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Water Science and Engineering 2015, 8(3): 195e204

H O S T E D BY Available online at www.sciencedirect.com

Water Science and Engineering


journal homepage: http://www.waterjournal.cn

Flash flood hazard mapping: A pilot case study in Xiapu River Basin, China
Da-wei Zhang a,b,*, Jin Quan a, Hong-bin Zhang a,b, Fan Wang a,b, Hong Wang a,b, Xiao-yan He a,b
a
China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research, Beijing 100038, PR China
b
Research Center on Flood and Drought Disaster Reduction, Ministry of Water Resources, Beijing 100038, PR China
Received 10 October 2014; accepted 6 May 2015
Available online 13 August 2015

Abstract

Flash flood hazard mapping is a supporting component of non-structural measures for flash flood prevention. Pilot case studies are necessary
to develop more practicable methods for the technical support systems of flash flood hazard mapping. In this study, the headwater catchment of
the Xiapu River Basin in central China was selected as a pilot study area for flash flood hazard mapping. A conceptual distributed hydrological
model was developed for flood calculation based on the framework of the Xinanjiang model, which is widely used in humid and semi-humid
regions in China. The developed model employs the geomorphological unit hydrograph method, which is extremely valuable when simulating
the overland flow process in ungauged catchments, as compared with the original Xinanjiang model. The model was tested in the pilot study
area, and the results agree with the measured data on the whole. After calibration and validation, the model is shown to be a useful tool for flash
flood calculation. A practicable method for flash flood hazard mapping using the calculated peak discharge and digital elevation model data was
presented, and three levels of flood hazards were classified. The resulting flash flood hazard maps indicate that the method successfully predicts
the spatial distribution of flash flood hazards, and it can meet the current requirements in China.
© 2015 Hohai University. Production and hosting by Elsevier B.V. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://
creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/).

Keywords: Flash flood hazard mapping; Conceptual distributed hydrological model; Xinanjiang model; Geomorphological unit hydrograph; Xiapu River Basin

1. Introduction disasters are occurring in China at an increasing rate, severely


restricting socioeconomic development in mountainous and
Flash floods caused by heavy rainstorms are characterized by hilly areas. In order to improve flash flood prevention, the
a rapid water level rise in streams or creeks, which often have Chinese government has invested a large amount of money
small-size catchments with relatively steep slopes. Due to their since 2010 in non-structural measures for flash flood prevention
high intensity and sudden onset, flash floods usually cause (Sun et al., 2012). Flash flood hazard mapping, as a supporting
serious local disasters and, thus, flash flood prevention is a component of these measures, is a fundamental tool that can be
significant challenge for many countries. In China, moun- used to guide local planning, flood risk assessment, and emer-
tainous and hilly areas account for almost two thirds of the gency planning. Research on flash flood hazard mapping began
nation's land cover, and flash floods have become a major cause later in China than in some developed countries. Flood hazard
of natural disaster-induced casualties. Moreover, flash flood mapping has been developing in China since the 1980s, but flash
flood hazard mapping has not been performed until recently. In
order to explore practical methods for flash flood hazard map-
This work was supported by the Key Project in the National Science and ping, some pilot studies have been initiated in China.
Technology Pillar Program during the Twelfth Five-Year Plan Period (Grant Flash flood calculation is an essential component of flash
No. 2012BAK10B04) and the Specific Research Fund of the China Institute flood hazard mapping. However, the formation of flash floods is
of Water Resources and Hydropower Research (Grant No. JZ0145B032014).
* Corresponding author.
complicated. Flash floods also often occur in ungauged catch-
E-mail address: zhangdw@iwhr.com (Da-wei Zhang). ments, posing an even greater challenge to flash flood simula-
Peer review under responsibility of Hohai University. tions. Many scholars have conducted studies on flash flood

http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.wse.2015.05.002
1674-2370/© 2015 Hohai University. Production and hosting by Elsevier B.V. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://
creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/).
196 Da-wei Zhang et al. / Water Science and Engineering 2015, 8(3): 195e204

