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Energy Saving Research-File
Energy Saving Research-File
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Authors
Tim Hatt, Head of Research
Emanuel Kolta, Senior Analyst
Contents
Executive summary 2
4 Outlook 18
5G ENERGY EFFICIENCIES
Executive
summary
2 Executive summary
5G ENERGY EFFICIENCIES
In telecoms, a number of industry-specific factors rooted investment and ongoing RAN maintenance/upgrades,
in countering rising network costs have further shaped energy-saving measures in network operations are
efficiency efforts. The mix effect of LTE and 5G upgrades necessary rather than nice to have.
in emerging and advanced economies (led by the US
and China) will result in these technologies accounting 5G New Radio (NR) offers a significant energy-efficiency
for 60% and 20% of the global mobile connections improvement per gigabyte over previous generations of
base respectively by 2025. The impact of this shift will mobility. However, new 5G use cases and the adoption of
be a continued rise in mobile data traffic, estimated at mmWave will require more sites and antennas. This leads
6.4 GB per user per month in 2019 and forecast to grow to the prospect of a more efficient network that could
threefold on a per-user basis over the next five years. paradoxically result in higher emissions without active
Combined with the rising costs of spectrum, capital intervention.
Executive summary 3
5G ENERGY EFFICIENCIES
1 T
he imperative to
reduce emissions in
the 5G era
Climate change
The response to climate change and, specifically, November. A full assessment of the Paris Agreement
alignment with the central resolution of the Paris resolutions is out of scope for this research but details
Agreement has catalysed a wave of industry action can be found via the UN.1 Ultimately, achievement of the
in support of broader national commitments. The goals depends on individual nation states setting and
agreement stipulates that worldwide efforts should limit implementing their own emissions reduction targets.
the rise in global average temperatures to a maximum
of 2 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels this Governments have generally co-opted private sector
century, though with a preferred objective of 1.5 involvement to help achieve national objectives,
degrees Celsius. The scientific consensus and evidence rather than purely using legislation to mandate
in support of man-made warming has now been curbs in emissions. This strategy confers buy-in
established over an extended period of time; surface and has so far proven an effective stimulant for
temperatures have been on a steady upward path the rapid development of new technologies and a
relative to the historic baseline, with 14 of the 15 hottest large-scale shift in energy use away from fossil fuels
years on record occurring since 2000 (see Figure 1). and towards renewables. The telecoms sector has
emerged as a vocal supporter of proactive emissions
As of October 2020, 189 countries (out of 197 reductions plans. This is enshrined in an industry-
signatories) had ratified the agreement – a 96% wide commitment to reach net-zero emissions by
conversion rate. Most of those yet to ratify are nations 2050 and bolstered by a growing group of operators
with political instability and/or outsized economic that have embraced carbon reduction efforts as a
dependence on oil; their participation would not have core business objective, with strict reporting targets.
a significant influence on the outcome, though. The Those of Vodafone, Telefónica and Verizon are used as
US is a major exception. Its formal exit is planned for examples in the rest of this section.
Figure 1
Degrees Celsius
35 1.4
30 1.2
25 1.0
20 0.8
15 0.6
10 0.4
5 0.2
0 -0.0
-0.2
-0.4
-0.6
1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2016
Figure 2
30% 29%
31% 32%
80% 37%
13%
13% 12% 17%
60%
9%
40%
20%
Given the industry imperative to invest in networks, consisting mostly of fuel and electricity consumption
capex is followed more closely than the costs of (see Figure 3). Most of this spend powers the RAN,
ongoing maintenance (opex). However, this is changing with data centres and fibre transport accounting for a
with the rapid adoption and incorporation of energy- smaller share.
efficient technologies. Both offer material savings
in opex. Network opex tends to account for around The good news is that the shift from fossil fuels to
25% of the operator cost base, or 10% of revenue. renewables has started to feed through to opex
Over 90% of network costs are spent on energy, savings, as have the phased retirements of legacy 2G
and 3G networks that are less energy efficient than LTE energy efficiency or reducing power usage. Instead a
or 5G NR standards. Looking ahead, however, as LTE mixed approach is generally being used, comprising
and 5G progressively account for larger shares of the renewables, AI-driven network sleep states, more
overall global user base, data traffic rises are inevitable efficient batteries and decentralised site deployments
– and with this comes the pressure on energy with compute power pushed towards the edge. The
consumption. There is no one method of increasing results will feed through over a period of years.
