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Policy Success and Public Health The Case of Public Health in England
Policy Success and Public Health The Case of Public Health in England
Policy Success and Public Health The Case of Public Health in England
doi:10.1017/S0047279411000985
R OB BAG G OTT
Abstract
Like many countries, England has introduced a range of policies and strategies on public
health since the early 1990s. Using concepts drawn from the policy success and failure literature,
this article concludes that recent governments in England achieved only ‘precarious success’
in McConnell’s typology. It demonstrates, with wider significance, that success or failure is
not merely about policy achievement in programme terms, but that policy processes and
the political dimensions of policy must be included in any evaluation. It also highlights the
adversarial nature of public health policy, the subjectivity of judgments about effectiveness
and the political problems this creates for government. The article pinpoints the relevance
of public health policies for judgements about government competence, trustworthiness and
accountability. It argues that failures of public health policy, including poor evaluation and
failures to learn from experience, may be more comprehensible by adopting a political analysis
of public policy making in this field.
Introduction
Many countries now have public health strategies, typically identifying the main
causes of mortality and morbidity and how these can be reduced (see, for
example, the latest strategies of the US Federal Government (USDHHS, 2011)
and the Australian National Government (2010). A number of countries have
had strategies in place for some years. In England, for example, the Conservative
Government under John Major introduced The Health of the Nation (HOTN)
strategy in 1992 (DH, 1992). Tony Blair’s Labour Government published two
white papers on the subject: Saving Lives (DH, 1999) and Choosing Health (HM
Government/DH, 2004) and a further white paper on community health services,
Our Health, Our Care, Our Say (DH, 2006), which had important implications
for public health. These strategies have been accompanied by policies on specific
issues such as obesity, food safety, smoking, alcohol, drugs, sexual health, as well
as health inequalities, Despite all this, criticisms have persisted that government
is not doing enough to prioritise public health objectives and implement policies
(Hunter et al., 2010; Health Committee, 2009; Healthcare Commission and
Audit Commission, 2008; Baggott, 2010). Meanwhile, the current Coalition
Government under David Cameron has brought forward a new set of policies
(DH, 2010a, 2010c, 2011a).
This article explores public health policies in England over the past two
decades and focuses upon how judgements can be made about their success or
failure. This is important not only for those interested purely in the English
case, but more generally for the analysis of public health policy and strategy
in other countries. First, though, what constitutes ‘policy success’ or ’policy
failure’? Fortunately, there is body of literature available, which sheds light on
these concepts and helps provide a framework for this analysis.
When looking at success or failure, a distinction can be made between
politics and programmes, reflected by Edelman’s (1977) observation that words
may succeed while policies fail. ‘Warm, fuzzy, ambiguous language’ (McConnell,
2010: 126) is often used by politicians and state bureaucracies to build wider
support for policies. Government may manipulate political agendas through
placebo or symbolic policies. Asymmetry between programme and political
success is therefore biased towards the latter. However, as Bovens et al. (2001)
observe, it is also possible for programmes to succeed while politics fails (that
is, policy objectives are achieved but the government continues to faces political
problems). Furthermore, McConnell (2010) identifies three dimensions of policy
success: programme success (for example, meeting stated objectives, producing
desired outcomes), process success (preserving the legitimacy of the policy process,
ensuring successful implementation) and political success (enhancing electoral
prospects or reputation of governments and leaders, controlling the policy
agenda, sustaining the broad values and direction of government).
Policy success or failure is rarely pure. In most cases, there are degrees of both.
Policy fiascos lie at the extreme negative end of the spectrum (Bovens and t’Hart,
1996). Meanwhile, McConnell identifies degrees of success ranging from ‘policy
success’ (where government achieves its aims using legitimate processes and
gathering no opposition) to ‘policy failure’ (where these goals are not achieved,
attract overwhelming opposition and use processes that are not legitimate).
