up to the next whole number).
Part 4
c) Over what range of volume is site B optimal?
A.Site
B is never optimal because its cost line always exceeds that of A or C for all volume levels.
B.
Site
B
is always optimal because its cost line is always below that of A and C for all volume levels.
C.
Site
B is optimal for volumes above 16,667 Sport C150s.
D.Site
B
is optimal for volumes from
8,388
to
16,667
Sport C150s.

A chain of home health care firms in Louisiana needs to locate a central office from which to
conduct internal audits and other periodic reviews of its facilities. These facilities are scattered
throughout the state, as detailed in the following table. Each site, except for Houma, will be visited
three times each year by a team of workers, who will drive from the central office to the site. Houma
will be visited five times a year.

Map Coordinates
City X Y
Covington 9.0 3.5
Donaldsonville 7.3 2.2
Houma 8.0 1.1
Monroe 5.0 8.7
Natchitoches 3.0 6.5
New Iberia 5.5 2.1
Opelousas 5.2 3.3
Ruston 3.8 8.5
For the location of the new central office, the coordinates should be near:
Part 2
x=
enter your response here (round your response to two decimal places).
Part 3 y = enter your response here (round your response to two decimal places).

Part 4
The center-of-gravity approach minimizes the distance traveled assuming straight lines. This
approach ignores geographical features that would tend to violate the straight line constraint such
as (select all that apply):
A. Rivers
B. Trips
C. Non-straight roads
D. Bridges

You have just been hired as the director of operations for Reid Chocolates, a purveyor of
exceptionally fine candies. Reid Chocolates is evaluating a kitchen layout under consideration for its
recipe making and testing department. The strategy is to provide the best kitchen layout possible so
that food scientists can devote their time and energy to product improvement, not wasted effort in
the kitchen.
Figure 1. Number of trips between work
centers

To: Refrig
Counter Sink Storage Stove
From: erator
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5)
Refrigerator − 10 14 0 0
Counter 5 − 3 5 10
Sink 5 12 − 5 0
Storage 3 0 0 − 7
Stove 0 9 6 12 −
Part 2
A potential kitchen layout is shown in Figure 2 below. The walking distance between the areas is in
feet. For example, the distance from area 1 to area 2 is 4 feet, area 1 to area 5 is 4 feet.
Figure 2. Kitchen Layout
Part 3
For this layout, the cumulative "load×distance"or "movement cost"= enter your response here feet
(enter your response as a whole number).
Illinois Furniture, Inc., produces all types of office furniture. The "Executive Secretary" is a chair that
has been designed using ergonomics to provide comfort during long work hours. The chair sells
for $130. There are 480 minutes available during the day, and the average daily demand has been
50
chairs. There are eight tasks:

Performance
Task Task Must Follow Task Listed Below
Time (mins)
A 5 −
B 6 −
C 7 A, B
D 5 C
E 5 D
F 7 E
G 8 E
H 6 F, G
This exercise only contains part a.
Part 2
a) The correct precedence diagram is present in

Figure 2
Figure 3
Figure 1
.

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