Figure 3
The vast majority of network costs are spent on energy (fuel and power)
consumption...
23%
2%
75%
Network (energy costs)
Network (other running costs)
SG&A + other
Note: percentage of total operator cost base. Figures are averages and will vary by operator.
…which will only rise as LTE and 5G account for a larger share of the base
2%
100%
Share of mobile subscriber base
6% 10%
13% 17%
21%
80%
51%
56%
57%
60% 59%
59%
58%
57%
40%
20%
0%
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
2G + 3G 4G 5G
2
How networks
consume energy
Past transitions to new wireless standards have entailed a significant
improvement in the cornerstone metric of energy efficiency: kilowatt hours per
gigabyte (kWh/GB). Though 5G NR also offers a significant energy-efficiency
improvement per gigabyte over previous technologies, new 5G use cases and
the adoption of mmWave will require more sites and antennas. This leads to the
prospect of a more efficient network that could paradoxically result in higher
emissions, without active intervention.
Figure 4
1 2 3 4
Antenna
unit and
radio unit
(AAU, RRU)
Grid AC power Rectifier DC power
distribution AC DC distribution
Baseband
unit (BBU)
There are significant daily fluctuations in energy grid. This relatively nascent practice will require
demand, while electricity supply is relatively static. further investment in energy storage technology and
This makes the price of industrial electricity vary on batteries alongside partnership agreements with
an hourly basis. Daytime energy prices in peak hours utility providers. Updated central energy management
can be significantly higher than off-peak times during platforms to calculate and forecast site-level data
the night. Network operators can save money by traffic and consumption are also important to ensure
buying energy at off-peak hours to be stored and each site has enough backup energy to operate safely,
used when data traffic peaks in the early evening, with no service interruptions.
typically between 18:00 and 22:00. Operators can
also sell excess peak-time energy back to the utility
Energy utility providers sell alternating current When power is transmitted at high voltages, the
(AC) electricity, while most of the site-level energy efficiency of energy transportation increases (with a
consumption happens in direct current (DC). AC is an lower rate of leakage) because of lower electric current
electric current that periodically reverses direction in the conductors. Operators can improve efficiency
and changes its magnitude continuously with time; and reduce power loss by increasing voltage with
DC electricity flows in one direction only. For this boosters, using power equipment closer to the load,
reason, each cell site needs to have a rectifier module and decreasing the power supply distance.
to convert AC to DC. Most cell sites in a typical
portfolio are more than 10 years old and operate with
less efficient passive infrastructure, including the
rectifier module. The cost of upgrade is significant
up-front but crucial to more efficient conversion and Phase 4: energy consumption
lower consumption over the long term. New rectifiers
are also key to cover the potential increased energy This phase represents the ‘lowest hanging fruit’ for
consumption before installing 5G equipment and efficiencies. Operators transform DC energy into radio
ensure smooth capacity expansion. waves, and receive and process incoming signals.
This category can be further broken down into areas
such as architecture optimisations, signalling, network
shutdowns, cooling and beamforming.
3
Site, RAN and
network-wide
innovations
Alongside technical improvements to reduce energy leakage as power passes
through the network phases, solutions to improve efficiency holistically across the
network are available (see Figure 5). Our analysis focuses on sites, the radio access
level and broader network planning considerations. We exclude efforts targeted at
handsets and other end-user terminals as these do not directly contribute to a mobile
operator’s carbon emissions profile.
Figure 5
Energy-saving methods differ between site level, RAN equipment and network
planning
Site innovations
Battery solutions Further favourable aspects of lithium batteries are the
improved charge and discharge capacities and related
In off-grid areas, mobile operators are often forced
savings potential from the battery configuration.
to use diesel generators to guarantee the reliability of
Back-up batteries are fully charged at all times and
power supply for base stations. This is less than ideal
discharge only when there is a power outage. By using
considering generators emit high levels of carbon
a cycle-type lithium battery capable of daily charge
dioxide and have onerous cost implications associated
and discharge, smart power control with a DC power
with refuelling, particularly if in hard-to-reach, sparsely
controller can be performed, enabling flexible and
populated areas (such as in African countries) requiring
efficient power supply to radio equipment. Voltage
labour call-outs and security protection.
boosting is also an option with lithium technology; this
can help operators increase voltage, save on energy
Lithium batteries have emerged as a more
transportation and serve newly installed 5G AAUs
environmentally friendly and cost-efficient alternative.
from longer distances more efficiently. In the event
These have a smaller and lighter form factor compared
of theft, the battery is designed to automatically stop
to traditional lead acid batteries, saving space after
any output of power, rendering it useless to criminals.
installation. Lithium batteries have a significantly longer
The batteries are also fitted with GPS modules, making
expected lifespan (five or six years on average). The
them easily traceable.
commonly used lead acid batteries are expected to be
efficient for a much shorter period – around three years.
