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REVIEW

CURRENT
OPINION Health benefits of physical activity: a systematic
review of current systematic reviews
Darren E.R. Warburton and Shannon S.D. Bredin

Purpose of review
The health benefits of physical activity and exercise are clear; virtually everyone can benefit from becoming
more physically active. Most international guidelines recommend a goal of 150 min/week of moderate-to-
vigorous intensity physical activity. Many agencies have translated these recommendations to indicate that
this volume of activity is the minimum required for health benefits. However, recent evidence has challenged
this threshold-centered messaging as it may not be evidence-based and may create an unnecessary barrier to
those who might benefit greatly from simply becoming more active. This systematic review evaluates recent
systematic reviews that have examined the relationship between physical activity and health status.
Recent findings
Systematic reviews and/or meta-analyses (based largely on epidemiological studies consisting of large
cohorts) have demonstrated a dose–response relationship between physical activity and premature
mortality and the primary and secondary prevention of several chronic medical conditions. The
relationships between physical activity and health outcomes are generally curvilinear such that marked
health benefits are observed with relatively minor volumes of physical activity.
Summary
These findings challenge current threshold-based messaging related to physical activity and health. They
emphasize that clinically relevant health benefits can be accrued by simply becoming more physically active.
Video abstract
http://links.lww.com/HCO/A42.
Keywords
dose–response, health, knowledge translation, physical activity

INTRODUCTION risk reductions are observed when objective measures


&

There is overwhelming evidence supporting the of health-related physical fitness are taken [1 ,2,6].
health benefits of physical activity, such that being Collectively, this work reinforces the importance
physically active is a common message within health of regular participation in physical activity and/or
&
promotion settings [1 ,2]. Routine physical activity exercise.
participation has been associated with a marked Considerable international messaging emanat-
reduction in the risk for premature mortality and is ing from recent guideline work has stated (or
an established means of reducing the risks for more implied) that health benefits are only achieved
than 25 chronic medical conditions [1 ,2]. Most
&
when a minimal level of physical activity is achieved
international physical activity guidelines recom- (i.e., 150 min/week of MVPA or 75 min/week of
mend meeting the goal of 150 min/week of moder- vigorous intensity physical activity). This threshold
ate-to-vigorous intensity physical activity (MVPA). and expert opinion-based messaging is consistently
This messaging has also been incorporated within
guidelines for clinical populations (such as those Physical Activity Promotion and Chronic Disease Prevention Unit, Uni-
with diabetes) [3]. The available evidence indicates versity of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada
a clear dose–response relationship between physical Correspondence to Darren E.R. Warburton, University of British Columbia,
activity and health with 20–30% risk reductions for 2259 Lower Mall, Vancouver, BC V6T1Z4, Canada. Tel.: 604 822 4603;.
premature mortality and chronic disease often being e-mail: darren.warburton@ubc.ca
observed in those that meet or exceed current inter- Curr Opin Cardiol 2017, 32:000–000
&
national recommendations [1 ,2,4,5]. Even greater DOI:10.1097/HCO.0000000000000437

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CE: Swati; HCO/320510; Total nos of Pages: 16;
HCO 320510

Prevention

or not threshold-based messaging is valid and appro-


KEY POINTS priate. We focus on recent systematic reviews and
 There is irrefutable evidence that routine physical meta-analyses of the literature to gain further clarity
activity reduces the risk for premature mortality and is on evidence-based best practice in the promotion of
an effective primary and secondary preventive strategy physical activity for health benefits. We hypothes-
for at least 25 chronic medical conditions. ized that a volume of physical activity far less than
currently recommended by many international
 Clinically relevant health benefits for a wide range of
medical conditions can be accrued at volumes of health and fitness agencies would be associated with
physical activity that are well below current significant and clinically relevant health benefits
international recommendations. particularly in inactive individuals and those living
with chronic medical conditions. We also hypoth-
 Threshold-centered physical activity messaging that
esized that this dose–response relationship would
implies (or states explicity) that health benefits can only
be accrued at a volume of physical activity consistent extend to various chronic medical conditions and
with international messaging (e.g., 150 min/week of premature mortality.
MVPA) is not evidence based and may present a
significant barrier to those that serve to benefit greatly
from simply becoming more physically active. METHODS
 Clinicians should avoid threshold-based physical Literature search
activity messaging taking into account the unique
features of each client when creating evidence-based A rigorous, systematic, and evidence-based approach
and effective lifestyle recommendations. was used to examine critically the current evidence
regarding the health benefits of physical activity.
 Effective lifestyle interventions should take an integrated
approach to health, promoting the importance of
We searched MEDLINE (OVID Interface), PubMed,
engaging in healthy lifestyle behaviors (such reducing and EMBASE (OVID Interface) databases for the past
sedentary time, increasing physical activity, healthy 2 years (January 2015 to April 2017) to identify any
nutrition, smoking cessation, stress management, and recent systematic reviews (and/or meta-analyses)
alcohol moderation). that evaluated the dose–response relationship
between physical activity and health indicators
(mortality and chronic disease). The medical sub-
ject headings were kept broad, and electronic search
strategies were created and carried out by research-
promoted in the face of current literature (and often ers experienced with systematic reviews of the lit-
overlooked previous findings) that demonstrates erature (D.E.R.W. and S.S.D.B.; see Table 1). Staff
that a volume of physical activity of half (or even and students working at the Systematic Reviews
less) of the 150 min/week recommendation can lead Laboratory (University of British Columbia) pro-
& &&
to significant health benefits [1 ,2,7 ,8]. Various vided further assistance with librarian oversight.
experts have advised about the perils of promoting Systematic reviews/meta-analyses that examined
threshold-centered messaging for eliciting effective the relationship between at least three different levels
and sustainable health change at the individual and of physical activity (or exercise) and the key out-
&
population levels [1 ,2,9–11]. Moreover, a signifi- comes of mortality or incidence of chronic disease
cant error in knowledge translation may be intro- and/or disability were eligible for inclusion consist-
duced when clear thresholds (such as the 150 min/ ent with our previous systematic reviews of the liter-
week of MVPA threshold) are provided, when the ature [4,12]. Any form of physical activity/exercise
evidence demonstrates a dose–response relation- assessment (e.g., self-report, pedometer, accelerom-
ship with no clear threshold for benefit. This eter, maximal aerobic power (VO2max), indirect
knowledge translation error is potentially further oxygen consumption) was eligible for inclusion.
compounded by the increasing volume of system- Only published, systematic reviews (or meta-
atic reviews of the literature which reflect differing analyses) examining humans (across the lifespan)
interpretations of the literature; they may make it were included. This review, included apparently
difficult for clinicians to decide upon the optimal healthy (asymptomatic) adults and those with estab-
evidence-based best practice. lished chronic medical conditions. When available,
Therefore, the primary purpose of this system- reported data were used to generate a figure outlining
atic review of systematic reviews is to evaluate crit- the dose–response relationship between physical
ically the dose–response relationship between activity and various health outcomes.
physical activity and the risk for premature Narrative reviews and commentaries were
mortality and chronic disease to determine whether excluded from the formal evaluation. Systematic