simulations. For example, Roux et al. (2011) developed a number (CN) method to model flash floods for ungauged arid
spatially distributed hydrological model on the basis of physical catchments and then integrated the results with topographic,
process representation; Estupina-Borrell et al. (2006) proposed metrological, geological, and land use datasets in order to
the physically based, space-time distributed hydrological model quantify and spatially map the flood characteristics; Bajabaa
MARINE (model of anticipation of runoff and inundations for et al. (2014) produced a flash flood hazard map by combining
extreme events); and the geomorphological instantaneous unit GIS techniques and physiographic features of the study area;
hydrograph (GIUH) has been derived from the geomorpholog- Fernandez-Lavado et al. (2007) derived flood hazard maps from
ical characteristics of a catchment and used in simulation of the a comprehensive geomorphological map, and classified flood
surface runoff hydrographs for ten rainfall events in the Ajay hazards into three levels (very high, high, and moderate). In
Catchment in eastern India (Kumar et al., 2007). Growing China, the main purpose of flash flood hazard mapping is
knowledge of flash flood mechanisms shows that the morpho- currently to aid in community emergency planning, and flash
metric variables of a catchment control its hydrological flood hazard mapping is still at an early stage (Li et al., 2013).
response (Angillieri, 2008; Moussa, 2003). Based on this un- A pilot case study was performed of the headwater catch-
derstanding, the geomorphological unit hydrograph (GUH) has ment of the Xiapu River Basin, located in central China. For
become one of the most popular methods for estimating hy- flash flood simulation, a new conceptual distributed hydro-
drological processes when data are inadequate (Diakakis, 2011; logical model using GUHs was developed based on the
Du et al., 2009). This method is based on the quantitative rela- framework of the Xinanjiang model. A method for depicting
tionship between catchment geomorphology (e.g., the catch- the flash flood hazard map was also introduced.
ment area and shape, topography, and stream density) and
hydrological processes (Khaleghi et al., 2014; Nourani et al., 2. Study area
2009). It has the advantage of requiring a limited number of
parameters, and geomorphological data can be obtained from The headwater catchment of the Xiapu River Basin, shown
topographic maps or digital elevation models (DEMs) (Ros and in Fig. 1, covers an area of 112.5 km2 in Xianning City,
Borga, 1997; Yao et al., 2014). With the development of GIS southeast Hubei Province, in central China. This catchment
technology, the calculation of basin geometric parameters based ranges from 29 190 2500 N to 29 250 4100 N and 114 180 3500 E to
on data from DEMs has become easier. Therefore, in order to 114 280 3800 E, and can be characterized as a hilly area with an
develop a new hydrological model suitable for ungauged average slope of 0.58 and elevations in the range of 157.6 to
catchments, the GUH method based on DEMs was used to es- 1 304.4 m.
timate outlet runoff hydrographs for each sub-catchment (Kong The study area is located in a subtropical monsoon climate
and Wang, 2009). The Xinanjiang model developed by Zhao zone with abundant rainfall (the annual rainfall is 1 630 mm)
(1984) is a conceptual rainfall-runoff model and is one of the and a mild climate (the average temperature is 16.3 C). In the
most widely used models in humid or semi-humid basins in flood season from April to September, intense rainfall over a
China (Liu et al., 2009). Therefore, it is feasible to develop a short duration usually causes flash floods, and the steep
more effective model based on the existing Xinanjiang model topography results in quick drainage. The floods, which can
and the GUH method for simulating flash floods occurring in cause severe local damage, are characterized by large flow
mountainous and hilly areas. rates and high transport ratios of alluvial deposits.
Extensive flash flood estimation studies have been carried There are four land use types within the catchment: arable
out due to the importance of flash flood hazard mapping in land, forest, mining, and residential building, of which forest
catchment management. Dawod et al. (2011) utilized the curve accounts for the largest proportion. There are four small

Fig. 1. Study area.


