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Early Steroid Withdrawal in Deceased-Donor Kidney Transplant Recipients With Delayed Graft Function Bae Jasn2020
Early Steroid Withdrawal in Deceased-Donor Kidney Transplant Recipients With Delayed Graft Function Bae Jasn2020
org
ABSTRACT
Background Early steroid withdrawal (ESW) is associated with acceptable outcomes in kidney transplant
(KT) recipients. Recipients with delayed graft function (DGF), however, often have a suboptimal allograft
milieu, which may alter the risk/benefit equation for ESW. This may contribute to varying practices across
transplant centers.
Methods Using the Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients, we studied 110,019 adult deceased-donor KT
recipients between 2005 and 2017. We characterized the association of DGF with the use of ESW versus con-
tinued steroid maintenance across KT centers, and quantified the association of ESW with acute rejection,
graft failure, and mortality using multivariable logistic and Cox regression with DGF-ESW interaction terms.
Results Overall 29.2% of KT recipients underwent ESW. Recipients with DGF had lower odds of
ESW (aOR=0.600.670.75). The strength of this association varied across 261 KT centers, with center-
specific aOR of ,0.5 at 31 (11.9%) and .1.0 at 22 (8.4%) centers. ESW was associated with benefits and harms
among recipients with immediate graft function (IGF), but only with harms among recipients with DGF. ESW
was associated with increased acute rejection (aOR=1.09 1.161.23), slightly increased graft failure
(aHR=1.011.061.12), but decreased mortality (aHR=0.860.890.93) among recipients with IGF. Among recipients
with DGF, ESW was associated with a similar increase in rejection (aOR51.12; 95% CI, 1.02 to 1.23), a more
pronounced increase in graft failure (aHR51.16; 95% CI, 1.08 to 1.26), and no improvement in mortality
(aHR51.00; 95% CI, 0.94 to 1.07). DGF-ESW interaction was statistically significant for graft failure
(P50.04) and mortality (P50.003), but not for rejection (P50.6).
Conclusions KT centers in the United States use ESW inconsistently in recipients with DGF. Our findings
suggest ESW may lead to worse KT outcomes in recipients with DGF.
use.1 Previous studies have suggested ESW leads to Published online ahead of print. Publication date available at
no or minimal increases in acute rejection and graft www.jasn.org.
failure, 2–10 while reducing steroid-related side Correspondence: Dr. Dorry L. Segev, Department of Surgery,
effects such as new-onset diabetes, dyslipidemia, Johns Hopkins Medical Institutions, 2000 E Monument Street,
Baltimore, MD 21205. Email: dorry@jhmi.edu
and fracture.11–14 However, this risk/benefit equa-
tion of ESW can be altered by the clinical Copyright © 2020 by the American Society of Nephrology
the intention-to-treat approach in clinical trials.25 In addition, Services ESRD Death Notification Form (CMS 2746), and the
reinitiations or late steroid withdrawals are often related to Social Security Death Master File. For both outcomes, all re-
rejection or steroid-associated side effects, which can be re- cipients were censored at the end of study on December 31,
garded as mediators between the initial treatment assign- 2017. Unlike acute rejection, we had the exact dates of graft
ment and the outcomes of interest under our conceptual failure and patient death for all recipients until the end of the
framework. study. The median length of follow-up was 4.2 years for graft
When studying KT outcomes, we used the inverse proba- failure and 4.7 years for death. We conducted Cox proportional
bility of treatment weights (IPTW) to control for confounders, hazard regression to compare the hazards of graft failure
and confounding by indication (differences between the recip- and death between the ESW and CSM groups. As with the
ients that might have influenced the decision for ESW). The rejection analysis, we weighted the recipients using the IPTW
propensity score for undergoing ESW (psESW) was estimated described above to account for differences in recipient,
using a generalized estimating equation with logistic link donor, and transplant factors, and we included an interaction
to account for clustering at transplant centers (Supplemental term for DGF and ESW to test whether the association of
Table 1). Based on the SRTR Risk Adjustment Model, we ad- ESW (versus CSM) with graft loss and death varied in recip-
justed for recipient factors (age, race, sex, panel-reactive anti- ients with DGF versus IGF.