However, most policies fall into the middle range categories of ‘durable success’
(falling short of aims by a modest degree), ‘conflicted success’ (success is heavily
contested) or ‘precarious success’ (operating on the edge of failure, with some
successes but major shortfalls). These five possible outcomes can occur across the
three dimensions of success as described above. McConnell thereby demonstrates
that it is possible for policies to succeed on some dimensions, but not others.
Another important consideration relates to the subjectivity of judgements
about policy success. Such judgements are linked to expectations about
government policy, which vary. Bovens and t’Hart (1996) argue that optimists,
pessimists and realists hold different views about the competence and capacity
of governments. Judgements about success or failure will reflect these broader
perspectives. In addition, there is a general acknowledgement that despite
often related to allocation of blame and responsibility and play a role in holding
governments to account. They also provide opportunities for policy learning.
For example, policy fiascos can provide a basis for understanding the pathology
of public policy, enabling similar problems to be avoided in future (Bovens and
t’Hart, 1996). McConnell, however, argues that policy-makers learn more from
success than from failure (for him, failure-based learning tends to be superficial).
Also, he notes that as powerful forces produce policy continuity, policy-makers
are more likely to build on success in an attempt to maintain current policy
trajectories. However, learning from success or failure and subsequent policy
change is not guaranteed, due to a range of constraints (ideological, psychological,
institutional, political and structural).
Government’s policies on smoking (DH, 1998a) set out targets to reduce the
habit. Adult smoking rates fell from 28 per cent to 21 per cent between 1996 and
2009 (the original target of 24 per cent having been altered to 21 per cent or
less of the adult population by 2010) (NHSIC, 2011c). Regular smoking (at least
once a week) among children aged eleven to fifteen years fell from 13 per cent
to 5 per cent between 1996 and 2010, beating the target of 9 per cent (NHSIC,
2011c). Meanwhile, accidental death rates, another target area, fell by only 3.5 per
cent between 1995–7 and 2008–10, falling far short of the 20 per cent reduction
envisaged (DH, 2011b). Targets for sexual health showed some improvement.
Teenage pregnancy rates fell substantially, but remained short of the 50 per cent
reduction set by government to be achieved by 2010 (ONS, 2011). Another target,
to reduce the rate of gonorrhoea infections by 2008, was achieved, but overall
levels of sexually transmitted disease rose considerably – new cases rose from
288,781 to 322,820 between 2001 and 2010 (Health Protection Agency, 2011).
Unlike its predecessor, Labour did not set a specific target for reducing adult
obesity. Under Labour, adult obesity (measured by Body Mass Index) continued
to rise, from 17 to 22 per cent of males and 20 per cent to 24 per cent of women
between 1997 and 2009 (NHSIC, 2011a). A target was set in 2004 to halt the
increase in obesity in children aged under eleven by 2010. This was achieved, the
obesity rate in children in this age group fell after 2005, though remains high (at
14 per cent in 2009, three percentage points higher than when Labour took office).
In 2007, a further target was set, to reduce by 2020 the proportion of children who
are overweight or obese to the level in year 2000 (when 27 per cent of children
aged two to fifteen fell into this category). The latest survey, relating to 2009,
revealed that 30 per cent of children were overweight or obese (NHSIC, 2011a). In
addition, targets were set for improvements in diet: adult daily salt intake fell, but
remained considerably higher than the maximum level of 6g a day recommended
by the government’s nutritional advisors. Added sugar in the diet and saturated
fat levels also fell, but continued to exceed the maximum recommended for the
population as a whole. The percentage of the population eating the recommended
five or more portions of fruit and vegetable a day increased – from 25 per cent to
28 per cent of women and from 22 per cent to 25 per cent of men between 2001
and 2009. The proportion of children’s eating ‘5-a-day’ increased from 10 per
cent to 21 per cent between 2001 and 2009 (NHSIC, 2011a). There was evidence
of improvements in school meals (Evans et al., 2010; Haroun, et al., 2011), but
the availability of packed lunches and nearby takeaway outlets reduced the net
effect of this initiative. As part of policies to reduce obesity, reduce cancers and
cardiovascular disease, the government also aimed to increase physical activity.
