Red Meat Consumption and Risk of Stroke in Swedish Men

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Red meat consumption and risk of stroke in Swedish men1–3

Susanna C Larsson, Jarmo Virtamo, and Alicja Wolk

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ABSTRACT between red meat consumption and stroke incidence (10) or
Background: Red and processed meat consumption has been im- mortality (11) in men. For elucidating potential biological
plicated in several diseases. However, data on meat consumption in mechanisms and guiding policy priorities, it is important to assess
relation to stroke incidence are sparse. fresh red meat and processed meat consumption separately in
Objective: Our objective was to examine the associations of red relation to stroke risk. The aim of this study was to investigate the
meat and processed meat consumption with stroke incidence in associations of fresh red meat and processed meat consumption
men. with stroke incidence in a large prospective cohort of Swedish
Design: We prospectively followed 40,291 men aged 45–79 y who men with 11 y of follow-up.
had no history of cardiovascular disease or cancer at baseline. Meat
consumption was assessed with a self-administered questionnaire in
1997. SUBJECTS AND METHODS
Results: During a mean follow-up of 10.1 y, 2409 incident cases of
stroke (1849 cerebral infarctions, 350 hemorrhagic strokes, and 210 Study population
unspecified strokes) were identified from the Swedish Hospital Dis- The Cohort of Swedish Men was initiated in the autumn of
charge Registry. Consumption of processed meat, but not of fresh 1997, when all men who were aged 45–79 y and resided in the
red meat, was positively associated with risk of stroke. The multi- Västmanland and Örebro counties of central Sweden received
variable relative risks (RRs) of total stroke for the highest compared a questionnaire that included ’350 items concerning diet and
with the lowest quintiles of consumption were 1.23 (95% CI: 1.07, other lifestyle factors. Of the 48,850 men (49% of the source
1.40; P for trend = 0.004) for processed meat and 1.07 (95% CI: population) who returned a completed questionnaire, we ex-
0.93, 1.24; P for trend = 0.77) for fresh red meat. Processed meat cluded those with an erroneous or a missing national identifi-
consumption was also positively associated with risk of cerebral cation number and those with implausible values for total energy
infarction in a comparison of the highest with the lowest quintile intake (ie, 3 SDs from the loge-transformed mean energy in-
(RR: 1.18; 95% CI: 1.01, 1.38; P for trend = 0.03). take). We further excluded men with a history of stroke, coro-
Conclusion: The findings from this prospective cohort of men in- nary heart disease, or cancer at baseline because these diseases
dicate that processed meat consumption is positively associated with might have caused a change in diet. After these exclusions,
risk of stroke. The Cohort of Swedish Men is registered at clinical- 40,291 men remained for analysis. The study was approved by
trials.gov as NCT01127711. Am J Clin Nutr 2011;94:417–21. the Regional Ethical Review Board at the Karolinska Institutet
(Stockholm, Sweden).

INTRODUCTION Baseline data collection


Reduced consumption of red meat and avoidance of processed
Information on education, body weight, height, smoking status
meat has been recommended as a way to lower the risk of cancer
and history, physical activity, aspirin use, history of diabetes and
(1). Recent evidence has also indicated that high consumption of
hypertension, family history of myocardial infarction before age
red meat, particularly processed meat, may be a risk factor for
60 y, alcohol consumption, and diet was obtained in 1997 by
coronary heart disease (2–4) and type 2 diabetes (3). Red meat
consumption has been positively associated with blood pressure 1
From the Division of Nutritional Epidemiology, National Institute of
(5), incidence of hypertension (6, 7), the metabolic syndrome (8), Environmental Medicine, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden (SCL
and inflammation (8). Although red meat consumption may be and AW) and the Department of Chronic Disease Prevention, National In-
a risk factor for stroke, epidemiologic studies of red meat con- stitute for Health and Welfare, Helsinki, Finland (JV).
2
sumption in relation to stroke incidence or mortality are sparse Supported by research grants from the Swedish Council for Working
and results are inconsistent (9–12). We recently reported on the Life and Social Research and the Swedish Research Council/Committee
associations of red and processed meat consumption with stroke for Infrastructure and by a Research Fellow grant from Karolinska Institutet
(to SCL).
incidence in the Swedish Mammography Cohort (12). In that 3
Address correspondence to SC Larsson, Division of Nutritional Epide-
cohort of women, a high processed meat consumption was as- miology, National Institute of Environmental Medicine, Karolinska Institu-
sociated with a statistically significant increased risk of stroke tet, Box 210, SE-17177 Stockholm, Sweden. E-mail: susanna.larsson@ki.se.
(12). To our knowledge, only 2 previous studies, 1 in the United Received March 1, 2011. Accepted for publication May 4, 2011.
States (10) and 1 in Japan (11), have examined the relation First published online June 8, 2011; doi: 10.3945/ajcn.111.015115.