gen [PRA], previous transplants, body mass index, diabetes,
hypertension, cause of ESKD, pre-emptive transplant, time on Cause-Specific Mortality and Stratified Analyses
dialysis, serum albumin, symptomatic peripheral vascular dis- We conducted additional analyses to explore the potential
eases, previous malignancy, hepatitis B and C infection, edu- mechanisms of the DGF-ESW interaction. First, we compared
cation level, and primary payer), donor factors (age, race, sex, the cause-specific hazards of death between ESW and CSM
body mass index, hepatitis C infection, donation after cardiac groups to examine if the DGF-ESW interaction is primarily
death, diabetes, hypertension, stroke as the cause of death, driven by any specific pathophysiology. We conducted Cox
donor pulsatile perfusion, and terminal serum creatinine), proportional hazard regression with IPTW weighting, treating
and transplant factors (HLA-A/-B/-DR mismatches, cold is- death due to other causes as censoring events.28 We separately
chemic time, and induction immunosuppression agent). analyzed death due to cardiovascular diseases (including
1 1
IPTW was derived as psESW for the ESW group and 1 2 psESW stroke), infection, malignancy, and all other causes. Second,
for the CSM group. We examined the distribution of the IPTW we conducted stratified analysis by recipient age (19–64 versus
values to detect any observations with extremely large weights $65 years), year of transplant (2005–2011 versus 2012–2017),
and found none. induction immunosuppression agent (anti-thymocyte globu-
lin, IL-2 receptor antagonists, alemtuzumab, none, and others),29
Acute Rejection immune sensitivity as measured in peak PRA (0–9, 10–79, and
The OPTN queries centers for information on acute rejec- 80–100), donation after cardiac death, and the number of
tion according to periods covered by specific reporting forms HLA-A/-B/-DR mismatches.
(0–6 and 7–12 months, then annual periods), but exact dates
of acute rejection within reporting periods are not collected. Statistical Analysis
We defined acute rejection from SRTR records according to All analyses were performed using Stata 15.1/MP for Linux
center reports of an acute rejection event occurring in a re- (College Station, TX) and R version 3.4. Confidence intervals
porting period, as per prior methods for identifying acute re- are reported as per the method of Louis and Zeger.
jection from United States registry data.26,27 For this reason,
we studied acute rejection during the first year post-KT as a
binary outcome. We conducted logistic regression to com- RESULTS
pare the odds of acute rejection between the ESW and CSM
groups. We weighted the recipients using the IPTW de- Study Population
scribed above to account for differences in recipient, donor, Among the 110,019 recipients included in the study sample,
and transplant factors. We included an interaction term for 27,608 (25.1%) developed DGF, of whom 7083 underwent
DGF and ESW to test whether the association of ESW (versus ESWand 20,525 underwent CSM. Among the 82,411 recipients
CSM) with acute rejection varied in recipients with DGF with IGF, 25,032 underwent ESWand 57,379 underwent CSM.
versus IGF. Compared with those with CSM, recipients who underwent
ESW were more likely to be white (48.5% versus 42.3% in IGF;
Graft and Patient Survival 37.2% versus 32.8% in DGF), have diabetes as the cause of
Graft survival was defined as the time from transplant to graft ESKD (26.8% versus 24.3% in IGF; 35.7% versus 32.1% in
failure, censoring for death. Patient survival was defined as the DGF), have lower (less than ten) peak PRA (62.7% versus
time from transplant to death. The date and cause of death were 52.9% in IGF; 62.9% versus 55.7% in DGF), and were less
ascertained from multiple sources, including follow-up reports likely to have had a previous transplant (8.7% versus 15.0%
from transplant centers, Centers for Medicare and Medicaid in IGF; 9.0% versus 14.3% in DGF) (Table 1).
