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2021 Digital Consumer Index Pinpointing The Most Promising Digital Opportunities
2021 Digital Consumer Index Pinpointing The Most Promising Digital Opportunities
April 2021
INTRODUCTION
INTRODUCING THE DIGITAL CONSUMER
INDEX
UNCOVERING WHERE TO PLACE DIGITAL
BETS
IDENTIFYING KEY E-COMMERCE
OPPORTUNITIES
10 MARKETS TO WATCH
KEY TAKEAWAYS
APPENDIX
INTRODUCTION
▪ This report explores findings from the 2021 edition of the Digital Consumer Disclaimer
Index. Much of the information in this
briefing is of a statistical nature and,
▪ These are the key methodologies used in Passport Digital Consumer analysis: while every attempt has been made
to ensure accuracy and reliability,
Euromonitor International cannot be
Industry held responsible for omissions or
Research errors.
• E-commerce Figures in tables and analyses are
database
calculated from unrounded data and
may not sum. Analyses found in the
Consumer
briefings may not totally reflect the
Survey
Socioeconomic companies’ opinions, reader
Research
• Voice of the discretion is advised.
• Digital
Consumer: Digital Landscape
Digital Consumer database
Survey Exploring how
technology is During the pandemic,
changing countries saw a restated
commerce
demand for digital connectivity
leading market players to
Analytics accelerate their digital
Industry
Survey • Digital initiatives. Thus, the global
Consumer digital landscape is expected to
• Voice of the Index
Industry: • E-Commerce see shifts over the forecast
Digital Readiness
Survey period, where developed
Model
markets will further strengthen
sophisticated digital solutions
▪ Report closing date: 1 April 2021, the date the report writing stopped. and emerging markets will
▪ Discussions with our clients are a key part of our research. We welcome the enhance their connectivity and
chance to continue the conversation. Author details can be found at the end of commerce infrastructure,
leading to greater opportunities
the report. for investment.
© Euromonitor International 2021 DIGITAL CONSUMER INDEX: PINPOINTING THE MOST PROMISING DIGITAL PASSPORT 3
OPPORTUNITIES
INTRODUCTION
Key findings
Wider digital inclusion 2021 will mark the first time that more than half of the population in emerging and
and digital literacy leads developing countries will be connected, with nearly 52% of the population in
to exponential these markets using the internet. With 79% of the global internet population living
development in digital in emerging markets, wider digital inclusion and evolving digital literacy in these
access markets is driving demand and supply of digital services.
Internet connectivity is As digital connectivity is evolving around wireless solutions, both in terms of
driving both remote and wireless connectivity and wireless devices, most solutions are becoming mobile-
in-person commerce, centric. This is resulting in the emergence of commerce solutions beyond remote
thereby driving experiences, towards in-person digital engagement. From contactless payments,
innovation AI and smart retail this opens a new array of digital engagements.
South Korea to remain a South Korea is expected to retain its lead on the Digital Consumer Index, given
leader on the Digital strong impetus to its digital commerce development from retail e-commerce
Consumer Index sales. E-commerce players are investing in new technologies including digital
wallets. Increased investment such as Coupang’s IPO will further strengthen
South Korea against other markets globally.
The rise of China on the China is expected to increase by eight places on the Digital Consumer Index to
Digital Consumer Index rank among the top 10 markets globally over the forecast period. China will
will lead to shifts in specifically improve on digital connectivity, particularly mobile connectivity, which
global rankings will lead to enhanced digital access in second-tier cities.
COVID-19 has led to The COVID-19 pandemic not only put pressure on the quality of internet access
unprecedented shifts on across markets, accelerated digitally-driven commerce in industries such as retail
the Digital Commerce and foodservice delivery, but it also spearheaded investment in digital
Index infrastructure, leading to accelerated development across these sectors.
© Euromonitor International 2021 DIGITAL CONSUMER INDEX: PINPOINTING THE MOST PROMISING DIGITAL PASSPORT 4
OPPORTUNITIES
Introducing the Digital Consumer Index
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INTRODUCING THE DIGITAL CONSUMER INDEX
▪ In 2021, an estimated 57% of the global population will have access to the internet, equating to roughly 4.4
billion internet users. While developed countries now report over 87% of the population covered with
internet, this will be the first time that more than half of the population in emerging and developing countries
will be connected, with nearly 52% of the population in these markets using the internet.
▪ Over the last five years, 2016-2021, over 1.3 billion new internet users have been added worldwide, of
which nearly 94% of the new users belong to emerging and developing markets. Increased focus on driving
digital inclusion backed by the role of digital in economic development has led more governments to invest
in access to digital connectivity.
▪ Of the top 10 markets expected to post the highest increase in new internet users in 2021, five are from
Asia and three from Africa. China and India, the next billion-people markets, are on track to add half a
billion internet users in the next five years. The total number of internet users in both markets will reach
nearly two billion in 2026, which will account for one third of the total internet population of the world at that
time.