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Physical activity and health Warburton and Bredin

Table 1. Embase search (OVID, 16 April 2017)

Number Searches (14 April 2017) Results

1 Physical activity.mp. or exp exercise/or exp physical education/or exp physical activity/or exp 667 887
leisure/or physical performance
2 Physical inactivity/or inactivity/or physically inactive/or physical activities/or physically active/or 282 420
physical exercise/
3 Physical fitness.mp. or fitness/ 47 533
4 Aerobic power/or exp oxygen consumption/or aerobic fitness.mp. or aerobic capacity/or exp aerobic 664 237
exercise/or aerobic endurance/or exp physical endurance/or exertion
5 Musculoskeletal function/or exp muscle strength/or musculoskeletal fitness.mp. or muscular power/or 53 228
muscular endurance/
6 Sports.mp. or exp sport/ 177 005
7 Exp exercise therapy/or exercise medicine/or exp exercise tolerance/or exercise intolerance/ 82 100
8 Health behavior/or leisure time physical activity/or occupational physical activity/or total physical 1 286 240
activity/or household physical activity/or behavior.mp. (mp ¼ title, abstract, original title, name of
substance word, subject heading word, keyword heading word, protocol supplementary concept
word, rare disease supplementary concept word, unique identifier, synonyms)
9 1 or 2 or 3 or 4 or 5 or 6 or 7 or 8 2 370 265
10 Dose–response/or intensity/or volume/or exp energy expenditure/or exp oxygen consumption/or 784 668
METs/or metabolic equivalent/
11 9 and 10 432 825
12 Exp mortality/or mortality risk/or cardiovascular mortality/or cancer mortality/or exp mortality rate/or 2 796 590
mortality.mp. or exp premature mortality/or death/or fatal/or cardiovascular/or coronary/or
stroke/or ischemic/or ischemic/or cancer/or colon cancer/or diabetes/or heart disease/or
breast cancer/or colorectal cancer/or osteoporosis/
13 (All-cause mortality or chronic disease).mp. or exp chronic disease/or disability/or disability.mp. or 3 163 019
physical disability/or work disability/
14 12 or 13 2 100 690
15 11 and 14 61 065
16 Limit 15 to year ¼ 2015 – current 12 948
17 exp ‘systematic review’/or meta-analy.mp. 293 158
18 16 and 17 522

MET, metabolic equivalent.

reviews (or meta-analyses) that only examined the were removed from the search adhering to the
most active vs. least active populations (e.g., seden- guidelines established by the Preferred Reporting
tary/inactive vs. physically active) were excluded. Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses
Group (see Fig. 1) [13].

Screening
Two reviewers independently screened titles KEY FINDINGS
(D.E.R.W. and S.S.D.B.) and abstracts of citations
to identify potential articles for inclusion and Systematic reviews and meta-analyses
removal of duplicate citations. The reviewers were Our systematic search retrieved 1493 articles,
not blinded to authors or journals. References of key including 199 duplicates leaving a total of 1294
studies and reviews in the field were cross-refer- articles for review (see Fig. 1). An additional 16
enced. Full-text versions of articles appearing articles were found through the authors’ knowledge
relevant were obtained, and data were extracted and cross-referencing. The title and abstracts of the
with a common template. Full consensus was 1310 articles were scanned and a total of 232 full-
achieved. Reasons for exclusion of articles after text articles were assessed for eligibility. We ident-
full-article screening were recorded. The citations ified 16 recent systematic reviews and/or meta-
and related electronic versions of the article (where analyses examining the dose–response relationship
available) were downloaded to an online research between physical activity and health outcomes
management system (Endnote; Clarivate Analytics, (Table 2). These studies involved millions of partici-
Philadelphia, PA). Internal and external duplicates pants and diverse clinical outcomes (including

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CE: Swati; HCO/320510; Total nos of Pages: 16;
HCO 320510

Prevention

FIGURE 1. Results of the systematic review of the literature.

cardiovascular disease, all-cause mortality, all-can- benefits. That is, simply moving more led to signifi-
cer mortality, type 2 diabetes, hypertension, breast cant health benefits. This relationship was generally
cancer, colon cancer, gestational diabetes, gallstone observed in adults; however, one systematic review
disease, ischemic heart disease, ischemic stroke, and also established this relationship in adolescents.
self-reported health status). There was uniform
agreement with all studies demonstrating a dose–
response relationship between physical activity and DISCUSSION
health outcomes (see Table 2). In the majority of the To our knowledge our article is the first systematic
systematic reviews, the relationship was nonlinear review of systematic reviews examining the dose–
with the greatest relative risk reductions occurring response relationship between physical activity
when moving from no (or limited) activity to small and health status. Our systematic review revealed
volumes of physical activity (Fig. 2). These analyses that there was overwhelming evidence (based on
were limited somewhat with the failure to look at millions of participants) that regular physical
extremely small volumes of physical activity; how- activity is associated with a reduced risk for all-
ever, these systematic reviews consistently demon- cause mortality and several chronic medical con-
strated that no minimal threshold existed for health ditions (including cardiovascular disease, all-cause

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Table 2. Findings from identified systematic reviews and/or meta-analyses
Meta-analysis
(dose–response
Assessment of meth- analyses, if avail-
Reference Included studies (a) Participants (group) Outcome variable (a) odological quality able) Key findings Comments
&&
Aune et al. [14 ] 81 (78 cohort studies Total PA n ¼ 104 908 Type 2 diabetes Yes Yes Comparing high vs. low PA groups Low intensity PA led to similar risk
and 3 RCT) (adults) reductions for type 2 diabetes
Leisure-time PA Total PA (18 276 incident Total PA: RR ¼ 0.65 (95% CI 0.59–0.71) The greatest relative risk reduction was
n ¼ 1 820 188 (adults) cases) seen at low PA levels (below
international PA recommendations)
Change in PA n ¼ 93 371 Leisure-time PA (151 677 Leisure time PA: RR ¼ 0.74 (95% CI 0.70–0.79)
(adults) incident cases)
Vigorous intensity PA Change in PA (2711 Vigorous intensity PA: RR ¼ 0.61 (95% CI 0.51–
CE: Swati; HCO/320510; Total nos of Pages: 16;

n ¼ 272 599 (adults) incident cases) 0.74)