JASN 31: 175–185, 2020 Steroid and Delayed Graft Function 177
CLINICAL RESEARCH www.jasn.org
Use of ESW characteristics, recipients with DGF had half the odds of
Overall 29.2% of the recipients underwent ESW. When strat- ESW compared with recipients with IGF (aOR,0.5) at
ified by DGF status, 25.7% of the recipients with DGF and 31 (11.9%) centers, but had higher odds of ESW compared
30.4% of the recipients with IGF underwent ESW. These pro- with recipients with IGF (aOR.1.0) at 22 (8.4%) centers.
portions, overall (Figure 1A) as well as stratified by DGF status Finally, the overall tendency to use ESW (the random inter-
(Figure 1B), remained relatively stable over the study period. cept term) was not correlated (r=0.07) with the association
After adjusting for clinical factors and the variation among between DGF and ESW use (the random slope term): in
transplant centers, DGF was associated with significantly lower other words, how often a center uses ESW did not seem to
odds of ESW use (adjusted odds ratio [aOR]=0.600.670.75). be correlated with how strongly DGF was associated with
We found a substantial center-level variation in ESW use. ESW use at the center.
First, the overall tendency to use ESW varied among centers
(Figure 2A). For example, among 261 centers included in Acute Rejection, Graft Failure, and Patient Death
this analysis, 102 (39.1%) centers used ESW in ,5% of their The association between ESW and transplant outcomes was
recipients, whereas 36 (13.8%) used ESW in .75%. Second, modified by DGF status. Among recipients with IGF, ESW was
the association between DGF and ESW use also varied significantly associated with increased odds of acute rejection
among centers (Figure 2B). After adjusting for clinical (aOR=1.091.161.23), a slightly increased hazard of graft failure
A B
40 40
Recipients with ESW (%)
20 20
10 10
IGF
0 0 DGF
2005 2008 2011 2014 2017 2005 2008 2011 2014 2017
Year of Transplant Year of Transplant
Figure 1. Stable temporal trends in the use of ESW. (A) Entire population. (B) IGF versus DGF. After adjusting for recipient, donor, and
transplant factors, DGF was associated with significantly lower odds of using ESW (aOR=0.600.670.75).
(adjusted hazard ratio [aHR]=1.011.061.12), and a decreased among recipients with DGF than they were among those
hazard of death (aHR=0.860.890.93). In contrast, there was no with IGF.
beneficial association between ESW and KT outcomes among
recipients with DGF. ESW was associated with increased odds Cause-Specific Mortality
of acute rejection (aOR=1.021.121.23), an increased hazard of In our analyses on cause-specific mortality, DGF modified the
graft failure (aHR=1.081.161.26), and no difference in the haz- association of ESW with cardiovascular disease–related death,
ard of death (aHR=0.941.001.07) in this subgroup (Table 2) but not those with infection- or malignancy-related death.
(Supplemental Figure 1). Among the 20,257 deaths included in our study, 3003
Although no interaction was found in the acute rejection (14.8%) were related to cardiovascular disease, 1970 (9.7%)
analysis (P=0.6), there was statistically significant interactions were related to infection, 1508 (7.4%) were related to malig-
between ESW and DGF in the graft failure (P=0.04) and death nancy, and 3647 (18.0%) were due to other causes. The re-
(P=0.003) analyses. In other words, the association of ESW maining 10,129 (50.0%) did not have cause of death data in
with acute rejection did not differ by DGF status, whereas our records. DGF modified the association between ESW and
those with graft failure and with death were more adverse cardiovascular disease–related death, with a decreased hazard
A B
100
4
Adjusted Odds Ratio (log scale)
2
Recipients with ESW (%)
75
1.0
50 0.5
0.25
25
0.1
0
Transplant Centers Transplant Centers
Figure 2. Large variation in the use of ESW across transplant centers. (A) Center-specific prevalence of ESW use. (B) Center-specific
aORs for ESW use in recipients with DGF, compared with those with IGF. Each marker indicates a single transplant center. Markers are
sorted along the x axis. (A) The y axis indicates the proportion of the recipients with ESW at the corresponding center. (B) The y axis
indicates the adjusted odds ratio for ESW use in recipients with DGF compared with those with IGF at the corresponding center. The
solid horizontal line indicates the adjusted odds ratio over the entire population (aOR=0.67). The dashed horizontal line indicates no
association (aOR=1.00).