Percentage of Population Using the Internet 2010-2021
Percentage of Population
100
80
60
40
20
0
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
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OPPORTUNITIES
INTRODUCING THE DIGITAL CONSUMER INDEX
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OPPORTUNITIES
INTRODUCING THE DIGITAL CONSUMER INDEX
▪ While the early phase of consumer engagement with Mobile Phone Activities with Greatest
digital devices was characterised by communication Positive Movement During 2020
and consumption of media such as music or video, Order food and drink online for
this has evolved over time as greater numbers of takeaway/home delivery
connected consumers use their devices to engage in Make an in-store mobile payment
digital commerce activities such as ordering a ride-
Remotely monitor or control
sharing service, ordering food and drink for delivery or home appliances
takeaway, keep track of their health and fitness in Make or receive a voice call over
addition to making other purchases. Browsing the the internet
internet remains the most common activity with nearly Use an app to track my health or
98% of the global connected consumers using mobile fitness
to browse the internet, according to the Voice of the Stream music online
Consumer: Lifestyle Survey.
Use a banking service
▪ However, digital connectivity is now making inroads
into in-person digital engagement around devices. Buy an item or service
During 2020, for example, one of the key shifts was
seen in the use of mobile to make an in-store mobile Compare prices while in store
payment. With many of these shifts also encouraged
Use a communication or
by the COVID-19 pandemic during 2020, more messaging app
consumers reported using mobile for a banking
service as well. With expected lasting shifts in 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5%
consumer behaviour in the post-pandemic world, Change between % connected consumers reporting
mobile activities in 2020 and 202
technology and connectivity is going to play a key role
in re-defining many products and services. Source: Euromonitor International Passport Voice of the Consumer:
Lifestyle Survey, fielding Jan/Feb 2020 and 2021
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OPPORTUNITIES
INTRODUCING THE DIGITAL CONSUMER INDEX
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OPPORTUNITIES
INTRODUCING THE DIGITAL CONSUMER INDEX
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Uncovering Where to Place Digital Bets
▪ The internet has been one of the most transformative innovations of the modern era, ushering new scale
and speed to make real-time communication possible for both consumers and businesses. Its important to
note that the internet has emerged as a mainstream technology for masses only over the last decade.
▪ During this period, access to the internet in emerging markets has expanded rapidly with wider availability
and access through mobile devices. Over the last five years, the number of internet users in emerging
markets has grown by over 52%, with over 3.5 billion users in 2021. Relatively, the number of internet users
grew by only 10% in developed markets, where 21% of the total internet population resides in 2021.
▪ During 2020, COVID-19 has validated the internet to be the world’s greatest connector, keeping consumers
and businesses connected. Despite fast-paced adoption of the internet across many markets in the pre-
pandemic period, demand for broadband services and mobile internet significantly increased. Moreover, the
high dependence on the internet further exposed the differences in the quality of internet access between
developed and emerging markets.
Internet Users in Developed vs Emerging Markets 2001-2021
5,000
4,000
Million Users
3,000
2,000
1,000
-
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Developed Countries Emerging and Developing Countries
Source: Euromonitor International Passport: Digital Consumer Database
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UNCOVERING WHERE TO PLACE DIGITAL BETS
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UNCOVERING WHERE TO PLACE DIGITAL BETS
Singapore USA
Ukraine
China
Malaysia Poland
15
10
Nigeria India
5
0
5 10 15 20 25
Mobile Connectivity Index Score
Australasia Eastern Europe Asia Pacific Latin America Middle East and Africa North America Western Europe
Source: Euromonitor International 2021 Digital Consumer Index
▪ The variations in Home Connectivity and Mobile Connectivity index scores across countries broadly
translate into regional differences in terms of digital readiness and access to the internet. This ultimately
defines digital consumption behaviour in these regions.
▪ Overall, Australasia, North America and Western Europe score strongest on current and forecast Digital
Connectivity indices as 18 of the 24 developed countries on the Digital Consumer Index are from these
three regions. On the other hand, Latin America is the weakest region on the Digital Connectivity Index.
The Middle East and Africa is the second weakest region, with four of the bottom 10 markets on the Digital
Consumer Index from that region.