In 1997, 32 per cent of men and 21 per cent of women met government physical
activity targets (twenty or more occasions of moderate or vigorous activity lasting
at least thirty minutes in the past four weeks). This increased to 39 per cent and
29 per cent respectively in 2008 (NHSIC, 2011a). Objective measurements showed
that adults tended to exaggerate their physical activity levels, however. Only a
minority of children (32 per cent of boys and 24 per cent of girls) met their target
of at least 60 minutes of physical activity a day (NHSIC, 2011a).
Although official guidance on maximum alcohol consumption levels for
adults already existed (no more than three units of alcohol per day for women
and four units for men) it was not until 2007 that performance indicators
were introduced, in a cross-departmental PSA agreement on alcohol and drugs.
Nonetheless, these were not designated as a high priority. The level of alcohol-
related problems remained high and in some respects deteriorated. In England,
deaths directly attributable to alcohol increased by almost a quarter between
2001 and 2008 (NHSIC, 2011b). Hospital admissions (partially and fully due to
alcohol) rose from 510,800 to 1,057,000 between 2002–3 and 2009–10 (NHSIC,
2011b). In 2007, the number of adults regarded as drinking at hazardous levels
(that is, bringing the risk of physical or psychological harm) remained substantial,
at a third of men and 16 per cent of women (NHSIC, 2011b). In the same year
9 per cent of men were regarded as alcohol dependent, a slight fall since 2000,
whereas the percentage of alcohol dependent women remained at 4 per cent.
With regard to children’s alcohol consumption and problems, some statistics
suggested an improvement: the percentage of secondary schoolchildren who
reported drinking alcohol fell (from 61 per cent to 51 per cent between 2001 and
2009) and the percentage reporting drinking weekly fell from 20 per cent to
12 per cent in the same period (NHSIC, 2011b). However, the amount consumed
by those who did drink remained high at 11.6 units a week in 2009. In 2009–10,
3,700 children under sixteen were admitted to hospital in England for reasons
wholly due to alcohol consumption.
Although the Labour Government highlighted health inequality as a public
health issue (Acheson, 1998; DH, 2003), it remained a persistent problem under
its tenure. After initially refusing to set national targets, in 2001 the government
declared it would reduce by 10 per cent the gap in infant mortality between
routine and manual socio-economic groups and the population average, and
reduce by the same proportion differences in life expectancy between the most
deprived local areas and the national average. These targets were to be achieved
by 2010. Although the infant mortality rate among routine and manual groups
improved from the baseline (1997–9), it fell less than among the population as
a whole. Hence, the relative gap widened. However, in recent years the infant
mortality rate has improved faster than average among routine and manual
groups. The net effect of this was that by 2007–9 the gap had narrowed by 4 per
cent since the baseline, an improvement but short of the target (DH, 2010b). The
life expectancy gap (between poorer areas and the average) for both men and
women was wider in 2008–10 than in 1995–7 (the baseline for this indicator).
For men the inequality gap grew by 7 per cent and for women by 17 per cent
in this period (DH, 2011c). Facing increasing criticism of its failure to reduce
Another important aspect of the policy process was the creation of new
institutions to provide public health expertise and/or regulation. In 2000, New
Labour established the Food Standards Agency (FSA) with powers and duties
in food safety, labelling and nutrition. This followed more than a decade of
criticism of the previous Conservative Government’s food policies, particularly
food safety. The FSA, constituted as a non-departmental body accountable
to Parliament through the Secretary of State for Health, proved a useful ally
to health campaigners. It restored some confidence in food safety regulation,
while pressing for a clear standardised nutritional labelling scheme, developing
a nutrient profiling scheme as the basis for restrictions on food advertising to
children, and implementing voluntary agreements to improve the nutritional
content of food (such as salt reduction). It should be noted, however, that the
Cameron Coalition Government has removed FSA responsibilities for nutrition,
transferring these to the Department of Health, seen widely as a retrograde step
and strengthening the influence of the food lobby.