JASN 31: 175–185, 2020 Steroid and Delayed Graft Function 179
CLINICAL RESEARCH www.jasn.org
Table 2. Association between ESW and KT outcomes in pronounced among recipients with zero HLA-DR mis-
recipients with IGF and with DGF match (aOR=0.891.031.20 in IGF versus 1.231.561.98 in DGF;
Outcomes IGF DGF Interaction interaction P=0.004) (Figure 3A). Similarly, the DGF-ESW
(ESW versus CSM) (n=82,411) (n=27,608) P Value interaction on graft failure was also slightly more pro-
Acute rejection (1-yr) 1.091.161.23 1.021.121.23 0.6 nounced among those with zero HLA-B mismatch
Death-censored graft 1.011.061.12 1.081.161.26 0.04 (aHR=0.800.951.12 in IGF versus 1.021.351.79 in DGF; interac-
failure tion P=0.03), and among those with zero HLA-DR mismatch
Death (all cause) 0.860.890.93 0.941.001.07 0.003 (aHR= 0.86 0.97 1.09 in IGF versus 1.02 1.25 1.54 ; interaction
Death (cause specific) P=0.03) (Figure 3B).
Cardiovascular 0.740.820.92 0.921.081.26 0.004
disease
Infection 0.650.750.86 0.670.821.00 0.5
DISCUSSION
Malignancy 0.860.991.13 0.771.011.31 0.9
Others 0.921.011.11 0.911.061.23 0.5
Acute rejection was treated as a binary variable at 1 yr post-KT. Other out-
In this nationwide registry analysis, we found that the asso-
comes were treated as time-to-event variables. The median length of follow-up ciations between ESW and KToutcomes vary by DGF status.
was 4.2 yr for graft failure and 4.7 for death. Estimates are aORs for acute re- Among recipients with IGF, ESW was associated with a 6%
jection and aHRs for other outcomes, with 95% CIs in subscripts. A low (,0.05)
interaction P value indicates the association between ESW and the transplant
increase in the hazard of graft failure, offset by an 11% de-
outcome was significantly different between the IGF and DGF populations. crease in the hazard of death. However, among recipients
with DGF, ESW was associated with a 16% increase in the
among recipients with IGF (aHR=0.740.820.92) but not among hazard of graft failure and no difference in the hazard of
those with DGF (aHR=0.921.081.26; interaction P=0.004). death. These interactions between ESW and DGF were sta-
However, the association between ESW and death due to in- tistically significant. Our findings suggest DGF alters the
fection, malignancy, or other causes did not vary significantly risk/benefit equation of ESW, such that ESW might possibly
between the IGF and DGF recipients (interaction P=0.5, confer a mixture of beneficial and harmful effects among
0.9, and 0.5, respectively) (Table 2). recipients of KT with IGF, but overall harmful effects among
those with DGF.
Stratified Analyses Practice patterns regarding ESW among recipients with
When stratified by recipient age, we observed the ESW-DGF DGF were substantially different among transplant centers.
interaction in the younger (19–64 years; n=88,248) as well as in Although DGF was associated with lower odds of ESW use
the older ($65 years; n=21,770) recipients. In both sub- (aOR= 0.60 0.67 0.75 ) over the entire study population, the
groups, the association of ESW with increased acute rejection strength of this association varied among transplant centers.