Moderate intensity PA Vigorous PA (17 062 Moderate intensity PA: RR ¼ 0.68 (95% CI 0.52–
n ¼ 184 067 (adults) incident cases) 0.90)
Low intensity PA Moderate PA (14 790 Low intensity PA: RR ¼ 0.66 (95% CI 0.47–0.94)
n ¼ 107 269 (adults) incident cases)
Walking n ¼ 326 779 Low PA (3856 incident Walking: RR ¼ 0.85 (95% CI 0.79–0.91)
(adults) cases)
Resistance Exercise Walking (11 032 incident Leisure-time PA: dose–response
n ¼ 131 318 (adults) cases)
Occupational PA Resistance Exercise (5 769 RR ¼ 0.85 (95% CI 0.81–0.89)/20 MET-h/week
n ¼ 91 139 (adults) incident cases)
Cardiorespiratory fitness Occupational PA (9246 RR ¼ 0.75 (95% CI 0.67–0.85)/5 h/week
n ¼ 38 870 (adults) incident cases)
RR ¼ 0.87 (95% CI 0.79–0.95)/1000 kcal/week
increase in energy expenditure. The relationship
was relatively linear across kcal expenditures
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Change in PA
RR ¼ 0.91 (95% CI 0.46–1.83) in studies where

0268-4705 Copyright ß 2017 Wolters Kluwer Health, Inc. All rights reserved.
participants reduced their level of physical activity
RR ¼ 0.64 (95% CI 0.54–0.76) in studies where
participants increased their PA from low-to-
moderate or high levels
RR ¼ 0.59 (95% CI 0.50–0.70) where participants
had a consistently moderate-to-high level of PA
Vigorous intensity PA (>6 METs): comparing high vs.
low PA groups
RR ¼ 0.61 (95% CI 0.51–0.74)
RR ¼ 0.54 (95% CI 0.47–0.62) when two study
outliers were excluded from analyses
Vigorous intensity PA (>6 METs): dose–response
RR ¼ 0.69 (95% CI 0.58–0.82)/5 h/week
Moderate intensity PA (3–6 METs): comparing high
vs. low PA groups
RR ¼ 0.68 (95% CI 0.52–0.90)
Low-intensity PA: comparing high vs. low PA groups
RR ¼ 0.66 (95% CI 0.47–0.94)
RR ¼ 0.71 (95% CI 0.52–0.97)/5 h/week of low-
intensity PA
Walking: comparing high vs. low PA groups
RR ¼ 0.85 (95% CI 0.79–0.91)
Walking: dose–response

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Physical activity and health Warburton and Bredin

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6
Table 2 (Continued)
Meta-analysis
(dose–response
Assessment of meth- analyses, if avail-
Prevention

Reference Included studies (a) Participants (group) Outcome variable (a) odological quality able) Key findings Comments

RR ¼ 0.95 (95% CI 0.88–1.02)/10 MET-h/week of


walking
RR ¼ 0.92 (95% CI 0.85–0.99)/2 h/week
Reductions in risk were seen up to 10–15 MET-h/
week or up to 2–3 h/week of walking/week
Resistance exercise
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RR ¼ 0.72 (95% CI 0.57–0.91) for high vs. low


resistance exercise

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RR ¼ 0.70 (95% CI 0.58–0.84)/5 h/week
Occupational PA
RR ¼ 0.85 (95% CI 0.79–0.92) for high vs. low
occupational PA
Cardiorespiratory fitness
RR ¼ 0.45 (95% CI 0.29–0.70) high vs. low
cardiorespiratory fitness
RR ¼ 0.74 (95% CI 0.56–0.98)/20 ml/kg/min
Nonlinear relations were observed for leisure-time PA,
vigorous PA, walking, and resistance exercise with
steeper reductions in type 2 diabetes risk at low PA
levels vs. high activity levels
&&
Aune et al. [15 ] 25 (12 RCT and 11 Total PA before pregnancy Gestational diabetes Yes Yes (dose–response Inverse association between physical activity before The authors provided further details
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cohort studies) (n ¼ 4607 adults) analyses) pregnancy and in early pregnancy and the risk for regarding the effects of combined
gestational diabetes prepregnancy and early pregnancy
PA, walking, intensity of PA,
occupational PA and household PA,
and PA and abnormal glucose
tolerance
Total PA during pregnancy Total PA before pregnancy Total PA before pregnancy Higher leisure-time PA before and
(n ¼ 3996 adults) (293 incident cases) during pregnancy was associated
with a significant reduction in the risk
for gestational diabetes (22 and
20%, respectively)
Leisure-time PA before Total PA during pregnancy High vs. low total PA: RR ¼ 0.62 (95% CI 0.41– The greatest relative benefits were
pregnancy (n ¼ 32 592 (244 incident cases) 0.94) observed at lower levels of PA
adults)
Leisure-time PA during Leisure-time PA before Total PA during pregnancy
pregnancy (n ¼ 9804 pregnancy (2401
adults) incident cases)
Leisure-time PA during High vs. low total PA: RR ¼ 0.66 (95% CI 0.36–
pregnancy (900 1.21)
incident cases)
Leisure-time PA before pregnancy
High vs. low PA (before pregnancy): RR ¼ 0.78
(95% CI 0.61–1.00)
High vs. low PA (during pregnancy): RR ¼ 0.80
(95% CI 0.64–1.00)
A nonlinear dose–response analysis revealed a
12% reduction in the relative risk of gestational
diabetes for 30 MET-h/week of prepregnancy PA
compared to no activity
There was a 30 and 37% risk reduction in 7 h/week
of PA at prepregnancy and during pregnancy,
respectively, vs. no activity

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Table 2 (Continued)
Meta-analysis
(dose–response
Assessment of meth- analyses, if avail-
Reference Included studies (a) Participants (group) Outcome variable (a) odological quality able) Key findings Comments