Hybrid and renewable energy conversion. Advanced algorithms can select optimal
energy sources and achieve significant energy-
Solar has become a competitive alternative to diesel in efficiency improvements for the estimated 1 million cell
off-grid areas as the price of photovoltaic panels has sites globally.
fallen and base-station battery solutions have become
more advanced. More broadly, the shift to purchasing renewables will
accelerate as prices continue to decline and futures
Site-level hybrid energy solutions involve a mix of contracts enable long-term lock-ins. Operators can
solar/diesel/wind/electricity and grid, providing a more buy more of their energy from larger, centralised
efficient way to power sites. Custom-made hybrid renewable energy sources and achieve long-term
solutions have a dedicated variable speed motor and power purchase agreements, or utilise their assets and
a DC alternator which reduce losses caused by energy produce their renewables in their cell sites.
AI-driven network planning the power efficiency of different networks can vary.
The new AI can help base stations direct services to the
AI-driven network management and planning optimal network, resulting in greater network energy
applications are not a particularly new concept, but efficiency.
many vendors and network operators have recently
launched energy management solutions that leverage Major vendors are currently offering solutions that
AI and advanced data analytics to optimise energy can make energy savings of 5–15% on the RAN. New
consumption. AI can help operators increase energy software can forecast data traffic based on historical
efficiency and deal with the 5G era’s increased data patterns, weather, events nearby and other factors,
traffic in terms of network planning and optimisation. before identifying the necessary thresholds, activation
and sleep periods. Based on the information, the
AI can help in network planning by gaining insights from algorithm can shut down power amplifiers, transceivers
coverage areas, building heatmaps for network usage and other network elements to save energy. Alongside
and recommending an optimal location for new cell this power-saving potential, AI-driven shutdown
sites. New algorithms could also help understand spatial solutions can constantly monitor customer experience,
and temporal patterns in the ever-changing nature of network availability and data traffic to ensure there is no
mobile data use and predict future usage profiles in impact on network performance.
different coverage areas. AI algorithms can support the
interplay between indoor and outdoor small cells, Wi-Fi AI can also reduce energy consumption outside the
hotspots and macro sites to maximise energy efficiency. RAN – in central offices, shops and data centres – by
continuously calibrating the optimal settings of heating
and cooling systems, pumps and fans. Engineers
can use AI-driven building management systems
to prioritise work, reduce unproductive travel time,
AI-driven network optimisation identify equipment issues, avoid costly unscheduled
call-outs and help ensure network reliability. Going
Equipment vendors have started to offer AI-driven forward, AI-driven energy-saving platforms are
energy-saving solutions as an extension to existing expected to focus more on data harvested from
network management platforms. Algorithms for user devices. Anonymised coverage and data traffic
power saving in base stations can already be used insights from devices can help optimise the network
to shut down power amplifiers, transceivers and further and adjust more capacity layers.
other network elements. However, AI can improve
efficiency and lengthen sleep periods. Base stations Overall, AI-driven shutdown solutions can be broken
are the ‘low-hanging fruit’ for such applications as they down into three areas:
consume more than 70% of total energy. As each is
unique, optimising their operation one-by-one would • module (transceiver, baseband processing, etc.).
be labour-intensive. AI was introduced to enable more The AAU components can be shut down in real-
precise energy saving based on traffic and other site- time during idle periods
related conditions, improving efficiency and reducing
the manpower required. Large-scale deployments • equipment (AAU, RRU). Equipment can be
have shown an increase in power-saving activation of completely shut down during periods of low traffic,
more than 80%. usually at night
• network. Large-scale, AI-driven solutions can
In the 5G era, the energy optimisation offered by the first schedule data traffic between different 5G bands
and second generations of algorithms is not sufficient (for example, from C-band to sub-3 GHz bands) or
to deliver the needed energy saving to keep up with between 5G and 4G, in a similar way to the smart
growing data traffic. The third generation of AI-driven data mode seen in new smartphones.