Am J Clin Nutr 2011;94:417–21. Printed in USA. Ó 2011 American Society for Nutrition 417
418 LARSSON ET AL

using a self-administered questionnaire. Body mass index (BMI) 20–39, or 40 pack-years; or current ,20, 20–39, or 40 pack-
was calculated by dividing the weight (in kg) by the square of years), education (less than high school, high school, or univer-
height (in m). Pack-years of smoking history were calculated as sity), BMI (,20, 20–24.9, 25–29.9, or 30), total physical ac-
the number of packs of cigarettes smoked per day multiplied by tivity (quartiles), diabetes (yes or no), history of hypertension (yes
the number of years of smoking. Participants reported their level or no), aspirin use (yes or no), family history of myocardial in-
of activity at work, home/housework, walking/bicycling, and farction before 60 y of age (yes or no), and intakes of total energy
leisure-time exercise in the year before study enrollment. The (in kcal/d, as a continuous variable) and quartiles of alcohol, fish,
questionnaire also included questions on inactivity (watching fruit, and vegetables. In an additional multivariable model, we
television and reading) and hours per day of sleeping and sitting/ further adjusted for intakes of whole grains and dairy foods.
lying down. The time spent per day at each activity was mul- Tests for linear trends across quintiles were conducted by

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tiplied by its typical energy expenditure requirements (expressed modeling red meat consumption as a continuous variable in the
in metabolic equivalents (METs) and added together to create model with the median value of each quintile. We conducted
a MET-h/d (24-h) score (13). analyses stratified by a history of hypertension (yes or no) to
assess possible effect modification by this variable. Tests for
Dietary assessment interaction were performed by using the log-likelihood ratio test.
The statistical analyses were performed by using SAS version 9.1
Diet was assessed with a 96-item food-frequency question- (SAS Institute Inc, Cary, NC). All P values were 2-sided, and P
naire. Participants were asked to indicate how often, on average, values 0.05 were considered significant. We had 80% power to
they had consumed various foods over the past year, with 8 detect an RR of 1.2 and 100% power to detect an RR of 1.3
predefined frequency categories ranging from never to 3 times/d. for the highest compared with the lowest quintile (a = 0.05).
We grouped meat into total red meat, fresh red meat, and pro-
cessed meat. Fresh red meat consumption was calculated by using
the frequency of consumption and age-specific portion size in- RESULTS
formation of all types of fresh and minced pork, beef, and veal. During a mean follow-up of 10.1 y, we ascertained 2409 incident
Processed meats included sausages, hot dogs, salami, ham, pro- stroke cases, including 1849 cerebral infarctions, 350 hemorrhagic
cessed meat cuts, liver paté, and blood sausage. Total red meat strokes (281 intracerebral hemorrhages and 69 subarachnoid
was the sum of fresh red meat and processed meat. The food- hemorrhages), and 210 unspecified strokes. Compared with men in
frequency questionnaire has been validated for nutrients (14), but the lowest quintiles of red meat, fresh red meat, and processed meat
not for food items, in 248 Swedish men aged 40–74 y; the mean consumption, those in the highest quintiles were younger and were
Spearman correlation coefficients between estimates from the more likely to use aspirin (Table 1). High consumption of red
dietary questionnaire and the mean of fourteen 24-h recall inter- meat, fresh red meat, and processed meat was associated with
views were 0.65 for macronutrients and 0.62 for micronutrients higher intakes of total energy, alcohol, monounsaturated fat,