did not vary by DGF status, that with increased graft failure At some centers, recipients with DGF were at lower than half
was more pronounced among recipients with DGF, and the odds of undergoing ESW compared with recipients with
that with decreased death was only observed among recipients IGF, whereas recipients at other centers were treated similarly
with IGF (Figure 3). Likewise, the ESW-DGF interaction was regardless of their DGF status. This variation underscores the
similar across the calendar year strata (2005–2011 versus lack of consensus in whether DGF should be regarded as a
2012–2017) (Figure 3). contraindication to ESW. Resembling the inconsistent prac-
Overall 55,884 (50.8%) recipients received anti-thymocyte tice pattern observed in our study, previous clinical trials of
globulin, 18,785 (17.1%) received IL-2 receptor antagonists, ESW have used mixed approaches on DGF. Some investiga-
14,375 (13.1%) received alemtuzumab, 14,192 (12.9%) recip- tors viewed DGF as a contraindication for ESW. Woodle et al.2
ients received no induction agent, and 6782 (6.2%) received excluded recipients with DGF at enrollment, stating it is a
others. Our findings on the DGF-ESW interaction were gen- known risk factor for acute rejection. The FREEDOM trial3
erally consistent over induction agent strata (Figure 3). How- also excluded those with DGF from their per-protocol anal-
ever, the ESW-DGF interaction was slightly different among yses. In contrast, other trials did not restrict the study partic-
those who received IL-2 receptor antagonists for induction. In ipants by their DGF status. The ATLAS trial4 and a trial by
this subpopulation, the ESW-DGF interaction on death was Laftavi et al.5 included those with DGF, who constituted about
more pronounced (aHR=0.810.911.01 in IGF versus 1.031.231.46 30% of their study populations. Montagnino et al.6 included
in DGF; interaction P=0.004) and the interaction on acute those with DGF, using a more flexible protocol in which
rejection, although not statistically significant, appeared the withdrawal of steroid could be delayed (beyond 7 days
to be in the opposite direction (aOR= 1.07 1.28 1.54 in IGF post-KT) or cancelled based on the rate of graft function re-
versus 0.740.971.28 in DGF; interaction P=0.1). covery. These variations, found both in practice and research,
When stratified by PRA, donation after cardiac death, demonstrates the knowledge gap in the interaction between
and HLA mismatches, the DGF-ESW interactions were overall DGF and ESW.
consistent over the strata (Figure 3). Nonetheless, the DGF- The effect modification observed in our study supports that
ESW interaction on acute rejection was slightly more DGF could be a reason to consider CSM over ESW for initial
Panel reactive antibody 0−9 58388 1.12 (1.03−1.22) 1.07 (0.95−1.21) 0.5
Figure 3. DGF-ESW interaction was generally homogeneous across subgroups and across KT outcomes. (A) Acute rejection, 1-year.
(B) Death-censored graft failure. (C) Death. Estimates are aORs for acute rejection and aHRs for other outcomes, followed by 95% CIs.
A low (,0.05) interaction P value indicates the association between ESW and the transplant outcome was significantly different be-
tween the IGF and DGF populations. Alem, alemtuzumab; ATG, anti-thymocyte globulin; IL2RA, IL-2 receptor antagonists.
maintenance immunosuppression. ESW has been deemed maintenance immunosuppression strategy. The withdrawal
viable because previous studies showed only marginal increases of steroid can be postponed or cancelled according to the rate
in the risk of graft failure, accompanied by decreases in ad- of graft function recovery. A similar protocol was used by
verse events.3,4,11–13,31–33 However, we found the increase in Montagnino et al.6
the hazard of graft failure associated with ESW was more Although the exact mechanism through which DGF mod-
pronounced (16% versus 6%) among recipients with DGF ifies the association between ESW and KT outcomes remains
than among those with IGF, and that the decrease in the unclear, the findings from our cause-specific mortality anal-
hazard of death associated with ESW was observed only yses and stratified analyses provide some implications. First,
among recipients with IGF. Although the choice of ESW the effect modification of DGF on the association between
versus CSM should be individualized according to the recip- ESW and patient death seems to have been primarily driven
ient’s overall risk profile rather than a single risk fac- by death due to cardiovascular disease. ESW was associated
tor,15,34,35 DGF appears to be an element of the risk profile with a decreased hazard of cardiovascular disease–related
that suggests CSM over ESW. In addition, DGF is unique in death among those with IGF but not among those with
that it is a post-KT outcome that can still inform the initial DGF. In contrast, the association of ESW with death due to
JASN 31: 175–185, 2020 Steroid and Delayed Graft Function 181
CLINICAL RESEARCH www.jasn.org
Panel reactive antibody 0−9 58388 1.05 (0.98−1.12) 1.14 (1.03−1.26) 0.1
Donation after cardiac death No 92470 1.08 (1.02−1.14) 1.15 (1.05−1.25) 0.2
Figure 3. Continued.