Ekelund et al. [16] 16 (cohort) n ¼ 1 005 791 (adults) All-cause mortality (84 609 Yes Yes (dose–response The included studies were generally rated of high Data from more than 1 million
incident cases) analyses) quality participants were included
There was a dose–response relationship between Study focused on sedentary behavior
sitting time and mortality, which was attenuated by (and the mediating effects of PA)
PA
High levels of moderate intensity PA (approximately The secondary analyses revealed a
60–75 min/day) eliminated the increased risk of dose-dependent relationship between
death associated with high sitting time PA and the risk for all-cause mortality
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Those in the quartile including the lowest sitting time There was no evidence for a threshold
(<4 h/day) and highest level of PA (>35.5 MET-h/ of benefit with reductions in risk being
week) had the lowest risk. There was a 59% risk observed with lower levels of PA
reduction in this group in comparison to the lowest
quartile of physical activity [<2.5 MET-h/week]
and sitting >8 h/day)
PA Quartiles The data was grouped in quartiles
such that it was not feasible to fully
appreciate the effects of levels of
activity above the inactive state and
below 16 MET-h/week
Lowest quartile ¼ 2.5 MET-h/week (approximately
5 min of moderate intensity PA/day)
Second PA quartile ¼ 16 MET-h/week
(approximately 25–35 min of moderate intensity
PA/day)
Third PA Quartile ¼ 30 MET-h/week (approximately
HCO 320510

50–65 min of moderate intensity PA/day)


Fourth PA Quartile ¼ 355 MET-h/week (about 60–

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75 min of moderate intensity PA/day)
&&
Granger et al. [17 ] 11 (9 cross-sectional n ¼ 110 330 (adolescents) Self-reported health status Yes No There was some inconsistency in the literature. A key purpose of the systematic review
and 2 cohort) However, the majority of the studies (nine out of was to determine whether or not the
11) reported a significant positive relationship WHOs’ recommendation for
between physical activity and self-reported health adolescents’ daily levels of PA (i.e., 5
status in adolescents to 17-year olds should engage in at
least 60 min of moderate or vigorous
physical activity/day) were
appropriate
Two studies also provided evidence of dose– Improvements in self-reported health
response relationship between physical activity and were observed at levels below current
self-reported health physical activity recommendations
The authors emphasized the perils of
threshold-based messaging for
inactive/sedentary adolescents who
may find the target discouraging
The authors highlighted the need for
more standardization in PA
measurement in adolescents
&&
Hupin et al. [18 ] 9 n ¼ 122 417 (older adults; All-cause mortality (18 122 No Yes (dose–response A clear dose–response relationship was observed The greatest relative health benefits
73 745 women and incident cases) analyses) between PA and mortality were observed when moving from the
48 672 men) inactive state to a more active state
Low-volume PA [(1–499 MET-min/week (15 min/ No evidence of a minimal threshold
day)] ¼ 22% reduction for health benefits
Medium volume PA (500–999 MET-min; roughly The greatest relative benefits were
equivalent to 150 min/week MVPA) ¼ 28% risk seen at the end of the first 15 min of

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reduction MVPA
Physical activity and health Warburton and Bredin

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8
Table 2 (Continued)
Meta-analysis
(dose–response
Assessment of meth- analyses, if avail-
Prevention

Reference Included studies (a) Participants (group) Outcome variable (a) odological quality able) Key findings Comments

Higher volume PA (1000 MET-min) ¼ 35% risk Authors argued that 15 min/day could
reduction be a ‘reasonable target dose’ for
older adults. They further
recommended a goal of 15 min of
MVPA 5 days/week
&
Kyu et al. [19 ] 174 (35 breast Breast cancer (n ¼ 3 142 Breast cancer, colon Yes Yes (dose–response Examined the association between total PA The greatest relative benefits were
cancer, 19 colon 182) cancer, type 2 diabetes, analyses) standardized as a continuous scale (MET-min/ seen at the lower volumes of PA
CE: Swati; HCO/320510; Total nos of Pages: 16;

cancer, 55 ischemic heart disease, week) and five outcomes (breast cancer, colon
diabetes, 43 ischemic strokes cancer, diabetes, ischemic heart disease, and

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ischemic heart (incident cases were not ischemic stroke)
disease, and 26 reported)
ischemic stroke; all
cohort studies)
Colon cancer Higher volumes of total PA (from multiple domains There was an attenuation of the
(n ¼ 4 651 286) including leisure time, occupation, domestic and benefits at total PA levels higher than
transportation) were associated with reduced risks 3000–4000 MET-min/week
for breast cancer, colon cancer, type 2 diabetes,
heart disease, and ischemic stroke
Diabetes (n ¼ 2 106 240) 0 MET-min/week) was used as the reference No evidence for a minimal threshold
category for assessing the continuous dose– for health benefits
response associations
Ischemic heart disease The major relative gains were seen at the lower Authors concluded that total physical
(n ¼ 1 838 930) levels of PA, with minimal decrease in the risk at activity (not just leisure time) should
levels of total PA more than 3000–4000 MET-min/ be several times higher than
HCO 320510

week recommended levels for greater


reductions in the risk for the five
chronic medical conditions. This
recommendation focuses on the
optimal benefits associated with the
five conditions
Ischemic stroke
(n ¼ 1573231)
Li Y. et al. [20] 32 Cohort studies n.r. Cancer mortality (59 362 Yes Yes (dose–response The highest PA group had a 20% lower risk of Prediagnosis PA level was inversely
incident cases) analyses) cancer vs. the lowest PA group [RR ¼ 0.80 (95% associated with risk of cancer death
CI ¼ 0.76–0.85)]
The highest PA group had a 20% lower risk of The greatest relative benefits were
cancer vs. the lowest PA group [RR ¼ 0.80 (95% seen at the lower volumes of PA
CI ¼ 0.76–0.85)]
The risk for cancer-related mortality was 15% lower No evidence for a minimal threshold
for PA vs. non/occasional PA [RR ¼ 0.85 (95% CI for health benefits
0.82–0.88]
There was a nonlinear relationship between
prediagnosis PA level and cancer-related mortality
An increase of 10 MET-h/week of prediagnosis PA
was associated with a 7% lower risk of all cancer
mortality (RR ¼ 0.93, 95% CI 0.91–0.95)
Li T. et al. [21] 71 Cohort studies n ¼ 3 985 164 Cancer mortality (66 995 Yes Yes (dose–response The most active individuals had a reduced risk for The greatest relative benefits were
incident cases) analyses) cancer mortality in general population (HR ¼ 0.83 seen at the lower volumes of PA
(95% CI 0.79–0.87) and among cancer survivors
(HR ¼ 0.78 (95% CI 0.74–0.84)
Meeting international PA recommendations reduced No evidence for a minimal threshold
the risk for cancer mortality by 13–14% for health benefits
Cancer survivors that engage in 15 MET-h/week of Importance of PA participation after
PA had a 27% lower risk of cancer mortality cancer diagnosis is established
The protective effect of PA was greater in cancer
survivors that undertook PA postdiagnosis (15 MET-
h/week ¼ 35% risk reduction) vs. prediagnosis (15