(14). The age-specific portion sizes (based on two 1-wk weighted polyunsaturated fat, fish, fruit, vegetables, whole grains, and dairy
dietary records) for fresh red meat ranged from 97 to 147 g per foods. Men with a high consumption of total red meat and pro-
serving. For processed meat, the age-specific portion sizes ranged cessed meat were less likely to have a university education and had
from 15 to 24 g (liver paté) to 133–150 g (blood sausage). a slightly higher BMI than did men with low consumption.
We observed no statistically significant dose-response asso-
Case ascertainment and follow-up ciation between total red meat consumption and risk of total
Incident cases of first stroke that occurred between 1 January stroke, cerebral infarction, or hemorrhagic stroke (Table 2).
1998 and 31 December 2008 were ascertained by linkage of the However, compared with men in the lowest quintile of red meat
study cohort with the Swedish Hospital Discharge Registry, consumption, those in the highest quintile had a statistically
which provides virtually complete coverage of the discharges. significant increased risk of total stroke and hemorrhagic stroke.
The International Classification of Diseases 10th revision was Consumption of fresh red meat was not associated with total
used to identify stroke events. Strokes were classified as cerebral stroke or any stroke subtype (Table 3). Processed meat con-
infarction (ICD-10 code I63), intracerebral hemorrhage (I61), sumption was statistically significantly positively associated
subarachnoid hemorrhage (I60), and unspecified stroke (I64). with risk of total stroke and cerebral infarction but not hemor-
Information on dates of death was obtained from the Swedish rhagic stroke after adjustment for other risk factors (Table 3).
Death Registry at Statistics Sweden. The multivariable RR of total stroke for men in the highest
quintile of processed meat consumption compared with those in
the lowest quintile was 1.23 (95% CI: 1.07, 1.40). Additional
Statistical analysis adjustment for consumption of whole grains and dairy foods did
Each participant accrued follow-up time from 1 January 1998 not change the results materially. For example, the multivariable
until the date of the first stroke event, death, or 31 December 2008, RR of total stroke for the highest compared with the lowest
whichever came first. We used Cox proportional hazard models quintile of processed meat consumption was 1.23 (95% CI: 1.07,
with age as the time scale to estimate the relative risks (RRs) with 1.41) after further adjustment for intakes of whole grains and
95% CIs of stroke by quintiles of meat consumption. Entry time dairy foods. The results were not altered appreciably when men
was defined as a subject’s age (in mo) at start of follow-up, and exit with diabetes were excluded from the analysis. In men without
time was defined as a subject’s age (in mo) at stroke diagnosis or diabetes, the multivariable RR of total stroke in a comparison of
censoring. The multivariable model included the following vari- the highest with the lowest quintile of processed meat con-
ables: smoking status and pack-years of smoking (never; past ,20, sumption was 1.19 (95% CI: 1.03, 1.39).
MEAT CONSUMPTION AND STROKE 419
TABLE 1
Age-standardized characteristics of 40,291 men in the cohort of Swedish men by quintile (Q) of total red meat, fresh red meat, and processed meat
consumption in 19971
Total red meat Fresh red meat Processed meat

Characteristic Q1 Q5 P value2 Q1 Q5 P value2 Q1 Q5 P value2

Age (y) 63.2 6 9.83 56.6 6 8.2 ,0.001 63.4 6 9.8 56.6 6 8.4 ,0.001 61.6 6 9.9 58.3 6 8.5 ,0.001
Education, university (%) 18.4 16.0 ,0.001 15.7 18.7 ,0.001 23.3 13.4 ,0.001
Current smoker (%) 26.2 26.9 0.36 26.5 26.6 0.25 25.5 25.6 0.42
BMI (kg/m2) 25.7 6 3.3 25.9 6 3.3 ,0.001 25.8 6 3.4 25.9 6 3.3 0.21 25.6 6 3.3 25.9 6 3.3 ,0.001