infection, malignancy, or other causes did not significantly indication, and unmeasured confounders. We attempted
vary by DGF status. However, this finding should be interpre- to minimize this limitation by using IPTW and controlling
ted with caution given that cause of death was unavailable in for an extensive set of potential confounders. Second, we
our data set for 50% of the deaths. Second, our various strat- treated acute rejection as a binary outcome and thus were
ified analyses mostly showed a consistent DGF-ESW interac- not able to capture any differences in timing, severity, or
tion across the strata. For instance, despite being a possible recurrences of acute rejection. Additionally, we did not
risk factor for DGF36 and arguably an indication for ESW,37 have data on other relevant clinical information, such as
older recipient age does not seem to influence the DGF-ESW steroid dose or the duration or severity of DGF. Lastly, our
interaction observed in our study. On the other hand, the study population was restricted to those who received tacro-
DGF-ESW interaction appeared slightly heterogeneous limus and mycophenolate. Our finding might not be gener-
when stratified by induction agent and by the number of alizable to those who receive other agents for maintenance
HLA mismatches. immunosuppression.
Our study has several limitations. First, the findings from In conclusion, ESW was associated with a minimal increase
this observational study do not directly signify causal effects. in graft failure and a decrease in mortality among recipients of
Our findings are hypothesis generating but not confirmatory KT with IGF, but with a more pronounced increase in graft
because they are at risk of selection bias, confounding by failure and no difference in mortality among those with DGF.
C Death
IGF DGF
Subgroup N IGF DGF Interaction P
Panel reactive antibody 0−9 58388 0.90 (0.86−0.95) 0.99 (0.91−1.07) 0.04
Donation after cardiac death No 92470 0.89 (0.86−0.93) 1.03 (0.96−1.10) <0.001
Figure 3. Continued.
KT centers appear to have inconsistent practices regarding seen as an official policy of or interpretation by the SRTR or the US
the use of ESW in recipients with DGF. Our findings suggest Government.
that DGF is a reason to consider CSM over ESW for initial
maintenance immunosuppression after KT.
DISCLOSURES
JASN 31: 175–185, 2020 Steroid and Delayed Graft Function 183
CLINICAL RESEARCH www.jasn.org
F32DK113719 to Dr. Jackson, R01DK120518 to Dr. McAdams-DeMarco, cardiovascular risk. A meta-analysis. Transplantation 89: 1–14,
R01DK102981 to Dr. Brennan, Dr. Lentine, and Dr. Segev, and K24DK101828 2010
to Dr. Segev). 12. Rike AH, Mogilishetty G, Alloway RR, Succop P, Roy-Chaudhury P,
Cardi M, et al.: Cardiovascular risk, cardiovascular events, and
metabolic syndrome in renal transplantation: Comparison of early
steroid withdrawal and chronic steroids. Clin Transplant 22: 229–
SUPPLEMENTAL MATERIAL
235, 2008
13. Nikkel LE, Mohan S, Zhang A, McMahon DJ, Boutroy S, Dube G, et al.:
This article contains the following supplemental material Reduced fracture risk with early corticosteroid withdrawal after kidney
online at http://jasn.asnjournals.org/lookup/suppl/doi:10.1681/ transplant. Am J Transplant 12: 649–659, 2012
ASN.2019040416/-/DCSupplemental. 14. Dharnidharka VR, Schnitzler MA, Chen J, Brennan DC, Axelrod D,
Segev DL, et al.: Differential risks for adverse outcomes 3 years after
Supplemental Figure 1. Kaplan-Meier cumulative incidence plot
kidney transplantation based on initial immunosuppression regimen:
for death-censored graft failure and death. A national study. Transpl Int 29: 1226–1236, 2016
Supplemental Table 1. Coefficients from the inverse probability of 15. Sprangers B, Kuypers DR, Vanrenterghem Y: Immunosuppression:
treatment weights model. Does one regimen fit all? Transplantation 92: 251–261, 2011
16. Siedlecki A, Irish W, Brennan DC: Delayed graft function in the kidney
transplant. Am J Transplant 11: 2279–2296, 2011
17. Wu WK, Famure O, Li Y, Kim SJ: Delayed graft function and the risk of
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JASN 31: 175–185, 2020 Steroid and Delayed Graft Function 185
Supplemental material to:
Bae S, et al. Early Steroid Withdrawal in Deceased-Donor Kidney Transplant Recipients with Delayed
Graft Function.