Volume 32  Number 00  Month 2017


MET-h/week ¼ 21% risk reduction)

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Table 2 (Continued)
Meta-analysis
(dose–response
Assessment of meth- analyses, if avail-
Reference Included studies (a) Participants (group) Outcome variable (a) odological quality able) Key findings Comments

There was a curvilinear relationship between PA


and cancer mortality. The HR for cancer mortality
were 0.88, 0.86, 0.86, 0.85 and 0.84 following
5, 10, 15, 20 and 25 MET-h/week of recreational
PA, respectively, in comparison to inactivity
There was a steep dose–response curve at PA
volumes below international PA recommendations
(approximately 7.5 MET-h/week in this review) with
an attenuation at higher volumes
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There was an approximate 2% reduction in cancer


mortality for every 1 MET-h/week increase below
international PA recommendations (i.e., <7.5 MET-
h/week) compared to a 1% reduction for every 10
MET-h/week over 7.5 MET-h/week.
Similar inverse relationships were observed in Asian
participants
Liu et al. [22] 22 n ¼ 330 222 Hypertension (67 698 Yes Yes (dose–response The studies included were generally of a high Study provided greater insight into the
incident cases) analyses) quality dose–response relationship at PA
volumes that were at or above the
150 min/week MVPA target. The
linear dose–response suggest benefits
at lower volumes
There was a dose–response relationship between Authors concluded health benefits of
leisure time PA and total PA and incident PA can be achieved even at relatively
hypertension low levels of PA (<150 min/week)
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The risk for hypertension was reduced by 6% with There was no evidence of a threshold
each 10 MET-h/week increment of leisure-time PA effect
20 MET-h/week of leisure-time PA ¼ 12% risk

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reduction
60 MET-h/week of leisure-time PA ¼ 33% risk
reduction
The risk for hypertension was reduced by 7%/50
MET h/week increment in total PA
Neilson et al. [23] 58 Premenopausal 26 Cohort studies Breast cancer Yes Yes (dose–response For premenopausal breast cancer, there was a 20% Included studies that only examined
(n ¼ 1 334 557) (premenopauasal and analyses) risk reduction [RR ¼ 0.80 (95% CI 0.74–0.87)] in moderate-vigorous recreational PA
postmenopausasal) the highest vs. lowest categories of MVPA (metabolic equivalent 3.0)
recreational PA
43 Postmenopausal 41 Case–control studies Cohort studies (44 712 For postmenopausal breast cancer, there was a Dose–response curves were generally
(n ¼ 246 112) incident cancer cases) 21% risk reduction [RR ¼ 0.79 (95% CI 0.74– nonlinear with greatest benefits at
0.84)] in the highest vs. lowest categories of MVPA lower PA volumes
recreational PA
Case–control studies The inverse associations were weaker in the findings Difficult to fully discern the effects of
(67 768 incident cancer from postmenopausal cohort studies and studies small volumes of moderate-vigorous
cases) that controlled for nonrecreational PA PA
Nonlinear, inverse relationships were observed
between moderate-vigorous recreational PA volume
(MET-h/week) and pre and postmenopausal breast
cancer risk. There was attenuation in the slope of
the relationship at approximately 25 MET-h/week
In overweight/obese women, there was an inverse
association with postmenopausal breast cancer risk
(RR ¼ 0.88 [95% CI ¼ 0.82–0.95], but no
association with premenopausal breast cancer risk
(RR ¼ 0.99 [95% CI 0.98–1.00])

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Dose–response curves were generally nonlinear
Physical activity and health Warburton and Bredin

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Table 2 (Continued)

10
Meta-analysis
(dose–response
Assessment of meth- analyses, if avail-
Reference Included studies (a) Participants (group) Outcome variable (a) odological quality able) Key findings Comments
Prevention

Pandey et al. [24] 12 Cohort studies n ¼ 370 460 Heart failure (20 203 Yes Yes Authors looked at the relationship between PA and There was an inverse relationship with
incident cases) heart failure risk in individuals engaging in PA no evidence of a threshold for benefit
levels at international recommendations (500 MET-
min/week) and two times (1000 MET-min/week)
and four times (2000 MET-min/week) the
recommended levels
There was an inverse relationship between PA and Focus of study was on PA volumes at
heart failure or above international
recommendations. Low-volume PA
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was grouped with inactive data


Compared to the lowest PA category, the highest PA

www.co-cardiology.com
group had a 30% lower risk. The moderate and
light PA groups had 22 and 15% lower risks of
heart failure, respectively, in comparison to the
lowest PA group
In the dose–response analysis, participants meeting
international recommendations (approximately 500
MET-min/week) had a 10% risk reduction
(HR ¼ 0.90; 95% CI 0.87–0.92) vs. the lowest
active group
Those engaging in twice and four times the
recommendation had a 19% risk reduction
(HR ¼ 0.81; 95% CI 0.77–0.86) and 35%
(HR ¼ 0.65; 95% CI 0.58–0.73) lower risk of risk
of heart failure, respectively
Pizot et al. [25] 38 n ¼ 4 124 275 women Breast cancer (116 304 No Yes (dose–response The highest level of PA was associated with a risk A dose–response relationship was
HCO 320510