Da-wei Zhang et al. / Water Science and Engineering 2015, 8(3): 195e204 197

hydropower stations in the catchment: Zhanghekou, Leng- should be estimated. Theoretically, the surface flow is driven
shuiping, Dachayuan, and Egongjing, as shown in Fig. 1. The mainly by gravity, and there is a close relationship between the
first three are diversion stations, with weirs that are only about flow velocity and the average slope of the catchment. Gener-
1 m above the river bottom. Therefore, in this study, the effects ally, the velocity of overland flow can be estimated using the
of the first three hydropower stations on flash floods were following equation (Li, 2005):
neglected. However, the Egongjing Hydropower Station has a
small reservoir with a storage capacity of 984 000 m3 and a V ¼ KO I 1=2 ð1Þ
drainage area of 45 km2; the regulatory function of the
where V is the velocity of overland flow, KO is the velocity
reservoir had to be considered. The spillway is an open-type
coefficient, and I is the average slope of the catchment. The
practical weir, 23.45 m high and 23.60 m wide, and the weir
value of KO should be determined by calibration with actual
flow formula was used to calculate the reservoir discharge.
hydrological data. When there are insufficient hydrological
The main topographic data were in a DEM format with
data, it can be estimated based on the geomorphological fea-
25 m  25 m resolution. Eight typical channel cross-sections
tures of the mountainous area.
along the main stream were measured with GPS equipment for
Each point in the catchment has its own flow path toward
the simulation of flood propagation along the channel. Within
the outlet. Based on DEM data and GIS technology, water
the study area, there are three rainfall stations: Sanbao, Lin-
flows into the adjacent grid cell with the maximum gradient
shang, and Huangjin. The Dawuchang Hydrological Station is
according to the D8 algorithm, from which the flow path
located at the catchment outlet; its discharge data were used
from each point toward the outlet can be easily determined.
for model validation.
Fig. 2(a) shows the assumed bed elevations for each grid
cell, and the corresponding flow directions are shown in
3. Hydrological method for flash flood simulation
Fig. 2(b).
The concentration time of water in each grid cell can be
3.1. Framework of hydrological model
obtained according to the flow path and the average velocity
(Fig. 3(a)). Assuming that the time step of a unit hydrograph is
In this study, a new conceptual distributed hydrological
dt, then, by counting the number of grid cells with water
model was developed based on the framework of the Xinan-
flowing toward the outlet of a catchment in each time step dt,
jiang model developed by Zhao (1984). The existing Xinan-
the cumulative drainage area S* ðtÞ at time t can be calculated,
jiang model is usually operated at two time scales: daily
and the relative drainage area increment u(t) at time t, which is
continuous simulation and hourly simulation of flood events.
the ratio of the increment of the cumulative drainage area
This pilot case study used hourly simulations. In order to
during dt to the total area of the catchment, can also be ob-
consider the spatial variations of the hydrological processes,
tained as follows (Fig. 3(b)):
the study catchment was divided into 10 sub-catchments. For
each sub-catchment, the outflow was calculated with four S* ðtÞ  S* ðt  dtÞ
major modules: the evapotranspiration module, runoff gener- uðtÞ ¼  100% ð2Þ
A
ation module, runoff separation module, and runoff routing
module. The first three modules are from the existing Xinan- where A is the area of the catchment. According to the time-
jiang model. The actual evapotranspiration was computed area curve method (Muzik, 1996), with SðtÞ ¼ S* ðtÞ=A, the S-
from potential evapotranspiration. The soil water storage hydrograph can be obtained (Fig. 3(c)). The unit hydrograph
deficit was calculated in three layers, the upper, lower, and can be calculated (Fig. 3(d)) as follows:
deep soil layers, based on the tension water capacity distri-
A
bution curve. The runoff was generated by rainfall. The total qðtÞ ¼ uðtÞi ð3Þ
runoff was then subdivided into three components, surface dt
runoff, subsurface runoff, and underground runoff, based on
the free water capacity distribution curve. In the runoff routing
module, the surface runoff was routed toward the outlet of
each sub-catchment by means of the GUH method. For the
sake of simplicity, the subsurface and underground runoffs
were routed using the simple linear reservoir method. Then,
the outflow from each sub-catchment was routed along the
channels toward the main catchment outlet using the Musk-
ingum method.