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UNCOVERING WHERE TO PLACE DIGITAL BETS
Highest Current Scores on the 2021 Digital ▪ Among the leading 15 markets on the Digital Connectivity
Connectivity Index Index, only two make an exception being emerging
Rank Country Current score markets. The United Arab Emirates continues to lead the
1 UAE 45.1 Digital Connectivity Index with slight improvement in its
current score as well. The country is also expected to retain
2 Japan 43.3
its leading place over the forecast period as it is expected
3 Australia 41.5 to increase its ranking in home connectivity in addition to its
4 Denmark 41.1 global lead on the Mobile Connectivity Index.
5 USA 40.5 ▪ Poland makes the biggest stride this year by increasing its
6 UK 39.9 rank by five5 places to rank 10th on the 2021 Digital
Connectivity Index. With a penetration rate of 186 per 100
7 South Korea 39.5
people, Poland ranks as the third highest country on the
8 Sweden 39.5 Mobile Connectivity Index, ahead of countries such as
9 Singapore 39.2 Australia, the US as well as its regional peer - the UK.
10 Poland 39.2 ▪ Poland undertook “Operational Programme Digital Poland
11 Norway 38.9 (OPDP)”, co-financed by EU structural funds, to increase
investment in the domestic digital economy, improve
12 New Zealand 38.9
broadband access, widen the digitalisation of public
13 Netherlands 38.8 services and increase levels of digital competence. Two of
14 France 38.5 its operators Polkemtel and T-Mobile also launched 5G
15 Belgium 38.2 networks in Poland in 2020, in addition to 100% population
Source: Euromonitor International 2021 Digital Consumer Index
already having access to 4G.
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OPPORTUNITIES
UNCOVERING WHERE TO PLACE DIGITAL BETS
Highest Forecast Scores on the 2021 Digital ▪ The Digital Connectivity Index also provides forecast
Connectivity Index scores offering insight into the projected development
Forecast Rank in digital landscape over the next five years. Given a
Rank Country
score change strong correlation between a country’s income level and
1 UAE 48.0 0 its digital connectivity, developed markets fare better in
2 Japan 44.9 0 terms of their digital competence than emerging
markets. The continuous strive towards building
3 Australia 44.4 0
smarter services will keep developed markets ahead
4 USA 43.4 1 over the forecast period.
5 UK 43.1 1 ▪ Developed markets will see their collective score
6 Greece 42.9 12 increase by 2.7 points, to reach 40.8 in 2025. Emerging
7 Denmark 42.4 3 markets will see a larger collective increase of 4.3
points, to reach 33.4 by 2025, as upcoming expansion
8 New Zealand 41.8 4
will be more pronounced in emerging markets.
9 China 41.6 16
▪ However, Singapore and the Netherlands are expected
10 Belgium 41.6 5 to lose their place among the top 15 markets on the
11 France 41.4 3 Digital Connectivity Index by 2025. Most noticeably,
12 Poland 41.3 2 China from the emerging markets is set to surface
among the leading markets with increase in ranks by 16
13 Sweden 41.3 5
places, on account of increased mobile access.
14 Norway 41.2 3 Greece, which is currently lagging behind the digital
15 South Korea 40.7 8 adoption within Europe, is expected to catch up and
Source: Euromonitor International 2021 Digital Consumer Index increase in ranks by an impressive 12 places by 2025.
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OPPORTUNITIES
UNCOVERING WHERE TO PLACE DIGITAL BETS
▪ Of the 10 fastest growing markets for digital readiness over the Greatest Positive Movement
next five years, nine will be emerging markets. Nigeria is on the Digital Connectivity
projected to make the greatest leap in the Digital Connectivity Index
Index scores, however despite the progress, the country will see Nigeria
no change in its comparative ranking, where it stands at the
bottom of the index. India, however, the next fastest progressing India
© Euromonitor International 2021 DIGITAL CONSUMER INDEX: PINPOINTING THE MOST PROMISING DIGITAL PASSPORT 18
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UNCOVERING WHERE TO PLACE DIGITAL BETS
Individual Developed Markets vs Developed Market ▪ Japan and Australia will retain their
Average leading places as the second and third,
24
South Korea France respectively, most connected markets
Germany Denmark over the forecast period. Greece,
23 Netherlands
Switzerland Norway Sweden United Kingdom Belgium, Italy, New Zealand and
Portugal Leaders
Belgium Austria will see the biggest stride in
Home Connectivity Index Forecast Score
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OPPORTUNITIES
UNCOVERING WHERE TO PLACE DIGITAL BETS
Individual Emerging Markets vs Emerging Market ▪ Over the forecast period, China
Average will join the ranks of the UAE
26
and Poland to establish
United Arab
Emirates leadership across the Digital
Leaders
23 Connectivity Index as the
Hungary
China second most connected
Romania
emerging market and the ninth
Home Connectivity Index Forecast Score
5
▪ Countries such as Nigeria, the
10 13 16 19 22 25 Philippines, Morocco and South
Mobile Connectivity Index Forecast Score Africa will continue to lag behind
Source: Euromonitor International 2020 Digital Consumer Index their emerging market peers.