incident cases) analyses) reduction of 12% for all breast cancer, 11% for observed
ERþ/PRþ breast cancer, and 20% for ER/PR
breast cancer
Risk reductions were not affected by the type of PA There was no evidence of a threshold
(occupational or nonoccupational), adiposity, and effect
menopausal status
Engaging in 150 min/week of MVPA reduces the
lifetime risk of breast cancer by 9%
The usage of hormone replacement therapy
removed the benefits seen with routine physically
activity
Shi et al. [26] 30 (Case control and n ¼ 2 242 789 adults Cancer (33 949 incident Yes Yes Revealed an inverse dose dependent association No evidence for a minimal threshold
cohort) cases) between household PA and cancer risk for health benefits
(dose–response Individuals with the highest household PA had a Clear dose–response relationship
analyses) 16% reduced total cancer risk compared to those between household PA and cancer
with the lowest household PA (RR ¼ 0.84, 95% risk
CI ¼ 0.76–0.93)
The relative cancer risk was 2% (RR ¼ 0.98, 95%
CI ¼ 0.97–1.00) for/additional 10 MET-h/week
and 1% (RR ¼ 0.99, 95% CI ¼ 0.98–0.99) for/1
h/week increase
The majority (70%) of the studies were considered to
be of a higher quality
Smith et al. [27] 28 n ¼ 1 261 991 Type 2 diabetes (84 134 No Yes (dose–response There was a curvilinear dose–response relationship No evidence for a minimal threshold
incident cases) analyses) between leisure time PA and incident type 2 for health benefits
diabetes
(cohort) 2.25 MET-h/week ¼ 7% risk reduction [RR ¼ 0.93 The greatest relative benefits were
(95% CI 0.92, 0.95)] observed at the lowest levels of
activity
4.5 MET-h/week ¼ 13% risk reduction [RR ¼ 0.87 Additional benefits are seen at
(95% CI 0.84, 0.90)] physical activity levels far greater
than current intentional
recommendations (i.e., > 150 min/

Volume 32  Number 00  Month 2017


week MVPA)

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Table 2 (Continued)
Meta-analysis
(dose–response
Assessment of meth- analyses, if avail-
Reference Included studies (a) Participants (group) Outcome variable (a) odological quality able) Key findings Comments

10.0 MET-h/week ¼ 23% [RR ¼ 0.76 (95% CI 0.71,


0.81)]
11.25 MET-h/week ¼ 26% risk reduction [RR ¼ 0.74
(95% CI 0.69, 0.80)]
22.5 MET-h/week ¼ 36% risk reduction [RR ¼ 0.64
(95% CI 0.56, 0.73)]
30.0 MET-h/week ¼ 40% risk reduction [RR ¼ 0.60
(95% CI 0.51, 0.70)]
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60 MET-h/week ¼ 53% risk reduction [RR ¼ 0.47


(95% CI 0.34, 0.65)]
Wahid et al. [28] 36 (33 CVD; 3 type 2 n ¼ 3 439 874 CVD and type 2 diabetes Yes Yes (dose–response Used a single continuous PA metric adjusting for The authors focused on an increase of
diabetes) (179 393 incident analyses) body weight 11.25 MET-h/week (roughly
cases) equivalent to moving from inactive
behavior to achieving international
PA recommendations). However,
smaller doses were associated with
marked health benefits
CVD specific CVD specific (89 493 Included studies that had measures of at least 2 or 4 The greatest relative health gains were
(n ¼ 1 683 693) incident cases) domains of total PA observed with small amounts of PA (in
comparison to no activity).
Diabetes specific Diabetes specific (19 417 The studies included were considered to be There was no evidence of a minimal
(n ¼ 261 618) incident cases) generally of higher quality threshold for benefit
Moving from inactive to recommended PA levels
(i.e., 150 min/week MVPA) lowered the risk for
CVD mortality [23%; RR ¼ 0.77 (95% CI (0.71–
HCO 320510

0.84)], CVD incidence [17%; RR ¼ 0.83 (95% CI


(0.83 (0.77–0.89)], and Type 2 diabetes [26%;

0268-4705 Copyright ß 2017 Wolters Kluwer Health, Inc. All rights reserved.
RR ¼ 0.74 (95% CI (0.72–0.77)]
Dose–response relationships were nonlinear
The greatest relative risk reductions were projected
to occur with small changes in PA volume. The
authors projected that an additional 6 MET-h/week
was associated with a risk reduction of
approximately 4.3%/MET-h/week for CVD
mortality and 1.7% for CVD incidence, respectively
The relative risk reductions were only marginally
attenuated after controlling for body weight
Zhang et al. [29] 16 (11 cohort and 5 n ¼ approximately 260 000 Gallstone disease Yes Yes (dose–response Higher levels of PA were associated with a reduced There is a dose–response relationship
case control) (approximately 16 000 analyses) risk for gallstone disease in men and women between PA and gallstone disease
cases) (despite study heterogeneity)
The highest level of physical activity had a 15% There is no evidence of a minimal
reduced risk for gallstone disease in comparison to threshold for benefit
the lowest active group (men ¼ 24%;
women ¼ 13%)
There was a 13% risk reduction [RR ¼ 0.87 (95%
CI, 0.83–0.92)] for gallstone disease with every
20 MET-h/week of recreational PA
There was no evidence of a nonlinear relationship in
the two studies included in the dose–response
meta-analysis

Total physical activity ¼ sum of leisure-time, occupational, and transport activity.

www.co-cardiology.com
CI, confidence interval, CVD, cardiovascular disease; HR, hazard ratio; PA, physical activity; MET, metabolic equivalent; MVPA, moderate-to-vigorous intensity physical activity; n.r., data not reported; RCT, randomized
controlled trial; RR, relative risk.
Physical activity and health Warburton and Bredin

11

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HCO 320510

Prevention

dose–response relationships according to chronic


medical condition.
The findings of our systematic review of current
systematic reviews compares well with previous
findings. For instance, in 2010, we created two
systematic reviews of the literature regarding the
health benefits of routine physical activity in adults
[4] and older adults [5]. In these articles, we dem-
onstrated that international physical activity
recommendations were associated with 20–30% risk
reductions for various chronic medical conditions
and premature mortality and significant improve-
FIGURE 2. Relative risk for mortality and morbidity as a ments in functional independence and cognitive
function of estimated physical activity volume (MET-h/week). function in the elderly. These risk reductions are
Consistent with the methodology of Hupin and colleagues consistent with the findings from our current study.
[18 ] we related relative risks (or hazard ratios) as a
&&