3.2. GUH method

When using the GUH method, the most important step is to


calculate the time of concentration at each point in the
catchment. To obtain the travel time, the average flow velocity Fig. 2. Flow directions defined by D8 algorithm.
198 Da-wei Zhang et al. / Water Science and Engineering 2015, 8(3): 195e204

Fig. 3. GUH method based on DEM.

where q(t) is the flow discharge at the catchment outlet The GUH of each sub-catchment was calculated based on
induced by a certain amount of precipitation i for a time step dt the DEM data, with a time step of one hour and a unit pre-
at time t, and i is defined as the unit precipitation in this study. cipitation of 1 mm. The new conceptual distributed hydro-
logical model was calibrated using 10 historical flash flood
3.3. Simulation of flood propagation events from 1994 to 2010, provided by the Hydrology Bureau
of Xianning City. The arithmetic mean method was used to
In the proposed hydrological model, the Muskingum estimate the precipitation for each sub-catchment due to the
method is used to simulate the flood propagation in channels. relatively small catchment area and a certain amount of rain-
In the Muskingum method, two parameters, the lag time K and fall stations. The calibrated parameter values are listed in
weighting factor X, need to be calibrated using the measured Table 1 and the GUHs for 10 sub-catchments are shown in
flood data. However, hydrological data from a small catchment Fig. 6.
in mountainous and hilly areas can be relatively scarce. Thus, The simulated flash flood hydrographs at the Dawuchang
the traditional methods are not applicable for obtaining K and Hydrological Station are shown in Fig. 7, where Q is the flood
X. In this study, the reference flow rate and sectional geometry discharge at the Dawuchang Hydrological Station, and P is the
were used to determine the parameters K and X for each flood hourly precipitation in the catchment. The simulated results of
process. Detailed information about this method can be found
in Kong and Wang (2008).
Fig. 4 shows how the discharge of each sub-catchment
propagates to the outlet of the whole catchment. In the pro-
posed hydrological model, the outflow of each sub-catchment,
defined as Q1c, Q2c, and Q3c, respectively, can be calculated
simultaneously. Then, Q1c and Q2c are added together and
considered the input flood process of the channel (QI). After
QI is routed to the outlet of the catchment, the corresponding
output flood process Qo can be obtained. Adding Q3c and Qo
together, the total flood process of the catchment at the outlet
can be obtained.

4. Calibration of hydrological model

The catchment was divided into 10 sub-catchments with


areas ranging from 0.58 to 29.7 km2, as shown in Fig. 5. Fig. 4. Sketch of sub-catchment.
Da-wei Zhang et al. / Water Science and Engineering 2015, 8(3): 195e204 199

Table 1
Calibrated parameter values of hydrological model.
Parameter Physical meaning Calibrated value
KC Ratio of potential evapotranspiration to 0.7
pan evaporation
EX Exponential of distribution of 1
free water capacity
B Exponential of distribution of 0.1
tension water capacity
C Evapotranspiration coefficient of 0.11
deeper layer
WUM Tension water capacity of upper layer 20 mm
WLM Tension water capacity of lower layer 60 mm
WM Tension water capacity 140 mm
SM Free water capacity 5 mm
IM Ratio of impervious area to 0
total catchment area
KI Outflow coefficient of free water 0.5
storage to interflow
Fig. 5. Sub-catchments of study area.
KG Outflow coefficient of free water 0.3
storage to groundwater
different flood events are shown in Table 2. It is clear that, in CI Recession constant of interflow storage 0.99
general, the simulated results agree with the observed data. CG Recession constant of groundwater storage 0.3
KO Overland velocity coefficient 1.1
The absolute value of the maximum relative error of the peak
discharge is 12.00%; the time discrepancies (tD) between peak

Fig. 6. GUHs of each sub-catchment.