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Identifying Key E-Commerce Opportunities
The Digital Consumer Index examines the interplay of both digital connectivity
and digital commerce to identify promising markets for digital commerce
opportunities. Of the top 20 markets on the Digital Consumer Index, all but two
are developed markets. China and the United Arab Emirates continue to
outperform their emerging market peers on the Digital Consumer Index. This
section explores those countries where digital connectivity and propensity to
spend online are the strongest.
IDENTIFYING KEY E-COMMERCE OPPORTUNITIES
Digital Consumer Index Ranking ▪ South Korea continues to retain its leadership on the 2021 Digital
Rank Country Current score Consumer Index. South Korea is the world’s fourth largest market
for retail remote e-commerce, where some 36% of total consumer
1 South Korea 75.2 retail is conducted online, according to Euromonitor International.
2 UK 68.5 Retail e-commerce has posted a 24% CAGR over the last five
3 USA 68.3 years as e-commerce players such as Coupang, eBay and Naver
4 Australia 67.1 have aggressively taken share from physical retail. As these e-
commerce players continue to invest further in their digital wallet
5 UAE 65.1
solutions such as Coupang Pay, eBay’s SmilePay and Naver Pay,
6 Denmark 64.4 proximity payments have accelerated in the country as well,
7 Netherlands 63.2 ranking South Korea as fourth largest market for proximity e-
8 New Zealand 62.6 commerce globally. Digitalisation of retail has played a key role in
South Korea’s Digital Commerce Index scores, despite average
9 Singapore 62.5
scores on Market Environment and Mobile Connectivity indices -
10 Israel 61.7 which shows a greater effect of the consumer-driven digital trends
11 Belgium 61.4 such as growth of single households favouring various categories
Hong Kong, in digital commerce and increased adoption of e-commerce
12 61.2 among older consumer segments.
China
13 Japan 61.0 ▪ The UK, improving by four places, rose to second position on the
14 Sweden 60.9 2021 Digital Consumer Index, replacing the long-standing leader
Australia. The country’s rise is due to improved Mobile
15 Norway 60.1
Source: Euromonitor International 2021 Digital
Connectivity and Connected Commerce infrastructure, spurred by
Consumer Index public and private investment as well as technological innovation.
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IDENTIFYING KEY E-COMMERCE OPPORTUNITIES
▪ South Korea and the UK lead the Individual Developed Markets vs Developed Market
developed markets in terms of the Average
44
current Digital Consumer Index
scores. Australia, which previously Japan
held second place, now ranks 42 Leaders
fourth.
Australia
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OPPORTUNITIES
IDENTIFYING KEY E-COMMERCE OPPORTUNITIES
▪ The UAE and China are leading Individual Emerging Markets vs Emerging Market
emerging markets on the Digital Average
Consumer Index with high scores on 30
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OPPORTUNITIES
IDENTIFYING KEY E-COMMERCE OPPORTUNITIES
Forecast Top 20 on Digital Consumer Index ▪ The Digital Consumer Index also
50 provides a forecast score, which
reflects how the digital commerce
United Arab
Emirates
landscape might look in five years.
As is to be expected, developed
markets are more digitally
45 Japan advanced today than emerging
Digital Connectivity Index Forecast Score
Australia
USA markets and will be in five years,
Belgium Denmark United Kingdom
New Zealand though some emerging markets
China
Sweden Norway such as China will make major
Netherlands South Korea
40 Canada Singapore strides and join the global top 10.
Switzerland Hong Kong, China
Taiwan
Czech Republic ▪ Of the top 15 markets on the
Israel Digital Consumer Index based on
forecast scores, 14 were in the top
35 15 based on current scores,
though some of the rankings have
shifted. Israel is expected to fall
from the top 15 as China rises to
eighth, Norway will also see
30
15 20 25 30 35 40 45 considerable progress ranking
Connected Commerce Index Forecast Score 12th while the Netherlands will
Emerging Market Developed Market lose three places to rank 10th in
Source: Euromonitor International 2021 Digital Consumer Index the forecast rankings.
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OPPORTUNITIES
IDENTIFYING KEY E-COMMERCE OPPORTUNITIES
Greatest Positive Movement on ▪ Looking at the pace of progress of scores on the Connected
the Connected Commerce Index Commerce Index over the forecast period, the majority of
improvements are expected to be from developed markets as
Mexico
increased digital adoption, innovation and digital-led agenda will
Indonesia widen the digital commerce services in these markets.
▪ However, four of these top 10 performers for Connected
Turkey
Commerce Index scores are expected to be from among
Philippines emerging markets. Mexico and Indonesia will see the highest
increase on the Connected Commerce Index ranking, such that
USA both markets will rise from the bottom 15 to the top 15 on the
Connected Commerce Index. These markets will see the impact
Singapore
of improved performance of Digital Commerce Index scores due
Denmark to widening of digital commerce adoption by consumers, despite
ongoing modest market environments and commerce
New Zealand infrastructure.