In 2010, we also stated that it remained to be deter-


function of reported median or mean physical activity levels mined what the optimal and minimal volume of
(in MET-hr/week). When systematic reviews provided physical activity is required for health benefits. It is
physical activity levels in ranges we estimated the midpoint clear that physical activity participation at levels
value by calculating the mean for the upper and lower consistent with international recommendations
bound. For open-ended categories (such as often seen in the can lead to marked health benefits and a reduced
highest and lowest categories) we assumed that the interval risk for premature mortality and at least 25 chronic
length to be similar to the adjacent category. Data was medical conditions [4,12]. However, there is mount-
estimated using dose-response figures provided within the ing evidence that this volume of activity is not the
meta-analyses for two studies [20,23]. MET, metabolic minimal level required for health benefits and may
equivalent. even be closer to the optimal level (depending upon
&
the medical outcome) [1 ]. This is supported by our
mortality, all-cancer mortality, type 2 diabetes, hy- current systematic review of systematic reviews
pertension, breast cancer, colon cancer, gestational wherein the greatest risk reductions were seen at
diabetes, gallstone disease, ischemic heart disease, the lower volumes of physical activity with an
and ischemic stroke). There is preliminary evidence attenuation at higher physical activity volumes.
to demonstrate that physical activity is positively This is supported by compelling cohort trials
associated (in a dose-dependent fashion) with self- designed to look specifically at very low volumes
&&
perceived health in adolescents [14 ]. of physical activity that indicate that simply moving
The vast majority of the studies revealed non- from an inactive state to any level of physical
linear relationships between physical activity and activity participation is associated with the greatest
&
health outcomes such that the greatest relative relative risk reductions [1 ]. For example, Moore
benefits are seen at lower doses of physical activity et al. [31] recently reported that any volume of
(i.e., when moving from an inactive state to a more physical activity (i.e., 0.1–3.74 metabolic equivalent
active state) often with an attenuation of benefit at (MET-h/week) of leisure time MVPA, equivalent to
higher volumes of physical activity. There does not 75 min/week of brisk walking) led to 1.8 year of life
appear to be a threshold for these benefits with risk gained with further benefits at higher levels of
reductions often being observed at physical activity physical activity [e.g., 4.5 year of life gained at
volumes far below current international recommen- 22.5 and above MET-h/week (or brisk walking for
&&
dations for adults or older adults. This finding also 450þ min/week)]. Arem et al. [7 ] also recently
appears to extend to adolescents with marked found that any level of physical activity participa-
improvements in self-perceived health occurring tion (i.e., 0.1 to <7.5 MET-h/week) resulted in 20%
at levels below current recommendations for chil- mortality risk reduction, whereas meeting current
dren and youth (i.e., at least 60 min/day of MVPA). recommendations had a mortality benefit of 31%
Based on our current systematic review of the liter- that was closer to the optimal risk reduction (39%)
ature it is apparent that multiple dose–response seen at 3–5 times the international physical activity
curves may exist and the optimal and minimal recommendation.
dosages likely vary based on the primary outcome Our current systematic review (including diverse
&
measure [1 ]. This is consistent with the early pro- clinical outcomes) directly refutes threshold-
jections of Gledhill and Jamnik [30]. Further centered physical activity messaging that implies
research is clearly warranted to look at the various (or explicitly states) that one must reach the

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Physical activity and health Warburton and Bredin

relationship would be ‘S’ or ‘L’ shaped (see Fig. 3).


(a)
Yet, as shown in our systematic review of systematic
reviews there is limited evidence to support a
threshold for health benefits at a physical activity
dose of 150 min/week MVPA. As such, based on the
available evidence it would appear that the greatest
relative risk reductions are seen when inactive per-
sons simply become more physically active/fit. As
such, threshold-based physical activity messaging
does not appear to be evidence-based (the central
requirement for adoption within clinical practice).
Thus, caution should be employed when recom-
mending a specific physical activity volume for
diverse populations in particular inactive individ-
uals and/or those living with chronic medical con-
(b) ditions who would benefit greatly from becoming
more physically active.
It is important to highlight that physical activity
recommendations were designed to optimize health
benefits rather than provide targets for minimal
dosages for health benefits [33]. Moreover, physical
activity recommendations provide an objective
classification for determining the prevalence of
physical activity/inactivity in contemporary society
&
for surveillances purposes [1 ,34]. These are import-
ant goals. Based on our current systematic review
&&
and the findings of other recent research [7 ] it
would appear that current international physical
activity guidelines provide a dosage of physical
FIGURE 3. Theoretical dose–response relationship between activity that is very close to the optimal level for
physical activity/fitness and health status. (a) In individuals health benefits. However, as discussed above there
who are physically inactive/unfit, a small change in physical has been a consistent knowledge translation error
activity/fitness will lead to a significant improvement in wherein the general public is often given threshold-
health status including a reduction in the risk for chronic centered messaging that indicates that health
disease and premature mortality. Dashed line represents the benefits can only be accrued by meeting these tar-
potential attenuation in health status seen in highly gets. Statements such as ‘you should aim for’ have
(extremely) trained endurance athletes. (b) If current been replaced with declarations such as ‘you need to
messaging regarding physical activity [i.e., individuals do’, ‘you must,’ or ‘you must engage in at least’
should engage in at least 150 min of weekly moderate to despite irrefutable evidence that strongly supports
vigorous physical activity (MVPA) for health benefits] were the importance of simply becoming more physically
&
evidence-based the shape of the dose-response curve (blue active [1 ]. Various experts have acknowledged the
line) would show a clear threshold at 150 min of MVPA limitations associated with threshold-based messag-
&
wherein the benefits are accrued. Thus, the relationship ing [1 ,11]. In two recent commentaries, Hupin et al.
would be ‘‘L-’’ or ‘‘S-’’ shaped. However, the overwhelming [35,36] highlighted the marked mortality benefits
evidence indicates that this not the case. Modified from with relatively small changes in physical activity
Bredin et al. [32] with permission. MVPA, moderate-to- (i.e., the first 15 min of MVPA was associated with
vigorous intensity physical activity. the greatest mortality benefit) in older adults. They
further discussed the perils of the inappropriate
translation of evidence to the general public when
150 min/week MVPA threshold for health benefits. they stated ‘Inappropriate information may prevent
Generally, the relationship is curvilinear with the people from taking up physical activity or discour-
greatest relative risk reductions being observed age them from progressing at their own speed. No
when moving from the inactive to a more active medical treatment can influence as many diseases in
state. Threshold-based messaging that states that a positive manner as physical activity, so obscuring
one ‘must’ reach a certain level of physical activity health messages about exercise could be deleteri-
for health benefits to be achieved implies that the ous.’’ We echoed this sentiment in our earlier