Other institutional changes under New Labour included the establishment
in 2002 of the Health Protection Agency, bringing together a number of specific
health protection bodies (in areas such as communicable disease, biological
and chemical hazards). The Blair Government abolished the Health Education
Authority (responsible for health promotion campaigns), replacing it with the
Health Development Agency (HDA) in 2000. The new body was focused on
improving the effectiveness of health promotion and public health interventions,
including strengthening the evidence base for policy and practice. The HDA
was later abolished and its functions for reviewing and disseminating evidence
incorporated within the National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence
(NICE). Despite these developments, criticism of the weak evidence base for
public health policy and concerns about the organisation of public health
expertise persisted (Wanless, 2004; Hunter, et al., 2010, Health Committee, 2009).
The Cameron Government pledged to strengthen public health research (creating
the National Institute for Health Research School for Public Health Research, for
example). However, less conducive was its decision to halt work by NICE on
several public health topics (Kmietowicz, 2010).
Another common criticism of the policy process is that public health
policies are poorly coordinated. The Blair Government sought to improve
coordination by appointing a Minister for Public Health. Although widely
welcomed, the impact of the move has been variable. Post-holders have varied in
quality, commitment and political profile and the post has been downgraded
(in terms of ministerial rank) on two occasions. The current postholder is
a Parliamentary Under Secretary of State, the lowest rank of government
minister. The Blair Government also established a cabinet committee to promote
coordination between government departments involved in public health. The
Major Government established a similar committee, judged as ineffective (DH,
1998b). Both the Major and the Blair Governments stated that they would use
health impact assessment to ensure that policies would reflect the importance
of health priorities, but this was not routinely used. Cross-departmental
coordination at the national level remained a problem. The Health Committee
(2009) was extremely critical of a failure of English public health strategies and
in particular poor coordination across government. Prior to this, a capability
review of the Department of Health was critical of its overwhelming focus on the
NHS and its inability to coordinate cross-government action on health (Cabinet
Office, 2007).
Criticisms of poor coordination at the national level were echoed at the
local level, where there was much variation in the quality of inter-agency
working (Health Committee, 2001; Wanless, 2004; Audit Commission, 2010;
Health Committee, 2009). The Blair Government made more effort to strengthen
partnership working on public health than its predecessor. It focused particularly
on the relationship between local authorities and NHS bodies, setting out
new duties of cooperation in 1999. While the primary focus of improvement
in joint working was upon social care (Snape, 2004), public health issues
began to rise on local partnership agendas. Local authorities became more
involved in health matters. In 2000, they acquired powers to promote or
improve the economic, social and environmental wellbeing of their communities,
alongside a new duty to formulate community wellbeing strategies (later renamed
sustainable community strategies). Local authorities became more familiar
with the health agenda through their new health scrutiny role (LGIU, 2010),
through participation in health projects (such Health Action Zones and healthy
communities programmes), regeneration programmes, school-based initiatives
and developments in children’s services and through responsibilities for housing,
transport and planning.
Local authorities led Local Strategic Partnerships (LSPs), established by
the Blair Government to bring together local agencies such as the NHS,
other local public sector agencies and the private and voluntary sectors. Local
Area Agreements (LAAs), setting out area-based priorities, strategies, targets
and resources on a range of issues were heralded as a further means of
strengthening partnership working. LSPs and LAAs were increasingly emphasised
as means by which local government’s strategic leadership role could be exercised
(Department of Communities and Local Government, 2006). Some local areas
targeted public health problems such as alcohol misuse and obesity as part of their
local partnership plans (Audit Commission, 2010). However, there was a lack of
a systematic approach to partnership working in public health and little evidence
that partnerships produced better health outcomes (Perkins et al., 2010; Hunter
et al., 2011). Furthermore, there was concern that accountability mechanisms were
not robust enough to ensure partners delivered on their commitments (Hunter
et al., 2011). In some local areas, a statutory system of joint strategic needs
the Choosing Health agenda. Another significant development was the inclusion
of public health standards within Healthcare Commission’s core standards from
2005, which meant that in future NHS bodies would be assessed against public
health criteria. Following the replacement of Blair by Gordon Brown in 2007,
the Labour Government took this a stage further, expanding the number of
public health objectives included in central government PSA agreements, national
NHS targets and local plans. Brown also established the Darzi Review (DH,
2008), which recommended that the NHS should focus more on prevention
and health promotion, working in partnership with other bodies such as
local government. The Brown Government also implemented ‘World Class
Commissioning’ which involved benchmarking PCT commissioning functions
against key criteria, including health improvement, reducing inequalities, public
engagement, partnership working and needs assessment – all crucial to public
health objectives.
