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The Ambivalent Alliance
The Ambivalent Alliance
than many would suggest, so, too, are the policy differences supposedly divid-
ing American and South Korean leaders.”
T
he alliance between South Korea and the American views spotlighted how the distinction
United States remains one of the most suc- between the United States as security guarantor and
cessful political-military relationships forged as a spoiler of inter-Korean reconciliation had been
in the cold war era. What started as the quintessen- muddled at best, destroyed at worst.
tial “realist” alliance—formed between two parties The alliance appeared to unravel even further
that knew little about one another and had nothing with the decision this year by the US to pull back its
in common except a common threat—has devel- troops from their tripwire deterrent position along
oped into a prosperous and militarily robust rela- the demilitarized zone. South Koreans viewed this
tionship between two market democracies that plan both as American preparation for a possible
stands as a model of cold war success. preemptive attack on the North (pulling US forces
No relationship is without its problems. Yet, for out of harm’s way) and as malicious “punishment”
nearly 50 years after the alliance was formed, Amer- for anti-American demonstrations in South Korea
ica’s role in inter-Korean relations remained rela- at the end of 2002.
tively uncontroversial: the United States guaranteed Fortunately, the situation is not so simple or so
deterrence against a North Korean attack. Equally bleak as it might appear. America’s role on the
indisputable was US–South Korean unity on a pol- peninsula, both as co-container of North Korea and
icy of diplomatic isolation of and non-dialogue with as impediment to reconciliation, has always been
the North. nuanced. For most of the alliance’s history, the US
Recently, this basic American function of “co- posture has encompassed not only containment of
container” has been called into question. The US the communist North, but also restraint of Amer-
role in inter-Korean relations is now contested, the ica’s South Korean ally.
spectrum of views ranging from supporters of the As for the alleged sea change in South Korean
cold war template to dissenters who see America as attitudes toward the United States, a close analysis
fundamentally an obstacle to improving inter- shows more evidence of ambivalence than aversion,
Korean relations. and there is cause to believe that the recent
The contested nature of the US role became evi- groundswell of anti-Americanism will not prove as
dent after the June 2000 summit between North permanent as popularly predicted. In the end, the
and South Korea. While the meeting marked a forces of democracy, geostrategy, and market pros-
detente that relaxed tensions on the peninsula, it perity appear to support a continuing, significant,
did not deter President George W. Bush from des- and constructive rather than obstructive role for the
ignating North Korea as part of an “axis of evil” United States on the Korean peninsula.
after September 11. The election in 2002 of a South
Korean president with a history of avowedly anti- AMERICA AS CO-CONTAINER
America’s co-container role coincided with the
cold war, when North-South tensions were at their
VICTOR D. CHA is an associate professor of government at height. Brief periods saw some warming of inter-
Georgetown University’s School of Foreign Service and co-
author, with David Kang, of the forthcoming Nuclear North Korean relations—a July 1972 North-South joint
Korea (New York: Columbia University Press). communiqué, for example, and exchanges in 1984
279
280 • CURRENT HISTORY • September 2003
and 1985—but these were short-lived and did not actions. This concern was evident in pointed mes-
alter the predominant relationship, which was sages that the Lyndon Johnson administration con-
adversarial. The South Koreans had virtually no veyed in 1968, on one occasion dispatching personal
interest in improving relations with the North. envoy Cyrus Vance to tell President Park that the
Because of this, America’s role in inter-Korean rela- United States would not tolerate any South Korean
tions was by definition limited to supporting its military retaliation for the failed North Korean assas-
ally’s position. sination attempt on Park at the Blue House that year.
