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Paper Topic
Paper Topic
The data Shown below on Economic Indicator Real GDP from the website of the Federal
Reserve Bank of St. Louis and Monetary policy; Interest rates data drawn from Federal
Reserve Bank of St. Louis website. The data consist of monthly data for 20 years that is from
the year 2003 to 2023. The overall relationship that can be seen from the data below is that
when interest rates tend to decrease real GDP over time increases this implying an inverse
correlation. I may also incorporate Money Supply (M1), to study how variations in the money
supply affect economic indicators while controlling for fiscal policy. This can also be
20000.000
15000.000
10000.000
5000.000
0.000
2009-09-01
2003-01-01
2003-11-01
2004-09-01
2005-07-01
2006-05-01
2007-03-01
2008-01-01
2008-11-01
2010-07-01
2011-05-01
2012-03-01
2013-01-01
2013-11-01
2014-09-01
2015-07-01
2016-05-01
2017-03-01
2018-01-01
2018-11-01
2019-09-01
2020-07-01
2021-05-01
2022-03-01
2023-01-01
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
-0.4
-0.2
2003-01-01
2003-12-01
2004-11-01
2005-10-01
2006-09-01
2007-08-01
2008-07-01
2009-06-01
2010-05-01
2011-04-01
2012-03-01
2015-11-01
2016-10-01
2017-09-01
2018-08-01
2019-07-01
2020-06-01
2021-05-01
2022-04-01
2023-03-01