Table of Contents
Supplemental Figure 1. Kaplan-Meier cumulative incidence plot for death-censored graft failure and
death. .................................................................................................................................................... 1
Supplemental Table 1. Coefficients from the inverse probability of treatment weights model. .............. 2
Supplemental Figure 1. Kaplan-Meier cumulative incidence plot for death-censored graft
failure and death.
(b) Death
ESW, early steroid withdrawal; CSM, conventional steroid maintenance; DGF, delayed graft function;
and IGF, immediate graft function.
1
Supplemental Table 1. Coefficients from the inverse probability of treatment weights model.
2
HCV(+) 0.067 (-0.002, 0.136)
HBV(+) -0.016 (-0.065, 0.033)
HBV, missing 0.102 (0.056, 0.148)
Education level (Ref: Below high school)
Above high school -0.002 (-0.029, 0.025)
Missing 0.082 (0.027, 0.136)
Medicare as primary payer -0.050 (-0.078, -0.021)
Donor factors
Age (<25) 0.002 (-0.002, 0.006)
Age (≥25) -0.001 (-0.002, 0.000)
Female 0.007 (-0.020, 0.034)
Race (Ref: White)
Black 0.017 (-0.021, 0.055)
Hispanic -0.049 (-0.089, -0.009)
Other -0.035 (-0.109, 0.038)
BMI, kg/m2 (Ref: 18.5-25)
<18.5 -0.005 (-0.070, 0.061)
25-30 -0.011 (-0.042, 0.020)
≥30 -0.026 (-0.059, 0.008)
Missing -0.142 (-0.241, -0.043)
HLA-A mismatches (Ref: 0)
1 0.001 (-0.049, 0.050)
2 -0.011 (-0.060, 0.039)
HLA-B mismatches (Ref: 0)
1 -0.088 (-0.148, -0.028)
2 -0.087 (-0.145, -0.028)
HLA-DR mismatches (Ref: 0)
1 -0.028 (-0.067, 0.011)
2 -0.060 (-0.102, -0.019)
Induction agent (Ref: ATG)
None 0.006 (-0.039, 0.052)
IL2RA -0.551 (-0.609, -0.493)
Alem 0.973 (0.915, 1.031)
Others 0.217 (0.119, 0.315)
HCV(+) 0.117 (0.024, 0.211)
Donation after cardiac death -0.088 (-0.130, -0.045)
Diabetes (Ref: No)
Yes 0.035 (-0.016, 0.086)
Missing -0.056 (-0.272, 0.161)
Hypertension (Ref: No)
Yes 0.002 (-0.031, 0.036)
Missing 0.007 (-0.185, 0.199)
Stroke as the cause of donor death -0.016 (-0.047, 0.016)
Machine perfusion (Ref: No)
Yes -0.037 (-0.070, -0.004)
Missing -0.034 (-0.115, 0.048)
3
Terminal serum creatinine, mg/dl (<0.8) 0.016 (-0.096, 0.129)
Terminal serum creatinine, mg/dl (≥0.8) -0.012 (-0.029, 0.006)
Terminal serum creatinine, missing 1.118 (0.434, 1.801)
Cold ischemic time, Hr -0.002 (-0.004, -0.001)
Cold ischemic time, missing 0.307 (0.155, 0.460)
Delayed graft function -0.474 (-1.282, 0.335)
Among those with delayed graft function, add the terms below
Age (<40) 0.010 (0.000, 0.019)
Age (≥40) -0.002 (-0.005, 0.001)
Race (Ref: White)
Black 0.005 (-0.064, 0.073)
Hispanic 0.033 (-0.050, 0.116)
Other 0.083 (-0.019, 0.185)
Female -0.042 (-0.102, 0.018)
Panel reactive antibody (Ref: 0-9)