Norway
▪ In Mexico, for example, numerous players made substantial
investments in e-commerce, improving and expanding online
United Kingdom platforms as well as establishing distribution centres around the
country. Last-mile delivery companies, including Cornershop
0 5 10 15
and Rappi, expanded substantially and formed partners with
Changes Between the Current and Forecast
Connected Commerce Index Score essential and non-essential businesses alike. Many companies
Source: Euromonitor International 2021 Digital Consumer
have stated their desire to rather invest in e-commerce over
Index opening new brick-and-mortar stores.
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OPPORTUNITIES
IDENTIFYING KEY E-COMMERCE OPPORTUNITIES
60%
very or extremely comfortable
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
Robots Companies Companies Riding an Brands Voice Robots helping Robots guiding Ordering food
preparing automatically using facial automobile tracking my assistants with Check-ins me to products from a delivery
entire meal for ordering recognition to without a emotions to providing at a Hotel in-store only restaurant
dine-in at products on my personalise in- human driver personalise information
restaurant behalf person experiences
interactions
South Korea World
Source: Euromonitor International Passport Voice of the Consumer: Digital Survey, fielded March and April 2020
▪ South Korea is expected to retain its top spot in the forecast Digital Consumer Index rankings, given its
increased score on the Connected Commerce Index, driven primarily by continued development in its
commerce infrastructure and high online spend. As consumers increasingly use digital platforms, South
Korean players are expected to lead with use of more sophisticated applications of technology. According
to Euromonitor International’s Digital Consumer Survey, more consumers in South Korea have shown
higher comfort levels with use of artificial intelligence in commerce experiences, such as brands tracking
their emotions to personalise services or companies automatically ordering on a customer’s behalf, than
their global peers. South Korean consumers also seem to be more ready for autonomous vehicles and
robotics.
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OPPORTUNITIES
IDENTIFYING KEY E-COMMERCE OPPORTUNITIES
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OPPORTUNITIES
IDENTIFYING KEY E-COMMERCE OPPORTUNITIES
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OPPORTUNITIES
10 Markets to Watch
Utilising the Digital Consumer Index, this section highlights developed and
emerging markets providing great digital promise relative to other markets at a
similar state of economic development. Each market spotlight explores the
product and service categories that will most influence future digital commerce
expansion, in order to provide companies with greater understanding of the
market’s underlying digital opportunities.
10 MARKETS TO WATCH
59.9
fuel the digital commerce landscape in China. China is set to post the
CURRENT DIGITAL
highest increase on the Digital Consumer Index rankings over the
CONSUMER INDEX
forecast period, moving up eight places by 2025.
▪ Expansive ambitions of key players such as Alibaba, Ant Group and
JD.com will further growth in second-tier cities and penetrate services
across new consumer segments. As super apps such as WeChat
8.3 SCORE AS COMPARED
TO REGIONAL AVERAGE
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10 MARKETS TO WATCH
▪ While India falls among the bottom ranks of the Digital Consumer
Index, it also ranks the lowest in Asia Pacific with only 44% of the Spotlight | India
32.9
population having access to the internet. However, given it is home to
CURRENT DIGITAL
the second highest number of internet users in Asia Pacific, following CONSUMER INDEX
China, the country offers an attractive opportunity for future growth.
▪ Through its “Digital India Initiative”, the government is focusing on; the
development of stable digital infrastructure; increased internet access,
delivering government services digitally and universal digital literacy, to
18.7 SCORE AS COMPARED
TO REGIONAL AVERAGE
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OPPORTUNITIES
10 MARKETS TO WATCH
44.3
population using the internet has increased from 57% in 2015 to 73%
CURRENT DIGITAL
in 2020. This involved bringing the internet to 10,000 communities CONSUMER INDEX
and partnering with private tech players to provide free Wi-Fi access
0.3
in public areas. The deployment of Red Compartida, a wholesale SCORE AS COMPARED
wireless network, will expand coverage to 90% of the population with TO REGIONAL AVERAGE
4.5G LTE technology.
▪ With second largest internet subscriber base in the region after
Brazil, Mexico is a viable market for investment in Latin America. With 2021 DIGITAL CONSUMER INDEX RANKINGS
Rank out of 50 markets
ICT influencing demand for new business and service models and DIGITAL CONSUMER INDEX
COVID-19 encouraging the digital services adoption in Mexico, the e-
commerce sector seems to have passed the key challenges to evolve
from stagnancy. With trends set in motion, Mexico is expected to
report the highest improvement on Digital Consumer Index score
globally, increasing its rank by 11 places by 2025.