However, these did not address the fundamental weakness of the public
health function (Wanless, 2004; Hunter et al., 2010). Indeed, this had been
further undermined by the NHS reorganisation of 2002, which replaced health
authorities with smaller PCTs, fragmenting expertise and reducing capacity
(Evans, 2004). A further reorganisation, in 2006, was initially viewed more
positively from a public health standpoint because it created larger PCTs
with increased capacity and resulted in a greater degree of coterminosity with
higher tier local authorities. Even so, the reorganisation proceeded without due
consideration of the impact on public health and caused major disruption to
public health functions (Health Committee, 2006). Indeed, both the 2002 and
2006 reorganisations exacerbated well-documented problems with the public
health workforce, including uncertain job prospects, low morale, skill shortages
and fragmentation (Healthcare Commission and Audit Commission, 2008;
Faculty of Public Health, 2008).
Following a change in government in 2010, a new public health structure
was proposed. Local directors of public health (DsPH)s and their teams were
to be moved out of the PCTs into local authorities (those with social services
responsibilities) along with key public health duties and functions. Statutory
health and wellbeing boards (HWBs) were to be established at the local level to
assess needs (already a statutory duty of PCTs and local authorities) and develop
joint health and wellbeing strategies (JHWBS), while coordinating public health,
health services and social care. A new national public health service, Public Health
England (PHE), would be formed from existing institutions, including the Health
Protection Agency, the National Treatment Agency for Drug Misuse, cancer
registries and regional public health observatories). A ring-fenced, public health
budget for the national public health service and local government public health
functions would be established, with funding of local public health authorities
reflecting both performance and local needs.
Although many saw merit in these policies, there was concern about how
they would be implemented (Limb, 2011; Health Committee, 2011; McKee et al.,
2011). For example, the rationalisation of national and regional expertise into
PHE was regarded as providing a clearer national framework for public health
interventions. Yet there was disquiet about its scope (what functions would be
included) and lack of independence (at this stage it was proposed that PHE be
situated in the Department of Health, not a separate agency). The government
later conceded that these functions should be undertaken by an executive agency
of the Department of Health (DH, 2011a). However, some preferred a special
NHS authority for this role, believing this would further strengthen PHE’s
independence. The transfer of public health functions to local authorities also
attracted much support in principle, but with reservations. One of the main
issues was that as some public health functions (for example in relation to
children’s health services) would be retained by the NHS, this could lead to
fragmentation (Health Committee, 2011). Another issue concerned the level of
funding available to local authorities to carry out their new functions, which at
the time of writing remains undecided. Concerns were expressed that funding
for public health might actually be reduced, due to under-budgeting of the
new local authority responsibilities and duties. Also, local authorities had an
incentive, exacerbated in a period of budgetary cuts elsewhere, to redesignate
existing council functions as ‘public health matters’ (McKee et al., 2011). Moreover,
budget cuts – in regeneration, housing, transport, social welfare services, leisure
and recreational facilities for example – were likely to have an adverse effect on
public health.
It was feared that the transfer of public health staff from the NHS to local
government would fragment the workforce, splitting it between PHE and the
local authorities (McKee et al., 2011). In addition, direct employment of DsPH
by local authorities was seen as a potential threat to their independence and
status. There was concern that the government did not intend to require local
authorities to appoint DsPH at an appropriately senior level, with direct access to
senior council members and the chief executive (Health Commitee, 2011). Critics
demanded safeguards on the independence of the DsPH, which government
assured would be jointly appointed by local authorities and PHE. It was also
made clear that local authorities could not dismiss their DsPH without first
consulting the Secretary of State for Health. As a means of further strengthening
independence and integration of the public health workforce, some suggested
that current NHS public health staff be transferred to PHE and those with local
functions (such as DsPH) seconded to local authorities (McKee et al., 2011).