200 Da-wei Zhang et al. / Water Science and Engineering 2015, 8(3): 195e204

Fig. 7. Observed and simulated flash flood hydrographs at Dawuchang Hydrological Station.
Da-wei Zhang et al. / Water Science and Engineering 2015, 8(3): 195e204 201

Table 2 Table 3
Simulated results of different flood events at Dawuchang Hydrological Station. Rainfall distribution of six-hour design storms with different return periods.
Flood no. Peak discharge Qmax Relative error tD (h) NSE Return period Design rainfall distribution (mm)
(m3/s) of Qmax (%) (year) 1h 2h 3h 4h 5h 6h
Observed Simulated 2 4.59 5.43 9.65 36.21 6.80 4.02
940626 313.00 309.03 1.27 3 0.62 5 5.79 6.86 12.31 47.75 8.63 5.06
950701 452.00 450.32 0.37 1 0.87 10 6.52 7.74 13.93 54.77 9.74 5.70
960714 266.00 239.18 10.08 1 0.62 20 7.25 8.60 15.53 61.67 10.84 6.32
970902 303.00 321.84 6.22 1 0.87 50 8.06 9.58 17.37 70.18 12.09 7.02
990521 243.00 214.01 11.93 0 0.73 100 8.64 10.28 18.71 76.66 12.99 7.52
020513 266.00 271.74 2.16 1 0.92
030624 252.00 221.75 12.00 1 0.69
040429 229.00 240.17 4.88 0 0.93
050626 418.00 417.20 0.19 2 0.85 discharge, providing an estimation of the inundated areas
100714 168.00 185.74 10.56 0 0.68 when the DEM data were available.
Lengshuiping Village was selected as an example to
illustrate the process in detail (Fig. 9). Initially, 19 additional
discharges of observed and simulated results are very small, sections were inserted between the Zhanghekou and Chetou
except in two flash flood events (floods no. 940626 and sections, the shapes of which were estimated by interpolation
050626); and the values of the Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE) of the DEM data. Based on the distance from the Zhanghe-
coefficients for all the flood events are greater than 0.62, which kou to Chetou sections, peak discharges at the 19 sections
means they are acceptable. The low values of NSE for some were calculated and the corresponding maximum water
flood events may result from the lack of related data from four levels could also be obtained using the Manning equation.
hydropower stations. Generally, the new hydrological model The Zhanghekou, Chetou, and the additional 19 sections
performs well and can be utilized in flash flood analysis. formed 20 regions, and the water levels of the grid cells in
each region were calculated using the upstream and down-
5. Flash flood hazard mapping stream maximum water levels. The water level minus the
bottom elevation provided the water depth of each grid cell.
Flash flood hazard analysis provides an estimation of the Once the water depths of all grid cells were calculated, the
extent and intensity of design flash flood scenarios. Disasters inundated areas and water depth distribution could be
caused by flash floods usually occur in villages and towns obtained.
situated along channels. Lengshuiping Village, located in sub- (4) Classification of flash flood hazards according to the
catchment 7, was selected as the object of flash flood hazard water depth and flow velocity: In this study, the water depth,
mapping because of its relatively large scale. The upstream
and downstream control sections were Zhanghekou and Che-
tou, respectively, as shown in Fig. 5. The procedure for flash
flood hazard mapping is as follows:
(1) Estimation of the design storms with different
return periods (2, 5, 10, 20, 50, and 100 years): In the study
catchment, the rainfall data series could not satisfy the fre-
quency calculation requirements and, thus, six-hour design
storms with different return periods were estimated based on
the data from HPDWR (2008), as shown in Table 3.
(2) Calculation of design flash flood process using the
calibrated hydrological model: For the sake of simplicity, only
the simulated results of the design flash floods with 2- and
100-year return periods are presented in Fig. 8. The peak
discharges are 143 and 318 m3/s, respectively, for 2- and 100-
year return periods in the Zhanghekou section, the values are
149 and 332 m3/s, respectively, in the Chetou section.
(3) Estimation of inundated areas using the maximum water
level and DEM data: After the design flood hydrographs are
derived, the peak discharge can be converted into the corre-
sponding maximum water level. Generally, two methods can
be used: a method based on the relationship between the
discharge and water level of the specific section, and the
Manning equation. In this study, the Manning equation was Fig. 8. Simulated results of flash flood processes for Zhanghekou and
used to calculate the maximum water level based on the peak Chetou sections.
202 Da-wei Zhang et al. / Water Science and Engineering 2015, 8(3): 195e204