energy-saving solutions can take account of the different
efficiency levels of frequency bands and factors in that
A surge in the popularity of video streaming over Reducing the distance between cache points and
the last five years has made placing content caching users results in improved latency, which preserves
facilities closer to end users strategically important – the customer experience for high- and super-high-
to maintain quality and for competitive reasons. Most definition video. Should fixed-wireless access (FWA)
video content passes through content delivery networks over 5G gain traction as a last-mile alternative for
(CDNs), which transfer media across hundreds of home broadband, the requirement for caching
servers worldwide. CDNs can reduce power demand as nearer to end-user premises would become even
a video stream only has to travel through the network more pressing. CDN analytics platforms and network
once to reach thousands of customers. management systems can together capture, locate
and analyse trends and events across the RF,
The CDN market historically mostly comprised RAN, backhaul and core, providing operators with
independent groups such as Level 3 and Akamai, but unprecedented insight to optimise their network, save
major internet and consumer tech companies (Google, energy and monitor the customer experience.
Facebook, Apple, Amazon, Netflix) have established their
own servers to ensure control over their own content.
4
Outlook
The big picture for operators of ultimately reducing emissions to net zero
depends on wrapping energy-efficient technologies into a broader green plan
that encompasses all facets of operations. In an effort to put teeth behind public
commitments on energy efficiency, companies from multiple sectors have
implemented KPIs and reporting targets. In telecoms, we have taken those of
Verizon, Vodafone and Telefónica because of their large market share positions
and pan-regional footprints. Table 1 summarises the current distribution of
energy consumption and outlines key goals and timelines for carbon reductions
along with the shift to renewables.
18 Outlook
5G ENERGY EFFICIENCIES
Each operator reports and sets targets in line with a scientifically approved methodology – the Science Based
Targets initiative (SBTi) – that categorises emissions into three tiers, or ‘scopes’:
Table 1
Energy consumption
Other 2% - -
Emissions reduction Reduce carbon intensity Reduce C02 emissions Reduce C02 emissions
pathway by 50% by 2025 by 50% by 2025 by 70% by 2030
Network overhaul 2G/3G sunsetting; copper broadband decommissioning; RAN site efficiencies
(batteries, air-con systems, power-saving/sleep mode)
Outlook 19
5G ENERGY EFFICIENCIES
Emissions reduction goals have been set in a phased Our analysis indicates that progress has generally
approach to first reach carbon-neutral status before been solid so far. The major enablers have come from
the more difficult and ambitious objective of net zero. advances in the renewable energy markets, including
Verizon and Vodafone have set targets to reach net increased supply, trading liquidity and long-term
zero by 2040. Telefónica has not yet stipulated a purchasing contracts. Figure 6 shows the aggregate
company-wide, net-zero timeline but has committed reduction in CO2 emissions each year relative to the
to this status for its top four operating markets (Spain, baseline year and in this way can be viewed as a
Germany, the UK and Brazil) by 2030. The milestones glidepath to stated emissions reduction targets by 2025
en route to these goals are, however, front loaded, with or 2030. Telefónica is the most advanced; it had reduced
Verizon and Vodafone aiming for 50% reductions in CO2 levels by 50% by 2019, implying it will reach the 70%
electricity usage by 2025 and Telefónica down 70% by reduction target well ahead of its 2030 goal. Verizon
2030. and Vodafone are also on a downward path, albeit less
steep, which should accelerate as the higher share of
renewables powering the network feeds through to
lower emissions over the next two to three years.
Figure 6
0%
-10%
-20%
-30%
-40%
Verizon
DOWN 50%
-50%
DOWN 50%
Vodafone
-60%
Telefónica
DOWN 70%
-70%
-80%
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2025 2030
Vodafone Telefónica Verizon
Note: Vodafone fiscal year ends in March. Data shown for most recent calendar year (e.g. FY 2020 shown as 2019 above)
Source: company reports, GSMA Intelligence
20 Outlook
5G ENERGY EFFICIENCIES
Outlook 21
5G ENERGY EFFICIENCIES
22 Outlook
5G AND ECONOMIC GROWTH
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