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Total physical activity (MET-h/d) 41.8 6 4.8 41.8 6 4.9 0.56 41.9 6 4.9 41.6 6 4.8 ,0.001 41.4 6 4.8 41.9 6 4.9 ,0.001
History of diabetes (%) 5.2 6.6 0.11 5.5 6.0 0.21 4.7 6.6 0.01
History of hypertension (%) 21.8 21.7 0.59 22.8 21.2 0.007 21.2 23.1 0.01
Aspirin use (%) 30.7 34.2 ,0.001 31.1 33.0 0.006 30.5 33.6 ,0.001
Family history of myocardial infarction (%) 13.6 14.8 0.64 13.8 14.6 0.48 14.4 15.1 0.60
Daily dietary intake
Energy (kcal) 2286 6 745 3199 6 746 ,0.001 2348 6 777 3084 6 769 ,0.001 2368 6 781 3130 6 765 ,0.001
Alcohol (g) 9.0 6 8.4 11.8 6 8.9 ,0.001 8.9 6 8.3 11.9 6 9.0 ,0.001 10.0 6 9.0 10.9 6 8.8 ,0.001
Saturated fat (g) 33.7 6 9.4 33.9 6 7.1 0.37 33.8 6 9.2 33.8 6 7.1 0.62 33.6 6 9.4 33.8 6 6.9 0.92
Monounsaturated fat (g) 23.4 6 4.7 27.4 6 3.8 ,0.001 24.0 6 4.8 26.8 6 3.8 ,0.001 23.6 6 4.6 27.3 6 3.7 ,0.001
Polyunsaturated fat (g) 9.5 6 2.5 10.5 6 1.9 ,0.001 9.6 6 2.5 10.4 6 2.0 ,0.001 9.6 6 2.5 10.5 6 1.9 ,0.001
Fish (servings) 0.2 6 0.3 0.4 6 0.4 ,0.001 0.2 6 0.4 0.4 6 0.4 ,0.001 0.3 6 0.3 0.3 6 0.4 ,0.001
Fruit (servings) 1.4 6 1.2 1.7 6 1.1 ,0.001 1.4 6 1.2 1.7 6 1.1 ,0.001 1.5 6 1.3 1.6 6 1.1 ,0.001
Vegetables (servings) 2.2 6 1.7 3.1 6 1.5 ,0.001 2.2 6 1.7 3.1 6 1.6 ,0.001 2.5 6 1.9 2.8 6 1.5 ,0.001
Whole grains (servings) 4.2 6 2.6 4.5 6 2.4 ,0.001 4.2 6 2.6 4.3 6 2.4 0.002 4.1 6 2.6 4.5 6 2.4 ,0.001
Dairy foods (servings) 5.3 6 3.1 6.0 6 3.1 ,0.001 5.4 6 3.2 5.9 6 3.1 ,0.001 5.4 6 3.2 6.0 6 3.0 ,0.001
1
MET, metabolic equivalent of energy expenditure (kcal/kg · h).
2
P for trend across quintiles of meat consumption was calculated by using generalized linear models.
3
Mean 6 SD (all such values).

When we analyzed total red meat consumption as a continuous Hypertension and diabetes may be intermediates of the as-
variable, the multivariable RR of total stroke was 1.07 (95% CI: sociation between red meat consumption and stroke. When we
1.00, 1.14) for a 100-g/d increment of total red meat con- removed history of hypertension and diabetes variables from the
sumption. The corresponding RRs were respectively 1.01 (95% multivariable model, the RRs of total stroke in a comparison of
CI: 0.96, 1.06) and 1.08 (95% CI: 1.01, 1.15) for a 50-g/d increase the highest with the lowest quintile of consumption were 1.06
in fresh red meat and processed meat consumption. (95% CI: 0.92, 1.23) for fresh red meat and 1.26 (95% CI: 1.10,