10-79 0.071 (0.006, 0.136)
80-100 0.114 (0.013, 0.215)
Missing 0.055 (-0.077, 0.187)
Previous transplant 0.114 (0.005, 0.223)
2
BMI, kg/m (Ref: 18.5-25)
<18.5 0.009 (-0.285, 0.303)
25-30 0.030 (-0.041, 0.101)
≥30 0.016 (-0.055, 0.087)
Missing -0.042 (-0.322, 0.239)
Diabetes (Ref: No)
Yes 0.013 (-0.087, 0.112)
Missing 0.111 (-0.238, 0.461)
Hypertension (Ref: No)
Yes 0.025 (-0.072, 0.121)
Missing 0.060 (-0.055, 0.175)
Cause of ESRD (Ref: Diabetes)
Glomerulonephritis -0.015 (-0.135, 0.105)
Hypertension -0.028 (-0.136, 0.080)
Others -0.029 (-0.142, 0.083)
Preemptive transplant -0.060 (-0.254, 0.134)
Years on dialysis (<2) -0.046 (-0.121, 0.029)
Years on dialysis (≥2) -0.003 (-0.013, 0.007)
Years on dialysis, missing -0.311 (-0.683, 0.061)
Serum albumin, g/dl (<3) -0.037 (-0.267, 0.193)
Serum albumin, g/dl (≥3) 0.052 (-0.008, 0.111)
Serum albumin, missing -0.006 (-0.153, 0.142)
Peripheral artery disease (Ref: No)
Yes -0.064 (-0.166, 0.039)
Unknown/missing -0.230 (-0.449, -0.012)
Malignancy (Ref: No)
Yes 0.068 (-0.046, 0.182)
4
Unknown/missing 0.305 (0.058, 0.551)
HCV(+) -0.107 (-0.245, 0.031)
HBV(+) -0.043 (-0.138, 0.052)
HBV, missing -0.154 (-0.241, -0.066)
Education level (Ref: Below high school)
Above high school -0.018 (-0.074, 0.038)
Missing -0.155 (-0.268, -0.043)
Medicare as primary payer 0.038 (-0.016, 0.093)
Age (<25) 0.000 (-0.009, 0.009)
Age (≥25) 0.000 (-0.003, 0.003)
Female 0.010 (-0.046, 0.067)
Race (Ref: White)
Black 0.011 (-0.069, 0.090)
Hispanic 0.058 (-0.024, 0.139)
Other 0.030 (-0.118, 0.178)
BMI, kg/m2 (Ref: 18.5-25)
<18.5 -0.029 (-0.190, 0.132)
25-30 0.013 (-0.055, 0.081)
≥30 0.038 (-0.032, 0.107)
Missing 0.203 (0.006, 0.401)
HLA-A mismatches (Ref: 0)
1 -0.021 (-0.126, 0.084)
2 0.013 (-0.092, 0.117)
HLA-B mismatches (Ref: 0)
1 0.050 (-0.083, 0.183)
2 0.063 (-0.066, 0.192)
HLA-DR mismatches (Ref: 0)
1 0.013 (-0.072, 0.098)
2 0.026 (-0.063, 0.115)
Induction agent (Ref: ATG)
None 0.173 (0.085, 0.260)
IL2RA -0.145 (-0.241, -0.049)
Alem 0.018 (-0.053, 0.088)
Others 0.140 (-0.025, 0.304)
HCV(+) -0.003 (-0.199, 0.192)
Donation after cardiac death -0.035 (-0.112, 0.041)
Diabetes (Ref: No)
Yes -0.031 (-0.132, 0.069)
Missing -0.048 (-0.476, 0.379)
Hypertension (Ref: No)
Yes -0.049 (-0.115, 0.017)
Missing 0.112 (-0.268, 0.491)
Stroke as the cause of donor death 0.023 (-0.041, 0.087)
Machine perfusion (Ref: No)
Yes 0.034 (-0.029, 0.097)
Missing -0.129 (-0.321, 0.063)
5
Terminal serum creatinine, mg/dl (<0.8) -0.170 (-0.416, 0.075)
Terminal serum creatinine, mg/dl (≥0.8) 0.033 (0.007, 0.059)
Terminal serum creatinine, missing -0.608 (-2.004, 0.788)
Cold ischemic time, Hr 0.001 (-0.002, 0.004)
Cold ischemic time, missing -0.242 (-0.561, 0.076)