On the rare occasion that Washington probed the American archival records reveal the extent to
possibility of a thaw on the peninsula, South Korea’s which this preoccupation with restraining South
reaction was swift and negative, highlighting acute Korea was interwoven with arguments that the
fears of allied abandonment in Seoul. During the United States should retain operational command
Nixon administration, Seoul objected when the authority within the alliance. The traditional ratio-
meeting, which at the time far exceeded anyone’s worry is the danger of nuclear and missile prolifer-
expectations. The summit’s joint declaration, along ation (post-cold war) and the threat to homeland
with family reunions, joint infrastructure projects, security (post-September 11) posed by the North.
and ministerial meetings, propelled North–South The allies share an interest in preventing a second
relations forward by leaps and bounds. All of this North Korean invasion, of course. But with the
was a far cry from previous South Korean adminis- effective deterrence of this contingency, gaps in the
trations’ fixation on containment of the North. Not their views on proliferation have become clearer.
only did the South eschew any pretense of making South Koreans question America’s hard-line pol-
engagement conditional, it also denied any need for icy toward the North because the sunshine policy, in
dialogue channels to go through Seoul alone. The their view, reduces the primary threat posed to the
sunshine policy had no objection to world engage- South by diminishing the possibility of another con-
ment with the reclusive regime. ventional invasion, even if it fails to appease US wor-
On New Year’s Eve 2002, 23,000 Koreans gath- What is most interesting, however, is that the
ered in the vicinity of the American embassy in public anger and demonstrations at the end of 2002
Seoul for a candlelight demonstration protesting the were soon followed by counterdemonstrations by
Bush administration’s policies and alleged US mili- other South Korean NGOs expressing support for the
tary abuses. On February 8, 2003, a 60 Minutes CBS US presence in Korea and calling for continuation of
television segment caught a group of young Kore- the long-standing alliance. These demonstrations,
ans self-righteously responding to a loaded ques- organized by Korean War veterans and religious
tion that President Bush was scarier to them than groups and numbering in the tens of thousands,
North Korean leader Kim Jong-il. sought to make clear that the protests seen by the
Perceptions of America as spoiler grew worse world at the end of 2002 did not represent all of
after the March 2003 announcement that the Korean public opinion, and that a silent majority of
United States would pull back its troops from the Koreans still strongly supported the United States.
junior partner matures and not a permanent fissure nent role for the United States as impeder of penin-
in the relationship. sular reconciliation would suggest greater gaps
The backpedaling in the South Korean viewpoint between the Roh government’s policies toward
on US troops, evident particularly since March 2003, North Korea and those of the Bush administration.
offers another lesson about the supposed depth of Campaign rhetoric certainly gave the impression
anti-Americanism. A number of prominent Ameri- that the gaps would be wide. Yet, since Roh has
can conservatives filled the commentary pages of taken office, these gaps have closed with a distinct
major newspapers with columns criticizing the moderating of the Roh government’s attitudes
South Koreans as ungrateful allies and calling for toward both the United States and North Korea.
the pullout of US troops after the anti-American For his foreign policy advisers, the new South
demonstrations at the end of 2002. This was fol- Korean president chose experience over ideology.
lowed, in early March 2003, by reports that Defense He also chose experts with substantial understand-
way they are for a reason. Three longer-term fac- Korean economy. Roh’s desire to continue his coun-
tors also deserve consideration. try’s slow but steady recovery from the financial cri-
First, and perhaps most important: South Korea sis of 1997–1998 is perhaps his most important
is now a vibrant democracy. Roh Moo-hyun, as domestic objective, and South Korea has made seri-
chief executive, is required to carry out policies that ous efforts to implement economic reforms. Yet
represent the majority of the country rather than a North Korean agitations have undermined much of
narrow local constituency. This dynamic is com- the international confidence in these efforts. The
mon to most liberal democracies and resonates with North Korean missile tests carried out earlier this
recent Korean political history. Many were deeply year saw sovereign credit outlook downgrades by
concerned when Kim Dae Jung took office in 1998 Moody’s and Standard and Poor’s, along with a stock
that his past views would lead to extremely difficult market slide and a drop in investment from the
relations with the United States. But Kim made United States.