Partnership working was another area of uncertainty. It was unclear whether
HWBs would have sufficient powers to incentivise or compel stakeholders to
work together. There was also concern that NHS commissioning plans would
not take JHWBS sufficiently into account. Following the 2011 NHS ‘listening
exercise’, a further period of review and consultation for the government’s reform
plans, these provisions were strengthened. In addition to being able to refer
commissioning plans back (where they were not in line with the JHWBS), it
was proposed that HWBs would have greater rights of consultation on local
commissioning plans and would be consulted by the national commissioning
body on the efficacy of this process. In addition, duties on the new local
commissioning bodies to participate in the formulation of JHWBS were
strengthened, alongside new requirements to draw on public health expertise
when undertaking their functions. Closer monitoring of local commissioners’
performance in relation to the preparation and delivery of JSNA and JHWBS
was also proposed. Nonetheless, the NHS reforms and the public health changes
were criticised for undermining public health capacity. The proposed abolition of
PCTs, coupled with the transfer of budgets to local authorities, led to a reduction
in public health posts in the transitional period. Likewise the regional public
health observatories faced a 45 per cent cut in capacity ahead of their transfer to
PHE (Health Committee, 2011).
Political success
Although the success of government strategies in public health has been limited
in programme and process terms, this does necessarily mean they have been
politically unsuccessful. Government may have succeeded in this regard by
managing the political agenda, achieving compromise between different interests,
and convincing public opinion and the media of its competence. However, public
health has proved a difficult area for governments in recent years, for a number
of reasons.
First, many public health issues have been controversial and prominent.
The media have highlighted issues such as obesity, food safety and alcohol.
Governments have sought to manage expectations and the political agenda, but
their policies have often been perceived as inadequate and ministers have been
forced to reissue or strengthen policies (as in the case of school food policies and
smoking in public places). Worse still for government, public health issues have
been highlighted in the media as indicating a fundamental lack of competence
or even untrustworthiness. This happened in the case of the Major Government
and food safety in the 1990s. The Blair Government faced similar accusations on
alcohol misuse, smoking and obesity.
Second, interest groups in this field are vocal, well-organised and influential.
But they are also divided. There is much antagonism between the commercial
groups (industry) and the public health campaigning bodies (which include
pressure groups, charities and professional associations). In such an adversarial
policy community, it is impossible to please everyone. Industry usually opposes
fiscal measures and direct regulation (unless yielding competitive advantage),
Conclusions
To conclude, recent governments in England have achieved only limited success
in the field of public health policy. This is true across all three dimensions of
policy: programmes, processes and politics. A judgement of ‘precarious success’,
in McConnell’s typology, is a fair assessment of policy achievements in this field.
But this study has wider significance that goes beyond England. In seeking to
assess policies and strategies here, a number of broader points have been made
that hold lessons for those examining similar policies and strategies elsewhere.
First, that success (or failure) is not simply about the impact of policy on
outcomes but must include appraisal of policy processes and the political context.
Not only does policy need to achieve in programme terms but it must adopt
legitimate and effective processes and (from the government’s perspective at
least) be politically sound. Second, that a key issue is ‘success for whom?’ Despite
the ‘common good’ principles of public health, the adversarial nature of public
health policy must be fully acknowledged. Third, that public health policies and
strategies are related to wider issues about the competence, trustworthiness and
accountability of government. They therefore have wider political ramifications.
Finally, it must be recognised that the oft-lamented poor quality of policy
evaluation and the failures to learn from past experience should not be simply
bemoaned as irrationalities to be corrected but acknowledged as instruments of
political management. Once this is accepted, one can perhaps move on to a more
realistic debate about what governments can achieve in this policy area.
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