TABLE 2
Relative risks (95% CIs) of total stroke and stroke subtypes by total red meat consumption in 40,291 men in the cohort of
Swedish men, 1998–20081
Red meat consumption (g/d)

,62.5 62.5–88.3 88.4–110.3 110.4–136.1 136.2 P for trend2

Total stroke
Person-years 80,842 79,858 82,414 82,086 82,441
No. of cases 644 554 466 361 384
Age-adjusted 1.00 1.03 (0.92, 1.15) 1.03 (0.91, 1.16) 0.96 (0.84, 1.10) 1.10 (0.97, 1.25) 0.33
Multivariable3 1.00 1.06 (0.94, 1.19) 1.08 (0.95, 1.22) 1.02 (0.89, 1.17) 1.15 (1.00, 1.33) 0.10
Cerebral infarction
No. of cases 515 420 357 279 278
Age-adjusted 1.00 0.97 (0.85, 1.11) 0.99 (0.87, 1.14) 0.94 (0.81, 1.09) 1.01 (0.87, 1.17) 0.91
Multivariable3 1.00 1.01 (0.88, 1.15) 1.04 (0.90, 1.20) 1.00 (0.85, 1.17) 1.06 (0.90, 1.25) 0.53
Hemorrhagic stroke
No. of cases 75 89 56 56 74
Age-adjusted 1.00 1.36 (1.00, 1.84) 0.99 (0.70, 1.39) 1.09 (0.77, 1.55) 1.52 (1.10, 2.12) 0.06
Multivariable3 1.00 1.38 (1.01, 1.88) 0.99 (0.69, 1.42) 1.14 (0.79, 1.65) 1.57 (1.09, 2.25) 0.06
1
Relative risks and 95% CIs were estimated by using Cox proportional hazards regression models.
2
The test for trend was calculated by using the median red meat consumption in each quintile as a continuous variable.
3
The multivariable model was adjusted for age, smoking status, pack-years of smoking, education, BMI, total physical
activity, histories of diabetes and hypertension, aspirin use, family history of myocardial infarction, and intakes of total
energy, alcohol, fish, fruit, and vegetables.
420 LARSSON ET AL
TABLE 3
Relative risks (95% CIs) of total stroke and stroke subtypes by quintile of fresh and processed meat consumption in
40,291 men in the cohort of Swedish men, 1998–20081
Quintile

1 2 3 4 5 P for trend2

Fresh red meat (g/d) ,33.5 33.5–50.4 50.5–67.1 67.2–83.1 .83.1


Total stroke
Person-years 80,523 82,887 77,510 91,027 75,694
No. of cases 677 526 434 413 359