▪ Retailing e-commerce is set to see noticeable shifts as stores invest
in online platforms in 2020. As online sales surged, Home Depot
made extensive investment in e-commerce. Payment platform Stripe 1 10 20 30 40 50
is partnering with various players such as grocery delivery platform
Cornershop and foodservice delivery aggregator Rappi to integrate TOP THREE CATEGORIES FOR DIGITAL GROWTH:
digital payments and reduce cash on delivery in Mexico. Alibaba is Based on 2020-2025 absolute value growth (million)
1. Consumer Electronics: USD2,561
partnering with GINgroup to develop e-commerce skills and develop 2. Lodging Direct: USD2,045
“digital villages” in all 32 Mexican states. eBay launched a similar 3. Online Travel Agencies: USD1,782
initiative to bring the SME sector into the e-commerce market
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OPPORTUNITIES
10 MARKETS TO WATCH
▪ Saudi Arabia is positioning itself as the new bright spot for digital
investment in the Middle East region. Driven by Vision 2030, the Ministry of
Spotlight | Saudi Arabia
53.0
Commerce and Investment in Saudi Arabia implemented the E-Commerce
CURRENT DIGITAL
Law in 2020 to increase confidence in e-commerce transactions; provide CONSUMER INDEX
consumers necessary protections against fraud; and boost and develop e-
commerce activities in the Kingdom.
▪ Characterised by highly connected young consumers, with higher average 9.7 SCORE AS COMPARED
TO REGIONAL AVERAGE
times spent on mobile devices, Saudi Arabia ranks among the top 10
countries globally in terms of mobile connectivity. With the Financial Sector 2021 DIGITAL CONSUMER INDEX RANKINGS
Rank out of 50 markets
Development programme, focusing on enhancing e-payments, the digital DIGITAL CONSUMER INDEX
commerce landscape is being further strengthened.
▪ With a large expat base that forms over 30% of the population and a strong
outbound travel market from the Kingdom, airlines direct online has been
the biggest e-commerce category in Saudi Arabia. Online travel agencies
are also playing a key role in digitising travel booking solutions, local
players such as Seera Group’s Almosafer and Tajawal have been very
successful such that foreign booking platforms face stiff competition from 1 10 20 30 40 50
these players. Retail e-commerce has been fast developing with total goods
bought online surpassing the UAE, adding over USD1.8 billion in sales in
TOP THREE CATEGORIES FOR DIGITAL GROWTH:
2020. During 2020, Amazon launched Amazon.sa, rebranding Souq.com, Based on 2020-2025 absolute value growth (million)
which it acquired earlier in 2017. It also launched Amazon Prime in 2021. 1. Airlines Direct Online: USD8,441
Food and drink e-commerce is showing burgeoning growth with leading 2. Online Travel Agencies: USD1,254
3. Limited-Service Restaurants: USD775
grocery retailers such as BinDawood investing in digital platforms.
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OPPORTUNITIES
10 MARKETS TO WATCH
49.5
current and forecast rankings. Most improvements are expected in
CURRENT DIGITAL
Turkey’s commerce infrastructure as card payments are set to make up CONSUMER INDEX
69% of consumer payments by 2025 and household smartphone
8.1
possession will increase to 90% from a current level of 77%. SCORE AS COMPARED
Reshaping the Turkish digital landscape, these will drive opportunities TO REGIONAL AVERAGE
to launch more sophisticated digital products.
▪ Increasing investment in Turkey's airline sector has supported
burgeoning demand for air travel in the country. With the domestic 2021 DIGITAL CONSUMER INDEX RANKINGS
Rank out of 50 markets
market comprising nearly 50% of air travel and opening of the new DIGITAL CONSUMER INDEX
Istanbul Airport connecting to more outbound destinations, airlines
direct online is set to be the leading category. Turkish Airlines and low
cost carriers such as Pegasus Airlines offer well-developed online
booking platforms, which are being supported by increased online
payments via digital wallets such as BKM Express.