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HCO 320510

Prevention

systematic reviews [4,12] and more recent reviews based guidelines for diverse clientele across the
&
[1 ,34,37]. lifespan.
For many individuals reaching the goal of Generic physical activity guidelines have also
150 min/week of MVPA may not be feasible [9,10] been criticized on various other grounds including
and ‘off-putting’ creating an unobtainable target for the inability to address the key determinants of
a significant proportion of society [11]. Knox et al. changes in healthy lifestyle behaviors [42–44]. It
[11] estimated that the 150 min/week MVPA is clear that physical activity guidelines are poorly
threshold would translate into an increase in understood and/or adopted by the general popu-
physical activity behavior of 100–400%. The lation [9,45–47]. Guidelines are also infrequently
authors also highlighted how threshold-centered used in clinical practice [9,10] and even by key
messaging has been associated with lower percep- health and fitness organizations with a clear invest-
tions of health for lower volumes of physical activity ment in physical activity guidelines [47]. Research-
despite the potential for clear health benefits. A key ers have argued that the poor uptake of physical
concern regarding this knowledge translation error activity guidelines is the result of the focus on health
is the fostering of an ‘all or none’ and/or ‘one size fits outcomes and dosages rather than the key determi-
all approach’ to physical activity promotion [34]. nants of healthy lifestyle behaviors. There has been a
A clear discord in messaging related to physical concerted effort to move away from focusing on the
activity and sedentary behavior guidelines has health benefits of physical activity in knowledge
&
been acknowledged [1 ,34,37]. In many instances, translation resources to describing methods to
threshold-based messaging related to both seden- promote physical activity/exercise enjoyment and
tary and physical activity behaviors are provided. adherence. Segar et al. [43] recently stated ‘there is a
However, this messaging is contradictory consider- need to identify new messages that can make
ing the growing body of evidence that demonstrates physical activity more relevant and compelling to
that simply replacing sedentary behaviors with light patients and the general population.’ There is strong
intensity (1.6–2.9 METs) activity/exercise (even as evidence that affective judgment constructs (such as
&
little as 6 min/h) has health benefits [38 ]. Similar to affective attitude, enjoyment, intrinsic motivation)
&&
Hupin et al. [18 ], Sparling et al. [39] recently high- are key predictors of physical activity behavior
lighted how many older adults find it difficult to [48–50]. In particular, exercise enjoyment is a key
meet MVPA targets. They argued that a more appro- predictor of behavioral change [43]. Recent research
priate message is to ‘reduce sedentary time and has consistently demonstrated that the promotion
increase light activities.’ Despres [40] recently stated of the positive affective benefits of routine physical
‘. . .it is clear that we should emphasize over and over activity (such as ‘feeling good’) have a greater poten-
the importance of avoiding prolonged periods with- tial for eliciting behavioral change than messages
out any physical activity, even if the volume of related to health (such as ‘if you meet the 150 min/
physical activity or exercise does not meet the guide- week MVPA target your will have better health’).
&&
lines.’ Granger et al. [17 ] reiterated this belief when Some have argued that current international
they stated that ‘a policy change to encourage sed- physical activity recommendations need to be
entary adolescents to engage even in low levels of revised to focus on affective constructs. We also
physical activity would be beneficial.’ Egan [41] recently argued that physical activity promotion
recently highlighted that for those groups with a should not be done in isolation but rather as an
history of sedentary and inactive lifestyles [particu- integrated approach to healthy lifestyle behaviors
&
larly in at-risk groups (such as minorities, women, [1 ]. Also, given the evidence relating optimism and
those with lower socioeconomic status, and the life enjoyment to reduced risks for premature
elderly)] health promotion initiatives designed to mortality [51] further recommendations should
increase low-intensity physical activity may be more highlight how routine physical activity participa-
likely to be adopted and sustained than longer tion can enhance overall optimism [52,53].
duration MVPA. Moreover, Egan [41] argued that It is also important to highlight that very short
it might be easier for inactive and sedentary persons bouts (and low volumes) of walking, jogging, or
to transition from low-intensity physical activity to higher intensity exercise can lead to marked health
MVPA than to move directly from an inactive and benefits in apparently healthy individuals and
sedentary state to MVPA. This sentiment has been persons living with chronic medical conditions
repeated by leading experts including those [54–58]. This has led many to question current
involved in the creation of national and/or inter- physical activity guidelines for the lack of inclusive-
national physical activity guidelines. Simple mes- ness of diverse physical activity/exercise approaches
saging, such as ‘move more, sit less!’ is likely more [56] that may be more attractive for a significant
appropriate and evidence based than threshold- proportion of society.

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Physical activity and health Warburton and Bredin

LIMITATIONS Acknowledgements
Any systematic review of the physical activity liter- We would like to thank Nana Wu and Ricky Yanfei and
ature must acknowledge the intrinsic errors associ- other students and staff members at the Systematic
ated with self-reported physical activity behavior Reviews Laboratory (University of British Columbia)
[34]. The vast majority of the studies assessed for their assistance.
physical activity via self-report which can frequently The authors were responsible for creating the systematic
lead to an overestimation of actual physical activity reviews (and related papers) that informed the 2011
&
levels by 50% or more [1 ,59–61]. This will there- Canadian Physical Activity Guidelines.
fore, affect any interpretations of this evidence.
Scientists uniformly acknowledge the limitations Financial support and sponsorship
in self-reported physical activity, but this is seldom D.E.R.W. and S.S.D.B.’s laboratories are supported by
translated to the general public further widening the Canadian Institutes of Health Research, the Michael
the knowledge translation gap. Given the current Smith Foundation for Health Research, the Canadian
findings of this systematic review and the level of Foundation of Innovation, the BC Knowledge Develop-
anticipated physical activity overestimation it is ment Fund, MITACs, the Public Health Agency of Can-
likely that the actual dosage of physical activity ada, the Natural Sciences and Engineering Research
required to see optimal health benefits is even lower Council of Canada, GE Healthcare, and the BC Ministry
than projected. Future research should use objective of Health.
measures to examine the health benefits of physical
activity across the continuum from extremely low-
Conflicts of interest
to-high physical activity volumes.
Our systematic review included various system- There are no conflicts of interest.
atic reviews that often included the same evidence. As
such, certain trials (particularly with multiple health
outcomes) would have greater effect. Also, few stud- REFERENCES AND RECOMMENDED
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Papers of particular interest, published within the annual period of review, have
countries, which will affect the transferability of been highlighted as:
these findings to these regions. Moreover, not all & of special interest
&& of outstanding interest

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