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Age-adjusted 1.00 0.96 (0.85, 1.07) 0.97 (0.86, 1.10) 0.89 (0.79, 1.01) 1.06 (0.93, 1.20) 0.94
Multivariable3 1.00 0.98 (0.87, 1.10) 0.99 (0.87, 1.12) 0.92 (0.81, 1.05) 1.07 (0.93, 1.24) 0.77
Cerebral infarction
No. of cases 528 419 332 311 259
Age-adjusted 1.00 0.98 (0.86, 1.12) 0.95 (0.83, 1.09) 0.87 (0.76, 1.00) 0.99 (0.85, 1.15) 0.30
Multivariable3 1.00 1.01 (0.88, 1.15) 0.99 (0.85, 1.14) 0.91 (0.78, 1.06) 1.02 (0.87, 1.20) 0.63
Hemorrhagic stroke
No. of cases 89 68 62 61 70
Age-adjusted 1.00 0.89 (0.65, 1.22) 0.96 (0.69, 1.33) 0.88 (0.63, 1.23) 1.32 (0.96, 1.83) 0.19
Multivariable3 1.00 0.88 (0.64, 1.22) 0.93 (0.66, 1.31) 0.86 (0.61, 1.23) 1.27 (0.90, 1.80) 0.26
Processed meat (g/d) ,20.1 20.1–32.1 32.2–42.1 42.2–57.0 57.1
Total stroke
Person-years 85,209 80,692 80,725 80,339 80,676
No. of cases 568 504 475 409 453
Age-adjusted 1.00 1.06 (0.94, 1.19) 1.13 (1.00, 1.28) 1.07 (0.94, 1.21) 1.20 (1.06, 1.35) 0.007
Multivariable3 1.00 1.08 (0.95, 1.22) 1.17 (1.03, 1.33) 1.12 (0.98, 1.28) 1.23 (1.07, 1.40) 0.004
Cerebral infarction
No. of cases 450 395 349 314 341
Age-adjusted 1.00 1.05 (0.91, 1.20) 1.06 (0.92, 1.21) 1.04 (0.90, 1.20) 1.14 (0.99, 1.32) 0.08
Multivariable3 1.00 1.07 (0.93, 1.23) 1.09 (0.94, 1.26) 1.10 (0.94, 1.28) 1.18 (1.01, 1.38) 0.03
Hemorrhagic stroke
No. of cases 70 69 81 57 73
Age-adjusted 1.00 1.14 (0.82, 1.59) 1.47 (1.06, 2.02) 1.10 (0.78, 1.57) 1.40 (1.01, 1.95) 0.07
Multivariable3 1.00 1.18 (0.84, 1.66) 1.53 (1.09, 2.13) 1.14 (0.79, 1.64) 1.39 (0.97, 1.99) 0.15
1
Relative risks and 95% CIs were estimated by using Cox proportional hazards regression models.
2
The test for trend was calculated by using the median red meat consumption in each quintile as a continuous variable.
3
The multivariable model was adjusted for age, smoking status, pack-years of smoking, education, BMI, total physical
activity, histories of diabetes and hypertension, aspirin use, family history of myocardial infarction, and intakes of total energy,
alcohol, fish, fruit, and vegetables. Fresh red meat and processed meat were included in the same multivariable model.

1.44) for processed meat. The associations of fresh red meat and the Nurses’ Health Study also showed a statistically significant
processed meat consumption (analyzed as continuous variables) positive association between red and processed meat consump-
with risk of total stroke were not modified by history of hy- tion and risk of cerebral infarction (P for trend = 0.005) (9). No
pertension (P interaction  0.92). association between red meat consumption and incidence of
The results were slightly weaker when we adjusted red meat cerebral infarction or hemorrhagic stroke was observed in the
consumption for total energy intake using the residual method Health Professionals Follow-Up Study (10). In a cohort of
(15). For example, the multivariable RR of total stroke for the Japanese men and women, no association was observed between
highest compared with the lowest quintile of energy-adjusted consumption of fresh beef and pork or pork products (such as
processed meat consumption was 1.17 (95% CI: 1.03, 1.33). ham and sausage) and total stroke mortality (11).
Red meat is a major source of bioavailable heme iron. Elevated
iron stores may cause oxidative injury and has been associated
DISCUSSION with inflammation (16, 17), insulin resistance (18, 19), the
In this prospective cohort of men, consumption of processed metabolic syndrome (20), and type 2 diabetes (21). In an ex-
meat, but not of fresh red meat, was statistically significantly perimental study, the intracellular iron chelator desferrioxamine
positively associated with risk of stroke. The risk of stroke increased inhibited inflammation and atherosclerosis in mice, which sug-
by 8% for every 50-g/d increase of processed meat consumption. gests a role of iron in atherogenesis (22). A high intake of
Only a few previous studies have examined the association cholesterol, which is found in red meat, has been shown to raise
between red meat consumption and stroke incidence or mortality blood total and LDL-cholesterol concentrations (23, 24) and thus
(9–12). Results from this study are consistent with those of the may increase the risk of stroke (25, 26).
Swedish Mammography Cohort (12). In that cohort, women in Sodium found in processed meats may explain the observed
the highest quintile of processed meat consumption had a sta- positive association between processed meat consumption and risk
tistically significant 24% increased risk of cerebral infarction of total stroke and cerebral infarction. Reduced sodium intake has
compared with women in the lowest quintile (12). Results from been found to significantly lower blood pressure in hypertensive
MEAT CONSUMPTION AND STROKE 421
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