▪ Retail e-commerce is rapidly growing with increased foreign investment
in leading online platforms. Apparel and footwear, one of the key
1 10 20 30 40 50
categories, has been the biggest revenue segment for Trendyol, the
leading e-commerce player. The category is set for further growth as
specialist e-commerce players such as Modanisa, receive investments TOP THREE CATEGORIES FOR DIGITAL GROWTH:
Based on 2020-2025 absolute value growth (million)
from Goldman Sachs and the European Bank of Reconstruction and 1. Airlines Direct Online: USD2,477
Development. N11, one of the prominent players, plans an IPO to 2. Apparel and Footwear: USD1,129
support growth in an evolving retail e-commerce market. 3. Media Products: USD1,036
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10 MARKETS TO WATCH
49.6
economic and social areas, which is expected to lead the country to
CURRENT DIGITAL
post the highest increase in score on the Digital Consumer Index over CONSUMER INDEX
the forecast period in Eastern Europe. Historically, digital connectivity
0.4
scores have been weaker given the large country area resulting in SCORE AS COMPARED
unequal internet access. Smartphone accessibility, through affordable TO REGIONAL AVERAGE
brands such as Xiaomi, has increased the household possession of
smartphones to 80%. Additionally, NFC-enabled POS terminals and
digital wallets such as Mir Pay, are accelerating the consumer shift to 2021 DIGITAL CONSUMER INDEX RANKINGS
digital payments. While 4G still remains limited to larger cities, under Rank out of 50 markets
the “Digital Economy” project, 5G will be launched in cities with DIGITAL CONSUMER INDEX
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10 MARKETS TO WATCH
68.3
91% of the population using the internet, the US has the third highest CURRENT DIGITAL
number of internet users globally, after China and India. AT&T and CONSUMER INDEX
Verizon, the two leading carriers have been launching 5G network
variants. During 2020, two other key mobile carriers; T-Mobile and
Sprint, achieved a successful merger, which will lead to improving 5.2 SCORE AS COMPARED
TO REGIONAL AVERAGE
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10 MARKETS TO WATCH
55.3
are expected to inspire the Czech Republic’s future digital
CURRENT DIGITAL
development: 1) The agenda of stronger and unfragmented digital CONSUMER INDEX
transformation, under the “Digital Europe” directive of the EU; and 2)
The growing Global Business Services sector in the Czech Republic,
as many European companies move their shared services for tech
from India to Europe post-pandemic, with the Czech Republic being
5.3 SCORE AS COMPARED
TO REGIONAL AVERAGE
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10 MARKETS TO WATCH
▪ The UK is one of the most digitally advanced markets in the world, with
its digital evolution being spurred by public and private investment as well Spotlight | UK
68.5
as technological innovation. The UK government is embracing the digital
CURRENT DIGITAL
revolution and acting as a key catalyst in the transition. The country has CONSUMER INDEX
the third highest number of internet users among developed markets and
10.9
key actions from the government include investing GBP1 billion to SCORE AS COMPARED
improve mobile connectivity in rural areas and providing 4G coverage to TO REGIONAL AVERAGE
95% of the UK by 2025. Key mobile network operators in the UK,
including EE, Three, Orange and Vodafone, have rolled out 5G in key
cities in the UK, including London and Manchester, and with the rollout of 2021 DIGITAL CONSUMER INDEX RANKINGS
5G phones in 2020, they will see early adoption of 5G. Rank out of 50 markets
▪ While COVID-19 has severely impacted the travel sector during 2020, DIGITAL CONSUMER INDEX
© Euromonitor International 2021 DIGITAL CONSUMER INDEX: PINPOINTING THE MOST PROMISING DIGITAL PASSPORT 39
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10 MARKETS TO WATCH
60.1
Norway is expected to increase its position by two places on the Digital
CURRENT DIGITAL
Consumer Index by 2025 to rank as the fifth highest European market. CONSUMER INDEX
Penetration of digitally innovative platforms in services will lead to
2.5
improvement in home connectivity and digital commerce. Telecom, SCORE AS COMPARED
financial services and retail are three leading industries driving digital TO REGIONAL AVERAGE
innovation in Norway. Telecom leaders such as Telenor are leading
applications of IoT and AI with various partners across industries. Telia
and Ericsson are trailing carrier aggregation to drive early 5G market 2021 DIGITAL CONSUMER INDEX RANKINGS
success which can enhance 5G coverage up to 50%. Rank out of 50 markets
DIGITAL CONSUMER INDEX
▪ Airlines direct online is expected to be the leading category for e-
commerce growth in Norway, given 92% of airlines sales are made
online. Greater domestic reliance on airlines due to the geographical DIGITAL CONNECTIVITY INDEX
landscape of the Norway has led sizeable investment in regional airports
and subsidised domestic flights. This also led the local carrier Widerøe
to be the leading Scandinavian airline by number of flights. CONNECTED COMMERCE INDEX
▪ Amid a pre-pandemic penetration rate of 10% for online retail sales, the
sector holds evident opportunities as leading players such as Komplett
1 10 20 30 40 50
do not operate on third-party merchant models and focus on categories Current Forecast
such as consumer electronics with private label products. Thus, with a TOP THREE CATEGORIES FOR DIGITAL GROWTH:
Based on 2020-2025 absolute value growth (million)
handful of players across categories and reliance on cross-border e- 1. Airlines Direct Online: USD1,953
commerce, international players such as Amazon see an opportunity to 2. Online Travel Agencies Sales: USD1,498
enter the market, which could reshape retail e-commerce in Norway. 3. Other E-Commerce: USD1,492
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Key Takeaways
5G rollout across markets to make changes to LTE infrastructure improving mobile connectivity
▪ With the deployment of 5G at different stages across markets, there has been an emergence of 4G+ or
4.5G internet in many markets. Deployment is taking many shapes including consolidation of legacy
frequencies and infrastructure to develop 5G network on existing infrastructure to create interoperability and
making LTE 5G ready. This is likely to lead to variances in LTE pricing across markets. In many markets
4G will become more accessible due to ruling out of legacy frequencies, while in others 4G+ variances will
offer new price packaging.