in China is the prevention of flash flood hazards. Finally, map-


specific information, such as the legend, scale, and compass,
should be added.
Fig. 10 shows the flash flood hazard maps for Lengshuiping
Village during design storms with 2- and 100-year return pe-
riods. Although the discharges have significant differences,
there is little difference between the inundated areas in the two
scenarios because of the high velocity of flash floods. More-
over, the study area is located in the upper reach of the Xiapu
River Basin, where the slopes are very steep. Thus, there is no
significant difference in the in-plane water surface under
different discharges.
Table 4 shows a comparison of the maximum water levels
Zmax and peak discharges Qmax of flash floods with 2- and 100-
year return periods in the Zhanghekou and Chetou sections.
Fig. 11 shows the water level variation in the Zhanghekou and
Chetou sections. The difference in the maximum water levels
between the two design flash floods with 2- and 100-year re-
turn periods in the Zhanghekou section is 0.56 m, and the in-
plane water surface extent is only 0.96 m. This is considerably
smaller than the DEM resolution of 25 m. The highest water
level difference is 0.78 m in the Chetou section, and the water
surface extent is 6.35 m, which is also smaller than the DEM
resolution.
It is worth mentioning that the resolution of the DEM data
has an influence on the hazard map. In Fig. 11, inundated areas

Fig. 9. Sketch of inundated area calculation.

rather than the product of the water depth and flow velocity,
was used for the hazard classification, even though the flow
velocity is an important component of flash floods. The reason
is that only the flow velocities in the sections were calculated,
and the two-dimensional in-plane flow velocities could not be
obtained with the simple hydraulic method used in this study.
The levels of flash flood hazards were classified as moderate
for a water depth lower than 0.5 m, high for a water depth
from 0.5 to 3.0 m, and very high for a water depth greater than
3.0 m.
(5) Flash flood hazard mapping: The base map was pre-
pared by integrating topographical, drainage, and administra-
tive maps. Then, the main information obtained from flash
flood simulation and analysis, e.g., the inundated areas, water
depth distribution, and flash flood hazard level, was added to
the base map. Additional information, such as flash flood
scenario instructions, calculation conditions, and mapping
units and dates, can be then added. It is worth noting that the
emergency evacuation route is also very important informa-
tion, because the main purpose of flash flood hazard mapping Fig. 10. Flash flood hazard maps for Lengshuiping Village.
Da-wei Zhang et al. / Water Science and Engineering 2015, 8(3): 195e204 203

Table 4 mountainous and hilly catchments in China, especially in


Maximum water levels and peak discharges of flash floods with 2- and southern areas, which cannot be considered effectively by this
100-year return periods in Zhanghekou and Chetou sections.
hydrological model. Therefore, research on hydrological
Section Qmax (m3/s) Zmax (m) models considering the effects of hydropower stations should
2-year 100-year 2-year 100-year be performed in the future. (2) The typical resolution of DEMs
return period return period return period return period in China is about 25e30 m, which is relatively coarse for flash
Zhanghekou 143 318 235.94 236.50 flood hazard mapping. In order to avoid the creation of jagged
Chetou 149 332 215.46 216.24 inundated areas in flash flood hazard mapping, high-resolution
DEM data are necessary. (3) The velocity of flash floods is
usually very high. Therefore, the product of water depth and
flow velocity, rather than the water depth, should be used as
the indicator for hazard level classification. However, the flow
velocity was not obtained for each grid cell in this study
because of the adoption of a simple hydraulic method; this
approach should be improved in future work. (4) Relatively
simple calculation methods and coarse topographical data
limit the accuracy of flash flood hazard mapping. With the
development of computation technology, the hydrodynamic
model can be used to model flash floods to provide more
detailed information. In the meantime, with the rapid devel-
opment of LiDAR and sonar measurement technology, it is
becoming easier and more practical to obtain high-resolution
DEM data, which can be used to develop more accurate
Fig. 11. Water level variation in Zhanghekou and Chetou sections flash flood hazard maps.
(units: m).
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