While smartphone possession has matured, gaps exist in internet access via mobile
▪ While increased internet connectivity via mobile has been the key driver of improving access to digital
services globally, mobile connectivity data still show gaps when compared with the smartphone possession
rates across regions. Thus, despite considerable progress on device penetration with the emergence of
economic mobile handsets, mobile internet still needs to improve in pricing and coverage structure. This is
highly associated with regulatory aspects in the telecom sector. As governments push digital connectivity,
we expect noticeable improvements in these areas, given mobile will drive more in-person digital commerce
The UAE leads the Digitfor broader sectors beyond retail.
UAE and Japan will continue to lead in terms of connectivity
▪ al Connectivity Index globally and is expected to retain its leadership over the forecast period, given greater
government focus on use of technology to streamline public services. Interest in maintaining the UAE’s
attractiveness to foreign workers and high quality of living standards is leading to investment in digital
commerce. Japan is also expected to retain its second rank given greater integration of digital platforms in
the daily lives of consumers. Australia, which overtook Denmark for the third rank, is also expected to retain
its rank over the forecast period.
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KEY TAKEAWAYS
China to increase emerging market presence in the top 10 digital consumer markets
▪ The emerging market representation in the top 10 ranking countries on the Digital Consumer Index was
limited to the UAE. However, this is likely to improve with China expected to rank ninth by 2025. While
China is the biggest consumer market and home to one of the biggest e-commerce players globally, the
size of Chinese digital commerce will further improve due to increased connectivity which will bridge
second-tier cities and rural populations to the broader Chinese economy.
Digital Europe Programme likely to improve performance of many Eastern European markets
▪ Western European markets show higher rankings on the Digital Consumer Index, with greater
representation among the developed markets as well. Western European markets are concentrated in the
top and middle positions of the index, while most Eastern European markets are ranked middle and bottom
of the index, which shows the clear disparity in digital development in Europe. Under the umbrella of the
EU, the Digital Europe Programme is likely to benefit many Eastern European markets to improve digital
connectivity with access to affordable internet and calling for investment in digital services. With payments
set to be digitised at a rapid pace in these markets, mobile connectivity and m-commerce are expected to
drive improvement.
Czech Republic to make biggest leap among developed markets
▪ Over the next five years, most developed markets are expected to retain their standings on the Digital
Consumer Index with a few seeing shifts due to improvements from emerging markets. However, Canada
and the Czech Republic will make notable improvements among developed markets. Canada will increase
its rank by three places due to improvement in its home connectivity, while the Czech Republic is set to
improve by five places. The Czech Republic is expected to further strengthen its place as a business
services provider in Europe as digital transformation becomes more mainstream among companies in
Europe and globally.
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Appendix
The Appendix includes a complete listing of the 2021 Digital Consumer Index
scores and rankings, as well an explanation of the methodology used in
constructing the index and its subcomponents. The final slide provides
definitions of ancillary data points used in this strategy briefing.
APPENDIX
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APPENDIX
Data Sources
▪ All data used in the Digital Consumer Index were derived from Euromonitor International’s syndicated
research platform, Passport. The data used in building the index come from a variety of Passport systems,
including Digital Consumer, Consumer Finance, Consumer Foodservice, Income and Expenditure,
Population, Retailing and Travel.
Estimating Missing Values
▪ For a few countries missing one of the indicators, Euromonitor International estimated the missing value by
calculating regional averages for each specific metric and applying that figure to those affected countries. In
this edition, the number of POS terminals on a per capita basis and mobile commerce were estimated in
this manner for two countries: Belgium and Switzerland.
Weights Applied to Metrics
▪ The Digital Consumer Index was constructed by calculating a country’s score on a particular metric against
the leading country for each metric.
▪ In previous editions of the Digital Consumer Index, the theoretical maximum value of 100% was used as
the denominator for bounded variables, such as household possession rates of digital devices. In the 2020
edition of the Digital Consumer Index, this cap was removed to better reflect access to devices and
consumer behaviour.
▪ Across all metrics, 2025 data were used for benchmarking both the current and forecast scores to allow for
better comparison not only between the metrics, but also the two points in time.
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APPENDIX
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APPENDIX
© Euromonitor International 2021 DIGITAL CONSUMER INDEX: PINPOINTING THE MOST PROMISING DIGITAL PASSPORT 48
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FOR FURTHER INSIGHT PLEASE CONTACT
Rabia Yasmeen
Consultant, Euromonitor International
rabia.yasmeen@euromonitor.com
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